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2007年房价上涨15%

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发表于 2007-1-11 19:22 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
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Thu, January 11, 2007
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2 p( u% X8 J, ~  bPrice is still rightEdmonton Real Estate Board president expects a 15% climb in 2007
0 z- f% j: ]+ i9 mBy NEIL WAUGH, EDMONTON SUN
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& c3 `1 c$ a# M0 G% x& }$ ~They're changing the guard down at the Edmonton real estate palace.
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' n/ Y, {  }# [' D; YMadeline Sarafinchan is out. Carolyn Pratt is taking over the Edmonton Real Estate Board president's gavel - the kind of blunt instrument that some realtors, I suspect, would like to use on ComFree Edmonton upstart Travis Holowach. More on that later. 2 F* p2 V* F, `' I
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But first, the EREB president's bold predictions and fearless forecasts.
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" `6 u0 H4 b- O1 U" L( ]Don't expect a repeat of last year's housing boom where condo and single family dwelling prices spiked an incredible 52%. Pratt is now calling for a more modest increase of 15%. 2 c4 Q/ v3 y! h6 Y' |. ]) c

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"We feel the increase will come because there will be continued demand, consumer confidence, a very robust economy and low interest rates," Pratt whooped at the EREB's New Year's kick-off conference at the Westin. "All the factors are there for another terrific year."
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She predicted that the total number of residential sales isn't expected to increase in 2007 - despite thousands of pot-of-gold seekers still flocking to the capital region from across the country as Ontario continues to sputter.
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* O5 E  |: W8 S- L"There just won't be enough houses to sell," she sighed.
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Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation senior analyst Richard Goatcher was also talking a good-news-bad-news scenario at the board meeting.
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& h9 h8 M2 U) m) [2 l  P' e"The big issue is, are we going to see continued in-migration into the city with the volumes we had last year?" Goatcher said. His expectation is "somewhat less."
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# R1 U8 ~$ t7 O$ \( MStill, total new-house starts will be "fairly similar" to last year's pace. 2006 turned out to be a record year. So was 2005. But Goatcher is predicting a 5% decrease in house starts.
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"A lot of it is due to capacity issues," he said. Developers are running out of serviced lots in some areas. Some homebuilders "got a little overstretched" during last year's house-building frenzy. 9 N1 a) L5 K) A7 d; u9 P
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"There are too many shortages in the system," he shrugged.
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' ?6 Z6 K) d9 {! Y  f  R' a"But it's still going to be very, very strong," he quickly added, with the average new-home selling price ramping up by 20%. * }9 B- s1 J* `7 E- r! w6 ~
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NO PRICE BOOM REPEAT
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! f3 ?$ x& N4 w$ k4 K( w7 E; q) [He also doesn't see a repeat of the 2006 price boom in the resale market, which he described as "unsustainable."
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Expect a more gentle 10% increase - mainly because many potential buyers are now being priced out of the market - even with zero down payment and 40-year mortgages. ; e% M1 k$ F( \& k$ R4 @' \* S* d
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Over at ComFree Edmonton, president Travis Holowach was also celebrating what he described as a "steaming red hot" real estate market, and another "record-setting" year for his commission-free real estate service. ; U4 L% D0 y0 S' z( F
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His 2006 wind-up report shows 4,375 total sales and 5,721 new listings, up 74% from 2005 - clearly sucking up a lot of the inventory that would otherwise have gone to an EREB realtor. 9 F& E) h" x: g: O, ]2 b/ Y
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"Our growing presence in the marketplace is having a strong impact on the competition," Holowach winked.
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So strong that the Alberta Real Estate Association launched a complaint with Alberta Government Services claiming ComFree was bending the truth about its market share. ' n( a; T1 b) p0 U+ v4 i
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Yesterday ComFree was still claiming 30% share of the residential market. And "commissions saved" of $82 million from his sell-it-yourself operation. Which, of course, is what the battle is really all about. , r+ }4 g& _' b
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"We do 95% of the sales in the real estate market," Pratt countered.
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Let the good times roll.
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( h/ r# {9 [; i" f3 P/ k$ D/ s% RPrevious story: Bottom Line
: ]- `5 q2 O4 J& U1 v) aNext story: Building permits hit record
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发表于 2007-1-11 20:36 | 显示全部楼层
理袁律师事务所
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发表于 2007-1-12 20:00 | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2007-1-14 18:29 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
房价涨, 那么地税也一定会涨吗?
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发表于 2007-1-14 18:44 | 显示全部楼层

Everyone should buy another house as you can have 15% return in a year.

It sounds a very good investment.
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发表于 2007-1-14 22:48 | 显示全部楼层
Where is 醉酒 ?
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