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2007年房价上涨15%

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发表于 2007-1-11 19:22 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
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+ I8 }2 \( }4 D% w1 p* o( V! {Thu, January 11, 2007  `) U! h9 ]  v8 w* }$ @; s4 j! [
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Price is still rightEdmonton Real Estate Board president expects a 15% climb in 2007* E' A, Y$ S" m
By NEIL WAUGH, EDMONTON SUN7 M9 v4 t( a' x2 N

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They're changing the guard down at the Edmonton real estate palace.
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Madeline Sarafinchan is out. Carolyn Pratt is taking over the Edmonton Real Estate Board president's gavel - the kind of blunt instrument that some realtors, I suspect, would like to use on ComFree Edmonton upstart Travis Holowach. More on that later. ' F5 k: W# X7 i, ~4 \* y
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But first, the EREB president's bold predictions and fearless forecasts. 1 C3 Z( S$ `& T1 M4 w; Z
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Don't expect a repeat of last year's housing boom where condo and single family dwelling prices spiked an incredible 52%. Pratt is now calling for a more modest increase of 15%. * T- y3 a9 J3 e/ y+ |! c( N

+ i# i$ J0 }- K* x'CONTINUED DEMAND'
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8 t; S) p: I- T0 J! K"We feel the increase will come because there will be continued demand, consumer confidence, a very robust economy and low interest rates," Pratt whooped at the EREB's New Year's kick-off conference at the Westin. "All the factors are there for another terrific year."
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' G1 Y* r$ t# l( YShe predicted that the total number of residential sales isn't expected to increase in 2007 - despite thousands of pot-of-gold seekers still flocking to the capital region from across the country as Ontario continues to sputter.
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+ [# I/ z( a' X"There just won't be enough houses to sell," she sighed. $ s& k1 o' t& ^4 g  j

" {" e! h% E3 ACanada Mortgage and Housing Corporation senior analyst Richard Goatcher was also talking a good-news-bad-news scenario at the board meeting. # u! ^  U% C) d9 O6 z
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"The big issue is, are we going to see continued in-migration into the city with the volumes we had last year?" Goatcher said. His expectation is "somewhat less." $ n8 t- X7 S! k8 I

& x6 q6 l* `7 F  CStill, total new-house starts will be "fairly similar" to last year's pace. 2006 turned out to be a record year. So was 2005. But Goatcher is predicting a 5% decrease in house starts. 6 h/ M' A7 @: r$ J2 [7 [- E- \- u
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"A lot of it is due to capacity issues," he said. Developers are running out of serviced lots in some areas. Some homebuilders "got a little overstretched" during last year's house-building frenzy. 2 i0 R7 @0 B+ H( J; W. U  }7 h1 U/ W; C

& s' w  H+ b' f, p  W' ^1 W"There are too many shortages in the system," he shrugged.
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3 i$ O, U& c# m" d"But it's still going to be very, very strong," he quickly added, with the average new-home selling price ramping up by 20%.
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2 N0 `, O: |" c" e3 M: c# sNO PRICE BOOM REPEAT
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He also doesn't see a repeat of the 2006 price boom in the resale market, which he described as "unsustainable." 9 H+ Z0 \; A9 u3 w& k

4 B- j" @7 S  h7 b# \8 u3 fExpect a more gentle 10% increase - mainly because many potential buyers are now being priced out of the market - even with zero down payment and 40-year mortgages. % i' `: M9 W# T' x
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Over at ComFree Edmonton, president Travis Holowach was also celebrating what he described as a "steaming red hot" real estate market, and another "record-setting" year for his commission-free real estate service. . R8 L/ Q" }6 i! E4 B  ?2 q" X, n0 e

+ o0 T+ z2 G6 }8 {* K9 D5 PHis 2006 wind-up report shows 4,375 total sales and 5,721 new listings, up 74% from 2005 - clearly sucking up a lot of the inventory that would otherwise have gone to an EREB realtor. 1 l( R2 l* j% M
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"Our growing presence in the marketplace is having a strong impact on the competition," Holowach winked.
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So strong that the Alberta Real Estate Association launched a complaint with Alberta Government Services claiming ComFree was bending the truth about its market share.
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& i5 G( p8 I, m- qYesterday ComFree was still claiming 30% share of the residential market. And "commissions saved" of $82 million from his sell-it-yourself operation. Which, of course, is what the battle is really all about.
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- O' H8 W$ m) K9 F1 Y0 z"We do 95% of the sales in the real estate market," Pratt countered. % g: n" h* n. u3 O1 V4 Y

( c7 l: K: B4 D* }% R; V' NLet the good times roll. 3 q- a" {* ]$ s& t
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Previous story: Bottom Line
9 H$ b& D) H) V; `* P" t# a- Y6 B8 bNext story: Building permits hit record
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发表于 2007-1-11 20:36 | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2007-1-12 20:00 | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2007-1-14 18:29 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
房价涨, 那么地税也一定会涨吗?
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发表于 2007-1-14 18:44 | 显示全部楼层

Everyone should buy another house as you can have 15% return in a year.

It sounds a very good investment.
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发表于 2007-1-14 22:48 | 显示全部楼层
Where is 醉酒 ?6 m- \, P8 k( B  J; a; Z
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