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2007年房价上涨15%

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发表于 2007-1-11 19:22 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
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Thu, January 11, 2007
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; q( c, R1 \# S& U( u) }Price is still rightEdmonton Real Estate Board president expects a 15% climb in 20074 ~/ \: |  {2 o* o8 H, ^% f
By NEIL WAUGH, EDMONTON SUN
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They're changing the guard down at the Edmonton real estate palace.
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Madeline Sarafinchan is out. Carolyn Pratt is taking over the Edmonton Real Estate Board president's gavel - the kind of blunt instrument that some realtors, I suspect, would like to use on ComFree Edmonton upstart Travis Holowach. More on that later.
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( e, Y2 \- q( K, `" a1 R9 mBut first, the EREB president's bold predictions and fearless forecasts. $ D4 |% o. j& m, ?  L( X: e

; W7 O3 i6 L7 dDon't expect a repeat of last year's housing boom where condo and single family dwelling prices spiked an incredible 52%. Pratt is now calling for a more modest increase of 15%. * }' ?! C) K* r5 v0 G. r

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"We feel the increase will come because there will be continued demand, consumer confidence, a very robust economy and low interest rates," Pratt whooped at the EREB's New Year's kick-off conference at the Westin. "All the factors are there for another terrific year."
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She predicted that the total number of residential sales isn't expected to increase in 2007 - despite thousands of pot-of-gold seekers still flocking to the capital region from across the country as Ontario continues to sputter. ! N" |6 k, R9 j. c: Z/ o2 g

% w4 g3 L0 G7 K+ j8 ~"There just won't be enough houses to sell," she sighed.
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  q9 x, C% P+ R# j0 Y: F$ l2 ICanada Mortgage and Housing Corporation senior analyst Richard Goatcher was also talking a good-news-bad-news scenario at the board meeting. ; E. N7 y; ~" `2 I* C

6 o# f; Q$ ]& ^) J! |$ Z"The big issue is, are we going to see continued in-migration into the city with the volumes we had last year?" Goatcher said. His expectation is "somewhat less."
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Still, total new-house starts will be "fairly similar" to last year's pace. 2006 turned out to be a record year. So was 2005. But Goatcher is predicting a 5% decrease in house starts. 4 v. k, Q4 R, U4 p: u

4 \' z, Z8 @- ^/ V" J( |1 ]! L"A lot of it is due to capacity issues," he said. Developers are running out of serviced lots in some areas. Some homebuilders "got a little overstretched" during last year's house-building frenzy.
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" B$ V/ l$ A# \1 E7 R3 M"There are too many shortages in the system," he shrugged. 2 D' ]/ `, F, y9 k4 C) M
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"But it's still going to be very, very strong," he quickly added, with the average new-home selling price ramping up by 20%.
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1 k2 G- N( \, ~; F9 RNO PRICE BOOM REPEAT 2 V6 ~, U: Z( u

& e4 y) W1 r/ z# NHe also doesn't see a repeat of the 2006 price boom in the resale market, which he described as "unsustainable."
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" t* ?2 k, ^# l% @! [Expect a more gentle 10% increase - mainly because many potential buyers are now being priced out of the market - even with zero down payment and 40-year mortgages. ' f1 c! ]4 ^9 A; M4 H2 u
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Over at ComFree Edmonton, president Travis Holowach was also celebrating what he described as a "steaming red hot" real estate market, and another "record-setting" year for his commission-free real estate service. ! h9 ^8 _5 O9 |$ V% W
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His 2006 wind-up report shows 4,375 total sales and 5,721 new listings, up 74% from 2005 - clearly sucking up a lot of the inventory that would otherwise have gone to an EREB realtor. # }1 r) M8 F9 d- R6 }2 i

/ M+ d" L3 ^' \  i"Our growing presence in the marketplace is having a strong impact on the competition," Holowach winked. * ~6 F; T, Y4 d  N  @# P7 J

& v+ @& M: O; O6 t7 j6 X9 Z' J" pSo strong that the Alberta Real Estate Association launched a complaint with Alberta Government Services claiming ComFree was bending the truth about its market share. + d6 P8 J2 X( o* Y+ E! C
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Yesterday ComFree was still claiming 30% share of the residential market. And "commissions saved" of $82 million from his sell-it-yourself operation. Which, of course, is what the battle is really all about. 6 @4 i' H2 U& F; J: q

( d# x9 ~" F* }"We do 95% of the sales in the real estate market," Pratt countered. 5 x. Y/ x- c; ~  p* H/ i& s* K

) u. J  x9 m2 t# L. }6 ]- P+ OLet the good times roll.
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Previous story: Bottom Line5 s; a. l9 M" I" q, K# J$ B
Next story: Building permits hit record
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发表于 2007-1-11 20:36 | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2007-1-12 20:00 | 显示全部楼层
大型搬家
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发表于 2007-1-14 18:29 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
房价涨, 那么地税也一定会涨吗?
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发表于 2007-1-14 18:44 | 显示全部楼层

Everyone should buy another house as you can have 15% return in a year.

It sounds a very good investment.
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发表于 2007-1-14 22:48 | 显示全部楼层
Where is 醉酒 ?
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