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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑
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Signature Market Roundup
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0 a9 k) y: e8 G. ~! B! U# U3 aEric Bushell% U+ i5 c6 V V, I2 ^% K; g
Senior Vice-President,2 W! v; O6 N$ X- m7 ]# R
Portfolio Management
9 Z1 S$ ~4 {1 A _: }- Cand Chief Investment Officer4 _0 b( s! o4 e' U& G
* {. Y2 d, ]* t* j) {8 T! U4 r自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets+ |6 g6 I6 ~( `/ y! B
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase, Z- V2 M" [2 M) p0 l
ran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the" R8 u7 @! M/ }- H/ C) u; ?0 |/ K
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second
0 S5 o" q& r$ E* H9 {, i7 F' k* @phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an
5 N5 a0 J( {, y9 i# |: {$ v5 N5 munconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September5 X# F. Z5 j5 U8 L) G: i, V4 [ W
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble
) r. ]5 U, b0 e0 d {0 T$ Zfor real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
# }2 s# s. \$ Z3 k7 \- _; Land equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects5 G4 {0 M0 b3 _( d* s6 _6 s
for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through
m) J% d- o1 V: tU.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond" P; G# @( M! s8 y
markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened- }" q$ [* {$ R* z
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more4 A" f8 m7 F8 |. j/ {7 W
neutral risk positioning. |
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