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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑
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& a; _! Q g1 N7 b4 a5 oSignature Market Roundup
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2 ?. H' p/ `" g$ |) i; GEric Bushell$ C! B! I; }5 D
Senior Vice-President,
/ b9 e2 Z- b; @3 hPortfolio Management9 n) i; T6 Z1 c: J; Z
and Chief Investment Officer
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自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。' w4 j. r* d2 e( z% ^
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets
9 g' \, H5 t* v; e. rmay be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
O, T0 x, X) {$ o" d7 F% b qran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the
2 I& E! W+ e2 ]# t6 x9 yEuropean sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second u' k; Q. N5 u( @8 |* }, e
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an5 a- S, ^/ \: N4 K4 U7 C
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September. U2 @2 T( |8 d1 f
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble. K$ {0 L# w3 O
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
$ a/ F1 h) L' k9 ^6 D0 Aand equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects/ R0 Y1 F) e* i
for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through6 C, @! L9 ^3 e' c6 [
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
) f5 {( x+ t3 C9 S$ h$ w2 \markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened: a2 g* w7 E8 Y' }# V
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more
; X& t% y( _& u+ p$ jneutral risk positioning. |
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