埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告

老杨

埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告

                            ——9月市场平稳，消费者静观其变

本文来源于http://www.ereb.com/MarketActivity/LatestMarketAnalysis.html，中英文有异议之处请以英文为准。
+ Y9 |+ Y0 G6 \8 Y
2010年10月4日埃德蒙顿消息：进入今年最后一个季度，埃德蒙顿房价平稳，没有大的波动。9月份，独立屋的价格几乎与8月持平，康兜（Condo）的价格在经历了四个月的下跌之后，9月略有回升。与8月相比，9月份的上市量和成交量都有所下降。

“市场好像正在休整期”，埃德蒙顿房地产经纪协会主席Larry Westergard表示，“在经历了过去几年的震荡，买家疯狂抢购的非理性期之后，消费者们现在显得理智和冷静，静观下一步的市场动态”。目前，市场仍有8,600个单元待售，买家有足够的选择空间。

% X! l$ X' k+ o9月份，独立屋的平均价格为$370,653；而康兜（Condo）的价格，在连续四个月下降之后开始反弹，均价为$238,822，升高了近1%，但仍然没有达到4月份拐点的小高峰$252,728；丢普莱克斯（duplex）和排屋（rowhouse）的成交均价为$313,462，下降了11%，但是这类房型的总成交量小，代表性差，所以每月波动很大；而各类房型的成交均价为$326,499，较上月下降了近0.25%。

9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元，成交量略低于上月，新上市房屋为2,688个单元，挂牌销售比为47%，房屋从挂牌上市到售出所需平均时间与上月没有变化，仍然为57天。

$ [" E! Z: Z+ S4 b! V# G“第三季度的市场活动，与第一季度相比几乎没有什么变化”，Westergard说，“第三季度成交量较第二季度有所回落，但仍然好于第一季度的水平，这显示了上半年的市场充满活力，深受宏观经济形势走强的感染，同时也受到了加息的威胁。”

September 2010 activity	Record for                 the month*	% change from ( U2 Y" z2 i; Y) ~* F                September                2009
Total MLS® System sales this month	1,379	-27.30%
Value of total MLS® System sales - month	$450 million	-26.50%
Value of total MLS® System sales - year	$4.94 billion	-11.50%
Residential¹  sales this month	1,187	-23.20%
Residential average price	$326,499	0%
SFD² average selling   price - month	$370,653	0.70%
SFD median³ selling   price	$348,000	0.55%
Condo average selling price	$238,822	-3.10%

          ¹. Residential includes SFD, condos and duplex/row houses.
². Single Family Dwelling
) S! }& V1 Z  Z, d, u2 j, [³. The middle figure in a list of all sales prices
4 }, H8 a4 |4 p, P          * Average prices indicate market trends only. They do not reflect            actual prices, which vary from house to house and area to area. For            information on a specific area, contact your local REALTOR®.

老杨

我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平，或者略有上升”，而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元，成交量略低于上月”，这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。
+ e% ^$ a8 |( h, a
上个月的报告说“8月份各类住宅成交量为1,195个单元”，这个月的报告说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元”，看起来9月份比8月份成交量减少了8套，但8月份有31天而9月份有30天，哪么8月份每天的成交量等于38.55，而9月份每天的成交量等于39.57，也就是说9月份每天比8月份多成交一套房子。
- Z$ I% B. Q3 w) F+ h
3 y: ^* ?, ~9 v2 K* B小明第一次考试90分，第二次考试80分，第三次考试70分，第四次考试70分。在我看来，小明的第四次考试成绩没有继续下滑，说明了一定的问题。

天上明珠

哈哈，那是时候买还是卖？

Hills

Sell a house. Worry about house bubble.

翠花

我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平，或者略有上升”，而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元，成交量略低于上月”，这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。

上个月的报告说“8月 ...
老杨 发表于 2010-10-4 17:31

' x2 H& Q; y) Z# q3 p# W

算得这么细，肯定是借外脑了，是不是请酷暑帮你算的？

catty

统计口径差别大，Bob Truman个人统计：
Sep 382,273 350,000
Aug 392,082 357,500

solo0606

老朱

分享！

翠花

不止是有点暖，是高烧～
/ B; n  L9 G" l. K4 Q
; q2 r% t; _; M& whttp://www.edmontonjournal.com/b ... ?cid=megadrop_story


1 r/ l; Y; {5 l# B. J& V8 OEdmonton sees 26% spike in luxury-home sales
High-end houses defy real estate cooling trend


EDMONTON — While homebuying activity is cooling in Edmonton, luxury-home sales are picking up, says a new national report by ReMax.
( G: V# @5 k" z! \6 L3 m9 N( }$ @' j
0 U- }" g: B6 ^$ U( t“One area of the market that has outperformed all others is the upper end,” said the ReMax Market Trends Report Fall 2010 released Tuesday.

. p2 j1 [, B) I9 A  p# v- iSales of homes priced more than $700,000 are up 26 per cent over 2009, with 240 upscale properties changing hands as of August, compared to 190 units for the same period last year, it said.

Fifty-five homes in the Edmonton area have sold for more than $1 million.
' U1 L. ~* k0 N: m* {0 a, n
The urgency in Edmonton’s residential housing market — prompted by tighter lending policies and the threat of higher interest rates earlier in the year — has given way to more stable conditions heading into the fourth quarter of 2010, the report said.
' g0 S$ r. d+ p  L/ g+ |4 F
  _# J1 {: K+ V“Positive announcements in the oil and gas sector should spur renewed activity in residential real estate — as evidenced in the first few weeks of September.
/ v) I9 r) }7 y: s5 x
5 R+ }8 F+ [' ^7 r0 F“Despite recent hikes, interest rates remain attractive with a five-year closed hovering at four per cent. The outlook for the remainder of the year is stable, with no real fluctuations in either sales or price.”

Year-to-date sales have slipped 14 per cent to 11,773 units, compared to 13,694 during the same period a year earlier, the report said.

1 [$ g- K* A) [% ~The sales-to-listing ratio is now 47 per cent, down from 59 per cent in 2009, but up from 42 per cent in 2008.

* \( P4 u6 f8 k2 g( W3 x% iAverage price is holding steady, up about four cent to $332,789 in 2010, about $12,500, or 3.9 per cent, higher than a year ago when the residential average was $320,289, the report said.

Inventory levels are up marginally over last year, but down from peak levels reached in 2007 and 2008, ReMax said.

4 `* ]7 o! d9 Z! O) Q/ g“As a result, the housing market has been characterized as balanced, slightly favouring the buyer,” the report said.
8 o9 P/ \8 r. _- r$ P* T
% Q, e8 z3 S; x' `& c+ k; AFirst-time buyers in Edmonton remain most active, driving sales of single-family homes between $250,000 and $350,000. Condos represent 34 per cent of residential sales.
9 J- d# g6 L5 P/ }4 V
7 X. M, C% a: l) i. \  pAn influx of new units recently has pushed up supply, putting downward pressure on condo prices, according to the report. Tighter lending rules, requiring a 20-per-cent down payment, “is proving to be detrimental to investment activity.”
$ R8 ]/ P( x% H& w4 ^
! n' v* a. A+ R" {8 O, x# UThe report, which covered trends and developments in 19 major centres from January to August, found year-to-date sales ahead of 2009 levels in 11 markets.
- o( l& M) I' r  A9 p
# e+ L$ H  J* aPrices were up year-over-year in all cities, with five experiencing double-digit gains in 2010: Vancouver, St. John’s, Sudbury, Winnipeg and the Greater Toronto Area.

$ `' ?8 O6 d0 ~6 h4 d& @! o“We cleaned up in the first quarter of 2010 because housing activity during the same period one year earlier was dismal,” said Elton Ash, regional executive vice-president of ReMax, Western Canada.

5 J2 ^! d( ?1 V, W0 |% M“We’re now comparing the second half of the year to 2009 and falling short of expectations. Looking at the big picture however, the market remains healthy.”