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埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告

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鲜花(1394) 鸡蛋(16)
发表于 2010-10-4 16:19 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告" p- u9 I2 G" `5 {8 j2 Q

9 Z) K' ]! H7 v4 ^, p& J                            ——9月市场平稳,消费者静观其变
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本文来源于http://www.ereb.com/MarketActivity/LatestMarketAnalysis.html,中英文有异议之处请以英文为准。
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2010年10月4日埃德蒙顿消息:进入今年最后一个季度,埃德蒙顿房价平稳,没有大的波动。9月份,独立屋的价格几乎与8月持平,康兜(Condo)的价格在经历了四个月的下跌之后,9月略有回升。与8月相比,9月份的上市量和成交量都有所下降。
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6 T" B) k. \: q8 J5 T: Y1 W“市场好像正在休整期”,埃德蒙顿房地产经纪协会主席Larry Westergard表示,“在经历了过去几年的震荡,买家疯狂抢购的非理性期之后,消费者们现在显得理智和冷静,静观下一步的市场动态”。目前,市场仍有8,600个单元待售,买家有足够的选择空间。) Q2 K* @0 e0 y* t. E/ u3 a

5 B% f7 b% }3 j9 h9月份,独立屋的平均价格为$370,653;而康兜(Condo)的价格,在连续四个月下降之后开始反弹,均价为$238,822,升高了近1%,但仍然没有达到4月份拐点的小高峰$252,728;丢普莱克斯(duplex)和排屋(rowhouse)的成交均价为$313,462,下降了11%,但是这类房型的总成交量小,代表性差,所以每月波动很大;而各类房型的成交均价为$326,499,较上月下降了近0.25%。8 i* H; T  d( ^& ~& |
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9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元,成交量略低于上月,新上市房屋为2,688个单元,挂牌销售比为47%,房屋从挂牌上市到售出所需平均时间与上月没有变化,仍然为57天。
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; b+ `' [- B: T7 D0 w) e0 B: {- P“第三季度的市场活动,与第一季度相比几乎没有什么变化”,Westergard说,“第三季度成交量较第二季度有所回落,但仍然好于第一季度的水平,这显示了上半年的市场充满活力,深受宏观经济形势走强的感染,同时也受到了加息的威胁。”# I# o( F# W1 G/ {& t4 I
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September 2010 activityRecord for
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% change from4 W. V5 _2 \& l+ k, A8 p7 R$ l% _
                September                2009
Total MLS® System sales this month1,379-27.30%
Value of total MLS® System sales - month$450 million-26.50%
Value of total MLS® System sales - year$4.94 billion-11.50%
Residential¹  sales this month1,187-23.20%
Residential average price$326,4990%
SFD² average selling   price - month$370,6530.70%
SFD median³ selling   price$348,0000.55%
Condo average selling price$238,822-3.10%
          ¹. Residential includes SFD, condos and duplex/row houses.
; ~/ ?! i1 Q) q$ N². Single Family Dwelling
# B9 S+ L/ U0 g/ H- g$ T. I6 Q³. The middle figure in a list of all sales prices
8 h4 J, g2 x; o( R          * Average prices indicate market trends only. They do not reflect            actual prices, which vary from house to house and area to area. For            information on a specific area, contact your local REALTOR®.
鲜花(1394) 鸡蛋(16)
 楼主| 发表于 2010-10-4 16:31 | 显示全部楼层
我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平,或者略有上升”,而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元,成交量略低于上月”,这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。' Q# D4 H; G8 n
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上个月的报告说“8月份各类住宅成交量为1,195个单元”,这个月的报告说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元”,看起来9月份比8月份成交量减少了8套,但8月份有31天而9月份有30天,哪么8月份每天的成交量等于38.55,而9月份每天的成交量等于39.57,也就是说9月份每天比8月份多成交一套房子。
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# F# w( _# X! b, f9 _$ w2 g' P5 C) R小明第一次考试90分,第二次考试80分,第三次考试70分,第四次考试70分。在我看来,小明的第四次考试成绩没有继续下滑,说明了一定的问题。
鲜花(1269) 鸡蛋(4)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:03 | 显示全部楼层
哈哈,那是时候买还是卖?
鲜花(25) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:11 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
Sell a house. Worry about house bubble.
鲜花(150) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:16 | 显示全部楼层
我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平,或者略有上升”,而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元,成交量略低于上月”,这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。
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/ g6 j! |& Q4 B) p" p3 L上个月的报告说“8月 ...0 S6 N$ x" L& e  N
老杨 发表于 2010-10-4 17:31

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6 I. B) ]7 z( }. \* N算得这么细,肯定是借外脑了,是不是请酷暑帮你算的?
鲜花(34) 鸡蛋(5)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:31 | 显示全部楼层
统计口径差别大,Bob Truman个人统计:/ q3 C+ @4 ^! o, L( t' z  j& _
Sep 382,273 350,0003 M/ K$ D1 L+ F
Aug 392,082 357,500
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-5 11:24 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
鲜花(5) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-5 11:54 | 显示全部楼层
分享!
鲜花(150) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-5 12:21 | 显示全部楼层
不止是有点暖,是高烧~
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. ]  m& x$ e9 z6 `http://www.edmontonjournal.com/b ... ?cid=megadrop_story" f) q: G! ^0 x& z, T$ M& o
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Edmonton sees 26% spike in luxury-home sales
3 a7 X) U/ }3 P. N0 k2 H6 ^3 | High-end houses defy real estate cooling trend
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EDMONTON — While homebuying activity is cooling in Edmonton, luxury-home sales are picking up, says a new national report by ReMax.
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. q+ y* h. F" M) p( u& ~“One area of the market that has outperformed all others is the upper end,” said the ReMax Market Trends Report Fall 2010 released Tuesday.0 l# L( P8 o$ S" A( `/ U4 c; a

0 C# u9 M; @9 T# D! q3 C/ m- PSales of homes priced more than $700,000 are up 26 per cent over 2009, with 240 upscale properties changing hands as of August, compared to 190 units for the same period last year, it said.
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9 q) o& S  L/ M+ ~9 e! k- v, t  MFifty-five homes in the Edmonton area have sold for more than $1 million.% a( `0 W/ ]: `+ g

/ g& Q6 C& K- G7 p) A# nThe urgency in Edmonton’s residential housing market — prompted by tighter lending policies and the threat of higher interest rates earlier in the year — has given way to more stable conditions heading into the fourth quarter of 2010, the report said.
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“Positive announcements in the oil and gas sector should spur renewed activity in residential real estate — as evidenced in the first few weeks of September. 4 ^# W8 ]. l' _
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“Despite recent hikes, interest rates remain attractive with a five-year closed hovering at four per cent. The outlook for the remainder of the year is stable, with no real fluctuations in either sales or price.”* ~4 p& k) G, i' o/ B! x
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Year-to-date sales have slipped 14 per cent to 11,773 units, compared to 13,694 during the same period a year earlier, the report said.. ^9 G! W7 W& _* U& ]
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The sales-to-listing ratio is now 47 per cent, down from 59 per cent in 2009, but up from 42 per cent in 2008.
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Average price is holding steady, up about four cent to $332,789 in 2010, about $12,500, or 3.9 per cent, higher than a year ago when the residential average was $320,289, the report said.
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Inventory levels are up marginally over last year, but down from peak levels reached in 2007 and 2008, ReMax said., u  A* I( j. t7 G- R
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“As a result, the housing market has been characterized as balanced, slightly favouring the buyer,” the report said.
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, B, u* N, I9 U9 b4 C9 uFirst-time buyers in Edmonton remain most active, driving sales of single-family homes between $250,000 and $350,000. Condos represent 34 per cent of residential sales.
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An influx of new units recently has pushed up supply, putting downward pressure on condo prices, according to the report. Tighter lending rules, requiring a 20-per-cent down payment, “is proving to be detrimental to investment activity.”
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! E$ s4 N8 n* ~2 B1 \The report, which covered trends and developments in 19 major centres from January to August, found year-to-date sales ahead of 2009 levels in 11 markets.7 M5 `8 e& x9 q5 N9 I) b

8 m; g- k/ G- O! [Prices were up year-over-year in all cities, with five experiencing double-digit gains in 2010: Vancouver, St. John’s, Sudbury, Winnipeg and the Greater Toronto Area.( x( O( v: U2 x$ J+ X  H
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“We cleaned up in the first quarter of 2010 because housing activity during the same period one year earlier was dismal,” said Elton Ash, regional executive vice-president of ReMax, Western Canada.& w4 W0 _: T9 M3 z
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“We’re now comparing the second half of the year to 2009 and falling short of expectations. Looking at the big picture however, the market remains healthy.”
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