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埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告

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鲜花(1394) 鸡蛋(16)
发表于 2010-10-4 16:19 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告0 n- [- g  T! p# _
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                            ——9月市场平稳,消费者静观其变1 M# `) W) D9 O; A. m- z* W
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本文来源于http://www.ereb.com/MarketActivity/LatestMarketAnalysis.html,中英文有异议之处请以英文为准。
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2010年10月4日埃德蒙顿消息:进入今年最后一个季度,埃德蒙顿房价平稳,没有大的波动。9月份,独立屋的价格几乎与8月持平,康兜(Condo)的价格在经历了四个月的下跌之后,9月略有回升。与8月相比,9月份的上市量和成交量都有所下降。1 v9 B/ P7 l$ h6 b2 m
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“市场好像正在休整期”,埃德蒙顿房地产经纪协会主席Larry Westergard表示,“在经历了过去几年的震荡,买家疯狂抢购的非理性期之后,消费者们现在显得理智和冷静,静观下一步的市场动态”。目前,市场仍有8,600个单元待售,买家有足够的选择空间。  R8 v, Z! {, X( Y9 O
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9月份,独立屋的平均价格为$370,653;而康兜(Condo)的价格,在连续四个月下降之后开始反弹,均价为$238,822,升高了近1%,但仍然没有达到4月份拐点的小高峰$252,728;丢普莱克斯(duplex)和排屋(rowhouse)的成交均价为$313,462,下降了11%,但是这类房型的总成交量小,代表性差,所以每月波动很大;而各类房型的成交均价为$326,499,较上月下降了近0.25%。0 D& `6 K& ]+ n! P

9 I' ]% s/ b- ]# C" @( D: r, [9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元,成交量略低于上月,新上市房屋为2,688个单元,挂牌销售比为47%,房屋从挂牌上市到售出所需平均时间与上月没有变化,仍然为57天。; ~; w/ k5 ?" W/ T& l8 V7 @9 K, Z7 F

7 u9 O6 Z/ ]) L. S“第三季度的市场活动,与第一季度相比几乎没有什么变化”,Westergard说,“第三季度成交量较第二季度有所回落,但仍然好于第一季度的水平,这显示了上半年的市场充满活力,深受宏观经济形势走强的感染,同时也受到了加息的威胁。”
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September 2010 activityRecord for$ Q0 v  x: C: g  j% z! w# U0 j8 [
                the month*
% change from
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Total MLS® System sales this month1,379-27.30%
Value of total MLS® System sales - month$450 million-26.50%
Value of total MLS® System sales - year$4.94 billion-11.50%
Residential¹  sales this month1,187-23.20%
Residential average price$326,4990%
SFD² average selling   price - month$370,6530.70%
SFD median³ selling   price$348,0000.55%
Condo average selling price$238,822-3.10%
          ¹. Residential includes SFD, condos and duplex/row houses.
8 S$ Y7 w  i) T². Single Family Dwelling1 `3 G" {. V' }
³. The middle figure in a list of all sales prices
, E9 P2 [) C  G: d- R$ L          * Average prices indicate market trends only. They do not reflect            actual prices, which vary from house to house and area to area. For            information on a specific area, contact your local REALTOR®.
鲜花(1394) 鸡蛋(16)
 楼主| 发表于 2010-10-4 16:31 | 显示全部楼层
我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平,或者略有上升”,而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元,成交量略低于上月”,这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。
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0 `5 e. @4 p( z8 x上个月的报告说“8月份各类住宅成交量为1,195个单元”,这个月的报告说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元”,看起来9月份比8月份成交量减少了8套,但8月份有31天而9月份有30天,哪么8月份每天的成交量等于38.55,而9月份每天的成交量等于39.57,也就是说9月份每天比8月份多成交一套房子。
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$ L: @/ X5 v" u* W: M: s/ z  u, J) {小明第一次考试90分,第二次考试80分,第三次考试70分,第四次考试70分。在我看来,小明的第四次考试成绩没有继续下滑,说明了一定的问题。
鲜花(1269) 鸡蛋(4)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:03 | 显示全部楼层
哈哈,那是时候买还是卖?
鲜花(25) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:11 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
Sell a house. Worry about house bubble.
理袁律师事务所
鲜花(150) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:16 | 显示全部楼层
我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平,或者略有上升”,而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元,成交量略低于上月”,这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。( I; y! ]2 }* \3 m& t7 s7 V9 [! v

2 g. _! c, p/ d4 g1 p5 S* |上个月的报告说“8月 ...  p/ f( z0 E+ E7 \5 ]
老杨 发表于 2010-10-4 17:31
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" [6 [  t& m+ C8 d! k: h算得这么细,肯定是借外脑了,是不是请酷暑帮你算的?
鲜花(34) 鸡蛋(5)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:31 | 显示全部楼层
统计口径差别大,Bob Truman个人统计:7 A7 O) u4 O% m
Sep 382,273 350,0006 y. q/ R4 t0 T7 ?# m* Y
Aug 392,082 357,500
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-5 11:24 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
鲜花(5) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-5 11:54 | 显示全部楼层
分享!
理袁律师事务所
鲜花(150) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-5 12:21 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
不止是有点暖,是高烧~2 c: |" `3 ?) q$ ^/ T  o' B
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http://www.edmontonjournal.com/b ... ?cid=megadrop_story! m2 c: N4 d% P, S/ l5 ]

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, P' ^( [- u! t. G: Y0 `! CEdmonton sees 26% spike in luxury-home sales5 \" H6 }3 W$ \6 C" Q7 A' y, A
High-end houses defy real estate cooling trend
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EDMONTON — While homebuying activity is cooling in Edmonton, luxury-home sales are picking up, says a new national report by ReMax.
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. E  G+ B/ Q5 v+ C' ?“One area of the market that has outperformed all others is the upper end,” said the ReMax Market Trends Report Fall 2010 released Tuesday.& j3 f# b: S) Q9 E! r( s% t: p7 r
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Sales of homes priced more than $700,000 are up 26 per cent over 2009, with 240 upscale properties changing hands as of August, compared to 190 units for the same period last year, it said.
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: V% i2 r2 x6 l  I  S: @1 J$ AFifty-five homes in the Edmonton area have sold for more than $1 million.6 W0 C5 x* k) O& n+ g

  |4 }5 u) n: L7 X0 ?8 _" JThe urgency in Edmonton’s residential housing market — prompted by tighter lending policies and the threat of higher interest rates earlier in the year — has given way to more stable conditions heading into the fourth quarter of 2010, the report said.( p( U' k& W( T1 V% s6 J

" X1 ^7 ^0 l+ y“Positive announcements in the oil and gas sector should spur renewed activity in residential real estate — as evidenced in the first few weeks of September.
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“Despite recent hikes, interest rates remain attractive with a five-year closed hovering at four per cent. The outlook for the remainder of the year is stable, with no real fluctuations in either sales or price.”3 g4 ~5 R- k, t. O9 n/ Y
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Year-to-date sales have slipped 14 per cent to 11,773 units, compared to 13,694 during the same period a year earlier, the report said.& b2 k2 M; e; P9 d& @/ p" A
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The sales-to-listing ratio is now 47 per cent, down from 59 per cent in 2009, but up from 42 per cent in 2008.( g/ n( r& G$ O6 c) t" ]- ]2 S: Y

' z# `7 W% [5 O$ {9 r( XAverage price is holding steady, up about four cent to $332,789 in 2010, about $12,500, or 3.9 per cent, higher than a year ago when the residential average was $320,289, the report said.7 k% E/ k4 B" K

! Q* k0 W) A  j- }) q8 WInventory levels are up marginally over last year, but down from peak levels reached in 2007 and 2008, ReMax said.! y# e$ A' D- P+ j

. I2 b2 X8 q+ H8 i. A& O“As a result, the housing market has been characterized as balanced, slightly favouring the buyer,” the report said.
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) z# v- D8 _+ |9 K- gFirst-time buyers in Edmonton remain most active, driving sales of single-family homes between $250,000 and $350,000. Condos represent 34 per cent of residential sales.
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An influx of new units recently has pushed up supply, putting downward pressure on condo prices, according to the report. Tighter lending rules, requiring a 20-per-cent down payment, “is proving to be detrimental to investment activity.”
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: I. M! R  n2 {' K1 E! _The report, which covered trends and developments in 19 major centres from January to August, found year-to-date sales ahead of 2009 levels in 11 markets.
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. W; h2 _0 @+ ]: U7 @9 T/ }8 mPrices were up year-over-year in all cities, with five experiencing double-digit gains in 2010: Vancouver, St. John’s, Sudbury, Winnipeg and the Greater Toronto Area.
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“We cleaned up in the first quarter of 2010 because housing activity during the same period one year earlier was dismal,” said Elton Ash, regional executive vice-president of ReMax, Western Canada./ q, C' q3 l( t6 |7 ~

! U+ o( R  \5 x1 \$ ]- }“We’re now comparing the second half of the year to 2009 and falling short of expectations. Looking at the big picture however, the market remains healthy.”
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