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埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告

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鲜花(1394) 鸡蛋(16)
发表于 2010-10-4 16:19 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告
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                            ——9月市场平稳,消费者静观其变! V7 @; A# u/ L" m* y% E

/ D0 Y! Y2 z9 ^: G( [本文来源于http://www.ereb.com/MarketActivity/LatestMarketAnalysis.html,中英文有异议之处请以英文为准。
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2010年10月4日埃德蒙顿消息:进入今年最后一个季度,埃德蒙顿房价平稳,没有大的波动。9月份,独立屋的价格几乎与8月持平,康兜(Condo)的价格在经历了四个月的下跌之后,9月略有回升。与8月相比,9月份的上市量和成交量都有所下降。
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/ ?/ a6 e+ A- _7 G; B“市场好像正在休整期”,埃德蒙顿房地产经纪协会主席Larry Westergard表示,“在经历了过去几年的震荡,买家疯狂抢购的非理性期之后,消费者们现在显得理智和冷静,静观下一步的市场动态”。目前,市场仍有8,600个单元待售,买家有足够的选择空间。$ c& P: H5 q! m2 I! w3 M

) D, ]& e: ^1 |8 `1 T- Y9月份,独立屋的平均价格为$370,653;而康兜(Condo)的价格,在连续四个月下降之后开始反弹,均价为$238,822,升高了近1%,但仍然没有达到4月份拐点的小高峰$252,728;丢普莱克斯(duplex)和排屋(rowhouse)的成交均价为$313,462,下降了11%,但是这类房型的总成交量小,代表性差,所以每月波动很大;而各类房型的成交均价为$326,499,较上月下降了近0.25%。' F: N4 T+ f2 ^- Q3 ]  c$ i! Q

6 W  y1 l) E! X1 x' a( P9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元,成交量略低于上月,新上市房屋为2,688个单元,挂牌销售比为47%,房屋从挂牌上市到售出所需平均时间与上月没有变化,仍然为57天。. i" V( ^* z  ^; S% n7 b. d+ }

+ q' h7 K7 r+ H8 J1 H0 p7 X% z“第三季度的市场活动,与第一季度相比几乎没有什么变化”,Westergard说,“第三季度成交量较第二季度有所回落,但仍然好于第一季度的水平,这显示了上半年的市场充满活力,深受宏观经济形势走强的感染,同时也受到了加息的威胁。”5 c3 G# H- @, w6 u: K0 p5 B7 w

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September 2010 activityRecord for8 q& r3 Z! x! s+ ?. j- d5 ]
                the month*
% change from9 v' d( [# i7 C' l; z8 V& b
                September                2009
Total MLS® System sales this month1,379-27.30%
Value of total MLS® System sales - month$450 million-26.50%
Value of total MLS® System sales - year$4.94 billion-11.50%
Residential¹  sales this month1,187-23.20%
Residential average price$326,4990%
SFD² average selling   price - month$370,6530.70%
SFD median³ selling   price$348,0000.55%
Condo average selling price$238,822-3.10%
          ¹. Residential includes SFD, condos and duplex/row houses.2 E# s  i( m& Q$ L/ A$ z
². Single Family Dwelling% e* ~3 n3 [# s" f  Q, l* q
³. The middle figure in a list of all sales prices / Y- G; S( J6 |8 q) Z' P; z
          * Average prices indicate market trends only. They do not reflect            actual prices, which vary from house to house and area to area. For            information on a specific area, contact your local REALTOR®.
鲜花(1394) 鸡蛋(16)
 楼主| 发表于 2010-10-4 16:31 | 显示全部楼层
我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平,或者略有上升”,而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元,成交量略低于上月”,这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。0 K" w4 x; K$ @

3 ~, f# s. w: [+ _上个月的报告说“8月份各类住宅成交量为1,195个单元”,这个月的报告说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元”,看起来9月份比8月份成交量减少了8套,但8月份有31天而9月份有30天,哪么8月份每天的成交量等于38.55,而9月份每天的成交量等于39.57,也就是说9月份每天比8月份多成交一套房子。
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小明第一次考试90分,第二次考试80分,第三次考试70分,第四次考试70分。在我看来,小明的第四次考试成绩没有继续下滑,说明了一定的问题。
鲜花(1269) 鸡蛋(4)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:03 | 显示全部楼层
哈哈,那是时候买还是卖?
鲜花(25) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:11 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
Sell a house. Worry about house bubble.
鲜花(150) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:16 | 显示全部楼层
我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平,或者略有上升”,而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元,成交量略低于上月”,这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。
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1 }% }# H# G+ G* [% P7 Y$ d+ B上个月的报告说“8月 ...6 Y$ }8 z5 k3 x; g' B
老杨 发表于 2010-10-4 17:31
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算得这么细,肯定是借外脑了,是不是请酷暑帮你算的?
鲜花(34) 鸡蛋(5)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:31 | 显示全部楼层
统计口径差别大,Bob Truman个人统计:" p/ y# C0 L( Z
Sep 382,273 350,0003 \" o# @. K% T; _
Aug 392,082 357,500
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-5 11:24 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
鲜花(5) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-5 11:54 | 显示全部楼层
分享!
鲜花(150) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-5 12:21 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
不止是有点暖,是高烧~
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- Z7 x) I2 \$ Q$ C- r% `, Qhttp://www.edmontonjournal.com/b ... ?cid=megadrop_story7 {9 j, r- W) c0 _

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Edmonton sees 26% spike in luxury-home sales& K0 r- }' X; ^# v2 Y% O( n0 L
High-end houses defy real estate cooling trend
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EDMONTON — While homebuying activity is cooling in Edmonton, luxury-home sales are picking up, says a new national report by ReMax., R1 L- [# R, K$ a' v/ c

9 c  g+ d4 o& a+ o4 s“One area of the market that has outperformed all others is the upper end,” said the ReMax Market Trends Report Fall 2010 released Tuesday.) q0 C. f- K8 I8 r
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Sales of homes priced more than $700,000 are up 26 per cent over 2009, with 240 upscale properties changing hands as of August, compared to 190 units for the same period last year, it said. / l9 B5 r) |; u( G
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Fifty-five homes in the Edmonton area have sold for more than $1 million.- s, F: w7 f* i! x, P! z+ F

. @5 A9 i- e' i) P4 E  R# eThe urgency in Edmonton’s residential housing market — prompted by tighter lending policies and the threat of higher interest rates earlier in the year — has given way to more stable conditions heading into the fourth quarter of 2010, the report said.+ p& _0 d" T  y- }1 z

/ J( e) C# N' M5 [+ V“Positive announcements in the oil and gas sector should spur renewed activity in residential real estate — as evidenced in the first few weeks of September.
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5 }5 _  P$ q  q9 i/ L2 x1 ^“Despite recent hikes, interest rates remain attractive with a five-year closed hovering at four per cent. The outlook for the remainder of the year is stable, with no real fluctuations in either sales or price.”
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& K! h& z8 P, a" [0 P2 W- @Year-to-date sales have slipped 14 per cent to 11,773 units, compared to 13,694 during the same period a year earlier, the report said.
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The sales-to-listing ratio is now 47 per cent, down from 59 per cent in 2009, but up from 42 per cent in 2008.; d/ Z1 W- T/ C2 v" N- g  O

& D" ^( O. D/ C, c) M$ A' \Average price is holding steady, up about four cent to $332,789 in 2010, about $12,500, or 3.9 per cent, higher than a year ago when the residential average was $320,289, the report said.$ {5 G) U/ Z6 x" i8 V# ~- m( a
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Inventory levels are up marginally over last year, but down from peak levels reached in 2007 and 2008, ReMax said.
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“As a result, the housing market has been characterized as balanced, slightly favouring the buyer,” the report said.+ k! p# u6 o" {+ C% y

0 q; P+ L9 g" S: l3 U$ VFirst-time buyers in Edmonton remain most active, driving sales of single-family homes between $250,000 and $350,000. Condos represent 34 per cent of residential sales.
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An influx of new units recently has pushed up supply, putting downward pressure on condo prices, according to the report. Tighter lending rules, requiring a 20-per-cent down payment, “is proving to be detrimental to investment activity.”
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6 ^- k1 I. y7 yThe report, which covered trends and developments in 19 major centres from January to August, found year-to-date sales ahead of 2009 levels in 11 markets.+ }7 W  c0 X, f/ }5 k) q# f  d

0 R/ y$ X& P2 d8 p% KPrices were up year-over-year in all cities, with five experiencing double-digit gains in 2010: Vancouver, St. John’s, Sudbury, Winnipeg and the Greater Toronto Area.4 W5 D( @% E6 Y/ u6 j8 Q4 K6 t
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“We cleaned up in the first quarter of 2010 because housing activity during the same period one year earlier was dismal,” said Elton Ash, regional executive vice-president of ReMax, Western Canada.  H; t7 I% L" r% N1 R
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“We’re now comparing the second half of the year to 2009 and falling short of expectations. Looking at the big picture however, the market remains healthy.”
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