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埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告

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鲜花(1394) 鸡蛋(16)
发表于 2010-10-4 16:19 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告* P( v! H1 c# |7 A0 ]

. A7 w) k. j/ X. {% G                            ——9月市场平稳,消费者静观其变
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8 p  M0 u9 u5 m; [- r本文来源于http://www.ereb.com/MarketActivity/LatestMarketAnalysis.html,中英文有异议之处请以英文为准。, q6 }2 {$ c" j1 ?9 `2 ?
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2010年10月4日埃德蒙顿消息:进入今年最后一个季度,埃德蒙顿房价平稳,没有大的波动。9月份,独立屋的价格几乎与8月持平,康兜(Condo)的价格在经历了四个月的下跌之后,9月略有回升。与8月相比,9月份的上市量和成交量都有所下降。
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  B. R% u6 ]3 W/ ]2 Q“市场好像正在休整期”,埃德蒙顿房地产经纪协会主席Larry Westergard表示,“在经历了过去几年的震荡,买家疯狂抢购的非理性期之后,消费者们现在显得理智和冷静,静观下一步的市场动态”。目前,市场仍有8,600个单元待售,买家有足够的选择空间。
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9月份,独立屋的平均价格为$370,653;而康兜(Condo)的价格,在连续四个月下降之后开始反弹,均价为$238,822,升高了近1%,但仍然没有达到4月份拐点的小高峰$252,728;丢普莱克斯(duplex)和排屋(rowhouse)的成交均价为$313,462,下降了11%,但是这类房型的总成交量小,代表性差,所以每月波动很大;而各类房型的成交均价为$326,499,较上月下降了近0.25%。: k; a: i. M9 ~6 n: X  X

# s- G! V8 m4 Z: d, s5 C9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元,成交量略低于上月,新上市房屋为2,688个单元,挂牌销售比为47%,房屋从挂牌上市到售出所需平均时间与上月没有变化,仍然为57天。0 H9 M7 P5 u! r1 p% U
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“第三季度的市场活动,与第一季度相比几乎没有什么变化”,Westergard说,“第三季度成交量较第二季度有所回落,但仍然好于第一季度的水平,这显示了上半年的市场充满活力,深受宏观经济形势走强的感染,同时也受到了加息的威胁。”1 ]; I' w6 j% j  v) ]7 R

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September 2010 activityRecord for5 v. F! J3 K/ B3 p4 |& g) e; @7 }
                the month*
% change from& ]5 \9 h7 g1 o  i
                September                2009
Total MLS® System sales this month1,379-27.30%
Value of total MLS® System sales - month$450 million-26.50%
Value of total MLS® System sales - year$4.94 billion-11.50%
Residential¹  sales this month1,187-23.20%
Residential average price$326,4990%
SFD² average selling   price - month$370,6530.70%
SFD median³ selling   price$348,0000.55%
Condo average selling price$238,822-3.10%
          ¹. Residential includes SFD, condos and duplex/row houses.
. |4 X  B; s9 o  H. B. `2 i². Single Family Dwelling
. h& J! L; S9 }0 L% D4 K; V³. The middle figure in a list of all sales prices
" }) Z: L1 q6 C( _' d7 {          * Average prices indicate market trends only. They do not reflect            actual prices, which vary from house to house and area to area. For            information on a specific area, contact your local REALTOR®.
鲜花(1394) 鸡蛋(16)
 楼主| 发表于 2010-10-4 16:31 | 显示全部楼层
我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平,或者略有上升”,而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元,成交量略低于上月”,这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。
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上个月的报告说“8月份各类住宅成交量为1,195个单元”,这个月的报告说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元”,看起来9月份比8月份成交量减少了8套,但8月份有31天而9月份有30天,哪么8月份每天的成交量等于38.55,而9月份每天的成交量等于39.57,也就是说9月份每天比8月份多成交一套房子。
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, ]3 w1 U+ |' `" _; k4 A0 U! ~2 @小明第一次考试90分,第二次考试80分,第三次考试70分,第四次考试70分。在我看来,小明的第四次考试成绩没有继续下滑,说明了一定的问题。
鲜花(1269) 鸡蛋(4)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:03 | 显示全部楼层
哈哈,那是时候买还是卖?
鲜花(25) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:11 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
Sell a house. Worry about house bubble.
鲜花(150) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:16 | 显示全部楼层
我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平,或者略有上升”,而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元,成交量略低于上月”,这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。
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! @8 @7 ^4 j( t1 u$ Q) q; c9 ~上个月的报告说“8月 ...
* E- A# t: ?" n, I* \) U老杨 发表于 2010-10-4 17:31
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3 Y! S# F! N" \算得这么细,肯定是借外脑了,是不是请酷暑帮你算的?
鲜花(34) 鸡蛋(5)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:31 | 显示全部楼层
统计口径差别大,Bob Truman个人统计:
+ Y! Q, K8 I; p4 h" V: B& KSep 382,273 350,000
* B) y/ N7 T& Z" X1 e$ Y5 b  n  JAug 392,082 357,500
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-5 11:24 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
鲜花(5) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-5 11:54 | 显示全部楼层
分享!
鲜花(150) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-5 12:21 | 显示全部楼层
不止是有点暖,是高烧~! C" Z9 y& S! \: F8 v% `5 F

/ o4 a: D6 @. P& \( V+ t, ~- Bhttp://www.edmontonjournal.com/b ... ?cid=megadrop_story
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( {3 Q* }9 D- WEdmonton sees 26% spike in luxury-home sales
  b/ e. n& A4 {* O' @# T6 X5 { High-end houses defy real estate cooling trend3 a& k2 L2 j1 f; Q7 m2 F
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/ ?  F1 v8 q( V% MEDMONTON — While homebuying activity is cooling in Edmonton, luxury-home sales are picking up, says a new national report by ReMax.' Z6 Y# [7 o; \" x3 T3 ~# l
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“One area of the market that has outperformed all others is the upper end,” said the ReMax Market Trends Report Fall 2010 released Tuesday.
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; @1 G1 E6 N1 S8 N/ `. |" S% {Sales of homes priced more than $700,000 are up 26 per cent over 2009, with 240 upscale properties changing hands as of August, compared to 190 units for the same period last year, it said.
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Fifty-five homes in the Edmonton area have sold for more than $1 million.9 o. X! {) Y) C9 K: }1 J' D. c- H
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The urgency in Edmonton’s residential housing market — prompted by tighter lending policies and the threat of higher interest rates earlier in the year — has given way to more stable conditions heading into the fourth quarter of 2010, the report said.; q  x/ q' M2 t% O9 n1 K

! p3 s2 K: G! o" I“Positive announcements in the oil and gas sector should spur renewed activity in residential real estate — as evidenced in the first few weeks of September. $ M9 i9 ~" r. f* z+ n( E' k

' K  W& |4 w" R0 k( y“Despite recent hikes, interest rates remain attractive with a five-year closed hovering at four per cent. The outlook for the remainder of the year is stable, with no real fluctuations in either sales or price.”
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  X3 J' b! J- N! mYear-to-date sales have slipped 14 per cent to 11,773 units, compared to 13,694 during the same period a year earlier, the report said.1 a/ j, l/ m9 n2 x% |3 F

( ?9 I# M' J: L" XThe sales-to-listing ratio is now 47 per cent, down from 59 per cent in 2009, but up from 42 per cent in 2008.
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8 q# w( Q, ~" O5 z3 |% BAverage price is holding steady, up about four cent to $332,789 in 2010, about $12,500, or 3.9 per cent, higher than a year ago when the residential average was $320,289, the report said.8 p  K0 ^, Z. o6 M- S* L+ L; k
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Inventory levels are up marginally over last year, but down from peak levels reached in 2007 and 2008, ReMax said.; _1 \( Y% Q, `; j$ {" B! D4 F+ u

  W" S0 [0 C) V1 w" d; c“As a result, the housing market has been characterized as balanced, slightly favouring the buyer,” the report said.
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2 Z) g; m# c8 Z# t6 X7 d! LFirst-time buyers in Edmonton remain most active, driving sales of single-family homes between $250,000 and $350,000. Condos represent 34 per cent of residential sales.5 H8 {" g( l3 G% r- [6 D

: p. z9 `; V$ O  _/ |2 x/ }An influx of new units recently has pushed up supply, putting downward pressure on condo prices, according to the report. Tighter lending rules, requiring a 20-per-cent down payment, “is proving to be detrimental to investment activity.”% Y% ~# }) d6 ?9 f0 o
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The report, which covered trends and developments in 19 major centres from January to August, found year-to-date sales ahead of 2009 levels in 11 markets.' Q6 O3 n* a; O5 j

2 a0 D) c& ]8 o* oPrices were up year-over-year in all cities, with five experiencing double-digit gains in 2010: Vancouver, St. John’s, Sudbury, Winnipeg and the Greater Toronto Area.
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. b: i2 U% a! L3 n2 ^- _“We cleaned up in the first quarter of 2010 because housing activity during the same period one year earlier was dismal,” said Elton Ash, regional executive vice-president of ReMax, Western Canada.
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% |& o/ }. [- x; M1 m" d“We’re now comparing the second half of the year to 2009 and falling short of expectations. Looking at the big picture however, the market remains healthy.”
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