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埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告

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鲜花(1394) 鸡蛋(16)
发表于 2010-10-4 16:19 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告
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5 g. D- L! q7 D8 J8 S                            ——9月市场平稳,消费者静观其变! C5 a8 \2 E; O% t

2 ~, F, D: x9 L( B; y本文来源于http://www.ereb.com/MarketActivity/LatestMarketAnalysis.html,中英文有异议之处请以英文为准。
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2010年10月4日埃德蒙顿消息:进入今年最后一个季度,埃德蒙顿房价平稳,没有大的波动。9月份,独立屋的价格几乎与8月持平,康兜(Condo)的价格在经历了四个月的下跌之后,9月略有回升。与8月相比,9月份的上市量和成交量都有所下降。. Z+ Y1 w* P, P& m

3 S: c4 m& {# J& Z, M- U“市场好像正在休整期”,埃德蒙顿房地产经纪协会主席Larry Westergard表示,“在经历了过去几年的震荡,买家疯狂抢购的非理性期之后,消费者们现在显得理智和冷静,静观下一步的市场动态”。目前,市场仍有8,600个单元待售,买家有足够的选择空间。" g& n) [# j/ @9 r8 Y% g

+ X+ c5 G3 `' d) [& Y/ _9月份,独立屋的平均价格为$370,653;而康兜(Condo)的价格,在连续四个月下降之后开始反弹,均价为$238,822,升高了近1%,但仍然没有达到4月份拐点的小高峰$252,728;丢普莱克斯(duplex)和排屋(rowhouse)的成交均价为$313,462,下降了11%,但是这类房型的总成交量小,代表性差,所以每月波动很大;而各类房型的成交均价为$326,499,较上月下降了近0.25%。! ]  N3 X# P1 d6 _- T" D' ~
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9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元,成交量略低于上月,新上市房屋为2,688个单元,挂牌销售比为47%,房屋从挂牌上市到售出所需平均时间与上月没有变化,仍然为57天。
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“第三季度的市场活动,与第一季度相比几乎没有什么变化”,Westergard说,“第三季度成交量较第二季度有所回落,但仍然好于第一季度的水平,这显示了上半年的市场充满活力,深受宏观经济形势走强的感染,同时也受到了加息的威胁。”' `# Q" E/ t  K' C3 J) w

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September 2010 activityRecord for
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% change from
( v3 ?5 F  j* T) w/ b                September                2009
Total MLS® System sales this month1,379-27.30%
Value of total MLS® System sales - month$450 million-26.50%
Value of total MLS® System sales - year$4.94 billion-11.50%
Residential¹  sales this month1,187-23.20%
Residential average price$326,4990%
SFD² average selling   price - month$370,6530.70%
SFD median³ selling   price$348,0000.55%
Condo average selling price$238,822-3.10%
          ¹. Residential includes SFD, condos and duplex/row houses." y0 E6 c* P; X( L1 D0 \" m
². Single Family Dwelling
: ^" k7 e* i3 N/ Q. G. ]  K³. The middle figure in a list of all sales prices
7 \5 \3 g# k+ o/ {          * Average prices indicate market trends only. They do not reflect            actual prices, which vary from house to house and area to area. For            information on a specific area, contact your local REALTOR®.
鲜花(1394) 鸡蛋(16)
 楼主| 发表于 2010-10-4 16:31 | 显示全部楼层
我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平,或者略有上升”,而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元,成交量略低于上月”,这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。7 w" B/ g/ B0 Z" d
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上个月的报告说“8月份各类住宅成交量为1,195个单元”,这个月的报告说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元”,看起来9月份比8月份成交量减少了8套,但8月份有31天而9月份有30天,哪么8月份每天的成交量等于38.55,而9月份每天的成交量等于39.57,也就是说9月份每天比8月份多成交一套房子。% x. P- F0 m. u% ^  D

9 ?& {3 `, V6 T* E2 p/ n  L小明第一次考试90分,第二次考试80分,第三次考试70分,第四次考试70分。在我看来,小明的第四次考试成绩没有继续下滑,说明了一定的问题。
鲜花(1269) 鸡蛋(4)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:03 | 显示全部楼层
哈哈,那是时候买还是卖?
鲜花(25) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:11 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
Sell a house. Worry about house bubble.
鲜花(150) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:16 | 显示全部楼层
我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平,或者略有上升”,而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元,成交量略低于上月”,这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。
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上个月的报告说“8月 ...* t) l4 ?9 [  t; v1 c& S1 I5 P
老杨 发表于 2010-10-4 17:31

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: `. e& e; u, j: y5 i算得这么细,肯定是借外脑了,是不是请酷暑帮你算的?
鲜花(34) 鸡蛋(5)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:31 | 显示全部楼层
统计口径差别大,Bob Truman个人统计:
5 U$ }" ~% h- g* XSep 382,273 350,000
. R0 {: ~, g4 ~% w. ZAug 392,082 357,500
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-5 11:24 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
鲜花(5) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-5 11:54 | 显示全部楼层
分享!
鲜花(150) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-5 12:21 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
不止是有点暖,是高烧~  z* ]4 d- ^- E. ?0 i, J8 s" @6 b% I

# {1 t  Y3 `% P$ S2 w: G$ phttp://www.edmontonjournal.com/b ... ?cid=megadrop_story
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/ m9 M% W5 C$ h2 n0 DEdmonton sees 26% spike in luxury-home sales
( {8 t  Z( G) W% O2 e$ L High-end houses defy real estate cooling trend
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1 u& n) c8 V* K4 B8 NEDMONTON — While homebuying activity is cooling in Edmonton, luxury-home sales are picking up, says a new national report by ReMax.
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8 W: F" w9 h& J“One area of the market that has outperformed all others is the upper end,” said the ReMax Market Trends Report Fall 2010 released Tuesday.) G5 x( e7 x* X% l' z
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Sales of homes priced more than $700,000 are up 26 per cent over 2009, with 240 upscale properties changing hands as of August, compared to 190 units for the same period last year, it said.
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9 W+ \. K0 f; E+ ~Fifty-five homes in the Edmonton area have sold for more than $1 million.
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The urgency in Edmonton’s residential housing market — prompted by tighter lending policies and the threat of higher interest rates earlier in the year — has given way to more stable conditions heading into the fourth quarter of 2010, the report said.
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+ T2 p4 x0 G% k  v“Positive announcements in the oil and gas sector should spur renewed activity in residential real estate — as evidenced in the first few weeks of September. ! V$ a. z7 a! }8 {+ L. T
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“Despite recent hikes, interest rates remain attractive with a five-year closed hovering at four per cent. The outlook for the remainder of the year is stable, with no real fluctuations in either sales or price.”- z2 A% o8 w. h  ^6 D6 j7 d0 b
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Year-to-date sales have slipped 14 per cent to 11,773 units, compared to 13,694 during the same period a year earlier, the report said.) [) S1 s5 u1 n) {6 s" L) P# B

' w+ }, i; c4 p* a+ Z: uThe sales-to-listing ratio is now 47 per cent, down from 59 per cent in 2009, but up from 42 per cent in 2008., [' {! p& V+ R' y

7 o) [- E; Y3 r4 }  A# cAverage price is holding steady, up about four cent to $332,789 in 2010, about $12,500, or 3.9 per cent, higher than a year ago when the residential average was $320,289, the report said.
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8 I+ G% b& Z4 yInventory levels are up marginally over last year, but down from peak levels reached in 2007 and 2008, ReMax said.: S: s4 \% A  i

1 n/ m; Z/ A- L5 r" ^, z. a. K, d5 O6 a“As a result, the housing market has been characterized as balanced, slightly favouring the buyer,” the report said.! w, r$ W* G% ~& }  W, p

% R) D$ I, n4 YFirst-time buyers in Edmonton remain most active, driving sales of single-family homes between $250,000 and $350,000. Condos represent 34 per cent of residential sales.& _8 s: p* n* k5 x. C

6 V9 k& j+ S1 U2 ^* ^  H$ d' HAn influx of new units recently has pushed up supply, putting downward pressure on condo prices, according to the report. Tighter lending rules, requiring a 20-per-cent down payment, “is proving to be detrimental to investment activity.”
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" I( g# p: m2 [# g% K) ~. b4 IThe report, which covered trends and developments in 19 major centres from January to August, found year-to-date sales ahead of 2009 levels in 11 markets.
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Prices were up year-over-year in all cities, with five experiencing double-digit gains in 2010: Vancouver, St. John’s, Sudbury, Winnipeg and the Greater Toronto Area.: A1 }2 w# P9 x% A& |

6 y7 f$ V' w1 M$ z“We cleaned up in the first quarter of 2010 because housing activity during the same period one year earlier was dismal,” said Elton Ash, regional executive vice-president of ReMax, Western Canada.
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! @7 b2 z$ H' M% m- T“We’re now comparing the second half of the year to 2009 and falling short of expectations. Looking at the big picture however, the market remains healthy.”
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