埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告

老杨

埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告

                            ——9月市场平稳，消费者静观其变
' ^) g8 ~, b" N3 q2 w3 [3 y
本文来源于http://www.ereb.com/MarketActivity/LatestMarketAnalysis.html，中英文有异议之处请以英文为准。

( _, F. ~: I8 m4 }: D: r  ~0 X2010年10月4日埃德蒙顿消息：进入今年最后一个季度，埃德蒙顿房价平稳，没有大的波动。9月份，独立屋的价格几乎与8月持平，康兜（Condo）的价格在经历了四个月的下跌之后，9月略有回升。与8月相比，9月份的上市量和成交量都有所下降。
* k' a% M$ H. H2 S/ b) |
2 D, o( ~: r& H# A6 o% O: |“市场好像正在休整期”，埃德蒙顿房地产经纪协会主席Larry Westergard表示，“在经历了过去几年的震荡，买家疯狂抢购的非理性期之后，消费者们现在显得理智和冷静，静观下一步的市场动态”。目前，市场仍有8,600个单元待售，买家有足够的选择空间。

/ b% h! p! n8 x1 s; C$ n, \9月份，独立屋的平均价格为$370,653；而康兜（Condo）的价格，在连续四个月下降之后开始反弹，均价为$238,822，升高了近1%，但仍然没有达到4月份拐点的小高峰$252,728；丢普莱克斯（duplex）和排屋（rowhouse）的成交均价为$313,462，下降了11%，但是这类房型的总成交量小，代表性差，所以每月波动很大；而各类房型的成交均价为$326,499，较上月下降了近0.25%。
' \+ {6 x4 G" P. P$ i. B0 L% w
8 t2 P, V# L) t( ?2 ^- j9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元，成交量略低于上月，新上市房屋为2,688个单元，挂牌销售比为47%，房屋从挂牌上市到售出所需平均时间与上月没有变化，仍然为57天。

“第三季度的市场活动，与第一季度相比几乎没有什么变化”，Westergard说，“第三季度成交量较第二季度有所回落，但仍然好于第一季度的水平，这显示了上半年的市场充满活力，深受宏观经济形势走强的感染，同时也受到了加息的威胁。”

September 2010 activity	Record for ( `( c! B1 g; m                the month*	% change from                 September                2009
Total MLS® System sales this month	1,379	-27.30%
Value of total MLS® System sales - month	$450 million	-26.50%
Value of total MLS® System sales - year	$4.94 billion	-11.50%
Residential¹  sales this month	1,187	-23.20%
Residential average price	$326,499	0%
SFD² average selling   price - month	$370,653	0.70%
SFD median³ selling   price	$348,000	0.55%
Condo average selling price	$238,822	-3.10%

          ¹. Residential includes SFD, condos and duplex/row houses.
* i6 t& r% a- ]$ d². Single Family Dwelling
3 m; A' s4 o$ ^* h9 ]³. The middle figure in a list of all sales prices
          * Average prices indicate market trends only. They do not reflect            actual prices, which vary from house to house and area to area. For            information on a specific area, contact your local REALTOR®.

老杨

我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平，或者略有上升”，而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元，成交量略低于上月”，这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。

: ?, o5 g- O: `: B( N9 E6 V: @上个月的报告说“8月份各类住宅成交量为1,195个单元”，这个月的报告说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元”，看起来9月份比8月份成交量减少了8套，但8月份有31天而9月份有30天，哪么8月份每天的成交量等于38.55，而9月份每天的成交量等于39.57，也就是说9月份每天比8月份多成交一套房子。

& a& Q3 M1 b" c7 [: ]1 R小明第一次考试90分，第二次考试80分，第三次考试70分，第四次考试70分。在我看来，小明的第四次考试成绩没有继续下滑，说明了一定的问题。

天上明珠

哈哈，那是时候买还是卖？

Hills

Sell a house. Worry about house bubble.

翠花

我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平，或者略有上升”，而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元，成交量略低于上月”，这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。
6 y+ G6 e0 {! L" D. j
& |, F$ y  t/ K1 U8 d上个月的报告说“8月 ...
7 k) S; B* K* ~5 N6 @+ Z8 X, u老杨 发表于 2010-10-4 17:31

- [, W) ]( {* U8 V* U! y
算得这么细，肯定是借外脑了，是不是请酷暑帮你算的？

catty

统计口径差别大，Bob Truman个人统计：
, `$ }8 v  D6 f8 M( b; C2 C# aSep 382,273 350,000
Aug 392,082 357,500

solo0606

老朱

分享！

翠花

不止是有点暖，是高烧～

http://www.edmontonjournal.com/b ... ?cid=megadrop_story
/ K8 F0 N3 X4 E' K$ h+ \  Q

Edmonton sees 26% spike in luxury-home sales
" |! K; |* i) o1 O5 m High-end houses defy real estate cooling trend

: Y: o1 T/ f0 c
EDMONTON — While homebuying activity is cooling in Edmonton, luxury-home sales are picking up, says a new national report by ReMax.

“One area of the market that has outperformed all others is the upper end,” said the ReMax Market Trends Report Fall 2010 released Tuesday.
; b/ R3 H1 S; c' ?  c
5 m: H/ w# [( L  Z# K0 kSales of homes priced more than $700,000 are up 26 per cent over 2009, with 240 upscale properties changing hands as of August, compared to 190 units for the same period last year, it said.

Fifty-five homes in the Edmonton area have sold for more than $1 million.

The urgency in Edmonton’s residential housing market — prompted by tighter lending policies and the threat of higher interest rates earlier in the year — has given way to more stable conditions heading into the fourth quarter of 2010, the report said.
. y6 b2 I2 ^1 W7 c7 Z( s$ U' k
1 A" |, `7 e+ {“Positive announcements in the oil and gas sector should spur renewed activity in residential real estate — as evidenced in the first few weeks of September.

- G- g6 s8 k4 I“Despite recent hikes, interest rates remain attractive with a five-year closed hovering at four per cent. The outlook for the remainder of the year is stable, with no real fluctuations in either sales or price.”
( ~# W% C% O0 e( P% m7 ?( E9 k
Year-to-date sales have slipped 14 per cent to 11,773 units, compared to 13,694 during the same period a year earlier, the report said.

8 f: S2 A  S% I* a! k5 k+ AThe sales-to-listing ratio is now 47 per cent, down from 59 per cent in 2009, but up from 42 per cent in 2008.
+ i: ~- ^, ~2 l/ F8 T" O6 b+ w! u0 i7 \
Average price is holding steady, up about four cent to $332,789 in 2010, about $12,500, or 3.9 per cent, higher than a year ago when the residential average was $320,289, the report said.

Inventory levels are up marginally over last year, but down from peak levels reached in 2007 and 2008, ReMax said.
" Z) {) [" d/ z6 ~. C; G: ^8 q6 U
4 n! B; d  v' @7 ?0 V1 _( _$ \/ j“As a result, the housing market has been characterized as balanced, slightly favouring the buyer,” the report said.

First-time buyers in Edmonton remain most active, driving sales of single-family homes between $250,000 and $350,000. Condos represent 34 per cent of residential sales.
6 p3 E3 `$ P' o' \8 b
An influx of new units recently has pushed up supply, putting downward pressure on condo prices, according to the report. Tighter lending rules, requiring a 20-per-cent down payment, “is proving to be detrimental to investment activity.”

The report, which covered trends and developments in 19 major centres from January to August, found year-to-date sales ahead of 2009 levels in 11 markets.

1 Y. q: v3 F1 e- IPrices were up year-over-year in all cities, with five experiencing double-digit gains in 2010: Vancouver, St. John’s, Sudbury, Winnipeg and the Greater Toronto Area.

4 U' W& ]: N4 N$ g“We cleaned up in the first quarter of 2010 because housing activity during the same period one year earlier was dismal,” said Elton Ash, regional executive vice-president of ReMax, Western Canada.

: w" H- @, O. l5 `: _7 A2 a! h“We’re now comparing the second half of the year to 2009 and falling short of expectations. Looking at the big picture however, the market remains healthy.”