埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告

老杨

埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告

                            ——9月市场平稳，消费者静观其变
/ ?$ y/ t1 V& t# B
本文来源于http://www.ereb.com/MarketActivity/LatestMarketAnalysis.html，中英文有异议之处请以英文为准。

7 Z9 T! y6 J' G! s5 d3 Y2010年10月4日埃德蒙顿消息：进入今年最后一个季度，埃德蒙顿房价平稳，没有大的波动。9月份，独立屋的价格几乎与8月持平，康兜（Condo）的价格在经历了四个月的下跌之后，9月略有回升。与8月相比，9月份的上市量和成交量都有所下降。
. z% w1 C4 H) M
& C# e/ w/ C6 V" B“市场好像正在休整期”，埃德蒙顿房地产经纪协会主席Larry Westergard表示，“在经历了过去几年的震荡，买家疯狂抢购的非理性期之后，消费者们现在显得理智和冷静，静观下一步的市场动态”。目前，市场仍有8,600个单元待售，买家有足够的选择空间。

7 i0 E+ \* I* |" h9 }$ J9月份，独立屋的平均价格为$370,653；而康兜（Condo）的价格，在连续四个月下降之后开始反弹，均价为$238,822，升高了近1%，但仍然没有达到4月份拐点的小高峰$252,728；丢普莱克斯（duplex）和排屋（rowhouse）的成交均价为$313,462，下降了11%，但是这类房型的总成交量小，代表性差，所以每月波动很大；而各类房型的成交均价为$326,499，较上月下降了近0.25%。
7 ^$ z+ ]# {6 c# ?
4 h6 D  l' @9 p  ]6 B9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元，成交量略低于上月，新上市房屋为2,688个单元，挂牌销售比为47%，房屋从挂牌上市到售出所需平均时间与上月没有变化，仍然为57天。

! C+ ?9 J, p& F/ a, r1 F' I1 p+ g2 S“第三季度的市场活动，与第一季度相比几乎没有什么变化”，Westergard说，“第三季度成交量较第二季度有所回落，但仍然好于第一季度的水平，这显示了上半年的市场充满活力，深受宏观经济形势走强的感染，同时也受到了加息的威胁。”

1 W1 P6 H: b1 G2 l. q

September 2010 activity	Record for . W4 \) K$ N6 S+ S3 M: I                the month*	% change from                 September                2009
Total MLS® System sales this month	1,379	-27.30%
Value of total MLS® System sales - month	$450 million	-26.50%
Value of total MLS® System sales - year	$4.94 billion	-11.50%
Residential¹  sales this month	1,187	-23.20%
Residential average price	$326,499	0%
SFD² average selling   price - month	$370,653	0.70%
SFD median³ selling   price	$348,000	0.55%
Condo average selling price	$238,822	-3.10%

          ¹. Residential includes SFD, condos and duplex/row houses.
  T# l% |2 D4 d# ]8 ]². Single Family Dwelling
* Q+ w- F& s- L/ D! D5 w2 ]³. The middle figure in a list of all sales prices
          * Average prices indicate market trends only. They do not reflect            actual prices, which vary from house to house and area to area. For            information on a specific area, contact your local REALTOR®.

老杨

我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平，或者略有上升”，而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元，成交量略低于上月”，这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。
9 M( J: @+ k* T/ Z( f% y) `5 k
' s+ Y( z  }/ d# f: P0 l上个月的报告说“8月份各类住宅成交量为1,195个单元”，这个月的报告说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元”，看起来9月份比8月份成交量减少了8套，但8月份有31天而9月份有30天，哪么8月份每天的成交量等于38.55，而9月份每天的成交量等于39.57，也就是说9月份每天比8月份多成交一套房子。

2 G8 K' Z! E) z1 c6 p& P# _/ U小明第一次考试90分，第二次考试80分，第三次考试70分，第四次考试70分。在我看来，小明的第四次考试成绩没有继续下滑，说明了一定的问题。

天上明珠

哈哈，那是时候买还是卖？

Hills

Sell a house. Worry about house bubble.

翠花

我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平，或者略有上升”，而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元，成交量略低于上月”，这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。
# p/ O3 l$ _6 r7 K) H
上个月的报告说“8月 ...
) s# U  q- z7 f0 h+ I& w老杨 发表于 2010-10-4 17:31

9 t# d9 A- H6 S4 [+ C& }$ w

" v$ p! O1 G6 `- t# w9 C7 G算得这么细，肯定是借外脑了，是不是请酷暑帮你算的？

catty

统计口径差别大，Bob Truman个人统计：
8 e* p1 ^2 \) _7 mSep 382,273 350,000
Aug 392,082 357,500

solo0606

老朱

分享！

翠花

不止是有点暖，是高烧～
5 \) W9 `( U& X  j1 H3 H) Y
( ]2 }& D1 r7 A" q+ J7 nhttp://www.edmontonjournal.com/b ... ?cid=megadrop_story
) D; m8 N: I7 E/ |8 H2 D. Z
2 z' a8 z3 Y: d) z0 x
Edmonton sees 26% spike in luxury-home sales
High-end houses defy real estate cooling trend
2 |' R2 f" ^0 [0 b0 ]& W

EDMONTON — While homebuying activity is cooling in Edmonton, luxury-home sales are picking up, says a new national report by ReMax.

“One area of the market that has outperformed all others is the upper end,” said the ReMax Market Trends Report Fall 2010 released Tuesday.
; R' x+ v6 E" s9 i8 v
Sales of homes priced more than $700,000 are up 26 per cent over 2009, with 240 upscale properties changing hands as of August, compared to 190 units for the same period last year, it said.
1 T! L- P, C, W7 [/ R7 u
Fifty-five homes in the Edmonton area have sold for more than $1 million.

The urgency in Edmonton’s residential housing market — prompted by tighter lending policies and the threat of higher interest rates earlier in the year — has given way to more stable conditions heading into the fourth quarter of 2010, the report said.

7 i4 S% U( ^; o7 e“Positive announcements in the oil and gas sector should spur renewed activity in residential real estate — as evidenced in the first few weeks of September.

“Despite recent hikes, interest rates remain attractive with a five-year closed hovering at four per cent. The outlook for the remainder of the year is stable, with no real fluctuations in either sales or price.”
, N; J# G* v! m9 T3 o- }' P% k
, W1 k4 L1 v1 L/ N$ p; `, J3 `7 n% kYear-to-date sales have slipped 14 per cent to 11,773 units, compared to 13,694 during the same period a year earlier, the report said.
' ~3 {! W) v2 b: K0 e
& C/ \9 C2 b6 f2 ~The sales-to-listing ratio is now 47 per cent, down from 59 per cent in 2009, but up from 42 per cent in 2008.
3 F$ r3 K: A, j  l
Average price is holding steady, up about four cent to $332,789 in 2010, about $12,500, or 3.9 per cent, higher than a year ago when the residential average was $320,289, the report said.
9 @  i' z$ S' r% Y: M6 n2 ~
4 b3 M1 q8 N  w& _Inventory levels are up marginally over last year, but down from peak levels reached in 2007 and 2008, ReMax said.
0 C& p. n1 R* j% D
+ D/ Z; y. c. h; o; o. K* I* a“As a result, the housing market has been characterized as balanced, slightly favouring the buyer,” the report said.

2 Y. {" ^3 f4 y/ F! l, zFirst-time buyers in Edmonton remain most active, driving sales of single-family homes between $250,000 and $350,000. Condos represent 34 per cent of residential sales.

+ I# m; J* I; VAn influx of new units recently has pushed up supply, putting downward pressure on condo prices, according to the report. Tighter lending rules, requiring a 20-per-cent down payment, “is proving to be detrimental to investment activity.”

% Y4 w0 N; C, Q7 U, }; j3 dThe report, which covered trends and developments in 19 major centres from January to August, found year-to-date sales ahead of 2009 levels in 11 markets.
2 z: y. k; |$ G# X! g
+ J- X; }# y: P- J& ~$ W: SPrices were up year-over-year in all cities, with five experiencing double-digit gains in 2010: Vancouver, St. John’s, Sudbury, Winnipeg and the Greater Toronto Area.
8 G1 \0 M8 ^$ V9 Q$ m
. I; K9 P( z$ Q  r& ?1 p“We cleaned up in the first quarter of 2010 because housing activity during the same period one year earlier was dismal,” said Elton Ash, regional executive vice-president of ReMax, Western Canada.
! G& k8 d& L, x/ Q+ D( v
  c+ N1 D4 l; H2 {8 c“We’re now comparing the second half of the year to 2009 and falling short of expectations. Looking at the big picture however, the market remains healthy.”