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埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告

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鲜花(1394) 鸡蛋(16)
发表于 2010-10-4 16:19 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告
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' ^0 O) m3 m' o* {                            ——9月市场平稳,消费者静观其变" ^- m  Y3 X# {- S( _* _
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本文来源于http://www.ereb.com/MarketActivity/LatestMarketAnalysis.html,中英文有异议之处请以英文为准。) r8 P3 C+ z- C5 ?  N& J) X  d

+ p2 p- R: M& x6 P" @& K+ j, p: s2010年10月4日埃德蒙顿消息:进入今年最后一个季度,埃德蒙顿房价平稳,没有大的波动。9月份,独立屋的价格几乎与8月持平,康兜(Condo)的价格在经历了四个月的下跌之后,9月略有回升。与8月相比,9月份的上市量和成交量都有所下降。# o, H3 x; V$ A; P

" O" _8 X5 q- Z( b6 F. i; w) O) N“市场好像正在休整期”,埃德蒙顿房地产经纪协会主席Larry Westergard表示,“在经历了过去几年的震荡,买家疯狂抢购的非理性期之后,消费者们现在显得理智和冷静,静观下一步的市场动态”。目前,市场仍有8,600个单元待售,买家有足够的选择空间。* T; b  f/ ^. @( K, A

5 S$ M! Z9 D0 r3 Q. j& a; \0 |9月份,独立屋的平均价格为$370,653;而康兜(Condo)的价格,在连续四个月下降之后开始反弹,均价为$238,822,升高了近1%,但仍然没有达到4月份拐点的小高峰$252,728;丢普莱克斯(duplex)和排屋(rowhouse)的成交均价为$313,462,下降了11%,但是这类房型的总成交量小,代表性差,所以每月波动很大;而各类房型的成交均价为$326,499,较上月下降了近0.25%。
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# a% c. Q7 W& h5 i9 j7 G9 r9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元,成交量略低于上月,新上市房屋为2,688个单元,挂牌销售比为47%,房屋从挂牌上市到售出所需平均时间与上月没有变化,仍然为57天。
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# Q( d' s4 F- \- M7 y: x“第三季度的市场活动,与第一季度相比几乎没有什么变化”,Westergard说,“第三季度成交量较第二季度有所回落,但仍然好于第一季度的水平,这显示了上半年的市场充满活力,深受宏观经济形势走强的感染,同时也受到了加息的威胁。”
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September 2010 activityRecord for
2 L) ?: v; H% g  a5 R                the month*
% change from7 Y: |* k& A8 C! j, E- |; W
                September                2009
Total MLS® System sales this month1,379-27.30%
Value of total MLS® System sales - month$450 million-26.50%
Value of total MLS® System sales - year$4.94 billion-11.50%
Residential¹  sales this month1,187-23.20%
Residential average price$326,4990%
SFD² average selling   price - month$370,6530.70%
SFD median³ selling   price$348,0000.55%
Condo average selling price$238,822-3.10%
          ¹. Residential includes SFD, condos and duplex/row houses.! Y$ \5 G/ `$ v$ P# M9 o, I; I
². Single Family Dwelling
$ s) ]0 K: P; O" N1 R' i7 z4 F³. The middle figure in a list of all sales prices
, k; R: }: I$ S" a; @8 U: r+ t& [          * Average prices indicate market trends only. They do not reflect            actual prices, which vary from house to house and area to area. For            information on a specific area, contact your local REALTOR®.
鲜花(1394) 鸡蛋(16)
 楼主| 发表于 2010-10-4 16:31 | 显示全部楼层
我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平,或者略有上升”,而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元,成交量略低于上月”,这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。# b  P; z2 q( ~
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上个月的报告说“8月份各类住宅成交量为1,195个单元”,这个月的报告说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元”,看起来9月份比8月份成交量减少了8套,但8月份有31天而9月份有30天,哪么8月份每天的成交量等于38.55,而9月份每天的成交量等于39.57,也就是说9月份每天比8月份多成交一套房子。
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* K8 H) W# Y" b8 A- X& d, |3 V4 ^( K+ F, A小明第一次考试90分,第二次考试80分,第三次考试70分,第四次考试70分。在我看来,小明的第四次考试成绩没有继续下滑,说明了一定的问题。
鲜花(1269) 鸡蛋(4)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:03 | 显示全部楼层
哈哈,那是时候买还是卖?
鲜花(25) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:11 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
Sell a house. Worry about house bubble.
鲜花(150) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:16 | 显示全部楼层
我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平,或者略有上升”,而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元,成交量略低于上月”,这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。3 A  E/ _, Z4 D2 B5 B4 c. Q& I0 Y

  v$ _5 p! c" [" S' W* U( R- z2 i上个月的报告说“8月 ...! f% |! i& \' r; o2 }; h7 F1 n
老杨 发表于 2010-10-4 17:31
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算得这么细,肯定是借外脑了,是不是请酷暑帮你算的?
鲜花(34) 鸡蛋(5)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:31 | 显示全部楼层
统计口径差别大,Bob Truman个人统计:; ~, p; @6 j, r7 Y4 ?
Sep 382,273 350,000
4 e& H! t8 r$ dAug 392,082 357,500
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-5 11:24 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
鲜花(5) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-5 11:54 | 显示全部楼层
分享!
鲜花(150) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-5 12:21 | 显示全部楼层
不止是有点暖,是高烧~, |1 o1 M) Q9 [$ `

* |& ^6 W$ C$ E+ Chttp://www.edmontonjournal.com/b ... ?cid=megadrop_story4 w! o/ ^. ]" k8 `8 v6 U: N
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Edmonton sees 26% spike in luxury-home sales
  u5 l' B( c" m: o" M4 J) W4 [ High-end houses defy real estate cooling trend! t0 e( A4 V# C6 q
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8 P' n" y1 u; G. Z& aEDMONTON — While homebuying activity is cooling in Edmonton, luxury-home sales are picking up, says a new national report by ReMax.
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“One area of the market that has outperformed all others is the upper end,” said the ReMax Market Trends Report Fall 2010 released Tuesday.: b. Y# J( z+ a

# J6 b/ j* t0 d3 y  sSales of homes priced more than $700,000 are up 26 per cent over 2009, with 240 upscale properties changing hands as of August, compared to 190 units for the same period last year, it said. 8 M7 x' T6 C+ A6 i# m* M

( I, {# e$ l8 NFifty-five homes in the Edmonton area have sold for more than $1 million.
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- z$ j+ |3 }- {. E* N9 Y5 OThe urgency in Edmonton’s residential housing market — prompted by tighter lending policies and the threat of higher interest rates earlier in the year — has given way to more stable conditions heading into the fourth quarter of 2010, the report said.
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) c+ K& a8 y, a“Positive announcements in the oil and gas sector should spur renewed activity in residential real estate — as evidenced in the first few weeks of September.   Z2 [, l+ P$ @! t( R* c3 ~/ y0 y# N

) I* o: {. P. e& L$ _# [“Despite recent hikes, interest rates remain attractive with a five-year closed hovering at four per cent. The outlook for the remainder of the year is stable, with no real fluctuations in either sales or price.”
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Year-to-date sales have slipped 14 per cent to 11,773 units, compared to 13,694 during the same period a year earlier, the report said.9 e6 m6 i2 K/ [- L

- c8 z% p/ t/ E% \The sales-to-listing ratio is now 47 per cent, down from 59 per cent in 2009, but up from 42 per cent in 2008.2 p8 Q: [1 S+ Z8 p; b

/ x2 {' j: b9 C- n2 IAverage price is holding steady, up about four cent to $332,789 in 2010, about $12,500, or 3.9 per cent, higher than a year ago when the residential average was $320,289, the report said.
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+ m+ k9 M# S1 R, D3 ?  j5 t$ wInventory levels are up marginally over last year, but down from peak levels reached in 2007 and 2008, ReMax said.
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“As a result, the housing market has been characterized as balanced, slightly favouring the buyer,” the report said.& ^! J# [: S8 O8 G" i
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First-time buyers in Edmonton remain most active, driving sales of single-family homes between $250,000 and $350,000. Condos represent 34 per cent of residential sales./ t+ ~" A9 E( J  i% k3 @" x( u" H
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An influx of new units recently has pushed up supply, putting downward pressure on condo prices, according to the report. Tighter lending rules, requiring a 20-per-cent down payment, “is proving to be detrimental to investment activity.”9 d- y8 M- C, _  L# b1 t. n

7 h, \, S! ], o- }, ?$ V7 BThe report, which covered trends and developments in 19 major centres from January to August, found year-to-date sales ahead of 2009 levels in 11 markets.
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* G+ l' m- [$ |5 x0 d& Y1 NPrices were up year-over-year in all cities, with five experiencing double-digit gains in 2010: Vancouver, St. John’s, Sudbury, Winnipeg and the Greater Toronto Area.
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“We cleaned up in the first quarter of 2010 because housing activity during the same period one year earlier was dismal,” said Elton Ash, regional executive vice-president of ReMax, Western Canada.. a* G: O; q' O% T; O

' T+ l; }- Z9 a) }1 y1 w$ S( o2 h4 X“We’re now comparing the second half of the year to 2009 and falling short of expectations. Looking at the big picture however, the market remains healthy.”
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