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埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告

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鲜花(1394) 鸡蛋(16)
发表于 2010-10-4 16:19 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告# W6 C/ l7 V. R
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                            ——9月市场平稳,消费者静观其变
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" t' ]4 k8 H! S本文来源于http://www.ereb.com/MarketActivity/LatestMarketAnalysis.html,中英文有异议之处请以英文为准。
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7 a7 B" L! R8 w9 c2010年10月4日埃德蒙顿消息:进入今年最后一个季度,埃德蒙顿房价平稳,没有大的波动。9月份,独立屋的价格几乎与8月持平,康兜(Condo)的价格在经历了四个月的下跌之后,9月略有回升。与8月相比,9月份的上市量和成交量都有所下降。5 Y$ J; S) h" Y+ ]
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“市场好像正在休整期”,埃德蒙顿房地产经纪协会主席Larry Westergard表示,“在经历了过去几年的震荡,买家疯狂抢购的非理性期之后,消费者们现在显得理智和冷静,静观下一步的市场动态”。目前,市场仍有8,600个单元待售,买家有足够的选择空间。
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9月份,独立屋的平均价格为$370,653;而康兜(Condo)的价格,在连续四个月下降之后开始反弹,均价为$238,822,升高了近1%,但仍然没有达到4月份拐点的小高峰$252,728;丢普莱克斯(duplex)和排屋(rowhouse)的成交均价为$313,462,下降了11%,但是这类房型的总成交量小,代表性差,所以每月波动很大;而各类房型的成交均价为$326,499,较上月下降了近0.25%。9 V. d; v" \/ `

' h8 x8 _3 }' n) E2 C$ ^! z% `& }9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元,成交量略低于上月,新上市房屋为2,688个单元,挂牌销售比为47%,房屋从挂牌上市到售出所需平均时间与上月没有变化,仍然为57天。
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“第三季度的市场活动,与第一季度相比几乎没有什么变化”,Westergard说,“第三季度成交量较第二季度有所回落,但仍然好于第一季度的水平,这显示了上半年的市场充满活力,深受宏观经济形势走强的感染,同时也受到了加息的威胁。”# A! U% E7 W: H% z
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September 2010 activityRecord for
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% change from
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Total MLS® System sales this month1,379-27.30%
Value of total MLS® System sales - month$450 million-26.50%
Value of total MLS® System sales - year$4.94 billion-11.50%
Residential¹  sales this month1,187-23.20%
Residential average price$326,4990%
SFD² average selling   price - month$370,6530.70%
SFD median³ selling   price$348,0000.55%
Condo average selling price$238,822-3.10%
          ¹. Residential includes SFD, condos and duplex/row houses.) L. K0 ^# B/ }& v) S) J# a/ i
². Single Family Dwelling
, _2 x5 ?7 ?! u* C³. The middle figure in a list of all sales prices 8 M& @4 V8 e% a5 D5 i5 R$ g
          * Average prices indicate market trends only. They do not reflect            actual prices, which vary from house to house and area to area. For            information on a specific area, contact your local REALTOR®.
鲜花(1394) 鸡蛋(16)
 楼主| 发表于 2010-10-4 16:31 | 显示全部楼层
我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平,或者略有上升”,而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元,成交量略低于上月”,这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。
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  b: I7 U( d+ b+ G上个月的报告说“8月份各类住宅成交量为1,195个单元”,这个月的报告说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元”,看起来9月份比8月份成交量减少了8套,但8月份有31天而9月份有30天,哪么8月份每天的成交量等于38.55,而9月份每天的成交量等于39.57,也就是说9月份每天比8月份多成交一套房子。+ l' g0 w% R3 K3 f4 A6 m
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小明第一次考试90分,第二次考试80分,第三次考试70分,第四次考试70分。在我看来,小明的第四次考试成绩没有继续下滑,说明了一定的问题。
鲜花(1269) 鸡蛋(4)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:03 | 显示全部楼层
哈哈,那是时候买还是卖?
大型搬家
鲜花(25) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:11 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
Sell a house. Worry about house bubble.
鲜花(150) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:16 | 显示全部楼层
我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平,或者略有上升”,而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元,成交量略低于上月”,这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。# y5 |* G, [6 K0 V2 Y! x9 h

5 ?* H/ r( {! ]' b3 w上个月的报告说“8月 ...$ Q2 w1 ?1 U: t) {0 N& Z
老杨 发表于 2010-10-4 17:31

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7 K- Z& K' O6 s: @% ~/ c算得这么细,肯定是借外脑了,是不是请酷暑帮你算的?
鲜花(34) 鸡蛋(5)
发表于 2010-10-4 17:31 | 显示全部楼层
统计口径差别大,Bob Truman个人统计:
* x0 T0 w$ z% i) w! fSep 382,273 350,0005 g) G0 ?7 H7 i1 j, y* R8 B
Aug 392,082 357,500
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-5 11:24 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
鲜花(5) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-5 11:54 | 显示全部楼层
分享!
鲜花(150) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2010-10-5 12:21 | 显示全部楼层
不止是有点暖,是高烧~4 X8 {' ?" p2 ^5 {, _# G  c9 M

* b5 y: t- H% V" P% i  Hhttp://www.edmontonjournal.com/b ... ?cid=megadrop_story
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Edmonton sees 26% spike in luxury-home sales+ l  e0 Q* H) B# r( [9 J7 S
High-end houses defy real estate cooling trend+ K# u+ \# R3 W; ]
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9 C! }) d" E- H6 Y# eEDMONTON — While homebuying activity is cooling in Edmonton, luxury-home sales are picking up, says a new national report by ReMax.' [, ~2 G' T- ?$ H$ t* o, N' g

0 a' _" U5 O1 p4 U, t“One area of the market that has outperformed all others is the upper end,” said the ReMax Market Trends Report Fall 2010 released Tuesday., Q# K0 h+ K, a! D6 m

0 z* m! Z4 v: B' E1 [. v9 KSales of homes priced more than $700,000 are up 26 per cent over 2009, with 240 upscale properties changing hands as of August, compared to 190 units for the same period last year, it said. 8 j* p5 d* }9 V) H

4 f( X4 a( E8 @2 d$ g0 eFifty-five homes in the Edmonton area have sold for more than $1 million.8 \3 i0 [4 s4 f6 _1 f

4 a. ^+ B6 u, v- z, uThe urgency in Edmonton’s residential housing market — prompted by tighter lending policies and the threat of higher interest rates earlier in the year — has given way to more stable conditions heading into the fourth quarter of 2010, the report said.. y9 h8 [% S9 e: J* A/ D
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“Positive announcements in the oil and gas sector should spur renewed activity in residential real estate — as evidenced in the first few weeks of September. 1 A% Y# A/ ~& C5 q

2 |- r* E4 b( T; }“Despite recent hikes, interest rates remain attractive with a five-year closed hovering at four per cent. The outlook for the remainder of the year is stable, with no real fluctuations in either sales or price.”
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Year-to-date sales have slipped 14 per cent to 11,773 units, compared to 13,694 during the same period a year earlier, the report said.' @4 R! C$ g6 [& S0 d1 f4 k
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The sales-to-listing ratio is now 47 per cent, down from 59 per cent in 2009, but up from 42 per cent in 2008.! O+ g* b2 Y! w7 \" x' r

' s2 P0 [0 g, D  P$ a: wAverage price is holding steady, up about four cent to $332,789 in 2010, about $12,500, or 3.9 per cent, higher than a year ago when the residential average was $320,289, the report said., W4 W/ N2 Q7 ]: o" l( C/ G, ^
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Inventory levels are up marginally over last year, but down from peak levels reached in 2007 and 2008, ReMax said.# G  y3 K) y, h/ D/ K
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“As a result, the housing market has been characterized as balanced, slightly favouring the buyer,” the report said.
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9 K9 y) _# g' T4 H. G+ @+ bFirst-time buyers in Edmonton remain most active, driving sales of single-family homes between $250,000 and $350,000. Condos represent 34 per cent of residential sales.9 `5 o+ ~. O5 i" \- n, ]

+ a6 K! A" X: o/ z+ S$ KAn influx of new units recently has pushed up supply, putting downward pressure on condo prices, according to the report. Tighter lending rules, requiring a 20-per-cent down payment, “is proving to be detrimental to investment activity.”% ?. d& f- ?7 b  s- @* y7 O
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The report, which covered trends and developments in 19 major centres from January to August, found year-to-date sales ahead of 2009 levels in 11 markets.) g; \& U3 w, I+ Z: I- V  \
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Prices were up year-over-year in all cities, with five experiencing double-digit gains in 2010: Vancouver, St. John’s, Sudbury, Winnipeg and the Greater Toronto Area.
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“We cleaned up in the first quarter of 2010 because housing activity during the same period one year earlier was dismal,” said Elton Ash, regional executive vice-president of ReMax, Western Canada.
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“We’re now comparing the second half of the year to 2009 and falling short of expectations. Looking at the big picture however, the market remains healthy.”
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