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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
/ S( C; w( p }2 _rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
. o6 |" g- F# H( c* Q$ Y! E# ?* nraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
3 ?% R& D, f5 Z9 d$ }7 toperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.2 Y" `1 ~+ E* n9 i$ v7 B
' i% p4 r+ ~8 M G! H; mThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with# E, T' `2 E0 O+ k5 c' l
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
+ b: s! l( Q$ AUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
& Y0 j' u3 F6 {in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
* C, X4 y! s. eIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
) ?+ h( e/ `7 o0 E: I7 ?; vstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the# ~" m* A3 {7 ]* T
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
* a, u! Q! i( _( K7 yin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
4 ~9 y0 g) T5 [" n3 f+ zimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the1 ]0 W$ b# D9 ^
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity- @1 [$ l& Q" c6 b" \" N `- v
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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/ x2 S _7 H; U' w" k7 a5 aActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent; R1 Q+ ?( n5 L, u
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
% j. g' @/ f v8 uGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
: q0 q+ P3 h- w. r& rincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
2 C! b9 c3 \$ ?3 f7 t- Fbalanced recovery.4 y0 t0 K2 c5 ^& F! p2 W* A: Y
' U5 @6 B. P+ e: X! ?CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects) \5 a$ \0 R% d6 F9 o) g' H
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess, \: R9 v5 A5 a4 V
supply.
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# K& K$ `, Y: [2 k! F( h" _In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
' |/ C' G2 G4 G" t9 a6 s* }to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
/ {' g6 Y5 y2 _7 F% \monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
7 Q$ {' D7 K# v' Q1 d: \significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary, e1 _/ ?; k. X! H0 L
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic! @9 A* Z: r9 A$ S; D, Y. l; y) ^
developments.
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Information note:! q. R* ^) j+ ?& @! v6 P+ u3 d0 Y
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
# [/ t5 n/ W ?3 M8 J8 u% W, Eof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
; B* y4 g7 V6 R6 e% `published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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