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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market; X$ @4 D, v' K3 m
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
- s2 ]- ]; j% O! U9 t5 I4 R5 ^4 [+ |rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly6 y6 c- P) o7 n# o
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
3 ^0 d" M; P" A# V" h7 Noperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.& F% v9 i$ D8 L# @
+ n" d ^: X7 Y$ \The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
/ P! l8 H" M- D. z8 Jstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
1 w4 \$ j, J( A. ^United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness/ h! Y+ ]+ F5 P$ K g" u8 [
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
8 e" Z4 f9 z- `" o" ~7 hIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal1 G1 @( s& X8 s# I3 J8 ?
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the) x- a9 u: b- N( T% Q' j! i; O
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
, ^' E# A2 M9 q- |6 _in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an' o5 N9 C6 Q( c" G; G4 [
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
5 r% T6 h! N& H+ F) o$ Ospillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
$ }1 C s3 a/ e' c" a5 s2 r7 T. @prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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) l/ q5 G2 u8 F' F: C, {Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
( \' C4 W6 O9 W" J' Vin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
# |) R+ P! ^) \6 p8 {& ~Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
6 ? j1 `9 t6 | ^income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
/ h- }. z- @& h1 [ G# u2 A# [balanced recovery.
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9 \& j, Y7 v1 }3 c, |2 {' ZCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
7 S* z; i* z4 w' E) B, ethe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess: W6 }3 y( y$ }1 Z) `7 F |
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
2 u0 V; I( W, z: j+ X8 F6 ]6 d0 \to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
0 `# X3 m: j( p, U7 emonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 5 K- l3 l' Y' k! r* P6 r4 X
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary0 G# j5 D! w# v% @( P
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic' _+ n4 C+ [7 p
developments.
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( V' P# O2 T# a2 j1 DInformation note:4 E7 j3 A* e. u
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update+ y& X) T) ]8 F6 l$ ?
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be/ m5 \) k5 v5 `
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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