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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market2 D0 P2 B0 v. k( B% \. [3 |
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
7 ]6 M- Q7 {# O R0 Nrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
2 Q+ E: l7 A8 J1 s% Xraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
7 u( }1 i) h: \3 j& ~( _# O! r. koperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
6 A; P! J9 H$ ^. l$ a4 b% `strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the" T+ u. o; U6 H1 O% t% b
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
- s7 Y* _8 r) v4 v, ~, U, nin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.6 p- J% L, \- ~8 [. a
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal, t6 u/ D- z" q+ X
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the- _4 D& f" I# k1 H; I
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result$ E2 o- Y: T p+ [, k* G
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an/ W- o" [% P' | ~3 D
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the' v( e3 o$ l: l3 z9 K
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
% ]9 S8 @9 T* L$ N6 c. E: C4 ]prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent3 ?" l' ?# k( ~7 F5 m h
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
7 G- v+ o: e; a+ }! V; I8 L. PGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
: V4 W) `9 C0 y% |/ m1 m2 g7 bincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more0 V& h) g/ F1 j. H2 O2 E
balanced recovery.) s7 `. D4 v/ }& s& L* |! l- F2 T
+ \+ P2 l; I1 T. G; ], R! {CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
+ k" N5 t5 ]( t3 [the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess2 `8 n% R \0 w$ x3 q& B! y+ [
supply.& B, P* M) R& T `; G
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and2 a$ G8 k! A( t7 z- e! }! g
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
8 ~; t4 W: h3 N- u3 }7 jmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 9 h& P( d. a! p' n& n7 S
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary1 |: O; r* K& K3 B* D0 q
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic7 k7 ~. r: T0 Z$ x: D
developments.( R' K9 C- r- t! D8 z! J' m1 R: ? l
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Information note:3 n5 O) j' i D; X1 V8 F
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update' ]' F$ z) B$ e2 }# }* g4 {- `
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
/ P3 d! Y2 D: ]. U" e9 epublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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