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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market$ r0 ?% x. I2 u7 m2 X) C
" E1 s; g9 M5 T* t! t# xOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
& `6 v2 K3 u+ I/ H$ n" ]rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
% W: L5 |0 v- U: M( v8 S* Vraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal$ A9 E0 w- n' u% ~1 w k1 g3 T
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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& C' Q5 n: _/ M, O5 ^1 N* g3 hThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
1 `; c* @ k8 _8 V: tstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the, S: l3 Y8 s6 d$ R
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness9 L- I0 a1 \3 \( T
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
9 p' {- \0 a2 ?' |" z( X# iIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal* s4 C, }6 f# Q% P) b' L' c& l
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
) F4 L1 x+ ^6 A" `$ f. }variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
9 ~! f# O% h0 Q; a! Pin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an. @ k* ^- ^# Y t: [) V4 m
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the0 \9 x* _/ B/ l* A! p; }) a) h+ g
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity# \& F+ J9 ^& I# h$ t
prices and some tightening of financial conditions." t2 W6 c, `" N
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent; [* U' H+ r/ a2 l; b: |
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.; y3 F8 S* Z& a+ g
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with# {6 Y' } Y$ `: j
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more( y4 F# U+ k( |" a2 S8 ~ ~
balanced recovery.
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) S8 K8 T, R- v0 }- y7 PCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects( S5 O, f6 y9 D: V
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess' a l# _$ {) X8 {
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and! A" v9 G: {: J+ U" R- L* y. y( ^8 p
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 7 k9 ]6 a2 I: [- K Q
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the " k" [3 ^; {" d6 a
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.! I$ |* q% x3 m* p( W/ w i
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
- d. W: u+ ^+ ?9 _; J" B9 b" qstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic: V; E) s" ^& n ]4 V
developments.
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Information note:) a4 J& d! f4 n8 u4 _& H' z1 i
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
& S4 [1 r$ G! q% @' r& hof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be: \; D5 w" l( P2 K3 @
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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