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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market" L! t( e0 ~$ D- O
2 e( ^2 P2 W- i# pOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight+ ?+ ~2 D% }' S
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
9 L7 z$ c+ p9 W# s3 hraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
2 A% x# Z1 D S! h. \operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.1 \/ U0 U0 {: y( Z/ O; u* L
, k8 b( Z- M/ {5 m$ dThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
' f5 C6 G; W0 Y' F8 Istrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the/ R# \; M! ]: N* P, m6 i
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
( v& ]. U: L6 _in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
6 e8 }4 u1 z$ d1 } o6 V5 zIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
5 m. p# v' S& Gstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the P1 G3 Z1 g5 \3 ~: j5 l
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
2 F4 K8 W! I- N: Min higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
5 Q. M/ f* L) q( l/ @$ b4 Vimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
% E4 X/ A- g$ nspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
7 A# k7 p( z* Q! D- O) e0 @/ xprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent. A) J5 c) c! o3 T6 Q
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
+ C/ Z7 [5 x2 O; _( _Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
1 x; Q6 S7 h0 R4 uincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
$ Q3 L! N1 r" Q# qbalanced recovery.
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3 a% R+ R/ p8 ]1 h! ^! t$ xCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
& @/ F- h T7 r: P t0 @the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess$ y8 g/ M1 c$ |* N! q( |7 ~
supply.
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) O2 ]& H) w" z! M5 R5 H7 \( qIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
# p) @$ w6 y; X4 R) r' a- E" U( qto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
) |, \$ U/ z2 r8 S2 L# |9 N9 ]monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
& l4 c% o+ n; Q% b* I, isignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
8 l9 T9 z; D( I3 astimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic: q6 k ]( P) U3 T! G0 v9 h+ J
developments.
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. S1 _0 x+ H5 f$ y( s% \. F& U$ JInformation note:1 l0 }3 G8 W5 o$ U
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update! L: o* s0 p- M8 u. I
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be- v4 u; q7 A, p
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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