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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
1 t" A7 G) t, srate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly8 `+ S; R! |( C
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal& Z8 R! Y7 ~4 p8 z8 V, J
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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+ O$ c6 {) N1 j$ BThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with9 v# E2 i" z! K/ @, v; e. A
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the3 C$ E; u. {( Y; r; N ^; `
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness' \! U" q8 L; u; G" X9 c7 H
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.( b, I, `1 N4 R9 K) }* t: K% b5 o
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal- D" B& [8 K* f, F% {- Y
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
: x7 ^7 c1 M1 S$ n8 b& G; d/ wvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result! U# s; G/ E% h" v" q
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an( h9 I5 x; k7 r8 n a
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
0 g& _6 x: ?4 A% Qspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity- H: ?0 ]1 _7 {
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent6 M; @0 R. y* c+ Z$ D
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
[5 }' j3 u: L: h% X: CGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with/ K( U' y$ L4 ~. |( u8 G
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
5 _( t s: U/ P: P6 F+ m7 B3 M- Zbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects5 g( b; @( K1 e! G- a$ e# X/ V
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
5 C2 [7 @8 S' X! {- H0 ?: h# Q6 x. Nsupply.
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1 {- ~" j" y( }" o" B9 vIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and2 c" s5 q& \8 ^' d- K
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
, V2 | u. N" f9 wmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
; F9 Q; B* p# T6 i6 }# q% t% Bsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.; N. l0 y; h* G5 W
8 y5 A) p# J& N; R) \. G/ jGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary0 R% |5 J5 z: ~. P& o, Y( h1 U
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
- R& r9 Z# F. O7 Q+ V0 Vdevelopments.
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D+ q3 _& C) d' v) x: C$ mInformation note:
* y* b: n, l. rThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
% x. T6 |2 B7 r* J/ D2 nof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be( m. B/ O% [0 w" M. i* f
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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