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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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$ s( p4 H# z. c, f8 w" wOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
X8 b3 J4 c; t2 b: w. F& C/ a% mrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
# T5 [0 X3 r* nraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal3 S( ~$ p5 m+ n; E* I
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.2 u3 I, v( l5 F i- R# p
3 @0 W! W+ T u( k% d+ |9 a$ SThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with" f5 N# E" U( V( d/ H
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the/ b% `. P7 G: t- }5 H; e
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness2 ~. k2 T0 S5 \$ Z* ^8 X' R
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
, b2 c9 W9 B( N* {" [In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal a& E8 e9 r8 b7 W
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the8 n1 v8 m* n/ N4 ?
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result6 l0 ? h- s/ \% [* q5 a
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
1 G4 l4 }) c% @. {, t ?important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the3 l( ]1 f; I0 Z7 L. b: {! z2 p7 I+ w
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
& C, Q0 S- C( h' Eprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
6 e- t+ o7 o Q9 k9 [ I9 f, K+ Rin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
" o" c3 A, H w# E1 EGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
6 R& S8 ^ o$ c4 Nincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
) B' Z0 q/ X- v- H1 N q/ t! @balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects, r! y% b1 P h* ~4 n: ^" }2 c
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
@2 C3 Y3 u3 h# ^& h8 G& Nsupply." F' u; v5 i U6 J0 n- ^ D: l1 l' o
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and: W5 F& R" n) P0 A4 e
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
$ r& l5 D. ]0 z; Xmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
6 c7 o$ Z& B$ }% T1 R/ P# b0 ^significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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& K; [& |6 ~, c2 sGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
7 L2 l& P6 M5 mstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
+ t# U5 O5 u3 p- Fdevelopments.' n( P. l) c% x, b6 d s$ y* ?
2 K/ `, d8 y, TInformation note:
2 q& Z# E! Q; m) K. oThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
* g. I& {# b y. Zof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
" H0 b0 ^! F5 n$ ~. w& h# ^; w2 Kpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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