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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight) ]! u9 A& ~1 i4 i' X0 l1 a
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly6 D @5 ~) b K; L1 U' M
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal5 P/ V1 U( {, Z* H- c6 l5 v9 B
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.) L2 n. z& O: i5 m
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with& `- o0 e6 G& J0 J T
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
; l: i9 T3 A0 ?United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness. L2 C$ b; q- m# ^) i2 k
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
|" p5 t- m! a/ w/ N! }+ ~$ J% _In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
( ~1 X$ V: B7 `) {5 x" m- |stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
) y; z. {, ^) zvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
& Q% g& k/ [6 |# t8 T: ]" ein higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an. L0 I b7 M# [
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the1 o% K* |! p& \& p5 I7 i( c+ J3 `
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
! H5 Y9 ]% z( G9 g ]prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
1 D! N' W6 e+ ^" }in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.+ w! F/ M' j; e8 q4 W# x/ Y
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with- Y3 _0 ^% r, e
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
* \/ s4 L- }, v. xbalanced recovery." S" E+ i. m: I: |9 f/ [: E: F
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
# \) b, N0 D' I) ?# e& Vthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
+ p; x2 d0 X( B" y3 _" [supply.8 |5 o9 _7 e3 L
" f P# g# y) c6 l# s# M) R. ^In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
' u: F) I3 k7 `to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
. E* M+ v2 A! u/ Y9 Q' emonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the # U/ }8 C& V0 P! W( P
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.4 P. g) @$ y* B
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
% l% l1 T" R! P* ?$ estimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic3 H) d3 B Z0 B9 E* }: i3 g
developments.
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Information note:
# y3 P4 ^ P4 ~+ p/ IThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
$ r5 O/ a( y' w# R- Qof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
3 i( e+ ~6 R$ `6 i! c6 Opublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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