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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market2 D& I3 P# S" z
; J6 W" b& [' |7 [& j/ TOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
1 v" Q, p/ J+ z+ U1 W! b( mrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly0 w w2 G4 v& p& T
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
4 ?7 I5 r8 i7 W coperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
" R7 A9 }4 w) i5 h3 S( xstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
7 p9 O6 M2 N. A, N1 OUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness6 t. {" o1 s& V1 `* P' X
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.& H) Q' v! e& ^, c6 m1 D' {. E
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal/ W& z8 }' d6 E& W- M
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the/ {8 T/ R( g! E9 ?3 E! @& ?$ v
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result8 Q3 g4 P0 X2 s) k6 d2 L. L
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
8 F# \1 B+ {0 G9 Iimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the. L2 o. [$ H% |0 k2 u; N+ K
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity7 H3 a) a) i0 j2 U9 M2 B" `
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.* M, V1 C/ ~" m) V, L
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
4 K5 M& `: y. [% y$ Ain the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
! J5 [" h% p J5 ?) @- y/ o% z. \Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with6 T1 \- H) Y# r2 C: Y9 Z5 U
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
. ? ]+ y5 L! z1 ]balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects% r/ j5 G# K: | ], Q1 \
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
% ]2 e. Z) \# L! h tsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and1 e: R9 D( I6 U
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable , l e, D5 O6 n
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 0 O1 b- ^# X6 \1 |9 z. K9 b
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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$ G o; e' d8 @+ u. }Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
0 ^% D3 L% k2 y, j5 Z1 wstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic4 D0 b' ~# m- B' L# Y
developments.
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2 d3 Q1 ?: T) N. u% mInformation note:
5 F- ]7 F" I( M/ `1 NThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update; h0 R% ^/ p& r" K( w/ A
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be/ L7 ?3 R7 Z' J3 x
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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