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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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1 _, X9 }7 n+ S; {* |7 s6 [, M& ZOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
9 {9 Q, m g4 rrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
- z- \8 n, F5 G$ Vraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
# m; q0 x8 q" _3 P" _+ f4 C' Goperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.4 B0 D/ |, q: y2 Y
# `& Z+ @6 Q7 m# _$ |The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
% W4 A# w; k! W6 g( F3 }( m: Vstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the F3 a' i% t; v5 p4 y; j; B
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness. A% c# ]* N) E
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
0 u2 C8 Z" K" k* uIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal9 |8 d) ^+ N" u# A
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the$ S: h: G$ R2 _- l
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result" @6 c* s% D1 P: z) j. }& O: Q; @
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
9 f" Q2 i8 C4 O& E Fimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
4 l5 y0 ?0 B- T0 ^' xspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity0 Y% z, r# ^' D
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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! S) j/ S- n/ P% WActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
/ [4 k: w B/ k( ein the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
4 l+ [8 |3 p8 D, ~" d$ nGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with* S' _! Q. o3 u+ I& [3 T6 K/ L
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
, `1 m7 A3 q! c1 Sbalanced recovery.4 {! Q' _3 _6 G _- u! M3 U
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects5 @* [* v# a9 ?$ m* p
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess! y+ c: O- ^( x2 u6 A* c# g$ J7 K
supply.
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- E- ^& [. W$ ~In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
& h+ d% h: c: ~" Ito re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
* `& I3 ]3 O4 M! u2 N% \# Z% Rmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 3 ?" E$ |. F, p. X* _' x( Y
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary. e( a+ v3 J) R& s, e$ w' ?4 V
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic4 b6 ~# G' D- B' S( y
developments.' W% h3 h2 b! a: N) J
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Information note:
/ Z6 i1 j. V' Z: V# `+ AThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update" G- S/ E& K* ~* h6 E/ _! e
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
- Y2 d1 G$ J- W7 Z2 A5 L( Hpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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