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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight0 n0 T) O2 ~; T* r
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
; @1 Y+ i. k: Wraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
" a! y8 ^7 V: |7 d4 Z7 b8 {% boperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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( n7 t: ~6 R, v+ C6 g7 iThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with, x( Y0 J. `3 Q( m4 m( a
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
2 m8 E9 Z2 Q* m+ y! V: dUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
) w) I* i9 X' P$ G6 W2 e. Nin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.3 r; O% m# @$ F; R
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
/ t9 B2 a+ h8 i& [stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
. H$ O- P2 v2 `/ ?7 D% D5 X9 x) dvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
9 a& d8 j+ }3 rin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an# ]- ? `: K2 b+ J3 f% z5 D
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
8 [/ T' a& a# S& J Rspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity# O0 v. ~5 \! i+ C! t6 w
prices and some tightening of financial conditions. V9 H6 N( w" Y: g+ z+ d/ U
7 B& P. c6 a" P; H8 IActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent& N6 p& W: d0 [& g1 D
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
2 n; g" c h. I _6 j# uGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
5 d% c( d( j4 Z! F3 zincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more( M2 o9 F7 d, W8 D! {- S
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
6 s9 N3 q/ X; w0 Othe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
! Q z1 B" N; c! Lsupply.
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! t- K" K6 j3 G) ^9 I5 ?- \In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
: g1 J G9 |8 H* e2 q; [to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ! t/ R0 g8 n3 Q3 c% E/ h9 @
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
% [5 M N3 n$ M" G9 jsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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! e. ^3 ]7 a9 X. F4 TGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
2 i+ ]' y! p! c. A R3 G2 Cstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic2 f) Y" M H7 Z
developments.
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! @' T. s2 f/ [8 H3 t% T1 Q% TInformation note:6 _% O- g8 @% S b
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
" U8 N. ]' C" v8 B% h4 Z: D r$ sof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
7 g1 D" }; X, L1 O1 Mpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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