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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
3 l! h& p' t& drate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly$ A y( m% G# q% B$ k4 I
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal$ f- g5 U' d7 {+ t5 {
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with% } i7 a t# X! W6 M7 X! o/ D
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
% p" S+ @" s l$ JUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness0 J# Y! v' T1 Y1 K: p p
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.9 k5 d$ M; u4 O0 A1 C
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
; c. s0 O6 B; h# X4 Tstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
1 P! I' [) e6 \! E+ }variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
* R0 ^% a% o$ |$ V+ [7 nin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
; c7 E \# H3 }' b" R( Dimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
9 q L& t( V. {# Q$ @& i# Kspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity+ Z: l3 I/ _, O0 N1 x7 V
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent# a9 d5 S M; P
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
5 e' [6 G3 W( ?" M( C- EGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
9 b$ k9 T" `$ g+ }# u9 Uincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
/ E% L/ X$ @, U# D7 n4 b0 N' Hbalanced recovery.' b; y# C) E( d+ C. R1 E3 X& c
: e" m$ w7 q) QCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
0 Q! W/ }2 X9 G3 W$ ~the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
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1 {. O: q$ N' e' Z( c1 Y2 h2 d8 QIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and) A2 w$ q/ c# u a: k6 k6 [
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
3 |: ^3 c3 N) X& B1 {; k3 f$ jmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the , ]( E7 J5 {4 w: ~( {) q
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery." @6 w8 C9 m+ x* c; E6 ?
3 b# v2 _' x9 d6 |3 oGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
- y i9 Y* Z! ]stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
* o' K; S/ E* a8 |0 G: q( wdevelopments.% f) c1 [8 L# v1 L; k
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Information note:7 ]8 ~$ S' I# E" {6 F7 C7 m
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update4 A& P9 Y B+ C0 W/ \$ V9 O- t4 V, ]
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
8 d) q# w; E/ J8 U" ?1 z) I" Ypublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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