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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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# } E) X+ [4 t/ w/ I. C1 q# GOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
+ B+ Y# o) O( F& P2 U* U: a1 {rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
! f7 h: d; V8 A; braised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal0 }: g4 ?' T" R
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with0 C% ]; R2 d6 X r) l6 E" o1 q
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the$ _4 p" S5 [8 v' }/ t7 n5 ~. `
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
9 g6 p8 j6 Y4 n' \' A5 r. _in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
' R* k5 E. R( b* E' PIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal" d! T$ u. i0 ~) L
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the/ F; [2 U$ H5 C
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
M$ t4 u0 r7 h/ T7 B" r8 @in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
/ q$ q/ v* ?$ r- b, Y! p. Iimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the- J S! U4 A- Y" L4 E
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity/ o; U2 o& ?: K0 {
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.% R* @/ n; [9 l# x
+ u* F1 }# A% P0 rActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent3 \7 p$ J2 Y B6 D
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
6 y5 ]* {" G# h; v6 q+ _! XGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
+ k# M3 A: t5 d+ S6 {income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
( M1 j* S, Q# E m) ?; j& Obalanced recovery.. U" m8 J" o& i; ]- i: y9 e1 ?- l
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
2 w( L' K0 v" ~: ~% Athe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
- U# N, d. s5 l+ |supply.
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9 v$ H( e( h4 d A1 S" AIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
$ T. J) q9 E/ H& A/ B/ M% gto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
( T+ z& F. o* |! e! ]/ Fmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ( Z0 y) D' p9 c
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery." }% f8 p j! |. M' w* ^* _
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary$ K9 C$ [# r, i L) h5 D
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
9 E% X+ Q- t& W; { K+ [developments.
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8 L, d5 G# B1 k1 C1 zInformation note:
7 e1 a; s, p) o9 ^" NThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
8 X+ h2 o( }! |: U2 @5 Mof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
0 ^$ m+ u) t3 m# d2 H5 B( h2 @* o& Hpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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