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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market( U3 ~0 L% _. `5 @1 V- y
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight, y0 } d/ ?# E2 T+ R l) [
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly- c/ b5 C& L; c: t& k
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
, k% D" o9 S7 eoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.2 ]! T2 Z3 n! u) J" P
9 D: W4 x* |- d( }' vThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
* q- y" R3 y0 a1 |- E2 Nstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
; {0 V' _+ H& kUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness2 @* ?0 m7 Q1 W6 u% S
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized." ~8 h( X; ]5 q& g; A0 J
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal: k4 \5 }* b, N+ ]* v! [
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
; V/ C" ^) {1 Q$ N3 S; Cvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result' Y) Z4 G V. i" E4 I
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an# O. K% {# W9 [6 [8 }# b" L* P
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the9 d; x1 {$ q0 }5 e' g. S" t! Q
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity5 C }7 B+ v% }
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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6 a1 B, N' W7 A( U5 f- q% s, N! h9 uActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent/ _) F. Y, u- E- g& _) u$ \2 h
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.! w4 o3 u+ e# Y
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
8 g2 j" W; `; ^+ @4 zincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
& H) F+ j* W$ X/ obalanced recovery./ l; F- l6 s- Q" f
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects: r3 f9 @3 |, C
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess, t; E& h; C5 P- @5 O
supply.! G/ ^5 i$ y. g( M$ K
9 ]+ @. Y* b0 k5 \: G# ^In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and3 a1 }$ b% X' [/ M) J
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable . w4 e: O8 n% r* R; Z8 }
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
' P7 l! K) G, f7 Psignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.& x7 }8 | d9 ?
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary- m0 x! }! h7 l% G2 q1 P
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
4 h* U) Y: [, F zdevelopments.4 }" b, h9 X9 D1 \' y& X, K: R
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Information note:
& m6 w( r' b8 w3 {5 R# x1 G: r3 w: _) fThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update4 K2 @5 }! O8 `2 i. F- g7 m0 l0 i1 C& |
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
' l- s" H G! m+ \8 L8 Ypublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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