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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market' B+ t4 b. g8 K: L' C$ S3 N
8 K" H6 s/ ~9 T! L2 q2 Z3 mOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight7 r3 e" f# H; F% V; z" z0 C1 ~
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
4 }5 |; c; ~3 |1 mraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal* Y/ J' F! B& D6 O( W
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.) Z' H5 P x* R2 h5 F
/ }% b5 {9 l0 EThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with) k9 S) U3 ?( y8 b
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the$ ^# r8 p* X) M1 {, s( W
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness/ a+ _7 C2 R: R2 Y
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.7 C @( e+ c+ T- e, l& Q
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
5 J6 I! ?1 V; P: }1 ]1 Rstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
+ U. w$ |0 A1 A" f6 C- Uvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
! r! T0 `- C& p5 ?in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
3 g# p) z7 L6 ^. q! Kimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the' L S7 ~9 {3 m1 o
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity5 J; L& l( q% ]; c% f
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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) F; A$ x+ N; b# [Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent- V: J+ ?3 T( c; }% ?: F! m
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.! F- @) u6 q" g- X
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with o; _( o3 F5 i9 F, F
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
$ x+ B8 H# |, j5 n/ Ebalanced recovery.* E, G* i# Z' O- z
8 u) \ j* e3 d( C1 O1 I7 ^CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
/ v6 d0 W: O( wthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess# a# T* {# {/ J% S: j3 b' G g
supply.
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. Q: T5 {- ]$ P; P7 FIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
6 X5 s, k) i/ B ]' k+ Pto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ! G/ A' q2 R1 }$ x
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the - Z5 U- \0 X; H: s% t
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.$ D) w: [. G4 R6 q
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
F5 a8 q8 U8 d8 v1 Sstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
8 ]9 X, \3 z) u" c) i" w7 T4 Kdevelopments.9 z- @+ O) \8 a5 z% z+ p4 f
+ s9 ?0 u5 A0 x; @7 K2 JInformation note:
( H8 h' U( ]7 {; p' ] n e3 LThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
1 T9 M* }) z9 E$ o% x% E% v6 a$ ?of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
3 r, K1 G3 F( c1 w$ A% H) Fpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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