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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market6 ?3 D& u8 K# t
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
8 j1 J7 M0 A( C; Zrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly/ E. y: d; s( H! A& |1 x
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
# k4 ]2 f$ g* s v7 d0 coperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.! k, n: ]: X" u: P: f: @
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
, L5 E$ m2 g; l+ ~. a/ g nstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the d. o' B" C: d* @6 y
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
7 A, e% n" ]; Zin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
0 E' F! B' |8 H( @8 @& B: A$ rIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
( k: f& n! b$ L: tstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the4 B3 Z H$ T3 d' x7 F+ Q9 Y
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result! C/ W4 y7 V2 T: {- {# c7 ^
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an5 B" l9 G; d! Y/ D
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
. h9 B' `, l0 d9 ^- ?spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity2 v' Y6 Z# }3 |# U: H5 E4 i
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
2 F' z# @* O* Tin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
$ q9 N' X- a0 U$ C* E/ H% OGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with3 {6 O4 p% [7 Y; J
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more/ r! R* y- b/ @! g% Y2 j, y
balanced recovery.( q7 i, b2 v6 C* O# ^
# g* p# c! Y9 Z5 \CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
1 t; c; {# R+ W1 \8 }# N% `6 m3 @the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess! I p r* y& [4 J! a1 M! @
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and% @0 f/ j" a* u
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 4 ?) D" h+ E; z" V
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 4 ~. p3 g% H% G
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
- a3 S6 C1 e6 n/ wstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic3 U" z; R/ ?" Y" Z C# N z3 Z
developments.
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% R) `- W. b$ a! c+ o4 H4 G* aInformation note:
: d5 A+ f# }/ d! {7 LThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
, G6 \, |) u! M& W/ j- Mof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be7 E7 g4 M( I3 ]/ v) g( i
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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