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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
7 d# W* ]* e4 Srate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
' G8 ?/ n, [& @( n7 Nraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
7 l" V# M5 `/ d' J8 ~& zoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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8 N; W6 T4 C7 e7 X2 ]9 f1 P- IThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with. s4 p( `. \$ G4 x( Y0 I; b& W
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
# `; g* j$ [4 u4 T* V" mUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
6 z) c4 m6 n0 `. E2 L# z% yin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
. `1 k- h8 D7 t$ Q- g+ w% b; tIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal' F A' j2 j8 s3 m) Y: f
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the7 a. J, a4 r, F/ O: J1 ^. H
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
W6 j' J1 ^8 Kin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
0 M9 z4 i& Q* e& {! X" Eimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the, r% L* T5 d R; p$ e
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
# k/ a2 i0 K( `+ b1 [prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent. \, X- E# J9 V7 o$ w9 u1 U
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.0 Q; ^4 C j7 e9 h+ c) P5 M
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with! v5 j8 i! Y" H6 f: b& }, \6 O" ~
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more" h, t1 F) f# p1 f* l( Z, p" i
balanced recovery.% [( [& [. }% b! ]" O2 b
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
+ g7 m/ k4 h- R+ c H% A P, Ythe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess/ Y' J! E1 O+ n ~) s2 d) m
supply.2 o) t2 \6 Z8 b3 B) V" }/ w$ b' e
! Q7 }' E, h. nIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
2 |5 o6 w# `3 o2 U3 i& Sto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 2 J$ v- O2 O- K2 o- P
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
9 S7 O: v, A5 P3 W% ^significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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% H$ r5 r& R8 @/ YGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary6 J8 H! K1 V' ^6 [6 b2 Y. i
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic# n- T' m$ y2 h/ c4 z+ w
developments.
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- m# E1 ?% t4 K" wInformation note:
) |" e ~5 h- U' l5 gThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update! m7 {* k+ k. P0 R; Z- V
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be3 W5 l) E: {9 G, k
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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