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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market2 Y, t6 g* z+ A+ r4 o& Z, h
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
" ?* x, J; x' w, f2 Drate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly% C' {' {3 u- l4 g$ s
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal5 N- V. d7 C- j) O: L! ~ R
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.9 n1 `3 u9 F: |) ]" B3 X$ C
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with, V/ F" [5 W9 A! A. e# W, z. H
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
5 r* `/ X! |! u6 P. J6 KUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness8 Y1 o) [1 G2 t3 q; k/ i* \
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.9 r0 M m4 O) E# X+ ?" ~$ Q/ F
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
3 b$ M: | p, J" Ustimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the6 y, n+ \: _) G" {6 O- B
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
! ^" Q" J5 @# m5 N4 I( Q0 \: Tin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
0 P. `9 }! w7 x8 C# \4 @& E% b0 X1 Fimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
# Y$ x% N! `+ P2 V0 E5 Dspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity8 q5 D- A- W0 \0 {" Z
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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. f/ a3 o7 Z! i( P5 Q, r+ VActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
2 x; u0 O/ y5 c; p, m2 Q' C9 lin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
# ?) U: e5 m& UGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
2 k. m) N: W& g: fincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more) Q' x7 v/ w# t" U
balanced recovery.
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9 [4 N! _: S& PCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects+ z3 x$ v- R' }( |9 J
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess" b; h8 [8 ]2 q9 Y7 `+ v4 R
supply.
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. V7 `( B: x/ o: ^( lIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and5 O: m& T( b6 p
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
4 Z* d4 B. N! i4 D3 W- x6 M' {monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
- L9 g8 d$ E, ?& b5 L: h esignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.# {4 ~- l. p; l5 ^8 n! k
4 D3 S2 @5 @ d. D `% o0 [2 {( EGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary" U# O0 ~: n# R$ c0 P# V& Q, v
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
8 Q% S+ ~. L$ y& u, z5 h- ~developments.. ?* k) l5 [* n: B0 d2 |
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Information note:! I7 w& n9 n. c# j
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
5 [& P4 o7 l. D: O- c, F9 B1 fof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
. j/ o+ D; f3 [8 Z: @published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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