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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight. G$ l) O$ G* X2 Y# v4 }) V1 L2 g
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly4 l% B- H3 O) `0 d: a
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
, r3 H# V- H# N: l9 S' voperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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; ?, r. r! S+ k5 [The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with( H' G: Q; l) O5 y5 E
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the" c! G) G5 j, m r9 H
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
! ^5 c! t6 L4 U2 ein Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
6 `( V* l+ j. p: c$ b: `1 a9 h( _In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
/ j: ^ @; ~1 y; \4 S$ rstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the1 A& \; q/ o$ j/ \+ ?: x! ~
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result* `) }4 v% Z; m% q
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
& m, B' H# T$ @( Zimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
- [& [& {! ~* X! z% Wspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
' e7 Y: G' j2 Rprices and some tightening of financial conditions.! D( P3 e6 M; N! }& m% }+ J
+ O% l: [4 U } M% Y( ]$ b1 X/ K; ZActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent6 o3 l$ e6 Q- W/ \1 g& g0 K5 s0 a7 e( G6 a
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.: O' t, B5 E: o# d* u
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with$ i6 D$ S' {3 a" }
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
' C7 u2 x8 b/ P" q$ _balanced recovery.- T2 D% [3 S& L+ g
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
, u6 d8 w& }( @2 c. Uthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
1 |; t9 J' _; xsupply.! f: Z5 H, v+ G0 s/ D9 ]
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and7 B$ [/ _1 i* }, m
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 4 x. J0 j2 X7 D- d
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
+ S# H7 a2 O. D8 q8 i0 N0 ], csignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.( I% E9 F. I3 q& c4 i
$ ?9 r/ D. |6 v9 n+ QGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
- E h' r$ `7 e7 ~% x% kstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
8 ]/ ^+ u% e, i' v' I) L: A' |developments.
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Information note:
3 p! X) W j* SThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
- M7 H" O9 d) b4 R, [of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be9 B; R7 }- K# W5 c4 d
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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