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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
% @5 w6 U9 Y' r: M g) Yrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
# Z7 P4 r' Q# _raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
' K. T9 d8 o7 w) X1 aoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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1 f+ C4 x6 J# ]' F, tThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with# H) {7 C1 S% P- b
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the$ L: ?% O, U r# d( \: e1 l% s
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness; \& N' ^: C) ? \
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
: Z$ O2 j4 h& l3 JIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal: c& B9 P, _1 q7 N6 E
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the, X: u2 i O$ ^
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
3 T2 h2 b$ ] n- E2 R1 @9 D; S. Jin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
' a e" R* O7 l D3 ~important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
7 u5 Q. H4 {) S' n$ yspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity# j1 d6 p/ z! x- y9 G9 G0 e& f
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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- ?% X4 v: H }9 {Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent& i$ t! y' |, S: @- Z0 l, z
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.' K- H% t4 I: I9 g
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
" o. S3 ?' _9 m+ Q( n' A8 ]income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
; S6 W2 b/ a" ~% X9 i9 ]/ b0 Ibalanced recovery.
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# @- X$ [; n9 i8 d5 L7 t; y# w. G- BCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
0 [5 M6 D# s; K* `the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess* f7 Q5 t# b4 C- R: o
supply.( A. e( P& E$ w, \- T# k/ d! W! t
0 M9 m. Z3 |0 c/ M3 `& Q' x6 \1 `7 sIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and' u3 ]6 V) m: c. | `8 e J
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
. z7 }" P1 Q+ l6 s8 Zmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
4 c( S. c8 S" k& x. b; {* z- o: Psignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery. }% |( w+ b' t7 j
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary, b9 S# I0 Q' w2 L/ a" q
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic4 P; w/ C4 ~1 b5 p' ~
developments." Q: f5 x0 p* Z+ d. `! K; e/ y' f
2 s1 z7 G+ G, v# b: c* WInformation note:
1 u4 c, F: Q1 {9 ]The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update, D+ k0 j7 f# l
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be* p$ Z6 b; l% J5 k8 @
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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