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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market/ {* h# s, l0 W# q. V! ]/ U4 K
( r: m' f& p% k8 m9 I9 uOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
7 g h3 h7 S, r' j/ P4 ^# grate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
1 @/ R6 O" |) i3 @- graised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal# `$ Q% k* G7 Z4 ?7 u. K1 o
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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/ K6 P4 n, v7 z0 j, hThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
3 \, C d. l/ u" c8 Pstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
. Y! M# e6 T' o1 E: _7 j! aUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
1 H6 T" o$ V0 E* _ B" k* kin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
$ g$ V2 P* P. v$ Q3 K- LIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
# Y" f2 s2 z' ystimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the* k3 w1 y9 H r9 z+ ]; H
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
' ] E. N" D# T/ k9 s% A. O. A1 p& ein higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an+ n* P: C2 @( \9 u% S: @; H1 [
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the* u6 z. I/ Q$ n5 J. |' }* f
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
q" T% G9 n d2 _3 kprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent! f/ s4 h- P. @: s, f$ v2 M8 t
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.! V" f* g" `- }0 ]2 _% w0 W
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with- f" A% z' U+ o9 |. A: w
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
" a- q2 X0 X* i8 p; s) V/ }balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects* f. }' o4 X4 H D: _ h8 R V
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess9 I @/ E1 M* x: k' s8 d1 `
supply.7 v( }9 Y2 k' o8 P& r* |# g4 y
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
/ S2 j, B! @8 t+ m# b# oto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable & S% B) I4 L1 L% D. \- j- E
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
) U# j( j$ E7 ~8 S5 j, ]6 o: msignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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: |3 }+ q- U5 q5 Q2 tGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
6 w2 C. E8 S, v- K3 U5 vstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
7 l7 V; N( P! f- T9 ddevelopments.
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# o {0 X1 \& u, P# `" z4 ~Information note:
) g+ L7 u0 Y/ C& _7 NThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update) S! N+ `# ~$ W/ F$ M& {5 _
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be# Y& N8 y2 _1 c
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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