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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market. E9 N4 x% k" C- [% L O
3 X- j. [- L: P7 \1 Y+ B; ^* Q" lOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight# N$ M2 ]$ s1 g# S
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
0 E% x- S# g: s) F uraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal" F% D1 T6 z9 x6 h# i( e4 n0 Z/ m: G# H. J
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
$ t/ p% Z; R/ b2 H( M+ n$ S2 t4 [strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
$ d! b' p$ r" v: {/ z @" eUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness5 Q- {- ?1 @5 T: ~
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.7 b. n4 C# e( o. w# W$ [
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
1 t5 ~' }9 F/ U% k6 R$ tstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the& J2 y! G0 M7 R
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
( W+ K3 o1 l6 m8 @9 ]7 _/ fin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
" m6 E/ F+ m6 ]3 N! `# Rimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the; e D& Z2 |/ h5 W. J0 H4 t8 j8 D
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity @( R2 O5 U |0 ^2 v# k/ ]
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.7 [* c1 K {, n1 h' r
' I# Z- v1 I1 D' iActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent9 d8 o3 S& Y5 ?( C. i
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
! W) k4 D2 m7 W4 o8 e* uGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with- N3 H( x5 G! D8 u
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
. B8 ^6 u) }3 d/ ?" S5 z4 U& Qbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects% T+ L/ y3 ^' Z5 _% C$ v
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
' t4 { R) P; f" s, }/ b q9 Tsupply.- s5 Z9 H- _' W
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and0 N9 y0 s7 U; g- d5 m8 Z% e
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
" E! T0 p7 ]1 w, `' cmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 9 W2 B. ?% h: g" B# Y4 q
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.- w5 V+ b6 k) e' J
+ l- N4 K" O! f0 X7 z' V& b; F! ?: \: hGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
& ^1 v6 @+ r- z6 |# Pstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic3 t3 c, a3 L' F" ~2 {' d$ R
developments.0 \; ]3 w8 Y) j/ b
6 g- l$ g! p4 J, k( |" ` C4 QInformation note:4 N f' b; k& z0 H7 w+ i
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update) s; i4 i% s% S" U
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
7 ?/ _5 |' d5 B) O4 B* }$ Lpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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