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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight& I/ n7 W- n7 \# }1 {: d2 U
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly+ f5 E& ?) D5 ?1 }
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal8 |0 I7 i2 Q3 ?; F0 I/ s2 K* V
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.3 y: @$ ?! z1 W; L" w+ j8 d
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
; {5 Q/ E. a0 _" F% Hstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the# @8 N6 [5 Y) x. c- e$ d& M
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
: O9 V3 B) A) sin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.9 V1 [ C2 f3 c, k0 o5 v3 K/ O
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal+ H0 T1 U5 C0 n/ q6 @
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
4 g( J6 Z/ n) e Y) g1 w- Rvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result- Q% E* W$ Y g6 k/ ~( x
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
% G$ a) g0 F. G* rimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
6 c2 O' Q' i- f& uspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
5 [3 n( {, g6 Jprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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% m5 r; @7 j, }6 a8 s; tActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent! G) B2 b8 p: ~- J/ W0 O4 ?
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
3 E, I- @' j) f. S! V }8 G. RGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
! A# }7 q1 V) m8 N3 H Aincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more) n2 ?6 X. [' U @) F H" j
balanced recovery.
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+ p8 k8 ~, R0 d5 O2 kCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
4 m% y4 E3 Y% _ Q7 h7 k$ ?3 nthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess# }, K G! G; v
supply.9 b+ i. a. U+ J4 ?0 `
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
, e j F- }8 z H+ Gto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable - c/ b) s$ v$ N% N/ H l# [
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 0 s& S7 M% ~! y1 M8 p! M
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
; m5 k% j @: C' w( A; wstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic) ]; S3 \" m7 N4 n
developments.6 [- ^1 ~( p% R3 H
* g: G- X: @* b. d$ iInformation note:7 M3 {4 o9 G. d0 ], p' O
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update; Z+ r7 e6 j( n' N1 T
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
2 c* e5 `% I! A! gpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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