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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market( S6 N7 \ N4 b8 K% I6 k/ E
2 J* X8 |2 p. l6 {, ~3 vOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
; D! m9 w. t% ]4 B7 F5 erate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
0 s6 r) [' R8 a4 ]raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal6 m9 s5 Z$ {' O
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with: E: g, E; c0 h1 N
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
/ [1 O7 }5 q' Q6 HUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness0 P8 p Z& J2 s( i. `' _
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.' R/ [# D n3 b) a: a5 c r- M" j7 o0 [
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal1 e. x2 D$ q ~( n* E4 e. x
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the# N1 C3 p5 k K( S
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
6 D1 C6 B$ Y; [3 w* n/ Sin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an: ~8 i/ ?: B$ _1 T
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the8 W% P* v) Q, W9 p& B2 |
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity& U2 k+ E7 c" L, U2 |& t
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.+ U! M& G7 v) u. W: ^$ ^! x
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent& G2 h, Z+ `; @+ Q- i( N
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.( ~9 n2 P. H# ]) I, F& p% |
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
% b4 J' q2 |. n% j2 r4 lincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more- r/ W! r* z, y$ n
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects& U$ J* n& c( q* W& F
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess" f* r$ T- W+ x$ o0 ?
supply.1 g h; ~0 r% r
( b9 y+ Z7 M6 t" h" V1 n: U8 [In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
' B/ @( p) {) f2 ]6 i7 gto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ( {- |: g4 P! z$ I) I9 r
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
. f! j& ]/ }2 |# Ysignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.! \: q) b) Y' Z+ y
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
% H$ c3 O7 i0 v6 Y2 }) T# Y1 Kstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic6 M \* c; g( c0 h3 S
developments. B" X7 ]- W- l
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Information note:& G! u& i% c* t* R3 T9 G8 T
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
7 A. C4 f. b$ L( K/ V vof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
& _! |& \6 r( T" c/ {0 Hpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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