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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market/ D2 n- [4 j4 N9 J
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight- a" n4 J$ h' w' w' i% T; K
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly5 I7 y e( R" ~+ U: E7 T% g
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
( C+ j4 f4 p6 ]# V# W0 E1 soperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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- T! I$ p: f4 f: S4 kThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with+ I3 q0 j3 d7 p# ^& I; A
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the0 ` h+ Q# V9 L2 E V
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness# Q& C- x1 I2 g' R/ \& v- L
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
9 Y+ B% @; m: x/ @# y7 qIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
8 N. ?: S7 d1 ]* W7 Xstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
5 c( E' ~/ m; A o9 C1 Y. }variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
5 V! C1 @# z( f0 l( \: r+ N0 p {in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
( r' h% u& e( \$ I; nimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the( v/ A5 z9 [/ h0 t
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
2 S- T$ n" H4 v( h9 v3 H5 Nprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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1 W6 {2 ~8 X6 K, mActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent' a+ q- T; S$ \, O: J/ s+ Y, j7 [& d
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.7 A# e% N+ a5 ` j
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with; d: ]6 h" K# N# q6 P$ U- o
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more7 r2 n" `3 B3 {; o) q# C
balanced recovery.1 T7 M" s5 U* x# L9 t- `
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
2 C; C' U. B. F3 {8 d9 y9 A p" \the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
2 L* B7 t. c. Y) b; @supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and& D& [( r3 R& C1 h
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable , f' p1 |0 e$ }* F4 q
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
% U) R+ S1 M6 U% P- B: n9 S( ?+ [significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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3 \1 C* [( V$ Y8 R1 [ S* v- y6 T, CGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
7 U5 {5 n! z3 H. ]1 m1 qstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic- e ]" y* f( h- Z
developments.
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7 s, q y0 }/ t2 A g; \( H$ hInformation note:
7 p) N# c7 K9 I: J( w/ yThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update) y7 w. |% ?, c2 u
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
2 Z3 {* r* ?- Mpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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