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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market+ @- U2 q) A0 c. o" r% x# `: x( i3 ?
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
/ f. P! _' ^3 U. i2 ~rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
. l$ M% u% j$ Q' H% mraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
7 V S; p6 m9 s1 g- s& soperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.5 ?8 M; ^: `7 K1 j7 u% a
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with' e# ?* p* ?. R/ n1 O
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
7 |' o9 Y8 I( ?1 J1 z7 L4 HUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
3 e* t' i0 ~5 k4 b; y" ^in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized./ G7 i {! `' @$ J, _
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
6 Z9 j w p! _# Y+ l @stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
a+ {, }8 t' ^/ O8 Z3 |1 P _variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
! B. x, |. o7 O. Tin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an+ O) @ u. j" E; K) |' @
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the1 ^ i' r1 F2 i: G$ \
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
( f% {- P0 W9 Y) ^5 o H, Tprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
( ~+ I, ?: t& T0 Y2 R5 H( T# _: X# ^& W; `
Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
# k0 P' R- d: _8 @in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
8 o/ t9 G# N# h6 t" K2 `Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
P% u5 v& Z6 o5 _9 N& @8 Tincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
& x+ w( O: H' t1 w$ Z* ~balanced recovery.: }( j2 |6 U/ S' {' {" P9 x
3 n- X w/ H! M4 l. MCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
: h: D/ R- {4 m. `) kthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess) {; v4 ]( ^$ |3 K5 H
supply.$ X, w4 s/ ^4 N- L& e
# i; t- A4 r- x3 ?" Z1 k) V5 tIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and" M/ U+ q: y# K2 c: S4 y5 g; {
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable / [" L1 w* p& d# l
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ) T$ l9 e( j2 H( v7 j! L
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.( W: v& {$ @, y0 j$ l
8 F" x# M& @# k/ _5 e: L+ R WGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
# Y! f6 V5 f l" `: bstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
5 m# h1 }. w+ A a5 b2 Idevelopments.
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+ a/ v/ Z+ T. U2 m( w7 IInformation note:$ n E2 ` d- [9 M
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update! y, }" ?, e1 v/ Y
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be* ?* E3 p4 d) ]/ {) R
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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