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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight* T! ~9 i6 p; [5 T% d( t0 W
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
# \# f3 P# d3 s' p/ e7 O& P- zraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal- q8 ?& M8 F* Q/ V
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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+ x \: u1 b D- rThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
' `- }# D1 M' E z. Q" @# `strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the/ p' U' n! |: i7 f i+ i
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
, n6 D& y/ t3 w, @9 ~' I5 win Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
6 @) O+ s6 w, {& S; Q# WIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
4 F0 b% k6 p/ A0 q; O Y! ]stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the" n6 m0 w: p) B S0 I# t; d
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result1 K" r" u/ y* i+ k: n+ K5 T5 A+ _
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
% o# @! o# h3 g/ J$ O8 Oimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the1 Q8 O1 i8 r# _5 C& r2 u% z0 g7 [
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity+ q6 @. T0 Z" w' Q; k
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.6 L1 V* `: P/ N' [8 h0 }
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent/ d4 _6 ~5 H) z! @
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.9 ? T" A$ X( v( A
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
* @. S: D6 [1 Rincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
. X+ z1 |2 |$ ebalanced recovery.
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0 G K. d! O% j# b0 @, fCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
4 z u# u D+ v, p }2 x7 K: x* Uthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
- g- q3 K0 G; V& dsupply.: _/ o' t7 J1 h* E
& ^, U& W5 X( X4 v L, }. Y d ?, KIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and; W L% Z( m# L9 {6 e" L" }
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
+ K7 R2 |- Y Y2 U1 p8 Lmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
) G( V' p9 t& y E- X9 Rsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery./ B' b: u# \( L
8 P1 r! h) P1 y3 ^Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary ^+ |" ~8 s% G" K( C( h( }# L
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
6 G+ z" E, m" e8 @3 w5 K) P+ @1 O5 ]developments.
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+ U1 ^9 K+ j6 {! P0 J# E2 k% sInformation note:
# `7 @, J1 A% IThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
. B4 |8 ]" S# e; z# h( V& Uof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
& W: L+ X2 S9 g0 T5 r) p+ N2 e! g( u6 opublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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