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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market5 Y/ P* W+ U8 i4 p0 j
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
5 E' r' y% ^+ w, [2 f( yrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly: [- E8 A; R' D
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal3 g7 j+ G: ^3 v8 G+ g: Q4 E% F
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
- l$ w: W- S+ I: M) }' L( t+ gstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
" v; x G: p! H$ B3 w6 v# m VUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness1 S7 m4 j2 ^4 E% a% u; ]* _
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized. C! c; H+ d/ A& C) Q8 N4 h
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal1 Q3 S, m- v6 {5 F" M1 b+ c d
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the0 z2 {7 U* l5 E% x0 `. p9 G4 ?
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result- O& L& | h% @# ~, s' n* T
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
# }5 ?- T4 }4 g8 v |important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the4 y, p" K) Q7 R
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
8 I! z: |' G8 z& l& iprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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! w7 Q) o- q/ Z% e- }& HActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
6 C9 b5 L8 I# L8 @. b0 t- c, pin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.. ^7 S* ^" o3 r# @
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
0 a M( Q7 b Y8 ^3 @income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
# Y+ J3 g( T! f9 a0 H9 ?balanced recovery., _2 n k+ `0 D r( V
- J8 m1 J' t, b/ N; M& pCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects3 V1 z( h' H: A# c |& w/ N) M
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess1 A+ z& j9 |* l* G( t+ b
supply.3 r8 L( ^/ Z8 q3 K
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and. Q7 ^# ?6 G( a/ x' n/ L. M" x9 q
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 9 L$ E, p6 A; B+ K! e
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
3 C! Y5 ~2 R9 T: w. y/ Z+ wsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.% I, i7 P) e4 c- O# B& U2 ^
+ w3 T. w/ u- j3 D4 i# r# b6 OGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary+ h7 w; \) y; M" g9 I* w; S* w+ f
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
9 Y0 w! E0 @3 w9 J$ J/ q2 K0 z6 jdevelopments.
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% M$ [5 v# V+ J0 y0 J( d% N+ G* d( E$ aInformation note:
5 N( l U5 E4 ~* A: @4 CThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update) G/ \1 N7 U8 A
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
& Y" v- ?8 D1 ?; J0 s ?9 Z/ Spublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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