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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market3 w& r' I2 r5 j9 O1 y
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
( P0 v' d0 o8 Lrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
: _- z8 C# Z$ \raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
: B8 s$ D8 K6 k" Soperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.( s( R4 c: H# ]! Z* O
5 t! ~. _" e9 n P# bThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
* R: a4 R* x4 n7 h) {5 Pstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
8 ] n5 w* t% f& N* Q% J1 Z1 y7 FUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
. G9 i/ Q3 J% \/ p. L2 @2 xin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.5 {. c! |) g0 H: I% d
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
/ k, [7 l; o% _9 E! w) cstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the$ x. o( y/ U* D" s. o: v
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result8 ?: D; U2 ~& e+ n" r" g( W
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
0 w% H+ n2 f8 q: G' u4 x3 ^important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
h4 G( x; {8 H; W; bspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity- r$ Z/ o( ]1 B S$ ?- |
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.* T8 ?; b( M% K! D7 `. D9 b; I
* {4 y- T0 w! o) c6 q' s% l8 ]0 JActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent7 R$ R) C* N6 d9 @& W/ x
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed., h3 W, t- [( T6 |" g- M. }
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with7 q: g2 l' b8 y$ s
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more6 Z& c3 `/ r, p- [- o. P" D4 u
balanced recovery.# p; X7 n4 V" K' e# {4 L
( Y! I& I7 y6 M! R$ ]CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
: A; ^( U) a; n1 F+ ithe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess. K J Z! M$ Z5 [8 v
supply.7 p* i7 V4 v' B1 E
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
4 w8 r/ R; W4 D% A& D7 Q: Wto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
, b$ t+ S- l# g& Z5 J! _. nmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
9 F) d8 j7 y6 j& ~- p) rsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery." }& I& L3 ^ N" K; G
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
$ A6 B, U! ?' [stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic( P0 E8 Y3 \( i5 e( J- X0 E
developments.
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9 e" h. @8 F, G ^Information note:, | \3 G% t# e* l- C
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update1 `: H: g' C6 ~0 T) B
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be3 }/ y n; e V7 r0 o# R
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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