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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
8 ?8 l+ |! u( o/ f+ hrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
# s* v- }; M: W% H3 w& H+ V8 qraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
0 C$ d% O' r Roperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.. p9 e7 K/ `# B
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with) h" I0 @) B, A2 Y
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the. a$ P1 P0 B4 \' |' q% M
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
" E4 j$ h3 a3 E+ n _in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
4 x9 l% K7 C9 h {9 F7 t( _In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal4 d8 ]0 Z) t0 P! c9 `& I
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the6 _, O" P u; R& K
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
$ y& q& q/ o+ Rin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
. ^4 ]9 F, }: G; |' h5 gimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
1 h0 S6 x5 e% b+ H7 ~/ C" ?; rspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
( v7 Q/ h. G' `8 y' r: R h' Eprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
6 D9 V0 z8 z* S- p% t Xin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.; U6 U0 }7 Y1 w
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
, m* ~7 Z' v; u2 Gincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more- t* o, N5 y/ }! R C3 A
balanced recovery.
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8 p$ G( A+ k1 Z- ?) r. X: MCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
# A3 z* b7 B% I# r0 ]( L8 nthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess$ e( h. z$ _. n
supply.
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8 v+ }3 C8 O2 Z4 i8 ^In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and9 q& b* Q4 u5 Q4 N u7 `* K
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable % B. e# o2 p; U! R. I1 M1 z3 h
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
2 R7 c" m/ d. {significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary' Y! c* U1 _% w$ F6 z
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
/ _+ \) I. q5 @developments.
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6 D* c- B# [7 b- S, R% v' |3 iInformation note:
! Q0 s- f; e3 w q* t IThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update+ m* Y+ o. ^& ?7 g: [
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be" I# @% |$ ~* G
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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