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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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; N2 B) Z' g, U& L7 \OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight) s- D( j/ S6 z$ _4 Q/ ~- `
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
/ d4 w" K& u+ g0 Q& Qraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
2 t% }( f) \: D; I( Voperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.9 M- `# n3 ~' ^ ]# y2 p
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with S; u. c. E9 E4 H2 O. A# l
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
/ n! l! p" y7 ]( |! U. l4 D/ `United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
& B3 H+ l1 a, U' t8 oin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized." w8 D- c) ]. H& g+ k
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
' a: k7 ~; { }) m Vstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
) _5 e2 P+ f& F4 ^ Pvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result0 t, ]2 l# A% q" {, i
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
2 \4 A t; o: himportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the# W6 l% H% o1 @
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity. `0 T* Q' b- E
prices and some tightening of financial conditions. v; O- _2 A! v$ v! k2 h
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
, ]0 x; U- {0 Z: t0 T# z, Nin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.2 ?8 C5 o/ r! k3 }5 \7 \
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
7 M8 y4 W. m" G1 G6 oincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
# c; _7 S" G; C3 {0 {5 zbalanced recovery.4 r2 ]6 k" c7 \/ W3 b0 F4 m
( T. H! N3 h! N: | b2 Q# WCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
( G) C/ g3 J( D- B, r& }- Jthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess( t4 H6 J2 w/ Z
supply.
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4 Y; i7 Q& n1 d5 JIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and1 g4 a+ @% {% M; U
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
7 K2 v9 F! S- S7 S6 ~6 c" Y+ umonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
7 h/ r7 s3 J* a, n! Rsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.- y: F3 X* W2 K) _
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
4 a4 {- F/ y. U! U' D$ m xstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
; m; a8 }* v! l, Ldevelopments.# Q0 L) o0 `# ]' x# ?* [( W) m2 _
" J6 k! l; e. c9 I8 X: ]- LInformation note:
, { j3 I* z7 t/ e. R3 _The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
$ V, G. R0 e3 y; tof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be- D- y; r/ H6 ?3 t9 h& Y
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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