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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market6 c* n. ^$ E; Q: @
( a6 N/ A2 H0 K/ C) x
OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
# {/ ?& U( q& `9 S# F2 {( `, krate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
! s- y' P/ M* E3 u: V& sraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal( x" r1 F, U7 b
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.9 m" z9 ^/ }, P' [1 R
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
$ z0 c0 @1 I4 |1 Ustrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
0 Y6 V- j" d. a; {United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
& }2 \2 C2 L! a' q+ V0 ~- \in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
) _; A! T/ Z9 L$ X! tIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal" f& ]8 R m- k! t$ E [5 y
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the, B+ Y1 H/ A) B& `7 y& R
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result# i6 A0 z# R8 M) f! s, ^
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
& X% U: l( N& Aimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the/ _, Z" y6 f! A; ?# C
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity2 X; w: A( w9 h' o* e5 m
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
: F* B/ z1 O* l0 }7 v- Xin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.7 O: r, i: O2 A/ q" ]: f1 V Z
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with+ G/ j0 k) J- Z7 K
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
9 s7 T* b! a, |7 p: `" Pbalanced recovery." ?( M9 U! W" a. F8 J
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects" j' i1 d; Q8 x
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess4 v, ~- r" `+ |8 W& R ^
supply.% M% E- {- i B3 N
" a( A9 b3 A5 c5 o9 {) ?In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and9 D; K* g8 Y9 T% ~
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
m# O! F% W& P T9 r2 gmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 0 U" k/ T- b) y9 X- Q: B
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.- G- ], D2 H5 K3 \( H6 {6 {6 b
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary1 y2 P: m" h4 e. S+ X
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic# }( e, H5 t6 G# j+ S- E7 b
developments.8 m1 ]* a0 | `: W; p, d! [
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Information note:+ [( T! U- e8 W
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
% l1 T( m2 v5 u3 f$ M# U4 c+ gof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be" n# y1 o9 Y6 J# Z8 [2 E" M
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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