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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight5 ?% L7 v! m3 H6 ^
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly, v( Y+ |- ]8 W
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
( V+ w% v6 ^" _2 _0 f" woperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
( R0 d' h8 q* S% Tstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the- w; o \# K* u* J: W
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
2 S) g* ^" o3 d. i3 u$ |, hin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
/ ~8 k6 x. i. KIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
9 Y( `, q: p/ W, Z: ~) fstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
3 E: M# i( g5 ~variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
5 ~0 K( d# Z; d: E6 _, w) Qin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
3 n& q" A h; g$ a* c* }' n4 {+ Eimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
( t2 C6 d% T3 ^$ w- D" W# t9 R; Lspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity) D/ Y' I6 T2 @! [) \& ^
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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0 O" V1 Q' I9 t$ L- p; i9 uActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
" [4 }, |0 G1 gin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.8 q( |9 _, V$ D F- Y8 _$ `
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
/ j8 p0 ]0 {0 [- j0 C% Jincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more1 j. Y" o h8 l' g- J& u
balanced recovery.
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! T% B0 y/ U ^4 z3 m" V: bCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects! h: E& o( x+ `1 ]& h
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
z7 L; M5 o) G* W6 n+ Vsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and4 d5 u/ C' o# Q- j
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 4 H9 Q9 ?' y& X3 `$ o. _4 \7 H
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the , n1 ^( H8 S3 [
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
( k0 }) u+ d N9 k, nstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic. C1 o {0 }# Y- t& b" p4 m
developments.
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Information note:
: d; g0 O3 w& D, |The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update% @4 z6 F1 v; z$ V
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be& F) B& e9 B3 G$ y4 P @
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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