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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market! m k4 p4 ]3 b6 G! [
. G3 L3 U& q' ~ q7 WOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight# ^. r' F1 N5 |2 [
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly+ v" ^, \& r4 b. X
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal7 D! [* M! P f3 m
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with# j d) H; f T' M. L+ }3 T
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the$ n+ l0 n; ~& \ }
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness$ S4 h; A9 Z& Q& K4 p. x' W/ G& I: p5 O) L
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
1 ]3 v) Z# i& ]In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
?- Z5 w& j. a2 N; Z: h1 @( [stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the7 j9 s8 B7 ?2 Z4 ]; U
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result6 t X; y2 v e9 U9 d3 `7 H# Q
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
/ c! ]. y6 [* H2 Q) N oimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the* }0 i+ s+ P8 d
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity. E% I; H1 ]! G
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.# v$ G/ M8 G7 _* J6 `
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent) l) M# k8 }) p8 [4 w+ k2 W
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.1 j2 ?5 N% p" K' m% E
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with- J. y% \5 {! L! w g% q
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more ]& K$ S) l3 P9 |3 c# |
balanced recovery.9 B( Z4 L: c5 P2 v
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
0 b7 s: h( x" I- b, l( bthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess- B/ @& R$ K8 E. ]9 h3 W" \9 o
supply.
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" E( @1 u; W8 vIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and5 B5 Z# \. W7 n7 k4 B, P! r+ L
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable + e" R" G* y2 D0 h; I7 W
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ' X {5 P; }7 f( d: G0 p
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.% E& m- [; H1 F+ a% U! U+ T4 w, Y; g
4 ]+ T2 l- g5 BGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary7 G- U' _9 [; N% ^3 Z" Y
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
1 a9 E" f$ P: V9 U/ V, Bdevelopments.
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Information note:
7 E3 B% ]4 o& m+ a7 d) fThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update) Z' f% ?+ u0 K+ k, T) J4 F7 x$ x# Q
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be2 |" S$ A ~; h+ t3 ]$ u
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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