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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market- u9 A* F# `5 u, {. z F
7 A3 O l3 ] @% W: p9 e8 p& I9 i8 v+ SOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight3 j% i \& h& }8 k7 V* A
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly# Y, D0 E' a( W
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal1 | B1 H |' `) d$ L/ {1 |
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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& { k8 b( I5 S4 x2 }* NThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
5 v- E* ^4 h/ }# gstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the$ `# \ a* l, Q2 B- O$ Z
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
1 L0 X. o. ^# I' W- j% [" Uin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.; ^, f" F# u" L1 o+ \
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal4 j) R% x! W+ J+ z7 l! D: A
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
) j7 q' _: \. K3 ivariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
' z( \3 F3 j0 ^5 ^+ r% C8 m: P2 h0 |in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an- Y" z S: E: v: x/ J( Z$ i
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
7 h/ u# Y" u9 bspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
" @7 {; O( g! `9 I' kprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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' \: n* ]7 H0 @8 m9 m3 |Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent& i7 W# z9 t2 L. B6 o' w7 H$ z
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed." x. W. L- W1 A& r( `" A' X
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
& Y2 h# m+ {) Aincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more+ ^, y, J& j x+ a$ O
balanced recovery.% a* x- ^% a# E! V6 H
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects/ ^! w! s; o# g
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
0 {2 d/ b3 V: u, ~( Z( ssupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and" F1 j3 C' s* j( q/ z% E
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
; K8 m! v& C2 g- F9 C2 v0 ]monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
) _+ `+ l1 _( \' W8 b5 bsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.5 n, }( d5 [2 J8 n2 U9 |* i
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary5 }# ]6 e5 k W- h4 n; U% r
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
1 k* v% i- `3 R6 idevelopments.: K' O' l6 B: R e$ ?0 ?$ `, ?' s
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Information note:5 \+ T& l) S. j E6 w! W
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
7 ~' H$ l+ l& y9 |+ a# [of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
( \6 N2 ~9 T+ ~5 d, @% _published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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