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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
8 v# I; d2 o. r3 r: d% L2 a, frate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly; K9 f! C9 a; |" w* T
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
2 V! f! P, b; z* [ F. a0 A' voperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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' T5 x. t1 f* q3 v8 \( jThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
$ }! Z: B; `& V4 K, tstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
, c; Y+ F/ F, XUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness; Q3 M1 Z- t: k% c
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
2 W9 ^" a0 J1 u/ O. U8 D" G% _In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
4 }+ V4 |: e2 ~stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
6 u/ R( R- S' lvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
. U z+ w+ ]% bin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an! R- w( t! _% e, P
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the( l0 R0 v4 |$ C. C6 a$ E" u0 a
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
' d/ h5 Y1 z% jprices and some tightening of financial conditions.; Y- A2 L3 Y7 ]
3 Z1 u* n6 i0 b1 I8 f: c+ Q& v+ y8 O& SActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
: |7 u7 T. v( G6 i/ y+ a$ `in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
' ~- G& P4 o4 @. RGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
" r) N. Z6 T! T8 zincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more9 u1 F! A( H% U3 M/ p
balanced recovery.
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( Z" f, J0 S9 o( L% n7 MCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects: G& C, ]+ _3 J) P# `5 I2 I3 d
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
j/ m& e! X b% x7 }) T4 jsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and3 g' {" q: J, l7 d& `
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 1 p( N: V W" `
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
" M$ w& d8 y W7 K9 lsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.7 d! a6 s1 ~3 b' ~2 d2 U8 W0 x
* Y/ t% S) |" LGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary& t! ~8 H) M6 L8 ]9 F+ e/ S
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
' e: a9 x8 @" f; |1 S; ~, Vdevelopments.
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/ h, _9 W* y( v/ gInformation note:
( M, V8 i6 O+ t; }% aThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
" Z0 {5 Q- \: J# ~0 Uof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
E: K$ O; Z$ K7 _2 K- v% H, }* cpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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