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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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# H$ J9 b, |# W) L; tOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight2 W7 H7 @* V5 [' l2 ?
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
/ z! v! N, v v* b& `$ ?raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
8 N& X( O4 s+ b" p1 ^; U4 Poperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with* d/ ]3 K( n7 D9 s
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
4 y! V: G. O2 {. LUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness) U/ l2 P- P v$ v3 k: ~
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.0 K1 U0 D8 h! M" U; n+ c% Y! K
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal: b" k+ t1 X. z3 ~$ B
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
* c% ^. w! u* t0 Q; {variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result; a/ J- [4 a1 H: l6 P( j8 L2 X
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an" X2 P( s4 j& J5 A3 p$ C' j+ G
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the, @& D3 [8 o& K) f
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
+ N7 G) S+ d7 y$ |$ kprices and some tightening of financial conditions.9 G7 T; `4 C" N( S
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
, ^) T7 n; r. nin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
1 y6 V: K8 l* ~# iGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
* k) e2 l+ c8 q, ]9 g2 {3 Z2 ]( xincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
0 R# Z( g0 P2 q% I% Z Q6 r" _. cbalanced recovery.6 x0 }% _5 b% e3 w4 P9 Z
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects" Q7 U0 ]2 u; @: }9 H1 P# [, k
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
2 G2 s5 G1 R6 K3 u: E# w! Fsupply.1 _9 }* |9 B H$ H7 \- f9 _' \
' S# y3 {! E6 k% E% V. }- ZIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
7 {8 J' d+ m' O9 Yto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable " k* I; Q6 M1 m+ V5 u3 O8 q
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
]+ \% M6 D6 ?& k' A& N7 [significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary/ I, N; v; V( x/ ^
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
2 N- p& `1 H% D+ ?) Zdevelopments.
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Information note:8 `& s( n$ O6 U+ S* x9 O3 l% [8 V* K
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update: e& k1 @- o, k- D+ j
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
5 { s$ Q5 g: b) P/ p1 Q! Bpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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