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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market# P: X1 l3 `/ [8 m
9 r2 \+ J: t3 T# iOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
2 ?/ R* ] J6 W9 I$ rrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly# u f. R1 ]2 @
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal6 M1 |4 S. K p7 K1 w
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate." Q' S1 L v, M) V
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with/ S8 ~% u# q- f- j: H" R
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
) D0 f/ L* c8 A& U* [. p0 EUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness' Y3 @ r( a6 z( C
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.- Z$ ^. t' u+ n9 k0 b" i7 |% C* z
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal: q# ^; A( a7 y# T# ]2 u
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the$ v* F3 z+ `4 [: @& y/ |. v* B
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
% M0 I- `# L$ ~6 {, r4 Y$ w' r; din higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an- Z* k% e; R. k/ V; e* b/ E
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
8 o; I' S8 x: Y" R7 l3 \2 b8 ~spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity% n7 l4 ? k' G- k" Y P* C
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.1 g& M! \! A4 A" N
% Q* f; \8 ^8 i; lActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent) Z9 T! Y8 c9 N) ]$ I. ]
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.0 b3 B; U6 d. P
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with/ W# n2 O7 ] V/ D
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more2 g% z# j4 v) I. y9 a/ N
balanced recovery./ C# w1 J; N4 I( }1 K
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects5 x. P! d3 H6 {
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess. _7 p) w" F- N$ |5 N7 T5 ?
supply." @6 W7 J5 d3 h+ S, {) C4 D: ?' G
8 r1 n! u3 h: r5 W" HIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and1 \6 |, H. E4 S% B$ {1 g
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
& X4 a& J9 i: I; }0 ?monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
4 G. Q0 Y; R+ `' j- R: i, C% Dsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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% w$ p9 I! {6 O/ c% W$ `' [Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary6 t! _& f% d5 d' b1 |. F. x& c2 n
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
$ r! c4 R- A! G: _4 @developments.
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Information note:
. [* M( Y2 m/ t: Z+ N7 RThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update, j" U S" K2 x, K, }" v
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
( T; O+ @! k' Apublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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