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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market1 [/ p$ A, Q, }; P
: K& o: P# |$ v5 n+ }: |, ]1 n6 jOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
5 U4 W( v6 n( K* [( `) `1 yrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly* T( y/ G4 }# h% {' @- o- I$ h9 d
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
* x+ i/ t: j2 x g' N$ [' yoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.. m9 l. f* Q8 b( ~' U7 |# A
% J) x& e, H |! iThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with Z, M* H6 k1 S: [3 u
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the$ ^: @9 I& ?7 n; A8 L# O Z& k
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness! C2 i0 W/ f" P2 j) C$ I
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.: {# @: {( C5 M! g% Q+ R+ X
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal; o( }8 H, C, o% R- X/ }; W \+ F
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the, n s) P" w/ w8 K8 s; A/ ^0 p
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
" G* l% N; n3 }" A5 |in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an( w- `- R' S4 r5 C
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
U' q, O6 S7 N. N! w0 E( g1 G @' {/ n+ fspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
: Y! y$ _5 k4 gprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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& ] e7 D( |+ [0 Z, z, UActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
) v. I2 ]8 m% |/ B3 Lin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
& u. J4 j2 H: }4 Q$ c. ^Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with- P* A* \( b& t- k. B4 t. y6 `8 W0 c
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more1 h* t1 v; w4 O e; _
balanced recovery.
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6 _- W! R# a* I. X& {4 J9 l) gCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects2 f! a( |+ s8 E+ x
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
" z/ G. e0 Z. p9 g: T7 V7 ?/ _supply.
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. M/ _* o: |0 x7 }4 YIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
( t( a; ~4 x4 |. m3 h) ]( d7 Rto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 8 I6 K' U2 z/ W/ V6 X( E8 l7 \
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
0 k t, `3 b, ksignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery., I6 A2 J8 Q- N D6 a4 d9 r
: B6 a P/ @$ V, h1 m k8 }Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
; L y, D1 P: c8 O( J& L1 K: g/ E$ ostimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic7 D$ ^9 H' t7 P- c7 L: i0 x
developments./ k8 w3 ^1 `# W" q9 R
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Information note:
. H. F1 i' X3 j; y% QThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
* o! u1 N3 p, ?$ S' Tof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be! V# Y- t! U4 s
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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