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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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$ T( O5 C' W# S* `* _+ lOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
/ |3 c i9 I/ L6 Q+ ^rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly+ a# Q; Z/ v5 ^& @2 M0 m
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal& ~0 L9 d3 E5 d' W0 u! m. G
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.: R! g/ [& J. g8 q
5 N" y9 i2 J, D: T4 p" fThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
/ V7 n: C2 m' G3 f; Z. Xstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the# T* N$ K$ W' M# k8 p
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
W: e: \* y& T3 u! e; {in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.- r) |: @# v8 A2 d+ s
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
4 e4 x% W3 k8 R% {1 Q( Kstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the3 }. ?. B9 ^$ O% @9 k
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result# v6 m8 Z, ~8 P, G% L' s
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an( X' S2 k: s0 A+ u0 ~7 B$ z
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
2 v+ z. \. N7 D. wspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity! |* A i* a0 l G8 M4 ^: [
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.* c. y k0 B6 {3 b5 A
2 x6 w* x0 j6 ?$ a1 R9 HActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
2 |+ f, l" q' w" L/ k* o5 G3 ain the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed./ t. h. L, r' _' b7 R; v
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
& l7 o a1 Z. v/ j& Z, zincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
; E! {( Y% j& Rbalanced recovery.
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6 e0 S1 g2 {. P3 b, Y# UCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects7 P7 W9 {$ b/ J) ~# g% A9 f/ u+ @/ j
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess! p& _' i; _. b5 k S# V$ z' L5 t
supply.# v/ A. j' u) x9 l/ S' i
8 _. T* n% \1 jIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
( {7 }9 t }: p2 j' Pto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
( W! S7 g0 e9 s; h7 ^2 \" v2 _monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
6 H# ]; ]$ q0 b! G8 D& J( Ssignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
# j. I2 f$ ~+ R7 N- bstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic$ I( P; m* j% @4 C% }
developments.
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Information note:1 [$ C9 E5 d9 H _$ t$ t
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
& i5 O6 V1 a+ N; p/ i3 }" V, qof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be: V/ j3 f! r/ D/ j2 `/ c
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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