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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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) S( y1 k; l6 R4 G2 L. EOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight& Q+ e ?& y, L
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly; M* _9 y: ?: D( E7 E
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal# p9 Q) n5 T$ h& U, l" i* S: G5 G
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with) H( E8 _ x0 e5 Y6 a4 t
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the3 l6 q& h; U5 w8 F1 G }4 E
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
& _7 b. P- u- }in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
3 p n4 y0 U7 |% r6 J$ GIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
% T+ d9 R2 r" E) vstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the6 m; y# h3 b/ U8 f
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
& S }7 D2 W3 q% Q6 ?. [in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an, n- p7 v1 t8 ~, U4 B
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
- u9 m' W! C! u5 O2 Q1 a dspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
' B: O8 W! C- Bprices and some tightening of financial conditions.2 d# m: b4 r) h, V9 a; u: _9 y. B
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
" J) z. Z% i) z% u0 t, e1 Din the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.+ I1 K" _. `9 x/ M! H
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
. S# p# \+ N( k7 J2 s9 U4 E# ~7 Wincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more, z/ {2 ^9 w" F8 l' W4 k
balanced recovery.7 ~! P$ @# V9 B7 `* e& y& F
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects3 ]: T, V' y5 R9 Y) J
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess) y c4 U- P, X/ k8 l6 e
supply.
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, r" @( ?( m( c1 P8 oIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
0 A6 l7 s2 X/ Y+ W% y+ Mto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
" ]2 i7 r0 `9 g+ omonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
5 a' E- Y# F, i# z+ z: U6 H. Csignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.4 v6 Y1 A$ I/ b
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary" Z) x6 V3 x, {8 c/ C/ [ Q- t" w
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic. p9 ]' f' E! c4 Q! l: w1 N& u
developments.
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5 [" Y1 }9 x0 h2 x& w ]Information note:
! m/ j5 p5 \* d. P' F) G% ~/ t! {The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update7 V2 u- Z7 O/ E! i6 u
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be5 P, a7 T: M1 H) {# R$ d+ W
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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