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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight' c- T1 T7 l) g1 x, W$ Z
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
+ _& b9 f& k9 @& V/ K+ I3 g9 J0 n% kraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
: N( W1 @4 A/ r5 D1 g `operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.6 F/ p: Z$ @' v6 q: T
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with+ E- J1 Z: f5 K' @3 j& x
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the, M8 F8 _# l! n4 j
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness' K: J) J9 u, B9 H
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.8 N, z2 I6 L$ I0 x
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
7 b: t" g# s3 s# bstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the8 o8 k4 U0 @$ F. g& e0 l) Y
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result' e* r1 t1 u, r* m* i* X
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an( B7 M w }& n- v6 U! S
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the# k4 A9 c5 I- y: e0 ?8 w5 b
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity8 F* k- l0 s& y
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
% s: E' Q2 N1 O; Win the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
: _- _9 v% l) g4 I' ?Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with P: Z* K' a3 t, f( O, i
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
, ?& u2 j# S, o- Vbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
7 {& F( k9 U# Z3 M+ |4 V q, X$ `the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
) V% z1 r1 B9 B F3 I8 l0 \) J& isupply.
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( H2 J3 A7 @3 NIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and' O; ^$ l( j. I$ W9 D" k
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
4 J1 W' x1 n% s, x0 n# Gmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 8 i+ R, Z! V! n+ }0 g9 ~
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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# |! b1 r7 V7 o3 ^( HGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
( t* E" ^3 t1 h/ f5 H" p7 K6 ?6 Estimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic, p) }+ `! I) u
developments.& r; T2 [& g$ e+ U
8 ~8 W) m3 N$ f. x! U& I% h% B: {$ EInformation note:! a4 y% O' N, K" d
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update! v6 K! k9 }& B: F1 W1 n
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
$ ^/ q- M S9 H0 qpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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