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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight, H& ?) B1 {6 @8 x. h+ }' p! B
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly$ C( j& N7 L- z7 U1 N1 W
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal4 P7 @3 E0 g5 O( t% G
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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$ k& [2 P9 ~$ ?0 J# M/ jThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
6 u& ?1 f; {4 J3 n. d; `strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
, q0 M8 _$ l$ @United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
( R" S; o+ L. m7 G; uin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.0 ]. l' L: v3 w
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal0 `/ T a$ x- d i" b5 {+ k# X+ E
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the5 h, S+ p8 x& N4 N, u4 Y- \
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
Z1 ^ C/ ?( `in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an" [5 x! u( E4 Q# T6 c" X1 c) o
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the! I0 k$ Z$ q C2 o
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity1 u6 ` z( k. i% i# o8 `; e
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.4 z* l0 Y6 g' v. u
4 A$ ?2 @/ l) h& i/ ]Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
/ F6 S- b& g: f: I+ O7 ~in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.' k1 j! h$ p& D3 q% @. G% W0 l
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with1 N! K3 C! i; k1 F5 \
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more7 ]( R. W: \" m
balanced recovery.! {% k) W" E5 c* u1 b1 m
f) f: ^7 o- P$ ^/ JCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
* V; r; W3 e0 j3 Sthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess5 W( x0 H& i1 z! I5 l' L4 Q3 {
supply.( y8 n# l t% ]* A+ _
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
- @( d6 E1 A( `- I8 gto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
! ~3 g- M0 ]% r. W+ Xmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
+ H8 [; U ]2 C% A1 i) t0 msignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
- i+ u! D9 t& wstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
5 t$ A; p- I. A; {developments.
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Information note:5 k5 h& {. H( u# ?; U4 v
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update1 c! T( m- M' P* b9 T* Z1 S3 _
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
, l" f* m4 s, }5 ?published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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