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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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" i6 c, @; g/ D6 I0 ~" }OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight) C& }2 J. w: Y1 z0 `! a5 |* ~; |% \
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
8 ~9 t! T. a( u$ q7 Iraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
# r' s4 y9 |8 F n3 @* K- Xoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.# H5 z4 n+ r9 d- [2 Z4 j
8 c R0 {- _1 O2 ^( Y& `! ]The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
- f5 o/ v+ |2 |8 G( {: J- zstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
/ s9 y9 T! o3 i6 }, zUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
% G1 {) d! e8 w5 D R6 K$ cin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
5 o' \+ V7 l1 n- _3 YIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal. ]- u8 @" b# `
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the1 N. L1 K: f. b
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result* H: x, w; z! K( G9 y% O
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
4 ?/ j# `6 P6 M! v$ @9 w& Pimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the0 R4 l$ f) M( k1 H# L% E
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity, ~4 t7 I5 |& f- `" H+ Z
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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- x& g9 j( f, M8 R3 LActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
0 Z. _# C. h9 t' P; b% ain the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
1 L( K5 d' K) B0 D R$ @8 tGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with5 G; a* `4 |& A7 U2 V' e
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more, l9 V: j- i4 U5 B; J
balanced recovery.) c7 F5 G; r# Z
! M( O% S, }6 Q& T/ t! M. o7 ICPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
, C' S) s& H/ `- Gthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
* Z4 h$ B+ [. Ssupply.( Z: p+ B! I/ \7 U" |8 B
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
B0 w; r& Y; W# |! Dto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
- s: |2 f) R" C! Cmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ! Z6 z( A% I$ y/ n
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.& w: z1 T7 w& t
! B; I: E$ o* C2 o- a4 L: XGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
2 `+ X* r8 Q: D/ [+ `stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic' Q* k$ r+ O% U7 u. j% O
developments.
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) x1 N) f3 |& v2 yInformation note:5 n* z/ y. l X0 y0 v$ u5 w* H% e
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
' o! n7 W9 I: ?of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
0 A0 D: h8 ?: C& i, jpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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