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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market3 Q7 J2 T7 ?1 t
4 U& T k) D+ r; d& s. Y9 zOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
, B, l ~* g" N# ]rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
, P- J4 R( `/ Y5 Wraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal& e Q! \2 h5 s- E% H4 U
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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$ p5 s3 }/ o9 t: x5 b eThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
+ c. K( w1 F9 u+ k0 y/ ~* Vstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
$ T) `3 y+ ^- \" [' n% w3 oUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
% g1 f9 ^/ L e! J5 @3 oin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
) o: E. ~. E2 C% ~) kIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal8 G' S i( r8 e
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the. [) s" Z& m; C9 W# E- m' o. K4 M8 v
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
: J% e4 U; e2 p: K2 U5 x2 Q; B) Xin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an8 ]+ q0 z0 d" J G( a4 [& C
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
, C" H7 m4 `! ]; B7 q# h' t- Y* @spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
& |6 g' x# ]+ Kprices and some tightening of financial conditions.* F T6 R! X$ F
) m4 n4 F+ H' d& R; PActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent- I! c8 Q" m6 E2 O; [% i7 b
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
7 r: P# @! m5 v- I2 N; |Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
; X$ S; F4 l1 R* L. Oincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more" ^* [7 l9 [$ ~! L+ J2 O
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
2 m8 O8 {+ a8 S R" e- u2 m: H( [' athe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess3 u8 p4 J" F' l% t/ G
supply.
4 p. x! z: ]+ R
# D. ^: ?9 K7 v& w+ D9 a8 yIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
2 l/ L/ P9 t: B9 cto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 6 e2 n- E# |( Z8 ?% F' o0 g
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the k$ q- I3 _0 X
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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. h, P# x% t7 J* S1 b6 K8 [Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
+ r. Q2 d7 U0 d8 J0 Z7 }+ mstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic I5 ?. E6 z5 a1 O. |8 p
developments.
. S, G0 w) M+ b0 z9 q3 x3 Q; z+ ~" I- ?# n2 y R
Information note:# Q) h v$ [8 l/ {' d
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update% S! x' i3 W! w) {/ q) h; F
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be$ u. U1 k! G1 G5 o/ M2 h. F5 q- A1 B
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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