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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market2 v# w$ N8 u1 s. \9 p. |; ^
) g: E0 f* o' G8 f' M; NOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight" u$ Y. ^: {8 |( t0 T% q
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
9 k% R. M$ R( R: l9 s2 M- P7 Z/ X( Iraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
* o: I3 a6 D- ?operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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: P t, A# C# C" E& GThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
9 Z# {" H ]4 A8 _strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the+ O1 K3 P8 h' ?: D7 d6 P
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
' u9 c: l+ z% k8 C: J* L8 K( T( g* uin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.# W, h9 z& { i0 ?( w
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal3 T- H' x4 M6 i0 M6 u6 h
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
W( O& @; [9 \variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
, ]" {# z3 w v; Bin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an7 _6 w5 K% ~: [0 j; c; ]/ i# f
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
" F# ?6 D* d Z1 O8 ]spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity( Q4 O0 W% S7 B1 a! K2 E* x; z
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent* F5 U6 A$ L- t, T
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.7 h& R0 V: C9 t) ?9 }+ l2 a
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with) Q: b' W' e2 e: w: D7 @9 B* g
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
- `+ h/ I% j6 b$ }balanced recovery.( U! G% i4 U8 B" Q. h1 Q
' k1 p; V" I+ ~ }" \2 y3 W8 J4 Z" S, fCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
* \2 w. S1 s1 I) [1 v5 Y, ^# zthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess3 x& z; n! m% P# A D. j1 P* q3 A
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
! h, |) M, X1 X% }; A$ U: kto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
' l" f% I7 T Q1 }( Tmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ! O9 |( c5 K/ G, c9 s) W
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
C! {% O r/ m
7 s8 H, M, t& _& e' p# Q1 jGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
7 O* t0 h; {( [stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
" S/ X; w. B9 ?) H* E4 f+ p# Kdevelopments.* f0 i- e! D% K/ a
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Information note:
2 H) w) E) b) e# O' m" nThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
) e, R3 @% B! I k" p8 lof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be' q# p* h' R0 H0 _
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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