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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market$ Q: M( B# O3 K( c* Q
% s2 O) O' z0 Y7 _OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
3 y2 u* Z$ `7 @4 J7 X0 q2 Trate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
4 M6 P+ [* g! p7 |# A3 |) i& Xraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
( W* J4 R/ L6 _8 q: x+ Zoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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$ T6 [( V$ E' \# B' |- `The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with( i" Q* q0 Q+ S% h& z& Q& |/ m
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
* {5 i; V* s6 QUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness5 k/ N+ ]0 F3 a: K3 [
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
" [$ Z8 X1 k( TIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
3 z, E- o6 V5 gstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
6 e+ v- c: W/ b8 T2 P. o' Y4 ivariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
/ Y3 t" h0 s1 S: x0 D! Win higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an) R4 `, a. y3 J6 M" ]
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
# k4 G1 ~# r' n" e) n; B9 b* ]spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity9 C; F9 Z' \5 t% ?" _+ z9 X* T8 d
prices and some tightening of financial conditions./ k' z. O9 @3 U, \! p+ m
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
. j; ~) G9 y/ g0 A9 M: Uin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
( t* {2 n- E1 EGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
6 o* N: k; v4 I6 Tincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
0 z6 q2 }. _; }' K. @$ y$ Q; z) ybalanced recovery. X3 I; |2 g8 [: a- g" y$ K
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
0 |2 Q$ m4 s+ Z. {& |* Vthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess3 Q5 }! e! Z- S; F) |; e
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
5 ~. J* A1 c/ x% z; Z9 kto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
1 Z4 t2 L8 H* u( O4 @4 ^9 w: A+ Smonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
9 J e* [. ?+ X; c+ P5 r; Ssignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
% f* z9 S7 z' l7 Wstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic% l, n& l4 d4 ^/ n
developments.
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/ B1 r& d9 P. P, l% iInformation note:
8 c( U8 |, K; P/ f$ h4 {The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update% u) z* n! F, R% A) i
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
. u% ^! n2 Q1 C8 ~) C1 @published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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