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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market- h. L+ s% q. J4 J0 d Y
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
* M$ L4 l9 N: g5 _- \ X2 zrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly, v1 [; z% h% R+ ?% ]1 U
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal6 ~# v" C. Q' s2 V5 X$ M/ \8 D
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
* }) D$ I3 @: a. `9 Tstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
) l: n8 F$ M* e( l% Z1 h6 R; kUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
) ]2 o9 D# u. m0 G# R8 Yin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.9 V% ?/ l) y& A ^
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal! p, |5 i* _) e5 n, u6 Z* v, o( \
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the" A: K7 W4 _) ?# }; O3 M
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result1 p& e2 ~" J3 {9 X
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
! f6 T: l' {, [" l5 b4 E; Nimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
% G- s, j# G D. qspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
* ]& ?0 K. ~# t/ Qprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
- D+ [3 v( o7 Q7 R5 F' Nin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
- K4 s( S( I+ X1 i EGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with! ?( g4 f. a: r5 P
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more9 U. E& x; k; z( g- ?: f
balanced recovery.
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+ I* Y/ i" h, Y) jCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
1 t) n" @4 i. Y3 e% _+ n) tthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess" G/ y* Q+ p3 X. K0 u& Y* }# h
supply.# z: F9 z" ^8 x0 I* O- _+ i
0 [- s# v; }8 VIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
: q3 i# L. B" ?4 m$ cto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 9 y9 S; F3 v5 l. P
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ( @% V7 l1 P1 H6 Q* c( i
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery., z: V$ ]1 L' U$ \) \
! a9 ^/ X! |" }& R7 z1 XGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
6 _6 k$ Q6 i/ s3 `- lstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
s4 x# Z# R% c- s: H7 r9 s* u adevelopments.
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Information note:" \. W. D) J4 z5 ~& ]; @" z0 j8 _
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update3 a/ J0 {2 ?% C+ \$ @0 |" R
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
$ e. s2 a! B% Z% P; u6 P/ h8 o Kpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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