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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight) ^& M5 S! _" O, q) k
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly5 h* {% w2 k! q& U1 L0 u
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal& e* Y [1 Z0 {7 v$ t! Y
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
1 N0 c8 k5 Y$ C4 v6 h& `* E1 Gstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the6 n+ Z0 @- |8 p
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness: c( }. k/ G+ I# j; Y5 g
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.( V" ^9 k4 @0 r2 f" ^) @
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal$ g1 N0 f$ D+ V0 m
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
D, ]; O& s9 B) ^$ Ovariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
' D5 Y( c: N% o7 B, win higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
0 n0 H/ O5 {2 Y% Vimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the' r/ V/ }) P+ U( {6 o) `/ u* q q
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity) f( Q* O4 s/ r M
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent( J" t: M0 R% Q1 B- x) C4 ]
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
4 ~1 |- v: u/ A% _- o; VGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with+ b) b/ l) q/ `+ @( d
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
/ q) m; c6 O4 ~. R# }balanced recovery.; E9 S: a1 K4 [$ x" s$ T( }. M& O
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects% I( \3 g, x3 H* X3 ]* R
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess' x& B( n! x& `- x1 i4 x4 t
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and2 F2 g% L5 }/ @" u
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
) C" }- n2 h, j" [% `monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the - y; B8 A& B! r; y+ J: L7 X! O
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.+ T( t1 @6 L. Q! Y$ A, S7 x ]
( }) w) t( h; p% JGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
- n+ s/ `/ \! F8 Wstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
8 m/ j1 \7 m. f& h3 O3 W4 udevelopments.
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" _; ~+ V1 N1 u* a& q% R) @Information note:& ], f% C- Q. x% ~$ c( R0 @
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update z1 U% @" I$ I8 l- O& z4 o% q4 \+ \
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be& b0 M7 F3 l' R! f* b- f3 p
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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