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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market# b+ p3 X! h5 F0 n' m- X
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
& @/ I2 q N5 ?* [- @rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
; T8 U6 p3 L3 G8 Vraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
+ D) U( G# I' B3 L0 }9 b) O- W8 R0 uoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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6 Z8 n7 n$ [; x6 bThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
2 ~% n8 V B- ?& Z1 }0 M+ W+ E% `strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
. t# n$ X3 S! h- t- v$ L1 ]United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness6 R% X9 w4 h4 Q) w* j! L
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.* t3 j5 g' \. m2 Q7 F. g
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
k- q* c4 W0 W4 | |! qstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
* [2 F. C2 j3 x: uvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
- U! ^% c( I& L" G) K {in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
6 ]$ I x% B; Iimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
& K3 O$ {3 u/ S) ^0 @5 Z* @spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
6 }. P" E) u$ s8 |+ Mprices and some tightening of financial conditions.3 J. L& f' T! c9 ~5 I0 G
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
9 L U- l0 s7 X' h# o8 nin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.! z6 t7 M8 T+ L
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
4 f7 {$ r4 h6 Uincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
5 B% \, d- ~8 W" I# C6 Tbalanced recovery.
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3 ^; w6 Q7 A! P: f/ l! gCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects* H9 N8 h- }+ {5 W% `
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess+ t7 T! B3 ]* [
supply.( f$ Y: T7 P. j8 d- [4 [: Y
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
# Z) V2 j0 [+ S! t* B. r3 oto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
) F5 U. B `5 V$ D0 P/ D5 ^# ?- L, s+ Amonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the % Q* {( i4 D+ }2 Z- J0 z' `/ E, B0 R
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.6 x! @! f8 F! \! k4 h
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
9 K3 X+ V4 K$ k& E _: t0 Ostimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic) g6 Q f; _, }# a
developments.. Z/ J8 i9 q) E
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Information note:
% r9 O8 k1 S. Z# D6 f) n, PThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update. l; y! P! y# M2 g
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be" e5 P; m+ c. |7 T1 L
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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