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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
# W. s+ i8 C+ srate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
8 S- M% d+ v8 j0 r$ {( k! oraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal( ]8 f: r# H4 j
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate." i3 i5 \5 l1 t; o$ z9 k, I, y
6 R* w! d* L# q% ]9 W; EThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
. T0 i! p+ b3 T" r5 ^6 V6 O6 Bstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the( J) B) l( M2 p: J' a9 E# `) }
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness9 e1 Z0 y# l' ^) h: P
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.6 \0 V8 X, b) Q1 z6 _
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal/ m2 r [$ G# w2 }
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
1 S; o0 H3 Q2 K# Z X! L" kvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
- }8 g. k1 \7 p6 ^( }# ?in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
4 t! f' I, U: W0 m- z# _important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the3 e# [2 q9 ]) @
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
0 A& ?. b) a8 S1 G& g* H' s2 q9 j; o7 F* lprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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' _) z& Z' G0 Z1 B! ^Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
- z: ^8 |* T2 @' a' tin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.: k0 M8 O' h+ ?- [/ X1 z
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with2 x( O/ t( L/ n/ \! m
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
+ d. D1 z; ~. x/ abalanced recovery.7 U1 @) J1 l7 V
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects' O9 j( T8 x% B: d
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
( I) F% \. f3 r( q5 asupply.2 m& i1 f! M& G" m/ `
" k6 M6 ?0 b! q: e+ t( U* KIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and( O# Y, F& I6 K8 |1 l( L
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
4 y% p* Y) P* ]monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the % c8 d, k w: B0 X9 ^# u
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.# C* Z7 g, x; [4 k/ |' F! S4 {
0 Y5 ^9 m7 u: `: m. I! a7 B+ V! N9 EGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary4 R/ ^: `6 i' }6 p% M+ \' Y
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
" v; ^+ z# q9 j. T$ x; |developments., {% b) _ R: w0 {. H0 w/ P- r6 L
3 o% Q* A1 y C w- dInformation note:8 o6 w' U/ k: F
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
/ f& Q% b4 W8 W. @; Sof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
# I! m/ e7 r0 Rpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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