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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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" v* b+ Y" r3 H1 K- o" k3 VOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
- H- p; c0 r: e; {3 xrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly# z& P# R5 g3 A3 S: Q" F4 d& C
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
1 ?; s2 i/ ?' e) A) k* B" Ioperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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% n+ z8 u+ ]; V) \; J% V" RThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
' P, V8 J8 K& X) [) Ostrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the& [9 P; q' e2 h9 X. j3 M. Y
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness: @! h; G. w2 A* Q* H! }
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.! R( }5 w4 B9 ^
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal8 p+ Y$ {/ L; f) z
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the" {7 x9 A& U/ j
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result2 l8 H$ d0 u$ [; z) }
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
, {2 C$ `, c) X4 m4 m$ C: Wimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the( H' T! _& ]5 ~8 t, a/ _9 t" c
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity; O" }7 x* c2 l7 F3 T) z \
prices and some tightening of financial conditions." S# K$ j" @7 h& G- c. p
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent, F" M3 n, }" E9 v0 S% \0 i
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.4 ~6 a1 O; Y) b! q
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with! @6 l# R+ x8 D8 K) t
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more. Z5 }4 C- ?6 n( U* m p7 s$ C* {1 h& i
balanced recovery.
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2 ]4 Q/ E, n2 L9 P' b; e. n' N& ~CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects# H$ e$ P* k. Q
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess5 u# {8 q# b7 f; [& J, f
supply.) e+ Z2 t4 Z6 I9 o* L; l
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
0 d* m& _+ K- p& B5 y( b3 ato re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable , P/ g/ G8 E7 Q
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
9 Z1 k1 H. `; N: m! ^* A2 x2 x' gsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary9 J+ o- y5 y, x7 N
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic2 X6 Z. u2 [' u. f2 d% s
developments.0 G- K e, U* S ~9 K9 q# |
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Information note:
v* {& c: y& k1 S2 q' n. PThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
7 h; ~, P: z' W4 U$ y# {of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be+ J1 K( E/ n- a: q9 X' ?
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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