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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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( b# z D4 y0 f% ^$ }7 a+ oOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight: D$ Z/ a2 T7 W0 t- y1 n1 d
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly1 i; ?! T; q8 y( C* z# B
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
) f% l( {" v# s8 q1 ^9 P: z+ }operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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, G6 ?. J, s8 wThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
1 s& F: U& `2 |& L$ ]" r4 m2 hstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
9 U9 x! p, P: S3 C0 z4 y# sUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
W" e3 Y0 w1 E- Z" oin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
( K3 c- D$ S) `2 s( Q, J! I* NIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
1 L6 _, u0 D, u. h/ R: `stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
" {! @ }9 q4 m u) Evariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result. v2 a3 U- s5 k3 X( a* \
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an( B2 b! X$ @ j3 \3 R# J
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
* q! v* k0 Q! ]0 \- R# U+ zspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
+ [% s) S3 u1 }$ F5 ~: f1 L$ ~prices and some tightening of financial conditions.* h3 ~# z) A4 e; B; ^& Q
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent5 W+ {$ H; ^/ e
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
. Q' B, U* }3 c6 jGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with9 h& @0 f/ X4 D! V
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
! d% r" t. K& V7 dbalanced recovery.
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q, L! r% T2 s2 i9 kCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
: J- Z: Q( ^) Q+ R& K* w3 L2 Rthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess. C' I3 \- V1 y& n; B W4 `
supply.
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$ h0 }6 a' `2 }# ~9 Z) OIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
, _% v: H, ^* M Kto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable : m5 v4 U0 M4 E6 r2 n! m
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
Y8 E6 J0 j+ z- I F& O4 E* hsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.+ ?% S' Z! f+ C, C T& ?
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
' v5 c9 L3 t9 |' T$ Jstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
8 |; h& Y! [: J) `" t |3 c" M" g; Jdevelopments.
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+ v1 W! T% Z# U; X9 |3 u2 Q2 wInformation note:
$ o% @; w% O! M# r+ t/ R jThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
6 Q0 b' k; G [/ H( a: Yof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be8 }5 ]) b: M, D! i8 h
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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