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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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3 c; Z4 \# o" fOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight/ h2 I3 R; T* _0 ~0 b
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly9 P+ }: G8 }+ G$ n/ p
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal. @* \8 o# Y# p( @
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.5 i. [# Y9 s6 H* }5 c3 {7 u& c
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
9 j; n* M0 R8 b' K( M5 z2 O# t9 Mstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the5 n7 s. w; v7 T2 y
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
6 v2 X( }, ~$ Rin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized., z+ b& b6 L" u6 h& A8 l$ i
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal" t w. T) C. l k, q9 d! g) A
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
8 ?" ]4 y7 t3 Y. T4 Mvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
7 Q( l1 ]5 a) i9 Fin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
$ C. A( Z1 j: {important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
4 _! j! E5 x5 x6 kspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
1 ]4 k5 h ~. G. nprices and some tightening of financial conditions.4 i9 B2 u, T4 u3 _( Q* {
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent0 C+ N) u K4 {* S* u$ q
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
1 V& Z& g8 ^" o" l/ R8 l; `Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
- Q- H F# Q! @, H$ gincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more9 Q, I9 L/ r9 Q" ]2 d d
balanced recovery.! F) m3 t# u" j5 ?3 Q3 F- M0 F, Q
, R1 p/ o- j: s Y2 f& |- WCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects8 }1 C% s1 {6 J E
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess2 e7 N6 p" _# v$ M; b& ?
supply.
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K) {2 q$ u+ {6 _$ N" ? OIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
/ o: S# m, j. O6 V; z. _' F- j1 i1 Rto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable - K0 X, w* v, c
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the . G0 ^# O, A8 v& c. @$ h2 {
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary8 ~% U [& `9 D9 S$ b% s
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic+ n) o" c4 Q) \6 k, G4 a2 X& F2 z
developments.# i: B! I9 i- ^. w9 T9 s, Y' f
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Information note:
3 c& `6 b$ R3 I' s& X& EThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update; w8 O: Y4 i, P) Z" X- |
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
+ Z: m; y+ @/ y4 ^& u- R! q& Vpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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