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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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% Y; C2 x w8 d! jOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
( o. _1 n. ^( _$ ^7 I' B3 Crate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly ]/ J4 n4 ?! N* {7 Z
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
0 i7 y7 a: z5 y0 p! H# Doperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with4 }6 Q) M9 m! r" l v: F; D
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
: z# T$ i) o- R" i8 u% jUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
+ l+ F- `% k0 n' z yin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
5 a' s% y4 l( }# n tIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal& N+ p% a- v4 P( \
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
1 j8 a: f8 b: v }2 {: ?# pvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
" T% X: H4 e4 o& a" @5 `! Uin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an* k! V% a0 v u& O" @: j
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the# G+ }# t. K" `; M
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
# Z; F; I( @. U2 K6 lprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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7 c! `* v- O: R/ i7 ^3 wActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
" ]1 w1 h" Y' i) i$ c, fin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
" V, t' Z1 y" U6 R' NGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
$ ~+ {$ G" K! ], j2 e0 K$ xincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more0 U+ N! P+ z* z1 C4 n
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
/ R3 v0 E; ?2 M% f: mthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess) p2 I9 Z4 g4 a: a; S# C. Z
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
" q- @$ |9 _9 C; e/ z6 L# [5 gto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
( O S0 |( h, a* Dmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the % D5 V0 D: F% Z2 `+ E4 d5 W6 M
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.$ Y7 `' m: E: \2 K: B
9 v9 j/ c- x& V' \& lGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
5 \) @1 m! Y; Estimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic) E& J9 v% I* h( f6 F) ^
developments.
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! Q2 t: G& P% I; nInformation note:& x7 ^. m! x' `/ Y( k. m' ~3 ~7 O
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update' k6 [- ?( G$ d$ h+ K+ l6 F
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be0 A7 p& B- v' @9 Z$ ^$ Z1 y: l
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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