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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market" R. \2 X% q) W7 }" b
% d' m) ]. ^6 b' @OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
# U8 n4 \+ B- Crate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
( R1 A9 U, X& w, _, F& Lraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal, l0 Y2 {. ]1 w
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.3 Y; R& z8 K! G5 q
+ _ X) c2 }. qThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
. E/ a8 C; r* p% A1 n0 ostrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the1 V' X( F% t- z
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
2 X& n+ @0 ?+ y8 K( |. l- N( Vin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
; k. |# z6 r+ x' a# }: aIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
$ z9 ]! Z' q4 O) S0 x0 kstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the( O5 d- ] Y+ B2 i
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result: B( l9 p# @5 j9 u! u
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an$ d' g& N3 U8 r, A
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
3 |* D h+ M& u1 D5 }spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity. m# l# i2 k2 [8 U1 k0 B
prices and some tightening of financial conditions." ^, ?- t/ @! c
" F8 E# I/ \( Y' B" C" JActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent- l1 m* Y( I5 ]4 M
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
- [/ l" @8 g9 `7 Z* u0 NGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with" C2 a2 F# I4 Z) x$ ]
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more, V1 A% D) O' J& H O* M0 u1 K0 D
balanced recovery.8 E" q# U* ~5 P0 i9 e3 _. R" r' @; K
( `& I7 I% N* X4 m! D* s
CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects; @. g0 x( C2 e. B, z' F0 q
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
5 }- T. v* G- ]- Rsupply.+ e& ]. w, }# m& y7 p ]. k
; n8 n/ F, n9 C0 q$ E( bIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
; g+ y$ K. i2 j; D1 Yto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ( M5 b' X0 s Y L2 g- K: c
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ' D5 l. p, r, A$ W# d; [ f
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
/ u# c3 X/ w6 @
}/ t9 U1 |1 YGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary4 x, z v$ l' Z U) w; h( F: Y
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
5 Q, l9 [8 e9 o! G+ m. R+ vdevelopments.+ i- b2 f5 T8 |2 |. [
% F; z8 K/ D* p I4 d" WInformation note:
; _7 j& @$ \0 k+ D7 q7 }The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
- m% A) h) |8 ?, B0 pof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
W' l& `: t6 x- A Upublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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