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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market. `# M5 g, c3 Z8 l
" f2 v. z1 ?/ P6 k! T7 {/ EOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight B2 `5 W( S0 E, {) h! H
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
' e) L3 R. g" Mraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
- v0 [6 `9 c V- b1 X# ~' k( Woperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.) l. y& ~. |# [+ p/ n
: ?2 \' D, n" W. _" [+ h% K
The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
. R( A4 S, J, Xstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
) ? ~) _! q$ R/ f& ~" A |% b! cUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
0 Q& G5 [2 B7 L" ]" L7 E0 Iin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.- B$ ~1 C" }' u! d5 A/ \
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
! P8 r: i4 v) p) Q; xstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
/ R; D. d( K+ V' |" \3 rvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
: y# j A' [4 Oin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an; |5 y4 w4 c5 u/ E. d
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
2 J# J+ M7 |1 m4 h' X! Tspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity' H! t9 I# ?) W
prices and some tightening of financial conditions. H4 x1 A* Z4 k9 D$ M1 M( `
0 F4 |% X! |# N8 k7 e* E( b: L- G
Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
+ L( _( K" N* R+ i9 \0 Z" Vin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.; N0 y$ g; w2 M' O# g$ I
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
P) q3 ]9 G* x. P" H3 uincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
- z7 ?$ l- p, v: zbalanced recovery.
% {8 N5 N: R& L4 e" \! e
4 O+ _+ W2 @5 h+ u/ y$ A' eCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
- p, c; h* R0 t$ Q0 [, M2 ~the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
4 L! |. h# O Q( z7 r3 Fsupply.
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2 G$ J; d( |+ c- JIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and& i; E, n, A7 b3 l% K
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable * [8 d5 t! B- r' Q. A' E& l3 X
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the " @4 ?- d( l9 K: ^% {
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.1 q% j6 B/ o. X- }% `
6 j& g' t8 L M- ]3 M. Z; sGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary2 a5 K9 b* U- s; O2 s: K) X
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
- m4 o6 m L5 w. p Adevelopments.3 c6 r# P( Q6 O9 ?
3 f5 B. U; @/ a. `# |- t' [Information note:! r: W/ N3 P* i0 z$ n7 R
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
6 ~: v/ W) w1 f. D! n! `3 cof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be3 S9 @. @5 J# l9 H+ s
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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