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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market6 c" |+ T0 R, ^
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
J8 Q( U- |$ c* Zrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
2 E/ A( t! p1 H$ a$ w8 {# Y; r% wraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
( T( c* m7 n1 Koperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.# _3 A, j6 I. n2 k
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with; X' h( q% Q8 n9 q3 O0 a
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the+ O; v8 G. c- i) K9 c; N
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness, q9 N6 w9 A5 w1 \4 d" K' j
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.3 l0 F, r! V% X
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal" Y* D7 I9 V4 l4 D4 _
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the# [# b/ M$ R( _: p
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
3 b K: V& U. T* |' h& \1 E7 e' n& Kin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an% v7 x) Z; |+ E+ N
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
: O0 F0 U v) ]) y& t) Pspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity# z. T5 j6 r9 k, h* V. \; u9 E
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.' s+ Z2 y- T; [* m D+ ~" c
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
2 v* n# w; |+ u! iin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed., }" P/ f' R6 e& d4 `( v/ U
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with2 o1 P h. Z9 \4 @) H
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
+ A! y" J f# G+ i1 K4 wbalanced recovery.2 P$ j0 @0 h4 K) D6 w
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
( T! P; V. m9 ~5 B$ ]9 @, ~/ o3 \, }6 |the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess0 b. D# W+ B6 ]1 t/ w
supply.
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) A1 `* j1 X0 k# J9 \: iIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
% u( Y! M5 v. }8 {/ j: J, A# Z! Y- Hto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 3 R, A9 o: Z4 M
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the " \, y- n) G- w: L* g, f, p; U
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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9 U; r, R6 A7 iGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary2 \8 z8 u) l# }
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
; D! e1 N% `2 P2 h, [3 n& h8 Idevelopments.
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! c; r3 P, X* N! l( C5 BInformation note:
: t v- u' m+ |* v/ L) a9 J: JThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update& R {( y7 N. m8 @
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
; i& H* g4 A' c6 ^! Q. Y: zpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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