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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
/ I# }4 p# J2 y4 z' F3 }* h9 @0 irate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
3 b9 M( c+ T$ N( Xraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal. s+ \1 i' n1 L3 X. W
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with/ L" R* B% Q2 C
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the) h( t8 @. |2 ]. @& }) z0 f
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
" T" s% ]* C. R/ Ain Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.; W6 }, b( ]- H l$ z6 O4 w2 W5 |
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal9 a! |! K0 `" K$ y! A: u7 ?
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
; g5 T$ a/ J" i, f/ @variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result7 Q; s2 F( i9 J1 s; a
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an& |3 ?* L6 ]$ Q+ f: L1 W- M
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the9 I" b* @% ^5 ]6 g; H! _
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
1 O2 ^2 F, x+ d# b/ D1 sprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
3 Z2 G, T4 I9 A) {in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.; h) X3 ?1 h1 d' S# ~
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
2 a' ]$ J8 o5 S: V% K5 xincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
! g w5 W: M4 w6 |$ l9 qbalanced recovery.
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9 g% B: l' j* M: O3 h( _7 `! j4 X5 j; }CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects# I9 S* c1 C3 P1 W+ h+ ^3 J
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess# R) Y: B' a0 G0 _5 O/ U5 k
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
1 B! t: V2 h( m* ^: w6 ]to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
# Z) f+ L* P5 ~' }% @+ ]: D7 M% Omonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ! h+ X7 \, c* b' c' P# H+ g/ i5 g
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.3 U; s( C! G# Y% A7 D' [
0 C7 @! E/ G1 R; k: c" e/ {Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
' ^" Q- u! {) N! Hstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
7 q" `6 C) X- Ddevelopments.
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Information note:
+ D2 H& L- Y8 { nThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
' V, B, u% D( @7 X5 gof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be) r( ~8 u8 V: Q% ~
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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