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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
2 V* N5 f$ d8 i xrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly9 F. i" b$ R2 U- m( y1 _) J$ h
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal S% z3 w3 ~' r' t8 Z |3 P/ s
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
3 T$ C: w4 I9 n9 Fstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
1 H+ t/ D6 C3 J; B& V" [% t* eUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness$ J! [; l7 @: V) n" E
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
/ Y; B' n. @$ @$ t# _% RIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal0 [0 @( e* y* Z, Y# N$ {7 z. s* ?
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the# a( `" N8 j# i+ W- o
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result; u2 r6 J2 O- x- @$ b( k
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
% o! J2 |( o9 K! n7 ] {important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the+ W& A$ c& \: v* h) e, @
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity! o" l- g$ x' J3 n
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.% ^3 a% S5 W% O$ V, k5 B& \, u8 v
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
! j" ], b- `, g+ _' s; Q _$ zin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.. ^5 L. ~3 I. D! O9 h% o3 c
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with: |1 }/ g; \; G# O/ D+ a# c& H
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more* q! \: M9 f7 \* b+ C8 [
balanced recovery.' N ~4 p/ Q& K& a" S; y+ O5 {
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects$ `1 o9 ~' Z3 k9 \; A1 J! u* F
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
. t* J) C/ E! v8 w6 V3 N; bsupply.5 U9 e0 ?+ v) {) @. j
) l. F5 \% j% N# bIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
! W3 ~9 k5 T4 g* m+ T; [to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ; r: C' w- ]8 V
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the / g/ s3 u5 m( p
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery., K$ r% C: Z% q; o
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary9 \( |; W1 I' @( ?1 A$ [, R# F
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic+ R; o; S2 x5 y' n7 ]
developments.
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6 h2 }4 d) S" z8 jInformation note:6 L" q+ G2 _4 C4 v$ x
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update5 B7 B" n8 ^. V( T3 p
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be; w* e! i- D0 X2 `$ b5 b6 ?/ s
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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