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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market* U! [8 g# [2 ~
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
$ v: f; Z$ X$ M. N% ]rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly8 f4 e5 p) v. d$ c9 l
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal: r- @' {( c* @+ o3 _
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
' r$ o* L7 V5 sstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
$ f) V Y: C8 }) uUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
+ n) M+ H" M5 q" }- Min Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
, x. U! ] a9 K" s3 g QIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal m F6 T9 V; {" I: }' l1 m
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the% j1 i+ a! X. S( h7 V3 p
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result, A/ o* \% C0 c+ y5 n- a8 }
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
$ W9 ], c, x) |2 mimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
0 e5 y* w( j: y1 G F) b- E1 z; Q% pspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
' {5 D. o* p4 A6 \7 Nprices and some tightening of financial conditions.- T' ?6 {6 }* q8 t+ G
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent" m B. f3 w. i0 `5 \
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.' M. i* {# d* ]* Y
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
- p# L7 \! b3 R- ^9 s# ~$ yincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
6 P+ e0 E7 R# X" X) ~" Y, Kbalanced recovery.. m4 B% Q, ?+ |7 T4 o# B
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
; p$ N8 s+ Z9 x% Kthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess' e( C; P8 ~0 k$ d# M
supply.
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, f0 }8 A# | q% h; g( |In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and" Y( B7 Q0 ^) o4 R5 K! C) f
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
1 ?7 V0 J! H% U" C/ n c) lmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the # h& M4 @& q+ D0 P* ?
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
! Q+ V. U& Z6 J* R3 j5 Wstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic/ G# l( F$ i- h& `8 W2 L+ I
developments.
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Information note:
1 e8 N7 @8 E8 d* k6 |- TThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
3 s9 {- K" d( Q+ D4 {* U: kof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
3 L6 ~: W( E1 Y# Bpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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