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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market/ V& J# r8 L) Z, n% S$ G3 @8 `
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight# G7 p* K- X9 U( o/ N
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly' g L* P3 M/ L# y! j: z$ V
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal- j' g" r' J6 p7 ~ ]1 T* H# T
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
5 S1 ^9 D& O) Z l. astrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the! [6 e6 c5 o) l: t4 i% k b N9 U: Y4 v
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness9 g8 q/ m3 p3 O0 B
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
. \1 _( r3 U- YIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
4 R2 n: ^% G* V& @) f- `9 ^6 Z9 ystimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the- u3 _ A# J8 s2 P; \! y) k# N4 u
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result9 T2 ]4 f5 z+ Y1 g
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an' E0 I5 P# \9 T/ P9 |" ^9 Y
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
* W! u( [3 G' u! {* Y% }4 Jspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
8 [) N: f/ b; A0 V3 }prices and some tightening of financial conditions.# b& }/ r- |4 j z' i4 D I
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
! l$ B5 T) R' l0 b: X6 Tin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
1 H8 \* n- C8 O: n r% o8 mGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with7 u" x- G* Q# k% H
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
0 b4 v0 y+ x6 D6 h+ w2 s9 P% w- t7 ybalanced recovery.
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- [& T3 }5 D% N, ?4 t: z/ P) ZCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects8 q2 o3 [) L) d/ l9 p$ J) k1 g
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess J+ U( Q9 s, I# [4 ]2 f
supply.& p: E8 j3 |4 l' p
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and$ F7 h5 `. D' L! N- V
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable . M, k2 f5 m( Y4 S4 Z7 U( `5 A- F
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the - L/ M/ S( ?6 y& Q6 ~" g7 j
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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- D- R# C C: G9 W( O9 QGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
$ k9 S4 P7 [0 N3 l+ X0 y/ bstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic4 V& `. Q5 K h5 O4 J% r
developments.) F- Y. g/ K ~0 ~; ]
z4 D, h) X# C5 D7 AInformation note:$ S6 C7 B$ Q6 O2 n4 ]" Y$ ^ J
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
( k% y! w! N/ K' a; L& wof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be9 l1 f- @0 C6 n, U3 m, y
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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