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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
7 K3 Y. ?5 a9 ~/ \: Krate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly" v* M1 i8 v: a8 F3 o
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
- W+ [, [" u* |0 d: C( f6 soperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
& Y$ o" p6 S$ F v4 y4 \% {$ fstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the( w: C# ^, c# o" k; m9 a2 j* a
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
5 r" G) R a9 R* Y3 lin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.$ Y$ Q2 [& Z1 n! H! A. b
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal3 d4 i# u+ K7 n9 E' b; _8 H i% |
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
- A$ Q$ o L8 @% ~- B! t0 K; svariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
2 Q5 I6 e3 T& e! `& Pin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an/ f6 w | z' z' j7 I
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the$ p0 {; c9 E8 [3 g! `. k' D1 A
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity2 Z" G& c- ~4 `$ P# z/ j# F
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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" f! i' Z. T4 X$ UActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
# n% X$ l6 q: V. R( z. n5 Yin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.' h' D6 c) I2 L
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with4 `7 F. Y3 S8 H4 w
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
& k J# \/ [: V( f) lbalanced recovery.
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7 @( z. R" H" h2 n" QCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects5 L0 @( I% k: f3 u" q$ n! y
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
, g9 O- Y. D0 @( w( f6 Jsupply.' p6 l! f& k& V8 N" [4 |
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
+ u0 D! I8 f' h8 _. Y- Sto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 7 ]- {6 h% ]- D6 l
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 4 I) N8 n4 @7 W( J- J) e
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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+ o5 V+ n' ~0 VGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary$ }. `+ J& z4 R9 D4 d* i
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic5 Y3 z% Q8 _. T$ T& v0 u1 d
developments.
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Information note:: B+ s+ M' @& I; k! m9 n" J" r
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update$ `6 G/ J, @4 m8 ~& [& I, l/ j
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be& j1 R, n5 [& C
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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