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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market- s* Z( S! R5 o4 s) |& W- w
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight6 [" e! Q$ ]7 H' r
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly5 q$ S! Y* {4 @* t2 Q. L
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
^# d6 M0 A' H5 F Qoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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, v7 P& b9 p+ EThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with2 ?( O* p4 ?: \' Z! ]1 b$ }* ` o
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the1 D: ^8 C5 O! C i0 t( P
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
% R1 [+ B9 y3 H' ]2 d; ?in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized. ]# S- p" |' m
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal9 C4 p9 P% O. z
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the& e* f' _+ J, L& j" L9 J" }1 v
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
6 `+ G' B" R; h8 v7 oin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
7 b: v( Q, @( S$ i2 Q+ v4 \important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the) F0 M( L# `0 }- N0 q( Y: c6 D
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity2 L( j Y# M p, g6 A( Q# ~# S
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.: x7 t6 a' W+ P/ l
: J) @9 b4 l' f( O5 XActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
) w3 T2 h$ n- Q7 @3 gin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
+ s0 V1 e5 R* ZGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with3 `" {9 R( U( N8 R
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
1 I1 k: c/ b; j l/ u5 F9 m8 k9 Ubalanced recovery.0 Q6 U4 M% v( n# W! Y" f
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects c4 F6 s9 r! r# m0 X+ _
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess' t7 ~( G0 W- R, k/ k! {! Y8 ?
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
- K( \* X7 `" X; Yto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable * K: ~6 U$ e) y$ G
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
; ?" t6 H# A3 K; r5 e5 Qsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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$ J/ S/ U- t! g* t2 KGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary# k \; q' D8 k% v- G
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
N! K! @+ }. A3 b6 g2 z9 `developments.
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Information note:
# n) N) \2 O' X5 OThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
- ]( c* w: d5 u8 C; l% gof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
{- b( h, X# b( A3 ~ m- ~published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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