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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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5 M6 e4 U4 j+ {! a; Q: Z5 P3 SOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight9 ?/ X# [- c G. ^0 J* v
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
1 t' h# X3 |- K) }4 draised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal( |3 N9 A5 I! h* p6 M
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.8 o+ b% b3 x; E$ D u
6 @, P" p9 J! {+ E( MThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
( P1 L- R( l0 I1 Y% I7 [) e- d4 c! ostrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the' i, @3 O- ?" U, \# \0 O
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness+ O9 `* H* |+ m: ~
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.+ g+ @# _3 C9 E
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal6 ~ v- H5 n) q* O0 N4 R
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the5 A% t) e) U& d% i! T- f6 g
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result' G6 K" q `1 f3 A' I' ?
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
j! U# S( _7 R# r# ximportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
! N1 u& ]- y: @, N4 d( zspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
+ W- }; o1 L3 }8 e! w: bprices and some tightening of financial conditions.7 |# r: J( {9 S
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent% Z# E) l) H% U9 ] P h
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
8 l3 M- O9 n, R i: eGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with) G! b, k! s. f! o) M: j
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
2 F/ M/ S0 e6 }4 P1 I4 Sbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects5 b+ i. d K7 _1 y8 @9 v; [
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess! w1 B, n0 ^: v) M+ b! C, Q
supply.8 e) G* E; H0 f) I. ^* \
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and% n' X5 ?. |' B7 [9 h
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable : l9 o0 M0 K" v* z; p3 D) L( S5 a
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
( F( a4 n/ R/ x. e3 fsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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7 U) G! W, J2 k% H, ^Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary1 r% T0 `- Q$ O2 y( e; A
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
2 [0 g. m6 _/ O# m3 O9 q, Odevelopments.
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; E8 o$ D3 j% J! q6 Y6 ]Information note:
& V' K# F% c% A. l& ZThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update: v* ]6 ^. h6 O; a9 N
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be5 `: y- p$ }# X y$ y5 R
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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