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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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/ @( O/ ?# E7 |5 x& B. U: ^5 T9 DOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight" `& @5 Z1 `0 y s. ?: R( ?1 w
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
: _$ {) C4 v) [8 n9 D/ hraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal8 s' f' s k; v2 \; L# I8 Y
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.2 a L$ n' E7 i% T
1 D1 @$ {4 k/ X& A) ~' D5 p9 bThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
0 Y( |; F; N! M% X1 |strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the% l( a$ \% E/ F% V
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
1 G4 d# L- R G# t$ m' Ain Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
8 |3 C' R# t1 W6 D3 @! R+ f' j) mIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal+ F* J6 c0 `1 e- j# |4 K
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the% J5 J1 j n1 i
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result4 W* A. u/ o6 G& m5 V8 T
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
: j% |* {& k# t" ~9 d# l: `important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
0 ^7 V4 Y) e, m& d+ ^ w& hspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
3 I$ @' b2 U6 X R" J1 g3 Wprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
5 Y. v: V/ |8 B9 |" ` min the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
; R5 ?( n4 V% O6 r! ^, sGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
3 w0 W/ ~/ c: } y& ^+ Y: @8 gincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more* W' N3 Y( M8 K8 c' m/ N
balanced recovery.
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0 F3 B* O5 J; @# ?# s) ~5 ]CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects7 A/ T& s+ T2 z- v% o5 X5 u5 C
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
" B) [# e6 `3 l2 I) z( ]supply.4 O. s2 x8 j) n$ p, w
& S/ Y2 |# I8 Y4 ^! m! JIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and( F" W1 z; o0 O
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
* h3 k1 X; R) v$ c2 U3 kmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the % ^, @# I$ N' ]. \: O7 Z
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery." P& x4 K7 a! W7 ~
- o8 s7 S& M; z7 }Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary( S3 g# @9 L7 t, G8 Z0 S
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic5 a6 m, y( S: J2 W. J+ ?
developments.
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7 D* V* S- }7 H/ n: |0 C7 [Information note:' H) y5 p6 O' k' [) l3 o8 N6 ?
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update/ @8 D0 K: X, f5 M; Z8 d
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
' [) M1 e$ u) L+ [4 ppublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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