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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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/ ^1 c6 W1 t/ A# x HOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight9 k" f& }9 g0 s1 a" {
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
9 x% _" l0 J. n; k/ H) }2 oraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal( M5 i5 n7 e# D% \' A n' z0 I
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with0 {- O$ V& R3 ^3 y3 N
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the9 n, k3 x+ U/ ]; s* `" k* R! p
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
4 W! I' x8 O* ^' [$ o' Z7 jin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.. X0 G( x; P7 \& i$ Z: G
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
* ]& ~4 |: f! Z" A1 I, U; Zstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the6 q; Q0 N% D- P; j) K/ D
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result& ^9 Q( n/ g0 ~7 E) C
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
; f7 c9 A1 ]# g2 `4 Ximportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
0 @" f2 o3 s5 q1 dspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity) }7 q" Y# r% q4 @2 L6 j5 ^! R
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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7 w6 I. R1 E- G+ n3 HActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
/ ~4 d6 I- {4 ?& I! Bin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.3 J9 I8 N8 W( X. I! F2 }: [
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
7 Z' P# ~9 b/ k, L; S% ^income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
8 C: O% p% y! ^. T# {balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects* N3 G6 Q0 \) H
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess# V# a, q, c7 h1 o* z8 ^
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and) ~. N' }% s* g' l* g+ ~& o
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 0 j. A( e+ p w5 u0 x# W
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ) P4 ?" R$ ? V, v
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary) M# v; e: F% ^/ m2 S
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic. ~. d- M( R: g6 y; D4 }
developments.7 O. {9 K& O& I! j) n, P$ f" Y
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Information note:
3 V6 i! W( p9 l( ]" XThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update# w, |. f! ^ h7 @) t
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be4 }1 o. u% l" f- ^" l
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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