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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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; E1 L1 ^# f5 q8 }OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
* D0 {4 m ]/ g/ D- D* J6 jrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
" T* O: W/ ]" \% araised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
. J) d3 C2 d9 ^% doperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.) k+ z4 d% U8 {9 `3 D# m9 h
" v* e- S& ?/ F1 u- Q WThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with* e4 \/ V: w8 e6 i
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
3 @" z2 s5 u8 \. u, D9 RUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
3 p! B* m- h [+ S$ U% v+ yin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
1 H% W/ W! D1 _, N% VIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal' R& @2 o1 E9 v3 W+ Y
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
' x( o4 l+ a! K: R. W; Ovariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result2 h0 {+ r9 J/ p6 w8 P; I
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
& Q; D6 j m) X. }9 I6 m5 C5 Jimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
: {$ K0 ~+ m, Zspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
- P9 ~0 _" A3 y* I; Z; dprices and some tightening of financial conditions.' X: \0 k3 V" l! t2 X1 F
2 o6 s; g) C9 B8 j+ x# aActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
( r) e3 p+ I3 Z! ein the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
/ v; l9 E, T1 h1 _, pGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with i7 n8 k& {- s7 N( Z
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
4 I7 u2 G! @$ \+ z" @# N* M) wbalanced recovery.$ b# B, N8 R- S- D
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects: d( \, j# f I* v p1 R' Z, N
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
8 t. R7 N# t) A4 n% o: qsupply.
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! h9 t$ p# U# f+ _/ z! aIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and% q! c: k( z: r; n7 P0 e$ b
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
5 Z% v1 ?" c: b: z3 k/ ]" ?monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
/ u+ a. Y; M( H$ F( Z8 wsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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2 p& ^, p2 T' J4 h6 `: R6 J2 C/ SGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary+ w9 v1 o* a2 ^
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic" E6 \5 E" h. S5 M* X+ u
developments.$ e5 R+ r6 x7 @2 M: a
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Information note:2 V! F1 D7 e& Y& O) W% Z- _' d
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update. L' x! z0 u5 y0 @6 H
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be( h% _. m# Z; \' _ C" D6 H+ n" x
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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