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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market# s$ h' Z, k1 N% ^" t. b6 |, \
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
8 O0 K8 {, D; y( m- g7 b5 Krate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly1 X1 M; N* j% j. X) x2 `
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal% m' `% e- }0 T6 Q
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate." H3 \2 h; P+ Y% X2 |( c! j# z" A
2 M6 S# Z3 c6 u: L3 G! f, W0 IThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
% U2 F8 x W3 M6 F% Ystrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the: t$ i( C( G* W! R
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness Z- F8 `+ X; L$ D1 ?
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.+ I4 Y9 t7 L' k7 m
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
- _' x$ A1 K! T- n* nstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
6 N' l0 N7 F0 B- ]6 ~5 ^# S, zvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result% A/ r( V8 e3 J1 f* o" C
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an9 [/ F& ? z/ X1 P+ V: y( i8 n, j. ?
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
# ^' S) u1 l9 gspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity! {$ E( } v' r" A
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
& O( x% d' U! f0 {* N) K5 \. A5 cin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.( |, q. d# @7 s4 q5 y
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
" c6 p! R% s' Pincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
: p9 _% I5 l" K1 wbalanced recovery.0 A1 F" D. q9 M+ V
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
+ V# u9 l5 \8 m1 k% x2 Athe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess, k y1 E/ |& D8 v
supply.
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1 P5 t% [. X/ F6 g/ E( C2 R& zIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and; Z" s. w% s. h) |- R. P8 n* {+ F
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
' ` H9 ~- {) N7 _2 Q! P$ ]; Kmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 7 I. z- f( I; S7 ?8 x7 ?8 I
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.; U6 e) z, J: X& y8 `. v: X: N
* ?& x3 o* p( k" |) f' |Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary" d6 q4 \) a* I- ]1 d: n4 d v& }
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
% }! ? H! |% v4 l6 idevelopments.
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Information note:
& d8 G: @' D# `The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
1 O' N+ ?7 ^1 [7 ]; fof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
: T/ |/ J" ?! Z7 Z; Z: g. Gpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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