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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market# b* K5 _" F. j, ]$ r7 }9 ^
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight" |. v1 B- Z7 Q
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly/ S$ f9 i- t$ M/ ~/ S
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
# w8 d* p$ @% [, m+ B6 Z) D! foperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
i4 Z, X5 l3 K% y3 N j& Bstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the4 o+ K( j1 W) d+ K8 ?
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness5 ], Z( `" d# C3 k5 d
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.& D' A7 s# n- d2 s- a# g$ _
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal w8 b, F9 Q" F
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the8 C. e2 s* z6 W7 K3 X; b; i
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
" z9 U9 d3 a% J) v, ?6 V& \in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
4 h. _* f# H) I- dimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
5 B& W8 G+ e5 ^1 T3 G( Aspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
1 F( K" _7 g8 e7 J- w& f* l; z6 zprices and some tightening of financial conditions.. W( x1 T- ~0 z7 R% ~
U4 M, E" {) mActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent6 ?1 J$ ?& u/ u& k3 O% ~7 v
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
' V' } s2 \* u1 h- Q7 Q# J) jGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with; L6 j) S: v2 B* A5 l
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more8 Q5 ]+ m) E- H& |# e- k7 Y$ b
balanced recovery.. X9 i' X8 H& ?3 U# t+ M+ y7 c! d
( N3 ?3 b# u, KCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
9 b8 D) h7 @- U2 i7 `( j# O2 Lthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess5 H9 }! u9 I' y5 ?! a W
supply.4 k: V( a( ], @$ ]3 F5 s; H
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
, o# b0 k( |) `( |+ R" vto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
! p' R) P8 J3 Emonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
# l3 O, X) J S# \8 ^significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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+ p2 k, ?# E. W* yGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary* v6 U/ y9 x8 {# _- V
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
) b: W6 D+ G. E; ?1 ^developments.
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Information note:
' |4 `" e/ t' u" i" jThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update& b. I2 @. i; k; [
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be& W+ ~ ~: h. Z$ {. f
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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