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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market7 h- r% Q5 C) A
% a, Y6 O( Z( _+ d( d- D" HOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
: n' z2 x/ D- x; ]: Grate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly, w" `' w1 \& `
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
9 [& Y. s0 @* e3 I, U9 `* m! y+ A- Coperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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9 N& O( R6 U$ \1 H% t! t! kThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
r$ Y1 W$ f# H1 g( Cstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the0 ]! O. `1 w; i
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
$ q0 c+ v2 U& oin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
# E1 f0 j0 |3 m8 p) [: zIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
6 }- z- Z9 a3 W! Cstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the+ }7 t: K( h- L
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result2 h' Y% a% Q+ c, u
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
+ m; |. j" Y% Aimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
9 E O( H: p Y- hspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity2 o2 A1 F0 }% V; A$ c; F
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.* x: k/ ^9 O" P- ~
& g6 v3 L& h' i8 EActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
5 @2 @" s$ h! D% X3 T0 Jin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.- j7 q, J0 f3 y" J% t$ M
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
1 h- h! p3 L5 ^3 lincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
( v# O5 b* N) I9 X' Tbalanced recovery.( [- O# O, j: g9 |( q x
( X$ o! b" L2 w0 \$ {( Z* yCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
/ `: d0 f; S* Y* kthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess5 A. l- x! l9 _- R6 Q0 x1 @( j7 j
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
: {" F; n6 E0 ~ N, J s( }0 nto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable , q! q* g# T7 w0 ^8 j* |. A
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 0 j" P0 t! K4 K( u
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.' j9 q; ~4 m! }1 |- G4 a; Z( j, K
7 X2 i. D9 }/ M6 m/ p
Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
j9 p0 a, }5 p# xstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic! z8 Y+ ?+ s6 S
developments.4 E' ]+ I" h/ z& J. _; {. ^
" s7 H* l5 M; ?. a, g* ^Information note:, q/ g8 R" E g' h4 N! D
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
1 M/ n; S/ o9 @& d6 S2 k9 A8 b% fof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be/ A& I" u4 R3 C3 T9 N: r6 o' {: m Y
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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