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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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$ n4 p/ e9 j' Q8 w+ A" SOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
: R) W0 ?0 P1 K" x4 @rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
. `2 D( D( y2 X. Praised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
% \4 n# x6 O0 p0 yoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.4 ~# P( O: \3 Q1 [ a9 ]3 ?
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
. @$ r6 I7 [6 xstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
. `! x" e& h! nUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
) f8 s6 j9 Z2 }' {# Pin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.) Z1 f- y8 J) `, c: d6 g, r
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
% m, w q# Y8 t: i; istimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the# w0 u C' ?" @, r, @
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result; U2 G8 }6 o8 B% c- r; ~3 g" Z
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
0 F* q5 c2 Y# G1 P( }3 q) m! jimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the. F9 Z7 t& _$ W5 s' B
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
2 T& J0 E2 c3 I, f# Q, C( Q/ _prices and some tightening of financial conditions.6 E$ L& B# N& b* s$ q% r0 l
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent2 |4 D V" r6 N! u6 k" N& B. `
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.- k1 X& ~$ v2 g4 @9 K
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with* c/ {, f* l( | d7 ]
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
# c# f, J; w: dbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
% o. Z' ~6 [6 S3 n) F9 xthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
% N. \: V9 A) P0 R% } Isupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and2 C9 C: b4 x' b5 C9 `3 n" N+ h
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
- n9 g8 ]2 ^- z4 Cmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ! b g1 u( W! n. x
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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( }4 A) t# |, N$ c1 oGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary: B& L5 W- q* M+ E2 W
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
0 R8 X5 F& }, mdevelopments.
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/ O7 t) _0 q1 c! rInformation note:8 X+ G% I- c0 l1 Y* j0 k; h
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
: Y$ d5 e8 ?! l- p& u/ x% u" Gof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be' m# K$ y7 x6 A! `! S! o' U5 X
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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