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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market P* I3 x$ j& \- y3 c1 h# v3 F7 n
9 n" p" w' X6 G7 LOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight8 _" h5 ]( p2 l, d0 V; I6 f$ h$ C
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly0 a. G- p4 B8 ]6 \
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal6 a0 v9 a |; Y: R9 B2 ~
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.# ~5 I1 i. d4 O0 F' I+ t
8 [ C5 r' v1 J9 |The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with. O* A9 Q, ^5 U1 q' W3 M8 y' ^
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
?4 n/ y3 o2 N% qUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness2 h4 @ w I; B6 J; [
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
/ Z; [+ k q, G( e; Z' ?8 BIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
0 N* n _6 r: c. O2 Sstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
5 T# v9 R1 n! ^, |/ J, i/ x9 G, S- w @variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result. T1 n! n/ o) W- z6 a
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
# ]& n2 v0 o/ P: Qimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
) \# T% b X! _7 Mspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity) B/ M/ D8 a& ]- J( U, I
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.$ N: L) M7 E4 T' i& N; ^/ F
: G, K3 U6 C7 B/ P$ \Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
2 p4 z- F5 Z/ `5 A6 I* ^) v& u& K5 ~in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.# R+ {# \% \8 U, K* C( p( ^3 v: ]+ R, \
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
5 o1 Q! c1 r- W! xincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
* o, C7 g* k) C; t/ D2 Obalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects2 `. @$ T. \! H4 i5 p0 d% f. F
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
& ^8 J4 c2 ~' ]/ i: gsupply.! Q/ T0 i" u% c+ Y4 g# c: W5 G0 n
1 `" H1 _* Y! m! X+ x
In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
& _' c; w) L3 |% B$ f9 Oto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable - Z- s. N3 M! N0 t
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
+ ~, I+ W. s3 E' f$ h- Csignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
e) k4 q% H& B1 \( }, x
! p( p% }4 W( G6 ~7 y* i1 FGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
9 j" T* q* s6 Cstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic' D( X4 X6 b( Y2 X0 j* n4 `2 K
developments.
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Information note:7 r. Z5 D: r$ k9 e- \% u; g; o
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
2 i, D: x* v4 x% ~; fof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be+ `% ]" z5 c" x' x9 _
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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