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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market$ Y# S6 B* G$ x) ^" n
: h3 @; y) }, _& n% o8 g! sOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight) F6 b1 j( q" |
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
3 T, [6 B2 p$ _raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal7 m! v+ I' ]! s7 d: ]' R
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.$ ^$ O* m G; R8 f5 z
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
* o8 C0 j" P) G/ Pstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
. y. i& n5 d0 \) @- AUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
- w6 Q0 W1 ~; f) x# bin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
: v: U9 e, z: a* P' y9 mIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
4 n! g# M1 S* N- a5 istimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the x% t& X4 o( h3 ?5 |, Q/ f: V
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
9 v8 ]5 {# k/ {1 A1 ?; Pin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
! E G- A! G# q5 |9 V( P# }( Oimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the4 _" U* J) p" @5 N
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
* q& n7 s( P7 _' u7 Bprices and some tightening of financial conditions.8 [) h6 r j p4 A0 b K2 X$ ?! N
d- l9 f% Y* H: Q: pActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent7 ? |" q( w$ N
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
: j: _) o; f, A# y3 a& E; tGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
* X) U9 Y8 Z E8 w( p! `income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
- O* F! I) h$ i8 W1 _7 W2 E2 nbalanced recovery." P V% y3 D8 Y
+ a* j8 W* _+ ~' t1 JCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
* j+ d: \+ x: b1 ?; ]the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
% I% ^7 j" Y$ ssupply.# J3 H6 ^# g s+ A/ @
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and' o7 U1 b$ ?6 R% I5 P' Z, e
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable . h% R( h# t B% a4 e. A
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
& ?7 o6 x4 T, @8 i' jsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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. {$ i+ p. k# }8 r! K( I G: SGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary" {; n& @, P8 `% C
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic7 R! K! v, l: @- e. K' R5 Y
developments.6 X. L, v: p! p
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Information note:
$ `+ F6 k1 L8 yThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update! w! u9 x: H+ Z x0 D( p
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
% U0 I7 f% d9 z+ u: r$ Fpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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