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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market( N% a) q# ~2 j) _& [6 q
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
4 L* F4 f R5 |! I/ Nrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
T6 ^, f8 L7 c! l; w0 xraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
) |+ T Y3 y- w8 h& Woperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with0 A0 r F! d5 C; Q f4 K* i* f
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the3 u. l6 r! w, l( G
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness- o$ C5 {2 R9 @5 M8 h% l+ f
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
% G6 r* y- | _) |In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
% h, y, n8 z! d/ w! H" C; ?stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
! ~5 ~7 W( P$ ~$ nvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result( R9 @- K% X: Q: h
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
- i% y1 B) @7 `. Wimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
. `0 P/ l0 \- z; `; Espillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity3 @& g; A4 s3 S
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.6 a Z9 Y; j7 Q7 I' k" G
& g4 ~4 R! X3 y; eActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent9 J/ S0 m# d3 G: p
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.# A, I1 H2 e2 V1 r+ b' l: S. O
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
$ F1 I, D1 ^; ^ |/ tincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
8 ?% t; L! i( e n. |; {" |9 Kbalanced recovery.' N* L5 s; g. A0 d6 T# b
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
. ~9 e- @1 f9 n6 `+ \" jthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
. Q. K/ {9 D* v% Csupply., S7 h0 D; {9 t5 d
% l/ T3 e+ p# ]0 F- Y: gIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
7 g" \+ u, N# m2 @to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
' j$ d2 ^7 [* J' Umonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
0 i; S) D1 d% [, csignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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& i5 g- W( [+ I& i0 @) z! _8 w* eGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
6 H9 z% p' q5 Xstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic$ X: X5 T$ u9 p; H% F
developments.
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! G! j; u3 s8 ]2 O+ ]9 \Information note:
6 K8 D' e* n# ]6 K/ mThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
8 b5 i' I$ A5 u |. ~ q0 Jof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be# v4 p' d1 H! g! w1 i1 M
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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