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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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( x$ a+ j" k* O, U% AOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight/ U- H/ }1 j ~. u
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly9 ~, F& u3 T* I: w [- c+ W3 Q
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
' M1 f1 y1 D5 P% Joperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate./ b; s, H/ x9 o
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with& q8 b& X" I$ B% u; a+ m4 g
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the' S+ }# C4 f* @
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness7 Y" W9 ^2 Z, G; A! }9 A
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.! f1 i- `: h0 q* p: F2 r1 R
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal6 P [# F8 s; b& W7 ]
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
, G# B9 O1 N" ~# |8 b9 x0 k5 [variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result1 [" m7 F4 x- Y4 a
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an1 `( }* o, E# N
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
$ V9 I( l$ D, E+ A. _& X2 Ispillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
8 Q: b6 O% @" T7 _prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent, t+ Q" d ]% P, k8 ^
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
$ w! p) Z" X+ {; e5 g( ^Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with4 S9 T; i% c: q
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more- e" G; ]5 C' z- I
balanced recovery.
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- A# W. H/ I# NCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
. O( s6 ~1 n# c$ kthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
: ~0 b3 B8 J3 V9 S/ l- \supply.
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5 o5 g- I$ |) P g# [: rIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
8 _; ^4 H, h" Z& l+ o; L uto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 0 m3 x% ?2 n$ w
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 6 Y- L* V( y8 V* j4 ], M3 ]
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.# F4 J. \& ?/ B; j! i$ a! S% ~" o( E
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
# _9 B a8 S) h2 h: [stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic: q) ~+ U9 w) ?9 h: e9 p) t
developments.. ?: J" U0 L' r: f
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Information note:
: y7 B" T4 | Y5 GThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
+ f6 \' Z! r1 O, H4 Nof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
4 Q9 w I5 B; jpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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