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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight E2 j" A7 D0 I/ ~- O5 d- b" A
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
5 @# M/ y, R `) \1 G# B) n2 Braised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
: n- \! Y3 Y/ X+ q9 D3 C9 {operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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: s! d! s9 {, U e) lThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with: @7 m7 v% y! G6 J% z
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the9 L- [7 M/ L @* V1 T
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness1 b5 C7 U) t1 |! L
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.1 I; d( ~4 c, Z5 m1 @; Y
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
9 p! l) [% N4 d( z2 vstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
8 u, ]$ n1 Y3 O4 N$ e# Mvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
) Z2 W! {$ M- [. \& z. ~3 D2 M$ lin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
/ P W, E) a' f7 U6 @! Vimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the* I* K1 c6 x, v+ i8 G
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
) [$ [+ O+ y$ Lprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent* i% n- k& E _, F: F# {9 e- J
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
. a, z& O. e( D$ c$ ^Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with& m% ?7 y/ Z% l6 V, c' A
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more+ R7 R/ ^, x0 B" `1 g3 w! L) r* O1 G+ i
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects, n/ X: ~% N6 _$ N5 t
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and* B" @4 f& S; Y1 M" Q
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 6 B/ i: _' J( g
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the $ F' G w: m0 [
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.* p( h9 x0 ]. d6 S9 N! M0 E4 G
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
8 Q* ]) c" g8 W# t0 B2 Istimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic/ F+ @. |7 h- z x* S
developments. e6 s) p1 S1 ]" r# O! [
! N2 k+ A ?: p& x' o$ GInformation note:7 y5 Q% Q" p/ f- ?" D9 o
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update$ p5 h& y+ i. S$ B" y/ ]: O
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be, `7 X& z5 ~2 z9 y: `! N4 j
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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