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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market, i' m3 m& ]" `2 C' v* ]
' ~) C8 m4 U1 POTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
9 K6 A7 A; Y c% X7 @+ orate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
% Y' `, g K( I5 Zraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal, I2 ]* E. i$ D! C6 n5 X) f
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.9 R. v- c: V$ m V; [- [
2 @# P3 m+ D! _6 RThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
" G) e5 j% ?) D8 }3 l7 z- V( Wstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the! B, y& Y7 }. R9 Z9 S/ h
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
2 r( e3 h7 t4 a: M8 pin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.& W5 E$ _: q0 V; o
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal$ \, J6 V4 u1 e/ I! E! Z& C
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the: ^6 @4 c' e, \' R: M3 T
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result3 v. I: w" s4 T2 _- A
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
: G+ k2 l" ~: }; X* [$ Y9 I Jimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the d! g9 }7 N9 D. k7 l
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity( S9 P- ?* @1 E: R! d
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent* P! U* ?' Z/ C: W: l
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
0 ~& W: H$ {1 |# W+ |) tGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
6 z- q4 c0 a0 j& I. q' Q: wincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
: \3 W- x" A8 I7 _balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
( E: V1 u- t' ~: W5 N4 Ithe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess, ~) D4 o5 Z$ `9 E( o c
supply.
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{/ y+ Y' B# @) I2 D" B: tIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
$ R7 ` l' C( u3 b* Z- n) rto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 6 H2 M8 i3 r# J2 g0 M
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 8 U$ J' @3 a4 O9 ?) @% w( z: @/ I
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery." S r) s$ c; G5 I: ^ e8 B- O7 l! A
3 @% t& m8 x% v8 m9 Y HGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary! W9 {2 Q- `; H' e- Z5 c
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
# N4 R1 v) c% a+ z) Odevelopments.
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Information note:1 B- r" F/ R/ Y F8 H
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
4 z/ [5 r- X7 C- h6 V$ V8 Hof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
0 n# Z2 Q# D, vpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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