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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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* c: |& W; ^0 yOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
# F# L7 d. O) y! A" A2 [rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly. `, h+ d, K4 B w! y
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
, U) j% d0 R) a: x8 \operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate. \+ `$ e6 T/ l) L0 T/ h0 D
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with) P5 S& \: w" x2 ^4 b5 n& O
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the) Z4 ?/ d* p1 r5 m0 i7 d# W, {
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness& m Q M8 O# x, h
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.5 `% G- d1 a) k. h0 [
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
/ c, d/ N0 H& C( ?. D* ustimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the' x7 O: R: |4 d5 o! F. t8 C% I! m
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
/ y! Q' z1 w* T6 D& R9 z- win higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an% d# x4 F+ w5 D6 Y/ {* S) h
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
7 @9 w. ^, W% j+ pspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
1 b: G, }# d d* w% U2 kprices and some tightening of financial conditions.9 p* }1 z7 `( B" {% b& D) E
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent: m3 `3 j. [8 i2 D9 W, k1 E! [
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed., h, o1 ~9 z1 w
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with% x$ R+ k" |, F/ s
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
- M2 a" I8 x% V( ^9 `balanced recovery., S; X" }( W1 k4 t7 F4 [
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
* k& B* I# n' S8 Othe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess9 W# C4 w& u% @( g5 `
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
$ b8 `0 L9 w+ ~to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
" l y+ }: ]4 M; F |- kmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
( s7 O# r! d# O' C4 Dsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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8 n2 u3 D3 f5 G' d' C2 G" QGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
* ^. |( |. [5 x* z5 ystimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic. p& o6 P9 A0 @2 u/ P
developments.- \' `& K* e, |
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Information note:
5 K z" h% `% H% H9 `( H a: j& [) NThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
; h; ]; z* ]3 Y% }) j$ o# Y) nof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
( @( l* \/ |1 C/ ?8 Upublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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