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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
& [& b& z7 W# H2 v" [+ j8 y2 Jrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
' A3 L% B! u# ^& t# Y G( R, braised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
- a# w9 V, c- V$ G& Toperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
$ a5 P9 o! O/ Lstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the7 o8 I+ z* `1 Z, g" B: N1 m+ ~/ p
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
( K; `" \; e! ?+ k! Oin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
, Y) }$ ~ o, S0 y( x# B bIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal; p- Q6 D3 \; {, Z5 z: [
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
; D5 `4 c; h* X1 c7 ^variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
; [: w: N, m: Y9 r- {3 a3 C4 O" q! rin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an. t' g, O. x$ c3 O* b) Y2 Q) i; Z
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the6 S" r) a y: S( G5 u
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
1 m4 v/ F: u2 T5 e% |- I. s; kprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
( B! R$ O" K# \+ f; v* G& [in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.) K0 A9 v! F: o) Z( a
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with# m3 L, z3 d- X- X
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more% y$ A% P8 s c, _
balanced recovery.
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6 A: \1 n8 c" Z; zCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects" a' N) B0 x2 a0 j$ I) S
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess/ Y; c9 k2 G" a- t( L
supply.1 `7 e6 s) ?- J2 Y
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and# f. c4 B/ P; s) Y6 |
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
0 n) g- }* R/ d8 y+ hmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
( M! Z9 Z/ }6 D9 msignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery./ _; P( B' f0 Y% q: ^" }
$ n7 {. a, Z9 K0 G/ J- P8 j. L- xGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary7 c. ~. V# }. L
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
$ T# S1 e' h2 y; cdevelopments.
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Information note: b) L1 r$ {3 l/ y
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
: T: O1 Q+ }5 v( ]( g; Rof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
. ?0 t# b- ]8 v) _ B8 o: P d& Wpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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