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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
% V! b6 L5 Q- d. _% o. Y. erate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly2 ^0 c7 y3 U: W: D
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
) ]6 _0 v" \9 m! B: _1 `operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with/ M- K4 @3 m$ ~
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
! Q3 A: Z" A4 D3 s( W' E% aUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness2 I' {" f1 y' @. S
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
; r! l- V3 e9 I$ O/ tIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
6 w0 I* ~( ]4 Z1 S' N" ^stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
2 r9 O1 G4 s! K7 |# m3 i0 Yvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
. | J4 Z1 H; t r! D5 Sin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
/ h! l( N/ d- C! Timportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
) H$ O/ ]9 i9 B) Gspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
$ g# f$ l9 p( }6 {prices and some tightening of financial conditions.' g7 j, f( u- R% T2 X) N
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
7 L1 A8 {5 n p- u& J( m# Xin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
* \9 ~) o' w l3 ?Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with4 ]( i/ x0 V$ Y9 y6 v
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more3 @. ]! i, i. L. \) p* I' o
balanced recovery.; C1 H0 Y1 ]6 _9 L& e1 `' H& F3 ?( d
R" a, Q a) y0 I0 z. DCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects" w$ b9 \' C {; `) S- P" y1 {
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
: Y' a3 m" w# T& c+ `supply. `1 G0 f/ t- J
, s9 `( f' Y3 P- L- K/ K6 jIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
- W) ]* L O6 P7 z2 q+ yto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
* i! L7 C- P1 Y. Qmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the : H0 i$ o. }: C" ]0 K
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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1 b% G/ M1 d, V# G9 _6 N) L* }Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
# S8 k2 W6 g7 T' gstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic, A2 O: B1 S: s4 U5 u1 P5 W
developments.3 {( c) M6 B& { |$ ]
( ?3 T, ?" Y0 Q5 d1 tInformation note:- g& q# J) h1 Y4 }* u% g7 e: i
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
: o& F! ]# ~) ]( l n! `of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
: `& m8 w/ y- E2 i/ [published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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