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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market" J1 A+ z/ m# S' l& a
; j5 w8 a+ o o1 ?9 }1 i9 \OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight, }% ^6 Q% g" X5 J4 V4 s
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
& |" o) ?( g% H0 V6 j# y9 p- `raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
8 I. g8 D( O" o8 moperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
8 n* ^$ F" f M+ l% B, @
. ]% I, Y; K$ m# h' X1 F! sThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with$ F, n! W( h' F7 f- G
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the+ W- E4 O2 B/ R) |" k
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness& X9 g# I( s8 q! O
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.) |: `' [( I. F) ]1 B
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
+ @6 T' {1 V+ wstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the' y$ j. T: J% n/ s
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result0 O" |5 q4 r$ c$ n
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
" L/ V @" c& o& \# V$ Vimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the% S) \+ B/ o. j! `
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
% z8 u1 j5 B% W8 x* N- f: ]( dprices and some tightening of financial conditions.4 ?! d1 p$ f/ l1 I+ s
& P( i8 e9 C. }. e
Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent W; z3 T. y+ q
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed., s) a! t3 Z1 p& m
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with0 i7 X G/ G+ ~2 V
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
$ N; K) i f9 \2 U' Fbalanced recovery.5 Y7 c$ D# W! {5 N! x1 t* D$ ^
' Y# e( ?1 {- UCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects2 c" Y6 C% B3 \7 ^/ {3 z
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
1 m0 H/ E" r7 m, q, wsupply.
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/ E9 E X5 `) d: Y- W# TIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and& L3 V- z: v$ B: w( K5 E
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable & Z& v2 K: `' P0 a
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the r6 ^ t: s. k: O6 _4 v
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
" T( r6 s/ [9 `, r
! @9 h' b& H% ^- j+ _3 p1 V' xGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary7 Y8 l: F9 _0 Y5 a/ e! _
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic! u8 g! g4 {; P2 A
developments.+ X1 [/ n# L% v- d( u2 R; T' ^; ?- B
+ N4 G! H Z. U, f, K* A$ f5 PInformation note:3 d' {$ m% \( Z( o5 d
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
: x4 u& {* q+ N) Q* Eof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be* I( S8 L5 j& Q/ h! a- ?+ S! l
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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