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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market2 y% W8 t3 p/ i; d- k+ ^) \) [
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight. a; g( G8 \1 O" ] X0 K D! T
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
- u% a. |- C" p/ j, zraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
8 A7 F$ x. E, h8 B% y) G' woperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.; z* G2 l+ t/ T0 P0 Q C, t
( G4 A$ c+ w, [& aThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with( M! s8 F3 X# ~2 r6 n! q4 U0 |
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the9 u6 q5 W0 O" e7 Z8 K% ~" J
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
: G j) S) x' F, Lin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
1 g# u6 r2 g2 t$ |1 q; hIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal8 v, \5 C9 y& L$ s& |* ?) ?: i
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the+ d6 ]( Q. e/ t1 j* S! w3 o
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
! j2 [$ c: H( I& Z4 Ein higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an, I m7 _" I6 k
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the/ X9 l& c! t4 C) r. O6 G, M4 b
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
: ^& C( J: a3 z# L/ E) Oprices and some tightening of financial conditions.7 m0 R$ R, _; V( j0 ?
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
; s/ B0 `( o2 m5 kin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
9 C2 s/ m. R2 o) FGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with3 [% ]0 t7 w6 r1 O, P
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
. }- ?8 E0 [ p4 r7 |, lbalanced recovery.
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4 P. x6 H+ n$ `) n9 C: rCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
- }" b9 K$ \7 x! H8 s9 ^' uthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess( |. G$ Y1 G( K* u
supply.
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: K3 V8 _ T1 W- f" }5 AIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
3 S& y2 G0 U, q7 k- fto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable - C; d8 G, [6 ]2 } r: x
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ) B5 a3 |: E$ b1 L3 p- I2 u
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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0 n( j: ?( J1 L( L5 |4 ^Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
" X; ]7 T' f: X/ i6 [. q) astimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
" X6 `+ \$ {% q! W( B4 `. Ydevelopments.6 J, i; y/ {- c9 a
3 `" n# D# ]: gInformation note:8 X6 q. K! W" q# J$ s. I, m$ C
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
& k' ^5 f0 @% L% {3 oof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
$ {- [0 k1 Z, r" V; C" _! Kpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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