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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market( o; K: a, x' f
" w# V/ n) z4 I K! t6 D0 X: {8 }OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
2 ~, [+ a: Y4 E# _ `- l7 Prate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
2 j. Z3 o8 B2 { v5 jraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
. C% Y C0 H# W0 O9 poperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.* y3 N* m9 N# [" L8 X
& n* |1 @, l$ ^: J1 J; g }The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
6 E( @3 Z1 v& _ Z! x( Ustrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
: c) H: U n R6 k5 _8 e* v6 K1 S8 oUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
- v% i2 m! y; B/ d! J' x0 F0 Bin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.4 p7 o1 P$ P' e$ Y; \1 k
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
3 x* N0 e2 @. d( {; F. Gstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
, P4 h& W( C: J R! d4 ]variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
( w% [' h6 n8 e& W3 @in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an" m- A O6 J( M& E2 g/ L
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
3 Z/ M9 A4 F; D$ Espillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
: \5 D1 J) x1 o% @, b5 pprices and some tightening of financial conditions.+ y% u0 @) E+ J4 Y2 R: r
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
1 H1 W- Y( T2 Q0 X y5 qin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
+ x, U" @% D) b, q" oGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with) W) t! l' P6 s# `" Z
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
8 R: {& r0 b$ Xbalanced recovery." N/ F- u" S7 _+ |/ Z8 u& J* s
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
! P" W/ O, b1 e; o, d3 _# Lthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess5 S7 }8 P% H7 c; r
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
6 f0 o# X! M" [* H6 h2 Vto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable + v# ]. f" N% m) M0 v* q7 K
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
5 ~, ^' p4 ~9 P+ qsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary0 M' E8 d$ I+ ?: J/ |
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic; @5 D0 F8 ~* B9 J' r2 n" ]
developments.
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: a& _" z1 A' O: R9 qInformation note:
7 E+ B z9 o4 y1 H: AThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update9 b5 ]4 F5 _4 m2 E# Q0 F7 s; R
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be5 P4 b: g& u1 ]
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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