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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market6 l5 l, c. R# k" X, J
/ z8 E2 R' `& V7 P: xOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight+ A0 K$ h3 H# m( F3 `) z3 Q5 c% n
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly5 H# u- ?4 b8 O$ a) @2 f
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal. _" y% j- f$ }; `% ?
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
) {; }/ N4 H+ G& H q, { zstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
" s" M' k) |$ H S6 f; e7 tUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
1 H2 @) a# s( g9 [1 W7 [8 x% @in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
8 |, @1 T$ S+ I* k0 ?! ?In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal1 a% t7 z+ u- M4 ~2 f
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the, G5 }! U* u0 E$ _/ U: G$ t$ b
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
) _/ ~6 u* X# J- I9 a, fin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an2 r: t( R0 {! i- p- g: T0 V
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
2 i( S9 Z" h0 p& g& _spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity X2 T9 M* F, _/ t4 W' y
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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3 ]0 Q* P' M) w& mActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
' |3 q5 \6 Y4 ~7 Z& f% z6 T$ Gin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
( L# n* c4 Y d8 B0 UGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
" `% H( b c. B) ?7 q2 O: B4 Aincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
" d5 z3 X7 F4 A" h1 j* wbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects7 L0 K1 e$ i5 [" h( A U6 ~5 \ z+ S
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
" D3 K- e5 M5 j R/ ~0 x6 v! L! csupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and# D- g! i- i2 G w
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ( F: K5 G8 g& {! o
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 7 T* L; D A8 _) z
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.$ c! Q* v) N1 {! \# k+ s
8 q; _6 e- Y: [4 W9 LGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
4 Q- [, Y$ T: ?stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
5 P# e' q, L h! d" I9 x8 cdevelopments.
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Information note:* R! c' h/ F+ w# h
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update/ a8 N, d% `+ j- F! m# U* ^9 n$ F$ c
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be$ D6 y: v& s6 ?$ X4 C
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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