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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
0 {7 Y' r+ h# H8 |rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly/ S' J7 ?4 }. A. h/ u% C( d' W
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal2 R$ Y2 d3 e. C" @, j0 Q
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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8 K# ~( m' {7 @, o2 o1 I4 C7 ]& mThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with# v' S1 g3 D& G: c$ b" U
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
0 B0 p. [* c2 kUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness0 R5 n2 f! f: ]9 ?( Z
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.. z2 f, z* \2 a
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
, `6 A6 \( ?' p, m9 d0 G0 U+ Fstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the* k/ Y& S4 N; H% \
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
# T" b; r! M. z- V. O& I) v4 |in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
+ r! e% a4 Q. o, V8 c4 ximportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
* |; k0 t* F' L8 |- g+ gspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
: H, M% l T ^5 D: I% c/ Aprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent( ^0 q" P' H8 n7 R
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
" e$ r3 i: p% X2 Z2 \Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
& b" H/ o4 }8 ~" }5 Lincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more y: k1 E! r2 ?
balanced recovery.
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+ a& ~* [+ }% k2 R2 FCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects: m$ R: \9 L8 z6 ]
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
& l# W/ k0 R3 U" nsupply.
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+ O' Y; }- X9 ?) M2 z) sIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
- g* r. z s; d9 l& X3 |to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 9 Z W$ Z3 z8 p/ T$ G5 q7 @6 ^# G& V
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
! T/ L$ e3 V+ Q7 j2 Ysignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary: t1 f+ |$ K, ]5 H" k2 ?- D: h
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic8 s8 ?6 Y' H/ y; `1 z" {# `( x
developments.* {$ C" G+ C4 d
9 d! r8 y& @: x8 |! `: x2 r$ |) {8 AInformation note:
- h4 d% G1 Y9 m8 n. V3 `The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update' ?7 k- J' c4 J4 k z+ X/ }
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be/ a$ k. {; Q" P! j; X
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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