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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market: j/ P% M q9 ~& B3 [7 K) Z9 l
+ D+ g4 n2 u1 N( `9 o8 Q$ J9 _OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight1 }9 ? `6 u8 W q# |% Q
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly1 S: @! E0 F0 }/ ?) ^" [3 t) P
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal" L3 S5 J$ R% W( W( M
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with, a6 M: H: B& j+ r" k. \4 @
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the# f( \# y9 Q; C9 B" A. Y% s
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
7 o4 p' y' J' O! N2 e7 Q$ b6 {in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
6 l4 ] r. a$ N$ I+ Y9 X5 ^/ v2 ~In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
- Y B) G3 ?0 e! R4 Y1 E7 D6 Nstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the0 y/ J3 v% ~* b6 C
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
0 s* |5 p5 H$ p/ i* ?( Xin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an; U g, @. l& s( Y0 V6 a2 N; J; p. ]
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
7 I4 E3 p7 u. x$ e" M% q" k9 y4 ]0 kspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
' O$ J: ? n; fprices and some tightening of financial conditions.; z0 d8 {9 c0 Y* h% n
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
! |9 X& C( ]/ u& \( C2 U9 Tin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
" y: @2 L8 {$ D4 z+ N! tGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
) L J5 c/ n( l' y% A3 N' vincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
5 e" g5 J9 a1 M! @6 w, Q' ibalanced recovery.* s; b: b. _+ Q$ E
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
$ P1 a$ M* c. G, P. n$ Qthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess1 z% w2 r$ _4 ?, L
supply.
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: p# a$ y. I+ F+ D* e% PIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and3 y0 q$ U9 S1 z! B+ \2 U3 V
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
8 p' E! Q8 T& M1 }# u7 ]5 tmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
6 t$ y. x0 |3 L: a' ]significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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. m+ u7 B, a h6 D0 g4 @0 R* z+ b4 SGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary. _# P2 Q4 Q4 a' [6 D* M
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic8 S6 W l/ }0 ?, [) i' t# m1 s
developments.
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Information note:. y. f; d% N9 E) @
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update' Y1 C/ v5 K2 R# J; }' L
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
" L. ]$ y% g5 L. f- B& c* Vpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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