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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
# |# p' V- }$ H: D' B- rrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly/ P; c; e9 J5 C4 U& r G* U& a
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
0 ^4 b% A. z* f) ], a, _: e0 Toperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
& B8 Z2 [6 m8 b- ?0 l- i" }8 ?strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the1 g+ G+ c: M3 C. C! b8 J6 y3 r
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
5 q( C% h+ ?. ?in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized./ x0 Y q: g3 k! x' h* _
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
" C% o7 E7 @* Y9 w; \7 C" W- z" Bstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the7 |9 ^. E( k; N% f4 U
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
$ H% r$ e; p6 d+ r8 |in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
& s+ { R& P' M* ^" e! @" v8 Cimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the+ E6 `* X- a* ?% Z1 R6 B
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
+ J" |: Y7 l8 M% S/ Qprices and some tightening of financial conditions.; s N* Z" {6 f: ^
9 L9 H0 f7 H- V! Q: o. {$ D1 ]Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent, W3 @3 H1 j% P! l' N. X$ K( S' c
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed., c( G% w$ Z) S; i* L3 `& r
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
# z/ x5 x2 R: ?0 S4 j5 ]' D& Cincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more+ Y) H' `5 i6 i
balanced recovery.' S& t! R% U. j4 k
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
: c% l {5 i$ S1 b! X" pthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
, \' S. P x _# u9 U: B8 ksupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
( c: q5 @/ @3 _to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable # {* y% i$ u, t$ h6 G
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
- l6 w+ X# X" a% Jsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.' a2 D; U5 U1 J J0 O Y. h
; g! U) ]: [7 e/ K" EGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
4 w: S1 x6 x3 b6 G8 {8 ]( Astimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic+ x; B, Z6 V& m9 U# T: D% U
developments.$ ^( ~" y, V* o! [- n# a7 \
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Information note:4 l7 ?# {! S1 G- @5 R; f( u, l
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
& S9 }/ ?1 U% M; ~' u- @1 tof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
3 \5 L& l6 D. [( xpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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