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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight9 ?, z* |. }' O R1 G6 A
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly% e' X; ^/ ?; V& O" e
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
# u Q% t( T+ a2 M9 poperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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' G0 Z7 [2 p$ @% C& TThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
/ m7 [0 | |2 istrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the9 x! ]+ l! }3 G
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness" j+ N1 I) d. X" [6 u
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
% w$ t* S4 m, M% D M7 W# SIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal* G7 D7 N% t; T, x) R
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the2 \4 f; b# w! l; N; q% k. s+ ~; R5 F
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
2 Z+ H* \4 L! |/ [in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an6 ~5 @. N* @4 s7 ~# \4 B* R9 m( N
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
3 g( l C! }: V! K. ~+ C0 }0 k# k* Q) \spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity- v3 C7 A+ T; X, y. }, \
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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0 x, A% _9 Z5 uActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
. g% c0 |" k" k: b5 R( y( c, gin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed. H8 h) N* {; Q) H; ?0 X+ }1 r- J
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with- a' \- r9 o* }
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more% S+ {" o. f2 n2 e2 W( r! x
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects( t; U6 N( r/ K' l; {
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
" d$ |' w+ f, k/ I2 V7 jsupply., X+ \- K- K$ ~2 i$ ~
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
+ [8 [5 ]% T( |1 K( E% H: ?3 sto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
5 a; V$ h3 _2 G3 N, R |monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
% z/ R U a( Q; h: U& vsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary% Y, ?' u1 W2 P3 C* D; }& L0 e. } K
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic z; z. E4 O" Q" w; w# T% b
developments.
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Information note:% K- p" X7 h2 s- A* _/ C
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update- k0 a" ^1 g2 b* p2 R. y
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be) g+ s# I/ j! X9 ?: ^5 W5 i
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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