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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight6 a) U7 S9 @& a& d4 U0 r4 S
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
7 i7 w# P, [$ {raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
9 A, K9 m+ a3 `: Zoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.5 [8 V5 j- c. {- j1 w. A# l( Z
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
/ o0 F0 f; S4 \, s( Wstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the$ q7 h# f! |$ e: g
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness, }# C, X: ]) u: P4 M* z4 L! A% P
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.( V% l/ V8 t# c' ?/ t
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal& p( S, W$ s3 b) z( M- e
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
! t$ O) r/ K% B% Q$ wvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
7 v" G8 m6 D4 B/ {' Qin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an/ Z& Z3 l( u5 g
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
' Z) @& a0 c' @& p0 y X; Jspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
, C" Q& a7 H# v/ wprices and some tightening of financial conditions.* }) J. }0 ^% |, m; E, J( l
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent/ Z+ l) A+ [+ y1 F$ l
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
5 ?$ v( M6 r- k5 o$ o6 p' }Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
5 I8 d" A+ J i6 h! ^ V% I( f2 }/ Tincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
" D, A$ I3 r) }balanced recovery.
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; p8 E/ ]. U/ }8 u4 x# ]CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects/ G* a4 e2 @2 d7 N) l
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
1 B7 l+ S, G" q. l* o- \supply.; E$ p J+ G2 m+ y, @# i
. E0 C5 D$ _- u* E) m; b1 e vIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and1 `. h3 f1 {3 \6 l: v
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 3 X2 }: m" E0 Y, a% G
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
: p% r/ Q n" D2 r7 |' T: k7 c7 msignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.9 ?: ?( ]# p# `+ _8 Y9 ^" G/ G
6 g" s; y% \/ K1 d, U/ C8 D- ^Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary: m6 ~; z5 `) U/ t5 p+ I' u2 E9 ^! k) e
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
3 u4 j" p5 C8 `3 u/ v; O$ ~developments.
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" c7 l) l; S" n6 Y$ l) |. C1 Y8 ]Information note: Z0 r# H" C9 K1 ]" J- |0 S' A
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
" O3 N) l" P! s' B, hof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
V; C) {' V' \published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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