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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market. {0 u, |( ]) x( {6 @
9 }* w# i$ D; Q( L, gOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight) A6 u2 D/ J( w& b Y% J0 {5 {
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
0 Q, x: L. W, F4 y9 U5 ?raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
% K' [! l) r" W3 Aoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with0 c& i% p. J9 A
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the0 ^( A1 \7 [1 ^, \( m: U' h( s
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness x7 d% I8 I9 X4 M
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
2 ~9 s! L3 P2 Z" J$ |In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal- L! y6 m$ @, h n
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the8 I; l7 }4 s/ L! N& k4 J R) Q
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result2 D# U5 L# A: L/ }, _
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
! W8 u5 r W- G6 G' eimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the- d! n. @7 c/ q) \3 r# _/ `( s
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
& _% h+ T% K2 F) r, K, c! Rprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
7 \( I3 h9 \$ ]1 f+ C9 P& Min the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.; W- X7 e* [! v6 U8 P- b% E
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with$ K3 A! H1 m5 m. l( s: H6 [
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more5 [; {" a* h3 f( p; V' @# D
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects' u8 y: C ^( V0 s& m! U" n4 O
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
, T4 t( p& d; Esupply. P5 d# s: u6 c: l4 i( G+ Y
d6 o" f. F9 l# M5 ~In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and' T; l, s. ?3 J# R* L- `, l
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 3 X1 o3 L% |* B- g0 ]
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 0 O0 J& r I3 Y+ ^5 `, d0 i
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
* ] D$ H# c/ p; s) x# s- P% C% ]4 fstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
, ^2 U- |* T/ T9 Ndevelopments.4 c7 ~* @; i4 P9 ^3 _
. L8 X0 ~) f3 e! PInformation note:
8 Y4 \" ^3 l M5 M$ MThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
7 M+ G3 x6 m5 m7 j( V9 |+ Eof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be' s& I$ j* x( L8 E3 V! Y( H& [
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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