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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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& U1 ~8 a. O d0 v. Y0 N/ S# kOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
b; m8 r8 j, m5 `. J6 J5 yrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly- i9 v, X3 J" Q! P) o
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal: q* a5 P# F8 _9 x8 A1 V! Q
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.6 _* w G! Q$ W
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
. M0 S5 n% S; Z5 rstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the' k& d) Z, I5 X# o2 R
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
) s$ W& a( f6 Y8 Cin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.% w2 x1 p0 S4 {
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal/ l' {, F. d; R# v& C
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
2 h# w0 J/ u1 j4 P% z+ L X- Y9 V, _variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result% S2 i( W. ?; z
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an, m/ l# H- y6 O6 @
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
8 G/ n% k4 O! B9 ispillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity; s, b6 e, V2 Z; e
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.' C( {! {" Y; V! N1 y2 ~
& }0 `( G) V2 J4 t h% KActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent$ [5 u; \) R& w0 W
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.0 `0 b$ Y/ o) A; j! R
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with' V4 `6 \. d8 ~9 Y7 D
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
9 }' O3 V6 |6 Nbalanced recovery.! t# Y+ B5 _% ]( e2 V" m1 E
* [+ |* L9 ?; `* x3 WCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects Z2 s3 ]' m5 Q$ J5 }
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
9 T% Y9 F6 l5 q; }0 wsupply.0 b, b" @0 f) {. [% G
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and. R# Q9 ]; q# X' |9 b
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
) f; ?7 `7 Y4 _: Vmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 6 V$ e6 R. |& ]0 K) V8 U
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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0 P ?+ G# h& pGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary+ B6 q) s+ e o$ @$ ^
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
0 W* m" w+ p7 E, I8 Sdevelopments.
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Information note:
/ m* K% h- V5 J/ ?The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
/ w; ^) q. b6 f" x) Y9 P: Lof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
1 S0 T: |3 N+ @& V" ~7 b5 V: Opublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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