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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market0 L+ o+ n: Y; j9 d
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
' M' B, y9 o4 E% M5 s0 ~) krate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
+ M6 S# d2 c# f3 Hraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
* j5 ~0 B# A4 ?% D8 goperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.9 v2 A2 ?1 Z& c" _/ F' S! g
7 t- l* u0 c) q& ]. gThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with8 P- O3 ^+ T- h. w% f+ v- J
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
0 k/ s) `; s% T+ S; S4 }% g4 fUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness: @6 L1 P+ h1 ~0 V+ g$ s
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
3 y0 a/ C/ Q ]& r( HIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
- B, K" ~; w5 o2 a7 kstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
4 X5 `# u+ v% bvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
/ w- _9 `5 o9 g6 q+ D. M: L2 ~in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
" c4 F* Y$ {% Limportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
0 ~& {% Z' j$ Q! i; Aspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
t0 j9 B$ F! i9 t$ o5 U' v& s9 Cprices and some tightening of financial conditions.9 m) R! p% j6 L& ^* p; [# G
; R1 m& X( Q7 y8 d% m( ~Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent# I& n( h5 q5 ^' @% N1 n v ~
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.% j7 l; }, J' y0 W7 C4 X
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with2 ?9 a& t8 ~3 ~$ J
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more: ?: m7 r$ f( @% n! _6 |: f) ~
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
5 B; q% f1 G9 S; ?the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
" E2 H# W3 N. g; ?9 dsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
1 R; x3 a& K5 _8 ~3 s7 pto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
9 A7 p3 r2 ]9 I8 L7 f, Zmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ! r+ p- j+ Q% b- R0 W8 |
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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0 U" j* y0 D. n; c7 E( r, G) sGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
7 \+ H% U& u" Fstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic4 T+ q. O( p0 |; |9 Y
developments.7 f( o. v1 @( `% C8 X; C9 B- T
; k: Y, k" f( U# A4 zInformation note:* }: y/ S# V/ t# X, V% a
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update. p/ Q) X1 E- I8 f. ~; a% W
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
2 w& ]1 s, M4 r% D# c3 T2 Xpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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