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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market$ E7 m; O4 p9 `1 E$ p s! t" q
' L, ?4 u; w" V* e9 ^7 \7 N. mOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight! q7 S) g1 Y- y* f7 L O1 O: Z
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly- _. N* H2 B* J4 J! A# F
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
. o, O+ t8 m1 ~) {operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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. l \4 p4 p1 H3 M' b* B5 ~The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with& c: X5 x' |/ S7 W
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
3 i; z2 _- _6 W+ y- O9 P6 QUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
2 ~1 [% A/ a* Gin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.7 I. X6 G. m, C t: `$ P: q
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
2 h g9 l6 z8 H, ?stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the5 f; S: Q3 I3 x
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result7 z' r2 v* Z' z6 D' `
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
! G! ? L$ W( E: ~important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the6 Y: Y& C& ]( r3 n. w1 V
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity8 j z) M; U, P( ^
prices and some tightening of financial conditions. p& j, @- C# r5 {; _9 V
, J. A9 ]# v* _' Y! ^% S2 h& e( bActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
" k) X7 y0 V+ L# l9 |in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.; f- W% i' f% l: X1 j# i
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with# N5 S1 _: Z3 q5 B% w( M
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
4 v6 E9 ^* Z' I9 b$ T. E- Wbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
# I9 E) |* r7 k5 i: n1 Dthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
2 |& x1 K! k% G- m$ s* |4 X* jsupply.
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0 n* {: Y, S# G# E$ ^7 [2 {. `In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and/ g8 e' g: F! c/ D( D3 {1 d0 d- k
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ! B8 E; j: Y6 {
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 6 d: D7 {2 x Z, I2 U
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
9 H% x8 G/ d- H3 {1 \stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
1 t3 ] L7 L4 I6 U5 b6 ]developments.
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R) ]2 @ s- ?9 x( A, qInformation note:5 ]1 m' L$ K& |; X
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
o7 U$ M7 p$ w6 `of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be: y9 ?9 x8 V) i4 j
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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