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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market; l; @( ~. Z; I5 N& ]3 {: p
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight& y! \# Q# \1 u+ {+ S# Z
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
4 J: g1 {: @. `) m' x) l8 z5 @raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
4 M4 b- H" F3 voperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
# q$ M. D) v# J5 C$ [# I# Tstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
: O$ B% h# V# _United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
0 W9 t! F! O& f$ o- Fin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.2 }! `6 Q7 [, B/ {% y- ^4 u
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
3 k1 ?( B8 }" Jstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
% Y* A8 z' A* G. W) g: Uvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result# F, k& V2 C' p' L N3 H
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
3 t0 f8 I- |6 k, mimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the' n& m, C( Y( F* K6 I
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
7 v/ g0 C/ B9 g9 F3 {prices and some tightening of financial conditions.& \; L1 O6 }1 M( l2 N- ?' D7 G
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent+ U* z7 @4 L4 ~- K; T
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
$ f* N/ P' f; V1 D! ?" |Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with. c( V) V; S1 J/ {* r- _4 V
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
3 z9 \+ O' |; Sbalanced recovery.
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) c# {5 K0 ~1 r# oCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
9 S+ y: C) R0 e. [4 i0 o5 othe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess% E1 L& D5 |$ ?; O+ S |
supply.: e5 G* L f8 I' {; E' s
i) ~3 \4 g+ E) n9 _# d. L6 \In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and& K+ f1 f {1 F9 y Q5 i9 P3 t" n9 T
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 8 [! D0 `, B! P3 v! m& O( F
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
8 i" U0 Q3 Y. B& j4 bsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
/ O6 G) W: A; tstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic! C3 Z% `: Z8 j { r5 {% D T
developments.
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Information note:
4 |: W( o+ k) A% g/ f) ], }( q8 B: UThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
8 Z7 m6 k1 y! e4 J c3 Q9 {% P. ?of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
5 A1 Q ^! F5 W. R/ dpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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