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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market; t: ^( B* ]: w* u" N6 U
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
- \# h+ F$ c% F' E3 q( _6 Orate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
v& M7 d4 E" l( graised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal6 K# d6 J7 H* B2 z0 g0 Z. c2 A8 W
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with0 m! f9 i; Y6 i5 ?% X3 i
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
) A2 j' j) T# h5 U6 v4 ZUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
0 q. b h6 J5 t t9 ^: Zin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
, F2 c2 c! J. @( f1 NIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
1 b1 _! W0 X0 x/ l0 j4 [% Astimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the1 M) U5 [# W9 B% T3 l& s8 [
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result+ I: b& |3 p5 i# J: C% u; I
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an) B* W% N& _3 @- A
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the8 L9 ]% H( I6 ~. n! H' m2 c* x
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
" d4 T2 o0 T% o: uprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
/ G/ c. @3 w# J) [' qin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
t# U1 C7 ^/ A0 _7 nGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
( l( Y7 e7 q4 t; n' k( t Z0 t, Y Qincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more# \3 H9 ?& I) s; O
balanced recovery.0 ~0 w y5 x3 r! f9 Y! I) ?0 o5 n
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects( N" h# J% f8 g4 h8 m5 h4 M
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
) W, m7 D0 ] b3 [7 K0 t9 Q. zsupply.
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6 G- f* u7 }1 L/ VIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
' U2 t9 G; ~1 T4 @6 g5 R& vto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 5 b4 L6 o+ j# _) e8 Q; Y
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ( Q0 W1 k: B5 m8 l+ K" h
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.; N& Q! i$ y; V$ ?3 E: t* A
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary& `+ x6 H O6 U% G7 @
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
" C# H& O% _+ Y9 Rdevelopments.
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Information note:% v7 N% R$ q' B7 w
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
' v2 w z. w9 I; Y: G9 vof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be: H4 P* ^ @7 K( l8 u2 N3 q! c
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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