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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market) K. [8 {5 U; _. A _9 a$ L
& @4 }$ ?1 E: B3 E/ jOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
! ]5 g! k. Y) [7 Y2 Mrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
" o( t4 A% v; Y4 S0 |raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal9 S1 [$ h$ _5 e9 a) D6 N7 v
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.2 M! z/ ?! n' X1 R2 G
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
8 q5 t5 o8 P, y9 V# xstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
% w2 w) [: y. I7 m0 xUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness E. x5 @- k, \1 z6 p
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
/ x$ j' T* {) x% gIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal) z9 \. O2 H* G
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the7 k [3 e* f! N. m2 F/ a8 ~+ F
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
5 Z; w; k1 c. @3 Lin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
) H4 {# q: |4 {* ?important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the8 P$ Q$ c+ f1 y/ h' h$ h& C
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
3 U" A; I: Y; C5 O1 P$ Bprices and some tightening of financial conditions.* K& b# F: t. M2 ` h! D3 j
L9 O, K8 ~* E9 D. N& D9 IActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent4 N" y$ B8 E8 t" b
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.- \1 i) w5 i$ l/ q4 n0 r
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
- j6 r2 Z% r# O) nincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more7 J: \4 W/ r7 `, {2 b- V
balanced recovery./ R9 \7 f2 D5 [! G: ]1 m9 k* N
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects( `& x( F+ T4 M3 O+ l: A
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess* F. b2 Q! J, g4 d+ j9 g
supply.
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' S8 g' W+ O# j+ G' |2 EIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
# Q& `: E+ x+ A5 A! r$ {to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
; I" {, q/ O8 l1 H9 }8 P2 Amonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the . [6 F( f, g6 \) I
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.6 b0 b' U3 W" T. m. _! l1 c
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary5 ^2 d$ L9 y, L8 `9 T n& \
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
/ m2 p8 {( R3 w, Sdevelopments.
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Information note:7 h6 {% C+ t% |/ [( O3 |) p6 c! \
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update/ K( l7 n5 z4 ?; B9 v9 T$ |* w* R/ z2 ?
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
& E& |' Y$ a, j( h( t7 B. `published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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