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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market! g, }0 f' M$ B0 m) B9 g, a
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
3 @$ P1 T# z8 F) Crate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
* h; W6 z0 |8 O1 mraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
( A3 ?4 z. l7 e' roperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with! Y2 \( t+ \" v5 B, W; K+ J
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the5 q. P0 r" L. { b( M% l
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
$ c$ g4 L4 ?0 Ain Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
& N' f' b# s, Z7 _In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal. z& h5 V7 F. l7 v! h) h
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
2 } L; m2 l( I% C" ~variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
! w" j. Q8 u0 Y9 t# gin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
- R5 m! w) N2 `, f; \! [( Nimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
~/ D+ `) c4 vspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
2 i: Z& J' P- ^prices and some tightening of financial conditions., Q/ r: ~: F, j) m
* [+ v7 e6 V/ X5 HActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent, q, p" W/ {7 b7 O
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.+ Z# A" k+ X( @4 M+ ?6 f
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with/ i& f7 {( ?+ i$ N" ^
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more/ W. _2 O) g) u) |
balanced recovery.1 w. A& G/ `2 B% u
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects, K; \9 m1 R! G; z
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess2 V- m* @0 Y" \4 H* W, D4 G
supply.
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3 v) q5 J: Q. J) R# }/ j7 nIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
# f |, J; x {+ x/ K* D4 r9 jto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable : I& w3 K4 |: |3 \) {* g t$ W
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
% r' p( n& {1 R7 ^significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.6 J B/ b! O, B9 f7 h" y* u
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary" o0 t/ s5 W A0 Q* L! b: u+ j! [
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
: u7 B( S; E+ R; xdevelopments.. B% u+ K: D+ m1 B
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Information note:& l) k5 ^' L5 a/ v/ F, c; G5 i
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
7 ], O6 ]# l9 \: E- e. ]# c5 fof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be! ?) A6 _$ b2 n9 K' Y7 |
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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