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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market+ D- q( M$ a" P- I' h5 J
: a5 k% J H2 z2 t, M# hOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
9 [) |9 G! G# y h5 j" Hrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly3 Y0 ^1 G Y, m# \. [+ R
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal* z- M/ y3 D/ [. b
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.9 f$ J" n6 \, m& {$ j; w
/ P4 {7 q5 y+ X M; S& ZThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
7 c3 V) w$ N( O* Cstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
: [2 c9 r6 j: E/ Q9 Q# VUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness3 t- } f2 j1 n. J7 {" I
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.! X& L0 ], X; ^0 z4 r' X
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
: o. l4 |2 i+ [, k0 `stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the9 L* Q5 F) ~7 ]' E5 V
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result4 J* ]0 @( P" S; o1 S; U6 h! z
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
3 n; b+ A7 T qimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the) \8 @- v, A3 [+ ?
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity& b0 L: z2 ?, f. n2 Q* M
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
0 C6 |' W2 R7 k$ P& d8 Y* ]6 |in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.4 Y$ U4 X0 ~) N/ V& Z. b( p
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with* w9 }) H( h% L0 \1 H
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more' s" _% |2 N' C% d* _& W6 \
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects0 A; f; {5 n) A1 z
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
$ S/ A1 C! K: @9 y( Q: Csupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and Y/ k+ y) X1 {' [( @
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 1 ?5 E. ], D2 F% |1 Z
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the , s# n; z5 l) u% x* ?
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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/ q: W! p- S5 x! rGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
9 G0 g: ?# N7 cstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic1 P& o4 R6 |% f! b4 O8 O5 B9 Q
developments./ v7 T5 ~+ \1 H% ]- [( H
) h9 E* L. s1 a4 A, ]8 OInformation note:7 Q5 j9 q9 k& N5 x ]( @( t
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
) l- C1 E- t- ^# O0 @of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be$ g. G; e" g: ~& X# S0 ~% i$ B
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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