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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight& X0 P/ ~4 K, c& ]
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly7 g& j- u8 q- o$ @
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal) C8 @* s8 I' M4 J3 K$ r/ I$ G
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.2 j! f; m% A) P$ q
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
6 r Z; y! A5 Y' S1 c6 Nstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the! a( }% U0 H% q# @) v K9 r0 f3 _; s
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
( k% V6 a6 [6 `& V6 Qin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
0 {3 q F8 M" x- g r2 K2 k; FIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
& o' D! A. z" b! S, O5 ?$ {6 Z2 lstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the4 W8 D5 e% i( `# {% d
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result) _/ f6 u, U" o0 x
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an Q* }3 l- S! ]5 T
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
9 E' a* D: I$ Z0 Espillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
* h; [) ~. m8 Y1 {prices and some tightening of financial conditions.1 I% j' c1 T* z
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
3 I9 F9 q% A, S/ \4 A6 |in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
1 [" l3 z2 @( a5 X- f7 j% J$ |Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with' g7 j/ `7 C) n7 g
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
8 j4 F6 r( e6 g) b) abalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
) v7 y- b) X; Ethe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
5 g( }& ]" B. R; Ssupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
" i6 I3 `( m' S5 }1 Q2 R4 L5 Zto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
8 W9 x" U, j- Y( Nmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
- q1 [5 k% Z5 q) {3 c: S! csignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.3 O7 u8 m. ~, ]
8 H& Y# z( G) ]! t! `% h- NGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary8 F' e" ?$ r6 X* I2 i% G. k. w
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic& M8 b3 d+ u8 c9 }, C7 j
developments.7 G1 W$ y- k( t, ?) C
( W7 X: q! J8 L1 ]2 A% MInformation note:6 {: } \" _, n0 X3 l5 {8 X5 R# t$ B3 i
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
9 [- I& C! L) s. Z& kof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be+ N4 `; B, T& b; a9 v
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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