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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight% L" U" g2 I! Q6 p7 c
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
# k, b/ O% t+ @$ F$ Oraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal, z# [+ ^$ h# O ~4 \* l' k
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.& T/ |/ r- H3 H
+ l# L; v I* Y3 J6 k0 \, zThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with$ f0 [0 {5 ~0 B& A" }% P4 {9 [
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the0 D* m& B6 y7 u# z' N" F* t
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness" U3 f2 Z4 N# m' h0 K
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.0 t+ m' |8 d3 D7 y7 B) B0 F6 {' y" ?
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
8 y- t1 |6 s7 o( m% Z5 c! rstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the: Z" v" i8 i2 ~$ j) ?# t4 R
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result: i) w& q* n; S8 ~. q
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an. E! m4 ]7 {- }" w
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
2 k! H$ L3 k M$ _& m7 _+ cspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
, |3 P5 t6 N5 k u- D6 f. uprices and some tightening of financial conditions.# E! v/ Z% Z- U) H0 L' f
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent# L7 T+ F* A* N& ^- H1 N9 F6 I
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.2 B$ [6 F, Y3 k! z) a* P
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with) q" N+ p6 A# T/ P9 Z# d @+ d9 ~
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more& G# R) U9 ?0 h' ^- C
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
! J6 v: K( B: K2 o7 Ithe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
$ @; O3 G6 Y& G( g8 Ksupply.
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2 j0 w% w, f& zIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and9 A5 n+ y& ]" L
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 1 U7 e) N8 C# ? G
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 4 l3 B7 q1 ^7 J% C
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.1 v. G. ~- Y a( J$ x! n1 u! k9 V
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
6 Z1 V: c1 K7 w |/ ostimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
7 S, w. Y; Z0 odevelopments.! U4 s: p- e" T8 k+ ]5 c' u
. m4 F; G/ d* o8 W# Q2 JInformation note:/ t: x! J% P5 b* d- I/ m) m5 F
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
4 z9 S) h2 |; Nof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
: |" k! h! O# E; P: E0 i1 u; n0 K1 npublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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