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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight( x1 V- U" P8 r" D& v" ]8 m
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly+ Y1 @/ P7 v8 R9 G1 r
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
5 `; G( @0 b. `2 E! moperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.4 j5 b. ]( L& N: {$ ~
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with# m6 \0 U8 }0 D* J8 m: S
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the8 `1 f) N* f6 H) \: K" x3 Q
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness4 d+ s4 b4 R( |6 D2 |
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.* }4 ~1 M, _& k7 j1 Y
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal( g8 I0 g8 q% M4 U2 i
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
3 _# o+ h( X2 z; d* P) lvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
0 O0 n; r. _ Ain higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an$ E) ~+ e, n% i8 n) b& e# `
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
! s3 C2 ~# B; M( _; q$ e6 gspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
+ d$ g% O( t" x2 r1 p, h: }prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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: Q4 Y; ]/ d7 e6 h4 @3 x2 J' r' [$ NActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent' _& i# W* ~( R3 ?
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
( q( k( Y. N& EGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
& F3 \7 l& r) }$ C% eincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more( b# c' Y. k) `3 [, r4 r
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
5 j7 F+ l+ M0 J1 C3 o- Zthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess5 @, R% T+ u: k
supply. s2 z5 B8 o1 y) `. D
. ^, t* H1 `$ a1 C6 ~, m, W% oIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and3 l# H; m q! S! K1 `9 {( S6 ?8 G
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
- H: D% `7 c7 t9 D5 E4 lmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
) h% F, W6 X( Q& T. f( j( psignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.( M( I! v' n: s3 C1 W
2 y- p& s* s: d% K0 `Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
$ |5 z0 P$ H# q( D. D: K0 _; S( Dstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
' ]) x( l _) e% a: Y7 ^- ?, |developments.
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% C6 a. D$ S1 \% B, hInformation note:; `. T6 R2 l3 k: a" O+ W
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update% P. `! z: P2 I' @. X' [. {/ U# b
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be+ {; ^8 C8 L& H: b+ i9 `& O
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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