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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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2 ?5 T; R: ~. H" m* \OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
0 q3 \+ h2 M- O# x4 F% L; ]rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly3 Y) d' B# j5 f& f
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
' Y% F% H6 _+ @& P. C+ voperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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* O5 b" `1 ?3 c4 fThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
: G& k: y2 C* ?# O6 t) A, bstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the3 r# m. C7 c) c+ z, s# c
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness* W) h6 q# Q2 Q6 x) s: H" Y
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.. ]& M+ a4 [' M: L
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
( N0 `6 B) O7 {9 g7 mstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the- k1 \6 m& H& ~6 T& \' V
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
4 d" @0 u$ M0 L& ]) V% a( ]in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an, T/ _4 B! g' o- _- ]
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
8 ^. V( n" ^$ }0 P! ^" t5 T7 Yspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity k: @4 i* w, @- s* `4 N; q
prices and some tightening of financial conditions. `( C2 l X" P% N, H: b$ d* l4 ~
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent, u! D9 ^$ D1 S- `0 L
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
7 @5 \: ^; A3 P5 R) H% qGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with( L' ~( X+ E# ?+ J
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
5 `4 }$ {; p+ N, K& ^7 O8 Q" O/ ybalanced recovery., o2 S& b( ~7 [2 C
) y- i6 W+ I) w5 M7 D% NCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects& O. u. i8 e( a! D. V
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
3 E* C$ y, S+ N6 C: i* Ysupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
$ I4 h2 u8 [9 o) d$ y% ?to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable , E# l& d8 |& i J
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
7 A0 j5 \' `/ _$ \9 o9 zsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
4 ^: f o& X" X1 Gstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic# U6 C( G0 D1 @" o$ h' Y; V" h8 I
developments.+ t" e$ \ ? I$ N
7 G8 ]! u9 x @* KInformation note: d. ^$ E+ n; | G9 n' i4 G3 J5 Q
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update8 u* R6 w% r; [% ]1 m# K
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be4 z6 q+ B5 Z# W' n2 T# u3 m
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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