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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market% ]! L1 ]5 {: B' b8 v
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
9 n8 o) N3 i1 Z- i2 ]5 d8 erate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
+ l9 J" Y% }- p2 T& _raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal8 F2 z$ ]$ y h9 \& V
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
1 Y) l$ X8 F! Y3 Wstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the! Q* v5 w. B. Y4 u" P
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness# h' V9 T* V) c, j% h9 a1 }+ r' ~
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized./ H% x0 r& D- A$ j
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
: K. w) _6 g8 _# T o# ?; s4 ustimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the6 v) `6 h( [9 c+ X5 k( c( ^" c
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
& D m- c6 w7 Din higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
# h1 z6 F6 E* Y7 i4 iimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
" z: [( S8 w. o) F# k9 pspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity4 B- Y$ I: W, E4 @2 B4 O
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent8 i, Z/ n: P( m8 O
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
% L; H9 Q+ l0 C. N1 ]; {1 gGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
5 k3 H: v4 H4 i' Iincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more$ t7 q5 p/ T2 d- g
balanced recovery.: \7 |- V. Q) j9 L) v& l: \
$ z5 t- A- P( U2 X) ~/ OCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects) W/ p+ ?" W: q3 [# p, e0 D
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
& N- o' H! u, q8 }0 m6 Psupply.
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+ u2 g! n1 W" Y# i5 u9 OIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and: T/ r( o; i" m& J! ?, w: q: M3 f1 A
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
5 n% \1 P2 L' {# K% @" g' `7 [monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
$ W& [# z8 ^) \: s$ Vsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.6 |. P Z3 }) C/ y# n2 z' n( v
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
1 x1 q( f& h/ H( Zstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic$ f! M8 Z" f- F2 g% z' e
developments./ \ X0 n! I3 D, C
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Information note:
) O& D' ` z; K7 \& lThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
7 p; U7 H' v8 k n6 y5 t2 O2 J$ Fof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
1 F9 G8 Q$ ?/ _1 B9 v6 o( c5 N9 f/ wpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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