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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market8 I6 y6 Y( N( s8 n" ?: E0 k
+ ]! K9 \- n, ^8 x$ C( t2 dOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight$ f5 {; _: P# N
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
8 Y9 L1 o5 S& A$ P" traised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal( c. y$ v; E6 C
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.# }* [4 g0 ]6 G; o2 a
# b8 l% J5 W; N, [4 fThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
' I2 q9 @" D% i' n5 vstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
/ q4 i6 ^ f+ q! x, P+ y) B/ YUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
& ?4 I: Y8 K9 m# L9 U+ win Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.: U" Y( W7 Z+ ?
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
6 l' ^: t6 j" q* g; H+ Ystimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
* T2 a5 V' T+ X; }( b$ m/ Evariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
: W& D+ W* R0 c' Yin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an* N& _) H& a, |
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
' t1 X. e5 K) `spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
9 d/ | L' J' B6 u+ [- _prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
, j: c- @& e( Q7 F/ k: j
7 T: m1 A* t7 \9 r' O# s6 FActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent2 b A& m R# k# A
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
o1 c8 v/ }9 |* I! BGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with4 N( z0 p$ d7 o4 W
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
& E- c! k# \/ V3 g* ~) F9 Dbalanced recovery.
7 X! J$ f6 Y/ H" {# U$ o1 \% j) g
CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
! g, j7 u+ Z! [- r0 y" nthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess0 h' D' H3 Q5 \4 ?2 ]
supply./ D" p) a; a# i& E8 Z4 _9 J3 V
$ Q$ ?* g4 G+ @ Z- N& ?In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
$ v( M Q% C- j+ t. Rto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 3 v* {# {) v- O+ _1 Z
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
( W3 l( l/ F; g& i) K" T ksignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
- d) `7 {) B4 g" V% C8 E/ M# B* t Z5 C! W3 N5 D; w( K
Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
, p# X" R# H* N) E% Z9 d2 zstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic, x+ Z+ L' _* s
developments. ?) p. L& ~' M; Y: s. b9 E
, B' n8 M* B9 @! T! L4 VInformation note:
* K' N( v' [2 L7 T# f( pThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
2 A. q3 z. o4 c* A; p, p& ^of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be( H( T: `2 `8 h5 h) |4 L) b7 l
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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