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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market0 [# A0 Q) [6 I+ R/ r n; \) K2 m2 {
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
, J6 V' V4 T5 a# E' Xrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly" {$ v' u9 ~/ w5 [) A( E- d
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal) V# J2 q* Q/ d" D+ Z
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.; Y0 t" w) r" s0 T3 O
+ v+ q, f$ h( f" {+ r( k8 Z
The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with" v3 z7 Q& w" @- o2 c. V( X/ I
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the( s% R9 a! k* f: k# X- S' n6 [
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness3 J1 a: G$ ]9 C, p0 y# B
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.& n W/ V; A* P# J3 ?7 }
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
& C* s: j+ d. b9 J/ E( v# dstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the7 ~ N- s9 D7 M, k& g7 M
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
( ^- Y' v0 @2 \# C+ P/ R) rin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
' B) C3 p2 r0 u8 [important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the6 ^2 j3 V4 {. B4 A; L
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
* W& u( j1 i% O" w( F) eprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
: H2 _% U: F8 Q% f7 x& Yin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.8 j) R( L- ]* ]) o' g/ @% M' w. _
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
5 @) |5 ?4 K( Z% _( \9 Nincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
- s7 E7 K x# a5 dbalanced recovery.0 S- [8 y( U0 N* T5 r- B4 b4 y" ?
6 b) q, E9 r; z& H% H6 RCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects: c: O" L! _( p
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess- T" |" W o9 z( M( t
supply.) O8 T" n A7 e
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and& ?2 X |) u! R
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
( A1 Y7 l1 L7 X2 y7 Kmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ; y) b4 k/ L! N; r, J
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
2 H* s1 `& R+ n2 P5 qstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
, x) D u: j, {! h7 H& J) O5 ldevelopments.
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. u- O% e! F) T: n2 o7 lInformation note:
# g+ X% R6 f9 eThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update( A# o+ G; q/ ^+ b8 H8 v
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be& y' O. |1 X' u8 J; Q% |
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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