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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight6 e3 n+ L* c7 b( S5 ?% Q
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly& D& z* w6 z3 ?; `
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
% h) P9 x7 D3 n# ?operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
( {* h; k8 n: z F7 x# D& {strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
9 [* h! V9 y) |3 A! g m: zUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
, y# F* E9 \5 vin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.* i& A( _6 Y4 V1 e1 A$ S
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
# I$ r# E: Z$ i: z: lstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
0 R4 t5 J, g) i6 x2 q% svariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
! G0 p7 y5 C! ^in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an* b- h/ b$ A8 Y7 r6 x
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the& F+ I+ o) _) K Z8 r# H! G |
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
% `# S4 ] X" y: H7 Z# t" M3 aprices and some tightening of financial conditions.* e7 g1 e" N0 e, ?! j1 t
6 c& G/ K1 U, S0 E/ b% S( UActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent* F( y$ I) \3 j* U# |* M
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
( @9 E1 y7 }. XGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
# Z3 ]% k/ |* \- ^" L7 D0 hincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
0 Z8 g+ p4 @7 N, w9 Q; ibalanced recovery.. D+ o3 F. f$ i: T
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
% d+ v% Q: E" x! n3 ~; Z; ^the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess5 S5 j& o+ E1 O# K+ r4 f1 |( A* g
supply.
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* s7 [+ ^7 i4 ]* K$ q% I9 x- b6 HIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and7 V' n3 f- {& T4 @4 L
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
+ u( c- V) g1 S0 n4 mmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ' H: D+ h% S. m# T- V0 @: a5 r' U
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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; K0 K3 h2 q! |0 j. _+ ~Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
8 z4 ]4 a: l8 @3 qstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic, U9 y7 e& V) u& t6 N" J
developments.
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1 ^! W! H* `: H- D4 Q9 t+ Y9 sInformation note:
8 n7 c* ?% D4 [The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update8 o+ r3 [0 i4 ^. C! }
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
0 r6 w) |' z9 N4 ?4 v7 ?8 Opublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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