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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market8 Y+ G8 H* R+ [' L! I/ T
& k+ @9 u0 U* B9 ?( L# {, eOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight; O) a, j8 e9 @
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
{8 ~- ]+ b. T3 S3 I% F' zraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal" t1 h& s1 `( E& ?
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
& p& i& ]! E: g L& zstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
" \6 K( N- G4 {+ n$ O3 A! UUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
5 e. j! P7 ?! ]* z0 G5 _in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.. ]8 k9 A" G8 M1 a7 D# ]
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
p5 q K: e; X: x/ }, ostimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the( o$ o& a" a, D
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
" u D" p' o% z5 D, W- `1 u3 |in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an( T% T1 y0 N7 k& _8 J! n e: L
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the* i, \) B" g- M0 [4 I4 V% g+ Y
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity$ w6 j6 X6 ^7 G4 |- M, h
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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; y2 D5 k" K8 a8 J: }1 W# I* NActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
$ S* |% J" ?7 x- sin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.* [6 p3 r% g2 B5 ~( m
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
3 j) N. R8 ]* ~" K5 R* cincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
" O0 k- t9 _ ~# r: M o/ e8 pbalanced recovery.
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3 ?! B$ l6 {4 f' e# pCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects0 b; I4 C/ ^& \5 t) e+ G$ S
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess: d6 T. @/ Z- w5 O, K# d+ B
supply.& a$ Q' Z3 n. Q+ [% F; S- R
: G# f' W: b# }' |7 ~& g* N5 QIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
7 M5 b% J+ F, p6 b( p& `to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 6 n: E* r5 T4 N2 _# P$ B
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
% K; U: |7 h! z5 x/ }( Jsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary( z9 |" d: l' f+ }
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
2 \# t0 D$ O Z, Jdevelopments.
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/ d& y# ~4 e8 V3 n% s1 D1 gInformation note:- a. e2 Q, g3 X( O
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update+ r. g6 t. Z, [: X- n, h3 k
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be1 s- x) Q' ^. r9 }, z: p' i
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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