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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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+ j( y# f7 A/ U2 F3 Q0 f: i/ H+ aOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
1 f% r6 h V6 y* r$ `7 rrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly' O, S+ E7 f& M+ f+ \
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
0 A* \: t6 B( o' @) ^6 Y% voperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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U8 p# W7 T6 E! ^The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
7 h7 ~6 m' W" j* u4 b; B: Hstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
; G! n7 F7 s1 F/ p: y$ ~0 CUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness- \) @1 N+ j: M( `$ Q4 Z
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
9 v9 J R# c1 t4 yIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
2 `. Z0 b4 S6 G. C0 l% Bstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
8 N- Q# ?: n. U4 }variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
3 r4 Z: j, Q! c0 P: U s6 p7 Ein higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
+ y% G# ^& n fimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
2 {, f/ k z1 X% s9 J2 L- j' mspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
" A# U: Z/ p, D& ?4 x0 T+ Kprices and some tightening of financial conditions.2 I- i$ ^" u/ v0 L8 M
2 e, ]% ^7 C+ J+ l$ l) s. cActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
3 I. y4 d6 |6 ^in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.7 @" w8 D% }, u# O
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
) L, @* V& s! c3 Y( {: J5 Nincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more8 a6 H' _9 l3 j
balanced recovery.
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1 E* {0 ^9 n4 N9 FCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects# C" ?5 K9 L" G
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess8 F% T' P' q. f6 W/ A
supply.: A9 v/ l. c( g( q5 i( v
4 N* `, D% K, d" Y5 E1 BIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
2 v0 d4 J+ C I9 ]* E9 X( Vto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 4 y6 Z1 _( f3 h; f
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
: n/ B9 a |* u3 u7 B) asignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.% |* V* e9 @5 h; T$ R) F( _
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
& p$ u6 {* s3 M% Wstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic/ `$ V# u% a# _4 f/ i3 G
developments.
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+ ^2 S7 J; j8 @* g+ t" p& I) n# fInformation note:
* l) q6 j1 J4 v# R* }" o4 dThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
1 w- d: ?5 W0 x. V7 x% eof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
( Y& f, r: ^1 Z7 r! h1 ~published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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