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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market7 `* J7 Z' N/ R! A, `
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
3 P7 U1 z3 Q/ A& F: orate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
- c" u& P: }! V6 e6 K. K2 |raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
$ F; j4 S* d7 Y, c2 X& S. moperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.$ C* Y( ~& j1 h8 M
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with$ d% p, \/ D0 r8 V0 J% u
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
7 u3 R M( }* N+ M! jUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
$ z" c! o; w/ Y$ ^. d0 N5 Nin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
1 k# K& l6 Z+ E2 I8 n# {In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal; x7 `. N. W! O; ?% K) o
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
4 G- O5 w# J/ s+ Jvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
: W u' c' L% k) Ain higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an6 Q" u; e4 r* _4 i* I
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the9 T5 {0 B! Q9 O! H8 e
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity+ R6 A$ }9 V# N! r7 }8 {# ^3 g
prices and some tightening of financial conditions./ Z* w0 R- {& Q! v3 F2 F
$ ] H$ v( e# l: UActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent5 h2 ^) n& g, g+ x. E
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.* p0 ]5 l) X8 P
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with- w3 y( n9 e! I8 w# l& G& ~0 e7 z
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more0 N; |# [. U: R6 N) ~8 L8 s2 B
balanced recovery.
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# q' X9 b: R. ~8 M9 VCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects4 p: J$ k, p& a; C% ?, U/ Y
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
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N% L1 o/ Z8 _; b4 n3 D+ B- EIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and* f0 n$ I- @# ?; \7 g( _+ h( N. j
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
* ^( U5 i3 W3 N; b0 t; S- amonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
& K L( [. l% d2 k- e4 Esignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.1 ]9 @! @" O3 Q; v! T( A+ N
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
4 q2 z5 J8 H1 _, j G+ W, Gstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic" A$ i3 [8 g6 p7 x
developments.
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- |8 E4 d0 A+ l& P5 {Information note:
' w2 e. c5 F5 l5 f# A9 i$ jThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
/ X! P' v B( v0 z# g! B! L2 G9 iof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
- x; V( ~( C3 spublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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