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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market6 ^7 o, Q$ V! s% s& |) |4 W: _
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
* h$ O2 F& B) y4 arate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
4 q& o! d5 }0 W& c% N O' jraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
# B4 F) l: X* h hoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.% c' q& H6 ~, E# o( S
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
5 X0 ~' T0 P" T0 m& T" Xstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
; Y. \2 M6 b# @* w ^- x' AUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness! @. P: o( A" {0 {
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
+ X+ o* _9 `4 ]: K( ZIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal# k2 U; [6 [6 `) M# b* B; g7 c [
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the5 K5 o. Q# F8 s9 S, Z5 i" y* M8 H# q/ L* n
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result& ^- r9 ^) w. m" n
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
% o' s: i5 B8 ?7 ?- nimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
7 V; l: l( z. |$ nspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
! H& I* k1 h+ ?: p5 f; Tprices and some tightening of financial conditions." y) G+ `, z, X3 z9 N3 M k& U4 g
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
$ H: B/ }- \+ l. x: i7 k( Tin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.# |( z( K/ S5 h" u
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with& l# X7 `* F* R4 q
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
+ o6 j: M; h6 J% i) e6 O/ \, gbalanced recovery.
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3 n5 X2 f! l& }CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
' l* b B1 {7 ? y( Gthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
4 M, J5 N6 Q5 ?/ wsupply.0 K& u$ u: ~) |: G4 Z
" k9 @# u# }% J9 V2 ZIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and! F; O { F, j' J/ f- d- p
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
! c3 N% w- {8 F8 C2 emonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the / A! g& S2 T+ q+ r
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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: u4 e9 `8 F( m1 `5 HGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
. D9 l a# [4 y2 sstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic: R. y7 p- x; M$ C, k* ~
developments.
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' a* u! N, ]" ZInformation note:1 A T4 ?6 v5 Z+ V% L! C
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
$ B, ]4 Q2 @. |* Fof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
O1 g# X) Q& O6 ^, K0 o! _published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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