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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market% w7 E- v: j) d6 C1 N2 v5 P
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
" _" s5 B0 `+ P7 _% |! T8 v, V5 Srate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
9 j* Q" |8 y6 t" }$ }( M7 fraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
D3 r9 W8 S: joperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with4 i6 V& h& @* C: [8 r3 K
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the8 m+ e7 t4 E( Y8 J8 K) U% |
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness% U5 V8 q, F r
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
6 z& \, V6 Z9 pIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
/ y. q3 Q j7 ?$ n6 Jstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the" \0 e" b0 I0 y2 j; w$ W. g
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result4 ^, L5 k0 H0 _# j8 e# `
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
3 s2 @$ j5 A% L9 ]/ f, }important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
9 k6 V8 e" F: aspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity$ }5 t3 ^6 `1 `6 P% S% W
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent; C. @2 g6 G' M: x! D- q7 U4 ~
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
- o$ o9 l) ~& w# d) oGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
0 u7 S+ r7 [7 D$ @+ M, }1 w! aincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more1 e; a! x) @! R8 X |
balanced recovery.! |2 S! f, R! D& @+ G* h4 `' V
. }$ R7 e+ J; t$ Y' H! UCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects. F; A5 y0 o0 x+ q& P9 E) s
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess1 V5 ~/ m3 ]) X6 }4 P' X0 t
supply.
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# f6 e- E) i9 e$ GIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
) p/ d+ k7 A3 i+ [- K0 Uto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
+ g% Z" G0 K1 \' S0 O4 T7 ?monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the : v- h* _! d5 I1 U- y. q3 Y
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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' K$ v1 G V" k- L9 Q* M3 cGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
7 m/ q% W. q. G* S+ w$ b" Cstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic; H" K! ?8 w0 J) l" m1 m7 T
developments.
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! ^) g" p3 d5 f+ x6 v& {$ ]Information note:
; J4 H/ Q: e$ b, ~0 [! N! rThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
1 n- U. v# z+ ^& Lof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
- \5 v" a7 l3 {% @( ypublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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