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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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& r$ ?. M. N0 D; F' _OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight7 L# c6 Y3 N; J5 ~7 s9 q+ i3 H
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
' z d+ K* G# o( q0 u( lraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
2 q' i& o1 {' A: H# Uoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate., o3 p7 ] M! ]; R0 U
0 h* |2 C7 g# k' CThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
0 u8 ~1 Y8 U- dstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the/ |) w) \% H& J9 S, d
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness+ ?$ f1 C1 g( G# J# \6 h6 O
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.. _/ w# O, |% d0 h, D S8 T
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
4 _" D1 ~3 }( [# Cstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
1 n* H5 h+ {+ h& K( G3 u+ svariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
2 [" h* I; V: [/ ^* G6 n& a6 y# {in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
7 v5 ]) r3 R$ s7 d iimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the% f- |$ ^0 Z# S9 `
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
7 |# z" [: s* uprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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3 E; V. ^1 ~! U$ G$ R, ~Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent* `3 m$ X( V4 G9 R2 j; w7 x; n
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
' P) t" v( f/ CGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
6 q" T) n n" [0 b, V' l ~income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
+ @% z8 e% F b: ebalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects4 v9 R2 ^8 X. O
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
! W2 b/ n$ Z' u8 i: Vsupply." H7 Z# U7 b: O. ?$ }
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and/ D' d% c! a* P7 m
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
" _) Q" h9 W: [4 ?monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 2 [- T9 p2 f/ `& ?; s% W
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary. ?3 h2 k! L m; V/ y& Z: v5 T
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
0 f2 I! ^, ^6 [6 Gdevelopments.
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( \ D) E2 v* B8 d( ?6 Q: PInformation note:
, t4 _2 e6 e' e3 Q! P( d: aThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
" Y8 }0 Y" a! v6 I8 xof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
9 S6 F1 H4 p# U( H; B/ t8 E2 cpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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