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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market4 y% Z9 D9 r Q# F* P2 s
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
4 b, W; G u7 P1 K3 d1 c" Q/ irate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
4 m. Z5 n7 O8 K; F6 v: U" ^8 eraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
, E2 K: X3 a0 Xoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.* h7 E- ]; y; ]( n$ d4 I
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with# o6 F" T8 y- x5 [2 q7 v( g
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the! B" H" Q; o! m( K
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
- F' q: y1 s! zin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.9 O" A6 p# p* c9 F' R
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal# x$ S: [! p& k" u' l2 r4 Z
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the, a7 w% ?1 V; e+ Q
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result# T' m& L% u. m: J s
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an, G7 t/ l/ W8 u; @4 @9 L F
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
( t9 E. Z9 T( N$ I3 J' I* Qspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
+ X2 Z0 T" [& C5 C: ?/ dprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
$ {0 _/ g( T$ s j, @; n1 e$ b' n+ X7 {. S) y5 o4 G+ j
Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent/ i r$ ~/ l* m; E7 I8 \% Q/ Z
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.9 u7 x4 r' L+ I5 R. x L2 ]/ L/ Y
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with$ j- V7 z5 W5 S) N' j2 ]) J, L
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more9 N5 s6 j8 z; H- O% O7 G( V: \, t a
balanced recovery.5 l) s. {) E( U) Y% e
6 a% G% A( i( c, L# X# |. B ]CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
9 ]% y. b$ m2 a/ L- A' r$ {" lthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess& k/ I0 U4 Y5 R4 P
supply.
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: f& I2 W1 m% nIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
0 D* o5 a& v) H6 s: ito re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 1 a0 t+ D, d0 e6 X
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the % |5 O' J1 _8 \$ c$ }
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.% X, p# G1 Y9 Z; E
?2 ^. O0 f+ O' K( [% E& yGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary5 _- g9 B! ^! V
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic% g1 [9 w9 W5 A5 L6 N
developments.
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* X# J3 ~5 Z. ZInformation note:4 D6 N2 i% f( p
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
" z Y: q: N' G' M* [% T& sof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be6 Q9 H' j0 W- c% H
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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