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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market6 m( d$ D. X* M% k1 J
) w7 U3 u% N: d: y9 ^4 `, kOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight/ d ^# _; ?* B6 d
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
4 ^0 o2 G) W% G( i! Qraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal% ~! g+ V! t# U" t6 ?6 o7 n# d
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.9 s* v) K: }4 I! s# U; j' ?; d
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
* }. Q0 m* | z: Tstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
* { f5 n" |! F2 g! t3 ]' pUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
* c( |& o9 u( G% \in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.& o6 d+ M9 c" P
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
3 ?( Q7 v; m. g- y( w9 w9 Fstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
2 {# Y8 o. j5 w& \# O5 B i6 Ivariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
& q/ G% Y, j% L) N7 w- L0 {in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
3 [# A6 L4 W0 q3 v; Mimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the7 @ J P- z( z' i6 T4 n4 q
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity2 a9 W( l; g3 {& s" i2 s
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
( u( |; Q# Z* z2 |( ]in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.4 ?4 i" }; _2 C8 C( n
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
% `* D1 D& H) L7 i7 B* }income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more. h" t( T( C1 e4 J
balanced recovery. w8 m) t2 h+ w& P2 b* V6 H, Q' s
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
; |7 \+ a1 k0 F- g4 v( ]the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess2 C% v& A: e" r& H
supply.8 ]# ~' ~8 W; Q! l( g' I8 Z$ ~' P
* P) _ f, S/ c5 H9 q. A( G( jIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
/ C$ i$ U7 Z' ]( b3 l; U+ g+ X/ Lto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
+ X% E# t2 T" d$ v {! d: j* nmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
) i8 m. x# C. ^9 Lsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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+ L' }; x* G( Y' ~8 ^/ G$ S6 qGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
( J! v, b3 [; ^% s1 Q% estimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
# H' | W; R! o3 N$ _" }' A4 gdevelopments.9 H. q$ s9 U/ x N4 i9 D6 V# v
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Information note:. Y9 m/ }+ t: E/ M+ ^0 A% b" w
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update# E" r i: @! \7 v& ]1 F* m- S
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
' b4 }1 }$ p/ [ b& p- Apublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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