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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market# i, ?( n/ r# j% U4 S5 f
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight9 g* f5 W5 [9 Y# O% I; t% b4 n# K0 s
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly0 p& H' j8 O b2 y
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal; Z4 o* f5 D2 X
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
. V: u5 c* B0 i" v& l1 `strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
% \& x, h9 ^/ s# iUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness. M) [. n2 O& M
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.4 \4 ^, q( x, H4 z8 P5 z
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal+ g7 j( ? {6 G# s4 R6 K
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the. L" M( U) a. p, F( |
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
; _$ U# y6 I. ?9 o/ _& V6 g5 h0 Lin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
d9 C" Z/ l6 C- A: J, simportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
5 O" O" h, C/ n9 N1 r" \! Mspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity5 W9 f' Q2 g' O h5 Q! u. D$ X
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.! u: h1 k% h4 s) J$ N
% ] @6 J% b7 {, c+ s% _
Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
+ s( T9 B. f- }) [4 C( Yin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.- w' y7 ^$ P; [
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with `+ B; I, j6 X: f
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
/ h# t$ h3 M3 ]" g5 O& ]( s0 H$ y4 Sbalanced recovery.5 s# ^' \$ u( Z0 D8 O
' d) R: y( }2 j4 QCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
+ U0 N" J& D& y2 t. Sthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
( o4 N) S5 w+ B4 M: p4 Psupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and& i& Y! c% Z9 \' K! ~! F8 k
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable : h+ ~% K! M* ]9 {2 ]3 T* ^' F6 @
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ) P; y+ K- C6 |% |1 w( V6 @: J
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.7 K4 q- G3 |: H8 U' A
) d1 U2 Y+ s {Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
8 C1 u& A, A: Vstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
3 U7 J3 J, V) O8 Q' Hdevelopments.
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. p: d: e, D: h* YInformation note:
+ R; }6 R% ~* ?: d: j$ VThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
& {, P7 }7 i* N# e( V" ^6 T% Gof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
: s- }% e+ B2 a7 t' X- F& spublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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