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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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& S, o: w- R3 i5 qOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight( ]! h: |0 B3 x2 X( O) b h* D
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
6 C1 D" g3 u7 e8 c5 c# kraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
9 k7 v* ?& F# d8 c) {( doperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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3 J( g5 c R0 g4 r' l) FThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with5 u6 v, v, K9 ~" w/ K
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
( C0 w- I) q) W+ OUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
0 Q* Q0 N. r! j( M7 `4 @" A& H" q3 Rin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
; m/ z' r% ?1 D4 u2 `In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal) B( ^0 Z1 J6 k/ B1 C4 ~# b; a
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the7 M1 d$ j, w1 L2 O# f, [) T5 |
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result. f7 M8 a4 }, Q( x
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an4 Z* d x2 J2 ^0 m. \
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the4 ?; |3 @# E2 R* m; t' m
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
7 [, S7 D& _$ Z8 ^2 B C" C- Oprices and some tightening of financial conditions." r2 p! s! m3 q P5 c
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
! J0 i- Z, ?% s/ l- xin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
; I0 v7 b! W6 X; O8 S5 V- S4 QGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with/ N, d6 j; c8 B$ g& y# z* U. T8 W
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
8 [" b' Z+ C. `: I2 F3 `balanced recovery.
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$ f& o% k. a, m) g. V' A& e$ _CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects ]) S; g) g* K) s! g+ F- }
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
+ d' P! L9 I: A1 u& Rsupply.
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; D) G" H. b% Y3 o3 q5 [' a& {In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and$ b4 K0 j W. O
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
, L! t% }% t7 B& s' umonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
7 N% [6 F8 S6 u1 S( ^8 `significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.2 U2 ?) B6 E( r, ]( k+ N
/ t; v) G& C Y$ DGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary5 n9 ~" F2 ]1 k; G3 y# N& J
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic! z) C. w4 k: R8 o/ c8 e4 J" ?% g' t
developments.0 H* g8 q: f6 w& Y
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Information note:" J" T$ n; H6 s3 b
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update; V5 K1 v$ B/ a; {
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be+ c5 H4 J- V" S/ ?
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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