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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market B- ~4 W+ c$ T' `) F
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
+ h7 J% D8 q* ?" m3 J1 l% Trate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly9 e. ?& Y2 G. r4 b( _
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
6 b T) F; s E$ C' U/ |6 \operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with6 V8 e, o9 F0 a, ^2 Z" ]4 b
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the1 s' V2 `. T- F' \2 \
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
+ b4 }& E( t; D( V Min Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
% X3 U; d4 K+ J5 h; O% n. JIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal6 `$ F9 N _1 S1 D$ o
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
& {6 d1 F, I% D0 Uvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
) b2 m& Q6 ?3 ], din higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
! u- l3 y( f* l6 X4 n1 D' {, ]important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
. U- H: `3 K0 E( q* n ~2 Kspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity% s4 T% `2 B! r
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.# O" k1 ^& Z) V
2 S: o* G& u# x2 T% EActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
0 m2 _: r8 R. w+ _4 Pin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.6 c! f. v! _* P, `. w2 |2 ^5 J) |" i+ H
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with) a8 L6 v! |- A# a- C
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
5 l4 x+ T6 q, _( dbalanced recovery.; H4 k0 _ j( X: w
+ a7 L) T( q$ y7 n% d: b6 k2 yCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
' V& U+ d5 {& p- ^" V) I6 D2 m! G: g- _2 bthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
1 r& m! ^% k) Q* zsupply.5 ^ \3 G. N% H
9 Y0 T" \# A) {9 F1 a/ @# r$ l" vIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and% G; _+ t0 Z* R2 G0 U" ]
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
% t! R1 [, |. O; s- g7 `7 kmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ( r1 H( X& Y7 S* f- ~* v
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.! R1 ]) P5 C; k4 s2 w1 }: W" `
. K, f# \0 S, w6 F7 T1 gGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
* `0 e# w2 e% d$ Z* \. Ostimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
0 H( y0 w+ X) bdevelopments.
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; |% a! i) T' K3 bInformation note:
: t u$ S6 B: b2 E5 cThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update, K7 r! B- z/ S: C+ s- `
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
: I+ k* c# X+ a9 [) |published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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