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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
- T. F& t" ]* {% c% d5 \( p# }rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
* T% V6 o7 w) oraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal4 V" w6 _$ n% s$ U" U
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.; w& ^" I& x0 C
3 |! i' \/ ?' V7 ^& _The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
5 _. E5 ], y! Y7 W8 a+ x. sstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
4 C \& [" T8 a+ }5 Q& zUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
7 `8 r3 Y8 G7 a8 W; Y. _in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.4 Y! s7 t! Q7 g
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal6 k0 j! x1 u5 C+ U$ G c& P
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
5 O# ]+ ~0 b1 l `variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
1 X1 u! ^0 d+ ]! din higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an8 D$ N0 F0 B% l2 O& M0 J4 ?7 h
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
% q; o" Q. N8 N% F' pspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity/ m$ ^7 b% p1 O* y
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.+ g+ s! r1 |' \0 O8 e0 h- U
# Z+ v) e. K% H0 F3 ]% |4 i ~Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
9 E! z3 j/ A! ?1 G+ J5 F1 P6 qin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
( A: T6 H" L" u# qGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
. ]* C" L8 T e) Zincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
( @% s/ p/ b! u& T' d8 _) H# ~balanced recovery.5 ^4 H) v5 m& x# n
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects& M7 h- q* {7 d- t; s
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess/ U9 B' e5 S; }5 M8 @* }8 c
supply.) o- w, D, {& K9 M
. X+ L% D& l9 HIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and! j- `# C1 t' ~5 r' _+ s8 ?
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable : S& z% i- q$ _" x, A
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
2 D6 G: L# @* P% Dsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.. V7 i( m# p1 `. r' ~6 r
], c& H5 \" [* S$ V" xGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary+ I) ?4 n1 q+ Q+ [/ f0 m
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic4 E E+ ^+ x) c6 O! u2 u, s# K
developments.
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$ w5 Z, ^$ s$ V; K# Z2 S+ ~; T& G, yInformation note:
8 r* H+ d( j- [' D% ?The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update( v* I! x5 X. v3 `8 A8 \
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be; F- T! C& u( s1 ?
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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