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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
& d6 [7 H0 I% }; N/ c; qrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
+ @+ b. A P' A$ @7 Traised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal& I# C& m7 n9 i: T# c3 F! [7 t$ w
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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9 `, k7 ? w9 q! q, S( M4 l) cThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
; W( Y! m( I8 ]" ]: s! Ystrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the# }3 S. f1 [; A1 Z& Q
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness; [" |! A( o" o) `; Y
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
- ]3 \( ]' l \0 Q Z4 [. KIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
, A, f* e3 A& d' D1 G5 @& dstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the6 e" e- _4 W! y- E. h$ A8 c
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
3 C! }* Z) k# D# V/ [in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
6 ~5 x% w0 p& J5 T" o( timportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
% `# q$ |* |2 Z- Espillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity2 h) ?" ]3 ]( f' i; S, C& b
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.2 u* |# w% Y5 p$ A
+ M0 g% v# ]* b! T% d% A" QActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent/ V- i8 f4 [4 E, U; b
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
/ {$ p( z9 f a. LGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with+ `% a$ w0 _; i; P" A0 [ m
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
: w) d" B B! K8 |0 l' ebalanced recovery.: A" W" A1 [! ^, T* Z- Z
0 R) k$ @- L& E( ^$ nCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
6 o! X" @1 `: a h" athe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
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/ J+ }/ M6 e: c* l2 t6 IIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and/ U Z3 ~9 Q. `' ]. ]
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
/ f3 B- R8 H8 Y6 omonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
. N' u7 h: q/ m* Ysignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery. K7 ?! E# K, C9 D' @, x2 k
# t9 [! J1 |. A/ \6 DGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary/ b2 J, w8 C# P. p
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic5 ]$ |3 Y7 H9 y2 j$ U- o& V5 R0 j
developments.
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$ \" @, G) `+ G. wInformation note:
3 F/ m8 z0 z& o; Z; R5 j2 f% kThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update# M9 e2 e4 U0 M+ l4 m
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be5 ?- O- x5 ~+ x# J
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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