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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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2 f4 i' D. K Y1 K4 sOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
8 z- H* W6 c- M- F0 crate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly! o, t! L- N' \& L0 i, ~7 g, `
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal7 `/ z; ?5 [3 b- E- g7 V6 _
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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& m' B0 D' | ^7 bThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
8 [% g8 t. Q! B( g0 p, Pstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the6 [* y; d5 g& c' ^# k* R8 U
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
* Q. Q$ }7 k& [( _& ~% tin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
. {5 \- z/ m( R0 UIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal5 l& i+ S/ U! s0 }9 q% J1 k6 m
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the" ^5 |8 k9 N7 B( Q% R/ V" P3 M
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result; ^0 d8 |2 |$ I/ _6 b
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an6 v+ ?6 o$ G6 C' R8 r; a/ A
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the0 Z, a3 u; j3 \( N5 l n( b
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity9 S/ M9 ]: {9 F4 n( t2 Y; h& J
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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- M$ O9 I2 {+ N2 m7 j kActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
! F4 q# i* U0 o9 n" jin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
- l2 ]0 T0 b! W' WGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
% A9 Q. [. F, L1 oincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
4 _$ j( ^* ?0 o1 |$ Ybalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects5 n% j( U6 ^& f6 N
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess% J2 n, n/ N; ~: f
supply.+ N# B: E, H, ^. [
" e( }& U2 G' L) z* ZIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and5 Q: M: n+ w& u7 \
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 3 ?1 t' E7 E/ x K0 V& Q
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 7 X8 j# i& \ X7 c
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.( J" Q( v7 U$ Y
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
2 C0 F& T- l5 G* fstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic0 L2 d! d" ^: M9 p
developments.7 ~6 {+ O% w$ h- H7 z
4 k% z. _, u1 k2 w6 H8 oInformation note:
4 E* b+ T5 M' b) h! kThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
9 ?0 a7 P+ j1 |" G) E: k5 L. Hof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be E: d+ U( S+ U) g1 ^1 @
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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