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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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; s/ f9 [4 O. M- V# wOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
$ ]1 x6 }" y9 vrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly2 i+ |- U7 [2 i1 u5 {' B& o9 j
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
3 l( v$ } A2 f3 J6 roperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.% Z+ K2 j/ k0 x/ [
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
1 K; m: q; Q' \0 Y l; f) V6 W# R- ystrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
! `, u( r3 x8 e9 jUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
+ p. `) a5 O, V/ T2 v4 Jin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
- {1 I8 i4 e6 `' a+ a; G6 b6 QIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal/ f3 ]1 S* O7 j( V5 g0 F
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
: W# K0 ^ Y5 y. `% m5 bvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
' C8 u: s& U6 ]in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
1 T: M! d* L9 e! {important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
% j0 V- y: N( P; P8 f7 @' gspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity' @9 ]+ n$ ^# A9 {) R
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent; o" O9 }; q8 R& m1 E
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed., z2 \! M$ u+ t
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
. i) o8 { n% zincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
# k& I, F+ J2 |! G% u/ {1 w, kbalanced recovery.- A9 E3 K0 c/ g% T* I9 I; M
4 z3 T" `7 W# B5 Y# k4 @5 x1 x, WCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
( S; a) p# B2 z* X. j% j: y* Y% bthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess% F! b& z& h' x+ j* h9 W
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
C: V, }+ `: n9 m$ ^to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
, F% S4 V' o; [( h( X, ]monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 4 z( ]& s3 B$ e. T
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.- ]$ ], Z' \" U; w D+ H
9 c0 D0 F! N1 [) M2 I# E; KGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
7 r7 v/ z* q+ n2 ?* X' fstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
p; h; |( ^* x, s* C) v7 ?& Z7 B0 Mdevelopments.
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Information note:( X' `8 r6 c7 U$ {' o7 {
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update; }9 r. R% u# F/ ^& o2 h: k6 @
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be( ?0 P* x: k a% D9 x* h
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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