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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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) a; W/ s- e# Q MOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight0 w& \7 L- J+ q1 l
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
/ X+ W+ r' @) i+ Sraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
6 h+ E1 q2 D# H) z% C3 Boperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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7 m' h x1 A- a) |The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
- ^& |5 _/ N& e" M C$ l$ Vstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
% Q3 S5 c( T) y lUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness+ C: c$ r. B7 O4 \
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
; n2 `7 `4 j Y: x' n- aIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal5 u1 c8 h- `6 c+ Z! I1 a
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the W7 \4 ]; O) s4 v J
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result* a( m7 w8 a6 R- I
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an- k! k) _8 @" i5 h6 {
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the" Q$ H) Q( K. A* G5 u- X7 ]
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
4 H5 G2 d& G8 r+ i/ fprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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h# w5 B' y3 e7 IActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent/ O( M: L$ b- O, x C. [
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
! _4 e) C# H$ T8 n# X3 J+ S) IGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with8 s! I# j3 F5 \" S# [& A& |9 Z
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
; d1 a6 v& r, `/ _# |0 Ubalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects& [( B4 b+ n, R* V; n0 M
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
+ I- j2 ^9 x: V. [6 I9 L! w+ Gsupply.
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. W" B! F5 u$ B5 d' @; QIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and( Z6 X* @ W( y; i6 M' R* a
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable . a5 F1 N" S3 M* b/ l
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the G9 n5 ~4 {9 j V
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
U; b6 X; E* ?/ ?4 c* Tstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic4 A/ A, z& `6 k: S3 r/ K
developments.
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+ D+ |# X7 F5 @8 |1 Q% H4 \Information note:
p/ t6 G' P/ l* t! MThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
5 v. I/ n: i! d2 H9 o( |of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
+ a- R8 a8 r& l! [! J* y/ A- Tpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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