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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market) V9 C1 o# g0 M# v( j9 O+ u
9 m7 R# @8 M) j* G8 i5 I9 ?8 bOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
- O9 ?& y% f; p2 r7 orate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly7 B8 s" a" _( E6 o( H
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
# W" q: { J+ T9 j+ {operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
, E2 H" O* v, N( ?) C9 istrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
4 D$ |! u: O/ h3 B9 PUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness- `; U) |* `' [$ {8 C* T( I
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
+ J5 R, H8 C' U) {8 F- P; @! ~In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal$ \( {- {) Q0 @( B& V
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
) E. {6 t( Y4 B( {variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result. s3 F9 A1 d' o" Q! `# R
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
/ x8 ] @ O! c4 m+ F6 zimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
& N& U! u; |$ H- ?spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
5 y9 L6 O) g% S* {9 Hprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
0 [* c0 f( Y2 I: k P2 r, y8 p/ z( Iin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.: S' ~; h/ }5 V1 U: `
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with# U1 o: Z7 u2 _9 Z6 k- y+ E
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
8 _! N0 b) K# u* S' i3 H" tbalanced recovery.& {7 W, b- b& n* b& I
4 x8 Z/ t# O' n6 w$ i/ rCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
& u% B9 U6 m b& l9 p( Q a8 q, othe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess; {9 L( x2 `! ^! I; H
supply.! s" U" W4 F% G
# z' L; ?+ `2 K$ f9 ]In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and+ ?/ c& `& q6 u n+ W# F( _4 x
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
1 n. ]5 j) J# f! Ymonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the : B0 e! f) ]3 ^$ u; [+ m4 X" ^
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
7 K; a, G% Y$ ~+ q j( [. _stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
6 \: H: K3 h) n& k5 }, K q. J, Pdevelopments.7 A- X- r) L% m' | F% s
3 s1 @, O0 z* e' z* K) MInformation note:
' f7 j& K( p; g* l% NThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update- T! B/ G4 s9 _, y4 @# K( X- Y
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be0 U# n& t1 B$ `( A
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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