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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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- w Y) b8 b" T# N9 kOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
: U, c& i; M4 l" X9 [6 T% W% S/ qrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly9 V0 b! ]% X0 h/ d* y; D) k( J! Y6 W2 d
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
) |$ v: R" E+ q) z* j* c' Xoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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" s E2 Y, C2 o7 rThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
* K9 Z7 j' q7 o+ Y+ j: b2 Ustrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the( J. Z6 n3 u8 l
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness6 H- \+ H9 W$ s7 d7 N
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
- k, n) p' _) t7 P/ \7 g" {( cIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal6 s2 F4 x# }7 R( y. |! t8 e4 N1 C
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the* V1 q& V5 P6 Y/ u/ x+ e
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
; D: U, c, R2 X* C, v/ R$ }+ q# y3 A1 Gin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
) ?% p- U' w6 P. o! bimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
: b, x0 p# M/ u' W7 |+ a0 yspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity. L Y- o/ _, p* h( Z0 w
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.7 G; b4 W( F2 ^! q' Q
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
) b5 c r6 Z& z0 }in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
/ T. v8 {/ _" D; jGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
m3 I7 u8 Q5 K# i9 B. Mincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more& K9 r6 Y% h8 m0 _0 v+ e
balanced recovery.: P9 \1 S# j" ?# X
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects! D* q9 z% C8 p p7 @ O ? {
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
* c: o" n( `" l2 i- @9 }supply.
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* M$ v7 j4 N' h2 `$ N) `In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
2 _% n# p+ A% `0 B5 r0 |. yto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ' ?/ x5 b- u9 y% g! }$ H
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
8 w+ T7 { ~7 A1 c1 \6 F8 psignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.& W3 G7 n7 V- q: z: U
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary3 |' p! b4 _8 c. K" ?" K5 c+ d9 R8 L
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic9 X7 g4 g g# B
developments.; Y8 p F$ k% z! t. J# O9 w6 ?# R& w
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Information note:
! i; O+ j* F y& s% MThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
9 D/ i/ P9 L7 ^' D5 [/ gof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
9 M6 C- q) P8 q& t& ^+ l, ?published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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