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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market4 G% @9 A5 @8 V: i2 p
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight5 O: B( q3 F2 D1 b: ]" `
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly& d+ {' ?* H \
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
+ o; l1 X1 u9 O' F" i6 voperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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1 b' i0 ?) p& E$ k. `) h- K3 [* `The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
$ r# b; x( D) E& R3 C# A1 r9 _strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
+ u! w g8 f$ V" [3 E1 `% aUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
- a$ ?; I- Z; Uin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.5 f- _/ K7 i: a0 v7 p' Z; g
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal7 V3 ?) ?- I& e6 J4 Y) g8 S: h0 ^
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
' h* |) O9 {9 ^1 R* D+ I d6 B4 g4 Qvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result4 g0 K4 @) K, R8 u8 p8 _4 O* s
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an5 `! A5 S7 S O3 x4 o
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
( r4 f$ B! [ E$ y: m9 l, e' aspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
1 u4 f% O3 J) q' vprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent2 s/ g* W( I+ e; t9 P" Q) a
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.* C. t9 |* X# `# R6 n% S q% X
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with9 U/ \# c8 m, J L$ G4 _5 n% E |
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more9 V/ o6 _7 t0 Y! W
balanced recovery.* d& p( A$ g. q1 @8 j
0 H7 I/ u; E6 P6 a/ _; ~8 G% _) BCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
: ?$ k; O! ~4 W4 ^* ithe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
/ b' L7 u" J1 Y7 Hsupply.
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8 u" A& l3 ?4 `; t( _In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
4 A3 m; o8 w( u# _to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
. w7 S& _" H' J1 v) [monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ' c% Q; K5 h3 T4 s
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.* b' L1 R- B& O- q* ]8 A( E
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary0 J% e1 d$ |2 ~; e8 l
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic$ v; f: a- V) r6 V- C
developments.& W- \ B; H- V1 b2 H- r: ~- V
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Information note:
6 e: F- _% a, @5 J7 ]The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update1 ^8 r4 u; X F' ]% Z9 V
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be- [! X8 N3 Q9 _( ?( r# D! o
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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