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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight7 t, U) j( a) {$ \8 ]! w J9 H
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
! y. b$ X! p# Vraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal: |: @) Z$ f! x' X
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.0 X9 B! e5 k! q
3 `8 J3 r9 g+ U: I* V; ]7 j* \, @ u4 gThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with4 S% ]8 s, y. [( l+ l6 Z
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the' U: j4 x! ^2 @& I
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
- f+ |/ @/ N M6 Z0 h5 uin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
& B+ c) G/ F& V4 r9 ]1 l% J2 PIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal7 W* y4 C7 U3 Y a) E
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the1 j4 v9 u( k0 m; g
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
2 q) ?+ c4 ^- i( E% T- iin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an7 Q8 J0 W* \: g1 i* s( `# Y
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the+ @4 d' ?, h' w4 R; f$ t
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity+ r' J& n/ k4 Y% J; g8 T/ i
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.( c" ]. Q& K8 P
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
7 B3 Z4 a4 g7 Win the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
# F9 P/ j3 H1 q: k7 T+ F. K1 q) DGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
* }- [' w4 D& L) N% K8 j) zincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
: L$ b6 Q6 c- ]3 x9 xbalanced recovery., R& G7 K8 F. L
( ?. E* @: e2 I' {% G. gCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects3 ^: { `5 n/ U5 \4 ]+ i" S
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
( h" u$ d/ l g$ M" }0 ~ m* lsupply.' M# D4 |( K9 t8 R
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and) l0 w I1 ?- n. D. `5 Z( d) k
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
1 \0 ^8 c9 J% P$ K( ~# cmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
; Y2 I. V1 s" q' ~) n, a; m6 Msignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.! }/ G3 h. n% Z
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary- s5 z( N# S% S8 V. k
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
, D# P+ Y) X7 F% ^' N$ B6 \0 q- d G. @developments.. ~- F$ u/ t1 i/ a& d9 R1 W7 @
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Information note:
# @. V9 B( m. p6 CThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update& n& `. r. ]/ b
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
1 z& v4 ?4 u* ?9 K$ z, a9 Kpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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