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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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% z0 x( T3 t& [, {+ @! NOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
& v. Q3 \. E3 L1 l! k" z/ srate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly8 H" T5 P5 }) \+ l7 o5 p
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
0 U7 Y. a0 I& s. M( }: uoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.# |+ a" l; `$ g2 K4 x+ e
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with8 H* V. a$ M( @. ?: O
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the0 F- z. l+ a( l" X6 z# E
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness9 g9 C) J) O; o
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.3 ~6 b$ x" ]% ?
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
/ T+ B; ]: E" N4 J: B5 Lstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
4 i6 w% S4 G" V7 k/ Dvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
# i6 y/ y. t2 R2 H4 ?in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
, z, P1 t6 {6 h! K! \# M2 H7 o# Pimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the: x, o1 C7 g# I; x! b
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity: h5 x; n& o: j' v& m4 e5 x
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.$ p3 a( t- W* f! |
6 R. g# ]1 w* D, e8 _# _Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
+ X2 s1 I7 K9 T! Ein the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
0 H5 Q; q* h: T ^Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with& S+ p) P9 i, Q, i% J/ E
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more T: | q3 r* h& O4 u
balanced recovery.. h# `) H3 r% W( K8 c% ]' `
% P/ \" t' q8 @CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
: ]' g. d, d* ythe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess @! R% B% b3 r
supply.8 Y: M9 d: q+ G1 a+ O0 @. B. F. P, I* `
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and) c6 K# H9 T% `, A
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 1 D# ^) {1 Z1 }. s8 p
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the * z+ U8 ^4 ?. T) I$ u7 g5 b) m9 m
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary' V Z$ ^' Y" q( z3 y6 {8 _9 O
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
" ^+ l# [; R& b! Q# kdevelopments.0 [# f- \* j/ w5 G ~) x
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Information note:
0 b9 o- \+ _) s2 @) J9 Z/ kThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update% F/ ~9 S& q. v" V) s
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
$ d1 R$ m2 _; d6 K3 o. Spublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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