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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight( }) i( n/ l+ B
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
9 n9 w2 b. D8 t/ P; i# d4 traised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal' M4 h5 R/ j/ d
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.& M3 _( d" x) N/ M2 ?2 x
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with d- n* _# k+ S Q! x
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
, \6 L3 B& g7 b* rUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness3 ~( x; _' a- {- w( U
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
/ X5 E8 t* e9 l5 P" O. {- x5 C5 YIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
e) y2 j: q. ostimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
" q# T" G: H+ n- U+ Ovariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
5 Q1 |. J" C6 u$ t3 sin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an, S3 @, [+ X' k4 G
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
$ k9 d* J% r9 D0 pspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity* P6 ?# g4 P" {' Q; _
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent4 m6 w4 o; G$ R) H1 c! D- B
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
3 |. y/ O+ D0 d' p" l2 yGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with5 k, r @! W3 @! t7 T% S
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
7 Q6 y; R# d7 F" K4 I# A; Tbalanced recovery.4 K( ?/ S q n$ J5 q
7 I. A! O }% W4 q4 m/ zCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
5 T* I# R* c4 v: E5 k, qthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
- i8 y% v* |& F/ _6 ~supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
8 N8 k- |9 }0 b5 O/ cto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
0 E4 P" ]5 w& J& z9 c6 Ymonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the + R8 ]9 u9 h1 y; e
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary" s+ C2 j5 z* M+ S/ F# N0 P. r3 j5 A
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
5 x: p: g; S5 u H0 y* Ddevelopments.0 Q* x9 b n3 v7 P" X
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Information note:0 y7 E4 b1 G1 z D% g' @
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update$ i$ D# ] k3 |; s3 d j$ |
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
+ N Q% `# O/ e( Q9 m$ Kpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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