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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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, M$ ]! g+ f! bOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight9 l' H- e- H: ]7 k
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly, F" D) G \& p. v7 A: k; b# C3 X
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
/ }2 ]; r7 G/ o7 V. |0 e' hoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with. q" }5 A: W4 ]0 n
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the7 E2 K% h0 f. {' t
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
4 t0 U, P& C, v) @8 _! f! w4 Gin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.6 P/ `+ i3 d. s1 |& ]
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
1 \' L7 P' ]+ m& L4 A0 pstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the( w ?3 V; n9 ]
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result7 _- W+ U. Q+ ~# v' n% o
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an* o/ V6 Q% A- p
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
6 V# R( c/ |' h- `1 D& ]1 I9 X2 Dspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity6 D }- W' i; k* C8 s
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.0 J, s5 E1 ?7 C: |8 p- S: N4 z
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
* x- ^. n9 k/ C+ Z' lin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
y! B+ Y2 H7 f3 |3 _Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with6 N4 O9 h7 w& B; o4 i! h
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more% f! X6 _+ }( {; e2 W
balanced recovery.
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+ P2 p: y# @. j' m! x2 G0 V9 \5 ZCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
/ c+ ~$ C! u# U: t* x$ qthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess- @" p: W- o& ]
supply.
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1 F" ~% X. m7 ]) jIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
k5 S. b0 \7 Cto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
. H, |! S- j0 J) ?1 c$ K. Tmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
* ^2 T: n2 `0 N) Fsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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# W: k9 ]' B% t+ R# @9 QGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary* ? m: @+ C& ^, { Y: @
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic& D+ C6 Q X( u8 p f* Z0 o
developments.- h' Z b% `1 o( ]$ j
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Information note:
' n% k9 z0 x+ } rThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
) K: Z" V$ P$ s, u& wof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
3 k6 R6 @- o- R! v/ Cpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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