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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market) c7 \1 \+ i) n6 ~* D/ P# u- A
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
" P+ c6 G, n; ?& }$ Q& p. r4 ~! Yrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
" a* F. q! P% R8 Vraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal$ i/ N9 v) S R8 n
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.2 c" o# s( j; }2 O' ^+ ~
. I/ d9 B. t7 y! H4 TThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
& s0 w7 S: w! H, P+ Ostrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
3 Y% | B y: I8 f! N1 ?, h0 pUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness# b5 w) b& `" k! {0 Z8 W% s' n
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
. v# h1 z# p" s1 R) c) M# eIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
; `9 O. r3 u# C; A0 ]5 Wstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
" G8 u) ?. v; L6 Lvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
2 o6 d. B+ ]8 N+ _) `2 o3 rin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an7 E I( j* \. r3 C L0 s
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the1 [2 {- ~# ~6 X1 G- }. c
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity2 u. u6 i; |9 o
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.: B) i: q. G2 g, a( C$ ^. a
/ C! l1 Q9 K; M/ o9 w- ]. sActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent `$ D! {5 V, x& b f
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
6 h9 M8 j7 M% k. h* }Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with- a* m; V4 R+ I' Z* i
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
) l5 Z% Z4 A$ h9 K' D/ g7 c2 x# Ibalanced recovery.
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5 E7 L3 R' |3 \! jCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects* ^% n v% }: L4 Q! |0 F
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess$ N+ a' t4 @$ W+ n0 }, v- y
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
9 `- E( n# W2 k8 G4 Sto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
0 D7 T$ d) P+ @monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
, d6 N6 u% A: |( u* E, |8 f+ Msignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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# t* H2 A' m" H' _Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
4 X* F7 q. Q( N6 ustimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
) f6 Q( N! X5 _$ u i0 ddevelopments.
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& I* ~; Y* u4 @Information note:
! x9 e- E I2 M9 C5 H9 p+ V8 WThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
' {5 {8 r$ N4 z6 Fof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be; ^% o w$ G( H' Q( G
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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