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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market' B8 ~3 c* N! A9 n
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight7 \8 f6 L/ p; k% B
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly% j# k# e- l2 L. N2 l m4 M: d
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal9 r" N8 F7 G/ S0 H
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.6 m( f8 H7 V2 N1 N# o& a
6 R+ U. p4 p+ d& z7 aThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
. K/ m* t+ e1 c sstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
4 ?# f8 D- ~/ LUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
$ k& a. e8 |; iin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.0 k0 c, w2 v6 Z X4 t/ O
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal9 b. [: |7 K) P) F/ u' d
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the+ Y8 B# L" `( ~) W' h0 v
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result3 K8 }/ c" o4 y4 b7 Y
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an; d( R* H0 H$ C, ^
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
* z" M9 c/ }% Z/ i4 Nspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
2 S1 Y! N- b. B- Y* D* {prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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# e' a% U! E7 l6 C3 UActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent/ o4 m# K' x* s6 U% M
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.8 y0 {' O% C+ y; G: v1 W
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
8 _- W W1 B5 V! sincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more% F( w6 C' ?4 f* T4 q" Y
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects$ e- j9 d+ N% E& Q2 b; |2 Y
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess# ]$ d7 v% R9 `4 G
supply.
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* c6 |: f/ o7 f6 HIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
' O: v0 J( d5 D* T4 Uto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
' I. B! Y: \9 n' h8 [5 m0 @monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 7 _. b1 ^8 N4 T" X; u7 R9 ?5 r- W
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary2 o: E0 f: s( ]" L" C
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
; E) } x' V" ^) w9 x$ H6 T1 qdevelopments.2 W9 Y& _3 f7 X1 T( G
0 I1 m0 p' `( d; A9 V' yInformation note:
4 `% \8 K# P5 @# a% l6 UThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
. m8 x$ `# U8 l+ q& X; e2 kof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be. G' z# R0 s2 z4 d1 H1 [$ @/ V K
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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