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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
6 ]/ s y f+ Y; g3 l& _) Mrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly) s( r0 l6 z* E/ g
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
3 w) R7 A& K7 |$ n8 u6 N1 ]' voperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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" c" j7 e+ P" N2 pThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
9 Y, E9 l+ ?6 b5 c" G- u, j4 zstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the- `) G7 s+ Y" s1 v2 [4 I
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
& k: X7 G$ W: q9 |; r0 vin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
L- U. Z! F7 q1 m* {( R3 q9 ]& u$ G. iIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal% U' K+ L/ D, N5 K, m6 T
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
. ~" N+ m, n; ]6 u% U% Jvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result) d _/ j* @$ s [
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
: b' L8 T( K) ~8 timportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
/ e, S/ Q/ h1 r wspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
J) n. {: j6 }prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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, Y6 {0 d9 C+ X" MActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent+ e+ x6 d# a" t& P$ A+ ]
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
. {. D. t/ E$ T' V- `Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
7 w' {1 n4 `# Z# R' ~income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
; l$ w2 z+ I5 q9 C! `0 {; Jbalanced recovery.
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0 S5 N& p& [. gCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
: }! t* m0 g$ B! l* x+ \1 zthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
: F6 V) w. U0 Q2 }* g9 v) V9 {- bsupply.0 |) |: q, L6 X$ C# u
+ u! ?, |9 O( B2 Z+ I* `! HIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and2 M' U B' w+ o3 d" j
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
N! L6 \. ^+ _' Mmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the " ?* x/ \. q5 `7 F+ i
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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$ E$ g8 k; X/ S/ m+ a* rGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
# k# |' |* v, d7 O. dstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
/ k9 s5 L: t k7 Hdevelopments.5 Y w: k4 n, L4 z) y$ \! Q
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Information note:
: l# J' [6 \, O* V& D" P7 N3 RThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update- V5 S" m! q1 [7 b9 W8 M+ A3 a4 h
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
2 ?" {* p/ c7 _- n6 Z0 ppublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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