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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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( F5 Z# p9 o$ c1 Y5 ?* F& s& b- DOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight9 F8 V) R! S0 U" t: s3 o3 A
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly2 U! ^3 ?5 c# }2 g. y7 M- v' R0 a
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal, y' r8 c' O' e9 C9 X/ \
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.; g% W* u0 {9 p, w4 R
% H' O) k# g( G9 zThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
5 M! r9 d2 ~ |; {4 x- a$ M8 \8 v X* ~strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the- G( o6 Y% s! h9 E" |
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
; r8 F! e6 o* w$ Z6 J! P9 T8 L. Ein Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.* Y3 R( v1 V& Y6 h5 D- o2 }$ u# J! w/ c7 h1 Q
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal6 |* s. i5 e, Q: G. a6 b7 B( c
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
/ m. x; z* B d( R2 V* N. p) Y% ]variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result6 A+ Z- _/ I& ~4 d+ E' N6 v' _ W
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
6 g! `/ u; J$ h5 R6 }2 I; X/ @important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the6 g. `+ z4 a; n4 e" a. i' N6 d
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
7 P* b0 k. x8 ]+ }% p4 H: Mprices and some tightening of financial conditions.: R0 I. Q$ I6 ?2 W( Q$ h1 x6 s
6 C% `! U, j2 M0 S$ }Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
" @& D* |- Z" ^, {in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
; i6 H, P1 S* O: hGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
0 m5 H/ q: R, o+ s2 Mincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more$ |! p2 c) W' F
balanced recovery.; ]. z; Q" X8 j1 j, ?
9 w( s" X+ g1 q% [5 V) Q: k+ R+ l" fCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects- W7 B' h M4 Y$ ^6 L; [
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess! y; U) q# j( e/ o
supply.
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; a* o& _7 D. }. {3 _, D& s( qIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and- ]. M( S. W- L5 g$ w2 V
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
" l6 i, Z/ q& [# w+ q* fmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
1 V y. R9 Z& M1 }& ^: P# h( Bsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.' Y0 I" T5 v; a8 U, c2 `1 C
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
0 F7 G5 W T6 estimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
3 e- t3 B8 O5 G/ J" _: B4 v7 e4 r+ udevelopments.
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Information note:( w( i$ n; V, ^$ R* W7 i0 d) j
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update. P9 |6 d" c7 r1 b# ~
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
( V/ J1 z% l, Y8 e0 epublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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