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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market1 W/ I/ q. c3 N/ ^3 k! K# h0 \
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight: h2 G0 [3 z- y4 z" Y: V
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
9 W( x7 A# @% Q- {' I4 J0 P m, yraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
& \( h3 k: H7 L, q* poperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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4 w7 Z7 M, v4 R7 S3 |" c! d' d2 xThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with& B' e' v. t' ~# D" h
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the/ x# C! E* [+ R/ X3 G7 e/ k
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
* d/ N l* `! |in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.3 r( y3 s/ d- |+ u9 z0 @3 X8 G2 ^
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal" y- F2 O6 y- [
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
! V' |2 R5 {6 t- |/ I+ M4 nvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result+ N/ b2 F9 f l4 z' _) F
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an \5 l/ s6 o9 z ^) g, n+ R: m. t' R
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
5 ^4 d) k- N Fspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
7 q" E" G: I* p0 s* Cprices and some tightening of financial conditions.% P$ r5 _- g. a- _+ _4 E% B
8 }# E& B6 r/ |$ TActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
1 g$ f4 q; I/ m* G5 {in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.* r( {; `& @7 r7 I: w) y$ ^9 q4 r
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with0 d0 Y6 q; B F" M
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
* P) o& v6 Y& J* z0 B7 O6 t2 gbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
" s1 }) j, G: F# I' k+ [the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
& D3 T2 ~/ O2 M6 r& ~supply.- ~0 t7 F6 @# t* _& X. n
5 k) n6 X* n/ G! s/ X* L5 j- [In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
5 Q& _3 t5 ^' \% mto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 8 S1 {( `1 a/ p' \5 @
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the / U" M$ y( ~, g* b6 G. l
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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; p9 V/ m+ @: S6 NGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
- v( |6 }5 \/ p8 t! }stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
/ M3 N! @7 c5 d+ l( r adevelopments." g' T [6 g ]$ V
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Information note:9 t) U' w! s- ^3 Y" D0 T
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
1 {% W2 @7 N7 j* [1 R6 g. r: g' ~% Hof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be0 C2 `# Z8 y* c' A; y2 M. r' q
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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