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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market% z) o& @7 ?: T/ i4 {; {2 A
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight, Q, u1 Q6 A4 j+ D" p
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly! X+ F" V. R, f* Y
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal2 ], U/ V3 \, s
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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' m" r/ X5 W y. I! Z% HThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with0 M8 l' N, Z4 R+ U# h2 @
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
8 C2 c1 P/ g9 M7 I N d1 `United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness( C5 ^ H3 @' Z/ R5 ] A
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.2 |) q% ?; i7 @" p( t) L D3 M
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
. G0 o8 r2 a; h1 t8 w1 q# A+ \stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the! c3 }3 f6 N4 f- I, Z: h8 j: j
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
0 ]9 i' X% f, g. \in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an& s# @2 L# w4 B+ @0 g! z
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
% c; n5 G }- e7 c. J7 V4 Qspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
+ d# K% m4 r( Z* E/ `prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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6 c A" Z% A$ F" J' D9 ]Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
+ s% T0 X0 ^0 R2 n' B' Rin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.. @% S/ E6 l9 e! ]3 d
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
1 K; t2 y2 i4 h; t9 v2 Iincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more' y2 U3 k- z( x$ L$ t
balanced recovery.1 ]4 b& E! ?/ O. s4 m
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
. Q9 S* G8 z1 V: ethe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
z4 R8 R1 N1 n+ Asupply.5 {7 k3 [8 T0 @. ~
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
( E h- F% {5 p7 N3 l4 h9 oto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
: ?" [1 X/ ^4 X$ R+ \monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
# s" n& W( u, E6 x7 S! S$ j: _significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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& J$ Q6 d# _9 a( H B! zGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary5 Q! h, z' V" U2 P( m
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic2 t% L! F* L; a1 @# X
developments.
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Information note:
6 m' G( _: q/ a0 x2 V" ?The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
7 K: h7 a" J. @$ ~0 G& v3 oof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be5 j1 |( b1 u" l( f8 U% @
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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