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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market. P/ D. u- ^, n4 V* Z" V! C! q, f
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight; Q# Z6 ^5 [5 [/ {7 p" J8 Y" }
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
2 ^" R- r& Z. T. d& C# Xraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal7 \% } X& O+ r& w7 K, \
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with" B# p1 G: m( j2 i. A. N0 a1 U; }
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the$ c6 B; n7 U' f7 h
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness. H' B% o8 f% x0 P# D. n( z' ?/ O" B/ U5 e
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.) o* F3 y/ q: R5 f- r
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
9 u$ a) ^7 w& b& e, q! B8 astimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the, S, O' v2 j- t2 q$ a4 P
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
* S$ m- A. S& g1 U; Y. g1 Z/ lin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
3 l) h9 s4 n {0 [% Jimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
4 x- H0 U, E% J0 G# K- N* P# Y& Kspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity% y* ^; Y1 @( ~8 S
prices and some tightening of financial conditions./ Y" U1 ^* g! z9 d
) Y9 }$ `1 X. l3 _! |. ~2 ?8 E6 HActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent4 D( U6 D4 y3 l5 I7 G
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.& h" F* X( \8 f- [" z3 ?6 }) R
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with- Q: n7 J# ]. @/ j" n. O, P
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more5 Q, y. {( ~# K2 H: J6 O' ^
balanced recovery.) r9 X, V& b" b- R
; f d& @+ A; @: N7 O1 X" ^CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects& y5 j/ |9 T, _; |# b
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess4 o, D' ~8 x9 S( u
supply.* K* w1 S$ ]3 r1 }0 G& Z3 R
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and* L% j* Z! a; w4 g5 j# n. n. y
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ! J+ v" ]# g7 g0 v
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the & E5 K8 `4 P/ q# y1 t6 i1 G0 Q
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.! v: \: r' ~: C8 K: V7 M) }# v
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary1 [+ S( T5 T. T( h1 U2 j$ s, ^
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
: e' Q' Q4 y2 m T; g$ x5 M' O* M2 h2 adevelopments.+ V& L+ E/ W& r- n! h5 i: r( y
+ Z' x1 ~' ?3 _8 l5 ?Information note:
9 D/ N& W- J$ N l( PThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update; c% N+ W& f4 W% w6 \
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be+ l- c3 j: p3 [; n3 M# b- v
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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