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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market4 }7 [( M3 m& L% ]" R3 I6 G
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
* B* t8 [, F* r }9 l3 {* `9 ^0 P6 }# H- brate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
V9 u4 F1 p( M& traised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
( Q4 l# m( g% n- poperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
9 s- b9 M; O! W
/ _# X4 W" {. g3 S6 mThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with3 @! C' {4 C) u* J
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
# Q4 u3 x- T; @, a' o$ |1 |United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness: e# b! q) l. I$ E ]* n
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.* F. E$ I c2 p- V" u7 g
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
& E& Q5 q/ q: i- Jstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the! N9 K+ o! u4 i. V9 {- ~
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
5 f) @ _+ o9 b+ a Rin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
/ e" S7 ~1 y0 k; w* Q8 I& Qimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
# q h& s. X4 hspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity5 E5 p8 b# [3 w9 `. D2 I: ?
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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1 i9 ]& z8 m! q7 @Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
$ ~1 f/ ^9 r7 N' V# q2 Hin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.! }, c. N9 n2 x; g( v
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
" O, ?, A0 T: I4 V$ n$ B) j/ ~5 sincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more9 E! x( S/ ?. G N
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
# ]4 y8 [' k6 |1 u& o* M9 R/ Rthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
# o _" R" Y" L, ksupply.3 f6 Z! V: A D( a+ u
2 n" M# W9 T% b: G0 L) WIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and6 g) x- l, l# T
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ; ^1 ~2 f( ^5 x, v2 l: [5 Y
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the & n% s2 N# B1 ]6 h0 ^
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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3 X1 t4 i: @/ W, }' b9 J2 ?# WGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary- i% C# {. a: Z
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
& k% ~% q, f7 u8 odevelopments.2 n, e7 _( ~* o% L2 ~
0 u( e4 N' X5 d4 M- yInformation note:
' D' G: K9 f$ h& h. _The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
8 _7 A4 u- L# u9 Q) v- sof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be$ _' r0 T& ^) p8 B
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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