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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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7 q0 h. [$ ^' T, R: o( g" cOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
i. o8 Y; e3 T; Z. Lrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
% c" e8 G" h' o9 yraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal2 J5 i' s0 O, c% m" r4 ~/ R8 E
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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+ s0 C6 U) d1 D8 H- G% y: Z* {The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
% W, }8 r' I$ w' p' v* o# ?strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the+ p2 G0 n/ m5 y9 b1 n6 b
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
) q8 q: ^- ~* u) o( `* L) m' ^in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
# o2 o" _' r$ F7 W# rIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
- q) {0 m$ G8 M% \' M0 vstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the& C" h: \1 z9 @
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
4 a- n3 ~0 s5 bin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an& N: r+ V& Y* H- M7 r0 r% E
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
( \% _ F( F! O0 S& ospillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
8 U! g1 k; M6 m+ e* D: _5 vprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent3 Z# x" Q3 @+ [( P9 O. w
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.- {' V2 V+ _4 t
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
( \2 N1 g2 z1 o8 Y( Wincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
- ~7 W' o" S9 ?7 qbalanced recovery., ~5 X) t- P; c! i% j1 i
& u; y% d4 R+ {& l# ~CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
& e- m3 B+ L% s J4 t9 P# D2 ?. Fthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
/ P" O& f9 o% bsupply.% ]! v7 t! n$ `) G8 u! \
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and; u0 J. z# n$ @& H2 ]) _ a
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable # }0 o9 J! V# U/ D+ O
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 4 P- M8 t$ _; `4 Q$ X3 w: A& a
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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/ }; \" X) v" a8 QGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
! C7 f/ J1 p2 \, N* G& S( B% Ustimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
S2 o- s1 q' i% C" F O5 P2 Ndevelopments.) v% y u- [/ e2 m4 r6 g
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Information note:7 b8 i! w# E2 {! ~
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
4 G# x* w* Q, e2 M5 i( v+ ` Rof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be7 u# q& H+ `9 J U+ X
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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