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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market& N* R6 u( B) i' }7 [+ [' P
& ^5 k" X' q3 |6 e& fOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight/ @. W2 c- z9 k) a J
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
/ r6 u& k& w9 l( [1 T. Z2 ~8 qraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
1 {6 s" u7 r, G+ ?" Eoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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8 n/ [) t. v/ ~( |* w, zThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with; `4 B+ }3 D3 N: G
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the0 g( [% B* L3 v. ~/ {, X* M$ x, m% r
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
. c5 V/ [% b& k, a2 u) S4 C) A- T" V" Ein Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.9 j8 g5 A% E; f- {& i- B9 V
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
7 L& j- R# f4 e0 {0 H5 ustimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
( s' e9 u: B) f6 v: `8 [# Nvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
# Q i E! Y" [3 [0 Win higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an- H# n! q7 G; B& `' e0 D6 ^
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
, R4 l& U {0 C$ e4 Dspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
) F" a8 t/ t Z( x1 ?4 xprices and some tightening of financial conditions.( W/ R8 e: W5 \/ O( ?% k6 a
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent5 g2 [5 R- l0 S4 G$ A$ I5 G
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.3 D9 H7 J- `: \8 V2 Y
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with1 B$ x! i% b2 D
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more$ s; {8 N$ S' N% T# ]; @4 [
balanced recovery.: Q) i' j8 r, V0 c) x( I
* L0 C# c* y- UCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
( F' l0 K6 z( a' \ S& D7 ]the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
- b) Q) z' c8 x) r. wsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and+ ]- Y- _% E# P0 i5 t6 s$ Z8 K
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
' O G* T9 A0 I9 G1 j+ `# [$ |monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
6 Q8 Q5 ^/ s) O5 _( K3 Ssignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
E1 O/ r$ X* H3 h5 Y1 J& ~* V# v( @8 ?! `stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic, x( ~+ b' o3 E! f2 a
developments.
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Information note:( _3 k% E! V2 E- s- p- S! D! F- Z* _
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
$ D8 S! R' s( I s, hof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
6 Z* J: K0 N/ U6 c3 n- E7 R6 vpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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