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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight1 l2 {% E, L- y( @" Q4 T
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly) M5 g5 {, `9 j% ?! K
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal+ c/ |1 S! u9 ~) A: T4 F4 s
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
; j8 }. i; F% w1 H! }strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the" V4 B6 }$ h+ }
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
) k$ Z% v0 @, B/ W! h* U1 H7 ain Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
( e# Z+ E$ s/ z0 _In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal0 C* _) A+ b& u" j, a' L
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
. ?7 a# V) `, i0 _; |* Qvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result) q# ~( N5 J' c( A" k
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
! U& P1 i m7 K6 |4 G. V+ h. Rimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
& m+ C. C% V% C* }! X8 G( uspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity2 }1 }8 C f# u5 H+ S8 |
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
7 z4 V6 P; Y1 J% f! z( d/ [" d- @in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.# E3 ?' f7 m. A: P) m3 e
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
* R( n, p+ I- Lincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
' D# \2 ~8 @* N# N; J' Tbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
8 ^. N! v% v. |# w/ N9 Mthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess& q- T: ?( x) n! k5 j) a
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and- Y, C! K5 y) {5 W
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 0 M/ e3 q. K* W
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 4 u* p, U3 m& |* i
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.0 W4 {% M" m$ ~3 `
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
p, t6 N0 ?9 \7 p! q: r0 v* Dstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic: q/ A( q7 g5 ?3 D2 {. K
developments.
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6 h" m+ B; y' j& eInformation note:) B r; N9 m7 ^0 l! H1 t& M
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update# }0 z; N. [! y* O
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
$ v# M; g& r9 D! u& Cpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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