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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market9 }0 L1 N8 F+ d& I2 N: F
0 A' @, @" w- \; `$ e* V- L8 S; ^OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight! C# D1 w) p; h6 ]# U4 H' l. i
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
N3 i. {' T5 C) _4 c) K- I8 {- z! _raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
: [/ U6 f1 b% s3 O% K* T6 U- Goperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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/ N8 y5 x1 Z; w" ]$ |: F) ~" EThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with: t: {& O4 z4 {. n! Y. @% t
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the2 J0 c: k2 O. t7 ^! ?
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
% ~9 b7 G! Y) {/ G. ain Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.+ A4 n: v- c9 A7 F$ I+ K
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal Q! b( R/ Y4 i% p$ l( r X
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the" q% ?9 ^, z) g
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
+ h: ~; m8 x8 V3 jin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an8 u/ Z2 A6 m5 @. c' y6 _2 k7 z5 R/ w
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
3 V I3 h$ H. G p# _spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
0 N. p) _; s( V5 h* A( K7 jprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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# z& B; p. @$ K$ p3 ~9 o; eActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent: r! U! X* _* ]1 d
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.- d* d4 H& O/ T9 b6 i% v ~
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with* \% o. i5 w* U5 O
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more, A; P# j6 }) M% F
balanced recovery.$ t* s( `$ F9 f. H) U+ ]- k. i
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
4 d5 ]/ |) r) p: A% Q- i' o: Athe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess' n- \* t; i+ C8 `+ @9 Q
supply.) q+ _8 ]- ~+ o8 d
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and9 n; p5 c# L7 ^8 A
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
5 _$ ~* t5 L+ x8 ymonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 4 K4 ~ j4 X- D( p2 ?: v
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary3 y9 U' Q3 |" }& k
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic1 X( R# z i. q' G& U8 C! G
developments.
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Information note:2 j/ y0 ^' k1 W1 K$ l
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
8 b4 p0 }. w8 }6 e$ Bof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
, B% `" o5 @5 s1 c' J2 T4 Opublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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