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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market+ [2 `4 [5 w( U
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight! T( w6 J) e/ }, I. G
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
2 i) y6 z0 K, G+ m- K+ {, Qraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
$ `. d4 }8 C: u$ Y& Z3 r+ I3 n" Toperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.) o1 o, j# j a! z f
8 O7 ?4 Y0 d# s/ e' K2 bThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with7 T/ o" Z9 p: V/ d
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
! ^" V$ F |8 U+ _United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness/ g$ o/ C- r5 o. P6 Y
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
5 Q8 F3 `0 M. G/ A- J3 @$ J2 PIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal$ G7 ?- T$ s! O6 Q* o3 w1 D5 i9 B
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
8 z6 \$ y- r! ~- U! hvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
2 u7 }( K; o/ a- Xin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an5 _/ V/ b/ L4 S2 k6 f
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
; t7 B1 n6 b9 r" d; c' Z e7 _$ v0 Lspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity" K1 `' N( \% j1 a6 Z0 o8 |
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.+ _! V$ Q$ o- N: `; M! D: N) T( o: J
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent) p4 b- W' R& p+ J5 `8 N
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.% |" G2 i; U: l' i
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with' b* H" B. l# p
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
$ o4 j& B. W; @* O) v; rbalanced recovery.
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" o& ]6 S/ {8 v0 ]) l2 x% LCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
2 ^% ?" p9 I+ c" l& Zthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess) ~* R& w2 E3 f0 L6 o2 z
supply." f- D1 y' ^" S
$ E4 F+ y& k) _9 a( Y4 ZIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and8 g* h3 z. a( p9 C0 u
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
, k0 z1 w$ u: Jmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
' d' J" d0 Y' K; }# Psignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.( n! R' `$ h; ~ n; F- t; A
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
) \+ ]+ t. v7 Ystimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
C' \2 s6 r0 a) ~' Pdevelopments.
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5 K! Z: }8 Y& N2 R V8 Y7 W) q1 lInformation note:+ S/ M6 ^3 y8 T1 {$ a8 O' \% r
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update1 j' n ~* J3 k# z" n
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be2 H- z) P' ~! O7 v2 ]- d
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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