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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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' m4 g8 W# j2 j1 B8 cOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
" r! `: v8 m0 `3 b7 Lrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
, y& D- \6 s6 D& L2 ~raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal/ a1 F4 j/ Y, u
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
0 P; |# D5 L7 c3 @0 pstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the6 M( l. \: m% p2 r3 v, O
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
$ X8 m7 @2 m- n9 R' l3 Sin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.# I- m. F* g0 }
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
6 n) n# v8 N7 R1 x* M' Gstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the0 I! j$ M) [, R& `1 V* H/ }
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
2 J1 G1 m: ]8 [8 I$ J3 Q+ L+ din higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an! i, P8 d1 t- _0 j; f
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
1 l4 \' [3 z0 }5 gspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
* J3 l9 I0 g: a, C! W; Oprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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8 k9 u" b4 ^) x0 [) C" k* rActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent% e$ ]9 z% O: G
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
/ H" K: Q( [0 S U' R( O! g* OGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with2 D/ X0 Y5 p0 b2 o* G9 P
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more6 ^7 L9 C+ w$ D$ t% ]) K2 ^
balanced recovery.0 ?7 S" f- E& o( S0 g
- Z% n) d( G) M' oCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects4 E( z2 v; ~9 i
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
# l5 Z. y' ?. {: v2 J& C+ C( Hsupply.- r+ J" O. ~2 a) k0 ~, W
2 ?+ v8 h- L9 g( N% {1 jIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
; Q! I6 p% L; f3 @7 fto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
4 o' B4 [& w. K1 n, P! Vmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
2 n. g9 I& T, k7 lsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.5 m% O1 G1 Z5 H1 m8 |
; n9 m# v- L1 O; U& y: w9 y& YGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary I* @- }" H2 ~1 @* t
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
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Information note:
# X4 @( L% h8 \: b7 \- t+ B+ i% MThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
% R) k4 {' l% X% ]of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
, Q* r& E) `: Z7 n% e+ W9 H+ t( dpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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