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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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0 V) [- J' U& y( x2 `8 X/ UOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
5 n% _1 t. c$ qrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly5 m2 b& {: C; n" _" a2 _+ I
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
" e l! L2 K! Q- uoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.7 c! p& M+ r* T, A; R) h8 I
9 L% }$ q7 W1 C6 \- kThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
. X3 [& W5 h; C5 |- S% u: ?strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
# K# j3 c3 A0 V0 f- ^% o- q+ B; RUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness' Y6 i1 D; j7 f
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
7 z N6 X2 }8 VIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
- y* w$ i9 H, a1 k3 b6 T! |stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the; G8 a6 r i+ I
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
9 y$ C: ^1 C" ]: ]+ k" Rin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
. P' k" g4 y" ]6 E" Zimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the) _. j1 x: J, n: Y1 Q& K4 p
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
. m' A3 N4 [2 z1 p0 V6 H' [4 _prices and some tightening of financial conditions.4 Z( F m% w1 r& A. e
" B; A3 G6 V6 b& J) E; bActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent/ M& b! }% B" d& J( t9 x* s
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
' Q. _" m7 r0 d! B* vGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
: s7 q8 h$ K! K+ cincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
( A# `1 J2 G4 N# f9 cbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects. Q8 J, M3 k+ r
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess1 U l7 d) S, I7 q0 d: f
supply.: D/ x- W. e; P% o! o
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and# j, U$ P/ r! M; `' e
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 5 T% k1 n6 y. w! V6 S
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 0 {1 m* G, f }1 R
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.) n1 q6 e$ z. r7 W) ?) U
( a! f% u$ @! Z5 `) j RGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary' \0 a( a4 k& K3 z
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic" q8 y O) u% {' H
developments.
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Information note:
f2 C) g0 G5 q7 P `The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
% L0 q+ z$ S- Y* X: k$ k2 Rof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be T: a0 b- h4 t
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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