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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight& U6 F" P0 B% E6 C3 ~9 s0 L+ ^
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly( G! t f* X' D8 o6 j
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
/ T2 N5 _5 |' i7 w6 noperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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. H( O* _" u, c* G& dThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
% K3 u6 n# C6 }strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
5 M& H% F" o) l& Z `) Z5 @7 k, NUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness" e x# L9 |5 E
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
9 j9 e' Q" ?. S* I4 WIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
. L, U7 g3 a3 k/ f0 E* Hstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the! U$ O+ T! m( g4 X0 U# G% v! Z5 x/ r
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
/ ]' E0 }3 g: w1 F$ W; x+ sin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
5 h. U- f. o' N9 n4 uimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the# B4 ]& ^( ]0 Q% E
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity3 X/ q; P) G R' V9 y
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.- ?# [3 ]8 D: ]$ \
. C% P! N2 b: _' G# g: N* JActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
j8 s) Z0 \+ b" y0 g/ Nin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
7 M! s' E+ P( }$ ^( b) I# u) y8 GGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with: F6 m, D* y% [- P0 l$ W* k6 ]
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more& |. e* s6 q& r8 Q: `
balanced recovery.: v) T6 ?4 x9 a2 p
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects0 U# B2 Q _' }3 {2 m8 C
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess2 c$ i3 I3 R- w
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and5 J! B% {0 l9 V& w
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 3 s' M& v! u/ H- Q$ w
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the , I5 q# o' m+ `
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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6 V4 B1 j2 [2 L/ ?- t( g# P( V) ]$ tGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
6 j" }. S. B$ y" f1 bstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
2 y: y9 J- O: `# ]developments.0 X- m: ` |& b% y; _/ r9 W
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Information note:* y1 Y$ ]2 u) a; g7 V% W
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update- P7 R* o2 b$ T( x) J) q
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
' E2 X' t4 V" U# |( [published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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