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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market& B+ G: U7 H9 ?& v
- P% \9 A. U1 }5 L. o7 a: s+ i' gOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
5 @2 D# L! }# `3 c; E! S Yrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
' B' b- U- h; k# O1 ?9 Araised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
0 @% f* I5 K; ?& S; }) C qoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with g9 _3 o! \. M) m
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the6 B& O) v2 P' B1 w
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness3 J1 O! q1 [0 [. c8 @8 z# F+ w
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.1 H4 `8 B0 R) X# j( K
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
5 Q5 d5 |; {9 ostimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the7 h+ k) X( N) z( J* K) z) t
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
4 @5 A. p9 u0 N, u$ Z% ain higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an3 I0 p% D C' ^% H2 ?* V$ s
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the9 P g) B$ [4 F& B5 B! s. e
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity$ M: s/ F; S7 i& b. t- X$ t: K
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent. q1 t) v* s0 q$ B
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.+ V/ i: W) l0 y* a1 e+ d
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with* k7 D2 I- b, b1 B$ Q
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more7 s4 ]& Q* b1 c' w
balanced recovery.: K Y; M+ }8 P% B4 `
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
8 A* f) ~7 X5 z8 D5 r, i5 V& e6 Othe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess8 c0 N' B7 Q7 Q( U7 |% l& H6 u1 U
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and; K& p5 f9 O+ y: a6 `8 W
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable % `9 R% g. B7 h/ F: a
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
. p& [1 s1 X: S/ Bsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary( A; s; O/ A; _! Y( R9 x
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic6 t7 \+ ~9 ]+ E3 K, i
developments.
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Information note:# U l4 r8 R; l( W! ~
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update9 z& Q) x: B$ h2 m- I# i
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
8 e+ S1 W5 @, J* G2 [! a1 \# Ipublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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