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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight* H3 Y& ^7 s" |7 V& q0 i, H
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly. }- T7 ^/ m" M
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal* ?5 Z1 Q! o: d6 K" t% c1 ~
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.0 x9 ~- {) S! e' T4 c
$ {" d; Y! n- D" [7 t4 m, c/ l. M& PThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with; n- J8 _. f7 O& J: s Z
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
5 L! @0 l* H! ]United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
/ h4 Z$ W5 r# ~1 E; C9 cin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized." L+ p! J9 Y. K& x
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal, Z! Z, w6 |( _0 D# d, H" k
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
1 X$ R1 n. {, r# U; Cvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
- N; X: X; z- u" j4 uin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an1 n* b. W$ w% ?# B) I* P; W3 |
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the7 X0 R; T& a9 U& L; |) L" X7 K
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
% f0 |4 W* T7 rprices and some tightening of financial conditions.. K) t, Z. P y$ T4 ?
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
7 s: ^ Y( P2 Q! r1 kin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.8 g3 D' c% I! T2 W6 `3 R1 G
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with( @$ T) K! J3 k. n) D; O
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
7 A# h5 s0 Z2 I7 A: b0 rbalanced recovery.
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9 z' ]5 j# d; b+ r% ^CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
$ P9 r: [5 M+ ?* Uthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess: ?1 w- r4 q% T
supply.2 O. @3 m3 W1 f0 O
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and2 W% s7 W7 v# S2 A
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
& Z5 v+ D0 p% Y1 W1 E. _monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
) ? \3 ]. X9 k" Gsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.2 |5 y# X1 E# c( m ^! a, u U
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary$ V; B3 F: O9 }' E* s1 g: i' f
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic8 A' f' T: D& g4 y4 Y9 Z+ @' C
developments.
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5 u% o/ L) L# t: W. J3 \ hInformation note:8 s W% w U3 h. J8 a& }9 Y# @$ ^
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update |/ k c, F# ]# L- Q0 y; s# L
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be* n3 n8 M4 x: h4 g# E
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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