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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market" V" _$ X4 m- h- r. ?% P% z
- ?8 D# I: C9 F3 U6 dOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight+ P/ w+ y7 d5 Y& B9 j
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly6 }/ z e. E( o+ i9 Q
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal5 z1 N& t) z- f. d' W
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.+ F. z+ n7 }( |0 {
+ q$ [, b- N Z) N0 i9 ~: E
The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with! f' N! y2 e: x* Q+ y. D8 u
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the* L' l. Q% a0 {; p/ c
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
% s% O" `9 v* o4 n5 X! Z# |+ @( M8 zin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.9 h# O7 s7 z1 [! ~. ^
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal, I, K% G2 n; u8 y/ g0 o1 G7 u& A! B
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
$ h5 V# v9 T, p! y+ Ivariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result( v# C1 I9 I1 M: `& l4 v
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an% A7 x R9 D/ T/ p) N: \
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
, n( D5 h% I3 R6 kspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity0 {2 d5 x3 X/ r
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.; m4 [" Z( M: C* E" e% t
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
, k1 }8 C5 Q! b6 w: l8 Sin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.( K4 \0 z; u: ~+ y2 {
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with* T2 F9 z$ c Z- H0 T
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more. l# a8 h5 Y, e
balanced recovery., c$ Q. D* }7 I; L, \
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
5 X3 g) `3 X2 a! |4 Tthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
; ~2 u+ z2 t* D1 F) H; T0 xsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
/ f- _4 v8 F# Pto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
O. A5 V1 o. \, L/ O$ g; W+ ymonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 2 i9 g1 O7 h+ I0 {% q4 d( J+ \
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.7 J. u1 ?. D5 L3 T0 @1 N
( J! g$ D( i2 B1 Q( l. {Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary6 m3 b/ O, C6 i/ W+ Z6 e7 f4 k" B
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic' V5 K3 H5 r% k. ~+ ~: n
developments.
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Information note:
9 e- w4 Q, B; G3 T$ zThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update8 R" j$ \. k! b& N- e' O
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be! t1 {; n _. V% \% T- @
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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