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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market3 g' s* j `, K
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
8 t2 M, O8 q9 m. ~% ~1 H2 k8 drate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly' J/ }- \2 w8 p0 E2 h. Q [' G
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
5 m' r% w3 ^/ ?: E* hoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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7 ~1 e: K, e! h! p% eThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with. j% q5 u1 q2 F9 d1 X1 g9 _# [
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the' d0 r. f/ j- S( s1 E) c2 p) ?0 ~! |/ ~
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
$ v$ D! e+ A/ q: S5 O5 rin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.! e, P# ^* }5 \- A( c# A
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
! I- R- `; ~7 P' V3 Z7 {- Sstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the* x6 }& `- m; U3 y. A& a
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result, u& d9 r! ]7 F$ Z" A
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
/ Q* T0 h5 \% q5 `% aimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
% }8 h2 B4 F$ A; A! G3 Tspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
; J, q! L5 z, p, _/ V6 y2 Fprices and some tightening of financial conditions./ h5 h# K7 ?& P
, S) P/ j3 i' B6 b' B7 }! e+ zActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
7 M. X2 @/ [: \7 T7 \ C+ k2 xin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
! M3 `: K: @9 ~( G oGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with2 _3 j/ l9 q& I% A
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more. j3 _; @# e- |6 w
balanced recovery.8 s, N! K" J6 X2 N/ g9 @+ s
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
d8 P- o6 @, f* Z8 s9 `3 A2 a8 Ithe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess1 f2 r, ~ `9 P( R4 ^
supply.
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0 D- `, G" j. M' KIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
% T: m" M4 I5 B! F$ t- dto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
4 i7 u5 [% Y3 ?& x/ q6 j, umonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the / E( Z( n/ u4 h S. ^
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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# }; ^+ L3 }! C- A( eGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary6 ~" K: _* ~. j0 A4 U
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
& I( y9 H& l' ~5 z, b8 Vdevelopments.
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0 T( ]8 R& [2 w- [Information note:
- B3 v2 A! h; m9 KThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update+ y( u- _% q" }
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
/ }. W6 z5 B6 C0 w* Q! j* Kpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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