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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market p0 r9 q9 w2 @' A. q
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
; u% } z: s/ {+ q4 k3 ~rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly' _ Q: v8 J: r1 q4 p
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal+ z% o0 G! }7 v; `+ J( a. K
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
; E8 Z5 t1 B$ _' u3 v- [( D- D" `: K7 j: w F
The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with! g/ E' e* a- g1 y' t8 W: T
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the* r7 O `/ k& r' M1 a: r
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
7 S' ^; X4 w$ Y' oin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
6 B/ ]+ O5 l& b; BIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal; @$ R2 G3 A8 b; r
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the# C) K! o3 H' c- @, C$ H F* \
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
5 c# a; l( f$ _, win higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
) f% U9 b' m( |! q, ?important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the3 B6 @( C" P% x( j
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
. V) H$ F6 `: r! u' Sprices and some tightening of financial conditions., l6 s3 M! V) L; t( e' n
/ ?7 x/ Y- l; N) D3 Q% n+ }Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
- @. S$ M6 I9 S4 Q( K/ i# nin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.7 f# s8 g; W# C3 u
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with1 N1 o2 k* S' [. H
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more6 i! x; O, W6 V7 G7 o
balanced recovery.1 S/ S- e. J" |7 F. `
$ y- V* d6 [4 I U% `2 zCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects9 Q- y, |. x% Y4 t" t* k8 A
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
2 `* k- W6 R8 P$ m9 M( xsupply., f# H' l5 ^) s
' N) \ O6 c c& C! S, sIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
* `6 @+ k) \! h! q4 `" s ^to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
) i2 x& g4 z8 jmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
! s+ [8 Q. _- L+ Z, ^significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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2 L8 O; P3 \$ z; k) g" IGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
$ u+ H- I2 K6 l1 h; astimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic9 `3 S1 r: \* n: O+ A2 L# L
developments.; n' t, x2 `. }; E4 i' J9 g
- e- } }2 B6 u( M* ?' SInformation note:
n. f9 q8 f1 B4 \1 AThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
$ u6 L" \/ m: ^" ]( }of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be5 J4 u' |( r: E4 {7 d" F$ o M" b
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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