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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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0 O7 Q: i6 r( HOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight% Z- [: m- O" m" L! {& K) ~" W
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly5 v% X9 y& p0 u2 a7 m
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
/ x! Y5 a6 ]( h$ o& [0 R! s& Y0 H% c8 Uoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with) X% M' h8 O% b# W4 W3 F
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
5 q0 e) V0 S% d8 {' t; q' K {United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness$ m8 Y$ W2 r9 U6 y
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
) _% Q: X3 X1 V8 t C; s6 i' GIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal% `1 Z' ?% [- L$ P3 G; J: J# ^3 x
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
3 H# v7 p4 [' E; Rvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
* J5 B1 I" Y% @+ U" uin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an' B' q4 _* w& t. }/ t
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the7 y% c( T @/ K1 s& y+ A
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity8 T) b7 D: N: A) L# \* X' K
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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! C, G0 l" i& {6 c" p C# v. b; bActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
& r" X; H- h+ n4 W* Yin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
" K5 l, w: M9 v. i2 E u! UGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with% F( i8 D$ O3 G- b1 x9 g
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
6 f1 G' @2 K" P+ R& A5 vbalanced recovery.1 p! B) |6 |* d# D) M8 }2 K
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects% m$ N4 F& z5 c" h1 C7 M8 r
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
) Q1 E' B# t$ X: |& G+ Psupply.
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8 ]4 L) }- q! C E+ y4 RIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
0 u, l; ~# c' I5 tto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 1 c3 u" W6 L, i3 F& r5 l0 k7 c
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ) D, k3 p% }5 Y5 v; k
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.1 e5 c2 x b) s
! \( l7 W* W: D7 TGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
F! | a- |6 v# F7 W1 X: {stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
4 h# A7 ^) R' N8 C) e" Wdevelopments.
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Information note:+ a1 `8 _$ K) [3 a! {* W8 d0 \- I: H
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update3 P6 F* \0 X) d# t, s+ e
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
8 @6 q6 `1 S' U; u* |! Vpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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