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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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: n6 T9 b6 K& Q/ R" e0 z) cOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight4 A' p3 @$ l6 A: b
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly9 s! A6 h- K/ m7 p& a# D
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
5 _7 b X) K& F, v6 i+ zoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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; D: A/ k5 K" Q" `The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with& b, Z5 m$ Y8 c$ J
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
1 ^8 G* u8 Y2 \* jUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness" K. |' I( `; v" C
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
\, Z9 {% l/ h3 QIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal# u6 N, O1 o6 M, O- M3 [! K5 L
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
, y- y& n0 L2 p' g5 Uvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result, V; ^+ j. D. h! F( @+ q% }: v
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
* G4 A- H; V9 Y& A- e$ ?important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
, k2 Q& R( z1 k9 `# _* W+ zspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity$ F! | L X4 y8 N" X* d8 x
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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8 ~( |0 x4 w4 X% c$ z$ cActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent6 a6 x, t0 y. |& K3 _
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
) o2 {% p+ ~" A! t3 o: n* w0 H" [( OGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with* N l. \5 W3 J6 ]9 c
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
9 x6 w' r7 c9 Ubalanced recovery.1 o$ `- g2 w( F/ v9 }8 L* Q2 X
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
8 U$ H+ v5 ^# `9 M, ?3 rthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess6 y. y$ ^5 ]' ]3 V. {7 |
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and8 G4 {; H% _7 E6 z' t7 D
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable , P Y( t3 N7 j4 \6 O$ t G; f
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
+ r8 d$ R4 W; q# B- a' tsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary* d" n, |% d6 Z; r- N9 E1 p
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
# g3 j7 J, I5 _$ x( T7 y _; L& ] V; Ydevelopments.* J' `7 q/ w, |+ s/ }
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Information note:
5 l$ P& X2 b$ [ G, \7 r {: iThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
3 Z+ G, v& ]* p2 n# Z$ jof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be" k) v$ |) K& v8 x9 O
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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