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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market* T- A: F; ^6 g+ l7 W( x
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight8 d, s; D/ u2 {
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly2 E! r" s7 Y6 o, U
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal y2 q* K- p! e* |. k
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
, W2 o) b! _1 G$ M q7 W7 I% ystrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
" t) |8 \- Q+ M0 M$ d. \- kUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness! M V% v7 V- h# |0 m
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
4 s! S. R8 e& G0 i5 QIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal4 q# c& c' V$ W& g
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
3 s8 n" V" |) i8 y' Bvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result1 m% |- y* `( c4 \
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an c$ b2 e: s' N! n8 W6 S
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
; ^" s5 u+ K$ M8 h2 }' ?! aspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
w J$ j, q& E$ r4 Z0 ^0 wprices and some tightening of financial conditions.% b1 z/ I; G; E0 Y
) D6 ~, b9 ]/ \2 O$ \Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent; y5 ^, Z1 E$ A/ g- ~6 {6 _6 m
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.. `) s& h- b$ S3 E
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with S2 i0 y1 x4 J# v6 \* b
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more+ V2 B! z6 U6 u
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
6 N8 W, P' x K" ?! P& bthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
- D4 h! M& j) d8 x8 f- Zsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
& G/ V' G, K1 b4 i* Nto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
( ~4 n/ c. b( p+ W! V: j; V3 ]monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the % F3 R+ f1 y% u+ o" H
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.6 V- R# F3 a5 P$ P5 Y. q# O
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
- Z6 A' Y% B9 ~6 s" c+ _stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
& i b( \5 N6 S. D" ]developments.
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Information note:3 H$ N0 d/ s& _7 V3 `
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update* P' k. |- p% X6 k% Y# X
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be5 M1 Y/ s2 P x6 C8 K1 M3 m
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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