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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight& ]! S1 c2 c7 S i' s7 c
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
6 b j+ A& j: J, n yraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal) A. V8 u2 v# m: K% P! L' f
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with) n' G, I7 y/ R! o7 T$ i
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the N% k$ V4 Y3 L9 } ?/ f
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
; O7 G1 v$ ?, V; V3 p5 T, S' Ein Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
; C- y5 h( F5 t9 A* O- W4 wIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal: W$ ~: X5 _( D2 Q1 d3 ~
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the" R; O( w" s5 M4 ~
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
! O' g& x* U. r) B5 X0 T9 Gin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
: p" `' f+ {' k; wimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the1 p! B* e( B$ w3 f
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity1 M; }3 T* g( Y, S
prices and some tightening of financial conditions./ h! C3 t& D8 E# Y
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
2 K2 ~1 \. X, u Kin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.5 m6 U% n& d8 k, ?, P4 i9 o
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with' |8 W& e( w; C- g8 f6 M o
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
7 E( N0 @% p+ \) n: H+ zbalanced recovery.. t6 P/ K9 W6 ^. c4 H' S' H# @5 D2 }
2 c1 G$ Y* L0 ?; h, VCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
9 S) }5 J' ^& e; qthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess% J0 e. U; T% x# j4 f* I- D
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and" g/ I! `4 Q6 E- D
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
5 O4 g5 B8 }7 ~. \monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 1 r' e+ H" k8 Q! R5 T$ y
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.$ [9 v( [; M7 \+ i2 L9 `4 Y
- A g) H9 l1 kGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
5 b+ n) `! e. p' Kstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic6 s; `! }4 m( `& w
developments.
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Information note:5 E) e! y5 g2 O1 d* `" E, t7 a
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update* o/ Q* ?. x6 C0 e
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
7 r' l) y7 [9 m9 q' w& Z f5 Y1 g( Mpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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