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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
" y+ F! N/ m: R yrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
; U/ g1 i8 z) g* |raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal* F, U$ E/ S% x% s; k! O- s; M2 `
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.* m! g0 {, g3 u9 W( P5 X% U k
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
, c- p4 `* \0 d) H3 @# d- v% zstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the1 l5 T( O6 ]- k
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
& ?0 L; @+ V: F: x6 S* N k; J% fin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
\2 a H$ C9 HIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
- h2 Q1 I6 e- y; f! {5 O9 ?1 Fstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the. @0 n/ f5 c1 A X! \
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
" O) C0 r. S1 t( w5 T$ f4 cin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
3 v* O8 o8 E6 k; bimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the* N5 T Y5 n0 h/ N
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity/ @4 _/ T; u/ F$ M5 q
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.9 t+ M, e: }' R* w" j
8 x0 g. k1 O9 l) C' MActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent; b c( h" \% p! P. n' h V
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.' k' s" X* o7 B0 |
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with0 k1 }- S% L% S) y9 M
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more0 J1 ]: I. ^% A1 c
balanced recovery.2 Y& X* p) F* {, c- Z' V( _
- r) W7 |) D; j* \* `$ f7 K. PCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects9 v+ Y- ]* _6 D- O# L
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
: j1 }+ n! g* o3 P2 d) vsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
1 h2 H: S) n# }, C& b" cto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ! D. P2 P2 Y0 \ D$ m1 h% O) s$ P
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ( Y' x$ d0 x n0 K0 {* x8 V5 d! x
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.: W/ |2 i3 ~6 s, a ^. r: a& k! C1 @
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary$ ^* Q9 \6 \" W6 B; B r
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic. @* d; s3 F* d, i* L9 B D: d/ H
developments.: j& U; O0 B( q' `! m( Q! P
; D; }+ J* u- L/ |/ F# ]7 r! SInformation note:
2 }6 i" D* |, fThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
: W+ G. n) \! y" C5 x, D7 j" m& Rof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be7 L- C1 K B7 X
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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