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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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( @9 j" R0 ~9 oOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
( L2 F2 V6 L) o+ ~4 x3 U Wrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly4 t5 A% Q3 H" A6 \6 g; ?$ V
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal; L* C2 s' ] r5 p. e2 X
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.+ u1 M& z) e, s
5 j: h1 Q+ c4 ]The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
1 O; a4 ~0 U: b) b E" T# ystrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the% y( w; y4 [8 W% a) g2 z
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
0 h) a* {+ A/ b3 O! c" H; ^in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
5 p" {: z* w# T) Z2 iIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
! k5 B1 c# y, B2 E& F# Fstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
& D4 h4 F `$ Z; j2 {7 ivariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result2 L. H1 J! T2 s6 u& U j
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an) Z2 a, F" f8 o# C' d# t$ C
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
3 X) n. T" r2 d1 f, j1 vspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
% @8 m& f! E, B. C* O0 Yprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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' q% x J5 N) D% S8 @2 fActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
& W& Y4 l+ H: U3 }8 s% U6 Y0 Sin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
l1 w1 ?# p. ^9 \6 o0 k4 i9 c9 JGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
$ G, ] N% v3 J/ \( b8 T. |9 Fincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more ^+ A' t4 F! G
balanced recovery.9 P. T8 e6 S& ?# M. E1 H
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects2 g" X+ Y- \9 ?/ Y+ K8 |
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess& O+ J: R% h8 h2 e: }1 H
supply.4 R( S1 l; ?1 \* U) H1 W& z: k) V
# o5 s0 l, v2 e% w. T6 oIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
* \9 q! v% h/ i9 E( lto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 8 \1 \0 ~6 D1 P9 Z! |) t1 s) R3 V, u
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
9 a# _5 _$ ?+ j- Lsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.: A8 K" ?6 R' N
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
1 W2 o. r' N0 S: H8 }5 pstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic5 t, v6 Y& Y: @. @
developments.: n/ ], c! } q$ k3 D
3 @/ J4 e: Y4 p$ a! R- UInformation note:6 f; U1 b8 o# E: q" e
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update8 v+ l0 e ~2 {) c: a: R
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be: \8 r/ C4 m4 p/ s& \7 R i
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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