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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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0 ]! V3 [; f5 E+ X" T' eOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
! ]- z& i: Y# X# d- ~4 Urate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
: w; a7 v4 Q8 xraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
" U H' G/ \3 V; P |- C/ e/ T( S1 Loperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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* x7 r0 P2 V/ i3 f9 gThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with' f1 c3 s, \2 _# a1 I
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
* j E5 s3 Q( A$ D X# ]United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
/ Z: s% C. u: T! din Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
+ M+ v; v( P& Q/ h- m: F6 kIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal" ?( r, B# C# |, J, \
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
9 l9 E" W o( E9 [2 xvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result6 p# V- w# o" ]# u e- c- T
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
4 `# W3 c+ U: Q+ r4 k; Fimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
, z6 L+ y" R. }8 x/ j8 s* B- ^/ wspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
/ L; J6 ]* \$ Y% y: {$ \& F' U" Kprices and some tightening of financial conditions.. }1 u6 b. z" A6 `
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent5 m8 B8 P# O, Q7 X) J j# N
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.& W; U9 s; o$ ]& U5 b. R* D
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
7 {3 f6 i. x3 p2 n: I; I3 aincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
: B/ C* ~. W5 {8 d: R1 K3 Vbalanced recovery.
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O" \+ I, U- yCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects/ [+ _( z B8 w7 H( [" P$ u7 D
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess/ [* b. o( D }7 {
supply.4 ?- G9 g& n3 ~' r+ d
9 f( v9 E; G: `; `0 {$ E4 vIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and" _& |3 a; M7 \7 Q( S& N
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
8 ]! _3 }- o! |4 d. Pmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the : S+ k' d+ R/ w, U
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.5 t9 @+ }6 I2 Z3 ?/ Q; J2 _
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
$ s' _; U+ V) V) O* G3 ustimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic* ?8 z+ u1 y+ ]3 U# ]# ^& F9 n7 [+ c
developments.- P3 i7 {* ~6 k! }7 N
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Information note:
& c% S; O) V7 \+ l, H# A3 E0 a4 SThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update, g ^/ \7 B4 \* w1 E
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
) i3 y+ u4 M4 |2 tpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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