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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
, K0 l7 u% e3 j( g/ o. q0 }rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly( f* ~) P. p# M0 R
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal7 P' h9 R- U! K9 F" K% p- [8 V$ Y
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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8 y2 W7 C* p# t& f0 R7 \( p# ]' e7 ^The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with9 p# G4 x4 s1 W Z5 F
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the; ^6 d. J- x# i4 `& M0 g: I1 O
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness; c m8 N0 U5 ^: O
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
( S" Q4 @* o+ x7 L; v3 HIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal) | G2 Q2 z: P/ u
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the, I. g1 ~5 g- P$ I( N
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
p, x, g" `9 Z5 Pin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an& |1 a% v G, s& k6 l6 a4 k0 ^
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
+ l" i% |0 c3 X! ~" n0 L2 Wspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity. g: `$ o% e+ D2 _
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.5 B- r$ S- Y1 }, ?1 Q p
9 J2 Y4 ~% m( f& s# l. FActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
5 S% |1 y; x" {! D, Tin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.: e; Z, k' U9 \+ v& E! K( p( W
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
1 v/ o4 C% t0 Jincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
+ c6 F9 ]2 [# _# u) [* u* _balanced recovery.
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5 p; T" l& ^( } p( j2 k1 ACPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects* E: M. j' `" V0 i' ?
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess& G6 ?0 O) T: m+ `& S0 U
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
* O8 C/ g L3 G0 Ato re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable + w1 j0 r9 e. H' u ]- `
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the E, Z& o* l: j+ j2 M
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary i4 {/ f& J# q) S3 O
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
' b* E, L( I7 n4 U) fdevelopments.6 O' v, N* v- b6 {
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Information note:$ v* g( z5 w# j- M& I
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update) t, z2 B" F1 e: o
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
; C- h$ f; M. N( F0 G" f, c1 K$ \published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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