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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight- B0 M9 C2 A2 @& {, @5 F$ w
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly; X, D' K$ r! k2 ^
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
# r1 K' m/ V& ]* Hoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.& l' h H4 S9 Q
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with9 N, x3 ?3 E/ ?3 ^
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
% B) J- q' ~' L7 I5 Q2 ^4 [3 xUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness% U' \9 r. M/ u' W' U& h
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.% O. N3 J/ I) u$ u ~' h7 X
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
3 w7 n3 a* {9 K4 l3 Nstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
: R6 u. I- d7 S2 i0 j1 Bvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result: L0 u& v7 j2 b
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an1 ]" z! A M. r# `+ o3 n
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
7 d0 D7 Y! i% F5 O/ Pspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity8 @8 l# w/ I! Y/ C
prices and some tightening of financial conditions." F/ G0 Y G% c5 Z
9 f# y1 g7 c" b3 M# ^9 E( ^Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent. Y- o* n' ]8 Y4 z+ ~$ J, W
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.+ k4 G# O5 m4 Q( M
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with# G* p- t) }! D% t% K* R+ }/ ?
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
" w$ W2 g9 `+ r' l& E; | V5 ]balanced recovery., r1 G: z4 k( d; A
+ t" L7 w8 f' ~CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
- S% J2 H9 m2 K3 S! h. x% Z1 Fthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess Z- B! i/ A( U% Q2 k( K8 [, A. E# s
supply.
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( l" a7 l% K8 I8 t NIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and& |( R3 I- j6 S
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
1 Y6 X/ m% y9 T! T/ mmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the : F8 [4 a7 D# o- e [; O
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery." J; p6 L3 M' [& h6 l& Z% U6 B
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary5 F& O' r" Q" i
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
h3 b9 I: R6 A5 M7 gdevelopments.
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Information note:
, a9 x; J. ^: ]5 QThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update# R" L& D6 @# z' U, [
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
# Y6 f" M+ M& ^7 F' Gpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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