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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
/ R/ O( L1 L3 S( B2 v- h! @rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly' t# G8 y# { T w: D2 t, @2 G+ J
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal( }$ x) U+ c9 P
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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4 }8 U2 V# q. n1 R9 Y# U& ?/ L2 lThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
# X% B5 g8 L3 C& h6 sstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
1 { K: c2 u5 b7 ?4 I- o: SUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness) X* f% x6 Y! v8 x* \
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
1 Q$ r, E, `* ^& j$ Q& |) l7 v5 v$ I0 H9 PIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal7 \9 d+ |; y. l( F/ D& E% s& X
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the3 m$ ?6 z, G! R4 b" s
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
# P M: R% G* s% D2 b: Iin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an$ s1 Y- T* P3 t
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
1 B% D0 P, c, M6 j% b V2 [spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
% Y- B/ i" m+ E+ `- x: Nprices and some tightening of financial conditions.# j# k4 U. J1 ~( c2 K
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
: E5 @4 G9 ?% N- e8 \& uin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.1 B7 V: b, ~4 |- c% F# N" m- r
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with1 E0 I- B+ [ R; q7 ~6 b
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more0 C0 Z3 \! Q" D
balanced recovery.
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% i H$ H( ~1 N2 f0 w dCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
* A: x$ ?4 d" @, Q8 A: A# }the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess$ n5 {6 k# S5 G/ b$ \
supply.
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/ Q4 X/ s& w2 y7 g8 j+ `- H2 rIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and; ]. C! \! P' C* `( @# i& |. e; O
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
/ q" z I5 |" [1 I& jmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 0 O: d5 e4 T) u5 g% |( w# S
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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3 G) Q5 q8 m kGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary- ^5 i4 t4 O U m3 w: q
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic) C6 K O& |! |* F
developments.
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4 a- a) ~2 O) Q( p" xInformation note:) Q6 Y7 L! g( W0 x
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update1 x w% n6 h3 ~ `( f0 \
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be4 o3 l! j& z/ C: T
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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