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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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3 T# U* H" X; p: DOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
8 v6 F% `1 b& N: M! a* e6 X% krate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly0 q$ ~8 m5 e Z: O
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
$ H* I+ ]( d# [: o( l7 C( Y0 xoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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" P4 O* O2 x* U% S% K9 vThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with6 k, O. q0 f& u
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the* v( }$ o% |& Q& G, S1 h% F
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
: Q( d2 ^# D; U- @& n# nin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
- y: O5 c# s4 V H7 d% J1 O* cIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
: c! a: B2 n4 F( d# Kstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the& J o2 V$ b; L" d- E
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result0 j3 g4 \9 h3 ]% J- k% w# [+ K' m
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an3 z1 g- G9 Y- f u/ _/ c
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the8 t$ _: [4 E5 } Y* n* W* R
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity: m. m2 u' d- c
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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: A: a% |2 x. x: A& zActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent8 [- }0 w6 ]/ g- b: \) ?# P6 R5 c
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.% X, X- J. n; I+ N6 e8 D
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
* I2 h9 \1 c: ]1 U6 U3 J/ p0 ?income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more4 o$ d9 A. r% N9 v* Y3 D
balanced recovery.
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8 E1 |4 M2 ~, [4 ]+ o" sCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
; |3 d$ x n, p. vthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
. U) U) w/ u" l$ Z/ \supply.+ ~, [: T4 N/ `! _' H
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and/ l6 O5 m: d% K! Y. C
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 1 U, w; y: w3 H5 a' H! N' Q: n0 ?
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
- q8 ~9 d/ N/ a, m. Esignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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, z9 Z! }) I" N+ ]Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary7 K% b0 p) d& k- e0 c( ]7 b! _
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic) @) I: U( g& `1 q9 J, S, m
developments.: H" l- d. M0 ^1 c. R, {, M- g
$ j @ v# G5 B+ tInformation note:
/ a3 Q( Z5 `, \ ~8 fThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
: O- K& _" S( T8 |0 e# S( {" mof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be- ^9 Q" S) j% d' F+ j" f9 Z
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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