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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market2 S7 U3 R& j$ h0 `0 G5 e& I' f" D
8 i8 C5 d/ H# ~, Z" r6 S4 k" l! wOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
. K, X6 f. _ ~5 F# K Brate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly7 u* [* e e( |9 H+ y- F* o0 ^
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
/ U; m& b" v" Z5 ~' Toperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with5 s8 Q+ a' H2 L0 j- F4 W2 m& y1 i
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
_2 b. y' Z; M) i5 YUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
! A# F% w3 W- [# L9 gin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.# ^% Q! C0 f: b4 W7 f3 d
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal$ T# J* L) w9 j# y9 N! } p: a m
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
' o$ P. c0 q+ @/ dvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
; W. s: v8 z4 ~in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
' t2 P/ Q3 X7 jimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
& a8 V0 o2 ~7 a6 b: i; ^8 Pspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
- \' I; G4 @, _prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
3 F7 x$ T G2 y/ qin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.1 M V# z/ e1 w3 t
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
- J/ _1 x+ [+ } ^: m6 ^income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more+ g V' K& ^7 T$ ]
balanced recovery." D, S! [/ D3 w- S
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
0 I$ F: n0 u# n! xthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
* D! S9 W6 t% f3 ?( H# Isupply.3 v6 w4 p& P2 ?! f" V
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
% ?& x: ~0 Y8 l! Q, I Pto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
" A. K5 O1 C" K! T, e9 y" w5 umonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ( T, m1 J+ B, B0 |# W$ X
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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7 i& W ]2 w' z; p$ g* p* [% ]Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
; g% V. w2 i* P5 _9 g$ tstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
' d: e& }0 ^0 h8 }developments.( `% t Y# `+ }( B# v
1 p* U6 X+ I" a# N' b7 k3 z( t, jInformation note:
7 K9 _8 R) [% m1 V4 b5 l% }: ^/ D+ gThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update* N9 s. |5 p$ p q$ i0 A5 @3 b/ x
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be+ \& U5 {; u$ t* ]7 F9 B2 a% I* ]' N
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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