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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight }* V8 t0 o+ J, j, T
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly* N: w- k7 b' Q+ n$ M$ ?
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal$ L% e p0 ?) x; s, @/ {# T$ b
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.) q5 o K u$ K- e* G9 ?
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
9 ~5 d+ J/ [, Z+ i* G4 Qstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
: ~' v u: k: f/ D6 L* k! XUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness. K% q0 N; m/ f
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
2 V' L* V* o2 E0 J, e, K) SIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal" ?# @2 Z. {) ?/ N/ @5 j
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the9 { e: r, N# ~ T
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result; f- L, n3 @) D- s. j
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an; L6 I3 C1 v( |+ ^* u# O
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
) E* @1 z0 ~4 q# Q( t* |2 E: F0 ` xspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity, H- b8 Q2 k0 P; b H+ I6 {
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
5 ]% B* h) P% c8 F3 n; O! ?in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
) t" u) T' {% L, o) ?Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
8 h. M/ _; U2 d+ j. Pincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more) a6 c8 {, `, k1 Q4 A: {5 ~7 s
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects1 x* J- c% Y, a" @/ X
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
2 F8 B2 X% N9 r) v; t- ]5 B, Dsupply./ A0 I; m) u1 M$ M2 @+ P( e
# C5 z8 z0 P6 P9 yIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
/ }' W3 ^' B3 G* R, h Eto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
* q5 u: k$ E7 O9 R3 j$ g7 [6 Umonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
2 I* v! m+ `4 j+ ~4 M* Isignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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" F9 w& t& ]& j0 ^6 D& }3 w& IGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary2 y+ P" e! R$ G0 C B7 s
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
: _1 k, B- {( L$ V: }5 C5 [developments.
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5 x, l$ J* O" N! a6 U8 XInformation note:8 K2 k, V3 h% [
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
( x. r& V; t$ g9 K# [! ]of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
7 ]( Z2 E0 l" T# C# fpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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