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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market: H( F( L" F* K2 B. P9 g" V
0 n6 w$ `1 r! dOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight1 A' B# t! I; `# E
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
3 K0 A, ~; w& N A+ ^, ?raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal/ t4 e9 A2 k* }( ^0 a% ~
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.4 d+ h# L) a7 z* G4 ]( Q7 {& e
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with. P7 u! j% g l3 q) l, g5 ?* y% ^
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
4 c% E. l% y/ MUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
0 N+ g6 h$ T0 q0 t. Sin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
% n- Y; c; ?. L3 [/ R# EIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal# I2 |! l" B# N
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the- t) V$ L* n8 } M+ c6 I' z2 \
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
5 L/ z& ?% X1 m# |/ q, vin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
) d" _8 [! ~3 j# Qimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
) F- y* O2 t+ f- @: rspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity9 Q T, q8 m3 H4 f2 S
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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! o r W0 r0 y, N5 v& |: ZActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
& G3 q" ~0 d1 ~4 tin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
. A7 @9 t, V2 E4 N# h, Z/ ]Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with/ E- M9 ^. _) N5 ?- ^
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more/ u! x8 ~# N1 K1 G% W9 v) s' O
balanced recovery.
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6 V9 H3 k4 p6 t: ? tCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects7 ]: M& b# Q3 Z% |
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess+ ^7 J5 A9 ^- l# B% k; ]% U- [
supply.6 X0 h6 S9 ?9 V, i" H% t
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
+ H/ F2 O R# P) N% p3 k) A/ a0 ]to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 9 d0 P0 v3 y5 v) ]/ f2 W3 O
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
( o9 x; Z/ g# f L$ m( z \( Lsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary+ M* }0 }( G7 X9 _; z
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
* t- Q- l" W! s% k7 P% u: Hdevelopments.
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Information note:
( C: [: y# L5 Y. JThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
+ l; ]" O2 {% e# U: z2 gof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
" R6 W' S: h! v& v* kpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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