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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market* F. I, X: _& B; V: ~
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
4 `6 d T/ D: f: E1 lrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly+ E" u I3 k( `
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
q& ?% F" C2 d/ s- v2 Loperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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; O) N; n4 F5 k* X6 `. q8 qThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
+ s2 n9 \4 o! L+ d0 W- v1 V; hstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the4 _6 O% D' V) g5 F
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness8 t6 u# {$ }1 X) d% ^* j
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.9 v v; K/ W. G: T* ^+ [
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
" n$ p0 Q+ y3 T8 S1 A% o) @' |stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
* M2 `$ l1 `! ~& k9 Uvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result @9 p' }* G& H0 s: f& h9 K! K( u
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
' ]1 U2 O# S2 dimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
# s U, R7 ~' [+ ?spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
& n% [+ o5 w7 ~$ q. H+ kprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent& ~( Q& w3 J8 A' R7 p
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.' Y9 O. J' [9 ?/ I: B
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with* a! x' x% I+ U* y# E0 @3 Y
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more! F0 E) A R8 v* I
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
- `$ Y2 y5 W0 w0 W7 Othe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess3 P. x4 B- j4 @9 P/ ]. H. E
supply.. i; G8 W! m' B, E& @3 u
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and3 }1 S, O+ r* t% o# h; f6 r
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 2 F6 M; o& \1 B4 J' i( M+ [
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
; Z1 ?6 H. k4 l1 m& l3 jsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.! d% {+ k. ^, I C2 y
$ W' b! R. N/ i# f+ HGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
3 J, z5 l- Q( q0 M+ B; `9 Xstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic! q! \1 P5 p7 _! ]! t4 d: S
developments.
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2 g" v$ C) }" d% m; f; m: tInformation note:
) {6 Y/ {: |9 p" i. @: v# @- GThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
. Z; [& o/ I2 s! mof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be# u% c7 v$ E- R" B o
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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