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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market9 L; ], I* ^6 l# j
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
' l+ l3 v3 J/ frate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly) H) @7 M4 [' i4 Q2 M6 s G
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal/ r! A- |, p. k% w
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with- {: Z8 ]' `, W0 t2 |
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
, C0 @8 \% i% b2 {United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness5 K1 }6 S; t7 E% w5 h1 N$ k; ?
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
( s: r2 I) }5 G8 Y; y$ ~1 K: x$ RIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
% u, p0 z: m$ F! w7 Q; q. _: H5 [stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the0 c3 r$ U D/ H( a; W9 t4 f
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
, a& T0 Z4 b3 U! f# i: N8 Xin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an* ^' p' L' k! t% e3 D
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the; Q+ F0 s" I- k
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
3 R( o+ h" b- u) T& wprices and some tightening of financial conditions.; S7 z$ T. j1 w* }
O8 b% K% t; ~; |! Q! B1 FActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
7 S5 Z0 `* B! o) @' jin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
4 G3 |; {8 w7 g. \% NGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
2 P* s2 g7 e2 Z+ X, \% I# ~4 |income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more8 H+ l- L; L3 u' c) p8 m
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
: M2 D S! }" L& _( o/ vthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
% E+ y2 Y9 i0 rsupply.
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& ~* ~7 R( P" ~% qIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and3 k& s( u+ D- p
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
# P3 V- V$ {/ @monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the # T+ ~6 u( V- Y) N4 g9 P
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
% \: o# s* y' G6 @* }5 l6 }) W: vstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic/ \& G( k& ~0 c2 \3 e
developments.
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Information note:
" r; s6 F, I, p' r% DThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
5 l( a1 B( g6 x$ K( I% nof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
" Y9 [$ } N! L2 vpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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