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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market+ ~1 a* e, r2 L: P7 {
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
- A. ?7 x; F: @9 ]rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly$ x$ |; l" U9 N. X; T$ ^3 v
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
) i' | j, a7 {' @& joperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.+ v( D9 w6 h' i! u5 U
8 W* I+ T$ Z/ O4 AThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with, Q7 c# |# @6 D; K2 c
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
" ~1 {% X# \) J3 D! d$ ~" E$ }United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
5 P' R/ f# n ]7 _6 hin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.2 l# f3 V, _) g1 X
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal/ N# e j; ^% m9 f# e
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
$ d- A0 t% m" d) Jvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
0 o) W. u* V; r$ Z& hin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
( D+ W1 Z# u7 t& Jimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the# N8 I2 P+ M9 y) ]% G
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity% ]( @4 m) N& h* Q
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.: o3 m* e% F I; b# `8 ]
' ~, J7 x6 `3 C& k2 UActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent" v9 a2 m2 k x3 j$ F; ~8 ]9 d3 v$ f3 }
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
& l7 o2 D+ i. }6 x* {Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
: P6 ^5 P6 C9 W+ v0 wincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
* e$ D4 {+ ~2 ?& I8 gbalanced recovery.
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; }& W. U. L2 a8 ^9 C% PCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
; G2 p; N0 h9 ^5 ^) ^the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
: J% K! w' } B; j) R" F Rsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
; H- \$ Z. D" l- qto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
' R0 w V8 s. k Z/ ^3 b/ umonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 1 M% g: Q4 m6 Q6 f
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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0 U! _) ^) F6 T- h5 UGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary/ o; O! ]! h6 V8 H( j
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
$ M6 F1 X: A( ~! m n$ a( _; C! c% Gdevelopments.4 M5 x3 D! J: o8 c; I4 u8 M, ~
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Information note:
* j5 O* P# z* U0 }8 w9 mThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
7 M4 j* G. G T- m% y6 P# C, J6 sof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
% V+ ?' O8 d! P/ k0 Jpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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