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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market$ t; P0 f8 ?- p. }
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight& B8 d4 N2 ]3 X* P
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly7 u! s: g B& L. ] Y' a6 i# ]9 G0 g
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal U" a2 I' q# F- i8 a: _0 M
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
+ U7 I' T5 e, K% n+ }strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
$ n' \$ e* D, P: dUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
X' ], w7 I4 l8 J3 Y u" [in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.* [ X, [# V Q2 w7 E% ^
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
1 [6 ?; l9 f; A2 m+ R3 |) rstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the O6 Z, R: Y1 \" Z1 e) L
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result/ z$ `$ W" `+ U0 V% L
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
* U0 ^- ]8 A5 zimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the7 }4 i+ c/ z" ?: i
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
: t, q. ? H6 c+ s$ V* w& `, Yprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Q: \% q7 @2 [8 G' S# O. xActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
; D' T) A, r+ C- Jin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
+ D5 W; k( ]. T; j8 F6 A& d3 UGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
9 J b$ o7 k: X" S) O4 [' O5 ]income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more: b2 U& L/ ]- E% j; u: T% u7 u7 B* j
balanced recovery.% E" n) Y/ z5 m
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects0 Q/ F& @: e* K8 s. Q
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
) m% Q1 z: d1 p" X8 ^supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
_6 u: c# r' r0 sto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
4 K+ b, h% O6 e/ n( ^; Fmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the # j" u( W& }; B- Q
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
- T# x0 O* B' F( L: G! ustimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic% h7 _% R6 A: B% L, U( E
developments.+ h2 ]4 s1 }8 j# g2 ]/ I
# O# y% o! \) R- t AInformation note:: {$ @) g/ ^) L! K6 u. b
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update+ H- O* a. C$ i" L* L% Q
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
5 t' {* X, v$ J& K& ]6 Wpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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