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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market: j Q3 `# R% b+ A# {( Z
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight: u7 E, w; y+ s# n
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
6 l+ b* E/ f1 g' s( }: W. U1 g, D1 p$ craised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal, p1 o( l) ~2 I0 R$ o
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate. \) |8 w7 Y' N5 g% k& i8 o: G
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with0 u& \" m3 U% }, ^
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
6 P5 `( {% }# Y8 K8 R, g) pUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
/ Z" f! y1 d% win Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
; G3 w" ?& \' I1 Z+ JIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
+ ^; p, E3 Q8 c6 O8 vstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the1 F, U% h) N$ p
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
- B" M( M7 S! p+ q( L3 R6 m9 Y6 @in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
* `: z. ]0 H, U( nimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
' L/ n. e, T, n5 |& \/ Xspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
: h) L; `8 q- c) _2 Z8 @. ~prices and some tightening of financial conditions.7 m. U, g0 x: l5 V( Z1 k8 L! }7 C
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
: a2 }" f- B: l, r% ]+ Din the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.) x7 p* u: d8 A8 z5 r5 q) K+ n
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with) j) N% T5 g8 H# L9 U2 z5 c( S0 G+ U
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
9 J$ O8 b9 K3 }. h- f- a. F! H" gbalanced recovery.$ w" g0 _ A% Z6 M
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects' h$ y& i4 z# |& }0 P
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
* f5 y( j/ J: \& Z# O Jsupply.
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`- c0 B( z# \! f% o* fIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and6 |$ V2 U( S3 T; R( q# P6 t# J9 {
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
+ f m# c* }! M$ z3 gmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
# j* a& B6 m' P8 e& Hsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.# V. `, O! e! u5 ]! [; C
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary5 i8 A* V2 n0 q1 T3 `& R7 x, e
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
! Z& P2 s' e3 e% V" n: S0 d1 Ldevelopments.9 ]8 O4 X' _$ G: K7 B5 b
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Information note:3 I9 ^# s& A2 h1 m/ T
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
4 h- |) T9 O. b# ?6 R' I7 Iof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be0 b2 |/ H5 u' q
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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