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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight( Z4 |0 e1 X6 z/ c4 d: W/ @
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
: w) S. b' l4 L" Hraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
; p. q3 y$ @7 Q& b7 C5 Y$ Toperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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8 o& Y" s9 J. m& U' w: |The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
2 N, I M; P3 g9 nstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the7 \3 B! v2 p$ v
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness8 J" H/ x) s* t0 @4 r% Q, `5 W
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.* Y6 v: z* O( h
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
2 g3 w; X! |% b8 o3 @9 y6 Z- [stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the- l5 k" `/ ~7 n6 `+ t- ]
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
( R$ Y9 v5 P6 Y1 i% win higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an5 H, l3 x* r5 B
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
6 Q, m @0 m5 c) cspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
: b+ {, \. v& [7 z4 ?3 Eprices and some tightening of financial conditions.5 h" W5 i& m$ ]7 E' c
. d% u) K- ?, {& t8 |Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
2 f4 M6 v4 X2 V: |4 K5 n) D! oin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.! D. g, P* j3 ~1 R: r7 d8 p
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
% h: m- _) y, m3 oincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more3 S+ n' V4 c4 w, Q# y4 b6 [5 f- N
balanced recovery.2 `# A, U1 x3 w( Z, Z' g
! q# v4 J# W p2 Q7 D% GCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
# [; i$ J$ c& h; {1 I$ Gthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess$ i; E7 Z: h5 M% F. L
supply.- |* S) j! q3 ~( I
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and+ e G; h2 X9 p y. S; [
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable # T: I0 k0 u* C1 j
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 4 W/ L6 ]# h3 W3 s
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.+ B+ ^5 }4 Y! K# T: w
# S/ V X8 p% f7 K9 aGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
! W6 r) H5 c# o$ g' F( @stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic9 E; d/ g: y$ m
developments.9 u" Y6 |3 c1 [ c/ ?- c2 j
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Information note:
! v7 Q) b; Q; Z. ?# L+ kThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
: d9 I- \- O8 j8 c! I" u& nof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
; {1 |7 k* T* W$ e' u2 W; Tpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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