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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market% B& h. V& I/ m% `7 X- U; ?/ V
" H9 _+ [: ^1 D4 BOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight. m) A7 N4 k: H- _1 R+ b: `" y0 G6 b
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
- F/ y9 E$ E" n+ L/ Qraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal2 T" r5 `$ @) j7 z7 u) ]
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.! D9 Y" {! S2 V
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
8 Y/ u4 Z& u1 s6 G4 D& zstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
& x6 k) J3 Y+ w3 P) E4 s- k6 s6 _United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness0 r% _' x% X. I' {) `/ ?9 g0 C
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.( u7 P0 x0 l7 K# N- Z% w; u
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal7 t0 b& |, u! {% a4 @4 L
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the9 W# a. Q3 k7 F( A
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result: X( x& A7 _6 f+ _8 y
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an1 r. ]3 T/ i ?% u( C5 f
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the) d* y, i C: J+ X7 R) M7 ?
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
9 s( d s6 K0 O$ z+ g3 Eprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
- t+ h* V/ r# I: Y$ Pin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
+ I- D/ X' J+ u4 \5 @' F3 `Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with$ ?: _8 m$ j: |
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
2 Z& C" ~2 C. P ^! vbalanced recovery.% h2 Q/ q) s/ c' ?* p; d
1 x: w- K% f6 [4 P) Q% |; o4 u' f& ?& KCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
8 L0 V( |3 e7 \; ]) {the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess3 F2 Q+ A) ?4 u1 a
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and6 k+ `* B8 i! }+ \
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
- E; N) ^" ]! h: z9 bmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
5 p' c: [* Q7 Z; `/ x- Z" g, rsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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! @' D; b7 E- y1 v) j+ `/ zGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
) p0 [( W; G( Gstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic k* i# f. _ r/ H: G( K
developments.7 r/ p% i/ b& D
" J @, B0 s3 e; ?/ lInformation note:
2 f- j9 |6 G1 y4 ?The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update9 D8 d6 _8 @' R" n
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
/ H5 i a) z- r/ `' A; Z, y% @( g9 [published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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