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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market6 f3 `/ s5 o2 F+ {
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight4 J3 o0 c5 w6 o5 q: \* \- W
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly/ e7 D3 P1 F) V% N! D
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
5 U6 ~4 V5 [$ G9 k5 H" `3 p2 Zoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.: z; S* f9 k/ M$ ^" J$ O7 T
8 Z9 t0 i8 p3 {& X F6 @The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with* l2 H* w/ L$ o/ m
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the$ I( f2 @6 M/ p
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness( ^5 f2 p5 S. q' z- c7 y
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.1 E: `: V2 n' L" C) d
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
/ D2 p B: x/ M9 g% q% jstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
5 f; a, [3 \# evariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result, f% N# z1 I8 f2 M
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
4 {7 f# G/ u) `) O. h' c7 limportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the3 E, Z2 B/ t$ D
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
0 D' ?" z" O, M6 Bprices and some tightening of financial conditions.& ` z5 `6 b6 p" [9 `4 O
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent! }- ?5 d' g5 m% e. ?0 L" ^
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.& t* [5 r& R$ R$ \& B* }( i
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
# m; \/ R3 s9 Y! U4 G( _& Lincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
Q1 t5 n/ W6 M: A0 j3 C1 d1 ]+ k5 ebalanced recovery.. P& z" O/ J3 X) s# H1 O6 h7 E
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
- e/ k }2 X; K6 W# P/ wthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess% { } s4 G/ J0 S$ {% y' r
supply.$ Z: N5 {+ E$ u* W1 B- K
$ n. d* w1 I2 u$ x- oIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
3 A3 l" \ [1 A: S2 R- V+ pto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
* n+ ]% d# O3 m. C" ]8 H6 Smonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
3 t. o1 N, p3 |: U0 Wsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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9 G) ~- D5 z n( |& m% v& j9 @Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
& x7 I" _$ w- m* a' z6 ]stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic: r$ x" G& W" W4 D
developments.* w, }& ?; U7 u& m
4 Z; \; |9 \# ?/ D0 K8 y% Y* y# L% HInformation note:2 [3 u% K6 d* I# A [( ]/ k0 U+ L9 I
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
& u3 t% F' |7 s' a; sof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be/ J- m7 F4 o5 [1 u, Q
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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