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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market6 @2 C1 [) H8 z7 g2 [2 `& X
( D2 e/ o, ~, L7 E: ]1 p1 {OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight% m+ o. g+ H' W) X4 p2 H: X8 w
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
: v3 f5 m( g# [% [4 q4 I2 i: H! _raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
( m- E9 x# ?" ~2 }operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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. Z% Q% F h" x$ q3 Q( aThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
( \- {2 q" e8 M \/ q+ n" L V3 p1 Ustrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the( V; B( S: E. ] q
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness5 A4 _' C _/ Y' D# j( C
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
2 F: h- ~- i9 V `. z3 ], \3 ]In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
0 }% j' ~! H5 [! i' r/ istimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the: n; G. P; H0 S: }; t' e
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result+ Z6 c m1 I- u. `; q1 o0 }& U
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
/ R7 N3 K& |1 ^7 D, ]7 ~important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
) _1 q2 @) V. W* U& B, b. ospillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
! `3 S* i" \/ Q* e% N; [prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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. p7 o8 h# c# J1 sActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
+ e/ c( u: X. U8 k2 I) W9 pin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
1 D& E5 E7 L* v9 XGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with4 }* x( _ P5 b
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more5 _' ?: A! l9 P" Q! {9 B
balanced recovery.
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$ D7 h9 x( Y( `5 fCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects( ]6 i* x6 M8 e$ U7 Q
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess/ T2 ]4 I% K' c! O" ?$ N
supply.; W$ _# L. |! ?! F
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
4 c9 W: v i- R' _to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
$ D5 ~, x4 S9 z5 Wmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the , q ]- g, l$ S& x* m6 N; t
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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3 s; J6 D7 d% c! y+ r- l, \5 vGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
6 a( T. c @# ?! rstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
O' d8 `0 l* C/ D' L, h; V3 Idevelopments.
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4 L( ?$ i! V1 z" z' n1 pInformation note:
5 ?! S" i' Z* e5 [' h/ _& k5 mThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
0 W) }. q: ^6 `) d4 Qof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be* i) k$ n$ F+ N, u5 ?9 s
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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