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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight. I: c1 j3 b6 j5 p' W* M
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
0 \8 S' ~' z# Rraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal/ F1 _5 h7 m# `6 o' w
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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# B9 L4 z% J' @' |' xThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with, X7 H4 o0 `( i
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the6 }) U" j' W2 a p$ V3 W
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
9 b7 v; K* c/ \9 r* V" `in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
, P4 ], C9 y: U/ ^. u" ?" Y2 MIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
4 T. e$ \; m. G! F# h) U. cstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
1 F4 q0 q$ }1 \) ^9 d3 hvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
& D. u3 d$ Y$ o" p' }in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
. a' h5 B; o n0 D7 gimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
5 K ~) n) u- x9 b+ P: F" @" Rspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
; Y! U! n& O7 V" w Aprices and some tightening of financial conditions.9 b" t1 P+ w5 S x8 j
0 z2 D( q' N! M" E" e4 [Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent- Y" N) U3 [# m- b
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.' x" W& S! U' U. Q! `. X: y# {9 A
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with0 T* {$ [5 y p) [0 Y. U$ n
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
$ Q) t: u6 X3 j1 w9 s8 Xbalanced recovery.3 X: z Y. R4 D/ Y8 L6 ], `
! i r7 K9 e; v) H' FCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
( P' V E2 N T- G! ]/ d+ tthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
+ h% Q v2 h1 h: j8 ~supply.% p" w/ [1 g& G+ }# A& c6 Q' }& @
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and/ z# ]9 @9 X8 i, X q1 _
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable B( f* j; V. D* I8 f# K5 Z
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the & w" [. c4 Q6 m, F! K
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.3 i- f- y E- V( }6 N: M
3 O! M. o/ U' s }* NGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary" I) g0 Q( Z% i% m9 X$ T0 b
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
# T3 R. H) E9 Q7 U Z& Gdevelopments.
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Information note:
& l, e7 w% Y) d% O' R, DThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update- z5 y0 o Y$ W" t! D5 p
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
% m8 ? k+ U3 G: E) ?published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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