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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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. j2 [6 y! \6 d. Z9 ZOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight- W% U2 M- c# ^8 l& u. h
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
1 F- Q# ~7 ]! S2 a7 {" _2 ]raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal( ?2 ]& b& q c& b2 f
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.8 k# K, O' L( h4 x
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
# {2 r- P% S; x& {strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the% t. C& S1 c4 o6 L& N
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness: m5 a9 z$ S7 u8 X7 n6 r
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.6 h9 n' |2 J+ g/ T2 f2 ?
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal$ c: S8 Y; j4 E# e
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
5 {% B& C \/ `' G Y" c$ wvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result+ a" M% z* w9 O- X8 i! r" P
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an2 L5 C: y$ q3 Q, j5 O
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the: P5 n. C$ T! T( I* F
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity; y; B9 z5 x+ u) M* p, m$ Z& `
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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- E- p( u! X# B- T$ ^- ^# LActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent& X) A# h8 J- d
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.6 _* H/ |6 Y& n6 K8 X( S
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
* x* K' H5 j6 }6 f! _( k9 K8 Q ~1 zincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
& Q0 q' z, Z9 M' f3 X7 Lbalanced recovery." c W! k3 |! y. p
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects) p- j) [4 E" x/ d
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess2 w+ l+ V' {; X6 `8 M
supply.0 w7 `" |7 h! |+ k$ M
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
* `+ Y% X9 G9 w& A8 G2 R1 T0 `to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable & @. u( w4 o2 u0 \ n/ b
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 9 g6 s+ G6 \7 C# M
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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$ a2 e9 k) B2 N. Y5 n9 P' KGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
6 o* t8 [$ L4 u& Bstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic4 Y4 c: h" M' }; z5 S9 H
developments.0 ~' j9 g+ ]; U
4 w& `3 i8 x( H& `Information note:1 f u% [8 {6 k! A/ x( H( L
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update8 U/ U, L5 c5 c$ G& z6 t- v _
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
! @6 ^& O0 [, G3 ^# m( kpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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