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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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- S8 U$ h3 N! ~4 B* ?OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
+ p3 l' e3 _; Y4 Q+ L: \/ E6 L- r3 N+ krate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly! @0 [" l \0 q8 p! s' h! N
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal1 d8 x. u2 @/ s l# {* T
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with7 A- {- x, n, ]4 \& P
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
6 G. W v! |! U. m( hUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness6 L1 `5 W7 T) t/ H7 S8 b7 Z
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
7 L5 D( _1 F+ G& j9 s3 N( f3 sIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
' r% O) d7 I4 o j# b b* O# ?9 Dstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
, \1 m6 o6 F' J! y4 @8 zvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result6 K' S0 Y4 G& e+ D% y
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an# |" Y5 w% h' x4 o7 \( y
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the# |/ V6 T( v$ n) R. P
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity, _. O; f2 Z, v4 l" Z( B, H
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent3 u% k' r. n" t( M4 ?( d
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
# _2 H+ `9 n4 h! RGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
& O6 o4 B$ N5 ^2 @% Q. v" k, [income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more8 j0 j6 d# F# B% _9 N' F. k
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects7 _2 v7 v9 z- P8 ?$ M# D: B; }: g
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
' j: Z" ?4 f) x7 P7 Gsupply.
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- T( i: {! G9 ?& x& E! lIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and+ C/ G4 _0 e; q/ ~9 v, j! p
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
* W9 L0 X/ x. P2 ^+ O7 T' l! _- {monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
7 C$ N3 X l0 N$ Tsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.5 L$ y1 q& ] z
6 ~( s2 W4 `/ n% C1 oGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary; O! {4 S8 J, A$ M
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic* s2 X" A+ o1 i) a6 t
developments.
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& r g" r; Q8 Y8 N4 E" rInformation note: N- W: ?3 l- {6 w$ v9 X
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
4 h& r0 L! q7 g8 zof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be4 O y, e3 ~( D/ D
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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