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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight$ ]: _, ^. U: g6 w' ~+ A! z
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly3 p$ i0 \& c$ C$ C i' B
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
1 l( a6 S! |& A+ F4 [: doperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate./ d# z$ b+ w. X4 u1 b. T
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with- P8 \; C- ~# x- k/ A- y
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the2 z: D! r* Y- A4 A- D9 A9 q
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
3 W) ?2 {' ?0 z. B+ ?. Q. o9 |in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.) N# g0 R- J, g B2 t7 [9 f
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal2 i/ _9 R* W: B3 v0 o+ f/ \4 l
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the9 N& R# v: }( u9 ~ {
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result* r: o) A/ L4 g/ K
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
) p5 x. q8 b) a6 Z$ D# |$ Qimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the. ?* _. [$ N/ D% B, z3 V& }* s
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity6 o: ]) j( }$ o: R' T" F
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent+ a' _; O# E- K4 A
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.9 ]7 c* A5 E) w4 q& n, l
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with% R3 P6 F3 T0 p1 x
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
( H: n) Z+ \1 I1 L( Hbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
0 r" X4 `$ J2 f/ sthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess( Q5 k0 K* D4 |' j
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and; @1 _2 \# C! U4 P; M# S8 n
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
" U7 |4 e b7 lmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
# d9 r+ w( h9 {# j. E: q+ zsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.3 d! A: j4 a. A( H3 y; `5 W; O
; M5 _3 y7 m4 X' I9 K& c5 qGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
4 v9 _% X3 b) g; b7 _stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
( b! P! M2 O3 o" r! E4 O" R0 q/ Zdevelopments.2 q2 |! ^( B8 b
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Information note:
# S1 q6 [1 y- [' P8 ]% `3 |The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
u% e# U: r0 M2 f6 I$ Uof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
# G* X6 G/ B& S! ~: o( ?) u J0 epublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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