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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market4 q/ {' r% h4 X* _
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight4 J7 ~& T; k/ G
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly9 u' o9 r* ~5 W: t. @) S0 S8 t
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
1 g: s; M3 V i' M. Noperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.0 U) ]2 t7 Z' s) U# U" |+ m
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
6 I5 B. `# O. M0 Lstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
# R: C0 m6 p* F$ O+ h8 j, u+ FUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
0 g( w, i2 z9 m& f2 J4 C) Gin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.- S# I! ~/ i+ ]4 J: v
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal6 b0 J( b; g- g( f
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the+ y* F1 X$ K6 b' b
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
3 i; u. v+ `0 V. _0 ]9 m' w' f' iin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an) {# `) Y3 e: [7 E! x, B/ f8 w
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
. F: _& s) k! _& M7 lspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
$ I! [0 `0 l& z6 Z8 r4 h5 K6 }prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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+ J) ^2 O8 P) U3 q+ B6 c" O4 rActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent- s. u( I; g5 O. V
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.5 q. k+ P0 l: a3 I
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with4 z! i3 D$ @* |& w! S0 \& s
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
! O1 W+ n) z; b8 V* v0 N# r; dbalanced recovery.
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/ o4 ^5 S, a3 T, b @" p7 ]5 X! W7 fCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects4 [8 i1 \7 L4 `! ^: C" d
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess0 x) J* B5 ^3 O0 F- A V
supply.
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$ X& N1 f' q( d! i# b' i) I' t9 p& F" @In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and8 [! G! _! V% h- e- q+ Z0 [
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable & {, b; p; s% ~" G u: @
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
. J6 {; e/ @; xsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
5 V' t, y+ t4 | s! K& c/ tstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic" R3 I! p& k: D) r
developments.+ `! r6 w& w+ h8 G0 E8 J
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Information note:) P5 r! {8 _6 K9 D+ L
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update: J# o' \ h8 ]9 h" D
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
- o1 c* S, @$ U4 Epublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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