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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market# @% p/ s* X; v5 W& i
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight6 a& u+ ]: a% n
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly$ ]) t) l+ r% B' A3 D
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
0 P# u# d8 A3 l: X( b) |7 Noperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.5 s% K7 v" ]9 j5 }% R
. d9 N, x% _/ D3 R5 j4 dThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with0 x' Z) k0 z* ?7 d5 h( }# ~
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
) Z. p! X1 Q0 K! {% }United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness, J8 Y1 a& A4 A7 r8 r
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.* [: C# N8 m; W( a' c' U) P
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
8 G$ Y/ x1 A* ystimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
5 o! ^4 N9 b- N# ~6 i/ vvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result1 d1 {/ M! W' f0 x8 G
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
! @; J' Z$ ], }/ P4 v% y; F# x) vimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
% `0 z- ~) U: R6 S Lspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity+ }% j; k; |6 Q9 M9 o
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.# Q3 g% U5 [; Q5 Y( z. p9 M
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
# r, k# \2 }# Oin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
) g4 _3 L% P5 c8 E; x' N. BGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
* z7 _. J5 k h, p5 `; }income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more6 I% q9 m4 {$ b. \
balanced recovery. r3 a w( e2 M+ j6 ~
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects) E- T$ j1 g- ~: m! o% W
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess5 m& p/ U* i' g7 {/ F+ P
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
% I! q7 g. S+ i; R" \9 Ato re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable . ^1 i4 y& E+ @" k& o" E
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the : l5 ~3 M+ L6 o4 ^ s
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary g) ~( `" f: D
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
. h, K3 o E- W5 wdevelopments.
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; s- \ s+ `/ y0 A, H& Q. ]Information note:. j7 M Q5 D" U( D
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
- m7 L& W' _, Nof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
5 u- e3 I8 v8 g* @" S' V0 m' i0 cpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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