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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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7 W. u! \% V! K/ }7 s8 Q' D: zOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight% j; f* x4 i7 E6 k M1 S
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
+ L/ j$ A4 ]7 kraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
& }5 D, I# o: Ooperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
. i9 Y5 |' `1 n6 @! pstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
8 ^1 F- N# \9 `8 XUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
1 j3 R* e' i3 c C. Hin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized., i) q+ ], {0 ]% ^$ P" L! y
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
. Z3 {& C+ e! H9 O5 c+ Bstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the) S+ ^! M( K8 l
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result+ e8 S: X0 }# X, {* u
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an# I- C7 U- Z W4 J0 e! a' `
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the9 L3 m; r" X8 P9 |
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity8 H" o: D5 O$ K/ X; J/ A
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.: h( ^' h& d0 X ?& h9 R4 C0 T
! q# |/ i* O) X. s. k6 `Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent* J) E- c, j V- q3 [; }0 U
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.. Y2 f8 p N. o; [& k
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with! l- ?- K) Y1 H
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more, q5 ?3 _- X1 Y$ A1 k D1 l
balanced recovery.5 q4 k Q' [- {! j% [
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
4 l% |, J9 k1 L9 B8 _4 ythe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess0 E; V# C* I! f. P8 C; f
supply.
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! g, V0 j( Y1 R7 H9 IIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
+ |$ }* C1 ~$ a) oto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
) u. j+ X1 d# X+ i, x/ b, Imonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
0 B ?$ }1 m m$ U& e) W# D/ ysignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary( }2 S; S0 V/ I0 N6 W8 F0 K( ?
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic4 i' y8 B' ^# ~/ @- k( X+ c, s
developments.# K$ y0 h" C* r+ h! p5 }, C
: K; k3 ]' x+ {' ^" w( x$ ZInformation note:& O8 R( v2 G8 {& |( L2 w* h
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
% ^3 Z/ {: V8 Gof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
9 I h6 c) B, [; ^published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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