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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight8 t% y, a( N/ A- Q4 {3 a
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly { }0 l: [1 X6 Z+ j; I
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal. c" o; ^# O- y1 w8 ?' |* L
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate. |: J) A# I! K8 K1 ]
, R4 y7 Z. r+ nThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with9 X( h% c1 M+ v: b* V
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
# ]/ F8 b g' I8 B5 u5 u& AUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness1 o8 J3 G R4 H/ b* O
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
0 c( ~9 `6 I! cIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
1 v: ?6 o& C5 q& u- G4 P C, cstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
- X9 m2 M7 }6 Dvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
0 ^% A0 D& V2 B; gin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an, b+ C- ^& C7 s o5 i" W! p
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
' P( E0 W1 e# V* H; h, W$ \spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
9 e; Q, z% _: m9 wprices and some tightening of financial conditions.1 ?3 p' }& Z- z% N- K/ f4 @
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent* ^* n, c/ t% Z; A8 q' y' A4 o1 D
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
3 ~& X! G1 j. V2 TGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with# u, Y; J* A4 P6 r& C
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more! \; h e9 J) n
balanced recovery.7 \& C/ z7 n$ ]0 ^
1 e5 W3 h' D; V. \ q: VCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects y1 V2 }( X# \9 j' Z: s/ M
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess: A; B$ ~/ N5 m# Z
supply.6 p( g2 a/ S$ z8 n* y
1 Z1 z( i. Y& I# q# wIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and7 o$ R! T) W! l
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
) P0 B1 \# E+ r$ K' n& r5 Ymonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ) X* n: _, I3 u! K
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.- \3 |2 g: H W8 n! n
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
# `' Q3 [' X J5 `# t$ s. bstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic n6 ?; l; ] ^# W4 a' H: w5 q
developments.8 H7 d2 m# ?+ U7 O
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Information note:
& D( e7 w. K5 l' ~# R; }2 W- jThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update! @& K6 N$ ?$ g6 I k
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be t, h0 b/ m6 l0 A
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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