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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market* I) i' I4 x& e. b
8 a+ F% B" G8 X0 IOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
% x' t6 m+ q4 D h+ b5 f* K9 Jrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
% v9 N" p D+ N" ^* Traised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal9 P/ @# x- f3 M; C7 Z
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with8 u5 G$ n/ G* ?, i H4 U6 `: l
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the P- b7 s# o v; E% E7 }; L K% _
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness% J7 o+ ]7 o4 {& |" L; E
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.% i5 ?- ]1 n) T' a+ d- C
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal" l/ E# A2 v n# x0 E9 O
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the! M' g; P4 w9 I% F
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
$ d- o/ G( L, L* fin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an8 v4 A6 i/ H1 n6 ~
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the U+ `3 Z4 ^- m/ q
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
' m7 e. F$ J* I! d2 ~+ ^6 ~) k, Bprices and some tightening of financial conditions.4 ?% I+ h. x4 f
$ s& y. k, K1 `Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent6 J n9 x7 i$ V" p G0 N
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.# R, _4 R" n' s$ }. r# d
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
8 u" h/ ]: L/ W9 Q" t( w9 Z, R$ ~income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
* k; p5 X, V8 P0 e" c8 k6 dbalanced recovery.
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9 L& I% [1 l) \5 Z% w5 sCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects" t, }! O% I6 {
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
2 `5 A0 W! z- Osupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
/ a. l% F1 N) q; K$ xto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
1 y& ?, q; O) dmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
0 ?7 M1 H5 y8 i# p, R8 m: @significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.# v& R% c3 F+ R) q
$ ?: g& Z- L" m0 a V, iGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary8 j& R6 @# H7 s1 r4 @0 M
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic0 Z! F( I% X+ ]1 \4 N" i9 z1 ?
developments.
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Information note:/ k/ F4 w; r! p* F5 X9 M$ Q
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
7 S5 ~ I8 l: B$ g3 [) J( }of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be; C( @* v& L4 e; X1 z8 v
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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