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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market6 r! X* r6 c* a
0 C" `+ \# v: P3 t3 U& \* OOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight* Y5 F1 g+ t5 a$ S3 u. F
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly/ O+ N$ l9 [% T4 A
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal" W, }4 A- N( o. m
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate./ f& t9 Y. E" x. h3 E2 V( H
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with: ]1 J% _; D% p! W
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the6 ~9 u2 \8 y* D7 j* V7 f' ]: i
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
! c. ?4 d6 b4 L) H1 q+ B$ v& w2 b# ain Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.# D; v5 y4 E0 n, U
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
1 h( K# |1 w0 H2 q; h/ u" {stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
. ^% V' v* O- ]) p: T/ kvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result/ r& n; U# \ R/ {: F) p/ o# Y& f
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
! G* H4 ~1 c% Q0 d* G3 \important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
8 l: ^+ Y8 m1 Bspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity' ~0 O6 O' c# Q# ?
prices and some tightening of financial conditions. _3 E. H) m: e2 D Q0 x6 q
, L X$ @/ q- `0 l, O3 v- ]Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
7 V) c& `. I; R# h$ Uin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
7 s5 g2 h3 N$ \Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with& S W1 |) v! w8 E) M* g! \4 k
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more: w! n/ @" ^+ I1 r/ q/ k$ a
balanced recovery.
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4 T7 D! z+ C6 X$ d/ B; t- y7 L8 I wCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects( A( n( C/ R* B9 X- F" J, ^
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
: o. H! Y4 v+ U* U8 A* vsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and5 L, A* \9 b9 j+ G7 a
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
1 i8 m! V+ p- W: Z5 j# Kmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
( R/ W& D8 ]! p5 m2 ^significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.# {4 d8 e- v" O6 B
6 g% Z2 e5 ^. G6 u. ], gGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary- l& Q2 Q; f* | X
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic2 T" i) _. j" ]4 T6 s$ ]
developments.
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e8 ~$ m3 e$ v5 n7 o r) xInformation note:/ {: ^: d* H; `& a. D. ]
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update" S8 s" k- q$ T
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be1 [ N/ K l9 T
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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