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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market7 g& o* ^" h+ H% ~/ ~
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
) n. c( |1 B6 k2 Prate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
. i) d8 m; ?8 oraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
/ A" B9 M, U6 R) i' l4 hoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with _1 b7 E5 q( }. J
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
1 R. N# m) ?6 d1 x6 r. j' ?, L7 rUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
0 i) y( B1 i! [* I! S4 H" j8 ]& sin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
' X* X, {1 j6 Y/ k% qIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
K% ~1 ~# O- o% ~stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the+ p* h7 T1 p" y" D9 B
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
- ]7 y& K+ j6 M! zin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
) m5 D' v7 y6 rimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
3 O# q4 c* F% dspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
/ D2 x! @4 Y" y" |6 @ Y E/ hprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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/ I& q8 A8 e( z5 m2 H) E- ~4 _" m% uActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent' B& h, x1 w) h
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
' y% x1 ]1 H8 G7 V3 bGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
/ l+ T, c9 o& R) dincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more- }+ G; {% e, V) N7 T$ ?
balanced recovery.: `; U: Q& J) H) I. _- Y( z: ^
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects& o; `: B7 L1 `# y& I+ Z
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
: f. q% Y$ j% V F, [2 H" o* ^supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and: }, I8 r) X4 Y2 Q+ l! \
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
% g. u' G5 n" E- ~4 A. \% D k6 `$ s2 B6 Tmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 8 X& v! P1 `( }7 D
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.4 o6 X) U0 w' n' f, m9 r
2 y7 p0 ], }8 | O( `1 o1 \1 BGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
; o/ \& O% V' N) y2 ystimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
% T8 j! o( ?* H9 W: Q, ` E$ i9 ^developments.
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Information note:3 q. r0 o4 b& d3 j6 o
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update+ v1 x, C$ o5 W6 B2 K
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be) j! p [- d m# Z
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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