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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market7 v6 x3 f( G8 t4 P& m/ ~4 S
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight, D P1 S7 Z$ h1 u
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly7 s5 G4 T+ O: {! e
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
* a8 B" }' R/ y+ h% coperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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- Z9 G2 G: P7 n# j" Q# @The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
r$ r6 V" w2 T0 u8 I d& rstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the3 |4 x8 V% k$ z- \
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness1 E8 B( V) P& n$ g1 M& O+ A
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
~# F1 R8 t! jIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
; m7 K1 U9 I3 nstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
) K1 h1 ?* K) V3 y! [$ ]variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
7 {: p# D* j5 o* D* @* l" p2 Sin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
3 |" s! X7 u8 g& limportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the- O- k7 Y2 f- n
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
4 \# @1 L% v4 p( e1 [/ a# [prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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+ K9 U' V, O# M; [! r+ `4 Z, [Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
/ u0 S6 @; o& J$ S1 U/ sin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.2 F F6 L# k1 T6 `
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with: b0 _& m% s1 p, d
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
) w4 N0 h) h* Wbalanced recovery. O* T6 \# {* X
6 B( B- k$ d& r) d* p- gCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects3 L! j4 {5 I) [$ \( [0 A
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
* i; m( K6 J Y2 k% T9 Vsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
2 e9 e* M0 d- {* g7 A' u" @& eto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
5 v! j& s& E9 kmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
. B8 z- G8 p" c& N% s& e1 J( N3 x- Msignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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8 I% t6 c) d( }Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary' [1 B% l& [' D6 L \
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
/ Y! D9 c' W: _% z8 v: K& s' |developments.8 i2 c( O2 W o# E) n
7 j( K C& @1 F! |& N+ H8 \Information note:+ g7 f! `& g) M- e
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update" x6 _7 V; b- l9 [
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
: d; X6 p4 w2 y$ `published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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