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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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$ q2 G" t0 E9 [- x8 _2 HOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
, e7 x9 K( u4 o. Drate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly; I: w& R4 P2 Y; f; v: p
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal$ S- {& r( X' V5 t7 A
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.: v6 @. b) D3 E' ~/ k# T7 Y- n( I
7 W7 B3 B! C! Z5 I# N+ Q5 x6 [# aThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with$ ~3 @+ [$ R- c+ j$ F( \. L" _% Z
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
4 b" Y2 b3 c. d5 w& x0 W! h' uUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness- z6 ~: N$ K: u
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.- o" s/ j O* y5 V
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
4 T* q% q1 h' R! Fstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the3 [0 @- s5 r* t& M4 i
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result! y; a: O0 d3 \# e4 o0 o8 s& W
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
# H) P( l1 E x9 @important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the u# ?7 W3 \( k6 K
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity/ {( R- v1 N) `; s+ Y5 ^
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent" l/ ] D5 B- {( j
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.3 ^4 p8 U5 v% w6 b
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with, H1 R. z7 X" J6 W. R
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
' A. _9 x8 |0 k8 @6 Pbalanced recovery.6 S' R' M( _. X5 J
7 h# ^- }4 g( k( bCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects4 [9 M# j& r- Q* D6 V/ S
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess. k6 j; a. t1 x
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and! J- R8 W4 \' B7 K/ p$ Z
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable # s( I) q. c' o, o/ C
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
- J6 T _ \5 isignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
* O$ |. @% J% l9 V( Qstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
0 A. L$ O8 N l3 P/ S0 _' kdevelopments.
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Information note:
, y- ]: g* @. z2 d' |/ {& I3 {The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update' p6 U, d) L" X& |1 i: J
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be6 l0 o2 p2 P. Q) r1 z
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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