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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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' U; X3 Y# g4 @, C4 ?OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight/ C! Q. O! p. B% a
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
/ y# U% F) u8 v9 _raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
( X; N( k; K) ~: b" Soperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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+ A' m" P( u3 fThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with* a h$ S3 X$ k( r) W) d: T5 C
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the3 k) V- E0 s2 H! Z+ K
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
7 G6 d, @8 _& g1 m3 gin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
1 n5 Q) j2 N7 l* ]In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
- k5 q$ R4 a. f! U" I* m/ W8 kstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the! Q7 ]! H, O% P) @8 y, }
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result9 L$ }7 g) E/ P( D* l
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
+ [/ v( r* V# b6 r% R! y+ \important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
$ I2 w6 V g3 ^! f/ d* P9 ~2 Kspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
1 |8 M" N7 k4 T3 g$ q9 _0 pprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent6 H1 R! G5 c8 g, t# i/ F
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.5 F( R( ]+ d- c+ |+ f" I
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
% C# v; c& z$ ?3 t/ nincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
5 Z7 a p; U2 l4 Q2 ebalanced recovery.* ^. i# j! C: R, x: v7 V
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
9 Y8 b' _; N3 j2 {% w7 B5 T4 A7 dthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess2 x6 G+ i0 Y0 u3 E
supply.
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; s, u% ?! H- M& N6 fIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
; F6 z) T+ l& a9 S; Tto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable $ ~& O# P6 S# p8 U* h
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 2 s1 N' p7 x; @
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery., H# c. l; N+ x, N# ~- r; R
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary m3 t3 R% ?: b8 M1 ]( D; z8 a; _
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic& W3 o5 q5 ^/ g. x; x$ F6 v; {
developments.
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0 r' i* ^* I: u( WInformation note:% u. s6 i D% Y5 o
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
|2 y$ Y! w' P1 w+ N: p. P i) vof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
, u C: X$ p a/ ` _published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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