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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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% D0 j6 M- {( C; F6 |0 D9 ]4 zOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
5 p0 Y$ j/ ]8 V/ j8 Krate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly/ k& F+ a D0 B6 D
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
' ?7 ~5 n& n; I$ V2 U3 p% Foperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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! y7 T3 {+ J. B0 nThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
# \1 g& D( X2 i( @strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
% G1 Z! \2 o' \7 _- R* uUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
4 A' s, G1 h. ?$ sin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.4 [+ p& y, N5 g- l( G+ y8 `) }/ o
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal+ ]" b) W7 ~, w$ Y+ `7 Y1 s
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the9 x. `0 U# O* O. V2 z% c, ?
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
+ ^. i0 M0 I3 J7 G) Iin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
9 m( c. x, w) p5 I2 |3 l$ Pimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
x3 S6 S% o2 {' {9 Nspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
- W- [: G5 |& C6 N. O$ ^$ s ?prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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5 a# J% L6 b6 pActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent9 a2 X z9 ~: G6 h$ f m6 w
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.4 V# k9 q: w: F) V. P) A
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
7 q; s, s/ X1 j S1 `( o& t1 xincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
# l5 W! H% f( g$ Kbalanced recovery.
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; y' S2 x* t5 A% t8 |; sCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
# I5 z- c/ R) A* i; cthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
: G' f& ~; l# W0 o& xsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and; |+ k+ I. m @2 f
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
" L0 l% T9 C8 n; Jmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
6 @ g, |% C# [0 ~2 Ssignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.* u3 O0 W5 y( }1 h2 G
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary6 q$ q ?( K' \' x3 h
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
5 S) W. K8 m6 k: t. ^ o: L' q% v2 ddevelopments.$ s6 F0 }0 d, p4 u# M
' a0 P3 {0 k6 p4 M' gInformation note:
4 @3 s. S1 f4 ?" FThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update. z# m- |3 X7 m% o" o
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be5 b# w4 Y7 B/ U+ w/ l1 u
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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