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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market ?; c7 W$ a! H8 M* R
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight Q# G/ A1 U7 V% m( S' \$ y$ [' p
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly& ?# I) `" R3 g$ V( T! t) Y* F) z
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal& L' v6 H, v" d
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.! B* O3 I6 n$ s/ |
1 D' O- L7 ?0 B) ^; gThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with( P* X( l3 S5 ?
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
" y0 D5 i3 Q# R6 j, dUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
# d1 F- D6 F- y4 x2 G5 [in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
. B0 I( V6 u3 v8 h$ f" d. i( ?In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
( M0 J. i( @0 E+ a9 t) Y& qstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the/ Q. ~, H0 Y, n+ i. w
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
6 O. H1 s5 m% l O* h8 `7 @0 B8 jin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an* G# Y3 y) i% F& ?# w
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
5 r$ C! q/ V/ b3 d1 J% [. lspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
" e& _2 D4 N% t, ?prices and some tightening of financial conditions.5 J; R) z% B6 m* k4 P
5 Z& [/ h# n2 P* {' `% y6 TActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
+ u+ E" X# |1 Fin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.6 u. o" X* j7 E' }: C
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with* R. z* \9 \. w k0 @
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
3 I0 V. _( ], u4 A( I" e. _balanced recovery./ Z3 p, t# D0 J0 n5 i- r1 t, y
" s' R( s' U, P' X1 s M8 _CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
, S- I6 f/ U/ ]7 S$ D1 B5 Pthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
6 P# n2 h( k m& s! Hsupply./ t) |8 o' |% H
2 }5 W5 l$ B2 W+ U ZIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
1 ]) @! x# Z0 j! m+ }to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
2 V8 B# B2 v O8 Mmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
/ d/ p/ d7 D* F+ i9 m1 Ksignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.2 j1 G" \1 u7 _; R+ ^9 O/ x
& r! v+ e$ E- h- I) D+ H6 J, yGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
" B0 B) Y d1 c1 `stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
/ `9 }: S/ \- ^9 v& O8 bdevelopments.
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3 O6 C+ h- `1 L. N- o, U% e; WInformation note:
7 B. g7 S- u. ^4 G6 V yThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update' e! J$ A: Y' X5 j" |+ x
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
- V1 s/ F- F9 a* V tpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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