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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market2 N( p+ u# i g! D7 F
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
; Z6 K. i3 C$ i4 v/ L+ O, Urate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
( w+ B u; d. r9 K3 s! kraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
/ m* F) x6 } d: Q4 Goperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
2 _! B" b* X j* d7 d! P; cstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
: }9 x: y+ V0 f4 W* W; \$ w. H+ dUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
; q' v. M1 f M4 ~. J3 ]in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
9 ] z {, R. h8 i- S9 }In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
c6 G% I$ f: F( l4 ostimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the$ a) ]/ w }$ R1 [
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result2 B/ u- q/ j$ o( X8 A
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an+ i! x F3 a6 F- t8 @2 w
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the8 M& y' y* r: a
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
9 e5 ^, M) p: J& z- {5 ~prices and some tightening of financial conditions.0 [* N: A. q5 }: t
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent& O& | l$ j* V$ F* A% k, I
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.) H! O$ E1 g3 c( ~: e
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with- F" E- H3 F! ]3 d; Q
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
( O4 G% T# Y% N# Jbalanced recovery.. \: ?2 S" i4 b4 O2 w
2 c" J, w1 Z- H1 ~" L! q* ^CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects" O$ B9 s2 k6 w4 S8 `
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess' W' Z" q4 I4 ^$ ]
supply.
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5 t. a% S* u. g$ V( {# m7 sIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and+ k5 c% O! r2 ^2 I' w
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
! m9 T, u3 ]( \5 Zmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 2 l! ]+ h8 L0 b7 }2 X0 A* Z4 [
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.% |7 W2 m4 p2 L2 j; e- [5 n
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
. J3 X* V" n8 g x9 x3 }+ fstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
( e- m% S1 O. {$ C% H) E4 t8 s$ l# _1 Vdevelopments.
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Information note:4 h4 ]8 @1 f- g# D0 [
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update) K" f& l* H8 |1 L+ T2 b) Z% h
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be2 ]8 F+ s) z+ ~- C0 D& J7 A; F' w
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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