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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market9 c' C* g6 N% B w4 T2 D
, K; u a' s& \( }" P& g7 {* iOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight+ h" ~/ j4 Z7 Y: z+ U1 G5 L
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly# Y8 u, J' k, l6 @- W
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
# @$ S' Z" Y+ g: m* a( \, Roperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.7 N2 D# W T/ M2 u
) V* U% ? y- vThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with" W8 Q+ M; n9 Z& g. Z
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the2 S4 j1 h' ?% q, } F8 U* V
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness* _8 ?8 i& {& y# @( A9 C! x! v
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.) t7 Y( |( p+ U1 s! s
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
' o: w0 y9 C/ Y+ R8 \) v2 K: Zstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the" [/ R7 F; m z0 p ^' ?4 `3 Q
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
1 R: M; J" G' ^/ [) ?: k' O. jin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
2 U" A* _7 F. kimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the4 I5 l1 M* s! f; |: W' G8 P
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
: K" v# e" N! Q, K! I$ Kprices and some tightening of financial conditions.7 J* F! x9 S- K. ^3 Z
$ N! q: R6 b, X7 e, q F! ^5 {Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent0 N+ c# F* i+ s" a6 }' Z; k
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.- ?9 j e9 G7 z* v% ?
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with$ |8 i/ m4 L9 b! w
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more: a, ]& F, e0 e. |: c( [2 K" z+ D
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
2 Y* Y/ D& j2 d6 Z' U5 othe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess) `3 W2 k9 ~7 L5 X
supply.; Y* k+ a7 \. W
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
3 s# {# N4 v7 m2 fto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
! P. T! v( k1 x- {2 I& Bmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the , F8 |' H" } g; a
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary8 M, B/ m9 {3 L# G
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
6 e8 j: L4 s9 W! B, Q5 Ydevelopments.# h+ E- l1 u/ O+ K
/ e) l$ f: s) k* ~
Information note:4 v+ f- p+ j" J1 U
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update) @) l' u/ y) {5 |! g
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
" |: W$ [. M6 _. c* W6 R1 Epublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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