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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market( ~1 T3 R& k9 C- s8 {
& t$ c% }6 B2 S2 M) G% p$ TOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
- x$ A, v4 t4 Lrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
+ O2 J! e# q3 P4 Z `raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
7 d4 e1 \( w- \operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.% f4 M2 C4 [& E
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with0 f! M0 D9 X. C- B# F" x
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the0 D% [) H9 A) f7 n
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
; s* X' z3 V9 K( o+ O+ gin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
/ O6 r( y1 L% h1 B! ?: @4 pIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
+ K7 m6 F6 X( }0 B& \) Cstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the3 _+ W0 f7 T/ Z" K8 u5 \
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
d/ I" b8 Y5 K3 O3 ]in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
: g" h* a$ r1 _7 C6 \1 t gimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the+ u+ o" Y! k8 e0 K7 R
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity5 }+ T( ?7 _. ^+ x& S& h; [
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
9 ]) m w7 a) }% U& ~! @in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
+ `; t$ M/ A7 ?7 D: g; ~Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with: m& r! Z) K$ O# U+ y0 w
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more- D, u) A, `) }- M
balanced recovery.# \% X. O0 Z, }6 b* v4 @
; h1 J1 W8 z6 gCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
4 l! D, N c5 W4 D2 v# V; p' Q0 {the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
0 ~8 C# |: T% s' v/ Z1 _% J" ^' isupply.
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* n: I6 B5 ], Z/ t! ?( I( B! X% WIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and5 G; R& z+ {& `2 X
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
( x) w- ]" X, g4 b8 M7 ~" Nmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
( H5 o( Q4 k; Y5 o4 ~+ b/ r9 G- Lsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.5 y% Z8 l8 V' t7 o) m: s
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
- S8 d% Y* w9 f) v0 fstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic+ F* E* [* i- B* a6 v
developments.+ L1 X2 k1 P( i$ @0 d) `
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Information note:7 G ~. R: E2 n: Y
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update7 s7 F! q- @. x
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be1 W3 c# j& X( u* g1 G+ z
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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