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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market' @& D+ ]8 }# t5 m
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
$ T, g4 Y9 t. S0 {* e7 Arate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
" Y5 d1 c1 i6 g. p, Araised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
- M8 [+ d5 O+ I; zoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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/ b2 d$ f! O( h0 ?, d2 wThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
' s6 K2 s9 L+ `7 @: dstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
6 o+ z1 B* {' e& f$ k$ H; ]- `United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
! l! `: V) l) w9 n0 Y+ I4 Vin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.7 }7 N4 }; w& |! b
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal8 I2 S4 b( y: |% t) W+ V1 x
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
5 E- \& C2 y5 E* @. [& k4 Jvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
* W- I% I5 M+ [in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
( S7 X6 W9 |- c2 G' @$ S6 X8 Zimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the- |4 }3 I$ H; O$ X9 T; b
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
, j7 `# E" l' c) [5 ^prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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" ~8 {1 a: P. O4 I4 H/ \/ VActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent# p8 g; [% p, P: H( N3 M, y
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.( i# A% C2 B* h; z! p
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with5 O. @1 u# S. O% @; r& o
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
) N2 u& z0 r, H. H) s2 Z+ L* j) Obalanced recovery.8 G. M, W6 k. I H) k8 a
9 o9 v# A8 e$ c/ {) n: wCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects7 B+ L% ?- _( z% Q& K
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
, }6 J' M! O# J) @% R( G6 Nsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and4 x0 ]+ C0 o$ U" I
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 7 G$ C e% y: W, p
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
* G" ?2 g5 \1 H3 Xsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.8 `' D7 I% C3 v9 r; Y
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
5 H% L7 H$ ~; Q7 i8 x7 H+ Mstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
- i" Q9 t5 u; J' B* N: ~0 O6 h6 C- S5 ddevelopments.
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+ _ T3 i9 v( f, Q4 _Information note:
$ ^5 {/ T$ B% C+ U$ T0 _7 z- k" dThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
, g2 m1 H8 T/ x3 Iof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be8 f4 Q6 e$ O5 k( Q5 O5 r* z% B3 v
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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