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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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3 E& @2 P! |8 DOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
; b& p% ^5 X7 l( A" irate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
& j6 G6 t5 q3 A+ \# S* ^0 w+ wraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
! ~6 D( W+ o( y. M( J Toperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.* c- Q# ~% _7 U. ^( m. } h
0 V+ q, ~8 K# \! l* Z+ `# M* eThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
. B# K, s3 n1 u" Hstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the" F0 L; v) e: h. Q8 X
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness* ~$ @2 f8 Q' G1 p# ^) K
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
6 T; R; Z1 x3 C$ k, aIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
# u- s8 }, p# B$ D0 Q7 K, @! Estimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
9 S. A6 ~1 d% y5 e* gvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result, O; m0 S& ~& Y/ O5 Q1 l, B3 H: j
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an" f$ d( B- Q) S5 D2 E
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
% |1 }$ i L' E6 W7 h$ aspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
5 y5 R; j- M% D; O0 Fprices and some tightening of financial conditions.. t3 R4 {, i1 u
+ {/ Y' r4 K: \- l, Q6 T; [' ?- ~" E, pActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent1 m5 Q' C) Y; r2 O! H3 z
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
$ Y- ^; Y# Z B$ H" O- S7 Y {' m EGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with" z/ ]: a, G& J' a
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more2 e( i& a! h* @
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
0 j9 F1 j- x$ o% hthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and3 F6 A: I; d p6 s- Z; d
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable $ M+ N F1 S8 f/ n0 i- h$ f
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
( y8 d6 o% a9 ?1 G0 u g/ x0 _: u, Asignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
, V- M7 N, S' kstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic( A8 J" V+ C$ E) P8 m% ?7 K' S/ M
developments.
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Information note:
; u. o$ {7 S1 UThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
E) {3 W \4 O5 yof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
. @8 L& A; J; ~# F- @# r) rpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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