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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market( ?. n1 a" X5 u. h& Z+ A& t
7 _7 o: I2 Z* n7 {6 mOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight) F0 _# m; X# G; a
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly" u! t! }2 r4 e+ e7 e
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal: A' s) O( \9 X2 ^. M2 a
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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6 F: _0 B& \6 [" `6 q# CThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
6 D8 e& l) p4 T2 t* r( r; rstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the6 ?/ ], J; m, ~" j$ g+ g% O+ O
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness+ r/ f" R0 K0 N3 K( n+ ~
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
' a# n. l# M" A4 ?3 u, gIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
* w$ Q9 m8 K4 A! estimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
4 d0 Q7 n0 X) j2 D3 O) _variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
, U$ O- [! Z6 B6 G. Zin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
d& ^3 Q8 b: d; @important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the' s4 {+ E6 _, w& \: H
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity0 b" ?" ]. {8 ^
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.2 b* k/ p' O4 t
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent5 \/ v- p3 x- N( k& T2 e7 ^0 t) `
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
w! }* Y2 ^( Z0 ]( g/ u) L/ EGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with. _5 P2 v8 ~: L" q" n
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more% @; t1 s' P+ p; ?, Y1 t
balanced recovery.( K, l4 E6 v3 }8 R. |7 \4 ]
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
+ G! I1 w/ J. O6 `! {5 @the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
" K2 O1 r! Z+ m# _6 L* ]) Isupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
0 k% t5 C2 U4 k/ i7 s5 u( mto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
+ Q$ d. m& L) D9 N/ S% ^; G' hmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the Y r5 h6 y, A. {1 l9 Y
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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G) I- T# u0 K; t2 L0 a; r4 c% J/ HGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary7 P" H' X, A( g H/ V
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
. T( t. `& ] Y) f& P7 k2 r* fdevelopments.5 G8 l7 b& P. H; i( V
; g. C; N) m6 M6 e! AInformation note:' E( r6 x3 R! ^9 J, l
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update- [' J3 t: `6 r( l" Q2 S
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be& C+ G, T2 O5 O4 \
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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