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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight' |9 b) I$ B# C
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly( G) g( e6 J: ]8 \
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal X3 E3 k# }3 d: H, j3 W6 h
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.2 C+ @6 T7 B! y& J- k
( s7 y/ y" K9 ]1 Y+ \The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
9 W/ C W$ b3 ?- Istrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the5 ~& J* I: d4 D9 h& I' R) A! U8 ?
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
4 _0 E, O/ ^3 Y% {) L1 R- Min Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
' N. G, J a0 w( m; eIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal5 j: J8 e7 p3 q, _' g: U R
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
' n" G: R' d- E# s: k, f. Xvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result7 Q- r. M5 j( ?& B- a* p: u
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
7 A. n! q2 y& f K9 m7 A* ^" v0 a, I) oimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the; ?: h; C- l! h1 I4 M5 a; f
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
4 y! _5 Z7 T1 wprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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, P( n& w* w1 K& d. m8 ZActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent1 d9 a7 Q# M4 v {% X* t
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
6 j: {5 z" ?+ ?% T/ u% T) g! mGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
2 x, X. s& O: |0 `* O8 Xincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
1 b/ P* h* S: l# ]balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects7 h9 ]- m" @9 H$ W
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess6 n0 K' U8 W) t" ~3 L' p
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
# l0 V9 r; i/ @7 ^5 A6 cto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable % x& ?! |2 v0 @1 _6 O6 d- S
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
" y& W2 s- [+ l; ~significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
$ T# l4 V% y3 e* ustimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
9 A- l0 `, y# Z/ I1 _0 b; }developments.
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Information note:- I N, u1 ?7 W7 K4 _
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
+ ^; ]2 _; l0 p+ Yof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be# O( W7 B$ q; }6 J7 _8 l7 A
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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