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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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* u% J0 s! t+ _; G& i1 FOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight! Q. r+ ?! i4 i
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly X( X. R/ H- b( H! l' ]7 g& s
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal+ c$ U0 V1 U$ X0 U' V
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with. i" N8 v8 ^) U8 x% v) o! @
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
3 {; q1 R6 X9 z! ?, Y9 W1 {United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness4 T. x$ I3 n2 R/ m
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
8 F- j4 @/ m. Y1 tIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
+ V. Q. d2 a8 [% p# T, z& Q0 Zstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the+ v/ B" Z; @- I" W" r8 f1 B. k
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
3 w5 i1 ^- w1 f) c& g5 }' w: Jin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an# e8 t! e2 q3 W4 r* d0 r; r" l
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
' R6 _! c0 g. t* n5 ~spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity5 A2 `; {* x9 L% r: A; q
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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# E% M" Q% f% QActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent* H0 D: Q l5 M# T
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.6 N% M3 f( ~/ k1 y: ?. v6 {
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
+ ~6 g# `5 B- c, s4 E5 tincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
: G& C B: o1 U0 e1 k! b$ dbalanced recovery.
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& J+ o7 P0 t" _9 \. UCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
9 c0 ?; P; W8 T' E/ q! \- vthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess2 E! s7 {: [3 f+ W- |# f
supply.- @" S$ z6 ]; f6 D
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
1 b3 J4 a$ C, D M; ito re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 1 t- b4 V7 A, i/ w { {
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
: F: \" g+ S# P: d8 Z& Bsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery./ W0 g7 F! ?3 A1 Y+ F H
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
' P/ q P$ X6 q: o, J; Z9 \stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
2 w# B- y. J) qdevelopments.
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Information note:2 w- w, m* h4 F7 r
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
. u2 R4 E$ e% i" }" gof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
" L9 F- G W( n4 |; |0 s/ U) [' lpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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