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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
+ q% M( B+ \, i' R$ _- n6 Frate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly8 ?. P& I, T9 r/ ^8 V) c; V9 D
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
. l1 z3 N/ ?2 Yoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with: u8 M% v* K/ _
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the9 b# B7 x" Q6 y" t- \- }/ J4 b! x
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
# A g! }0 f! ~8 L! hin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized., f% c. d& b( k3 L5 y4 N0 p! f$ j
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
- R7 X! @0 \4 Pstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the$ o; t2 b8 R: c$ Y! R
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result" j3 v9 s; e" t
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an' S3 J" O2 e/ J5 t! m% l6 D
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the' B0 c0 @* f8 s M6 K
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity a6 Y2 p; g# h- S" ]
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.5 X2 h, ]" L6 Q+ w7 Y% p/ L$ O
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent8 W4 |& V8 a _
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.0 J& S; r: C c; c
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
8 N- K1 Q4 f( Q. Wincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more/ t& J* T) z$ S7 b
balanced recovery.; U, D: ~- n6 h
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects' v) o7 W8 U4 O
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess. t! x( a# q `; ?* R
supply.8 I" |$ E4 B( X0 p2 c
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
$ f3 S! [! u9 H" L/ Ato re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable / U2 L# u% L. B6 l, H, D
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 2 Q& L- p: a$ F! t
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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: H( B2 W) E# G3 U1 s. u3 MGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
X3 e% w' T e6 C, O z/ ~1 ]stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
/ v4 c0 k, [; b- Jdevelopments.) `( D# c/ D* T( w8 O
8 t) Q/ m8 I% X! rInformation note:, l' P) A. O% i+ o. w' `) J
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update. A. e5 k! @3 z1 R
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
$ T5 j. H5 b2 E1 E9 Epublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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