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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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; ^% \1 O* X \) L4 r8 s& H2 FOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
8 W, @( R4 |5 Wrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly1 G9 j4 l- M8 ~* p' m
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal6 r, J( n1 ^+ s5 P' \
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with. A# H6 F: s, Z( ]( E0 Y9 M+ ?
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
! w" O- D3 j/ a, z/ l+ ~; bUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
$ x) p( x( R: t1 P' Pin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized./ i7 I( t1 `( s- ?4 v- ?
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal6 j5 v/ J7 }+ s/ B+ Z1 j9 K
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the6 i3 `9 t& c6 P' x. z/ j+ B8 l7 q
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result3 B: c* T8 r% |# b, |9 C- s
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an' G$ v; h4 h( v: G$ D3 P
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
7 U" S6 k) P( k* x+ Sspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
2 D7 x% G. U( M0 hprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
! d/ c* F: W) f7 N: Rin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.% a7 ^3 W; T X/ n
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with5 U7 @3 O3 \0 Z: S& A& j
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more8 z& }) y$ B8 s5 C w& e6 O
balanced recovery.
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& q: [! d1 h/ _$ c: e5 h* sCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects# t. ^' u7 |+ D: `: y2 B3 i
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess) f4 ~( @8 x! D
supply.8 L* l1 j3 y4 L, L( z
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
4 o/ |1 N1 Q1 M; L8 T+ qto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
( b' [% ?8 C; n0 n5 s0 I( M! |monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the . x1 t1 m8 a* L2 @
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.0 a: M8 G4 P6 g. {+ L, h8 M! B
/ J9 q: f2 Y; ^$ dGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary, J7 W+ Q& |3 C& j- k% H! K
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
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! K! v. Z+ m% _: z! F5 ?* uInformation note:
- b5 ?6 \! }; w8 v" |1 ?. ~+ ^The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
. d- \* R' R) ^! Sof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be3 |$ W, E' F$ Z
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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