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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
5 J# B) O1 o$ q* erate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly2 Y; M, S" K6 v( t: P' n: P! c
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
* j% ^! l$ s. S/ ~, I3 _operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.$ t& S7 k+ Z9 T' H
$ }$ p+ e# \) u4 V7 nThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with: s+ C/ r3 c# r. S# h1 e
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the. P/ P% Y. I( b4 w" N& y; u# C
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
8 Z4 t% G' O6 i0 b2 q% x$ g# bin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.% K' u, \" V. N1 ^: g9 i C
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
$ Z8 m- V* ]4 K }* \/ |' Tstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
! u" {+ h6 h# k( t2 `0 avariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result1 M: U" n+ f) w7 ?- p
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an. B0 F! M c% \4 B& M# N2 ]+ F# o
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
" `5 w; y: h9 |1 P5 P# [spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity: J$ n% u% Q* S) b9 ?1 @; J
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent7 l6 u6 P" B" ?% ]* {# M4 u8 b
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed., I5 x. S4 U6 S9 ?$ o8 }
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
% `# {# ?/ _9 A: h' ]9 g, yincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
( w4 e4 G6 ^5 _7 [0 Jbalanced recovery.7 I! ^% v6 Q! N; \7 v, L
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects0 O+ B8 r- u- B; d1 @7 b; i
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
8 g7 [+ C& D) o4 J' W* Dsupply." |7 D5 o B1 \0 S6 O" x+ Z
2 H2 N; G& D9 @6 A9 j% A( ^In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
, v3 F$ c& k, j, ~- g. Ato re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable + G+ W9 {5 ?% X) s
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 1 t2 `0 t9 M; [+ S
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary2 F) k3 v2 d) Z+ b3 g2 I3 d
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic/ A; h& h8 Q3 u9 e8 B
developments.
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Information note:
. h3 O2 E2 O" Q$ Z' [The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
% a7 f0 J% C' m( U' C* Cof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be* N5 w; y0 T0 U& Q7 R3 V2 p; Y" @/ u
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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