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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market/ z+ @% [( B' J8 g+ @# }
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
- [5 R# a! S4 S: t. M7 `& G% L" X" {' Srate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly$ f9 w4 |1 x K6 D: ]1 r, f
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal! C5 E: a. a' W+ d+ l. Y" M% W
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.7 q4 _) C3 O/ v5 ^) F, t& U3 M6 H
4 A9 i; ?: I" a+ F" O* ^The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with7 `( ^5 ~( `3 J8 d' `4 Q$ R
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
! @2 T9 f1 J2 R. U5 X6 kUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
1 h0 R2 y3 J( X Kin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.6 `8 _2 p' ^ |8 Q- M( j% E
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
4 p7 G: ~( C3 q/ c, ]$ G$ T% cstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
) j2 {$ a5 \0 Z+ L+ V. m; @: Wvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result; V4 f& B7 o z$ d& a
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an& M$ p5 ]+ H' c9 m& I: M
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
" C5 T }- e* Q |! D$ u* e1 M2 {spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
/ i' i- Z$ J, B2 M' B! z. Eprices and some tightening of financial conditions.: L$ i& C3 g& o
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent# _) D$ `- K& T' R x0 C% d9 u/ r
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
; G9 r0 J: r: ]. B! N3 D" zGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
; X2 u- M" t S) P. q, {income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
: D. u5 z/ |4 T/ C1 O d- obalanced recovery.
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: I( Y4 r. [; i% [CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
1 j! g7 X8 M" X' h; O( I$ j: Ithe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess8 D/ m- w9 ~$ Z$ d+ z9 P
supply.# u6 N ~4 H4 |) \( p$ A% J
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
& J% V3 i+ R5 tto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
" x; K) @: S+ Gmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 4 a0 G3 L% o6 d& g8 V, H" t; v! n' M
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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/ o# V$ P+ s6 D) @! X [Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary1 u# A g) c6 l
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic/ r% z0 M, j" H! X( {
developments.. W& a3 O- |, J
* @9 D$ T# [/ Q5 x! [' N1 C& K- |Information note:0 n" z( P5 I; l' P) C* v) }
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update- ^8 L* [$ z# ^9 W) c4 w
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be" {$ ~! i4 E6 ~% ^& D1 o
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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