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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. % S3 v. Q- ^- y% e: M2 V
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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+ i" w& w5 k1 F8 E" N3 ^The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. : |4 j. [: P! p0 C% b: H
3 ~) [- @# I/ u3 xNow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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) x/ T, M; ~/ `3 L& c0 T"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." & v9 ~. f& g0 D7 L% [9 W, _
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. 2 ]5 F/ c5 E* S0 u4 I
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. + ^# a2 \9 C: q" V
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.; K, ~3 F9 f& C# J
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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