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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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2 D( u6 K4 N9 m, `The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. % X2 t/ j6 t. v5 g
: f! ?* \6 q# @7 z, a' o- vThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. , t `0 k% D" c; Y! [, r( J
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year./ l( @; B0 A0 Q$ z |5 [
( t/ `8 x9 J0 ~, R. x% M w1 h3 T& `It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.: |+ o- [4 k- e0 d; v& |- a
, H8 E. `; d# o5 o"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. 1 U& Q$ e) S. ]9 @
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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2 I/ m4 o7 z/ F1 C2 s% eIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. * S' o) }. q0 w% W/ _. e
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. 9 V* r% V% `; c. {2 U$ v8 T
7 f- D1 S4 Y0 |/ LThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.: S) H# V( S( T
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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