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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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9 N# X5 H6 T" oThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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3 G$ [$ r5 c" EThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. / I4 z. s; s: {" s+ U3 Q. W
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.: A/ g; I) K D3 _
+ l5 G4 ?9 j4 v3 r% B/ b3 }"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. # U- v" f; A* J; g8 _ g l8 \
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." U. A* [3 F/ _7 g+ }" I; v5 ~5 |
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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A" _/ y$ G; ]; ^4 I5 lThe agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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1 K* [4 Z4 E: f e1 j. {The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.1 e" p" c2 y) \4 f+ m) P: {
- z9 m& y! ]( E& v$ fCMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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