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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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4 ?2 e! G) K0 e9 t$ G2 b2 MThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. $ {* d& C' B( m" F! ^! H* |' f5 A
9 l Q) v6 E& |5 g3 J) KThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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, Z. F8 O4 L( X9 H4 { E* ANow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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) Q5 i0 L* q3 y7 f+ x, sIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.$ F, u9 \7 u/ N" }% C9 j5 d
# |3 a% r" _% f! F1 g& ~"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. ' U& ^/ `2 ~- m
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." . n/ n' z" d3 V) t0 G
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. 5 h2 j# b$ Q' U8 u
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.1 y% u, O0 D, I- r3 R& b) E) t
: M8 s3 G. K" c, s+ YCMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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