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Oilsands an emerging global growth star" u) U6 G* V: Y( h4 y" _& Q
ExxonMobil forecast predicts output of four million barrels a day by 2030
+ i/ n1 l$ c5 P0 d4 U' xGordon Jaremko, The Edmonton Journal3 W, W; ~( e: Y& e
Published: 2:37 am9 ^7 A9 w* i" S1 _. m- a Q) D1 E
EDMONTON - As oil leaps towards a new landmark high of $100 US a barrel, the world's top investor-owned producer has singled out Alberta as an emerging global star of production growth.4 x' V9 c$ f) T- U. W
|0 `9 J+ H$ P7 [' m, m/ Z' EOilsands output will multiply fourfold to more than four million barrels daily by 2030, ExxonMobil Corp. predicts in a new international industry outlook report. And that forecast errs on the conservative side by projecting "fundamentals" of demand and supply trends instead of relying on prices to stay sky-high, ExxonMobil spokesman Allan Jeffers said Tuesday.2 I( t1 @3 e T1 D; t# X
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Oil jumped to $96.67 a barrel, up $2.69 in New York trading Tuesday on fears of global supply disruptions after storms battered North Sea production platforms and guerrillas attacked a pipeline in Yemen., F/ T4 N$ V5 r
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) G. A- T5 S* u6 P3 o* MGasoline prices in Edmonton were 99.9 cents per litre at many stations on Tuesday.
1 b; r( S/ @% }! U6 {% C3 TLarry Wong, The Journal* i. n% d+ \ E0 _
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Edmonton refinery postings for Alberta output Tuesday ranged from $60.74 for low-grade heavy crude to $91.11 for premium oilsands synthetic production. The Canadian benchmarks are translations of international prices, adjusted for pipeline tolls and currency exchange rates.) L5 {: w; V( {9 E6 N
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ExxonMobil's high oilsands expectations are realistic and reasonable, said Bob Dunbar, an Alberta industry veteran whose Strategy West Inc. specializes in the field.
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Output from the northern bitumen belt would grow to six million barrels a day if all known projects were built on their announced schedules, Dunbar said.
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While no one believes the current spike will last, the looming new record high is seen as confirming that a new era of premium prices has arrived to stay, he said.+ T" N$ G& D1 b, m/ Z9 k
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When the oilsands rush began in the late 1990s developers only relied on markets to stay in a range of $20 to $30 a barrel. To be profitable, new projects today count on sustained averages in a higher band of $60 to $70, Dunbar estimated. |
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发表于 2007-11-7 10:35
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发表于 2007-11-7 11:48
