Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
0 }0 [8 G" A7 OMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board

8 k5 F4 j# T9 N( r% {Date      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  

( m8 L) k( J' g" l7 B! x, S9 x* W4 kOct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%

Sep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%

0 F6 b, I  O9 b6 x3 p4 a( p* bAug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%
  {" E7 e, Y; R6 I# z% r
Jul 2007
NA
+ Q1 Z: O6 N' R2 `+ k& {% m 2328
717
442,752
; F9 U! w- ~7 ?5 y- Q0 }% U 410,000
320
) q+ k5 f$ M8 {% ^' ^8 C 28
3 y  g/ z) h# S+ g 31%

Jun 2007
NA
2661
0 s6 Z! Q( a% M4 \% ` 1011
& V, y7 m( Q/ C6 B# }% \* a' Z 442,817
409,000
328
( D1 `  s/ p+ Z# s/ f 22
+ A' M* `" p$ a6 ?4 U, S4 V) ^9 `  r 38%

May 2007
NA
2288
1261
451,216
415,000
322
19
3 {* W$ T+ ^/ s8 r/ `  W0 _6 d, u 55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
- c. A" y, ?# H: q4 g$ g鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
& @+ w3 Q0 A7 p$ z( }$ ~9 g这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

; m7 i) a( a! |0 b& k0 L' O用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
0 j4 I6 Y! _, {0 n! Y+ ]6 s2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
1 K8 [- f% C  s( j存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

4 L3 b& K, X2 x. B) g1 [( h) n: ]
呵呵，太不专业了吧。

新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量
. }/ [2 Q7 w3 K& o9 n
: K. M* ?: E/ ?4 P/ T就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量
! T3 P$ v/ f8 b5 F. q9 v: j$ X
这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
: i3 E% G2 m5 Y( i# YDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

. W/ k1 A9 R- J! V2 @: g

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
That is what i say half full or half empty.
. f; Z% ?; C4 D  T, t& N: z! _good luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
) |2 t& ]& a+ N5 KIn average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
; Q" l  S. E2 d* N! v' {Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

3 \0 f: v" b, L4 M; s1 _3 M" R' {I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
+ K4 p& x# b1 r3 M7 dEdmonton Single Family Home
% i2 T6 I' `1 G$ A/ D) s0 _MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
! s2 T' ^; w! }1 Q7 x1 W+ h# aIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

QWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表
2 F0 ~  d* I7 P% E( |4 G) m; n
+ a! Q& ~" Y$ a# _/ k
I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
7 u5 E$ H7 b- Q3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

, Z5 s; Y( N' o# c
下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：
  ]5 u0 U- y. T! A0 H% J
: x% w  m! `! h% F4 B# l
2 V1 Q: `" c" ~% B. G. n
只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
& K1 ^( l# w7 [2 p  ]% S6 O' S. g看来，观察days inventory 更重要。