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Well, I think it is the time to long the US.
! Q0 Q9 v" v( C3 J) T5 tNow, there is so much pressure on Fed already from wallStreet.
& f1 z+ p, a0 oIf we think in the other way, now, US vs CAD is almost 1:1. How about long some US dollar and do the term deposits." `& S4 W. T4 H! e
TD can give you 4.2%.
7 Q2 X# H: {/ Y& I+ C( IBMO can give you 4.3%.
- U) ]9 X0 a/ `+ K- x5 a# ~RBC can give you 4.0%.
% f" C0 I* i2 Z' q6 O6 Q(Roughly)5 M; U$ b1 J% n3 t, X, e- W+ U
If the US will appreciate in the next yr, I think it can give you around 10%.
/ I- P2 i- Q) ?( p% b( T6 ^% IAlso, this strategy is suitable for someone who has some US in hand or some conservative investors.
# k9 V" m3 K" w' Q8 rAlso, some of the investor might wait until Sep, 18th, 2007 because the Fed will announce the rates again.
m- s. s( F$ f1 v& sFrom the reality, the pressure is around 25bps to 50bps, but we are not sure yet.
; s* L7 O3 T# `9 uRough calculation:
; \% }/ y: T: @) X, V0 ]) W% FRight now, US vs CAD: 1:1.03; h0 G9 A* V4 V: L+ s2 _
Buy 10000 US cost you 105000
' @- m1 s3 ^ n& BDeposit 10000 US in one yr term deposit (one yr later): 104000; b4 P6 G5 I: t/ S, M% e" q
If US appreciate to 1:1:10, you will have 114400 CAD.
7 K. {' ^" `, m+ A: U! Z3 n1 iIf US depreciate to 1:0.90, you will have 93600 CAD.
0 _9 S H2 _5 f9 y. B3 AI am not going to say which way you should go, that is the question you should arrive for yourself.- \. p2 [6 {6 `% G d9 q$ N' G
But, I am just saying another way to invest your money wisely.
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All above are my own opinions, PLEASE consider the risk you can take and other factors because I am NOT going to be responsible for any losses may occur to you in the future. Thank you. |
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