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Well, I think it is the time to long the US.9 B7 g e1 d& }
Now, there is so much pressure on Fed already from wallStreet.
6 ?; E. I7 k S+ _" ~ x- RIf we think in the other way, now, US vs CAD is almost 1:1. How about long some US dollar and do the term deposits.9 x x0 _, D% E: R+ X' W3 v( ^
TD can give you 4.2%.
6 X( @% V, F7 q" l& [& `+ `BMO can give you 4.3%.
6 f C" E8 b2 \' fRBC can give you 4.0%.
" l! U! T1 C0 P3 q; r(Roughly)
" J1 x3 |- K0 |, a' V% [1 kIf the US will appreciate in the next yr, I think it can give you around 10%.) K; c4 h: V. M" r: h7 B/ k
Also, this strategy is suitable for someone who has some US in hand or some conservative investors./ Q% @% y f4 M& V. e4 Y' ]
Also, some of the investor might wait until Sep, 18th, 2007 because the Fed will announce the rates again. D0 ?5 W. Q( o# G% V
From the reality, the pressure is around 25bps to 50bps, but we are not sure yet.
1 M6 r% @: p5 N L0 h* V: x. z9 x. c' P5 fRough calculation: z- T$ f4 T! u
Right now, US vs CAD: 1:1.03
. C9 j. i* ?/ R: u5 QBuy 10000 US cost you 105000; b. b: ~4 Y8 K# ^( P: c0 p' i$ b, c
Deposit 10000 US in one yr term deposit (one yr later): 104000( \( M( k! @ p6 y0 _$ \ @, w1 q
If US appreciate to 1:1:10, you will have 114400 CAD.8 d9 ]3 L [( Q" x0 W+ K. r$ Z
If US depreciate to 1:0.90, you will have 93600 CAD.
0 U, l0 I- Q, uI am not going to say which way you should go, that is the question you should arrive for yourself.
# ]' R# H/ l, J1 U: L6 [But, I am just saying another way to invest your money wisely.- [+ t0 v# S( F& K( w5 T
& R" }0 P* d2 N9 b! @All above are my own opinions, PLEASE consider the risk you can take and other factors because I am NOT going to be responsible for any losses may occur to you in the future. Thank you. |
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