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发表于 2015-9-11 09:37
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+ @1 M# Y2 r* }0 J# ^; u6 _By Barani Krishnan; w2 N0 _$ X! ]6 O
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NEW YORK (Reuters) - Crude futures fell on Friday after Wall Street's most influential voice in oil trading, Goldman Sachs, slashed its price outlook through next year, citing oversupply and concerns about China's economy.& m% R: [0 n9 U" N
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Joining Germany's Commerzbank and a long list of other banks in cutting price projections, Goldman lowered its 2016 forecast for U.S. crude to $45 a barrel from $57 previously, and Brent to $49.50 from $62.8 J: ]/ k$ q( Y# E
2 S: s/ D3 U6 m: i& e1 a8 p, z"The oil market is even more oversupplied than we had expected and we forecast this surplus to persist in 2016," Goldman said in a note entitled "Lower for even longer".
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Citing "operational stress" as a growing downside risk to its forecast, Goldman said crude could fall further to near $20 a barrel. "While not our base case, the potential for oil prices to fall to such levels ... is becoming greater as) E4 K5 v; \% C; ]
' \; \1 g# h& v4 U: Q" J% ~storage continues to fill."
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' ^3 o- r0 I g) [ W; `0 }9 ?; RU.S. crude futures' front-month contract <CLc1> was down $1, or 2.2 percent, at $44.92 a barrel by 11:54 a.m. EDT.7 a$ F+ i( o' W- R3 M4 W1 O
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The front-month in Brent <LCOc1>, the global benchmark for oil, was off 70 cents, or 1.3 percent, at $48.19.
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Both crude benchmarks had fallen about 3 percent, before paring loses with stocks on Wall Street. The U.S. stocks have provided direction to oil over the last two weeks as investors grappled with mixed fundamentals for crude.* _/ e" d7 E9 Z2 e# G- A
5 t N3 [ r$ T7 T3 @! @% D QThe oil market is waiting next for a weekly reading of the U.S. oil rig count, due at 1:00 p.m. ET. The data will show for whether oil producers were cutting back on drilling as prices head lower again after a brief rebound in the second quarter.
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$ ` h7 A. ~( [" W( X7 h% QCrude prices have more than halved over the past year, with Brent tumbling from nearly $120 a barrel in the middle of 2014 to below $43 last month. Prices collapsed as a global glut of crude pushed commercial and government inventories to all-time highs.
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Analysts say the market is rebalancing, but high stocks will keep weighing on prices into next year., K l6 }# N& i0 s0 o
* w+ {- _! t9 `; m' H* GGermany's Commerzbank said Brent was likely to trade at $55 by the end of 2015, and around $65 by end-2016.
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Investors shrugged off a report from the Paris-based International Energy Agency, which advises the world's biggest economies on energy policy. The IEA said a move by the world's big oil exporters in OPEC, led by Saudi Arabia, to defend their market share by not reducing production, appeared to be working.; a* P7 j e* K. t
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(Additional reporting by Lisa Barrington and Christopher Johnson in London and Meeyoung Cho in Seoul; Editing by Nick Zieminski and David Gregorio) |
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楼主: jeffyu1988
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发表于 2015-9-2 16:23
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发表于 2015-9-3 06:44
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