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Ron Chalmers, The Edmonton Journal* c! B- t, B( S: V6 @( [
Published: Tuesday, April 03, 2007; T3 R- t+ n( \$ f. ~8 n: B
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EDMONTON - Most Albertans think this is a bad time to buy a house -- but a good time to buy major household items.
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Leger Marketing surveyed 900 Alberta consumers for PricewaterhouseCoopers, in February, asking about the economy.( @ u% ~7 D3 o# ^* }, \" ^ L
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Responses were compiled on a 200-point scale, with scores above 100 indicating optimism that conditions are good or will improve, and lower scores revealing pessimism that conditions are bad or will worsen.
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Is this a good time to buy a house in Alberta?- L" |+ t/ m. Z$ y0 _: e; S% e- z& u$ e
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No, not according to the sample's composite score of 71, showing significant doubt.+ f( Q2 k4 s9 j/ d
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Leger's report noted "the relatively pessimistic sentiment regarding interest rates, combined with the fact that the housing market in Alberta has boomed over the last two years."8 I1 {' m; f0 j q" b5 h- N, s
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When asked specifically about interest rates, the sample scored 66, with a widely-shared belief that rates will rise.
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A question about household incomes drew a score of 141, as most people expected incomes to rise.. i9 d! W" Z! \8 U4 i( f U
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The sample scored 161 -- overwhelmingly affirmative -- when asked whether this is a good time to buy major household items "reflecting the fact that many Albertans are experiencing unprecedented levels of disposable income," the report said.
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- Y6 J: `$ c5 G9 o9 X) {3 tThe prospect for future unemployment was highly optimistic at 127 -- although it's hard to imagine how unemployment could fall any lower.
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4 F( v8 W) ~, YA related online survey of 420 Alberta business leaders similarly found optimism about fiscal conditions, current and future business conditions, and future unemployment -- all pushed by "the hot Alberta economy," the Leger report said.8 H2 b& ~4 L+ P# G0 F6 L
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Among those several measures, it found that fiscal expectations were the least positive, "which may be attributed in part to the fact that Alberta has a new premier in place, creating uncertainty in relation to fiscal conditions if compared to the previous Klein administration."
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1 A' A- c( X1 e0 H# }; _) QThe business sample, like the consumer sample, expected interest rates to rise.
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- j2 p7 ^, S6 L0 HBarry James, PricewaterhouseCoopers' managing partner in Edmonton, urged borrowers to consider the risk of higher rates.
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"If you're going to make a large spend, ask yourself what one or two or three more points would cost," he suggested. |
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