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Ron Chalmers, The Edmonton Journal2 W/ g3 [( s$ i% Z1 i
Published: Tuesday, April 03, 2007
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. _0 [) }+ d* c% c UEDMONTON - Most Albertans think this is a bad time to buy a house -- but a good time to buy major household items.
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# Q( B9 N: K2 \2 j# U- RLeger Marketing surveyed 900 Alberta consumers for PricewaterhouseCoopers, in February, asking about the economy.6 e. g! H$ A( f7 u
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Responses were compiled on a 200-point scale, with scores above 100 indicating optimism that conditions are good or will improve, and lower scores revealing pessimism that conditions are bad or will worsen.
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Is this a good time to buy a house in Alberta?5 k( a. L2 N0 y ~
4 c( Q% C2 v6 T) \3 rNo, not according to the sample's composite score of 71, showing significant doubt.$ E4 M: o& n1 @7 n* K! O
( P& L& Q4 o9 c8 tLeger's report noted "the relatively pessimistic sentiment regarding interest rates, combined with the fact that the housing market in Alberta has boomed over the last two years."7 L: B, ?; @3 |/ J' T8 u
! F \, N% O6 Z4 L( o+ HWhen asked specifically about interest rates, the sample scored 66, with a widely-shared belief that rates will rise.1 v: N" b9 I0 f* {' B% I
" [; O" g2 c ~ \2 _A question about household incomes drew a score of 141, as most people expected incomes to rise.
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The sample scored 161 -- overwhelmingly affirmative -- when asked whether this is a good time to buy major household items "reflecting the fact that many Albertans are experiencing unprecedented levels of disposable income," the report said.3 t: D, ?( [$ S' d. _4 A+ B
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The prospect for future unemployment was highly optimistic at 127 -- although it's hard to imagine how unemployment could fall any lower.
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A related online survey of 420 Alberta business leaders similarly found optimism about fiscal conditions, current and future business conditions, and future unemployment -- all pushed by "the hot Alberta economy," the Leger report said./ s- V3 c/ V9 ~0 T3 }
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Among those several measures, it found that fiscal expectations were the least positive, "which may be attributed in part to the fact that Alberta has a new premier in place, creating uncertainty in relation to fiscal conditions if compared to the previous Klein administration.", @2 [1 O% c- s U# F& j, h- R/ S- O1 c
: L- U! ?% Z& n: E, H) V$ rThe business sample, like the consumer sample, expected interest rates to rise.. Z! S7 C. C' I# w n2 D/ b; {
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Barry James, PricewaterhouseCoopers' managing partner in Edmonton, urged borrowers to consider the risk of higher rates.
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. \0 i+ p. K8 t' e, C- P8 V7 u"If you're going to make a large spend, ask yourself what one or two or three more points would cost," he suggested. |
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