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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑
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" ?9 B: `) o# |& i% S+ N* TSignature Market Roundup
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Eric Bushell
; s. E+ c# o3 c$ E6 NSenior Vice-President,
" \8 V6 {; T- ^7 Z) I9 YPortfolio Management( _+ w/ o! b& a) h1 y
and Chief Investment Officer; j/ n3 Y0 N7 E0 H1 S, \: j
1 B9 S* f1 f% e1 g- e1 o2 @自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。! g7 ~0 l0 s/ f" H9 ]
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets3 Y0 w* g7 ]; l) M
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
3 W( J. B" m4 ?. Zran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the
& |0 u+ ^; ~' g: }European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second
/ r% c: m- L' t$ h, m a0 d7 lphase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an# q& T( K+ ?. M A# l
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September8 I% D+ f+ c3 Z) `! }
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble5 @5 H) J E& O9 ~2 T
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit( C3 V' }; r% f7 f7 F
and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects. |. \& T; q9 d k$ u0 d& m7 n
for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through% b! a* |3 ~- P7 u2 Q
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
; ~0 a4 P9 W, A) l) |- r: P; ?markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened2 v2 n" u2 k( v- s9 V
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more; s+ D3 ]4 z6 L, v! d
neutral risk positioning. |
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