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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its
( _# F. y: j3 M9 Y* H+ y* @January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is- G0 a$ W4 B8 R( o3 L3 U; T
solidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing
. c/ c& ~. D: i [challenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European: \* t6 q" ~. z0 ^! P2 H
recovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from$ {; T- C, ]# O1 S* ^2 [- ?( I0 N
emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could- W( C0 h' V. R0 Y8 C4 q# _
be further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.
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# M: A6 k; n+ H* c9 T! Z. {The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of
7 X* z2 N. k0 m dthe anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are* v3 e6 u7 ?/ h+ m' M+ \
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.
. b8 B4 [5 i h1 C; n/ HBusiness investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative
* f# g, e3 g* g: f3 z3 Ufinancial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a
! |6 n/ K& r. ~7 Z( `recovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.* _$ [( |# E& S# V/ O7 ]; }0 X' P3 V
However, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects; |. z5 A8 x" D
of the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity4 _ Y% v8 ?! w) H. T6 |! L
performance.* Y+ }/ \6 H* c W% _: g+ P, n+ d# j9 N
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While global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the
% t) J; }9 I1 Q" vBank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the
) V2 B+ H& Z- m7 P! z# c) X1 Bconsiderable slack in the economy.! I+ k% x. }- I# d& _/ H% f( @
& u/ }8 Z" Z* c& b9 D% a- c; cReflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate$ L$ U" _) B1 n3 V4 @' H
at 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the
8 V! Z; y2 c, N" y2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further
# D4 B% X' |' Areduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.+ d+ Y! p& d0 |: Y6 a) B4 k
Information note:
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1 q" @5 f% x/ ^* o- \# [1 m7 QThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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