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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market) h" Y6 Q/ g- `/ F9 X9 q, F" ]$ P
/ g2 y6 B# y, L2 a8 R4 SOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
( H5 z" w9 `/ frate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly( c8 ~' S2 V( v( q$ F3 j; n
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
$ ~* q% u& k; Y: y; J: Xoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
+ c* O& A/ ?, W. Kstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
$ }5 u" h2 v4 b; D9 U( CUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
/ B( {# B) m: M' Ein Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
7 U6 i/ t0 A' @( h E. `In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
" v: _& s3 l; A/ O) p2 l8 y( |stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
& f+ V% t# G& n, U5 m6 `variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
3 c4 P4 j3 s, f- B4 F/ L8 r4 J) v5 Q5 Zin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
) [0 \6 d' u! B/ g* Y) I G( ~ iimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the' {) d3 ]7 c5 A2 J; N
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
& I5 g% H6 R, ?) L+ T+ F& Rprices and some tightening of financial conditions.; n) f, f+ R0 P8 g4 |
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
' J- v6 n* T# V2 c3 i! \in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
+ q: P9 v0 d4 j" R( D9 v% p% P- EGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
# p" F* I% M3 J. k* @9 V1 Cincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
3 g9 g0 D; T* f4 G7 Sbalanced recovery.
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" g1 ?5 J2 _% k2 ]4 TCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
! B3 G8 a( E8 k" vthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess! x8 s- A8 ^; K8 q" F* A" c9 [
supply.
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& x( k1 t; H9 vIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
/ X3 e: x9 a8 {' L+ [9 ~" F1 L4 Kto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
: p2 O5 Y& K( m, l4 Q* zmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the . [' z7 l& D" }
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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) R$ b/ y& K2 |% kGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
& \( `% i! R* ^. F: Wstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
* Z+ y, X, I1 b+ G3 U w3 g. Q1 Gdevelopments.
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1 j4 U% _2 K# {) rInformation note:
, h6 e8 c! b7 H# G. j1 XThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update) ~4 g8 w' ?* A% ^3 U( I+ ?
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be$ l4 r) Z4 @! I1 Y, ~' n
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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