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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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3 p$ J7 S( ]/ E. F% uOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
" \; Z: k) R+ E4 W" ^- z8 Qrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
9 q$ v% k+ M2 D, k6 y2 d; p3 I) praised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
" L8 _0 ?9 {( D# c$ a/ Ooperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
) D ], K; F$ c1 R' Ostrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the9 G0 f% B1 Q: Q8 z1 o" Z) T& u+ n
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
( V3 R1 [& X5 zin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.0 ?# h# n! c* x Q; z/ u
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
/ j0 }# d1 u5 i% [9 f0 B1 ystimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
' r' G W) c6 j5 ]4 a5 uvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
0 M! f; O) B: H0 D% cin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
- Y3 V0 F+ Z& @7 P* {! Nimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
) b$ s7 |: z% Z$ e" Nspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
7 [9 S) p m- `9 W( ?/ ?4 sprices and some tightening of financial conditions.0 H% |+ V& ]8 G8 u3 m
7 ^* `5 U# z2 l; _Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
1 q' J& w; d/ Ein the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
) V% K6 z' Y/ i& l& ~3 iGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with" r6 _6 \8 Y1 x7 F5 S2 @9 p
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more W3 ~! U& d4 C9 A
balanced recovery.7 P0 L' u) D: J
2 q; x1 d3 o( N+ w( o. jCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
* E4 c M- J* hthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
5 e, A+ F* y# _8 D$ r0 xsupply.
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( g2 H3 Y s3 K+ L' R2 d& P; bIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and- r, k! t; w8 H& S4 ~- E0 v
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ' s6 C. q. b- S( j; |! ]
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 7 u g. O' e) D8 L5 v1 Y
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary. G7 L/ b& t) Q$ Z( p
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic- C" m; Q7 X, N, S5 `3 D
developments.
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Information note:! J n! x4 k$ X$ J5 M# x5 i
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
, J$ o3 Q$ }0 `7 r+ W; aof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be% `, r n/ n: n4 B3 G
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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