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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market8 ]- u, w3 L [3 J* S; m
; k$ d9 I+ e& p: ]4 c! IOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
: V) t% x/ s ]rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly! Q- f2 Z) c( N3 d0 V8 [
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal- ^7 z' `0 e* Y$ j: V5 c. A
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
0 @7 \9 G" r- k( H& A6 \$ Rstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
* R) s$ @' h6 |+ F) I4 cUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
9 }& E2 h" O6 Z" t2 k6 y' Q' L. tin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
6 O/ |5 q3 W$ _& T& R5 rIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
; `% d" m$ f ?! l" k2 W1 c% Lstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the! x4 x( Y- H- f6 z
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
' d; S! W2 y# M# tin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
3 `! w3 m4 r$ x2 q ~ Q3 R1 J1 gimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
+ L- [% R$ U" c' S5 s3 yspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity5 ]3 r3 ~9 }* C* M& w1 Y( ^' y
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent; ^6 e/ F0 k c0 B; b
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.3 j% o# \9 \6 P8 I; I
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with5 |& e9 }* @4 ~$ o2 H1 Y
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
3 e" ~; m- K3 p% M) `4 Xbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
0 \3 {; N: E4 rthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess: }. ~! O0 @) x3 u5 k: @) E
supply.. q3 q `, J! E2 X9 ~# g; [/ m
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and5 k& g; z/ u& Q$ ^2 A
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
' y3 k- n1 g: J4 `# l2 \monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 7 C+ X" I8 e7 k5 W v9 {
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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, R& ^( H% r4 e! b8 cGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary! f9 \& r. | m$ }6 `1 N* J
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic3 j: K z7 o7 G$ m
developments., I6 g8 `& K/ X/ d* [( R
. p% A( C# a6 H+ m: oInformation note:
5 t6 D. P! J* B: D @The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update# Q: Q3 v( {. L: D) u
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be4 w" \: X% j. p5 ?
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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