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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. : v8 Y' `! Q: d! c
$ ?9 g+ n" y$ H& c2 uThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. $ i: M, t8 @7 v3 J: d/ V w! j! T
8 m- \0 l: S0 t3 S& w9 o/ kThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. 1 y: b- z- K8 @6 g9 s
$ T" d( f t. ]! SNow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.5 K5 L. [/ `* \) J3 `
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. o i! \ T" S% B" i$ w+ s
: z5 j% V1 N/ HThe agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. ' l3 X" c: \1 F
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.9 c) z- I6 m- A- L4 v$ R
) C1 [- ]8 Z& Q+ O# t B! mCMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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