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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. % x% j# |. Q' @" |* p! u
+ K3 f+ F+ M: ^' ?; q6 q3 @ H7 wThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. . S& ~" n( v. { k' j. Z
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.- U, J* p6 d+ K# X, B3 T0 W
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.9 H, t% U P% B3 b& M( l6 G
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. / z, T1 f( D& n) r
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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; }- I: _/ P6 `3 W8 D- BIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. 3 M8 o8 s; B- g% ^! G
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. % m, ?4 G1 h$ B( {! \/ N
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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