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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. 2 C1 o$ ~; ]- K
6 ]" b9 ?0 h7 |, z) g y' EThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. 2 L, o! ?) S. M2 D# _$ J4 d# D8 h
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The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.) J* j; `* z& o! x+ v* x
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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& n# i- p" ~8 c6 y n7 _% U; eIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. . u2 O# U! ?6 {7 v% Z7 |: M
0 [* h- c! c, J: ?- P) n1 [1 @The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.2 W# P: M3 u: k1 c6 ?
" X9 n4 e6 n) u5 ?CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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