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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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& }2 ^5 z3 a+ x2 PThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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2 P- V+ L) f& ^8 \5 o) F; u/ `"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. # o6 x: Q+ k6 K O
. Z1 q3 o9 Y4 j5 i5 e# g5 LHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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( m, ]) a! ^+ j7 _It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. # y5 _7 W4 y$ h
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. 2 |+ z8 H J. K1 O
4 V6 j5 A7 ]# `. a" w- ~+ ^The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.' F1 L @; r9 v
" I4 g% x2 l9 j3 p4 c9 W2 a( m" N# u& ECMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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