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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. J* V% Q3 N3 Y7 c7 s, }6 Z6 |
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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6 P- C9 s/ S" m! y; Y' h, e# L4 DThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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0 t3 w9 K0 ?- o; v' N4 u. Q" m3 ONow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.& c% H2 O% _' e" R
1 M( k, \3 n9 T. L7 YIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700. v! @( v. ~; B/ L5 M& W! O$ h
2 ]* D; o9 ~1 l3 g3 P+ P"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. - ^* P) w* J$ I5 U
$ H) c* _/ ]5 O/ ^4 ^However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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9 `- _/ u9 w8 x) n; u( k0 `It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. 0 M6 B3 @( J/ ?* I$ @' u
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. * R3 b- O$ K# P9 ^2 ~
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.1 `/ k2 s G$ P5 Q& ^3 g$ s0 f
|; P$ V4 Z0 J4 Y$ D! wCMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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