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Oilsands an emerging global growth star
% J! r8 H( P+ L: l/ cExxonMobil forecast predicts output of four million barrels a day by 2030# E2 ?7 p! g+ P9 U t- X5 e
Gordon Jaremko, The Edmonton Journal
* X. g! q1 K& L8 q$ aPublished: 2:37 am
9 `2 u! ?( s3 L6 ~EDMONTON - As oil leaps towards a new landmark high of $100 US a barrel, the world's top investor-owned producer has singled out Alberta as an emerging global star of production growth.7 p$ w# X' R# T, O* Y
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Oilsands output will multiply fourfold to more than four million barrels daily by 2030, ExxonMobil Corp. predicts in a new international industry outlook report. And that forecast errs on the conservative side by projecting "fundamentals" of demand and supply trends instead of relying on prices to stay sky-high, ExxonMobil spokesman Allan Jeffers said Tuesday.
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Oil jumped to $96.67 a barrel, up $2.69 in New York trading Tuesday on fears of global supply disruptions after storms battered North Sea production platforms and guerrillas attacked a pipeline in Yemen." i0 \) _4 W! ^" p6 x- d) Y
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Gasoline prices in Edmonton were 99.9 cents per litre at many stations on Tuesday.
4 p" S% K! u. F) ~4 O1 DLarry Wong, The Journal* e4 @7 r/ ?1 F3 O
5 b* Q( K6 l5 R ^; MEdmonton refinery postings for Alberta output Tuesday ranged from $60.74 for low-grade heavy crude to $91.11 for premium oilsands synthetic production. The Canadian benchmarks are translations of international prices, adjusted for pipeline tolls and currency exchange rates.
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ExxonMobil's high oilsands expectations are realistic and reasonable, said Bob Dunbar, an Alberta industry veteran whose Strategy West Inc. specializes in the field.
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Output from the northern bitumen belt would grow to six million barrels a day if all known projects were built on their announced schedules, Dunbar said.: @1 `3 ]! z; W$ |- `) [& p
/ _; \* }1 k/ n7 g$ nWhile no one believes the current spike will last, the looming new record high is seen as confirming that a new era of premium prices has arrived to stay, he said.0 |3 \# r7 r9 U/ c" i2 m4 [
: \+ ]# e9 y8 N0 @/ o4 v( |When the oilsands rush began in the late 1990s developers only relied on markets to stay in a range of $20 to $30 a barrel. To be profitable, new projects today count on sustained averages in a higher band of $60 to $70, Dunbar estimated. |
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发表于 2007-11-7 10:35
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发表于 2007-11-7 11:48
