Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
/ u' S+ f! ^2 G- b6 |+ UMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
+ Y: t4 L/ W0 M' S7 [Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board

Date      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  

; C& V1 A' g0 K9 i" B; G1 a, w. ^Oct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%
/ N  _- c; X7 H
) r) C% x0 P# nSep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%
5 _/ d1 t9 Y* t
Aug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%
8 N3 I4 G* T" X$ h9 S8 Z8 |3 n% b$ y
/ v2 O5 v# W  o1 D" T2 @Jul 2007
0 B2 q. x1 P/ F+ h; s NA
2328
, f' {3 P5 E7 K0 `$ M 717
442,752
$ m/ Z! ]4 e! f 410,000
4 i' ~8 t) T+ S& p* v 320
# g- t1 l' z) {! L$ \- K; p 28
! X- Z) \& W. n7 \ 31%
8 p( D" [8 R% I/ K3 q
Jun 2007
$ Z( [6 |  O2 O NA
4 a8 V1 t2 a2 B5 c8 z$ t4 @ 2661
1011
442,817
' ^! R  r! |- {3 v* O3 ` 409,000
328
4 G' i# N* o( `: X 22
, X0 y2 G$ j9 E& v5 ^ 38%

May 2007
NA
9 c; i, c3 G& ~; h, p% d 2288
2 e" l* O. e, |0 ?( t0 L% M2 @ 1261
451,216
415,000
# i# k' U( `6 ?2 V: r 322
19
55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
( |% {' M) x5 f% W" C6 F/ W7 c这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
  R/ h4 d8 }% P7 \: `0 t存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
2 D2 _8 u- w' h- A鉴定完毕！

用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
- Y3 R1 U( q/ V, x2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
1 K9 ^* X6 f# P( Q3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
+ V; t9 f) g, j存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
  ^7 I5 k1 J3 A9 r  |鉴定完毕！

. v1 e1 E, U+ C4 e  {
呵呵，太不专业了吧。

! V1 F+ R" Q, a* x4 q新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量

就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量

这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
, Y3 m! q& B, z8 u$ v$ J' y: uDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

1 C% t6 |4 V) N

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

/ a8 R" j5 \2 Y' ?7 z) g7 Z9 W

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
That is what i say half full or half empty.
! C: y+ Y9 D& U4 ^$ ~( sgood luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
- ^! s; Q1 D( U3 x( x- {In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
) y. Y" W) z; C+ D. VHow about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

# j0 q+ V% Q. x5 E; _) yI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
! ]# V2 N7 C/ l, rEdmonton Single Family Home
! m3 K" G! V- h* y0 M9 GMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
+ G3 O& G3 i! `' K% @; |Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
$ o, [7 Q$ N/ b% `5 ?7 V8 R! qNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

QWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表


I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
" f+ _9 k! |  d+ v4 U* f3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

  v9 }  W) x& _3 x$ W6 h$ }
- t+ P2 ]( s6 I4 S! N下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：



3 G" m/ s  `  t/ }  I0 Q  ^只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
4 ?: ~6 g; \3 L6 F. Z8 |3 t* b6 @看来，观察days inventory 更重要。