Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
3 a* U  m7 t" K( p5 _MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
  i; D) S. y- D' o$ p0 I) `; |- qIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
' K9 S- m0 ?2 f; d2 |2 {* ?Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board
/ j$ S. L! K3 _2 h- [
Date      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  

. T6 I# E( L3 C+ K' yOct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%
+ z6 @9 B+ i  |! g
Sep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%
: h7 _4 r4 q# h& [
Aug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%
1 E4 H. S1 E, r9 t- K! q
Jul 2007
" N* R; T4 k% U6 d NA
2328
$ J: v4 ^5 v, ]3 b$ h8 W8 y* w, e 717
442,752
- _& y7 [, W: P! o* y 410,000
320
28
31%
% C" ?1 {1 ?" S3 J1 W
1 n, @- w; I) UJun 2007
NA
* W! `2 n( d4 p, u$ l; H! B 2661
1011
" D) ~- g  j" N% @3 s% N' D 442,817
409,000
328
9 T+ e1 [, V3 M 22
38%
6 b$ ^7 X% d3 o0 l& M
  f8 L' s9 L/ X0 O' lMay 2007
; ]1 x$ p3 V) v* {2 p NA
5 N. w  S/ y9 Z8 @ 2288
1261
451,216
415,000
322
19
55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
# a0 n0 j; C! m/ c3 H鉴定完毕！

用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
: N! E$ Q: ~2 X1 ]$ L2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
( {6 W0 a% h" M- w) e存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

  |- W& J4 c% W7 F& V+ c
, @, R6 T. g# ^. L呵呵，太不专业了吧。

* ]8 l) L! ]% ~/ `% G  j1 Q/ P/ C4 A1 U新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量
: \% ]# }- ?7 l& B
7 e8 |+ j# l0 l& ]就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量

& G8 y* Z' C% e$ j. w* Z这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
, [8 M' a% J( H* q5 xDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

8 a: p: v, W' }$ s/ Y

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
5 Y- s) q/ I2 A- y( w6 TIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
That is what i say half full or half empty.
. Q, h& v$ O6 j" N5 T  L( f. P4 lgood luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
; @& F* m8 D8 \4 M4 h4 dIn average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
' C8 M4 x$ a2 v% u1 lIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
: }; P# n/ m/ m7 xHow about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

( N% |0 _- G% k% d# RI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
5 Y9 z& Z$ }, Z  [% D- [5 K! sIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

QWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表
: D# D) ?. D: O
: r) H- E* A4 E2 X) C& x- k
I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
; W  {. O6 G$ }3 L* F3 q3 m3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

; \8 C1 F& P3 I5 f. R- ?5 ~: ]
0 H7 G- s$ B0 ?! }2 J3 g( J: W下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：
! ^4 g! H# S; K


- U. G8 e+ }  J3 X8 B只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
( R4 _7 Y" [6 W. o看来，观察days inventory 更重要。