Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
2 f$ Y8 T3 x- p/ l' RMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
# r0 P! M( `) JNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board
0 s& A1 ]% N6 I5 x+ B  c2 i, N+ n
Date      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  

: D( s# F$ M% C6 X1 iOct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%

; \" l  z, J+ k6 c' fSep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%

Aug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%
4 K7 r7 w" g$ @7 S- n! P
Jul 2007
NA
  Z; a( Y2 l0 ~5 G9 b3 @ 2328
717
; @; {7 F, a0 b 442,752
410,000
8 Y( w" t9 l: Q# ^1 e- J, h 320
3 t7 w$ M* W# k6 ]- u% r 28
31%
- A; V* i1 S1 `& g9 j& e5 {
; ]  \. O# P- ^1 u7 y) ZJun 2007
: m$ i' O2 y$ W8 s# e3 t NA
. b1 K2 b8 D+ c; B 2661
/ I2 W7 Y  ?# d3 j( u; } 1011
: o. p& w, l; Y, T. S, t' q 442,817
0 V$ U$ y" J2 y" X% \ 409,000
8 ]1 ~3 O  ?3 R7 T( j; p  N  R# b/ b 328
4 a; p' x. u- q2 k: G  i9 ?2 e0 W 22
38%
; x' q, a" O9 Z% L( o* R
May 2007
# h9 S8 @- O- s NA
2288
6 o+ k% D1 m5 _ 1261
451,216
415,000
% Z7 u8 K) |: P% I: B 322
& ?  {8 c/ ~6 r$ a0 y) F+ a  [; B 19
, E8 |9 Q9 s! W. Y 55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
, a: ~" Q- o. g; ^存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
2 \( _' \. X  U3 a& q, o9 {0 X3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
. x0 ^# K) E; \0 j5 l存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

呵呵，太不专业了吧。
" x: r& [- j+ {& T  U' t
/ Q4 ]1 B2 _5 F% X5 Q新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量
2 ~0 |, p+ \5 P/ G4 Y6 G
; o' [8 w# x- f8 c4 E  N+ a( K就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量
, [% |) |' W2 U' h3 _7 D( v
这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

! G) B5 W9 ?' ]$ C5 ~
/ y7 Q% t7 u! N7 n) R8 Y

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
8 O/ |: t  e. ]2 d* Z- IHow about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
7 W8 s  w' w: M9 }That is what i say half full or half empty.
good luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
' f! m& [) K& sIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
8 d/ u4 s" C( I% x( Y- v8 QHow about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

8 z/ r) F& e% {/ a5 H6 @I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
' w/ [. Z2 g9 T  N* @Edmonton Single Family Home
) {: X& W( d# N$ x& G* o& ZMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
& z8 Y" e7 o/ B- D; R. kIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

6 p$ f2 B& H9 u+ ?6 @2 j( c- xQWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表


I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
- P( R$ m- u- d/ w9 b2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
* e  g% P" I6 ?2 l4 B4 r* t! L3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：

, }. P/ P# C' X+ I- u) S- w
. Y0 F6 I, p* T2 l7 L4 a; W: v
% r' }0 g) L) S只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
看来，观察days inventory 更重要。