Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board

Date      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  

+ m1 j0 I% s. Y4 J0 p. g6 MOct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%

8 [9 F# m3 r( q# n. C$ F: HSep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%

9 t+ H5 E3 U8 Z: GAug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%
$ G3 d8 y: R2 `9 q; e* C
Jul 2007
, \% C3 x5 \4 L. V8 n- Z* R NA
( u  E, c+ k4 z2 ~" m1 W 2328
717
442,752
410,000
1 g$ ], R3 l' D! I( a 320
( F% g5 e# ^7 y: p( w% x" j 28
31%
) p) R# v/ M. z3 h
- l" C. J' a* c) FJun 2007
NA
* X( C0 n& I( G; f) @ 2661
* d4 U8 a, `4 T# M9 _; U 1011
442,817
$ O/ ]( v$ p, [* Z. u9 ] 409,000
328
- s! W6 q- Y9 W 22
; A9 W) J+ a+ ?3 w8 l: a1 A) o0 C9 W 38%
+ C1 u  ?' P3 n
May 2007
, X* ]: @0 V* F- ?  o/ V NA
* b; |) E" {6 }3 O# x& y 2288
1261
( z& Q# N& |$ S! |" Q, F 451,216
( e6 N- ^5 v" Y' G' ?9 j2 l 415,000
) x! p- B# w6 w2 |2 x, t 322
! H! E* F# G0 {2 S9 B* d 19
+ V  [+ G1 S( v6 X( d4 Q% `( | 55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
& {* z6 I9 g: y: p& {存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
7 ?2 f4 C8 k# B  R鉴定完毕！

: `& W2 x" q# V- c- ^用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
; t+ G( V5 U2 ~! J5 q2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
% W+ F- C- W" }. T7 s. Y' y5 N3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
1 L7 |# F, {4 h& J( M0 z鉴定完毕！

9 p3 x5 l8 J/ z: s# l- }' S呵呵，太不专业了吧。
6 @6 i0 A! s8 G) K# G! y1 A
( r" \$ ]3 Z1 H" t$ V3 V, W, Y新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量

就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量

0 S4 N  C, `! q( _1 {" _0 P9 M* {9 b这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
* X9 m+ L2 z5 e+ JDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

; \6 F% k, G( O- R: I1 F5 R

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
- _  [% i3 a" J& `* gHow about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
That is what i say half full or half empty.
good luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
4 Y! l7 R: L8 @: HIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

+ |6 }! T. w, Y
! o8 P: l3 Y% ^I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
Edmonton Single Family Home
' T$ B7 R4 h+ J; R2 F9 B) G) ]MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
1 A6 e' R% ^" L4 {Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
5 [7 ?. J# r$ i. W, ?  p* q! `/ BNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

& O1 {# J5 e( d# T9 L: c$ m  o; sQWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表
: h, j! e7 g' {
1 d0 c0 v+ `- O; p$ `
6 t6 s9 A3 n5 g" S. aI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

3 e+ d  f  x! x7 Z

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
% M1 U6 g/ T  G. ?: V1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
6 e/ z; [* M2 ?) e$ m2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：

/ q7 W0 g$ S; @) w6 O

3 |8 l+ i4 I9 `; h) e0 R, `2 J只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
& s0 A. a) t9 B4 ^7 F看来，观察days inventory 更重要。