Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
/ x# d6 t5 U% n" v8 oMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
' D9 H4 ]" \8 s$ w1 S1 d9 r/ n4 [6 c0 pNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board
8 P1 L: U( @4 y9 U9 m" n5 ]
1 _# [& f$ x) s5 Q8 FDate      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  

- N0 |$ Y# x, ^! ^/ uOct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%

- ^0 a/ L- l. jSep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%
: E# K, {! @. f2 _; H, J' l0 h
Aug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%

Jul 2007
" t+ z0 x9 c4 |, ~( B NA
( j0 O7 c2 K2 N" @ 2328
717
% L1 `7 ^* Z3 e) Z' K2 x1 A 442,752
410,000
320
28
31%
" b- A5 `( l9 \' ^* O
0 C) e, O/ F4 V9 |. }+ A% E7 kJun 2007
NA
; s9 E3 ]% F% ]4 X0 p 2661
1011
442,817
409,000
0 c- z% B+ w, g, ~  _6 A# @5 V 328
' I3 h  J, ~3 t/ [1 G$ R) `3 f" W1 j1 c) Y 22
38%

May 2007
! q: N, F# E" P' K0 @! O NA
+ _0 f% f: I& u! {( b) L 2288
7 Y. M6 S4 z1 R. F. G+ q 1261
451,216
415,000
322
19
55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
: `! g( ?. W* P# {4 y这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
" i0 V& Z# m, U& Y鉴定完毕！

用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
% j! c( }( r6 U1 o3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
4 u* t9 _( b& i8 _  {. V存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

呵呵，太不专业了吧。
9 R+ B* i7 X/ L) _7 U& w6 d
新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量

就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量
) p4 m4 ]. T+ ~: l: Y
这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
* B  t5 E  J1 G" n; [# vDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

0 M8 e1 @5 D) c( D+ M

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
* ~" V( v0 K- G; q- {4 `Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
That is what i say half full or half empty.
1 V4 y6 E8 G: o8 jgood luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
  S6 @; Y9 v# I1 [In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
) @+ z- K4 P. OIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

: R4 g' w# \3 J" N
I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
! H5 H: K# H! ~+ q: ~5 aEdmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

QWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表
5 ]( \6 n; h: W3 q% i" B

I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

  h) Q9 w: l, z9 w% m- j4 C- p
1 H/ S/ ?( j  L0 U2 c下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：

) b# Y( U, G, S: \$ \9 \7 w+ c: k
: P0 ~$ C4 m5 R8 a2 c
只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
看来，观察days inventory 更重要。