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Well, I think it is the time to long the US.: `" z6 P6 e7 j5 c/ p- b
Now, there is so much pressure on Fed already from wallStreet.7 [8 Z, M1 n& P$ D8 X+ ` Y
If we think in the other way, now, US vs CAD is almost 1:1. How about long some US dollar and do the term deposits.
, C* K* U: _" t1 E6 P0 S- oTD can give you 4.2%.
: D6 d$ T7 _, W+ H* CBMO can give you 4.3%.. y# q% _: r& U6 T( ?
RBC can give you 4.0%. G' B4 Z4 D2 r4 W* K I
(Roughly)3 y% t0 n; Z( u
If the US will appreciate in the next yr, I think it can give you around 10%.
0 G4 | X! q! l9 v4 d3 GAlso, this strategy is suitable for someone who has some US in hand or some conservative investors.: {8 U2 G+ X) r9 Q
Also, some of the investor might wait until Sep, 18th, 2007 because the Fed will announce the rates again.
: Q/ L" A* @) P7 V2 N6 E+ NFrom the reality, the pressure is around 25bps to 50bps, but we are not sure yet.+ M& D3 M2 Q+ @4 e9 O: h
Rough calculation:
8 D- P% k ]% B) i. JRight now, US vs CAD: 1:1.03' W- c E9 Y; g$ V* S1 k E
Buy 10000 US cost you 105000+ H6 b9 {; b. i* y, Y3 n2 {. m
Deposit 10000 US in one yr term deposit (one yr later): 104000
8 O* [- y& g$ v" a, lIf US appreciate to 1:1:10, you will have 114400 CAD.$ r, k) `% L6 @0 J O' a
If US depreciate to 1:0.90, you will have 93600 CAD. Z8 i+ {1 m8 h) @. F
I am not going to say which way you should go, that is the question you should arrive for yourself.2 m# R* P h* z/ J; y
But, I am just saying another way to invest your money wisely.
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All above are my own opinions, PLEASE consider the risk you can take and other factors because I am NOT going to be responsible for any losses may occur to you in the future. Thank you. |
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