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Well, I think it is the time to long the US.
- `8 l/ z0 t: j% @9 {4 ~Now, there is so much pressure on Fed already from wallStreet.
$ T+ V4 ]7 _7 q. [$ QIf we think in the other way, now, US vs CAD is almost 1:1. How about long some US dollar and do the term deposits.8 ~+ Q$ W, U9 ~) G; n* a
TD can give you 4.2%.
4 Y$ W4 R/ W% \2 k1 f+ l4 DBMO can give you 4.3%.- C0 k, v) ^5 z p- `. d
RBC can give you 4.0%.
4 g# w j2 U" g1 b0 I(Roughly)/ U# ^7 W+ \$ i; `& c+ l" O
If the US will appreciate in the next yr, I think it can give you around 10%.* a9 u1 u+ ~! n' k
Also, this strategy is suitable for someone who has some US in hand or some conservative investors.% {% E: L3 k, ]( w
Also, some of the investor might wait until Sep, 18th, 2007 because the Fed will announce the rates again.
* L3 u7 @7 X/ }' q" N" LFrom the reality, the pressure is around 25bps to 50bps, but we are not sure yet.
3 ]. X, w7 L; r& jRough calculation:( d: t" |, I5 O3 K
Right now, US vs CAD: 1:1.038 x; |3 A7 u9 H& F9 o" [( ]+ ?9 G
Buy 10000 US cost you 105000
+ R6 s* P5 N, x+ ?8 N: c3 b, _Deposit 10000 US in one yr term deposit (one yr later): 104000
' z& _+ w9 x9 U- e2 |- S: b8 pIf US appreciate to 1:1:10, you will have 114400 CAD.
, j0 b: v4 |7 K% i. u/ ]( xIf US depreciate to 1:0.90, you will have 93600 CAD.
- c' c: U: A5 Z; B4 |I am not going to say which way you should go, that is the question you should arrive for yourself.* J# b. V6 N: t
But, I am just saying another way to invest your money wisely.
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All above are my own opinions, PLEASE consider the risk you can take and other factors because I am NOT going to be responsible for any losses may occur to you in the future. Thank you. |
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