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Well, I think it is the time to long the US.% H; ]) ^+ E' {
Now, there is so much pressure on Fed already from wallStreet.) W2 E3 \* j& x9 {) E' D5 @
If we think in the other way, now, US vs CAD is almost 1:1. How about long some US dollar and do the term deposits.+ E' e* n# }) Z! f7 {- l
TD can give you 4.2%.! S$ \7 A1 a# G" W: M
BMO can give you 4.3%.$ d; a% k* u+ G+ j6 z$ w& Q* ~
RBC can give you 4.0%. _, ^/ V9 {6 i* H% Q/ d3 p( W9 _
(Roughly)
" v& l! W) X: @& ?/ M0 FIf the US will appreciate in the next yr, I think it can give you around 10%.( M5 C# w3 N( w! z+ a
Also, this strategy is suitable for someone who has some US in hand or some conservative investors.
- I0 u* V, D$ O' ~6 g# z, i* wAlso, some of the investor might wait until Sep, 18th, 2007 because the Fed will announce the rates again.
5 ]# {+ `& i4 i0 \( ^From the reality, the pressure is around 25bps to 50bps, but we are not sure yet.
" E' A; w" G$ b. MRough calculation:
2 o. }$ x% {1 v5 l E1 kRight now, US vs CAD: 1:1.03
+ D) N- l3 h! g6 _7 JBuy 10000 US cost you 1050003 v6 }$ u0 l0 A: D# `; V9 |
Deposit 10000 US in one yr term deposit (one yr later): 104000
* R0 d9 v* S- q' P3 k4 P6 f8 J! Q0 rIf US appreciate to 1:1:10, you will have 114400 CAD.# T* M4 [0 p7 Q8 o: s W: e9 t5 m
If US depreciate to 1:0.90, you will have 93600 CAD.% Z/ m0 w5 a/ E
I am not going to say which way you should go, that is the question you should arrive for yourself.% m* N3 j/ M3 l7 z& Z' z
But, I am just saying another way to invest your money wisely.
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All above are my own opinions, PLEASE consider the risk you can take and other factors because I am NOT going to be responsible for any losses may occur to you in the future. Thank you. |
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