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Well, I think it is the time to long the US.4 A* N, A( z! A7 N2 B; p
Now, there is so much pressure on Fed already from wallStreet.
/ q5 D7 {" `; m4 o( K1 d- ^8 Q, |If we think in the other way, now, US vs CAD is almost 1:1. How about long some US dollar and do the term deposits.3 k/ V* j: H8 O% l% L/ x
TD can give you 4.2%., u/ m8 A6 ? Q0 D8 e( [; L
BMO can give you 4.3%.
( _1 _( ? {2 [6 Y* u" \+ k$ \RBC can give you 4.0%. f' T9 S6 c! M. ]6 q& p& x; }4 y
(Roughly)' k( p9 U9 }9 @0 p0 _, o( E5 {* K
If the US will appreciate in the next yr, I think it can give you around 10%.
+ i6 l, C" W# I$ oAlso, this strategy is suitable for someone who has some US in hand or some conservative investors.
# i4 K( Z( g% b9 UAlso, some of the investor might wait until Sep, 18th, 2007 because the Fed will announce the rates again.
. S/ w4 d8 |* U( _( q$ w6 FFrom the reality, the pressure is around 25bps to 50bps, but we are not sure yet.
" T5 s, |% {. K7 R1 ORough calculation:
/ i. x" A3 j1 _; B8 M, ORight now, US vs CAD: 1:1.03
6 E+ X; F6 e4 ]2 VBuy 10000 US cost you 105000( q/ R, [' }1 D' y& Z3 k
Deposit 10000 US in one yr term deposit (one yr later): 104000
6 B. k# h/ L/ q9 _) ^3 fIf US appreciate to 1:1:10, you will have 114400 CAD.
! ^4 g! { ?$ K; aIf US depreciate to 1:0.90, you will have 93600 CAD.
; w' H) l [/ I! X" X/ ?3 I( cI am not going to say which way you should go, that is the question you should arrive for yourself.9 o/ F( |' q' ~) j' y
But, I am just saying another way to invest your money wisely." G/ O4 h3 z5 X1 I1 k
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All above are my own opinions, PLEASE consider the risk you can take and other factors because I am NOT going to be responsible for any losses may occur to you in the future. Thank you. |
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