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Well, I think it is the time to long the US.
2 B% m; W/ |% }' K& j5 VNow, there is so much pressure on Fed already from wallStreet.
{5 k; b' F5 D* T2 nIf we think in the other way, now, US vs CAD is almost 1:1. How about long some US dollar and do the term deposits.
2 ^& X4 p k4 U5 D6 y a5 M) I" W; NTD can give you 4.2%., {; u# W. X1 f! S/ X
BMO can give you 4.3%.' E v6 ?- L J% j' D7 w
RBC can give you 4.0%., H' R W5 ^0 x8 a9 k7 K; f% l
(Roughly)3 Z6 Q3 p; v- m( `/ X3 x
If the US will appreciate in the next yr, I think it can give you around 10%.
+ C" k; A% e& x: h* C4 [4 gAlso, this strategy is suitable for someone who has some US in hand or some conservative investors.- W; |% G6 l" o$ `- a" c
Also, some of the investor might wait until Sep, 18th, 2007 because the Fed will announce the rates again. S6 M ?% C* \
From the reality, the pressure is around 25bps to 50bps, but we are not sure yet.
0 A/ @. M; Z4 a! _9 y4 j P! iRough calculation:" z1 `8 p. g( Z# N- g7 m
Right now, US vs CAD: 1:1.031 q, n1 t0 O/ b/ B
Buy 10000 US cost you 105000
, S4 r( t i( @% x9 eDeposit 10000 US in one yr term deposit (one yr later): 1040008 E0 {6 w9 R" c
If US appreciate to 1:1:10, you will have 114400 CAD.# h1 ?3 y6 m# _2 D1 w
If US depreciate to 1:0.90, you will have 93600 CAD.& C$ l+ d# a7 m' W* M8 Z) z
I am not going to say which way you should go, that is the question you should arrive for yourself.
* [# G) p4 a; S- L7 RBut, I am just saying another way to invest your money wisely.8 n9 [0 |$ b- G2 f, F
3 S, Q! q) N- ^/ a8 h" R- QAll above are my own opinions, PLEASE consider the risk you can take and other factors because I am NOT going to be responsible for any losses may occur to you in the future. Thank you. |
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