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Ron Chalmers, The Edmonton Journal
3 r4 W/ Z, f# P. O% FPublished: Tuesday, April 03, 2007# K+ {( u1 i: ~3 k; t: f
% j1 c, ~% H O9 \6 nEDMONTON - Most Albertans think this is a bad time to buy a house -- but a good time to buy major household items.3 D. B' b+ Q1 W% s8 [
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Leger Marketing surveyed 900 Alberta consumers for PricewaterhouseCoopers, in February, asking about the economy.
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Responses were compiled on a 200-point scale, with scores above 100 indicating optimism that conditions are good or will improve, and lower scores revealing pessimism that conditions are bad or will worsen.6 t" d$ N. g+ b: ~# p) U: F
3 T# P1 m' T1 ~4 g5 R& N0 S+ hIs this a good time to buy a house in Alberta?
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) z/ M9 z1 S6 eNo, not according to the sample's composite score of 71, showing significant doubt.
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) A" U( y5 J4 NLeger's report noted "the relatively pessimistic sentiment regarding interest rates, combined with the fact that the housing market in Alberta has boomed over the last two years."
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When asked specifically about interest rates, the sample scored 66, with a widely-shared belief that rates will rise.
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0 w- C- F( `6 a8 r$ _A question about household incomes drew a score of 141, as most people expected incomes to rise.
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+ a- {3 g% z0 Z* d3 Y9 P+ _The sample scored 161 -- overwhelmingly affirmative -- when asked whether this is a good time to buy major household items "reflecting the fact that many Albertans are experiencing unprecedented levels of disposable income," the report said." x1 {0 y6 _. J
: |( Y5 a, }6 jThe prospect for future unemployment was highly optimistic at 127 -- although it's hard to imagine how unemployment could fall any lower." n# l1 P) G7 i+ j" z
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A related online survey of 420 Alberta business leaders similarly found optimism about fiscal conditions, current and future business conditions, and future unemployment -- all pushed by "the hot Alberta economy," the Leger report said.& d# b+ a6 X+ z+ q
+ N3 C1 C6 r$ y) r% c2 y* x/ A5 kAmong those several measures, it found that fiscal expectations were the least positive, "which may be attributed in part to the fact that Alberta has a new premier in place, creating uncertainty in relation to fiscal conditions if compared to the previous Klein administration."( v0 s9 b3 J) ?6 H B/ D
; {" p- q2 K- h/ E( \8 OThe business sample, like the consumer sample, expected interest rates to rise.
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6 b/ C9 {/ J- f# ZBarry James, PricewaterhouseCoopers' managing partner in Edmonton, urged borrowers to consider the risk of higher rates.
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) x' J @' v. C3 N1 A. x! w: {"If you're going to make a large spend, ask yourself what one or two or three more points would cost," he suggested. |
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