 鲜花( 0)  鸡蛋( 0)
|
Ron Chalmers, The Edmonton Journal
3 w4 u( g U" P" k, k6 d8 }- J% aPublished: Tuesday, April 03, 2007
: r% ~3 ~5 `6 ]+ X: |
7 X. j) [6 b8 @# X1 oEDMONTON - Most Albertans think this is a bad time to buy a house -- but a good time to buy major household items.
6 Y3 J: Z/ `1 y) { t3 W
6 w. Q' i3 l% H- R& I! D4 gLeger Marketing surveyed 900 Alberta consumers for PricewaterhouseCoopers, in February, asking about the economy.
6 O( U q1 i a. W s
! ^7 p9 v3 I. L+ H; `3 NResponses were compiled on a 200-point scale, with scores above 100 indicating optimism that conditions are good or will improve, and lower scores revealing pessimism that conditions are bad or will worsen.4 A+ Q" @6 |. M% m- c
9 G+ w# j$ d* p# x' ~- ?Is this a good time to buy a house in Alberta?8 ^3 X2 o! t% U; r0 y0 \
8 o$ \8 w1 P& E$ tNo, not according to the sample's composite score of 71, showing significant doubt.
% h: y8 l& ?5 ]6 v7 z( a. b" I9 J' G5 T5 [3 j
Leger's report noted "the relatively pessimistic sentiment regarding interest rates, combined with the fact that the housing market in Alberta has boomed over the last two years."
7 O/ b# v# q& B6 S w: G" t( I
When asked specifically about interest rates, the sample scored 66, with a widely-shared belief that rates will rise.7 G: D1 ^8 ~( S& @1 N' m2 Y
V$ r( n/ @. Z' n' i4 d- sA question about household incomes drew a score of 141, as most people expected incomes to rise.
' M6 O0 J9 H0 d9 r% \
+ l, f. k8 D0 a& RThe sample scored 161 -- overwhelmingly affirmative -- when asked whether this is a good time to buy major household items "reflecting the fact that many Albertans are experiencing unprecedented levels of disposable income," the report said.
& ~5 j8 P' R$ m% K- P" H) t h1 g. U i1 \' F& G# P, {4 w
The prospect for future unemployment was highly optimistic at 127 -- although it's hard to imagine how unemployment could fall any lower.# {. @4 K7 F9 t8 E" u0 S/ \5 V
1 v- Q4 g7 t3 e( C
A related online survey of 420 Alberta business leaders similarly found optimism about fiscal conditions, current and future business conditions, and future unemployment -- all pushed by "the hot Alberta economy," the Leger report said.
4 f! \' }$ k6 h2 E5 a( u4 K- u, R% A6 Z: U
Among those several measures, it found that fiscal expectations were the least positive, "which may be attributed in part to the fact that Alberta has a new premier in place, creating uncertainty in relation to fiscal conditions if compared to the previous Klein administration."
' @" P$ f* ]. d0 E7 e& t9 A: j' d6 S5 M
7 t @% b! k# ^8 }" n3 ^The business sample, like the consumer sample, expected interest rates to rise.3 R; ]* ]" q9 m) C7 f& F; j
" [/ K. q; n9 X6 H0 r+ E
Barry James, PricewaterhouseCoopers' managing partner in Edmonton, urged borrowers to consider the risk of higher rates.9 a% ?$ J; c; S) C
D( n; U9 l. y1 s+ h
"If you're going to make a large spend, ask yourself what one or two or three more points would cost," he suggested. |
|