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2007年房价上涨15%

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发表于 2007-1-11 19:22 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
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Thu, January 11, 2007
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0 Z+ U  ^3 R' ~9 K4 [Price is still rightEdmonton Real Estate Board president expects a 15% climb in 2007
, g+ e* o; P- O" \( ~; e7 T( VBy NEIL WAUGH, EDMONTON SUN
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! e  ^$ c0 _( L! g* ?' Z# w- m- z$ ZThey're changing the guard down at the Edmonton real estate palace.
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Madeline Sarafinchan is out. Carolyn Pratt is taking over the Edmonton Real Estate Board president's gavel - the kind of blunt instrument that some realtors, I suspect, would like to use on ComFree Edmonton upstart Travis Holowach. More on that later. / S2 S1 ^( X* n% z" `
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But first, the EREB president's bold predictions and fearless forecasts.
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Don't expect a repeat of last year's housing boom where condo and single family dwelling prices spiked an incredible 52%. Pratt is now calling for a more modest increase of 15%.
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'CONTINUED DEMAND'
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9 c! V) `; Y9 t2 u4 t6 ~2 m! f"We feel the increase will come because there will be continued demand, consumer confidence, a very robust economy and low interest rates," Pratt whooped at the EREB's New Year's kick-off conference at the Westin. "All the factors are there for another terrific year."
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, \5 u# ^. q  r8 `2 @She predicted that the total number of residential sales isn't expected to increase in 2007 - despite thousands of pot-of-gold seekers still flocking to the capital region from across the country as Ontario continues to sputter. 4 Z; B: A, }% _: s* z8 R$ b! ~

0 A+ U; C1 t5 A: g6 v"There just won't be enough houses to sell," she sighed. ; F! \* {% p% i; s$ e) k
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Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation senior analyst Richard Goatcher was also talking a good-news-bad-news scenario at the board meeting. , l7 k' w. N+ ~
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"The big issue is, are we going to see continued in-migration into the city with the volumes we had last year?" Goatcher said. His expectation is "somewhat less." ) h. j! S% r  m: f3 G  L

. m" r" R# B; O2 k/ UStill, total new-house starts will be "fairly similar" to last year's pace. 2006 turned out to be a record year. So was 2005. But Goatcher is predicting a 5% decrease in house starts. ) Q" a( i6 K' ~* ?! t

, d. K8 g& ]* i- b- a" o"A lot of it is due to capacity issues," he said. Developers are running out of serviced lots in some areas. Some homebuilders "got a little overstretched" during last year's house-building frenzy. ' K+ k. P0 b, w# U

3 F! [' z- ~  \" I7 e"There are too many shortages in the system," he shrugged. ! a" _, t) w- `( H. Z5 @4 r. P& ?

# Y: Y' ]% n" R, D"But it's still going to be very, very strong," he quickly added, with the average new-home selling price ramping up by 20%.
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NO PRICE BOOM REPEAT ' J) n' C8 }+ p) x; t" U
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He also doesn't see a repeat of the 2006 price boom in the resale market, which he described as "unsustainable."
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Expect a more gentle 10% increase - mainly because many potential buyers are now being priced out of the market - even with zero down payment and 40-year mortgages. ! P; A. Z4 E4 Y$ B
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Over at ComFree Edmonton, president Travis Holowach was also celebrating what he described as a "steaming red hot" real estate market, and another "record-setting" year for his commission-free real estate service.
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" k! C, r0 w" U" Y3 `( p, b* gHis 2006 wind-up report shows 4,375 total sales and 5,721 new listings, up 74% from 2005 - clearly sucking up a lot of the inventory that would otherwise have gone to an EREB realtor.
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6 J! a" P6 H9 q+ c" {0 Y: v" j) S"Our growing presence in the marketplace is having a strong impact on the competition," Holowach winked.
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/ y7 A. ~/ {; }) _0 {So strong that the Alberta Real Estate Association launched a complaint with Alberta Government Services claiming ComFree was bending the truth about its market share.
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Yesterday ComFree was still claiming 30% share of the residential market. And "commissions saved" of $82 million from his sell-it-yourself operation. Which, of course, is what the battle is really all about.
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"We do 95% of the sales in the real estate market," Pratt countered. 4 X, Z0 `# U4 d6 E6 M: l; {# T8 L

/ z' J7 m9 a+ Z; v9 H/ O1 t/ m! @Let the good times roll. 5 Q* m& q7 m& _5 q: q( j3 g8 @  |

1 w6 V! K4 ^" S6 CPrevious story: Bottom Line# i& |" `1 j3 j) a; P
Next story: Building permits hit record
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发表于 2007-1-11 20:36 | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2007-1-12 20:00 | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2007-1-14 18:29 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
房价涨, 那么地税也一定会涨吗?
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发表于 2007-1-14 18:44 | 显示全部楼层

Everyone should buy another house as you can have 15% return in a year.

It sounds a very good investment.
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发表于 2007-1-14 22:48 | 显示全部楼层
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