Rentals cheaper as mortgages climb, study finds

dave2004

Rentals cheaper as mortgages climb, study finds
: z- ]# L6 ]( E% EAffordability gap grows  
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  g! Y8 c* s" @& q# Y# uFinancial Post
Published: Wednesday, October 18, 2006
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. ?5 A% P  ~3 f4 M& HWhy own a house when you can rent the same property for a lot less?
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/ H/ Q4 N' ~% y/ a0 jA new study from Bank of Nova Scotia says the pendulum has swung back in favour of tenants.
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# S/ K- @, e! o/ e# {"The affordability gap between renting and owning is at its highest level since 1990," said Adrienne Warren, senior economist with the bank.
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: v! D2 F- h# E" E2 x: C' l* tThe study found the average monthly mortgage payment in Canada in 2005 was $1,304 based on a $250,000 house with 10% down payment. That compares with an average rent of $731 for a typical two-bedroom apartment last year. That $573 gap is projected to climb to $800 in 2006.

/ j' {: ]; a4 N7 \. P' Q"This is a fairly typical pattern that you see in housing. As house prices move up, affordability becomes an issue for first-time buyers," said Ms. Warren, adding renting becomes a more viable option.

The current gap between owning versus renting would be even wider if the Scotiabank report took into consideration home ownership issues such as taxes and general upkeep.
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+ {  i6 P4 r" d. i9 Y8 ]+ ?Ms. Warren predicts a slowdown in the housing market with a tighter rental market leading to increased rents. "We will see a levelling off of vacancy rates. I don't think we will see landlords offering the same incentives, like free rent for a month," she said.
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+ u) [1 x+ p, u2 m( POne problem with the national number is it masks major regional differences, she said. The gap between owning and renting varied wildly across the country from a $31 monthly premium in Winnipeg in 2005 to $1,220 in Vancouver.

" u* ~5 ^: L. J0 h# MGenerally though, the trend across the country is home ownership costs are rising faster than rental rates.

# {( \' t" P, P. {Between 2000 and 2005, rental costs have increased nationwide at a 1.3% annual pace. During the same period, home ownership costs nationwide increased 2.7% annually.
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One side affect of declining affordability has been a slew of new mortgage products that have had the effect of lowering the monthly carrying costs of a loan. More and more consumers are buying products that allow them to pay off their mortgage based on a 35-year payment plan as opposed to a 25-year plan, which had been the norm for years.
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Ms. Warren noted that the $1,304 monthly mortgage costs for a $250,000 home with a $25,000 down payment would go down to $1,073 per month under a 35-year plan.
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, j6 u* |+ Q# f3 f& aReal estate author Don Campbell said there is no question renting has become a better deal for consumers over the last few years. "When interest rates come back down, the pendulum will swing back to the homeowner," he said.

$ B" [) R! d) x1 x* m+ a; UHowever, Mr. Campbell said apartments are affected by rent controls in many markets.
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: e* ?4 d6 b1 ~"In markets in the West, where it is not as controlled, rental rates are starting to take off. A two-bedroom unit in a 1970 building in Fort McMurray is $1,500, and that's in the middle of nowhere. Even basic townhouses in Edmonton that rented for $800 last year are up over $1,000," he said.
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& U# `1 i0 g' b* i2 xDisclaimer: This is just published research data and do not express my position.