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REIN August news letter

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发表于 2006-8-25 08:35 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
NEW HOUSING PRICE INDEX...9 ?' s7 v+ s% }  r$ F

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: T% ^1 N( |- g( n1 QThe New Housing Price Index, has just been released and it provides some very/ K- e  A- h! u0 r8 @
interesting insights, not only into where the market has moved, but where it8 h7 J* G& v1 Z
will be going.+ @1 j7 V, l* P+ ~4 r
& B) O( {+ K* O$ P/ c% |, j
It proved, once again, the value of looking at fundamentals behind a market.
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The New Housing Price Index is compiled by Statistics Canada and is used by
0 Q% S+ m3 V) l1 I1 t. H) E) Y; msophisticated investors to see how much the market has moved, as well as an
' ~  |5 }( Y/ J$ findicator of where re-sale home prices will be moving in the coming six months.
$ x' W4 N0 H! T8 |( D- b8 XWe look at the ripple effect that new housing prices have on re-sale property
9 @% G6 N+ D+ n) O. y* X! l* jvalues and can extrapolate what direction re-sale prices will be moving and by8 d0 n. c7 ?% K
how much.
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For instance, for the last three years, we have told investors to avoid Windsor,$ a' V1 J% [( G5 `0 K7 ]
Ontario as an investment area because the underlying fundamentals are not very( g: t' D" Z. P* `5 \' O  y7 D
strong.  This has been proven once again with the release of the latest
6 c% B$ i! S3 I2 U2 O0 l9 Rfindings.  New Housing Prices have actually decreased by .5% during June 2005 -) Y# \/ Y' C2 M/ r, L; J4 R
June 2006 proving that fundamental investing works in helping you pick the best
0 k, Q$ l# E2 L2 c: \) T3 L: ?- mmarkets and avoid the flat ones.   This .5% decrease should have little impact/ [9 c6 M5 k$ O  W. ^
on average re-sale values in the Windsor region.
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# \( j/ Q* E# Z/ C$ @, c3 dTo contrast this, the fundamentals we discuss are so strong in Calgary that the
3 e, f0 J% s  O1 g: m5 vmarket continues to be super heated.  With close to 3,000 net new people into
% Q: O* B- R2 R5 j4 F& \the city every month, the property market just can't keep up.  That is why we
) ~! }: Q4 c$ J; R; R$ usaw the New Housing Price Index increase by 49.2% (June 2005 to June 2006). / T* n" k. y6 _) \
This is great news for the future of re-sale values in the city as these
+ t% k! Y/ ]! H8 fincreases will continue to ripple out into the market for at least the next six$ {% |) T' a  f% V5 i3 g, b0 J! }
months.  * K  f1 n# N7 w0 G) i% {
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Comparing these two regions is a great illustration of the value of not getting9 S6 C. K) i" ^( \  ^
caught in the 'emotional guessing game' by just focusing on the underlying
. G# D* N/ P1 J- K! ]7 ^/ jfundamentals.   It is sad to see those people who said in the last 2 years that
. k  a, T/ j8 U; g8 fthe Alberta real estate market was over and they were going to sit back and wait
# u( n- G6 U& ^1 Q6 K9 duntil it drops.  Quite obviously, they have missed out on AMAZING gains, all9 ~  Q2 d% `, V, d8 b6 \& G
because they didn't follow fundamentals, they just led with their emotions.+ Q. @0 L8 ~0 Z( U1 L' ~: ]- N
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By the way, Edmonton's New Housing Price Index is up an amazing 28% so far (June
  H  F* `7 V1 E6 c2005 to June 2006), also great news.
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( Q/ g! ]7 l9 A9 V, a- ?) PBy comparison across the country, these are the numbers for June 2005 - June4 w+ {7 k; I& r
2006 New Housing Price Index for:
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* k/ t" X& E$ N+ s4 v7 CVancouver . . . . . . . .   +5.2%' s8 O; w8 s) b/ `% g. V8 r
Saskatoon . . . . . . . .  +8.5%4 B5 I& r- I9 K! s; M4 I; L
London . . . . . . . . . . .  +3.0%
( y  B% ^- v8 o( {Hamilton . . . . . . . . . .  +4.9%
' G" O$ }* b+ \3 q! M3 T5 G+ BSt. Catharines - Niagara . . . . +4.9%) D6 f" r/ Y/ T3 v# n$ U; _6 W
Toronto and Oshawa . . . . . . . +3.2
" N% Z* d" A! FOttawa - Gatineau . . . . . . . . .  +3.1%8 H* g$ n  U) x
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Fundamental investing ALWAYS makes you look like a genius - emotional investing- z1 H0 I2 q* F4 [9 P9 y; u- d
gives you quick highs, but also quick lows.  Well done on your focus!
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+ A" U+ h0 e& B) YAs the fundamentals have been showing all along, the Alberta market continues to
5 p/ t' ~- T& M/ C1 ube strong, as in-migration and job creation continues to attract people from not
6 r0 B  T, o& S6 x5 M5 `only across Canada, but from around the world.  Our average wages are% ~# h) U% r6 d: J
increasing, our population is increasing, our unemployment rate continues to
% \" ~  @9 ^( ?* k" Pdrop and our GDP growth is slated to once again lead the country.
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Here are some very interesting facts that are helping to support the strong5 x0 C, U/ D/ O# w2 T
fundamentals:
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! E- n; n0 S# Q! F% a) B# H1. The Conference Board of Canada is forecasting strong economic growth in
* [" F5 F* ]$ ^4 U* uCanada, with Alberta once again leading the way.  In fact, the projected growth0 n! i& u4 u" x4 X" E: q
for Alberta's economy is a staggering 6.6%.  (BC + 3.6%, Ontario + 2.5%), and& n6 M* t3 `. e; M5 t
this is slated to occur even with the labour shortages we are witnessing.  M; |/ D% o* q+ I, U

! ~. ]7 o! W6 ]0 y  B: d2.  People are discovering Canada as an investment center from all over the6 c0 T7 e/ a4 D- R+ g& y
world.  Recently, there have been investors coming here from Asia, Australia,! e" E0 i/ y1 y5 p. J+ w. u
the US, UK and Europe.  In fact, if you review the world's press you will see2 u1 m" t$ F  _( Z: F
that Canada (with a focus on Alberta) is being discussed more frequently.
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3.  Don Campbell has just returned from presenting our Canadian investment
, i% W# w: i& i$ }' Katmosphere (including Why Alberta - Why Now") to a group of major investors in
. w+ ?; B( H' W0 ]2 H8 JDublin, Ireland, and the response was overwhelmingly positive.  In fact, after% L( e' R  M+ T
Don presented the economic facts, many of these investors (who could invest5 h. K; W6 m: g
anywhere in the world) have already booked their flights to here.  Once again7 P) S. K  ~0 q6 {5 ?3 d# ^9 J
proving that when the true numbers of our economy are presented (along with the* A9 _4 Y2 H. }8 B* a
political stability of our country), there is no place in the world that can
( F% [) u, _# `5 sbeat it for long term investment.( d& z; @% Q. R) ^) R
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4.  Job creation continues to be strong (with a small lull in June); definitely
' }' }$ Y+ e0 i  r' ]a sign of strong long-term fundamentals.  RBC has also been following the job) w8 x# M: k# u8 L9 ?! n
creation situation and here is what they are saying: (www.rbc.com/economics)
8 m( f! @; w+ r9 C4 _, |"After generating a substantial 96,700 jobs in May, the largest such gain since9 c, N2 ^& G9 K7 {! j2 H' r. o8 R- m. a
January 2002, the economy lost a modest 4,600 jobs in June...
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Strength in the Canadian economy contributed to a gain of 215,600 jobs in the
' z4 S$ V% T2 K( u2 {2 wfirst half of 2006, a feat not matched since the second half of 2002.  With the1 {7 p( H; h. Z& L# ^$ {! \8 A
economy widely expected to grow at a more moderate pace in the second half of
. L, p5 O5 i4 Ethe year on the back of slowing trade activity, this impressive showing may not- W8 z0 f1 N8 C) Y/ k
repeat itself.  We expect that employment grew in July at a pace consistent with
" i* F2 M0 I. ]% d3 V) W3 e$ \its recent trend of 24,000 jobs a month. Assuming that the labour force grew at
7 Q1 R$ ?' t- ~1 j3 V0 u8 \/ Z6 s! kits trend rate, a gain of 24,000 jobs will lead to a national unemployment rate- i, M( {% ?$ j2 e
of 6.1%."  Overall very good news.  Now the key is to ensure that the region in6 v9 M# Y2 i1 t9 _' W
which you are investing is continuing to generate jobs and increasing incomes.( Z  D2 P9 Y7 t+ u; R; `; [* Z

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In other words, it is a great time to be taking advantage of this strong) q* q0 u. _. a9 p: w
economy, avoiding 'excuses' and to especially not listen to the uninformed/ F5 M6 p  K5 M& ~7 |& O9 c$ Y; m" q0 k
'dream stealers.'  As long as you stick with your game plan, you continue to do
5 {5 F2 E% u. u5 m- qyour due diligence, and you remove emotions from the equation, you will see the
3 V5 L* f" m) D( \opportunities that are right in front of you, right here in Alberta.  Let the
9 o& k/ y+ {; B+ x' w* E'dream stealers' call you 'lucky' 5 years from now as your net worth has soared
5 t: {0 `7 s$ L0 I1 L/ O/ Wand your financial freedom has surpassed even your wildest expectations.
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Capital Gains Comparison.$ b7 s( J4 b1 _9 J' n9 ?: i
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KPMG has recently released a comparison of the true Top Federal and Provincial
5 E/ N0 N; U8 ^7 A! Y. A' I0 ?' nMarginal Capital Gains Tax Rates per province.  It is very interesting to see
6 \' p( j* m6 `! m6 V) v' ehow these will affect your exit strategy.  Here are the numbers:7 J9 |# ~: }! P  n  D6 B
2 t  J8 N" f( w- t
BC . . . . . . . .  21.9%* b2 O) n+ d5 T2 _3 a& X- P# u
AB . . . . . . . .  19.5%. S/ R% L% H4 K, Y7 M0 @
SK . . . . . . . .  22.0%' O; }% [1 f3 M; ^, D8 X5 n5 A3 J
MB . . . . . . . .  23.2%- h) N, G+ q9 N9 f% O
ON . . . . . . . .  23.2%
1 h7 ?1 a; F- P* iQC . . . . . . . .  24.1%
7 b8 }! e' ?. M7 {NB . . . . . . . .  23.4%) J! D0 ]& j9 O' p, C" d  B& D
NS . . . . . . . .  24.1%
0 B3 u( `6 R  D" s$ qPE . . . . . . . .  23.7%& k. F; }1 \: ^! |
NF . . . . . . . .  24.3%0 k3 p% Z) n( @+ L  A, r- N7 f
: {) L5 L& J* d0 C$ q3 ~
Lower capital gains tax increases investment and stimulates the long term
; c) V3 Y; S' [" t: _economy of the province.  It also allows real estate investors to keep more of1 w. r; |0 k, a# R2 [" l
their profits at exit time.  Always a good number to pay attention to.7 K) X% o# l5 k

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0 d3 P" ^; n4 v0 Q2 ^/ J0 rOverall, by staying focused for the next short period of time, you have the
. C$ H5 P6 W" d8 P6 Z; ropportunity to create financial freedom of which others can only dream.  Of
% t" ]- X* ]0 F% Q! mcourse, the key word is focus.  And with an August line-up of 'Members Only'
5 b9 s* `, ], P/ nevents like this, you can't help to become a real estate investment champion- x! r. ?) ]5 c' r/ ^0 p4 K
when you take action as a full REIN Member.
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Focus on the fundamentals, keep emotions out of your decisions, and enjoy the
- a2 l, b/ {1 I. P+ C% s! Vresults in just a few short years.
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发表于 2006-8-25 09:26 | 显示全部楼层
原帖由 屯民 于 2006-8-25 08:35 发表; u; T, m% a7 d6 D) N. H* Z: T
NEW HOUSING PRICE INDEX...
: U8 q' I/ E  q6 s) x& b: U  g( p8 n% i  n4 C0 V+ B9 [# F

% D  W1 v% d8 t0 HThe New Housing Price Index, has just been released and it provides some very3 g! F3 ?* d' f
interesting insights, not only into where the market has moved, but where it
$ S* p; D+ I5 zwill be  ...
5 y5 w1 a" A5 v% Q: u) M! t
5 w4 Y0 q! ~0 l) q4 Y
谢谢分享,你买了他们的membership吗?可以给我多发点文章吗?如果值得我也想加入。
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 楼主| 发表于 2006-8-25 10:45 | 显示全部楼层
Yes, I am member.  Below is an old one but I think it is very good. % u4 m; ]: W& d  q9 V* v2 @4 @. }
: V0 @- M1 O3 t7 t
http://www.albertarein.com/insid ... le&articleid=49
- }8 Y# u6 a" U% \1 u) ]* x% r; G: v' V( {4 A
You can also go to their web site to get more info. Here is the link.
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% V$ M0 d, V& Y" H1 N5 U( G# hhttp://www.albertarein.com/index.asp
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发表于 2006-8-25 11:17 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
嘿,炒访团来了哈!
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 楼主| 发表于 2006-8-25 11:27 | 显示全部楼层
You are one of the biggest 炒家 I knew.
鲜花(437) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2006-8-25 12:00 | 显示全部楼层
很象国内的股评.
鲜花(150) 鸡蛋(3)
发表于 2006-8-25 18:21 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
看吧,每个月才3000人,一年人口才增加4万人,仅仅占全市总人口的4%,房子半年涨了50%,这就是我说的房价水分(虚涨)。所以,降价是谁也挡不住的。
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***醉酒认为,合理房价上涨=4%/年(人口)+8%/年(自然增长)+10%(经济前景)=22%/年就够多了。所以炒作因素引起增长 = 45%-22% = 23%,所以,降价空间很大,等等吧****
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原帖由 屯民 于 2006-8-25 08:35 发表" v9 ~  J9 _4 v/ L9 j
NEW HOUSING PRICE INDEX...
9 X# r3 Z4 Q: q" U1 Y. g) n+ Y( Y; e% h- M" u

' k9 q5 y: w5 u; [6 {+ ]- hWith close to 3,000 net new people into# j5 b5 V! k& u2 @- @
the city every month, the property market just can't keep up.  That is why we
! H+ @# M& Q8 f0 Q  m; k! ]2 msaw the New Housing Price Index ...
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[ 本帖最后由 醉酒当歌 于 2006-8-25 18:44 编辑 ]
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