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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑
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. ~- h4 \5 Q# YSignature Market Roundup
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1 w2 B) _* Z, t+ L4 {Eric Bushell7 b: l5 |4 X) Q7 [; z( d; w
Senior Vice-President,
8 E. D0 q) S* y0 YPortfolio Management
$ V7 O+ I* t7 z l% _# X8 Oand Chief Investment Officer8 Q* D2 [. ^9 ^7 ?
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自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。$ t1 k/ q# j9 M$ o" R' T
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets4 D7 J; |8 W w6 g8 d* M( F
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
& D" Z9 G/ T. Z0 C& M1 ~7 ^3 bran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the
F% B0 f v- W; { F7 fEuropean sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second2 [& p6 g, F3 S7 [1 t
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an
: K- r3 |' b$ `/ m; j- D8 qunconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September' a( x, o- `8 A& U" m
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble
- E9 @% b1 I/ H2 Lfor real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
. E( n1 E9 y% R$ G4 eand equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects; ~# h+ { u1 [3 u
for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through
9 C/ j4 K7 p- kU.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
% R0 l% [0 L9 A6 D4 @ }% dmarkets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened/ X# n- ^2 b' k w& I/ E: P# @/ J
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more' e9 k& }& r; b$ n$ L0 s
neutral risk positioning. |
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