埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告

老杨

埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告

                            ——9月市场平稳，消费者静观其变
' e. A# B5 l; I/ {3 p" u
本文来源于http://www.ereb.com/MarketActivity/LatestMarketAnalysis.html，中英文有异议之处请以英文为准。
/ H7 S2 h! F. z- K3 k6 q
" d  _! ~& r. J+ F2010年10月4日埃德蒙顿消息：进入今年最后一个季度，埃德蒙顿房价平稳，没有大的波动。9月份，独立屋的价格几乎与8月持平，康兜（Condo）的价格在经历了四个月的下跌之后，9月略有回升。与8月相比，9月份的上市量和成交量都有所下降。

“市场好像正在休整期”，埃德蒙顿房地产经纪协会主席Larry Westergard表示，“在经历了过去几年的震荡，买家疯狂抢购的非理性期之后，消费者们现在显得理智和冷静，静观下一步的市场动态”。目前，市场仍有8,600个单元待售，买家有足够的选择空间。
6 {: w4 _4 {* q  W3 ?5 T
) E, m7 S+ b: G+ R* G9月份，独立屋的平均价格为$370,653；而康兜（Condo）的价格，在连续四个月下降之后开始反弹，均价为$238,822，升高了近1%，但仍然没有达到4月份拐点的小高峰$252,728；丢普莱克斯（duplex）和排屋（rowhouse）的成交均价为$313,462，下降了11%，但是这类房型的总成交量小，代表性差，所以每月波动很大；而各类房型的成交均价为$326,499，较上月下降了近0.25%。
' v7 z: `/ x/ u3 y) J; e3 ~
9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元，成交量略低于上月，新上市房屋为2,688个单元，挂牌销售比为47%，房屋从挂牌上市到售出所需平均时间与上月没有变化，仍然为57天。

“第三季度的市场活动，与第一季度相比几乎没有什么变化”，Westergard说，“第三季度成交量较第二季度有所回落，但仍然好于第一季度的水平，这显示了上半年的市场充满活力，深受宏观经济形势走强的感染，同时也受到了加息的威胁。”

' b6 G, ~! A. @3 t' ~, [) g+ _

September 2010 activity	Record for 5 F0 E, A" g* i0 u# \4 O                the month*	% change from * M' ]" _7 t! S. T, B                September                2009
Total MLS® System sales this month	1,379	-27.30%
Value of total MLS® System sales - month	$450 million	-26.50%
Value of total MLS® System sales - year	$4.94 billion	-11.50%
Residential¹  sales this month	1,187	-23.20%
Residential average price	$326,499	0%
SFD² average selling   price - month	$370,653	0.70%
SFD median³ selling   price	$348,000	0.55%
Condo average selling price	$238,822	-3.10%

          ¹. Residential includes SFD, condos and duplex/row houses.
². Single Family Dwelling
4 P. m9 b* @" ^* O) i, y! O- ]³. The middle figure in a list of all sales prices
          * Average prices indicate market trends only. They do not reflect            actual prices, which vary from house to house and area to area. For            information on a specific area, contact your local REALTOR®.

老杨

我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平，或者略有上升”，而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元，成交量略低于上月”，这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。
" H4 f% j# Z, d
" r; {" n. P: R( f9 _- L; c上个月的报告说“8月份各类住宅成交量为1,195个单元”，这个月的报告说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元”，看起来9月份比8月份成交量减少了8套，但8月份有31天而9月份有30天，哪么8月份每天的成交量等于38.55，而9月份每天的成交量等于39.57，也就是说9月份每天比8月份多成交一套房子。

" i9 i4 f& n, N' v( i0 f# M  e' E0 S小明第一次考试90分，第二次考试80分，第三次考试70分，第四次考试70分。在我看来，小明的第四次考试成绩没有继续下滑，说明了一定的问题。

天上明珠

哈哈，那是时候买还是卖？

Hills

Sell a house. Worry about house bubble.

翠花

我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平，或者略有上升”，而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元，成交量略低于上月”，这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。
8 J# X% A$ R6 a+ \! A
上个月的报告说“8月 ...
) y* N6 }3 T- Q( \* l/ b. E老杨 发表于 2010-10-4 17:31

( O$ _* T% ]9 [- ^
算得这么细，肯定是借外脑了，是不是请酷暑帮你算的？

catty

统计口径差别大，Bob Truman个人统计：
. Z7 L7 A8 R' @) I4 gSep 382,273 350,000
Aug 392,082 357,500

solo0606

老朱

分享！

翠花

不止是有点暖，是高烧～
7 Z5 g3 }  ~: t& }$ a
http://www.edmontonjournal.com/b ... ?cid=megadrop_story

( ?) U+ `4 y0 b8 ]+ D7 J& p; J
Edmonton sees 26% spike in luxury-home sales
High-end houses defy real estate cooling trend


EDMONTON — While homebuying activity is cooling in Edmonton, luxury-home sales are picking up, says a new national report by ReMax.

, V) n8 @  Z! U* U3 ]" w“One area of the market that has outperformed all others is the upper end,” said the ReMax Market Trends Report Fall 2010 released Tuesday.

& M# I, f* f& J% w! E5 m" d9 J- ZSales of homes priced more than $700,000 are up 26 per cent over 2009, with 240 upscale properties changing hands as of August, compared to 190 units for the same period last year, it said.
; z5 e  {! n5 a$ y7 A
" v- B( O! p( T0 j( S7 gFifty-five homes in the Edmonton area have sold for more than $1 million.

The urgency in Edmonton’s residential housing market — prompted by tighter lending policies and the threat of higher interest rates earlier in the year — has given way to more stable conditions heading into the fourth quarter of 2010, the report said.

$ G* s  b3 ]6 t( `6 d# v“Positive announcements in the oil and gas sector should spur renewed activity in residential real estate — as evidenced in the first few weeks of September.
9 Z* O. f) k/ i; p0 d4 U8 O3 T/ X& E
) Y7 ~" q- N, \8 r; T2 c7 w" y3 `“Despite recent hikes, interest rates remain attractive with a five-year closed hovering at four per cent. The outlook for the remainder of the year is stable, with no real fluctuations in either sales or price.”
3 r" v& {$ l8 n4 ]" H* {; \9 s2 ^
Year-to-date sales have slipped 14 per cent to 11,773 units, compared to 13,694 during the same period a year earlier, the report said.

The sales-to-listing ratio is now 47 per cent, down from 59 per cent in 2009, but up from 42 per cent in 2008.
! y' `: ?; P  w% y% `
: U$ P( {% ~$ h% z8 o5 Y8 SAverage price is holding steady, up about four cent to $332,789 in 2010, about $12,500, or 3.9 per cent, higher than a year ago when the residential average was $320,289, the report said.
$ W" \/ t: P2 {2 P/ u7 a
Inventory levels are up marginally over last year, but down from peak levels reached in 2007 and 2008, ReMax said.
: l' A" j  t( [& j: H+ X
" Q( l: i3 N$ x# v“As a result, the housing market has been characterized as balanced, slightly favouring the buyer,” the report said.

/ E  r' s; ^6 {( {First-time buyers in Edmonton remain most active, driving sales of single-family homes between $250,000 and $350,000. Condos represent 34 per cent of residential sales.
" g0 K0 C8 m# x$ b$ x9 n; t
An influx of new units recently has pushed up supply, putting downward pressure on condo prices, according to the report. Tighter lending rules, requiring a 20-per-cent down payment, “is proving to be detrimental to investment activity.”

The report, which covered trends and developments in 19 major centres from January to August, found year-to-date sales ahead of 2009 levels in 11 markets.
; p. p  {1 v; m" v$ N3 L3 Q
* D4 C% c; e, {7 d  X# UPrices were up year-over-year in all cities, with five experiencing double-digit gains in 2010: Vancouver, St. John’s, Sudbury, Winnipeg and the Greater Toronto Area.

4 X7 F6 A* N5 Y5 m6 C, @. C9 U“We cleaned up in the first quarter of 2010 because housing activity during the same period one year earlier was dismal,” said Elton Ash, regional executive vice-president of ReMax, Western Canada.

0 J6 M; \- b5 Z5 Q5 @0 T“We’re now comparing the second half of the year to 2009 and falling short of expectations. Looking at the big picture however, the market remains healthy.”