埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告

老杨

埃德蒙顿2010年9月房产报告
0 Q/ @3 s6 e- y8 b9 S( s# ?# J
2 o0 }% T* U% q; [# g7 m                            ——9月市场平稳，消费者静观其变
6 c, m( b3 M# l$ h$ M) }
9 Z' M8 e) m$ ~  g本文来源于http://www.ereb.com/MarketActivity/LatestMarketAnalysis.html，中英文有异议之处请以英文为准。
* Y' k& T: |' N1 f& R+ t  ~
# c$ g* ^0 \& R  f. L2010年10月4日埃德蒙顿消息：进入今年最后一个季度，埃德蒙顿房价平稳，没有大的波动。9月份，独立屋的价格几乎与8月持平，康兜（Condo）的价格在经历了四个月的下跌之后，9月略有回升。与8月相比，9月份的上市量和成交量都有所下降。

+ T* o% I) f& N, Q$ g  s6 `8 ~$ J“市场好像正在休整期”，埃德蒙顿房地产经纪协会主席Larry Westergard表示，“在经历了过去几年的震荡，买家疯狂抢购的非理性期之后，消费者们现在显得理智和冷静，静观下一步的市场动态”。目前，市场仍有8,600个单元待售，买家有足够的选择空间。
- E/ p9 a3 a' d# q
9月份，独立屋的平均价格为$370,653；而康兜（Condo）的价格，在连续四个月下降之后开始反弹，均价为$238,822，升高了近1%，但仍然没有达到4月份拐点的小高峰$252,728；丢普莱克斯（duplex）和排屋（rowhouse）的成交均价为$313,462，下降了11%，但是这类房型的总成交量小，代表性差，所以每月波动很大；而各类房型的成交均价为$326,499，较上月下降了近0.25%。
3 D2 X5 k) t( s& l# o
9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元，成交量略低于上月，新上市房屋为2,688个单元，挂牌销售比为47%，房屋从挂牌上市到售出所需平均时间与上月没有变化，仍然为57天。
9 Z. i, k# {" K# k  q+ y: {
“第三季度的市场活动，与第一季度相比几乎没有什么变化”，Westergard说，“第三季度成交量较第二季度有所回落，但仍然好于第一季度的水平，这显示了上半年的市场充满活力，深受宏观经济形势走强的感染，同时也受到了加息的威胁。”
) ^+ n6 }) X; W% g
+ s! X: `; p, F" ~0 R/ M! C

September 2010 activity	Record for                 the month*	% change from + e1 `* j) y" n. K                September                2009
Total MLS® System sales this month	1,379	-27.30%
Value of total MLS® System sales - month	$450 million	-26.50%
Value of total MLS® System sales - year	$4.94 billion	-11.50%
Residential¹  sales this month	1,187	-23.20%
Residential average price	$326,499	0%
SFD² average selling   price - month	$370,653	0.70%
SFD median³ selling   price	$348,000	0.55%
Condo average selling price	$238,822	-3.10%

          ¹. Residential includes SFD, condos and duplex/row houses.
; G' H' C7 ?7 e& X; f9 t². Single Family Dwelling
% ^* P: [- K6 z  o, u³. The middle figure in a list of all sales prices
          * Average prices indicate market trends only. They do not reflect            actual prices, which vary from house to house and area to area. For            information on a specific area, contact your local REALTOR®.

老杨

我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平，或者略有上升”，而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元，成交量略低于上月”，这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。

# J3 y& `9 y% h( }- R, O上个月的报告说“8月份各类住宅成交量为1,195个单元”，这个月的报告说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元”，看起来9月份比8月份成交量减少了8套，但8月份有31天而9月份有30天，哪么8月份每天的成交量等于38.55，而9月份每天的成交量等于39.57，也就是说9月份每天比8月份多成交一套房子。

小明第一次考试90分，第二次考试80分，第三次考试70分，第四次考试70分。在我看来，小明的第四次考试成绩没有继续下滑，说明了一定的问题。

天上明珠

哈哈，那是时候买还是卖？

Hills

Sell a house. Worry about house bubble.

翠花

我在另外一个帖子里面说“9月份的成交量可能会与8月份持平，或者略有上升”，而上面的报告里面说“9月份各类住宅成交量为1,187个单元，成交量略低于上月”，这是因为我跟地产局的看法有差异。
- j( X. E3 O$ }8 ~, |
' n% _% t/ k6 X& M上个月的报告说“8月 ...
! C0 v/ F9 A/ _. P' |老杨 发表于 2010-10-4 17:31

6 f1 Y. S, H0 z, \8 a7 {
* X; K9 X( b- N# ^
算得这么细，肯定是借外脑了，是不是请酷暑帮你算的？

catty

统计口径差别大，Bob Truman个人统计：
0 |, |( ?9 x9 V# m' kSep 382,273 350,000
5 V2 v8 t0 ~- N1 S) HAug 392,082 357,500

solo0606

老朱

分享！

翠花

不止是有点暖，是高烧～
7 F! h. B* G, S7 i4 e" E  H( Z
- n6 B" x% \" n+ J3 V: Bhttp://www.edmontonjournal.com/b ... ?cid=megadrop_story
' \. l* ]/ n2 G
, X& Z& Y: W( s5 f
8 k$ }4 q: ~* iEdmonton sees 26% spike in luxury-home sales
High-end houses defy real estate cooling trend

" t! Q- k( e! t& j. {
; A3 h$ t) \1 v! _0 lEDMONTON — While homebuying activity is cooling in Edmonton, luxury-home sales are picking up, says a new national report by ReMax.
  n* `& c2 C' B7 u* |* u1 Z" T
“One area of the market that has outperformed all others is the upper end,” said the ReMax Market Trends Report Fall 2010 released Tuesday.

* ?/ N* x& N& ^5 HSales of homes priced more than $700,000 are up 26 per cent over 2009, with 240 upscale properties changing hands as of August, compared to 190 units for the same period last year, it said.

Fifty-five homes in the Edmonton area have sold for more than $1 million.

, i' M# x0 l, _9 O% D4 E8 C' d! A9 SThe urgency in Edmonton’s residential housing market — prompted by tighter lending policies and the threat of higher interest rates earlier in the year — has given way to more stable conditions heading into the fourth quarter of 2010, the report said.
3 d6 m- D  X5 b+ ^6 R' h$ |
“Positive announcements in the oil and gas sector should spur renewed activity in residential real estate — as evidenced in the first few weeks of September.
( N% x% q& m  v* j1 l8 w  x
“Despite recent hikes, interest rates remain attractive with a five-year closed hovering at four per cent. The outlook for the remainder of the year is stable, with no real fluctuations in either sales or price.”
3 C% D5 ~, C$ L3 l# l
9 A; G: T. B# AYear-to-date sales have slipped 14 per cent to 11,773 units, compared to 13,694 during the same period a year earlier, the report said.
3 S% j: E" d8 v1 |% p1 R
The sales-to-listing ratio is now 47 per cent, down from 59 per cent in 2009, but up from 42 per cent in 2008.
$ m, a( F! X8 E1 V0 V
  b7 m* V4 f3 i) a0 u- F# \Average price is holding steady, up about four cent to $332,789 in 2010, about $12,500, or 3.9 per cent, higher than a year ago when the residential average was $320,289, the report said.
' d9 N* A- y8 O4 N+ ]. @( Z
4 m' T4 G8 N. b- |9 wInventory levels are up marginally over last year, but down from peak levels reached in 2007 and 2008, ReMax said.

“As a result, the housing market has been characterized as balanced, slightly favouring the buyer,” the report said.
  T, k/ O% [$ v* R7 e: O* R
$ h+ U# m2 f; c, v0 m  TFirst-time buyers in Edmonton remain most active, driving sales of single-family homes between $250,000 and $350,000. Condos represent 34 per cent of residential sales.

3 U, d5 p/ H9 f: h& z& F% J$ |An influx of new units recently has pushed up supply, putting downward pressure on condo prices, according to the report. Tighter lending rules, requiring a 20-per-cent down payment, “is proving to be detrimental to investment activity.”
$ t! R8 Z. ]* H! J
The report, which covered trends and developments in 19 major centres from January to August, found year-to-date sales ahead of 2009 levels in 11 markets.

Prices were up year-over-year in all cities, with five experiencing double-digit gains in 2010: Vancouver, St. John’s, Sudbury, Winnipeg and the Greater Toronto Area.
8 H0 _/ E. a2 {6 ?& e4 M/ m
" |1 w8 C# l! Q4 A" M! S/ }" u“We cleaned up in the first quarter of 2010 because housing activity during the same period one year earlier was dismal,” said Elton Ash, regional executive vice-president of ReMax, Western Canada.
$ S. J* `! @, ~, a% L) M
5 O) ?0 X4 n' e/ l0 b“We’re now comparing the second half of the year to 2009 and falling short of expectations. Looking at the big picture however, the market remains healthy.”