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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market- k. O, i+ b, c
: T# E# s- S' H! I# s7 s) C1 SOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
( L$ |1 |3 L7 r/ u. \7 A2 I p6 T; \rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
# |3 u% n' N' q; c2 Vraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal2 C" Q- p5 J3 n& {, w# W! j; ]1 C g
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate. x% v+ L- |4 \0 K- ]1 `. G5 D
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with! ]" b: Z1 f( w& u6 B* I# D
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
d3 ]/ p. U% x$ w5 YUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
; ^9 [ R8 p/ J% r4 b9 O0 m ?5 yin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
4 v. r0 c- X# Z5 q: o1 ]$ m s% hIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal* A0 Y& V$ F) U' Y
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
0 v9 H2 U8 o4 M% X/ uvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result! @: w$ r8 b- f6 s# S- Z
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an5 O E. ~# W) C/ f$ v2 t
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
$ y! F/ `: z* l4 |5 Wspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
) D3 K8 i) K- d j$ Y3 }prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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1 k4 C- J$ ]! p* _ G: X) F+ MActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
. b3 l# c$ `9 y* H* z1 ~% `in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed., U( e$ r. Q# X3 T$ A
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with3 W) ^1 _& ]7 q% n/ Q2 j
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
' O0 l8 Q* W3 xbalanced recovery.* \5 T) ?) ^- D
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects" i2 C* Q7 P3 X9 ^! a# I, H1 A
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
1 q$ x d: K% zsupply.
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4 l5 c3 g+ ]& w; s7 G% M. OIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and6 p& j$ U d# Z( B8 s) `
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable % V" f/ ?$ I4 u" H! B
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
) x6 X9 f4 O' [# c2 Q: F/ vsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.4 p0 C* S8 e- u/ p2 W
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
! |3 U3 l! C/ s1 j% _ G2 r4 u, o- istimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic: o0 {" e. M) E' ~
developments.
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, W" ~ [6 f& v7 QInformation note:
# R; T4 n( b( i0 @9 x' ?The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update% [7 H8 D9 d2 f1 U; ?8 Q+ F
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
! f# N' A2 `7 a* L0 `# Apublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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