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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
2 n2 r2 Y% l+ d B! _rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly! r2 N# ~2 Z: k* P
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
4 V; B& `# W8 q- O" s0 poperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate., W1 I, v8 I& a' k. t. N
( o- }3 a3 C$ @& rThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
9 v' A+ R9 J( U5 i' [6 }6 ustrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
( p! H) K" o6 k& _: J: l3 O1 _United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness8 X7 b' [1 S# u3 ]0 q( H1 i$ `
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.8 R# N0 d3 w0 k% `% @
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal+ p3 F: E: q n4 S$ ]
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
4 }+ m+ B' D$ }3 ]* Gvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
# d- M4 y# i6 J) a( N2 @in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
3 b0 C6 p8 S& Z2 V% p1 D' g; ~' fimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the6 x6 N! V( R" h8 A5 N. [6 w
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
4 A. W9 `2 w0 n; O& Z! xprices and some tightening of financial conditions.& }6 S) K' J% C$ h
2 w: ]5 K- O% Q( k* z' b2 F# IActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent& o s6 o& p* l; V: C, @
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.7 W' m* Y+ U7 h" V
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with; N3 d8 |( U; H- L( S
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more, ]: j! R, }+ e$ s9 ?' K
balanced recovery.2 B1 [/ F; m; j& e: [
% x$ U Q$ n( k5 @7 W6 @CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects# B4 j# o. B3 a% `) b+ O8 ]
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
( B* s t! U2 ~) e+ h! |1 W3 L Ysupply.9 c: \ n7 f2 x
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and% ?2 M0 k; @9 h' }$ |" N; I8 ?
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable : b A: h1 n! o" z6 i
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
" ?9 N0 t$ i7 u5 N+ zsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.; q7 \$ J: ]" J; G) Q
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary/ k1 A0 w& A$ Y! d( T/ L1 L7 J4 A, w
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
/ A' k" q0 ~! `5 g- J8 Edevelopments.
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0 `- A8 u3 Z4 d- ]- tInformation note:9 J. `9 |" C d* J6 S
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update4 l# S% F: S7 |; A% \
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
5 w) l/ C+ a+ I% I; ypublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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