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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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7 _. s- n1 v! y5 A. E4 n/ eOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight& T3 T0 c! A8 |, v+ ?( Y
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly' T @7 b0 T" J* H% H
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal1 ^- L( ]" O( K1 ~6 w* G: H
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.1 P' Q* b& H* U
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with4 P+ p% d7 w; N- T# |
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the/ e% D. h) O: v2 k" P' A: j: ?
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness4 _+ B" C0 D7 U9 L6 _; p
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
E' f2 \9 r& \+ IIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
, |9 B0 h+ B1 O/ [6 Z" ]* Vstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
6 v5 [# h! U$ M$ uvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
$ Q. `" a& p, Y4 Sin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
8 {9 M( @, F% f5 l. a+ _- Timportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
9 b0 B% Q8 i5 F! w& Z ^; Vspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity) b/ I1 l0 r. o
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
7 B1 M; P" K0 v; z: `: |in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.: m8 l3 ]9 M+ z
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with: H7 L( \3 x( ]6 T' D3 a Q5 E
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
1 O$ P6 G. M" ~0 b0 K' ?balanced recovery.. T2 Z7 i& k" J8 O7 m9 ^$ |
* i" g0 K; h F" sCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects% g) d2 _ e" u9 b
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
1 T, U( y W% t+ Zsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
) ?4 y8 e% y+ i. f. Zto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ) c- |3 P4 f# { X+ f1 p/ _
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
. T) M6 S3 S) g* `" p0 isignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
4 k* u/ v; p o/ n/ d; }* o: h# fstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic" @. p( I4 n$ w
developments.0 e3 A0 Y1 p& Q T7 v. O
" j3 _4 S* \# v' e; \& d0 W8 U( sInformation note:% i* T( G. f! f
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update4 V) G+ k: o" F r$ ?( D$ g
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be. J# G6 q% y( `- W% ~( r8 _
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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