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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight9 g- ? ]$ \2 }2 k' S. h* n
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
0 w0 A, ~4 ]6 z. [( i( eraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
8 r6 |, f1 i* C3 ~* v& {8 G4 c% Zoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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$ Z- i8 c* u9 i8 ]$ M; PThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
2 p* O: u( k0 Wstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the$ b" }/ f- J3 R/ _
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness0 l5 u9 Z, Y5 M9 ]5 u
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
0 r; n; T: ^# @" |$ y! g* ^In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
8 g: l7 Y2 A# _& u( \1 @: Dstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
+ x8 @8 a6 i( |2 S. Rvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result" L( q; G) W7 W6 i6 F
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
9 U' I6 k F1 qimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the/ F1 t3 m% T9 p: u
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
2 a& o Z7 L+ y) s+ `; |prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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$ v$ W+ @2 e6 T- K4 i5 h" t/ fActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent+ Q: }7 g' ? v3 a; N& t
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
& d$ \2 Q D0 H, Q {% z. nGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with/ h5 Z; I g; Y
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
+ {6 ~+ |6 u5 F3 ebalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects7 z9 d8 u/ t7 f0 t
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess( s$ i5 L4 I" ~8 Q9 V6 L
supply.; C) B( Q% g7 s% M9 i5 d( T- s
* T |, c) `6 V7 X$ W: j" c7 r+ kIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and: M0 c0 ^$ R8 t
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 2 z5 ?1 v' o' L6 D0 W6 }' u7 t- F
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 8 G/ ?) {7 I# H" n" B$ f/ M& y
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.3 O% x+ K5 ^, Q5 K5 O# _
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary8 d6 D* n- A1 D- g9 v& h1 w
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic7 c5 g- g0 ?) \9 Q9 w9 _
developments., u8 P* ^0 l3 Y8 |( [ O( B
$ Q* |+ o5 {" W7 I' q- |4 dInformation note:% y9 L! h2 Z* h! x1 t: b g* Z
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update1 ?( n/ z/ ]# V- N" G4 X( v
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be0 }1 i) G0 }/ @8 Q/ S- a: n
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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