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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market- Y* a$ o: `1 C' \0 q* h; H' t
8 D' {; N L3 P+ yOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
: P2 w7 S& B2 I4 Arate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly0 H1 q8 Y( L( r a% g8 O
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
5 z, j3 E! r8 Loperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.7 R* e, M/ C! [1 ^& E
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
* k- |- H! ~1 w" @2 N/ Q6 Y) Vstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the7 c7 H1 F6 H K% }. g* x9 G5 B% b
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness& T- [6 i( [/ w: [6 [
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
0 | S) Q+ h# [In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
2 _% H( _2 z, m$ ^( ~5 Estimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
- X) p: P4 f0 n0 E2 }: J* [: |! r' hvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
" I9 G) s+ G5 A. l! kin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an5 _+ @6 X4 p! v+ ~
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
, H+ X% O/ f& \- ^+ Q8 @0 ?spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
9 A- q( ]2 L8 |1 b0 p# P% aprices and some tightening of financial conditions.# h3 S! {* W, V, U
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent( v4 t; O% r3 _, C7 @, \: \
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
- j/ T$ C. X: ^) mGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with# ?) Y) y' _8 { C3 V
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more, I( _9 A4 P& X, @
balanced recovery.! l K: _4 ]+ T6 z+ f
% ?8 X7 ~' \) `& D/ R3 c2 {% TCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects, L+ I) v1 A8 @+ q& u0 R$ l
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
) X" C8 v/ I* F v( }supply.# p* b" u6 ?- v# u% j+ L, E
. X# @7 }& _; WIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
( c* R' m( a, j6 ?to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
8 R9 s4 W+ e5 Y- X9 ^5 u- e; cmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 1 S# p* ~( U* G9 A C* U
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
2 e6 W( J C3 {2 _1 I" i6 ?) L' V; W; }. d
Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary! J) {7 }- X/ N9 W% S. o- ~
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic( U" f V5 ~. }1 H9 Y
developments.
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" u& o; |$ J. r% ?' N1 d! F" aInformation note:
- ~8 x; I8 F$ h& ]; K& jThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update* ^7 A1 E. v. E& N. Y) W X
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
w/ c7 _, K- ?( u9 m5 P5 ypublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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