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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight$ g9 b `/ a, J8 x& H' e/ `
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
* ?8 q+ _- U$ }/ k2 L9 c% w$ t6 craised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
0 K9 D' n- V0 O% ?. Noperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.3 X# ~" @- R/ m+ K5 S
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
7 @! D0 a' ?+ Q# @strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the; E" ^1 c! `8 q# b* q
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness, j2 \0 E1 q* t3 N/ A8 W. K5 O6 s
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
7 b$ ]# @' y1 DIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
- r) n9 w1 {9 pstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
* v; ]' V% W5 A8 vvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
6 d! ?8 @1 Q* f+ \; Y; Sin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
) t% s! |9 g% J8 H/ a. S9 [% g2 J' [important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
1 F7 a. ~5 I* R/ e! O& [spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
+ J6 y8 y9 f, ~6 R! [- Dprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
7 p8 }. E. J$ b6 i% @: S4 sin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
4 `2 O# K4 j( s: }Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with! d& C' G" m7 |
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more9 ^ g( a- J |2 @& X/ C
balanced recovery.% c7 s6 C+ G6 N9 W0 b2 H3 ?) P& d
4 r3 T" R" D' G }# q; ^9 bCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
4 t3 d1 h% N: R6 F3 u( X3 U% F* pthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess# |7 K* N9 o& L4 ?7 v
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
7 i& P, C6 T* Z$ J8 z0 B2 yto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable # Y0 R* m' `$ y6 W+ a0 I) F
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
$ u x# _# [; ~* ksignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.( ]/ K6 F D! O* P4 `
: }. h. @7 Q/ ~8 K9 s2 n2 ZGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary8 B+ I, L4 S4 g; K5 w
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic1 q# D+ x. R+ j* p o5 X
developments.$ k0 y9 n1 R0 }" b5 q! }8 e/ X
6 j. j9 C& e1 ~/ m* q7 L% _Information note:* R4 U f# s! f) e; [5 G0 c" L" p
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
0 g; Z0 P, I( Zof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
; g# s8 O; |+ k9 X* n0 P/ ypublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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