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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market$ C7 _% q- ]* k7 V. a
/ p6 Y% e7 f+ F6 ROTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight( u9 _/ w- c" m# l }% Q! z/ F+ u5 N5 |9 B
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly! a( d+ y9 B m2 b0 M7 I& p* R
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
' K; |! @- p$ v( W1 f! hoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
( S/ ~( I8 Y/ P% P. F9 L& k. lstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the5 f# b1 ^5 N3 A% r6 c" P; Q# z8 c) A0 T
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness& X: \. p8 W4 g; Z' ?$ m
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
/ v# K7 i# |; ~, _In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal* Y/ E5 D7 v4 g; }
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
, G& L. P; x4 l2 p: v- D4 k# S( ]5 nvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
2 Z9 N0 u1 Y5 [# y" {- t- n$ [in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
, q. f- F& ?" o+ N' q4 N7 _important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the' Q/ f! k4 W4 B- s
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity# J3 r/ U9 }6 w/ o6 E+ O
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.1 ] Q2 L6 y5 r: a4 p
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent: ^7 j- E" ~ k8 ^
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
7 s) E5 y4 a1 ]% H8 F, I8 vGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
8 { C: ^) N& P1 Hincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more/ R. z9 p7 P" ~* ?! _1 S
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
2 Y3 K, n1 M2 i, uthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
4 B" N. X8 h2 O- {supply.
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2 H; b- O6 y; N! J+ TIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and( l' d" R- r& r" z+ G6 a
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ! R/ l1 d+ O/ F8 O) L
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
2 s7 }+ x; t4 h. psignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.8 X$ N; A. H/ M: w$ s
# z+ s: _) [- |+ x# \4 ~1 t- ^Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary9 C) e3 [( Z5 l
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
% }& ^" ?& j# Z5 a2 odevelopments.
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Information note:
% E; o, I* }# t& Q: T) |3 iThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update2 @- W/ Q% o6 P7 Y& b u$ ~. X
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
' P# X# o6 k r% upublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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