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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market2 b4 }8 B8 N q- [' X9 W; b
% k2 u8 x! V/ I4 R( r, d+ jOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
2 H) n$ I. Q9 X% N1 @% \1 Trate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
; u( t# ?( i7 ]% [4 m/ D/ s5 }raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal: C1 }- Y3 a, [2 ]
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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3 D) Y+ d5 c" l4 CThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with! f; L6 N" c. B( U8 @) `5 D
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the/ m# m9 L6 ]( ~' u: X7 P
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness% O8 G6 }, E1 d! e
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.$ D, K8 D+ q$ \; Z( |8 [! [, B
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
3 J- M, j% L: r* ?$ `) u8 {: Dstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
, T; b& v( `5 fvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
1 Z* q: V: Y) p* h( D" V- Jin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an: w0 C& s4 i6 Q) \0 j, G4 B
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
1 S0 i+ t4 L$ \' {spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity, S# M; \6 K6 g, B+ L' E
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent, h: P3 F& I# h
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
6 Q L% X. z" @1 I. a2 ^+ {4 {Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with* |& \- `( L- P$ o% v
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
2 N; ^& g. P, b* b n+ w" ~! zbalanced recovery.
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, s: U( P3 r' h6 s* o; DCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects! Q" L7 `( C% y r1 _
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess K% l1 I5 ~* L6 Z9 ^9 c0 g
supply.# q7 c' ^- V8 c
% z1 }0 G5 R0 c! L5 l& N1 eIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and2 @- r w, D8 i/ l& O) F6 v$ X
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable + |9 A8 e$ m; T; s+ C
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
0 ?1 l: n* _! u- X9 R# ^% Y5 Rsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.7 l, Q( Q* w4 E9 ]
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary& {6 C( `* _$ |! ~8 O8 T% R+ o
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic k7 `( C9 v6 Y
developments.6 h2 n q9 f# H/ ~9 @
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Information note:
1 ?9 f! I1 @" `2 z: JThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update+ f6 K0 B4 K9 H
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be+ Z4 j. F6 s, k8 Y1 r$ E
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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