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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight! F `1 ~, {/ q* s+ L- y, c" p
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly8 L2 C' k% \. f Q
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal5 j/ E8 @) m" W- U. h; M- S
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
: y$ E7 F: z3 u) A; Tstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
6 p0 P" N, v6 D; R4 a/ I* X `United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness, _6 u2 i- l! v
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized./ d5 c! b8 P5 T5 R) [2 o
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal2 S* @' q4 x+ k0 t
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
5 q& U; r/ K- A; q3 Mvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
/ ^9 {6 y% n5 j# O" V& `in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
5 l9 W& S1 _1 b$ e. nimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the' h8 ^* V' q5 \/ w
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
$ S$ S+ _5 X* o' T' {prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
3 r- K) N, a$ G! nin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
! V2 o9 m7 ?" C) h( ^) J! L+ VGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with4 r+ S2 k3 C4 q5 t
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
; M3 d; X* Y) I8 p6 h+ M; k' _balanced recovery.
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) i' W- y3 A( {2 o9 { k) K; sCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects& @% B( V6 a4 h
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess2 l" F2 d+ b8 }3 K
supply.7 s1 K& k6 W; C8 `* C, {, s2 p/ @4 N
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
% t& W9 S; h8 t8 ^/ {# Ato re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ( w$ a3 J4 D# {% I, a% K- b
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
3 i* _! D7 k& m4 G: v7 Q8 usignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
, z$ d: X0 l4 V$ {stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic3 v% s9 w3 y% R" p4 B
developments.# X& T( l" x0 y9 @: K* Q/ ~
- E$ i' d7 b. I! jInformation note:
* Q: F( {' v& `The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
7 _4 \7 E: u- S4 i2 e1 T; E% C, sof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
7 K g/ s! O7 `; |published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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