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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market0 U3 R& q. M2 v- C9 e( x; f
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
# n) K/ r* q6 D, o9 `6 i, ?rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly: ?* i5 d( M7 f1 g2 _. ~# |7 H
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
W# q( E( ?5 [7 M; y5 b% ` Woperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.4 h0 Q% |, y; q* J. v7 I/ H+ C# u
$ j5 T7 I1 T7 kThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with$ l1 |2 X4 l: _% ]3 R
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the1 a, i [! a. q3 a9 K" v
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness- E* |5 V- x6 c, F& S
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
& H" ]. W [6 SIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal7 r9 M/ g7 J" k9 t* {
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the2 U1 T7 I. F( A6 [8 L9 n- A$ E
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result& {7 q* x% r* w
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
L" {. j y! H Eimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the+ q2 M- g5 K" D# z. ^( a
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity& x$ h& A( T; ?/ b6 T C+ t6 h
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent" g: x# w9 r& U/ T6 E0 y& T
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.: I! k' ^$ g4 p
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with: N# b' C# o0 p$ Q& B0 S4 j+ u
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
0 Q4 u1 z/ i# o6 n O: Ibalanced recovery.- C- L( ~ P* y6 e5 M1 e
% G1 j) \" R- ]8 c4 QCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
/ L" U" a0 g0 _$ }; V5 Vthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
* D# y/ v/ F, X4 |' i" ksupply.0 ]+ I7 R4 Y1 T e3 m% j( @
6 y% o6 _6 N6 v9 GIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
: h" d- f* Y0 t, E( Zto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 8 S% ?1 P, o4 ~- r
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 2 h# e/ }1 J* G* Q& G1 m" Z
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.* r' o1 h' C9 B6 y7 f3 Z
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
; g( t3 N; c+ _# K/ p! Ystimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
! Q: |/ b/ [( b" f5 [) n4 Q( r' W" Zdevelopments.0 o: d+ e& i9 y& @% I& d
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Information note:
' d% U$ [ K' x7 b( IThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update* p5 R4 M! V8 q3 `# T% \4 Y a
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be9 E9 M; D& S# }6 M) ~6 w4 J
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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