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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market- w( v5 [% n0 Q: m7 t
8 ^3 G# P4 z- _8 sOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
' c J* R5 j" ?1 V: V& w5 ]9 Prate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
7 b) }: |+ W! v4 M7 @' oraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
$ E5 t$ X t2 b \3 e+ Ooperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.( M [, ]- G; O7 ~* q$ p1 R
3 i. M! `- ?- A$ MThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
$ s9 w& y; e! ?1 O+ D. ]* @, lstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the& v7 u1 w: ^/ ~% u
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness* }! i/ c% j$ C$ Z8 y
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
) }2 y5 y# ?: p6 eIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
0 p: Y4 ^! X1 T h. @7 k estimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the, m) }7 t' j6 w* n: c
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
7 D V9 n9 H% B c- S- Y; {, win higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an1 o: p, f' i4 u
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the1 @, o2 W1 g( W% ?7 l* |7 F9 s
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
+ |. f- K0 [, S K) Lprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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0 x. I0 T7 r: o+ UActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent1 A( P2 _2 S$ \% \$ h6 v
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.! ]# n. a* q3 k: `$ Q( w! i8 Z
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
& b$ _+ x' v$ ^( V5 \0 h3 rincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
# O0 @; {* A( Y6 c9 R" u1 Obalanced recovery.1 N7 Z- _7 y& T1 a
; F6 r1 a+ ]4 r' D$ [
CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
. C' S; ]% A( U2 t! z, m8 u& U# mthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
$ n! T: ?/ H5 {" Z1 a+ ~. |supply.$ e g# i4 v8 r: M. J7 x
% A7 h4 v# R3 DIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and! W+ B% W2 C9 C5 Q- E
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
: ^* L/ o0 h6 ^2 j3 z3 c! gmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 0 Y+ c, {6 M0 `3 F- ]
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
7 |, Y" w" l. j9 U1 p9 `0 R' k7 x4 \) L f0 c. _
Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary9 V' s& ^6 ?. n" B
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
3 ?! }4 P& \9 p6 ^: ~developments.
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* u0 g8 Y2 S5 b: P! u% |Information note:
2 y. w" f8 z) P- |6 p ]' n+ uThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update, O; J) u7 |2 |: j* s" I8 k
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
4 F: c9 H8 W7 a- [published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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