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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market* u7 M) _% x3 e1 K
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
* r9 a. a* |/ V, crate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly2 A. U% @ m( n) H5 O
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal# ]# \% t G# x W- p( ?+ Q
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
' U& Q/ S) n4 A% pstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the: m7 C# e$ l; ^
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness9 O8 [: U" y" k
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.6 Q# c8 b8 Z0 Q1 ]$ z V( x
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
2 k; |! ~* x8 Kstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
8 D2 A8 ~6 M1 u6 d; kvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
6 v; h) e4 f; ^+ Kin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an8 V+ _4 a9 I2 f3 d* C$ ?
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the1 c% t, Z, j" G( s- r4 J
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity+ D6 E+ x& y4 v" r" w" h
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.; ^/ N" J4 B; _- g
# o, K9 F" \* h" l; r A \6 ~+ O+ E& z: YActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent* U8 N0 u- i" l' w1 L
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.7 t, `& W+ o. e! r
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with- s' }/ a) u* p c- P- B! i& G# u* A
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
`+ f/ V( U C- n5 k! Dbalanced recovery.$ x0 ^9 o) e4 r, ]: F# K9 @
1 @. {. z! [- cCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects% w/ w% x" g( V3 l
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess* O7 i3 c3 u! e
supply.
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" ^) H4 Z K! I' z" _$ LIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
/ }. f! T; `$ X) ato re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
# ]/ B6 {+ J* @- c1 pmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the " L I) o. Y, Y; N$ \" T7 g# ~
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.5 }+ y3 h: a' `: z+ F
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
6 A2 W( l9 \: r/ p8 G; g% z9 h% Wstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic8 k9 J3 _8 k) q9 \
developments.
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Information note:
7 L3 D6 h6 g E2 tThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
a0 E1 H- S0 qof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
+ h3 ~, M2 ]" P# i, K K, [published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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