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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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# V. i, Q8 L2 Z! u: u% x' L* J- }OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
# F* p- Y4 l. _+ J& i) Urate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
. Q! a1 c5 ^# I+ k. t( x! i) D0 Traised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
7 I- J3 C4 @2 \5 L. {0 m: G9 uoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
9 t A8 ]0 {- f/ F) s w7 _/ p2 Jstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the3 D% U! U- A% a7 |
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness0 v" ]$ N' z( s0 A* c6 O. G
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
6 f) I! e& F1 n: y3 t: oIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
9 \# P- ~# P# w6 [% N8 `stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the7 y4 K7 [& g$ _' i0 f
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
0 W* m7 i" i& j3 V; N3 `! `in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an: s, ~3 \' \6 x/ j
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the: o) V0 z! ]$ K( b) H
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity/ V" O/ V8 _6 F
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.$ l' @) Y9 E" z8 E; G
8 T7 b( `! k- ?1 e/ c4 \9 LActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent; r: a# ~* M* C) H0 c( ~
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
1 p1 F8 f6 d, tGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with" K, y, k- y6 t
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
. n2 E0 h7 }- v* g f2 n) q. V( vbalanced recovery.& z( W3 S% d$ s0 H+ k
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects: @; T( o. r- `+ N( Y2 P
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess/ g1 q' c' f+ |
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and/ U3 S' }; U1 T6 p! }8 b) z
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 1 y1 F+ V/ Z9 q& x. o# H+ y
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
2 U5 ?: j3 H5 t' `* `significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
5 ?' U" t/ X" G1 L, t6 w1 Z: o3 qstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic6 y) B) Y( ]8 ^$ o; @# w2 h
developments.
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+ L& d3 \" F9 O( u& eInformation note:( X; E" A* Q0 T4 t ~
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
6 S) e+ V: q) Q6 B0 m7 g$ L/ {of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
- g5 j& q8 W" lpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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