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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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; ~9 H4 s T: @# r) a0 x! ^OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
7 [- l/ o* Y" B/ L5 H5 Jrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly2 b) W. W# N ^4 V) A- Q
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
; {/ ~ u1 {' ^$ b! Koperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.- Y- a7 J7 _ E# }! C( Z
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with$ L! L/ k4 V8 g; [
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
: U! w" H4 [9 N: }2 L( TUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness9 i$ O8 G9 ?. _ h; ?2 i7 _
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
7 Q6 `! B* y: ]' P" M9 j& K" ]In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal+ f: }3 N h; b7 M* x" q/ `$ @
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the" Y5 _4 _& r4 F- r: a
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
9 F6 @' T$ u. n0 H& _( uin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an& v6 Y3 ]3 f+ O# l. ^
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the) b1 b! K1 }- [% x% W8 d5 F
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
% V5 @3 a6 ~5 G. Hprices and some tightening of financial conditions.) w, L! g7 F! L" q- @9 q
' S1 K; y: C+ F$ c ZActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent# G0 l7 Z+ ?$ `8 Q( q
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
' s, g9 e9 o7 A* {Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
5 R/ c, V# w/ L0 G. ~income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
, ~' l9 M) F( z9 l Obalanced recovery.; l- v. M$ {9 E2 m. R/ A
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects" w$ Y! M* M% }8 e5 Y9 n. Y5 `: a
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
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; l( t4 m8 @& xIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
1 ^9 d. ~0 }7 \% \4 w9 Ito re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
2 b; v6 Y# j1 W$ K `# I: dmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
/ ?$ a# }) y* k% Hsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary4 f1 X) n$ A3 e& {# I$ \
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
0 s# h3 c" S- [6 c+ B! Gdevelopments.8 E0 A u$ U _- @7 J
2 `" T: G) J; }, k# fInformation note:
4 N2 k; h& j9 @: c/ FThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
/ `) M% ~' v+ Z2 @of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
( z7 J; C1 R- K% bpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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