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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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. {" Z9 e- ~( zOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight* E. @7 k0 K: _ G9 r) X$ f
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
6 n" `- R$ s+ Q E6 N0 fraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
) r5 y" F* Z3 D# N3 B" ^operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.& V) i: m6 ^) i2 w$ Y- G+ @
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with5 `& Z C9 f, D5 I! _1 g
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the1 I# G, a& B3 `
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
7 Z. p3 V$ s) Z4 Sin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
% x6 G7 ?0 K1 [1 y% lIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal1 e9 p7 A/ P& h/ d+ Q
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
1 i3 a+ Y& @) r0 Q5 g6 u0 B' uvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result0 Q& V ^( Q! T8 u: u ^
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an3 S& L: P i0 u3 J) Q+ i
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the! N' c g3 q7 a4 y% T5 l& z! Q+ }+ W8 P
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
' z% f! n6 X$ X7 N: |+ K0 A; \# cprices and some tightening of financial conditions.; ?/ v, w0 U; P% N$ h( r" P
, C5 t7 N0 Y. FActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent8 o6 u; E" r; k2 @( A0 h+ T. s
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
; Q4 h" X( W8 ? F7 x1 ?Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with; h7 Z! A' ~, o3 z* N
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
. a0 _# O; W; m+ nbalanced recovery.
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- x0 R! q& g; z% t- x3 ]+ M" N! rCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects7 W5 e8 F% A6 ?+ x n, c
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
) F B n2 n; z" m$ W% s" Asupply.8 q r6 P( E: {7 I" L2 H
- c9 E" o1 i8 V: E6 f& I- o0 X% {, SIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and. o/ ]# K4 x) C4 m0 f; c0 c
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable - v" a6 n1 I5 I6 u7 Z9 m( a
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ; M k8 i- V7 ?* U8 U" p$ a8 G. Y
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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$ I. }$ k$ W, u$ v' OGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
+ h8 q) T* R2 \! d9 ^, H7 {stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic* _' D% l+ A- O
developments.- l0 R6 _, u3 T# ^
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Information note:
3 g" Z+ |# Y$ aThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update% d" l+ m- [4 ^" m: ^/ Z) Q
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be5 q/ h! }8 t+ \& C9 X; B
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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