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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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! ^. p$ y+ f1 kOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight) J' G! t+ L# u: p9 `: h
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly( _ }) ~' b; y: U# c3 H
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
* Q2 f5 b" m" ^$ Coperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with* `& L2 N# J! ^2 D
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
3 V% Y4 d; o- a* mUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness$ u3 u8 O! V7 F4 g! u
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.( L9 [, W- k! C9 b/ I
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
( j3 r9 I# Z" p# a( K3 Y! Jstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the) U) S9 [+ I$ v ]6 X+ V* t. ]
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result& y* R k, s' ?+ Q6 e
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
" \' j( S/ v+ P/ a+ N: ]. Qimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
# c3 Q0 W l1 O% _0 u: Fspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
! I* A0 O1 p. \8 p5 x9 @prices and some tightening of financial conditions.5 \" s% E9 E6 @
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
* b! g- P {+ G( Nin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.5 g3 P1 H! R6 J! W4 Z8 Z( j" \! f
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with$ V- C4 L5 [- O ?' i2 p/ `, k# M
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more( r/ B- O& w! ~1 e
balanced recovery.5 B8 E. _# V1 Q* _, g
" T L: z6 d# D; kCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects! Q+ G# U K, S: H
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
1 N( }8 X. ]# O4 }1 f* P* @+ j6 R5 hsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and& s& E& e* ]1 L% r& i w
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
6 {$ J' i- ^/ @2 ^0 f: W+ vmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
5 c6 Q2 p/ v7 n% z" usignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.) u# Q( A: X8 H2 |/ X0 O9 L1 l
9 G0 d7 y. R. O2 c3 M" {0 b- D: P8 _Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary) a/ Q9 P$ l z7 }! J3 Q p
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic9 a8 e9 P5 l; T
developments.
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Information note:. Y7 M; J, {3 S" e
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
& b! J1 N3 _9 [2 F4 I' H0 G' p4 iof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be6 z+ j8 D$ j- I$ ]
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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