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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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$ J% }( g2 u, r4 a# zOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
" L5 ^1 j$ `) k5 R3 [2 mrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
( o& a$ b5 p N W1 `/ U2 h; a, lraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal& Q$ A) \# ~" q* x) \
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
- ]! u0 `0 z- m! I3 B3 k+ g1 [strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
+ K9 b% J3 E# S$ O5 F. G) O( `United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
+ H; L2 j1 ^. S* t9 }" D/ R5 Din Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.' V- D# G1 Z" \* J& i
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal h- @- @0 _8 F6 J. `9 N7 C% p/ h
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
& b/ q( q) T* w4 evariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
% ]$ f6 h. ^9 _+ X- @) P% }; Kin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
" l" _9 J: ?, N9 G# P' j0 `important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
8 z. U( Q, ]/ V6 s' Z. r# F1 Ispillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
& |. h8 |6 }( [" A) k6 A. J2 I& [% Q$ {prices and some tightening of financial conditions. O ?* R. O' O3 |4 j
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
+ P1 o% u' b0 D C% U O" j% Z& ein the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
. e2 N: \0 v0 \ F7 FGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with% A" r& ~. p% X& L1 S: y4 `: W
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
) E, d F6 ?( Y2 c5 F# q3 bbalanced recovery.8 f4 P ]9 e* o" ?5 z/ k
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
. a4 @% P* R' [8 }# P) Xthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess: |, j3 v# n- s3 n6 Y: A% F8 r# ]# m) {
supply.
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2 w% y" i) c' y2 d8 RIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and% z+ w& ]% I2 @% P
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 7 J# ]+ s4 \' j# E8 [" W* c
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the / ]# o1 c. H9 `7 {7 D/ Q, e( @5 U9 ~
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary8 A0 D# B" T8 n( d3 ]. g
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
0 H5 ]& H! i) o4 Sdevelopments.& r+ W; z' S# [& }4 j
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Information note:& j' F; E! x9 l' q- B
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update- }+ L$ G8 ?4 ?, Y- Y- d
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be$ d- }* d+ N" {
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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