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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market, m: M) K {3 i( B/ k# @
1 x* i: w( ]. i, S* T; p$ v6 t' eOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
6 f5 _# a6 p# {! o' jrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly6 Y' H4 m9 N1 i
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
' `+ t( Q9 ]7 `4 i. o7 boperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with9 _5 U5 p% A8 Y. \, c g: e
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the% c' y, l* I5 M
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
% B/ r( K5 q) j9 pin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.( G- B( E. x& P$ \
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
' ]( a& r- Q3 `! t$ g0 Tstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
) w/ H! X2 e+ I0 x+ mvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result; m; E5 w, O$ v& l
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an1 q7 K, Y8 s6 d7 B9 \/ I9 K0 o
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the3 G- k( `) C8 w0 v& U0 v/ ?9 ?. ^% n9 O
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity6 y! @! M V( g, u3 m/ a5 X1 G
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent, A3 y0 j" T) Z$ _. D/ g
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
6 B2 d- [6 |3 N* e, e- f+ p ?Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
5 w; v, {9 P- t: J+ i: A" gincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more5 x, `8 U' D2 h- _5 w4 y4 v
balanced recovery.% L( R* j- A* }8 T
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects }! t8 n/ T. d+ }, e
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
7 Y9 O7 k' J4 B5 A% fsupply.
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3 A" ` a; _ L6 Q& N9 `In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
! b- i- g" x$ i* Ato re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 8 O* R5 M, H" c9 |
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the & ?& z8 m( G& G( j0 ?9 Y0 N- M& b
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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7 n: s! A: \0 A2 Y4 w: {1 TGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary) ~1 C! O8 g" P- ~
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
0 w }9 ^& J. Qdevelopments.
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/ o% N* t R) J5 d3 PInformation note:- z3 R9 s9 l* }0 r/ M, `5 T
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update' q! D) G1 F: K
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
( y7 I$ x4 q6 i/ ?published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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