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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market: M) {2 e' X) V+ ~
: X+ u) m7 p" U, Z6 t7 Q0 ], X8 g1 HOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
+ m, r3 M1 V, b: Orate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
! p. @# x+ Q9 A6 uraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal) h, C, [$ W! K# m0 G
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.; g$ k4 m2 K) w& L! U( Y
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with5 [3 _" p3 b! T
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the$ G4 J. d) N) i) A; v! J' S7 [
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness0 ]8 A1 n9 c" }7 _1 `
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.+ ]! J% w) r& N6 S
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
, a! M& v: x! v+ v) |2 Kstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the- s. n3 L4 Q6 g8 s6 q9 h: O
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
. Y( _! [- M( ~9 Min higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an ^% ~" f; b5 ~0 g8 i3 B
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
$ h. Y8 e7 q" ]& u4 v0 Nspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity! z9 h4 o8 b* s) Y- I! K. \( s( m1 K
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.4 f- @, j3 M) i; A4 \
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent8 J$ g) Z% y9 w% ?' p) ?
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
( N+ s) i) C5 D4 p4 z; ?+ sGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with1 \ c% P% V# ]1 G( q6 H
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
( M; p+ n8 y c. ~$ t7 vbalanced recovery.9 A0 ?3 I8 x; ?1 `2 L) ]! ~
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
* |: X; E1 V5 `0 |* b/ R R- hthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess& [7 o4 D: j' e$ g) L7 M" x
supply.! g& g. m& Z/ a
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
! \9 o; g8 L% ~( R+ x' \1 |% gto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable : ^& e/ U0 O3 U7 S
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ) I: s: D! T7 c9 R# q* N
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary5 G' v! T+ _2 x
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic8 |0 k8 c/ g4 N$ G1 I
developments.
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" l. c" ?; F1 {. E; [/ b! k9 ]Information note:9 |( C2 w- c3 C' x: [# ^
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
& K2 \1 ^/ ]9 X6 k m( t* dof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
" o% _2 N( o$ h" R7 vpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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