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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight. P9 `) K# I/ H' C# q4 Q
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly( X. Y i* L4 U# o7 z
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal6 M6 \6 T7 f! I% Z
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.& {% P5 u. _( ]) Q
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with$ U6 E0 T6 e3 C2 o9 T2 }
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
3 ~$ e, c$ F% L1 U$ AUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
2 u# F; Z" H6 a# h7 H, o* `5 Cin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.$ J( u. l7 F+ F6 |+ O
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal1 H# X8 {" P" ^) d9 @) j$ ]* ?
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the7 B. h9 {- |* P' d- M+ ~( @+ q
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result. M8 I9 R( E1 ]5 [7 L: z
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
8 t, D( p' m4 S( i' f) f, Q4 F/ Aimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
5 C e! B1 x9 n( g# t, I/ }spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity+ u6 K2 _5 e$ a: C5 a1 ]
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.* ~" E' z! }2 U* ~0 j6 o
2 V8 r/ C6 z' t. ~* CActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
' w( Y. _8 N5 r8 ?, h# Min the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
# j R: G R( d- o+ j! F; h8 sGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with9 o' X( `' @/ ?/ M$ r/ B N
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more4 _9 R' @" [0 @% x
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
' J+ y2 k9 e% G/ v3 Mthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess6 p& F# X' B x) O! c6 n+ ] f) B
supply./ \0 U+ o" g& N
3 M M3 `% {, H VIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and C1 o& ]# Z8 h" c( F
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ' i2 Q; |: s# A! C4 L7 n
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
+ _8 f2 b$ X2 p* ^: usignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.* R1 o) d+ l ]
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary! v7 @4 m) t6 U+ g! v- a4 D, q3 c
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
. y9 _% j" q5 D- s. b h Hdevelopments.
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Information note:
: D; ~6 J, `2 v# w, ?The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update( l' Z. f8 |/ c+ }/ j# y6 t1 F
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
1 @2 h) v1 ?- A* Q2 j& [% f+ Tpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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