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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market f# t Q6 Z1 h: m1 U6 s: y2 r0 W
+ z* N% }0 y8 r9 a, uOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
2 J7 P- g. m9 h3 p' l/ f: xrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly9 J, O0 r8 E5 C! d% p& W
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
/ I8 X* A. }3 b: Uoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
) W/ M. ~* C1 j2 c" Z% Hstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the) n. E: H- S- a1 Z) C
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness2 ~0 Q6 L" W: V5 z) A( n/ L; U: W+ E
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.2 h0 b/ n8 F2 H7 }& j
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal: e0 t/ ~" Z5 q2 M" x
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
% U. ^. T' q9 { S6 K2 X; R+ Pvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
* B! r5 q, o _& |5 ?in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
% A1 n: Y4 `) `important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the9 e, d K5 A6 u! _" ?( \6 X
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
# @( G9 }0 d2 \0 uprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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) z) [2 A( X+ T5 r! SActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
* B1 N) p3 D* j: S3 s8 O1 ein the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
8 Z$ I `8 E0 e5 z) p1 R9 YGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
4 B# H$ p: `# }! ?8 [ Aincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more8 c( \0 s8 L" N; c9 o2 I
balanced recovery.
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& W7 Q! z0 w v. U5 A2 fCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
2 T8 [7 n& e4 k7 R2 J* X3 a. wthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess5 i7 D/ r5 b2 e# G" M- `3 I
supply.+ u! M( b4 D" n; m8 c- g8 ^1 s
! E& t y, E2 i5 eIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
- o% S' s( i) Uto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 1 v6 y' w& p% H x
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
E7 L! Z+ p; X8 H$ N" w1 r% msignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.7 F2 x$ c |. Z2 x5 t5 w
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary* f0 Z: g$ {/ j# o' `
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
& {8 D U! @$ D& @7 V$ q* bdevelopments.9 ?& b" h" ~, t
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Information note:5 e& L9 L4 Q. n; ?
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update" r/ v1 k: Q; c$ T& w g2 r4 g
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be" I0 a0 E4 M) _/ U3 z. o' @
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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