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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market+ A+ N: @. p3 K6 q, G! L. K, |5 t
( G2 K7 g3 ?* S" C# x6 SOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight! w2 T* {* F: f! J4 B% }( x( ^
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
# }. N- W( m( f% W9 f: Lraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal- P0 @$ [9 V. L: D2 O; n) ]2 r) E
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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1 A% B5 g9 u I' \: r; w9 F/ e+ wThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with \! S- e/ ^7 l1 L% d" ~& T
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the* p# [* _' H8 |' f4 x0 B! ~0 }
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness C; M4 |: j, j3 p
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.# e3 G$ v% N+ d) X
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
6 l: | T4 y) }, `3 l7 wstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
' I; d9 ]3 X& l8 J* }variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result% e& [* i% b( g% I; _5 w
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an: `9 V8 C3 Z: H% _( [6 T
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
' b* T' b P2 R( T. j$ Rspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity: @% p6 t6 y z$ L
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.. w6 A7 X5 w! A A' x9 l( h
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent+ R$ v/ `" U8 B0 v5 G% ]2 `
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.; @, g, N/ }+ q9 G+ q; Z
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with5 k" ~4 c% Y% p; f5 Y( i+ U
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
, x( V- @( A: L! ]' h( T* X b: `balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
5 l$ [* }5 Y+ j4 Mthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
5 U. G z. T) j/ M3 K k3 M+ u: @* lsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and& w% S8 s. ^. v6 V3 n, p1 w: g
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
8 @/ J7 `: M, U: N: Jmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 9 c9 C/ } h" l) F% E; i
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.6 |/ p3 V. {8 W' o0 O& L
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
: t" v0 l: {/ ^4 P! d2 M0 ?stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
* l- A2 r0 R% U1 N! j4 G7 Y) Vdevelopments.2 Q5 o6 |, K) Y Q2 G O+ o! t. I0 Z' j
& Y& x( F) d3 G% y2 e8 s8 \3 g, IInformation note:
. a) ]7 o; z/ {: ^The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update! u8 C* t8 p, ?& `, Z
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be- g/ t' O: b- i* p* b9 [/ y/ g
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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