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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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- _& E% s2 j2 _ ?9 SOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
- S6 Y: A' Y; A0 p) \rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
5 }0 p P+ l7 c7 Q" nraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal5 m0 q9 D5 H# d
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate./ O5 E" I' P1 l% C/ q
; y6 }, m* M9 Q. ?The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with! `* X4 v! i5 B4 A% i8 F, b
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the; ]- E# o% ?5 [9 G4 p3 f6 N
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness0 m# Z( n0 s: `" \9 X0 Q3 ^; E
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.# M+ \; m8 c( h3 {% d0 c+ t
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
& ~8 H! K6 `; N! J' @8 f, _stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
5 d( l* ^" J# }, l7 s% Y7 `variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result$ ?: {% S ^4 x2 Q/ t7 x
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an0 H6 e5 I$ f8 t
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the. e! D* p) a( H& m) ~
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity0 V$ [3 T! Z+ \+ _& s
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
+ K7 M* k6 c" i Qin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.8 X5 W8 Y# D" Z+ \
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
" C& ?* ]- Y0 G; T3 ?0 E0 m$ nincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more5 r0 W8 F1 L" V8 j- M7 M; V6 q
balanced recovery.7 H5 E, {9 |: Q) D1 X1 G0 U
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
" r5 S6 E6 N" U( uthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess S& s% K% N( z* B( q
supply.
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) P0 n# [$ O5 w* n$ _* z2 oIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
. ^& G5 ~* p4 o8 A3 B1 Ito re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 0 ~2 u$ K3 ?: I' x4 P% _) r7 E
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 3 D* ?. o/ Z0 ?$ v! I5 L8 j: {
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.4 m( _- {* X& d# s/ Y0 b( J: n, C0 F4 E
$ L/ T! @- z+ b: L/ b. C9 o: _4 ]Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
# ~& v! d/ v, bstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
$ |& h* h. p/ ^# xdevelopments.# t/ G$ v# J5 |3 ?5 Q+ t
# @. z% F- r* ]( Y. BInformation note:
1 G6 G" a" Y( |0 s ]( x9 e' f7 TThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
- K" Q# _" u: S# Nof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
0 y/ ~5 \# ^1 t- o5 b: A0 Kpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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