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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
: A8 N" q7 T' b4 q8 x8 e" j& Prate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
8 z5 O' K7 K( g/ h: m: Eraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
' I R4 X6 X9 M+ d# s* qoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
# ~# G; r! I+ m2 Y0 e- |% V' t* x Dstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the; `3 e1 W4 G2 r0 j! R
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
2 e% G5 t( f2 Ein Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
5 V7 F' F2 j, }- A. t8 z" pIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal) `, p$ C, X" j$ t- H+ I
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the+ E1 F2 E9 B8 _
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
' E0 i1 Y; q. _6 p" H; Nin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an+ r6 F& v+ i9 S1 H( B
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
% O! f3 _3 G# L+ S7 Rspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity$ T$ z, i- d, `3 e
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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# H; ~( j1 v1 \( ]6 ^# s5 o) ?Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent% n$ l& f8 _% F* U R- ]1 [/ D+ M
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
% B0 O( N8 E w% \. a5 pGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with4 x+ F5 g+ K7 f; C( g9 G
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
* C ^ T: H4 e' @5 N! S' dbalanced recovery.
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0 m) W X' W+ h+ }7 C, JCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects. Q2 H5 k# N! \ U. i( Z
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
# ~4 ?) f% V6 h& m% d( csupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
, f8 L6 ?: @' u+ v/ l$ F/ w& f1 Vto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable & s1 ]+ b, U# B7 M. y5 [
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the : J: Y( V, E% j, ]( A6 l
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.% Z/ Y. k, z( O4 d7 P
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
2 H8 m* f8 x- Z' B( z. |stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic/ V& m( a$ X- e- e X- V# J
developments.
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Information note: `9 Q2 s. F+ T9 I
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update9 V' R, g3 }6 U. \8 t; D" ?
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be! s/ B$ R- h7 \0 m! U; s" M* X; m
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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