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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight0 U8 t) ~5 d1 y* a2 ?. H1 e' _% f
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly' w0 L* n* Y( z' n7 p( U r8 `
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
/ D0 W l5 t" Woperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with3 U) I# N1 n/ n( n" N! ] p- u
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
9 F0 C, u2 j4 b! i# F ]United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
. b$ C% B5 u4 A$ f* ]' Cin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.( K( B: L; I! B
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
, o5 e2 v2 h+ _, A5 Z' `stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
! m. K' n3 H- e6 v3 I- Jvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
3 Z) c+ H: F# Pin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
4 p7 D/ J: F1 G- U8 g; Rimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the& q+ E- B: ?) u8 I5 K+ J; G+ k8 l
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity, ~ x1 G8 o7 }) o" s$ j$ S
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.3 o4 w$ }6 \# d, ~" [( V* q; [/ n J p
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
* E/ C6 D, Q7 w- N* u% r1 c5 yin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.# K* L1 R0 z }; ~, @/ ~' a& d
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with2 q1 E2 D: y" O5 E, w
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more; j9 z# H: B& p4 w; n
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
- `9 L( v" E6 X: gthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess. V4 K* \' b H9 M* M; T# |
supply.! l, i1 e" \* r+ n
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
# f* z3 V3 I( a" V: e" `, Uto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
/ ~4 r1 p, N; s! Amonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 4 ?, Z8 y8 h% ?. a) r
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.& ]- P' K5 G0 z- G
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
1 f( U# I$ X6 D) u& g9 g' Nstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic& t7 c8 p# M/ z) u% [# j# {
developments.; f) N, Y; r- Q' h; ~5 D
( u" G! d" Q# P* E: t0 ?* DInformation note:; h! s4 @+ q! j7 Y6 a& j. e2 [
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update B; l1 u2 K; [7 |6 J
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be) r/ L# ]( t/ D4 O
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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