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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market: E. H! A$ F6 d4 O
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
; }% o" _3 y$ c0 V; f2 nrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
! j' M. q9 K+ Praised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
8 o. r5 m: Y# ~3 t! K" xoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
' m9 {5 E; p- v1 Y5 J( fstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the9 y, I4 ]' J0 Z$ A. M/ Y
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
6 ?/ \: I: @: d0 Gin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.+ ]7 d6 M9 x! i2 r; X8 u& z* [6 L
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
" s2 L+ L- t. v, _stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
: w5 Z+ S# ~0 V7 ~variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
2 i2 J! p2 Z& |) _) zin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an& Y( g/ h8 b- y( o! V$ x8 f) l
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the4 y+ N# ?5 h9 A; d$ A" L/ F) {
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
5 ?2 s. t% M' a& uprices and some tightening of financial conditions.9 ~5 T- Q: O. ^( `3 u1 S* X* u
1 e8 v2 y/ w0 a4 KActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent! W. H& n* l' Z* m1 m' n' i
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
: i9 [$ |' _2 E$ d/ _6 {4 t" tGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
. F: p1 X; n& Y1 ]income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
+ X( v0 ?" L. T& a! u+ w7 m# jbalanced recovery.! X+ a- }! N+ e& `. D
+ R/ Q/ x: O1 {( dCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects3 E& h' ?; k8 M- a- E9 D
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
8 T4 L! K6 W+ P+ _4 p6 z! o( asupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and7 H3 c' }; D0 N
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 5 G* J' V9 c, G0 m
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
8 h# _; J5 P" Q4 Tsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.. l" p- [- e, S" r( v* c
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
( ]# J3 D n4 `0 Cstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
% O" M2 q/ K5 S& f9 cdevelopments.
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Information note:/ d( N$ V9 {, u+ Z2 }
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update5 ?0 Q, [( B/ m
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be9 O3 u1 x e" F% p, z
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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