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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight; E4 g% n' A7 u* d# o! p
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
( r% i8 L: i6 o# b$ c6 Iraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal5 z/ W& [* o+ o/ a- g A
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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8 @' L3 \* u! ~$ b7 X1 N' EThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
" W" [& k- i3 f; q9 Lstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the* x9 U4 ^2 g* v
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness. @- T! u" c6 f! C" V
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
& s+ ~: g% `. p. B% U6 |In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
* _7 |6 M" e" h Y1 p2 k _* A# Q7 v, Pstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the) \$ {+ M3 U5 i# Y8 U, G
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result9 U* |6 Q" ~! w" t) E) w# P* H$ ^
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
: t* s, q# q4 \8 q) U( ^$ L3 Zimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
3 ~) x; i& ?- Q! d5 vspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
7 F) e- k0 T& d2 @1 z2 Lprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent: t' r6 ?5 T' u7 P. G9 _0 Z- Q
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed./ z; A5 k! x$ S, A# n
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
* w7 z$ _( r% y" q9 Q2 i5 `income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more& k& D6 ~* Y( Z* A; L* }
balanced recovery.
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9 @" E3 U0 v% a. YCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects5 C' R: R( d' a: F- W* G- \( ^" a2 T
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
' L' W4 X: y7 I U' z) r4 fsupply.; ?+ ?8 q/ ~- l
% x5 s7 K3 w0 s( F8 PIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
4 C! c) R6 x l, L9 _* Hto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
. J8 z( d' u7 r( B% \8 vmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the * S! I, V1 O9 j, a
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.( D5 |8 F, w' |% Z0 g8 j
) e& f+ r( j$ S6 i
Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary I' _5 F7 J$ t5 o0 D' k
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic, o& \+ Z* |; _7 i; H
developments.
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Information note:
( T2 N& h1 ~# l$ y9 t4 n6 k8 U' d/ ]& oThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
- A8 G" I2 k. A& S. [, i, aof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be. m8 i+ Q" S& w
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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