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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market# v. |, D5 }3 U& j
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight& h$ j6 s$ K! ^ l0 Q5 c
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly/ A( `$ k% M- P3 Q0 }" T- B
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal2 ~5 U& T7 D5 D- f! B0 f
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with$ F: }$ b/ }- k4 f* P8 K4 I( H
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
8 X: G1 a5 [ ]; V% ZUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness% C. y B& m# V8 [# R! M4 x; Q
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
t1 u0 o9 F0 U7 ^In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal3 y* L) ^% N& v/ o, b( K0 v0 R
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
1 Q( S4 ] y2 G0 Z, i0 D* pvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
; y& _# S1 T/ I; ?( b3 E2 Yin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
0 Z3 n7 O) W2 t& T1 q# Oimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the6 t4 q( F F4 K( V7 u& Q
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity7 }& V0 [- U: y8 d; B0 H2 Y
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.* r+ V# p3 V y
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent6 T: J! q( Y1 h. q) z4 p3 y f: X1 D
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.3 Z! `, H# p" o: P9 @; j/ Z
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with3 P# U$ B2 S+ N+ Y3 v6 S
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
3 o1 l4 I* h# {) L5 q: j9 fbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
6 D" g& j3 f" [% Nthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
; w% l) } n8 esupply.
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- l* n0 q; _7 o9 H5 KIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and' }) S( a. \: y' h
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
! D' R( `6 [$ @1 U9 y: O0 t' Smonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 4 u4 T2 F8 R8 O: x$ |9 L* J# T1 M
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.& [5 ~ Q# |- Z* k2 {5 m
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary' ?5 k. s! _7 g9 u0 L' w
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
% R/ h0 ]8 P/ G, w# X/ u: Fdevelopments.
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Information note:& {$ X; ^$ _* T+ x2 `
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update2 O( Q! i2 v9 V
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
% b r. {/ O+ l1 z5 Upublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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