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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market: @ O) B8 y2 Z/ v6 j0 O
: u% z' {6 S- m6 [9 G" yOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
, f- u2 N8 ~ |4 P: Grate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly% q" z! g' z% w1 U
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
3 H, @5 Z) w0 _$ r5 e- h/ uoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
! h8 E) j# ^9 w0 b2 E; V: s1 R9 lstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the/ J9 U1 ?0 m: `0 E. `9 S
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness6 c& q; O. n! j8 i/ ^4 N4 a7 a
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.$ I$ U, L! `4 H9 s, ^8 i! n
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal+ J. N2 x/ d% _$ h- H3 a
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the% `3 G2 z' o" M' d' C' a. \& C
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result( }1 D) d7 m2 E/ D0 W
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
6 K, |1 K& }4 L. G9 |. Vimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the2 h* X5 m: M% K. m9 @1 b
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity# ?! O# |/ d! Q7 N5 _7 X8 \
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.. b$ w3 |7 {+ p* A
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
# k- L! m. W+ U/ v0 Ain the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
4 v% o$ }) p$ X. D/ @. iGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
, Y3 P U6 W/ _* z! Aincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
6 f% N$ r' e) r. [) p/ bbalanced recovery.9 u! `, l" z3 f
~% P+ ?4 P" U7 lCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
; R+ Y4 C, Q& u8 z: t n$ n- Qthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess7 S1 G3 y7 g; q& K8 I: v$ J
supply.# d' Z' z( V4 s' e. A( {
. h9 ?' I2 k d% yIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
- U' m) V, W+ h" _; Nto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
% }/ A C3 G+ L- M+ b) X$ h$ L: rmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 6 n i: T1 X1 V" K
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.* z! x% w# ]! Z# e
: {: `- R: k# s2 A9 EGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary# M7 n" G# v' c
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic/ p8 w: ^4 B0 j* T! M" C
developments.
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Information note:
/ P8 E" `! S& ^$ }, VThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update$ i& U3 T& g: {! m, t3 b
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
% v- V, x' \2 e8 @. [; ~7 vpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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