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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market( B# I$ [: q$ k1 S0 c' k: ^, g) ]
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight4 E; I5 f* r* k% I. Q4 n, p' t
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly/ [ _# W! i7 C5 `0 G) D) M
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
# |( Q; a) w, o5 o g; uoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.$ h' W" L+ O2 e4 c' ]! L8 P
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with) a- F i+ }$ p) V
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
0 f0 b3 c4 T0 P, g" H2 U; b# GUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
3 r# F! P, A, S1 K4 p2 y$ q5 hin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
x$ [% @8 L1 n; u3 ^In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
9 V l+ d: N8 J! V* F7 y" N. Wstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
2 T7 O8 U' R! }4 a$ G; B; n k0 @variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
2 F8 [6 I+ E" t% \in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an" ]* r/ |. l O# q5 v& g( _* n+ R% N
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
! b. a0 }% P: w4 b. ^- e: z6 s/ qspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
9 n1 i. h* z- f5 U& Mprices and some tightening of financial conditions.7 C& y. o% ]' T+ k, k) J ] D2 G
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent' ~2 J% ^* f/ R/ f
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.+ ]6 |# e' c$ v! n/ S# X
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
9 r8 Q' |9 h- }' P! M- O2 _6 I% aincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
# Y3 ~- b9 Q, z7 ~* Tbalanced recovery.. L7 i9 c2 a& L Q% }
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
! v. Y! X5 f# d. nthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
6 ^; {; o3 t' ^8 L! ~/ H9 `5 xsupply.$ V$ P- x1 L; c+ c8 u/ B
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and' k9 F1 Y2 r0 F4 }6 S; I
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
! G3 q8 u- x6 e* v+ r: N4 R+ ^7 w! Cmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ( y2 \7 U1 f0 D9 H$ b. O. N
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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7 z( N0 P. b: D: m8 ?7 A) QGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
# L( H+ A% @: P2 kstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
2 B% |# i) _. |2 ~- q% Rdevelopments.
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Information note:
) ^; ~+ L- c. R8 D; |% R k2 tThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update+ S# T$ l c! t6 O- t8 S" |
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be! x" d. ?: L7 E. G
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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