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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market5 T( D3 f) e* K6 G: s; b( i
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
& B" S3 Z* Y# k# c6 D# Hrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly1 H. \4 j2 |/ n( \7 U+ Z( c& k
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal" G0 ~ E5 O* u/ g2 h, k
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with" O6 E g" M* m% z
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the& Y5 [! c+ c. p% L1 K
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness* C3 p; W( P' t7 ?' p; T% ]/ k U
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.+ f' w- a0 m: y. X- P5 x8 O
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
6 y3 f$ m# P" ]3 }stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
2 d7 Z! l1 G0 H* Y5 D, Z2 fvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result8 S$ l% ]1 J V' N6 L. A
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
) \4 {5 q# Y+ L1 B+ P- `important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the: K7 b/ p- Y3 |# d
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity: W3 y R! U+ Q4 y5 Y5 } v- w2 {
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.* N% C( C( B5 H/ W9 q; k
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent4 I+ G3 ^9 n+ @+ y# F- S
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.0 I; a6 m+ F e( ?* j
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
: W. _' Z; ~$ J& L) nincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more2 ]( r% {# g( ^! }% K& Y/ p! Y
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects0 d7 e) C, X' n* {9 m+ a
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
8 V6 d- c4 n0 x8 c! F: b) W/ Rsupply.
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4 ~+ I( s2 F4 H1 c' N1 IIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
- V S) d; ?. q4 p$ Dto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable * W6 P% x/ ^ U, `; X
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 8 ]$ Y0 U2 g2 x
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.- i6 X6 G$ h% N2 W8 r% v/ ^% f+ Z; ^
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary: k- Y' v, }4 p L, O
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
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Information note:
* \8 c: B0 d i1 PThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update0 w" ? ^0 H4 i+ W
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
) Y U8 |& a/ `' `( Q$ mpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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