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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market, |" i F+ a. L' Z" O9 r* j' ^
$ B( L y: s5 G' j" sOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
8 a6 Y4 k9 x3 Nrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly. v, b- P1 l" n k; L/ G
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
: P1 L& b6 y. coperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.% l6 V: D0 E* [0 T
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with1 v( N$ y4 g+ |+ C S
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
1 t2 [/ `5 ?8 D2 LUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
" U* B/ [" _$ w/ C2 o. ?( Nin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.! C' |# T. z% @! y6 ]# G) i
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
4 \2 b" b! H% k2 o) W$ g# Pstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
9 o4 |1 V! ]( |+ l& Avariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
* V9 s/ c+ s* J/ qin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an; r2 ?& p$ P f
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the. F' D4 q( A8 a1 ^* D
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity P" C/ `+ v5 T6 l/ a4 P) C
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
* T- ?6 m# [' l
% }( l) G# K+ w2 n" J: T {Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent4 U5 D7 f H+ z% z. R& z
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
* _3 M) {$ o! l& C7 s5 EGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
% F; k0 B8 L' _( Pincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
9 H! N9 i( g& y7 c! I6 Cbalanced recovery.8 w0 I) G6 I% g
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
. O) Y) u9 J- P2 Uthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
1 w) ~6 ]5 G# m6 \supply.- Y: n5 F! ^/ v3 G! k2 |: ^
, B2 W; E9 }. g. |1 KIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
8 X- U6 t0 C8 ]* j% a& L. ]5 Q, o0 Z3 [9 Oto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
6 h/ b0 B) {( [9 c& Pmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the + ~1 H5 i5 s0 z
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.$ e/ l' @- T7 ~/ a4 U2 z' q
$ {' d1 x3 l. E7 O2 y8 J' }) ~; dGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary! g' @- ~6 {, d) B8 M
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic E5 A7 X2 t) N; \, D* t, C
developments.% d* z! }# J3 |7 B' D
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Information note:
7 X. L. a" [% Y I) `9 KThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update5 d r; p$ k7 K* p
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be/ n. l; Z4 d8 S+ n
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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