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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight) |- V1 g& g3 k5 n2 K3 G M5 B
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
, \/ z8 d& R" n0 Eraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal9 G1 M% z, b6 Q
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.. Z i( u+ b) E3 K2 U4 t" x/ V5 f5 C
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
* C% ~: z& L# ?7 lstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the- B7 h4 i) l- O% M9 o
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness2 ~6 E: L; l! {6 g( f8 Z# W
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
7 O+ T+ I$ W$ mIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
2 B- M3 d9 k2 N2 G! Cstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
9 g0 L# n0 K8 [ ~% bvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result3 @, Q1 Q. F/ Y
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an3 \; d2 B: u4 i7 U+ O* |
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the1 D% ]7 J5 J* n0 I( c; V
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
% E O# j$ S% b- g, J( w7 |prices and some tightening of financial conditions.5 a8 Z$ q0 j+ i5 ]4 E6 z8 N7 A
+ g( z" l1 ?( t% a; I' F; O) MActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
: H# p& @) T) ^. W5 Din the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
8 C# W# g& ]! zGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with( n( P3 ~7 X j# L1 [
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
* a8 y! t: a3 e1 Z6 f' _3 |balanced recovery.
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4 [" b0 h$ v. c& e# g- O& MCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects5 q! q& L) d8 p
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess3 ~1 {9 N, C/ p- O0 C- m- M
supply.( Z5 |7 p* D2 z# e8 s. f* H1 n
; ~4 l- f7 F. ^: ~0 g( s- VIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and3 ?% }* w, @% O' y6 M8 Z, m
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
1 z1 ?0 v* Z4 N; dmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
6 ^$ O' j0 ^$ w& i1 d3 W* asignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.2 |2 J4 [: c5 O1 H! m& x
) c3 m2 l- @% G/ o& N7 g$ aGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary5 ^7 Q$ \ u6 K: j& |7 V" V5 m# x
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic, b. H7 ~) H/ {* i6 g0 v! O
developments., ]$ k8 S" \) i6 J: C3 p+ _% i2 M
3 d3 n6 J# h" h b, ~Information note:
: e8 P( {, a! _; M/ c! }The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
% e; D* {: v3 ~- x1 k" g! k* F- {: Rof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
1 E( B8 u0 g) l8 z1 j. a6 Cpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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