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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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( N2 P5 O) J% g( TOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
$ s9 b3 V( k" d7 \; vrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly- u, E6 x" x( y5 [
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal/ f3 }. P/ R# I$ o" o C
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.. D' O6 V: Q, m% k8 O; G2 ~
6 z# @9 V5 _$ }* Z$ Y, m9 gThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with# |+ O+ [% W1 e4 }/ R! S8 J
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
w; C5 ~3 I# ]United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness2 ?; V0 w$ A6 Q+ k. \$ ~+ }8 z, H. z
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.+ q) Q3 D4 U5 a2 g
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
1 y$ b) C* W7 h, }stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the) W* |* ~/ X0 w1 h# K4 H
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result( s% N" s" ]% U/ q8 j
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
, [) F }9 ?' k! t! t3 Simportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the8 h& v7 b* i. C4 y; L
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity5 M; r( }+ |. j. u
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.: e0 k& ~1 ~7 ]# Q; |+ p, N9 C I' V1 b
( G! `! `3 v3 m7 ^" x/ _6 }! b& zActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent: m0 W3 r& t1 f: Y
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
9 [! J6 F! c9 n: E+ B/ QGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with! b! P0 W j+ O7 u
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
$ M& H( U) S8 R# X1 L* M2 Nbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects7 K3 J Y1 }* h6 X
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess& w5 m3 S2 V& V- w9 g
supply.
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6 n# ]+ V. ?& u2 W6 n8 n0 h2 C6 ?In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
9 S- X6 R5 n( O9 ^" Kto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable & G& c) j6 R; U3 d! T
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
. C9 U/ D2 Z% J( c5 Zsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.) ~ }9 V. g. r: m2 j6 c0 L
! y! \- O+ U2 Z& G* OGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary, B0 `7 O3 }1 _
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic. e* e) g. ?( B9 p1 ?* q D0 ?
developments.% A! ~9 n5 h/ c
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Information note:
0 u" }. c) R& O) y+ V. bThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update3 z4 s1 V8 H0 t/ _+ j1 W/ I" I
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be% a; L3 }, ]: a( S/ y% V U/ K
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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