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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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* J- }4 w r# x& {/ Y2 ~$ eOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
4 w- ?9 r% a- Y3 s. r6 i4 |rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
! u, i- h% D9 Q+ k" zraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal( E: ?- c- n2 j
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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% N% f p* @7 Y1 O2 ?6 tThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with. c4 q9 S' |0 ]- H- ~3 c! o
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the7 t# x% q' x1 J3 U5 K" M8 ?
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness: f9 ?' n+ E5 u2 o3 O* @
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
6 n" z/ m8 ]4 ~( B" YIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
3 U- d k( W9 u5 ^7 ?* h' hstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the$ m" W6 N0 S9 f' L
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
$ l) H6 m( q: j1 m, Q) [" Kin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an! ^ a" l3 l. o/ e3 J3 d
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
1 k; o* d& }# V6 B! m1 G' ~spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity1 o3 d6 E/ y. \. m+ J6 z
prices and some tightening of financial conditions." g: N% F1 R' x
% X5 z0 b' S# T% CActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent6 k# f9 p) \7 v9 b! f
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.5 P8 ?' B3 r J X
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with, ]# k+ @6 `, T
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more8 o8 a, H9 p0 z1 p8 C g. a2 }/ s' Y
balanced recovery.
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7 i- s. m! X3 e, lCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects. |1 z# x$ X6 V# c
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess6 m5 D% Q' @8 o2 o7 z0 a, L, l" n
supply.
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" R# y6 k0 c& s! nIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
1 V# I8 y) b7 j3 ]4 |' ~to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 0 }7 g5 ^4 x( m4 o- k
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ; J4 H) L- ?* p5 | q# p& \
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.5 Z7 U/ l9 j) m3 [5 H, @2 g
+ U* \0 `% Y' iGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
- [- p) r& t4 t- Fstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic, U0 V% \. [. z1 I7 _9 O
developments.% U7 p$ ?: Y0 d$ O, C( V
9 G2 }7 q& Q% m u1 G( c4 ?. Z% Z" @Information note:
; X! h; _) N2 b$ ^; |6 N( Y1 AThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
" f6 ?/ W- g; o; `# Q- ~of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
: p! `1 t, ?2 epublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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