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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market# @9 o4 i" n3 X- a2 L
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
6 q/ N6 B# M C, [1 }rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly4 o! Y- i7 x! U7 ?: D- w' v
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
$ ~8 D w* m3 l/ N7 hoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.% Y6 f) R: Z& B8 {9 p6 l' h, D
+ p- ^! W! h! ]% @7 v$ M( \The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
* x( R) T: X+ {& M1 [& l& g* U2 fstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the6 A- j& l* N; x
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness% w9 M; `6 N$ Y3 u, H! ~
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
0 r, e0 a3 k* d7 KIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal! B4 m$ b: `. I- d" l5 l
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the1 G; h+ L* W* G2 Q
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result& {0 C" O) v- X" D3 _
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an, _/ `. ^; a6 @
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
; Z7 T3 R0 F7 ?5 W0 C+ Tspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity- q6 X& g5 v$ H2 g
prices and some tightening of financial conditions. J; U8 e, N! c: \" e
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent* x* Q9 y4 G4 ]: \0 K/ b# o
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.0 p# j) c. T8 s# X
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
% ~: z+ [. I! e* ^2 w, Iincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
- f6 A+ |. \3 gbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
3 i% c3 \+ d. L" J) e6 qthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess& e5 s* u0 G5 g W& J0 \. s
supply.- ^- x) E/ V7 R u) Y3 G
6 j4 l; T7 I' t9 R! KIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
0 H; c# y* A2 o) K$ Bto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 9 `# [1 n0 p% H, U. @+ q- `! E
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the : E3 ?! @6 f; g1 F: u+ A5 e9 h
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary! i: D5 Z$ v. T% k O) E7 r
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
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9 B8 _; u- I, U7 G# g2 d$ N K5 EInformation note:
% |! @. q- u8 x: RThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
! L" h8 @& E# V+ }8 Iof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be+ B( S( V: R" y3 g j3 C
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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