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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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) B; W$ |9 I! M! o7 ^9 X' pOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
I# ?0 E# E! |4 p' arate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
- p8 @% `+ X. c" i, w% `raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
3 D# }6 ~7 H7 ooperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.6 z' r. J3 Q( }; w8 Q: {( a
- Y0 ^9 K4 n% f% g5 FThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
# Q; v- @+ n; bstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
, q3 N) t% n. r; tUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
$ n4 j+ @" l' e; qin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
" m8 ]' O. F( O3 C% p- ]In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
* N9 K @0 X# I% m- L3 E2 mstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
! o2 m7 S; H$ S' ?0 i; evariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result' X4 A; o9 X4 ?% @; H8 F9 k& S
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an) z* f' S0 c2 m. X' M/ i& c, z
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the3 ]3 Q7 Z7 W" x3 }# j5 }
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
6 E* Y. d$ Y5 m4 F/ _2 pprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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0 p, d' w1 }7 ~8 DActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
$ M1 O3 J+ Z5 M2 Yin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.2 V: M( N% n8 P# }: m6 E. L; Q x4 H
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
) k7 y7 M* l2 W. S6 S& E4 Kincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
( }3 y* i& V& j- X; Qbalanced recovery., j/ l9 | k4 o. a/ b# ^
. y' G& S6 a/ I0 I" c9 q! y6 oCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
0 \6 q0 N9 ?) o. ?" Xthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess/ f4 ~7 h. W j8 l) P
supply.
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! F; A6 F& l' x4 J& f& J7 oIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and. n/ y, T# L. ^' a3 B% T$ }
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable a8 T! l- I' n% B8 W
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ' I, j9 U) T0 ~: O; s; k i
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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5 o0 [0 V0 B) \* D7 mGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary% l; V: B. @: _2 z4 G4 n
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic9 m) B- R$ B' g
developments.3 m2 ]3 @# a3 _4 A3 H0 z0 o, \
2 Y$ p' R% `8 H. `& e6 d. eInformation note:
" ~ H; ~/ _/ L8 l$ O' VThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
2 |8 m9 g P6 m% q6 ]7 _* Yof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
" z$ i! X/ X4 s4 M/ `" D i' y) g* wpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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