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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market6 m4 p2 @" Y" ~; `( ~5 R
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight2 G, }2 J4 q+ [# g$ t& V- i5 p
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
# Z1 ]8 d! i6 fraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal1 D3 C) c, H" W! o8 o
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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q' e/ P* y L# [0 L- CThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
& H T( j" L& ystrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the$ S: [. [6 z4 P& A' e4 e' C
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
# J3 K* _8 m, j3 L, }6 i0 uin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
+ p( a* B7 Y* z8 y2 vIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
/ v" `# Z5 E& A! B* j; R9 Kstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the" L. D% S; p9 T' A3 R0 e
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result1 y$ } x t& a s0 P
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
$ `$ p& ~& `. j# n: O4 p! fimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
% K+ f* h$ ^( ?spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
2 S: s% ?* _1 nprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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: `, n3 G* @ w% U; ?. MActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent8 b0 h! y6 Z9 _3 C& O1 c, F* S6 Q
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.+ P' Q J! I8 X5 V( p1 v$ h
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with# u5 S9 N' M7 ^7 C' @% `
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more/ z/ p8 s8 `9 W9 @8 y' |1 ^
balanced recovery.% }* K4 [# r; `* ]" X3 ~
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects2 B* ~0 D2 K) z
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
7 f! f- i# i& I" s# ^$ ?- c8 c- Asupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and: |1 W) S; G" @ [ z! y
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable / U/ ^2 Z; w5 S- g4 o) e
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ! t8 f' z' S! g m' L! X
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary3 U5 [2 _& @. C; k
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic9 n% U8 g1 u1 H I4 `
developments. T; D u- u0 L. \0 f6 b* [9 G
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Information note:
/ l# c9 _ [5 L& a$ E$ `: U8 c( G4 \The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update. p2 I: K# Q2 Q. i6 S/ S m
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
) e# f3 N$ i* K& n" tpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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