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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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5 p0 e, T% _. P# r9 H8 O, pOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
. q5 I9 l! h% a% Q% [+ ?' G6 T zrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
4 g ~! D; w: w3 @8 j. G ^raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal, j2 r9 _& M% v
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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+ F$ E5 ~ \1 v' m9 a; \The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with J) G) o* [/ V9 ^( U3 T
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the1 U/ h- [' W" {% v* l
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
6 G! u0 E0 V5 z7 u6 v/ v$ }8 Nin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
3 V/ I, A) ?$ P- j4 OIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal9 S' w. h& d+ K; C9 {$ z
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the2 N! L d: Q) I/ F6 y0 ]
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
! T4 H8 i1 T0 N4 R0 z& b, a: l1 zin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
4 o( |* w/ }* k* B \important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the7 v0 y) | G( O! _$ b! }' \
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity6 k1 U/ Y% E5 V% d" |& O& }
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent I2 c, X* {& Y% [7 f
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
s7 `( F7 ]$ P% n* FGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with- t7 s- G" z! j' ?
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
" h: E2 i6 p! D6 \balanced recovery.. ]$ [) s. _ U& `) x9 J
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
5 }' O( k/ q$ ?% @2 R7 ~/ c: I! ythe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess) f* ^" k! t6 w9 C
supply.
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3 [6 V3 R/ s3 u) ]1 M3 F0 GIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
! g9 j* w/ U% F2 _" T& U; Oto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
# Y1 J' y4 Q' [ f0 I! |9 y7 v# Smonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
0 e F/ A, W- Z! y8 vsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
1 n" j& k) F8 ~. Y2 w* ]3 Z& Rstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
: A' z. Y1 ]! L8 U. W8 Sdevelopments.
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Information note:
% A: q6 [6 O+ h6 w7 a, N, LThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
1 _1 z$ k4 g+ U$ b6 J" kof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
) [/ h0 j* a* Npublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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