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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market. ~; |% j# Y9 o2 t/ r! @+ V
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
6 ~( k6 r. i! Yrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
, b) A. [& O6 z) z+ Z* V: zraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal- I1 @+ m5 t3 }1 z$ J) M4 B: }
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with- V2 ?- @3 r% d$ \
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
* Z! D/ P+ G) A# ^! D) MUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness4 h& J: [4 g f' V4 ~, \
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
4 F/ p( T: n' v2 l0 AIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal5 C* _0 m& e |( p2 v. M1 A
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
% M. u2 S. `5 Y/ @) p9 I9 kvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result0 y1 W% x6 U* p) Y+ F' P
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
! M P2 z4 i$ ^) c! M( limportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
) n- |' v6 p" F) _. uspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
- g) y( ~7 i/ a2 r9 K$ `prices and some tightening of financial conditions.$ m8 M: B/ I9 z& w! \9 y5 {
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
% [% Q7 d9 d0 Gin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.! \) \4 s3 }. D4 R/ G. ?
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with0 v: B) r/ {. _1 P* A0 k
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
5 @& p& l3 B1 n( S! kbalanced recovery.
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& L9 Y+ C3 G% f! Y" HCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects9 U3 Q7 |1 e+ w8 g
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess l" |1 B9 p/ L* p' P5 m
supply.1 t. A% }/ o. E" U: e
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
7 L5 u$ P* A+ Pto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable $ X4 K w; H" h' {+ u8 z3 Q
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
' g* ?- ?& d0 Rsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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5 J6 B$ x# {; _Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary7 {, j" {2 Q& }" D! ^) P
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
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% E) c# N$ L& X$ w7 M" J- ^% CInformation note:
% q6 u0 c2 w& s/ d2 \The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
/ Z: n+ f. h$ i# P* Cof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
: {4 x) [- L$ L# bpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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