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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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2 ^5 X2 X0 A; a I* R4 ~; C& uOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight {# D2 O) J3 x6 d* Z
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
- e3 d8 z( I3 B$ @' J$ vraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
0 E7 n& k. W9 [- t2 Yoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.5 |$ D [1 o; s: a$ y D5 d
3 K1 K0 Z9 ^- p* q; h( U& AThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
8 ]# T/ y$ E, H2 Y) k astrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the6 c Q6 h) |5 `* ?# a; S
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness) H% }# |/ H+ J) s0 S
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.4 n; s2 K) ^- R, U' s6 r% K5 D
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
6 v' Q) @5 Y+ i# r7 }0 H. gstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the0 r7 F, O) L2 I
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result/ f7 _+ F' P. ~' J) ]! K
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
- M/ s+ N* u7 d' c* q4 f) Fimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
( w; s* u/ M. ~ wspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity @0 ~& h% `( s6 q+ R6 g. [
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent) v) _% v8 W( M3 Y
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.0 c+ p+ j. p D
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with9 i9 `4 Q4 {/ u, ]8 q8 E6 o
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more/ G4 P @9 a+ g- q
balanced recovery.
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4 W5 t( O5 ~, C7 O, _2 t( [& {4 U; ICPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects* c4 e# K4 i. ~( H
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess" ~' _/ r, i5 @/ W! C& X9 [
supply.
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1 Y6 `7 h# a) X T9 M! KIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
, W/ E8 ^/ O9 C- J& t, wto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
% J; p+ w y# ]monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
4 S, e5 y* o& |% U( i8 j6 ~significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary$ Z: ^! L! ~* X0 O N7 {/ r
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic1 l6 Z/ l q! }. t
developments.+ m0 B7 ?5 o; z! ?% i8 S: F
( `% Q0 v5 h- H- x- Z5 ?Information note:8 N6 _. b' E5 C5 |5 x8 z( X% Q+ j
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update1 ~) V! [4 ]+ Z; e
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be( ^" h6 j. G" O( G8 E/ C7 b7 _+ j
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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