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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market. p+ s% Z0 q5 F
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight7 ?. d$ g; [3 B9 V6 h' ]( J4 [
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly2 _* O' `' \& r0 n/ }" o
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
- i, j& Y: S' z/ g. ioperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.6 o! t1 G3 l+ ]! M, c7 i% H6 N
! @4 ?2 A( }; T! \' B" EThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with% a, f; D: V# M. `: X5 x
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the% ~ a; f% `, `% x+ g" F& @/ I
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness, D0 t/ p. w. E% E7 ~2 n" h
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.% J& Y g* |) M6 A. N7 N
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
/ @- N. o$ }+ A- Pstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the# n3 V. O u" @
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
8 _# @% D$ b8 F/ E2 I6 E. N+ S! N5 Hin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
! A7 k1 N4 ^+ L8 R* Mimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
: p( t6 q8 r0 f! Wspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity0 H4 {* s( d" J5 l7 ^. O
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.: a, @) ?# I9 D. c# C/ K
' H- G+ ]6 M! c3 QActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
) F: l+ z: s% v2 B0 fin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.8 G: W% m3 T) m% E, o( |! L z, s
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with5 q+ V8 p- X a6 K' ~8 _0 B
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more1 ~* H7 l- k* y
balanced recovery.
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1 Y a$ O8 H1 m# l( SCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
6 O4 _- h; \8 P" N# x+ ]+ Athe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
; L" n* V. A4 Y6 r0 {supply. P% Z$ J4 x Z/ Q) M
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
' _. e: ]* Q: wto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
2 w* P0 H @* o- fmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 8 [; `) \3 F! r" U" C
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.7 e" T* J/ S6 f/ h3 C8 l6 R
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary. b1 J$ i( U' f: ]: t, P, [
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic2 S8 j, f1 ?8 }9 M! P: ^# a2 q' i; J
developments.
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2 I, G8 D1 X7 f/ c# zInformation note:$ l, Y# W2 V7 |& q9 a
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update. `* l/ e. D8 L: q! [+ Y$ [, S+ T
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
, l9 G0 ~! i" o: K8 I0 }published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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