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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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& o" Z( P! x$ m' K! w8 zOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
1 z7 `: v1 ^; Hrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
: |( o. x3 H& o3 S" w: l4 Z( c5 \- h) ]raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal4 h: E% A* E8 F4 {0 C- n- y" L* h+ Z
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.! L. Z5 v; a5 \; o
! q4 h" R' N% M0 u& y4 v EThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
( y- }7 T5 w. J6 Ustrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the C9 V" f. `- U. v8 ^
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness7 F8 o* q F4 c& L
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
1 ^% {$ l, H8 O3 f& U" I& QIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal* S+ S ~9 [8 h
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the( H( b8 F2 w: Q; L# d. y# V
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result( |$ v) B- w6 h% Z6 K
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an6 D, S- T& Q5 \' Q
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the8 b' y: i4 r7 x/ D, B( t/ z* w
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
% g( F( I6 O* `' I1 w; t6 N; Gprices and some tightening of financial conditions.2 A0 k a# q- }0 M
6 {4 Z9 v; x3 PActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent2 h& `+ n& y* A8 ^' B% r" B" z
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
' S' D* l$ S: @$ h w' uGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
& M9 C5 S8 t! |- D; u' x7 t, S4 uincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
5 a# R( D( N: s, ]. ]* v7 Ybalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
6 e/ g& S1 B/ Y( t+ M" }( Y( lthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
4 N3 N0 R: c, P+ Osupply. B: \9 ]' n0 ~! m: X3 ]) `
. [( M* H3 a. F8 N, y
In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and$ q- U4 l$ b, l; n
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable : e/ i; ?2 h* k% p
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
* |0 r7 B8 U( o9 z' rsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
6 ^" c& {! X/ V1 u: |, p# B( u
' W; V8 w$ m! x: |9 T1 HGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary9 o+ S8 x, O+ Q ?
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic+ k' n: E+ r1 o6 \0 ?
developments.+ i7 d1 w5 T5 W% V8 u# k8 N C
$ U" k/ ~1 }4 oInformation note:. D. ?$ H) F3 k) W5 _
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
( ~0 M" `) j- J. V6 H7 sof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
! w5 U6 R9 O( `$ b& W9 M4 apublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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