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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight+ W `$ N, B) S1 v" C r# _
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
+ N, Z% f+ A, c8 j% o- Q7 K' p9 vraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
2 n4 s" `! b) c; }7 b Z8 coperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.; F) V" ]# ?8 Y( V3 H2 P
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
$ A2 O$ {) T) F5 m7 W+ ~) ?! zstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
2 L' T8 K2 o% AUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness! W2 ^6 F: o9 ^2 H& C: ~/ X0 i
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.! T. V* k& k3 d
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal- e {1 @+ g! t- v8 A
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
1 G4 w1 s& [2 g9 O* mvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
. u% d2 u; }3 @6 B1 J3 Pin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an( K" g! c9 T( s7 F
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
2 K- B+ f6 b3 Qspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
7 Z; r$ {# u3 j6 A: ~' m% eprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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* y% a1 F0 y! V( G. vActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
+ _( {7 i+ m1 ]7 H+ Nin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.8 m' u5 L; Z `# D
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with& t, r) B! k+ ~ E& J1 M# h: S
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more; \ P/ F* K4 r9 U5 `5 A( H
balanced recovery.
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' w/ Q! N7 m; d( ]CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
/ R O8 C9 W t ythe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess/ m: F( l0 E8 I, _
supply.5 x4 T. t5 J% @3 ~. D- }& s
; \* H0 x6 r( ]2 Y* Z, KIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
j& v6 f {% @to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ; F: c+ W6 e: t
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the A( l$ O% N0 t
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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1 r% E! u) g1 F# ]$ Q ^Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary+ k; \! Z% f. W, Z' \
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
% D6 f* [; }! Kdevelopments.- p* p: t% o7 {. H r. Z
4 @, L0 E8 ~0 c RInformation note:
8 r; I3 z7 i' n' i8 e8 f! w* q; rThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update* ^* ]9 J: C U" ?% d0 w& v
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be/ L+ _0 _ C( r' _7 \* e9 j* S
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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