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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight+ \1 E# x T& O' }
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
2 R$ \4 e" C) `- }4 n0 uraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal4 Z& |+ _$ R9 Y
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with- v* M1 `9 u( B; W
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the- j" U. w9 {$ r. J f
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
, Y% d. {" A% |1 T6 y/ pin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
! J5 U! {/ p) y" G* jIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal, z( m" ]! g$ s7 D- H# B( L4 P
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the% |* R0 |: [) V( z
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result& F# M4 `2 i$ G6 z
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
' T$ @7 `6 e7 qimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
$ ~: u1 |6 Y. _; P1 Rspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
% b5 M: `- N6 M1 Iprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent2 ]8 z& ^8 T2 m2 i5 A% d- U
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.6 m0 ^' L" T0 }0 c1 ?2 Z6 M
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
9 P$ {- c; b7 }* w* r, wincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
- `6 y0 p6 a/ _% a) g! ?. t; `3 Rbalanced recovery.3 }) e) q; ~7 z
* t/ W$ W t+ D* d" {CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
* W: v: R( C- ?, y7 k: Rthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess9 I: {! F. A$ X
supply.
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" ]& P. Y: n+ s, [9 }1 XIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
* Y6 L& w. k' Wto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
@7 A3 }7 ?5 `* Omonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
8 ?1 f$ D* Y0 Q, g$ _significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
. H! v @- D: d" S# Hstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic4 Z# g& h1 e2 ]/ X2 L
developments.$ Q. Z6 r( c, a6 O
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Information note:" N" i- d- V! [) f# K
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
) }$ ^, H/ u: Iof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
! w, x. G$ t8 ^6 y* k$ }$ Ppublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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