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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight! s; n2 N$ t$ q9 S6 z7 R/ R
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
3 Z/ ]& A% h& r# |. M' C) Vraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal5 s& c) T7 V1 p! y; s
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.9 D9 W1 m" V4 Y% _
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
% t+ c* i% i9 x+ h# ]9 `* {4 x% {strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the0 ?2 a8 W; |6 t& `, g l( }
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
( K' I) l, ~5 ^5 }/ }# din Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
; r0 S2 X5 s- T7 _# xIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
y5 O9 y7 z; l8 }. ystimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the; U p+ z1 E# ~" V
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result1 W M/ }0 j3 @
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an% K% D- ~- E+ x5 T) L7 `- e- R
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
9 \! g& i8 t" ~# }spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity+ B6 }/ o+ D% F+ a1 W9 x0 U
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.. R4 h5 I/ A4 M& B+ U
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
: i- I4 O& Z: ?" bin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.) o* d' G6 ~- E) [+ M+ ^
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with$ a7 X# H7 L; A
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
( R; H, T. n% `2 S+ Q# Kbalanced recovery.: f8 Y U: ]3 j9 ~) w
8 e, U+ T, b% Z5 cCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
6 h6 k' R. @4 R. othe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess' Y) b+ ]4 T0 M% z4 f r
supply.! I; ^+ @2 g8 d! r
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and( [( k5 o1 a3 ^
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable $ U' g; ~/ f5 i& J+ l
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
. K! f \: j, G$ U3 Qsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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: W& V8 d$ R9 h% d: yGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
% e# f$ r. S2 _1 D- ^" Gstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic. M4 p. X( r# P; X5 U
developments.
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# E, i3 x7 }2 o+ F0 t; u+ ]Information note:
1 I6 C5 @1 i' |2 ]! mThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update. X5 H5 [* r. }, h
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be4 R. Q: Q _& f9 `* C( _9 i
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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