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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market5 A. H0 R7 Z7 \5 m& P# H
% u- U& d s* `9 S1 M( ZOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight2 H* A; S" N) c+ M- a7 u# u7 N/ i
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly/ x( s- ?$ D" b
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
% O9 O; G; C7 F- t8 t8 Y6 f( |" voperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with; x" z5 \* a$ l. a' Z0 ?" x0 C. G
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
/ D# ~$ S/ H/ W: b; CUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness4 l9 \" l9 Z" D& Q" n( @
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
- _5 R: T, L) T/ M+ ^) x0 R: [! lIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
9 n/ _3 v0 ^/ V7 g! y6 X- C% j5 ~stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
! l" ~2 J2 Y1 z. t, Xvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
3 x& X: r' w/ g0 Hin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an0 O6 n& B$ U' d; A+ t* w
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
+ O/ O; t; u5 x, x6 A% rspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
& d6 ]6 D# x, S9 eprices and some tightening of financial conditions.) t4 m8 P9 I( W
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent5 A+ O) r& C+ Y8 B7 E/ ~1 a& d4 e
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
! n. U' n5 J4 J5 {Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
3 z/ T$ [. e$ Q5 `income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more$ N( s3 ~8 x" J2 J% n
balanced recovery.1 l) I/ z! R; V3 u! | {8 K2 n
: }! m$ E# t0 \' m# BCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects; y! C1 D- O% G2 _: ~
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
4 ?8 W& t) C# B5 r+ psupply.5 i/ h& s5 J, f8 P% k$ i. G
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and' Q( I& ?& W+ E! D" e$ L! H6 G
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable * `7 o% r+ |* C, c) E" ~
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the - D- [; W4 B1 m6 r* D# n
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary+ D& Z* o! N+ H+ |
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
4 L4 D1 ]; ]2 wdevelopments.
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Information note:
$ Z5 H/ v' o! ~5 g" C8 KThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
$ @" y: [% r( F9 v( \% M# {of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be, ]. W+ o0 C: m ]
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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