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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight. |: W6 y) x* H1 N
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly# I6 r' ?4 J. E6 g+ @
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal) ~ ]& k- M' R
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
5 C+ c& f, w; h# Q1 [: U' [strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the/ b. {5 t5 j8 D' @- h
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
& [: }" w5 W$ Z5 e' H) ^in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
7 V: L* T9 Y3 C* U2 `4 rIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
1 S- O. O0 e1 n0 i1 A/ }: C# h# gstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the4 r: ^( a& ?# N
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
% d9 K/ i w# z) S3 Vin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an7 m/ N; E5 R0 z+ Q3 x7 L' U+ B0 n
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the1 @ [$ {) f: {' I# |2 l, m
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
O6 N( d8 \1 |2 H5 `0 ]8 @prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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$ k7 x, X' u+ P9 i" S( {Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
$ D2 V! Y7 _5 ^* l( Jin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
. `) u$ |0 Y% V2 W, u9 c i3 N% fGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
7 m+ A1 F) {+ `: W# p3 l( zincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
7 H) B6 d+ c1 M& u3 X3 _balanced recovery.
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& }; J }9 \1 w2 lCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
9 s3 T% d! O4 x, t- s# ?the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess. \, m1 Q3 X) T& c# Y% a) F/ d! r
supply.
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; w1 S8 w2 G' z/ U7 Z& q0 BIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and) D0 x& V! d; Z/ P1 c
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ) P1 ?' z; I4 y2 B
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
4 U7 Y: H L3 ~# o* ksignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.- i7 C, r+ Y$ d; \! T/ Y2 M
$ ~& N b5 D: f. qGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
" S) h' P& A& T9 p. W7 Y: K6 ~stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic1 P& V( i9 F) j3 o3 S5 s0 N
developments.2 `) g3 ^3 k4 L6 v& E
1 o1 R m4 f0 M2 K: m2 NInformation note:
' m5 H! ]! @2 D. bThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
) b# V: R- g' R) w. }+ y5 c$ J0 Iof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
7 C& n- W0 r$ u$ B# Z6 ~published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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