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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market$ z2 B4 A7 b) f' C c
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
0 K- }( U, B7 j! Z l8 H, xrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly' r& w1 R+ Q$ k2 d
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
7 ?) K9 t0 A3 M5 D8 _: Y# toperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.% g# |2 }+ p# e( ?' K6 E: u5 s& V
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with; m. E, M( `9 z; _* d% L, O
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the8 o: p; L) B1 J; x G
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness3 B, c y/ i/ W" U' R$ V1 H+ c- ?
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.* _; l2 `! ^7 o! g X* k- }
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
5 ?2 g2 R3 d. ], Nstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the' ?2 y; | o! H
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
! S0 E6 T6 w" W9 Sin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an* v, m" G; \* A7 q9 b
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
/ _0 h5 M! X4 s& Qspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
) h4 ]6 \1 e6 i! e$ o! Wprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent8 ]5 s3 B, h& Q5 |
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
+ I" |9 S: |( PGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with2 f/ |/ P+ o( P( |; F3 u! A
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
, f. W9 y( Q+ A( o' g: p! s* ubalanced recovery., m" d4 Y* k. n/ M& L$ b
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects, R" O r8 F$ f/ Y
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess# t* h6 D4 w( |& p
supply./ Q! B/ z3 a1 u. B/ t! w( A" u. c
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
) I. M, l I5 ]& k2 e& oto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ( M) v" ?6 [* h* J/ X
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the # ?6 T; k4 a8 W( d, T
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.- F& N5 N4 t* _0 X8 u! w9 j
- ?3 h9 W2 [+ o0 F1 |) y3 vGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
% p- l5 |6 A. ^* x" @stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic" f2 V/ q1 L1 W3 O! I3 [ r" n
developments.
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Information note:
! d! A- V$ j1 f3 OThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
U8 ^7 ?6 }, p. C0 Tof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be( D( v8 ]- D s1 m' T. R5 T
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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