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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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9 P! @3 p( e1 V5 s' @9 yOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight0 j; W! K0 u8 M' l
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
+ L* F; |4 f1 i5 Q7 jraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
) C6 U5 q/ n% Woperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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5 c r U, n' E' ~; {The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
3 L! t+ N7 I* |. l) Ostrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the0 G8 G) ?' o1 J: Z; N$ J
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness- B) @' Z% P/ @, H8 X9 ?
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
- g/ |, |/ l( \( {) C+ l" x( eIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
9 v" N9 P- e8 ostimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the) ~ {8 [+ q" j3 x6 Y/ C
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result2 _8 n# t' H. K3 G/ m
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
; g# ]; W. @6 pimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
/ V4 [9 _& G! s) Gspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
% ~9 a6 d! ]. E8 oprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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4 J3 Q. r1 @# q9 B. o& @Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
) |$ k9 M$ {7 pin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
+ Z; { o) l, f" P% A/ z W/ E. N. xGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
7 s+ i! O+ v0 r& s5 O3 G' x# N3 dincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more U+ b4 U( n' D8 |3 q- C/ Y
balanced recovery.
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- ]1 b0 V/ B. BCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
# t1 X$ H/ Z( Othe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
1 @; E) W7 m! l( Q- @supply.
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1 D) V) B& \+ e+ BIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
4 ?: z K4 u {to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable & `+ c/ b, E; h5 c, W2 n; O
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 8 V9 r" I! g& t) U, R
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
. F: G/ V% I! \' Jstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic# M0 q2 x, ?- b7 ]
developments.
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1 W+ F! d9 n5 t5 fInformation note:
9 {+ \' x! E" i* k% A2 m9 n) @The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
2 H+ D+ d9 n; f# Sof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be5 z' A3 W: s' c4 T' f6 Z. x! V
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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