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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market& [$ B0 z$ K; o
" n9 N# I$ |6 G5 \& ZOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
U9 P. W9 h [3 jrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
: K. @+ f* L( craised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
" H( M) s3 x; r/ n2 h5 moperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.$ u c7 r' V+ V l
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with1 p7 [1 W+ H6 \" K' r1 o
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the% X" \7 Z" w* A/ ]
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness" a2 o% l# H) L2 v" c& i( \
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
5 o3 [; {6 v: x5 h2 f1 C( Z/ t7 t( gIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal( i) C5 ]# [# R" i. @" h: Z
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
7 d2 n& I+ U% \+ ovariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
0 H$ b" C6 I' d6 Xin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an- F1 y* z7 y1 M% t* \
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the6 c$ \! w3 E% x" e& c- P
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity5 A; w2 [. L& s! } x8 P
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
0 E1 S- F/ Q6 i# n4 C( m Lin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.: e( a. y s* m* j, e3 r
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
! K1 O1 H L6 Z" J& xincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
! v; U3 j( X/ hbalanced recovery.
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9 x; d {! x( I! JCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
/ M8 ~& ]& i5 |: T$ Lthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
1 d. y5 w+ e9 \$ U' Z1 w$ k. S, g- W: zsupply.
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! R9 x7 ^, J1 L: ?, W+ q( U* gIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
0 J& W# R' V% \$ ~to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
1 ]7 o: O' r. hmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the & I- b! H, s U- ]9 R
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.0 g2 p: r( O C! N6 i
0 Q/ u) G$ s! n/ w" vGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
& k9 O2 N4 V. W" q4 ?; T4 G# q% Kstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
9 S, Z' P0 _2 V Y6 w" z5 ^2 zdevelopments.2 j+ b) j9 O; M6 U- z
9 @$ N8 _5 M" Z- p+ qInformation note:$ O$ E: K4 _8 ]# ^/ b! M$ v
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update# ^1 U7 p2 Z* c) F7 U' _! Y
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
0 b3 V) S( a$ s$ Q% l" u( cpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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