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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market7 B7 }7 T% _% e
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight2 t$ L8 c7 s, w+ M+ c* ^
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
5 [: y r/ ~+ E" sraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal0 g2 q! u" g% }/ d
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with# r' z2 m3 ^* E S, J* ~0 C
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the- k& C! ?+ g6 F" B1 ^8 z
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
i }" g- S9 D3 o, cin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
" t& z3 b" Y+ j( ~' p" B5 nIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
( y+ k; L9 T0 y4 @* l( ~" U5 nstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
@' h7 S8 L3 c2 M$ J3 m6 w( Xvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
1 e5 d" [; Q/ l3 Fin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
: d8 Q2 @: m( ximportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
6 f' l: R9 ~$ j5 E4 Y$ vspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
9 K/ r: h _% I0 Cprices and some tightening of financial conditions.- ^2 V2 l: a4 v' S! ~
/ v$ [5 x* z( E+ ~1 |Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
' b: ]& U7 f4 p7 W$ T7 B8 rin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
3 f! g5 z+ m6 Z: ?6 c! uGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with$ a& }7 D3 w* `
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
( g0 D l5 e6 G* }$ zbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
- n/ M2 ]' m" c" M1 |) O4 o: U$ U0 vthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess: T5 f s" t+ Q3 j: A
supply.* n+ r( h! ^4 B" ?6 H1 {4 D; L
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and. q$ x" U8 _; J3 {0 n9 J
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
* S5 m1 Q) g; d" J0 nmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
# L& p" t% |: h$ K$ g" B' ssignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery., a- e; _$ ^6 U I; d& v1 }5 j
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
# O% d& e! w) ~" G5 \: T! tstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic$ W0 Y+ L8 U4 U0 d
developments.
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( f# o2 t! h/ ~' u; ]Information note:
; o6 g3 c; n9 B& P" a8 tThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
! Q8 l' C) w: d! s) \8 z6 u2 ~' `of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
' N! s' B" j- V; k jpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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