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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market0 T9 b- b5 v4 N5 S) I
$ [6 z1 P0 ^, ]- rOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
$ X0 Y! P$ N: o* z; |/ c' Trate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
8 a( a0 ?1 A+ x5 Z; y; v$ Q! v* Graised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
{: X) i" ^6 T" S# @& Y( Q3 P" moperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with$ w, n' {+ [. T# H* `4 |' B
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the. R$ h% L- U) Y
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness8 n& M2 v4 B x4 K) p' H
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
0 b' o: h# W% `7 ]6 BIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
7 `2 H; M6 A; M/ vstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the" l" I& f6 W8 ]3 u9 ^7 L
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
& X5 B' N& _9 ^- A. J* Rin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
7 s" s# o0 `/ O! Y0 Y$ W) Dimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
4 U: @, h4 x5 v- c1 B) {& ?spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity- b4 Y6 A7 x$ T2 i9 G! ]8 k( T( Z. X' H
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent! G* E1 T/ ]; E. _" L
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.: F' G. i1 Y& p% R/ [, E4 R
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
& Y" _' J- U4 q# x7 gincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
! ]6 t" _4 C/ O: ]balanced recovery.* V6 ]& M3 g$ ^6 `! e
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
1 U6 w# M% _& p [! Hthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess+ g* Q2 }' \/ C+ R8 N, a
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and* P5 b4 X R6 R! ]
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
2 m; f; z7 ~6 Emonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
9 ^3 U" \/ C9 n: p7 c P. c' \significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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2 P' L& e6 X- Z7 j* x, A! @Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
1 f( ]5 F: j0 A7 @, m! v+ p' xstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
, O: ]0 T! r1 ^, u/ W- wdevelopments.* s) w' q) T% i5 [
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Information note:
$ E7 m9 P5 Z& S! T hThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
9 v: v6 c7 t( D8 k, R7 cof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be1 l, H/ y3 M+ N' ~
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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