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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market$ o L+ x- x2 ~5 J
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight, x5 y1 S) ?' q8 b& T
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
% K4 O5 I& i' U; w craised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal: P! [& c' Y( v' r: d# O
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.) n. C& t m p. x
6 ? ^: U) e7 A6 |! WThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with: [& T7 ]4 l- p; X
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the1 O( |! n2 C. k
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
9 H- k# t; e7 Y1 V' \in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.% H/ Q9 H, x/ O' m& |, Y& q' Q
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal0 D8 }# L9 c2 ^8 @# q3 m: I
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the# P" p. ?; l0 b: H0 s% `; R
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
1 H1 V P! I H8 P! @in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
5 e# Q' S! B+ W Q1 g* timportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the# f3 r& ]% s' Z. [9 D& V
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity' L$ z: ~- J# O: Q* l; F3 g/ l0 M
prices and some tightening of financial conditions. G* G- U8 G v, @" o' Y
7 l! j; e" v) Z! [8 u Q6 xActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent5 E% _7 X/ ~6 a% U# C% \0 g y
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
* B# h8 E! f1 \( vGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
* {. q# E7 C7 l: k& @0 f$ qincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
$ @2 r9 l2 p g2 zbalanced recovery.
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Z7 h* i) f" |2 |" w" A: _0 @CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
. s& D& S1 h" P0 J! v6 @the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
8 J# E3 l4 Q4 k! D' g; csupply.
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; o6 ]" v: m3 W* a. hIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
B9 q y! w8 b+ y+ l/ c9 D cto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable , r" {* K9 N+ u# A
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ; k, r. y: n' o8 l+ l, h0 {8 ^- g! h
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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7 l; H: ^& D% {* F& z9 B& AGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
/ {6 n6 e: U* P S% x( T; q& zstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
" N$ {1 b4 L/ G5 C8 }9 e Wdevelopments.
Y- N$ A& H* S$ V( ^5 V! T: h R' s; c2 O6 T5 H% Z, H7 a
Information note:
3 ~, m7 F9 C, j. Y4 s- |3 h7 aThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update1 r( b% e8 \7 m! W; l. A/ C
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be% e9 t3 l; `- K+ H2 ?( j
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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