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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market, C# o$ P+ k) S+ d
; m1 v" O3 u+ ]* M$ ^0 |; \3 iOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight1 v% B0 e& T# `& z
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
% i; |! A9 w6 e% ?5 _8 Vraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal" \1 u# ?) C5 }; p! s' g- ~
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
& j5 W# w$ P- |5 Q' Wstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the+ ^6 b1 q) k9 \' { `0 {3 [5 E
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
+ m9 C/ x: }) [3 {in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized. q! @% W: \& |1 B3 n& j7 `; e
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal! C( K- o; u+ m3 i1 G% D
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the, G t: Y" }. G* ~+ N6 ?8 q+ h
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result/ o5 u4 u$ v" e# E; H7 Q
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an$ ], h6 e, h# ]7 I! b
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the% |1 W5 o, V d9 H3 j8 R+ Q
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity& I6 T' g/ @% V E
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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. w$ T) V+ |9 lActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
6 c/ Z) O7 E; kin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed. ]' _* O4 ] W2 }* O
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with/ u7 a: n5 v$ }- r! c
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
8 Y. ]* @: B' ]( l: m* c* s+ k8 q( v/ ~balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects r4 {8 I. `( f2 t, `
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess/ m" O. E" P. S/ L8 o n3 e
supply.) t a; O' v L5 e$ U
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
! i j, L5 `5 N( P$ a% bto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 2 `" w& r& |6 P+ a8 m
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
9 F1 V1 o2 f N$ ^6 o! }significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.( ]0 ~) N& [* \, p v c
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
/ r6 F% `; c# J) Estimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
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Information note:! j" p @. X- Y/ j# R
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
% e- r. Y/ B# m6 F. k* |4 iof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
/ [) U' W7 Z9 y' r0 n, A0 Jpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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