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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market6 e% \" ?6 n$ L4 ?: N. K, ^
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
1 @0 V! ]$ l7 J* f/ qrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
( s6 z8 m3 S2 q1 Xraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
( L1 g4 o; L! ioperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with7 Y% ? m/ s, i0 H
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
/ ]* j; ]. x5 h+ H: oUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness1 F3 Q1 U/ z, S! w$ z0 C
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.$ \7 _7 B9 o! [' [5 @8 ?1 C+ }
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
: U/ C) L/ e( `) vstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
. _; \9 K& k9 |% ]* o4 k4 e, ]variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
: A# Q* E+ E6 min higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
3 }# Y m( @+ [) Zimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
! o1 H; r* m6 Tspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
' M: U3 e: Q: V; F$ E3 T8 Dprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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3 L& i! K: T7 \0 r" n7 d. t MActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent2 r' C3 V/ O j: O
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.6 n( v( F4 `+ E
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with' N( R: D- h( U" I' ]
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more1 H; O5 {, [, c: v2 V- V0 l( n
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
3 x6 \& V* t+ z+ [' i V; pthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
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+ M* f7 O6 G! }) u$ OIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and/ q! Q, P9 K' E/ @6 D: r: N4 J
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 2 D7 I/ O3 m0 d$ l9 C# |# M1 l
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 6 S. T) s! Y/ p
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary& C% h5 u. v; M! g* c) f
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
7 b! Q: G" N9 Mdevelopments.
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Information note:
4 a+ i2 N: e6 z% O7 u3 BThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
+ \* C' Z! M. z0 b+ M0 y% Nof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
5 e2 ^! J/ u* B9 C7 Y0 j5 R( gpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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