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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market" g3 b6 O' x1 c0 P
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
& E# H% Y$ \3 v7 b+ }rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly# V* t& q1 R. K" O7 R' P1 \! ~
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal( C& Y8 k7 B( H+ C- Y
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
( K0 I1 B% q: ?8 y: Estrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the; d+ H, v+ k5 h# ]+ O5 L
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness0 d5 X k3 L# a" s8 y
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
, R1 A% t: o# `+ jIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal6 Z2 b2 n5 m! e4 v% r
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the0 i O: o; G: d8 n8 T
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result* A& Y+ C" F" b
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an9 ]/ e2 N$ r2 {$ s. ]' [2 K V [, {9 K
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
5 [) e3 p R, _" [spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity, W _, g0 f. ~4 v" Q, [/ G
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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8 ~6 r1 ~! j) a; w QActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent: e# g. h4 _5 n; n
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed. o( X$ ^8 l3 f; m
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
: n, O9 u* u# p+ Iincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more; m+ g9 P; V7 z! P. Y: ~9 N
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects: ~+ k$ Y* z% @8 h; V+ L1 z6 E
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
2 l6 q/ H$ G6 O! K8 o, fsupply.
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0 H- s$ ]) L1 F0 D' z- kIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and$ X. l, w* O, J1 W5 f* ]; _
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable % f( [7 [1 O9 }( d2 I, Q. O1 c! M
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the , ~- E' o+ y+ C! A
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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8 ?& l+ i8 ~2 X8 t. UGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
& j4 j3 K' o4 w2 g( M) kstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
, ]! a8 R) @7 g. C) I8 p; i' c; U% bdevelopments.1 T6 q2 k, h7 U0 A, ]; h5 m
5 @) K# m9 O* X' I9 MInformation note:
! U7 K2 R p- D4 Z7 B7 JThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
2 {" z$ X0 u2 T d/ cof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be: `7 M: \* z3 s% J3 P
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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