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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market- {2 N. b, [1 x! t M y5 ?" `7 }+ X
- q# v0 p6 H& U7 l8 b1 O! k7 yOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
; a& j2 e+ F d3 s2 B. K5 prate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
% {2 e8 {8 h1 Araised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
2 m& T( k& j7 d- z% eoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.1 @4 ~4 g$ ^/ E; x& {% H
/ L7 I% J. O R9 fThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
) G4 @' M0 G2 d+ d2 Mstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
3 e4 p4 N! _8 [; x' c# pUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
! N" R q( I4 R- Rin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.. a# R4 Q3 v# \. e" q
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
3 f' S- o" q: W2 n8 `stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the3 M, L3 G9 I7 r
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result; `! C+ r6 }/ J- ^/ Y% M
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
8 J9 R0 j% j A; ^1 Q/ m4 |: `, w9 v1 r% Limportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
$ J! U5 D2 `# [" E/ \spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity2 u; ^4 M+ e C1 H. v. q5 G( T
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
$ [) j+ o( \4 v: v( Ain the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
- v ^! l; @( q: G1 w- k! DGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with- _" I: f) L- H' B0 R
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
4 Q, A9 i7 z8 H8 Q. w- qbalanced recovery.5 Z* n6 t2 B) S: x) u
5 Z6 r8 t1 Z, `1 v. {2 XCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
4 J4 o0 G( |- h, }1 ^the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
/ H' w! L+ P/ Y1 l* Jsupply.) g$ W |: C/ V
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and' ^( d1 U+ v9 ?4 R; E: x
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
8 C" e2 X8 w0 x" z* o( i6 t/ Z& qmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
: g1 P; I# T2 V% T3 W3 }significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary4 `0 L0 R7 \6 ?& c7 L
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic! Y, n& ~0 ?) W' @
developments.
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. A& ?2 r3 K. c" L, n& uInformation note:6 ^; w) e, c! j3 z* w0 O. Z) U1 \6 q0 g
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
) l6 C" i% t9 r+ Sof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be4 I! \" T0 V* n- Y$ w
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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