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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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2 x; Q+ X9 E/ S- H* yOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight2 @9 Z* O. ]. G+ _7 c \
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly% U7 k* g3 z% G7 S, J- s8 B
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal; d; r$ t; q5 t7 S
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with$ s8 E& I7 [! S. x
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
2 [* [* \. K/ X* D' D, F/ jUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
& w7 G, u. a$ P6 p2 o+ A$ Iin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.; I# K7 o, q! G4 c: h
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal3 `" k/ g9 C' w0 E- ]* v9 E
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the) Q9 H+ g& T; T
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
* L$ D4 n6 U3 Q) S/ ?3 ^( fin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an) U/ T- O; L' d; P c+ I! F; x+ v
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the; O6 r: Q; c0 X& v5 @* V- ~
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
0 x& s: x$ ~, m; p" Cprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
j+ E4 W5 s/ ~6 C% Zin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.6 d, x- H' b7 }4 Q, t! `
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with: d% @$ Q5 V/ K8 F# ], b' T v( [
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
0 j7 U& i5 A* U) h) [; Cbalanced recovery.
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1 B2 [3 U& c; N* o6 j v$ a7 W( NCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects9 W m1 N9 Q; V$ k8 g, b) i! }5 Z2 S
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess# Z: t2 I9 s' J: |& Z: C6 u
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
0 L! c+ o& t0 n) E. p5 Qto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
9 ]% n8 V3 G& N( emonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the # n6 T0 o3 _* X0 d+ D W t7 o/ c& v
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary+ l. x4 E# y" J# X2 Q6 z$ A' ~: n0 S
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
. s3 t+ A1 S: R# ^3 o* I2 C! ^& sdevelopments. y3 |! P1 c ~% U: k
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Information note:
3 U7 D, _4 `1 T) s# p% FThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update0 F7 i! C* T6 G% y) Z A9 [) f
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
; S# S( B- Q% |9 {published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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