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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight3 e8 K6 e# M2 l+ Y: s0 i1 Q. I
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
. ^( S+ h% H1 `) Z ?5 Rraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
7 i0 n' e5 V8 d2 ^3 y/ c0 r2 doperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.. j, J+ ]- \3 L
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with0 r9 S1 m( T. e+ j0 m( u
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
" F6 G$ A6 _5 z' \United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness! c/ c' J( w+ A" |
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
6 \$ u8 u2 r$ f% T6 YIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
x5 q: R& v0 G4 pstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
8 l" `) A$ f. v) c/ Wvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
4 i) A1 x! X5 \5 Y3 vin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
' V5 T4 F# L( ?+ d' p, timportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
- Q# y+ t5 L ` P' k( G* u; d4 `spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity* f+ `- j0 B4 U( O7 {" R- B! h
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent$ f" O0 W+ j, w" q1 l
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
7 l: I- a/ M& r$ t6 YGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
$ v! n) Q7 ~* y1 ], y+ Hincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
6 F0 A; z0 @& C5 ~balanced recovery.
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# y, }- \- b1 m. E$ E! sCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
6 ]8 F' l0 E6 d$ B( G. s. zthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess* ]$ f7 r6 @6 ?# I
supply.# n7 B8 X# u' D) }
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and& L4 ?7 N; _) }- V* _1 t7 [7 m0 u
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ' l# Y* o8 M" A% H) S& O
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the - [! G0 c& c$ N2 _) p1 w
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary( J: @3 Q M8 y) `1 g
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic0 G$ U, K* R- O8 B& g$ d7 i2 ?
developments.
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Information note:
' `- G1 b' M7 y, y2 uThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update, ]( ~6 e" A" M ?5 m" I+ q! r
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
8 G5 Z$ v4 X' l. w. spublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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