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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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9 m: P* n( }9 Q6 H- B" h5 m" A9 w( FOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
' z: q D. b9 O, X" Z( Wrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly: R; j" ^ }: f
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal p2 ]% k/ h3 V8 ^) z0 D g$ H
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.9 o- ?0 ~( V# v `5 i1 I
" H; e' o9 U7 R4 [1 xThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
$ T: j0 A/ Z! u% j* n# ?& V8 Rstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the2 x% ]; Y/ c$ m- M/ y( |$ I
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
B/ q! y/ D8 F% B ^/ O: M$ oin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
8 g1 D3 w, P( c5 x( z: ?In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal& i/ Z5 k& m; N0 i- c. ~7 |6 |7 B
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the6 W0 C u% y0 a8 t! r6 ]
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result2 a# q# j6 a7 |* }9 S5 `4 V
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an/ `1 |$ [4 W% E4 m$ `* B/ i$ D7 x2 [2 v( j: k
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the1 a0 {6 }0 Q$ Q9 C, r
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity2 j7 |" u; O+ U5 G9 i
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.8 G3 @4 }" o- _% \* I
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent# R! j. [! H/ q: I$ A# m
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.! I6 t" M' i2 I8 r5 n6 q1 x2 x
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with* I- l, q# Z1 Y) p5 k& Z3 o& x
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more: c- B' v3 l' j6 v9 n
balanced recovery.
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! R3 L$ Q+ w) O* i2 g- a* N/ nCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
; j5 O/ j/ o/ I% C& t( rthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess4 @$ ?8 Q2 M# E& G9 x) |$ }
supply.
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" m6 S% T* n9 E- M: rIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
! T3 L& q( l* I0 ~/ ]to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
( b C8 |2 N+ P: q4 H! Vmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
% R8 L5 R7 s1 P, A9 B) u0 Nsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.1 ] y) H( F; b" U4 u; I
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
1 ]7 @' {9 {+ }1 t) tstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic" |& U( ^4 w9 O% U1 A2 i7 \" A& c
developments.( ~" `- R" J4 y9 h( ?; ~
( [( g6 B4 j1 x8 D5 x7 D" CInformation note:& `) K* W* }0 ~" {- \
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update! r! Z/ Y5 M1 E9 `4 H
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
1 W* ^, A' n% \9 C! D, p. j$ hpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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