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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market2 O( R* ^0 p) W3 m, j% F1 a- g* J9 O
6 R' P5 H8 u7 j( W: x* A( I' TOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight( E4 l2 J4 ^2 |/ E
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly+ r8 U5 H6 T8 c! ?# U
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal, E: @3 c1 z) d/ T
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.1 _' v; v g6 Z7 [
( T' {: Z: b# KThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with& s0 F3 c' b; `8 }) K: q9 ~
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the. O9 }9 I; x" ?- F1 k
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
2 c1 r; M; a- N! b. ~in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.: v# c5 I- d0 h4 M
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
5 H& S5 C! J% Istimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
( c/ z# K% e# ~8 g/ r" F+ zvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
: ~2 ~. o, \3 P0 Y: I* e) \% [in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an7 l+ ]1 w# |9 Y o! n& ]0 E, p
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the9 n- _9 O4 i" c% B
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
: W. ?' x/ K' E6 [prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent5 d" v/ s. O; g( V! J( @: S) m
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.. \, @: B0 C. C; ^, b. t, j( s6 ~
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with4 z+ ^9 W5 r% w1 |9 c
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more# X# O) ]9 |. r W2 g2 s% X
balanced recovery.) M% `1 H" E5 ^; G' {5 ~
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
0 s" r( y# y6 A2 b- Ethe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
' ]/ [( T4 R, w: @) }. d6 e6 Gsupply.
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2 @2 G0 a8 r1 t2 fIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and" Z" |" ]+ T+ k! }! R" }7 T
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 2 }+ l5 v0 _( b$ E5 \" _2 e
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
' W/ _& _" H, M* {& I3 a' gsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.: E# W' r; `. j# m
' H* h9 K D: x& K( `, U6 HGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
5 V! {% j, O% L! G3 y# _4 Zstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
+ K6 h) H0 ~% k m! Wdevelopments.
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1 r! A1 y" u. V8 _4 _. ?! |9 UInformation note:" a# g4 ?; @) q& e5 [
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
0 K8 n, o2 X8 aof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be( q7 v" Y& L$ N& a0 H
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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