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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market5 ]* X8 t" R: m; k& p* ~! X
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
- F1 `( G C& \4 srate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly4 c6 M; b! Q- K$ W. Y- ], Q7 V
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal, T- J2 X+ E% N9 u( m$ I
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.8 i) n0 r) |8 O! _8 v: m9 B
2 f; q; B( v: ~9 R2 A9 T3 `The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
9 e4 H5 A+ [8 U" g& i8 ]+ ostrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
N- ]9 o& R: X, [, b+ IUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness4 Z. g) o* K4 e5 b0 F
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.1 m0 x; M6 W* D! \5 A1 k, ]
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
2 Q4 F# | \. l8 B0 x5 V- T( Vstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the8 J r# d! A* S2 H
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result# P9 v" L3 S& j6 I
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an; `. M b- z. _0 _- r0 j8 U
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
( F$ r. X. `: |# f+ V, X' Z+ ?spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
2 e& T- G' H) Y. G9 Lprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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2 |4 I! F" [. ^: K2 \ v6 QActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
& T1 z8 e7 e2 y3 E' rin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
8 N1 p. e2 i( c0 x) s9 @% Y" UGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with9 }! A0 Y& R, H, t- s+ Y5 l
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
) a( s6 e$ d! zbalanced recovery.% g8 Z9 V, Y- l" m
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects6 n5 U4 m* D- S! {# l. l
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
, h0 o% P% B3 c% N9 l' v. bsupply.8 B1 X4 \7 i, L3 i% x% H% j: n
7 i- _/ S1 J% v. ?& f2 q# n& u+ CIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and% z7 H7 L! I( k9 f& @- l
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
5 q% a- q' H; _+ M% k6 T4 fmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
4 z# d5 L4 p. w; F# x( usignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary3 G& c! I3 E# d$ ?
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic. U! g' ], L4 t9 k
developments.
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Information note:* |2 e) } `; i$ D6 ^" N2 d* ]0 L
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
! p, p5 l, |4 I0 m+ pof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be" @- w- ^5 D# O; H. n
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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