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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market% `6 G& P Q r5 E
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
4 `# N8 u/ y8 E9 d8 n/ @+ urate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly' _, D% Q9 T" Z+ l* [ N h
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
/ b1 {) a" v& ]4 [6 zoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.* @% O, w% z; x, u( t
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
8 ^9 L( Q9 u% ~9 F' |4 x2 Hstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
0 Q: d d; y ]) O. mUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
: N9 Q- I: b# G& Gin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.3 v5 W+ I: R8 k5 C' \* L% ]: a
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal T4 D: ]* a* x
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the2 E: z* t/ B+ e
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
6 e- d! u* ~/ z3 v% K6 r! zin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an1 B2 i) ?# w, D2 _
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
$ G1 p1 Z) y) ^ m9 p% Pspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity/ ]! E1 K$ e Y& Q/ _
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.# J9 X3 S+ W [8 M; T! {' ]) R/ H4 s
" T: g' O) p* n6 F$ g) c3 LActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent0 ~, u& f" q- r' h
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
* o) u; f, I+ ^4 k9 ~& \: |2 cGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with" n( }) u- x! t. z
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more+ [7 S% s7 N7 K4 z
balanced recovery.0 _8 T0 [: E" ~, O' D: v0 n
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects; N6 V6 `: f& Y9 ^ C' V
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess: }+ j2 k: O/ T- ^5 [
supply.( h# K: u5 [8 S7 _3 w V; H
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and9 E4 s+ K/ t$ \ Z: t7 I7 Q. R3 q" F# R
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
* R$ ~+ j! [' M/ n# I( K9 A: Dmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
% N- W5 o& a0 P8 f. H+ B) E# h; }6 Tsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery., {6 N+ F/ J$ Q4 z. Q h0 T, Y$ Z
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary" Q9 _5 L, a1 p7 z+ ^+ \
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic$ ^" p/ O( n& Q/ l
developments.& P, ~# O' v% u( Q, E6 B8 q5 N
) g" N" j: V5 N6 o1 z4 ]1 ^Information note:5 o( Q0 }( p: r$ E' }4 d1 A
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
; }3 X7 I4 d* oof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
; h/ b# H r) B6 @- s- U+ }$ P5 wpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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