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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight$ r# D; N# u8 a8 P% W/ x5 ]* e: n
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
?, @6 B% g0 {; m, @" Q) ^raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
. J* V1 L' e6 G, joperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.& g+ B+ l" T8 l& n0 I9 l0 o5 F, b
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
0 ]/ r+ a* l9 `9 @1 sstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the8 [! N* |/ @$ g5 ~. X3 G2 ?
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness- a2 D3 ~# Z$ w3 Q5 R! V
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
9 u4 N. Q1 K8 X# n# \0 m9 y) D6 nIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal1 k8 K8 A# B5 B7 W! w! G" ^
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
% O4 S# N8 ~5 e, Q# Rvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result1 [/ l% ~5 d) D8 l
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an. Q& R0 Z! c; Y! G% w8 S
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
! A9 P- F7 S& z( O6 f. r1 Y9 f4 Yspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
+ v: r! h2 @% f+ Lprices and some tightening of financial conditions.6 R n- V/ { P0 a) y
6 R: r+ k( {: ?Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent8 \9 P+ p' @! t0 A, Q; c
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
1 x* k4 Z' B* h8 i! wGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
& ]+ V# ]' S. ^6 {income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more0 N( [" w0 N e* O
balanced recovery." Y! p. P C9 {$ Z7 k- E
5 j! B) w0 C1 G1 C4 e7 L0 yCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects4 b4 r" d4 ?9 y3 B/ N
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
0 _* Z& c/ M D! I- H0 w( Q( psupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
5 Q1 v) `1 T9 g" t' f$ }1 }; wto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 2 f1 C. T7 j7 F
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
2 l+ n$ N2 [4 b* L. \7 s/ dsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.2 _! J3 x% w/ N' r7 p1 c" G; X7 Z
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
* T$ @- C: ], b2 j2 A, z- u* ?stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic" E* i; }" F9 d; I5 {8 `0 K
developments.+ y, C# c5 A/ \* K, G5 Q8 V' z; B, Y
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Information note:9 q# Y0 d% G; t. B
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update0 ]8 L9 u/ l# E: }
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be+ d6 R) y) d- v& n2 D
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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