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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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8 X) Y8 ^9 ~" U9 l) a4 _OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight: B/ g/ ~. ?0 |9 R- H7 u% p! I
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
3 ^% v/ z6 q2 D0 Z2 D5 F/ C! U9 Oraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal! J+ U& y* W" ~3 o% j' w
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with, f+ o& u2 b6 ^/ k# g r: V
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
6 f( k' U8 l4 g" x& Y+ qUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness2 }( z9 z; z% J. m+ t9 q0 A
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.' t% N! _. P. m& |, h' z. P
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal5 @5 f/ p* b+ i- R
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the2 `2 F8 n% G- N/ ~
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result4 E; o* a# G; ^9 x
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
& U ?1 j0 y! ?7 E, x6 f" G! c3 l0 {important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
( @1 d$ s% H7 ]- ^# A' jspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity2 D% q" [' P' |; `# t# r
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
: f: R; o. M. m Jin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
+ Y" [& _) H( b6 `( \8 RGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with7 b, I8 l+ C2 |# F* G
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more+ E5 P8 Z& v, q, B# @4 |
balanced recovery.0 h8 Q) T$ _: x6 l2 l
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects! O, y: P2 s; [6 v& Q; B
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
- _* q3 i) p: k( o0 Tsupply.
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" e7 b4 _# d* T' ^In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
3 f$ \8 a, G D2 C# s+ }to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
1 E! h' E) x0 amonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
+ A- d& { @8 P% o2 K0 tsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
8 G- M8 t, @# _8 vstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic; J% ?7 @1 U5 e+ K
developments.
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% z! W, A* l* t2 q$ I0 l% kInformation note:
' ^7 d8 p7 U1 T8 x6 A* RThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update4 f# K r7 |, X( d2 p) n9 E* @' \6 S
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be, g3 G% E' _: s6 S5 s+ s7 [
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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