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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
' m0 @+ ?+ T. g9 w4 E9 a2 v$ Wrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly( k! ^6 ~7 t( s9 X+ u% ]1 ~$ }) g
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
q! m4 u* U0 E( D3 u: Y$ Hoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
8 p' Z% I, X, K' v( J: a4 Z7 K: ~strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the4 F; X- N# H& t! A4 R0 v+ b
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness0 l/ n; R5 g4 r, ]$ X
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
) y s" j' l( R4 e% M( i- XIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal# d4 E1 p. t% Q* e! B! w0 w
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
. o) N* y. f, A7 t: H qvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result/ N, t0 M: x9 h7 @: B
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
3 m, Z m, {9 [% d4 Q. Kimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
; z0 w2 P* k& E5 l! _4 Espillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
) \( s! n7 D/ o# S K6 d# Oprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent5 c; o! ~/ z u2 Y3 C
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
- g+ \; k# g' j5 C2 cGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with/ N. s, A: ?4 c0 Q4 a
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more3 j8 D' H8 \9 A. G# r' V+ A
balanced recovery.; ?9 Z( M9 {% L8 S
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects. s+ O6 V% \/ \0 M) w
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess6 y; P0 u( v* O" T( F$ q
supply.! P U* B$ P3 l9 H9 S9 |
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and1 d, V) @( t5 s) t
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
( _4 i3 m0 s2 }' n A; cmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
5 P& Q! |4 ]0 C. Asignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.2 W* v( ~( \/ `5 R
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary- W/ e" U+ E0 R$ K/ \# ~( @ G
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic. W7 n- c/ J) c, o) c f/ H# ~
developments.
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Information note:
* w8 Q: D/ C$ P0 j; T- D1 T9 bThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
* w. V- J0 M0 I' V# Fof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be+ S$ i/ ?# e" `8 i3 \+ v { c3 R& s
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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