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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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" p1 K- N4 H1 u0 |! V/ _1 jOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight: F, u$ V6 [! P N# R" u
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
' B: Y; t7 f7 x+ R: @6 Vraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal- d2 g1 c; W% [) V) ~' F! Y
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.7 c$ R9 Q4 e( E, b) @
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
# P9 I7 k' X: I6 b; W6 L: fstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
8 ?; u0 ~! b( {8 ? l# F) @: `" KUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
4 g3 g& @7 N* {+ N% ]+ A7 |in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized., b( q9 n; m9 K/ w# U* p6 C6 _0 D
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal+ J+ ?! j+ S' R+ ~- s
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
9 C2 L5 a+ O7 u5 i) o0 K' ?variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
4 B+ e) Q, x0 j5 W" L# s' ^in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
" I: P% U- {4 ^ Dimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
0 u" F) d ~) f; _8 s2 Zspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
4 y( y5 S! y. p: r U/ r: f9 ]; u7 Jprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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3 X6 w2 |5 N' |, y' UActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
" N8 ] m! I& \' i8 ]$ K4 ~in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.2 |4 E6 L/ i, C3 q$ s
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
. m9 q% q6 V2 n" D+ d7 k( uincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more& d: g0 T! I& c% T
balanced recovery.) R. B4 }6 p& R8 `
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
6 j/ d3 I" V7 Q5 E" \the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
8 d( w! o. C! t3 S9 \2 ksupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and# h4 ~& }! g' Y$ P7 Y9 _
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ( T. r2 ]9 U4 f
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 2 h2 k' \8 u, h1 {
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary+ t. F5 e- o* b0 u
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
) M9 w. y0 H2 f+ o) p: ?3 K3 qdevelopments.& R( J/ R6 R7 h1 O1 E0 Q
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Information note:0 a6 z! }/ {* s& V
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
4 ~* Y3 y+ L4 ~$ Yof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be( ], Q' E: R, T& A; a8 u5 c
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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