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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market9 `: n) I# J0 Y2 j. A; R6 @
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight0 T1 e% P6 [: }/ s
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly4 Q3 x$ \; m+ P) D! U2 d# _5 W
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal8 E7 Y2 z3 J0 X- q# v7 u
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
' ~4 }# T. M v" Jstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the6 Z' K" |" ?8 Z# z1 V
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
* \# H' w* s+ [- ]in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.3 a. F# e6 ^0 C( k* r A
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal1 o9 h0 t) U8 v
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the* ~4 T' F+ M4 J9 P$ d+ b
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
7 y$ o7 `. M- y# b$ xin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
2 q& x( O! @/ E1 bimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the$ H4 o* m4 H$ ^5 ^& M
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
2 P7 E) c0 b3 s0 Q" C; x8 ^prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent. X8 [" B( Q* n6 m& p$ H y
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
[6 K& m2 C3 o: PGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with7 ]& o& i5 S" t& R: S4 L: X
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more6 o9 p) X+ h$ H" v
balanced recovery.0 l3 R1 g3 O: J: i4 j' T% b+ \! G1 V5 o
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
3 A0 G' J5 l6 H6 s6 q' }9 bthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess0 e. Y$ P) x) r: j2 n
supply.4 b t. n. x7 B3 r! F
1 ~7 l/ i- S3 x$ `/ SIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and" c! x( |) C K' C+ b# w
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable / w0 V5 _8 d' i F/ R
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
9 v; K' w/ o) _2 D& \6 Ssignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.; E8 r$ u5 ?0 M* F' {5 h
9 I1 I& `/ b: C/ mGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
9 o" w8 \5 E% z8 K; w8 xstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic3 A6 f k- N) B# d) }
developments.! V) u% A# Q: V' a3 l: b* s7 j
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Information note:, u# `. [+ j* d, A9 M/ C4 X- X
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
3 ]9 c7 ]9 k3 v( W3 J( `of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
2 o/ M# g: Z7 ypublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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