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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight8 S% W$ w4 G. _4 v/ ?# G; l
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
* e4 q4 q5 U9 c$ Mraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
1 ^, i; s6 {; {$ i6 ^operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with# b6 o# X f8 n, r
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
0 D% L1 u9 H6 PUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness% x m5 E! E$ l6 A$ y7 d
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
) q2 Q) Y+ A! e4 t+ PIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
8 e9 K" T) U0 Gstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
$ Y- M4 M# V% s2 G7 G( Lvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
5 B6 u1 u/ k& v( R. E/ F9 b/ ?in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
' N q. b: d$ Q. ?- |important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
Q9 |- D4 G7 F# R7 N7 K; e# r8 Lspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity6 M1 n$ _$ F. ]/ t* d0 l
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent0 r. d4 ~% ]( J8 k! K1 k& X
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed. A) X9 |! S4 N6 [* V$ g/ m3 o
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
# [* ~+ w/ _6 R# Q! d, ~' Z+ ]! uincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
7 v) \" N) j" C: { vbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects, p+ r3 O% v8 T- H
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
. f( L8 ~: i- g1 R5 P$ ]/ Esupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and1 F2 I! D) y9 l5 s& G& c
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
* w* t% C6 e+ V3 E5 U% rmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the , h. H. {& C7 x: J! z1 E5 Q; A
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
9 w8 D/ G8 `# @- \1 I5 K8 k0 ]stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
" m7 ?3 V. k' x6 m6 F" ~developments.1 j( ~' x% a+ S; s
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Information note:, M9 H+ \% H0 p
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
4 t2 i8 y6 Q& w9 x n( v) uof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
4 p1 G8 h0 G2 I5 Q; Y$ x- J. ^! opublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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