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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight/ ?3 b) e+ z- H0 X1 b Z
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly T, h; e$ _& h& [( C
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal- q! h6 ]& X" D+ ?/ t% g. ]! g+ F) a
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.$ m2 Z" {+ r! x( K
" \3 \% A, P% S# V& W, A L8 OThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with8 Q4 A* h8 H! s6 w' a* O
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
+ R7 r5 u. z. z3 M% g3 QUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
7 Z6 g: n! u# c/ z& P! l7 J4 cin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
$ W& ^; l5 Q1 S& w7 v Z& oIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
. G+ W5 `; `) J# j! s" zstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
) z5 O$ J% \0 Q3 z; Z0 Y, W1 lvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result2 u: Y* A) t6 q
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
! a7 p5 O) [: s# ~- u3 iimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
+ q& P+ V* x( M) |) Y+ S/ |: tspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
T+ D- p* A6 o ]9 s+ k" Fprices and some tightening of financial conditions.* w- d( h0 q8 P; T* J
, h9 i2 S: g) d% ^' W8 A" T& HActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
9 T e3 y! @4 P: o( U/ j* e- Ain the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.* G) T) e& ^8 B1 b
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
0 v6 L# o( O$ `/ \' V$ Zincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more! u+ l# z" Y$ n- R2 F
balanced recovery.( Z1 J% t8 @9 `1 y4 a0 R6 t; p8 d
- t% R( x! e. F P# e; ACPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
, r/ d$ E W d9 }3 U+ Sthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess f2 |# P* W3 {1 v% O& C Y
supply.# ~4 D! A% G( ]7 ?1 C( |
: U: |, c0 ?, n/ \. i# s/ g! E" wIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
# C3 O$ z/ U. C! ]to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
/ X0 R" f! ^0 P5 smonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ) B8 @$ u# `0 b; f$ c$ l8 H
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary, F" D" \2 s9 j! L$ m, v7 J: Q
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic5 T0 X2 [7 ]5 {
developments.9 {* I9 g2 r% E( ~$ H9 M
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Information note:
: o/ A6 R! d, Z4 t# L6 zThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
, O4 A z. U8 k) c% `! y' Kof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
) o6 F6 r% C) c8 e5 Rpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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