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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight0 P; ?) l% q* c g' H
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly1 Q6 `5 a; U6 R# t% M, q! G" p% Q
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
6 g2 ?0 a' }" ~( `8 i7 m5 T4 ?operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.7 L1 \8 [0 }3 F! t" \. w' C' Y1 _7 M0 L# G
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with M, d; |% a" s) [, N& m& P
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the" a, j/ C- t5 }, B
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
( P V. u+ U+ _8 ]) `' |/ zin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
% N4 p; Y$ I# n- ^( o2 s9 BIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal3 ?& d, q" `$ v& ]; h
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
# E: e/ h" S. o7 |3 e; f, I, Nvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
. p# b' O8 L6 ^+ E% }in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an; F* n( j, h) C$ E, B
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the, @$ H3 f, C# f( [% _
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
+ J. a' n: A# P9 z# U' C: n) Jprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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# } ?) M- p6 `0 z( _: Q9 [Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
9 d) d# @! ^2 i- ^3 Z: V& n+ fin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
, ^) @/ h5 y9 F2 y- Z- R J7 m6 PGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
: ]! T, o* p4 i" [- e, ]% r7 Cincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
; f3 [! T$ `( Y7 n6 Obalanced recovery.
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. i& D. Z8 T- B( Z WCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
; T' e' e. M/ b1 H; @; D, ]the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
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% l, @: S6 j BIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and/ k% F4 I& }* Z! D
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ' L+ ~9 l. V; b) L6 Z. L
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
/ [& M3 b3 R0 Isignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.+ O# Z" r4 _7 o, n9 J& Y' P
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary3 G2 `; w. l" ^. { N8 K, p4 u
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
. k1 X% O( @- r; q5 wdevelopments.4 `# B% I8 a; ?: k& E: c
3 Z" O/ ]% Y- z5 F0 jInformation note:
# k2 T, K7 z2 f. p4 ]) dThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
- Q: V. R, w8 X! v3 Zof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
3 Z1 O% W& M# e% }published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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