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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market9 o) Y0 x( S4 v' q, }7 |2 V& T0 i9 h
" t% G) ^' i5 {OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight$ M& ~5 Q: m' ~* \0 {$ M
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
7 Z0 `$ @% d @$ Yraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
9 d1 ?& G4 c( M% goperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.: h0 @+ u' X! @' v/ {+ ~( H" }
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with0 t# B- x- x" u0 I L2 l; A% L3 C
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the. w; ?: k7 f$ [( \1 e5 `: d
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
5 F. ~5 U$ S- y/ j. Pin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.- d8 s6 e1 z, [: z# E
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal% b% n& K; T0 R( w! p3 p
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
A, C1 {* O+ C, {8 I* Rvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result- |) M0 R- C& n5 `% I& e' O
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an- S0 [& l0 f" }+ d. U [, C/ C! Q
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the# p& f$ E, u% b- x/ c* ~
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
n9 Q1 n& y: Q9 c& e& u( vprices and some tightening of financial conditions.2 a+ J b1 a6 n$ l/ F/ I3 w2 _
- ^# P5 f# t1 m8 v5 YActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
+ _! y/ t& t4 _ I3 T" Tin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.- R. A4 M7 ?5 N5 n
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
) q1 N) L$ _4 Q5 z+ X; {4 Qincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more* M- g# X K: [# G: j( f
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects( i* i3 H( ?: i% Y
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
8 O. d9 v* t' P( _* p1 Vsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and9 N+ T/ \' ~$ l
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
- w/ X: d5 I5 T6 Pmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ; T% Z9 X7 A" s$ V$ Z B
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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7 [+ O: g8 u1 \. a% A1 l8 t* ZGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
, F& g6 i3 _3 F; o* r/ v/ Sstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic3 J- A. `$ M7 x2 e/ Y+ l/ v
developments.
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& w" @( j. @, M4 xInformation note:1 \3 y6 f' @8 x8 k* o
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update ^7 n. r8 t% }7 D9 R# s! [3 W7 L
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be9 O# U n) F3 x
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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