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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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2 W( [$ Z# a5 v& Z5 `# wOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight3 L* f z) e' Q3 e9 n, r$ i
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly9 T3 T+ P9 }4 ~
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
% t+ r- z* n- ?( i% v7 Goperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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! ?; f6 I0 L3 m) e3 dThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
! F" d1 N' g% Ustrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the, I: e# e9 |! h" P
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
+ h! }: N1 z* J+ W# |. a& Xin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
* T4 [' G5 w& T" f& rIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
) a- o" x. s$ F7 o- I; a" Istimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the6 X5 A' s# D3 `0 r/ Q: @3 ~
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result7 \1 k8 z! T8 b% a' U) c0 v1 [& n! q
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
: h, c9 ]9 N" Q+ ~8 Q) L6 y3 x9 h r9 Gimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
4 ^. g' U/ W" u6 W7 Q/ u2 dspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
U, h, k+ d8 f8 I) tprices and some tightening of financial conditions., \# H: W, ?! d. n- J
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent5 A1 Y% w3 p' {4 a5 U: G
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.6 I" L+ V5 ^# z8 X
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
0 F) X5 _- G% L" Vincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
* }0 d7 p1 Z# \, x, zbalanced recovery.3 x1 i) _! n& ~2 C; Z
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
' W6 g/ O6 F# a% J6 u9 Sthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
2 g, ~- _5 Q' k$ Q' B, z5 ?supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
8 m2 ?3 ?. Q3 S8 n, z Z4 l3 r* q1 gto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
; N& A0 t# | ?4 t" m+ w. |monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the . y6 u& @1 | j8 Q7 K
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.* R# ~6 ^: W- K: }) g
+ o. }$ s& D' z. Q5 }' hGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
7 U- z# ^% e) Q; ?& ?: Kstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
$ ?+ t/ v- t" T% l, l" d3 rdevelopments.
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" W; Q$ l" z8 kInformation note:
; L3 _0 ~3 ^% `% g5 J& NThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
, e0 a% o- i* H8 Z" s6 {" vof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
6 D/ f e$ d! f1 |& T% npublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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