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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight3 a% g7 F3 z& t
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly3 H0 T! c6 G8 ~5 R2 S% u$ J* B
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal; z- L0 ~4 q" x( c5 J- {6 q% f. V9 S
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.3 s7 m& y: o' N
$ Y3 z# j) d( dThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with( Y( e5 {, U' U
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
" J! _5 V2 B% {( x4 l1 {United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
t5 W% g. B, d% c" Uin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.# w2 v5 ]8 L, @" z* x
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal- F* [& B+ r/ B2 }( A: B
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
( ?. N' u) ^% r8 N8 ?variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result& U! J1 q( Y+ y. m. W C3 n
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an( l. Y; E' g$ s. D# C, U( T" U) A
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
# x' x) U: h* m# p# ~7 ]! |spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity+ G( B4 U7 s# F3 l4 S3 H0 r
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
1 T; `/ H' ^2 Z& l; ain the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.1 C; S3 T# l+ U1 x4 B4 {/ K2 Q
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
8 u5 `) g" q5 R! m ^' nincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
" R' I+ A% D( [% A$ \3 ?! f! s' vbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
$ e6 ]2 }8 O& g$ `& ]4 J+ ethe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess% M$ _$ G$ I+ H9 I
supply.8 I2 W& ]' v( s( R$ i: B" o
9 z# W7 a; C Y; w6 o1 ^3 e# x9 RIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
$ ?3 V8 N; A1 M- T# Wto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 4 }& E9 \2 O* ?+ l
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the , Z9 ]0 P% _5 N3 h
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary5 w& F2 e- T" N8 _
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic" z U( t% J% E" A8 g) e c: G
developments.0 Q' Q5 ?8 \* y1 @: L
/ o5 p8 c; S2 b) sInformation note:6 q1 b9 F& C# A1 g* t
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update4 G6 Q7 o4 G- W7 k) F' H) e
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
; s, g: x: [/ o7 Y7 }published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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