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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight4 n2 Q( g( N" G/ r+ n s
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly$ T) T% x+ H! Z( I9 q
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal2 j8 o% L+ S l7 `4 d {$ T
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate./ q f: B5 X! A# o$ r
( T. Q0 g1 a+ v3 U; A3 ?2 GThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
5 I" E! d! |+ \2 A# m. ]strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
1 v+ {) T2 ]8 D1 FUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
' [+ V. a8 _2 H7 r& A$ B% l; Hin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
% ~' C* `* n, [2 t0 ?4 zIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
2 \- c- e* M. ]2 q. qstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
{: o3 `- k1 x* _7 P+ mvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result/ q7 @' ?0 P6 \
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an4 v+ Q6 L1 d' T2 t6 N1 R0 c
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
" _( F6 i# ^' r$ A0 m1 y0 M8 [) g3 vspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity. g G4 u0 c; f, l3 }6 `
prices and some tightening of financial conditions. c. j! S) K2 D/ ~# @1 b* N; v
, w6 j) b( j; h1 G( @6 `* \8 v+ }Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
, x' H+ v0 z. x+ V# T/ h( s- Fin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
- V: w4 w6 u Z% bGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with( E! c2 A2 Y' |! o; U" V! O4 \2 W: h4 y8 a
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more$ X; E1 c8 p* I, P$ i
balanced recovery.9 l1 m, s1 ]6 {9 K) g0 n
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
" L- A3 a+ q; B& z% Ethe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess& ]5 A# r# Q$ @* E
supply.$ R, B% @) p3 _+ M) b/ ?+ t
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and0 W4 O0 e* t, I! X0 B3 N) b% C
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
/ ?# W6 m/ @, w( @monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 5 P; a/ `# N3 K4 n$ Z; o d
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.- H& x1 ?3 u4 g. a+ m4 M
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
+ f* K' i! ?0 N$ z0 E+ H" astimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic& e$ x8 D) f! i# B- b& `' H m
developments.
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Information note:; o! L' Z/ H+ h5 l. s3 t- C9 }) V
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
9 ]9 C- i" M2 @9 ?of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be P7 ^ }! q, q5 \3 P2 _3 z) Z" x
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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