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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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6 Y' q$ E/ T) j( u2 }OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight: N; k6 B! q# l/ b s v
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
1 E6 P; E# c$ l7 i: W1 Iraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal( V- C" V* P% ^3 B" b$ c: C
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
. N* R O, a: o8 fstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the! h0 w! B% d+ D, b- a
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness/ ~! K' D2 f0 m3 Q8 T
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
4 p6 V; W: h7 Y6 n) [1 GIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal' M7 R5 B/ t. Z( E
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
s) V h: F2 ~' p8 U4 E0 svariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
: V8 ^& u D3 Z( Z ]$ p. gin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an2 C) I Z! w- Z
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the* {/ {! W* d( J! L( [
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity2 i4 J& c' a% y2 g0 e) N. @! z" L
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent2 z! ]) r0 l. Y5 H; s0 s1 y5 E
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
2 D2 a, ]" n- b$ Y$ mGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
/ W4 `- M$ M- W: |2 rincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more7 k7 a. I; b2 D$ F- D
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects. e3 ~4 B( G; Q+ x# [( F( b8 q
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
6 [) Z1 z5 X6 X9 Y$ o# Asupply.
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2 I' L' v; j& e) }In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and7 n. Q7 w5 j8 _2 `. }
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ( u, o: W1 q/ P, ?
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
3 n, Z+ E9 L- ?7 _significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
9 ^- _' u) F' N& Q- Y! x4 a% c- Ustimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic: c2 t) ^( v+ ^7 d( C
developments.1 V$ C4 m, g! Y5 q# r1 F
9 K4 j% r: H$ T$ J5 B( ]: v# w7 _& ZInformation note:+ N6 w$ E: n- O# b2 k# Q
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update6 \$ O1 s8 N4 l3 X
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be- G! j- C5 M; M. A
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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