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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market" ?+ i- b# G# [* o y2 |
- O, ^1 F Y8 q+ @" W/ ]. {2 u( ~OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight) h3 \9 m- |# `
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
; t4 C, e. a' P" } Oraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal6 o* V9 M" P2 w2 |! G( L' e
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.7 S s) C$ z4 l, J% D! N) a2 n! }
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
# b8 B7 g" q3 k0 q3 _strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the' Y, J0 z9 M! ?, l4 D: z
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
% f4 i8 l: l6 q. \0 Zin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
# _6 r6 {% \% U# C/ ` jIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
4 D8 e- E" q' ?$ d' `stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
8 i6 J. i6 N" ?4 @% ?variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
1 D4 ]4 j7 Y8 X/ T( p0 g. O+ [in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
- `; t( c& q# [" f! y& {important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the2 }) u8 N9 y, G4 _' n
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
% {3 q" @. N$ Y$ h$ bprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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% A2 f9 [/ a/ m& Q0 [$ P! O/ sActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent( _* Z) ~" u. Y9 J
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed./ I& u+ ?: [3 `
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with4 v$ h3 I$ V/ c/ B1 L: Z
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more: ?; K- h( T! s$ E
balanced recovery.
) \0 w0 e( I+ R5 R1 K& i6 k
: ?# P6 L5 j1 R. j) l8 \: B9 zCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects7 _$ k3 g5 n# c. D3 o/ m+ r
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
/ @" h$ U6 b, P1 `) T: d3 {supply.
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% x c2 t2 U' P7 L6 @, FIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and& ^+ o1 }7 g$ Z0 c* Z. |; f
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 6 |7 _" l8 O& z7 a7 |8 c. ?
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ; N: A( X# @' |/ Y5 ?% g
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.1 U; z* l6 o) @, H: H- H: f7 U
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary* ]& z; f" [+ S1 m1 C/ X, x# G
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
) Y1 x: |. b6 |3 d) ~) U% Cdevelopments.; c9 Y" `% e( t* ^$ J& C
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Information note:
/ B r- i- O& T5 a2 c* V9 lThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
8 N/ K C# Y& f6 P# q: l3 Mof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
& d$ a& M8 g& f7 L) c. A8 j9 [published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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