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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market" T6 P9 A% u4 C- l) m
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
/ K5 h+ @! c; X1 Y5 drate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
( z2 M% W k- [raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
|( y( r- R; p* m. boperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate. u$ ~) t; [/ D2 y- j% P, n4 w
/ i% A* Y4 q5 \8 A6 o/ ~) LThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with0 n/ B6 l& j3 U' G7 x4 t& }
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the/ Y5 G: R U$ N: O; l7 U
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness8 Y3 ^1 r& { X, y) ?& s5 ~! _
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.4 F# _6 I* }% B/ W
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal, W; J" E8 ?+ @8 K
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the) ?, u6 [* s7 |0 I4 Y) w% Y
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result; K/ m. z7 @2 d& M) m" f
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
; k E8 Z8 D7 l# i: {# T% Aimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
- {+ F/ S7 h( B- h; ~, Xspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity h: u; y. g$ \/ [- z8 x
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent, P( a1 f Q) Z; s* ]; w: K" T% a
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
" R$ n) x5 a. K7 e1 Y5 N7 OGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with# ~' n' g% K8 C; ]5 b: p# h
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
, q9 a& f' j6 J* s7 r+ v% Vbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
! ]$ D0 }" x- L8 Y+ D# ]; Mthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
' u4 l6 u% A- Q; K' R: _" j4 d3 ?supply.& b7 j: P; v$ A; { a3 |. P2 n
8 I! ~; f+ k1 p# B) CIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and0 f: r2 c" c8 a& [6 `6 U4 _8 k
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
: a* }! @% g0 u* v% Emonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
+ B$ G T4 m( P0 V1 A* ]" U2 tsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
+ d& _. E& [+ L3 Wstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
- Y: t4 P: x& C9 v7 _developments." o- j1 b$ _! a8 n! I( t! ?3 S
. S' n* W3 }/ O/ s4 } V7 WInformation note:
& O# O6 o& S7 l6 IThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
" E0 Q: Z B8 t5 }0 r/ G9 \& f# \of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
& L4 @/ E, |4 h3 F x9 e! _published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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