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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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5 W$ M W5 X( I% p% a' iOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
& Q' }4 q/ B. Q, _ H1 K. _7 ?rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
9 v* g& z5 T* w/ d7 i1 fraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal* d; s, y. t( B# a m x8 i
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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6 U! n. {) N: Q/ h. c' R8 c; ]The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
" `9 \" q6 d w5 j3 W! o: Wstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
! x) z0 a; d c" I3 T" z, T& {4 qUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
4 o( q# B8 i$ Z2 D" i. G+ e6 q2 w% Gin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
+ _, X. K; |5 j5 iIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
: i3 l3 t3 I1 Sstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the5 ~& K; y/ V5 `, p5 n7 w8 c1 Q
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result6 A5 {: R) b5 o- K* _' c3 K! Q
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
0 L+ o9 d6 R& ]& B- K6 @ Bimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the# P: e* E# ]/ L S
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
6 W% m& U2 W! F8 d- Fprices and some tightening of financial conditions.9 g$ c0 @$ [9 E1 c4 D) I
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
1 w( j6 x, h; }) `% u0 oin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
4 @7 R3 x7 T; c$ w2 `" D( C BGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
1 p$ u+ Z- l- W: B) z$ `, [ [income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
j; E% p# N1 ~: p! a$ B0 Obalanced recovery.) E1 @ o5 n9 Q
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects5 {1 H1 L/ j8 n3 z5 J1 O
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
9 V6 J6 K- F% o% c7 X6 K4 Csupply.9 {6 o' E) T( L6 ]* f
7 U# r' G) t- J' U, ]In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and# @5 u: f2 k$ @1 B
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
1 L0 e3 j: ^3 k# T! _monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
' O' r- w/ ^8 t# t" e/ k' Osignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.; c* H0 x2 k* F* \
7 ]& x* d- g7 R0 t6 jGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
2 B% W3 V% l$ b: \stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic# |- h) @0 D7 X5 G/ i! K* S/ g
developments.6 F, Q9 [, i1 T+ I( [
2 _% u1 F! X, ^3 \- O2 QInformation note:
2 v9 T" P/ ~ z% s) E$ vThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
, c- L- ?7 O( ?; L# t6 p0 nof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
3 ^0 a6 C T% Y* ypublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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