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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight0 [& X2 E# }9 h
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
- e* `" y0 P& Uraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
. P4 [9 ^& N7 w6 F( k; z& Koperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with o. n% I( K) K3 S7 z% E o
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
" T% a Q% ?( {* {8 c3 G% HUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
( S' R& W1 U) h6 L5 kin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
A$ [2 N0 i+ u' T- L3 B' C9 ~6 b pIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
- f$ z8 Y- m% b; V1 [stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the" D4 H/ [: `# D) Y- P
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
( H/ d5 e& n0 i* }3 h( r8 iin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an H7 L+ P6 a4 ~4 O* z' }2 r
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
" Z# H! q9 o" l! x' \3 `spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
- J0 |8 P( w9 }% Z$ s( `& uprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
+ u' r* d% r$ q6 Z B! oin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
: c3 S' c; c8 }- B* VGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with. ] @. c/ ]8 z+ V9 m, Y" ~, X
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
; D+ l' L& I$ K) X8 \the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess/ s9 G: j$ q7 [4 d6 j! U" s: D, G
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and/ ~: h3 S( u5 ^+ h# }/ L5 d
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
; ]" F: `( n, F5 e. s5 D _monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
8 U1 W4 ]+ Q/ |significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.3 c% f, U# L' z& r- p* E
/ J' @; I! ^6 d5 qGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
% f! [2 \6 V8 h! x: r A9 D0 Astimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
5 L. ^# C4 i/ P0 m, r5 F6 H! Xdevelopments.
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Information note:
/ o/ E: }3 M0 G" GThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update' u; \, o* Z1 [$ ]$ x
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
$ M {' S$ j6 N! gpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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