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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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2 L4 p) Z! w6 g4 U$ VOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight# e' m8 q: n, Y9 Y1 Q7 |
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
: ~- I% w+ f" Z/ Q" t# kraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
7 N0 D. b6 c" B9 j4 K0 V3 V6 h; \operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.6 g- F8 Z; q4 _4 g3 v N% M
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with1 e9 ?* \5 n4 _5 ~
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the" v. J0 \/ q0 K- S/ L
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness9 X2 Y1 d- ?& H$ ~) N
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
/ p2 o, _- {. j% N. | U5 C$ Z" }% EIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal1 u. Y( _6 V' [: z# G4 l. ?
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the- U* b; ]2 ~' l8 j) r
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
# @% j4 l8 ~0 u3 i, fin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an+ e, k, z: c5 L
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
) H2 _. u/ k; B/ Tspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity! ~1 l, d: A5 G) r
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.4 O$ d+ P" o) T% C
. Q( T) x2 n: _- V! vActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent. g2 J" m4 o7 W Q5 r& r
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.) h& z5 F' o2 ^$ m" o2 b0 g
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with# Q0 Q6 X$ Z+ T9 O
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
) K% M: ~0 T6 i& d5 @balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
4 j" n; E+ L4 t; b' s- ethe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
) l9 l1 M* l' s" U( asupply.
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( O9 Y2 {' H; O1 m) U' W8 @4 cIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
5 ]: b# @! l% C) r/ g# Yto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
% G& G2 s* q- A/ e0 ]% m- amonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the . X; a1 E& T$ C, j( l
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary+ l0 E P' f% M& i9 C: m, ]: E
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic4 K# D. i( Y# p1 b8 M
developments.- W5 ^: a' Q- q6 L; z+ v
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Information note:
: L7 _. K2 k# U' h1 Q7 \" kThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update" A9 S6 [- u% L! G& M- s
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
# s& W# |; N# W$ M" X; d6 N/ Bpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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