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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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3 Q- Y+ o& V6 j, u$ DOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
! o& }0 Z% o' f/ |/ k! u! n R5 lrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly5 a% `' `9 N8 H/ z* b5 A
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
7 q$ Z/ x B4 R6 ^operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.& B* q4 E- _$ ?4 q
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
; C5 r% |# ^* {( x! E0 nstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the* u: U! z( W5 [) |* P; h
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
9 \& f$ J z& q- C) P l+ Ain Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.8 X% m3 W% v, V7 K
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
, H, {/ `6 t% hstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the+ ?$ [" ?6 f8 _( ~ B% B! q( K
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result) V- a# [' ]' {& c( H' [! |
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an8 Y9 X. V7 u" [# t7 | L+ l$ a
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the0 A0 Y1 V5 Q& ]4 M S9 w N3 G
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
! B* [6 }5 Q9 E' k8 n# w, N( kprices and some tightening of financial conditions.% @. i) S J5 R
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent7 Z+ p# B: `9 S d+ F
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
3 @. Q* \5 Q0 U5 N5 f6 q" u% c& hGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with- ? M7 Y/ `. a% z5 @8 d0 F
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more& }* b0 [% `! u/ D6 P3 p6 B
balanced recovery.: F" z0 p+ _/ u9 b: R1 |
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
x- E; l$ r5 g# w/ Uthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
7 z7 a1 i. j2 M( U7 Hsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
" B8 A6 Z7 T% a3 E Jto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
5 T$ {3 S; |! _ S2 O: @monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 1 B# E* H5 P1 f
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.: _$ B8 s- F8 s# `
) } f& |& P( ^) FGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
+ m% O# _5 E6 B8 V' J/ dstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
( I. t+ X6 ~( mdevelopments.
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Information note:" Q! n' G7 q. B3 B% y+ |& T
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
' J5 V2 {4 ~. k* D# X1 F7 Lof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be) S+ D# x% f0 i; B7 L/ R
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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