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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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1 M; w( ?1 i3 N" C% ROTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight, K6 A% `3 b: `" v& g; m8 W
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
/ U5 D+ Z4 K& X+ _$ Praised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
) t1 k0 G$ I- a& Y7 @+ a. voperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
: n5 T ]0 U0 t7 _; x8 v4 [& }( |8 k4 r5 U$ l' l6 |/ T4 \
The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with3 d- D$ h9 i& Y; _
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
1 b) N3 V7 M$ w& mUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness7 S h+ e& P6 V
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.; o# G5 H9 i7 l, B. ^
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal: {* O$ f" l' n: |. h! \2 m
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
) z6 p& F; c* B, L) qvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
$ a9 l, A" E; \* ?% T$ Lin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
6 u) a4 V* w; Q' _8 _7 B% fimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
( U( Y" |+ c8 j1 A( w2 B6 O6 Sspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity- V3 J& [- h7 b$ e1 ^
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.7 w: D9 O, _+ ?9 j* g* A i
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent9 e# l4 c! P. @1 Q( _* L
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
% h$ j" h9 }) x- Q% i/ e; r$ _Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with& J/ R/ h2 |$ e7 c2 ?% F9 F" e
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
6 Q& J2 C* X/ [* W! R' {balanced recovery.* C+ I5 D6 q# Z) y9 \1 U
2 ~- f8 W+ R9 O+ m1 P$ MCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects* x, H ~6 [$ W
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess- f- \6 y0 x2 F+ N" R6 y& d( N1 g
supply.- F* I( `0 u& J
: C! v( j, H% I9 q! gIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
" O* `$ {& c3 d& r# C7 Yto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable . R( l) l4 P4 F# \& v* m! h9 t6 @
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
( ?; b9 v# Y. Csignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.6 n6 }' F% K' H2 c5 Q$ I. s( ]$ _5 |1 {
$ X, ]+ o t. x( O& AGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary) s* b6 b* {0 C8 G. t7 @
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
y, ?$ U |1 l4 [& _5 |! D ]* Y2 Hdevelopments. m6 e% @0 X |( [ N3 R. r
. m; U& A% D' W4 j7 zInformation note:6 U! w' d+ A8 h# p
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
5 C' ]' C5 p8 r" r& \7 _* Sof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be2 j9 f2 V* c1 ~$ k
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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