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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market+ ?& M2 q5 V; ?' M% z* k! N
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight+ B+ j8 [$ C2 U# s% ]; V
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly; g r4 Q4 D0 V) \' L: q
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
! ~9 n4 L& s1 \6 o% k9 C! yoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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. E( }% _+ ?. N9 R/ F$ w9 g nThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
- [' T- [, W2 ^# A( |strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
; b8 q5 P# Y3 d. q8 zUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
% F1 O3 G1 q. l8 [+ H# D; cin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized., q' ~6 |. M' l) v3 V0 a
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal/ ~" N. l' D* z' d4 ]3 n( t# f
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
) B0 o4 E3 J4 a2 @; B {' V* Q wvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
" k1 J- m8 \, w$ d @- W& kin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
! R h5 \0 ^$ |! V0 t; P( v9 ximportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
- }8 c s. L( M8 O+ qspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
: p5 E0 D7 U7 k/ v# rprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent8 f( l% H; f+ t |+ C
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
: u" R4 E* ~% V. AGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
: e& d. @" J s8 E9 S# X9 c2 w" iincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
. D/ D3 |1 K% Z1 P. k. L n7 D' ubalanced recovery.
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% H4 @5 k4 T2 e6 j" f$ x/ UCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects0 x( U: r3 y. b0 C$ Z; U! R5 P% M
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
$ i9 J, c( l2 p5 i D. Bsupply.9 q/ H7 m6 m- @0 a8 A. s, p
A \, W* t4 g0 i6 U; DIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and& u' g' L; p/ J8 F+ b
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 2 f' q) D' `5 o9 g. c. u) [
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the $ T' V/ O$ U) _8 j; Y; G( B
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary5 P( S% ]$ j' x- o
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
5 w& b" `! H( m$ o" Bdevelopments.% Z4 o3 I# a/ _
/ D/ \) B$ y. v$ B% J8 VInformation note:: u% p0 W1 \2 _0 u
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
# A" R7 I; ?' ?8 Z; S) w: d$ y( aof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
$ Q5 d I7 A- c; \+ Qpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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