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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market9 l; w0 e3 }% G* U- R
+ m. q# R" _9 f5 c# [OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight4 V6 D) A6 v- p) I7 Y
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly( t* a6 z+ s! z, f& n6 R7 \
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
: ?9 \9 v2 X: K8 d' ooperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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" H* H0 N1 O5 V$ nThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
* { i9 @0 q6 @" astrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
9 u0 T! y8 i% t) ZUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
, [" N1 g- d* |in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.8 z( t4 P4 F, S& T* a: I
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal. A D1 X# ^; M4 s/ y
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the$ R5 E) r( i$ Z8 O B8 {; ?3 D( [
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result' M( T& U `( ^
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an/ n7 C& ^3 @4 F! K8 b
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
, |, d8 V5 }3 @3 N) S( Sspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
% a# h1 [$ t2 v% w; C1 u8 Vprices and some tightening of financial conditions.: F% H* f$ s& a# {( H' s, m$ u$ X" N
$ g4 s3 o& X6 B# Q, |, B7 @Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
8 z& e/ D( M0 M8 @# D! N' K- u7 qin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
+ E% O- j: c3 Q3 SGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with6 v$ ?" Z, @; l/ g) v7 v8 k0 }
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
2 w* R7 l: G7 l S' Q, hbalanced recovery.; J, t F9 u. A" o7 {+ c
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects0 L. C4 H! i" o3 U! q+ c3 K5 b
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
( B8 V" H4 q U& g% }8 X) I asupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and$ I( o' K7 R% T
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ' S5 H/ p* F- t
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 2 y# O2 H, S: K* @5 z* M [) V) O
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery., o6 \( Q- c+ w! s* ] F
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary& W4 |5 x! u( Q" ?2 r
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic# X6 \* O; M: M% r3 J3 g- g
developments.2 L4 g* G4 g7 }4 L% z
4 t+ T2 j# W- y$ Y: tInformation note:: l+ O( k4 o K5 F5 ?; A
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update" H6 U2 t! F w0 m3 t( O* d& t
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
4 ]9 ^: ^! {3 q$ ]) [3 Bpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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