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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market/ i# _! j; s9 |' a
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight8 }& q# O- F/ s* s% q
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly- J7 j7 A- O+ J. _; s
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
# i& }. W8 M1 g$ u: @3 L+ Joperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.$ C8 }0 e* t4 a* m Q% S
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
& m9 `! Y e: R Y3 h2 estrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the4 a1 C% l# {3 S m$ M3 V# I6 j8 g
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
. e% L$ A$ T/ M$ Ein Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
. d) a8 L' b$ y9 i5 {) \, t- YIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
7 h: q% W0 l8 L( C* O9 U8 F% Istimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the: t0 _; U' S& ~4 w; r
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result) D4 O: G/ \; Q- Y
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
# C* y$ |" _4 V- \" qimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
. _4 q: I5 H+ y. \+ e9 z( I! qspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
. B6 i, ^5 q0 `+ x; L( n. ^prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
. v. V9 n$ h% b# G5 s- T S& E. Nin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.& u; P7 Y7 K* k# s% }4 U
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
5 D7 w6 b7 Q& V) ^income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
- d) V% R; b9 z, s) `1 g0 e- r8 cbalanced recovery.. J! L" J2 c/ m
! R6 k1 a2 ^3 UCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
) q+ b$ O3 J0 Gthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess3 G5 Z- U5 {+ t2 j: P0 B4 T+ n
supply.; o7 ?9 u# `$ j0 [% Y
' D% O3 A4 _6 \- P& \In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
1 q& Y ~$ B+ a2 ~6 xto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
1 D8 a2 l, P3 w4 V- `monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 1 ?- h6 ~3 T- ^8 n8 K
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.+ t, {5 }3 H/ }$ c3 e. z4 C, z+ p
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary4 p, ]9 o# n1 d0 h6 t# s5 _& f
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
7 W& `' p1 |& `6 g, _' f2 _developments.8 x5 p0 t/ m. W O
# m$ n+ q2 S4 i) A+ g* e8 Z& zInformation note:
$ ]6 n9 ?0 ?; \7 C9 UThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update; d* @9 N3 A* B h, S3 S
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
( A1 j" f a- P* K, r5 B- Npublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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