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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight$ x9 g4 v6 [# U7 x% j
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly$ P/ _8 F. U/ y- |/ L
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
2 U7 t1 N' F6 s/ g. Voperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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- }: m8 ~5 l5 D- U6 l8 V' QThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
0 A' V; F4 H" J3 S K4 `strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
& m& x" d% f2 @' M* |; R$ cUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
& i W l* R& P7 Ain Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
2 R6 P% S7 Y+ a6 s* S" CIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal0 V9 X! P$ s& X9 L, P- v# _( }+ k
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the2 o# C+ j3 N( G+ w/ `
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result8 F1 m# [1 E; z' R5 \
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an0 R' s( \' ]* e
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the/ a3 [# n; k. O9 b. v
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity3 c q' h1 z* I5 i+ `3 O
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.* K8 m, ~0 L" o+ ~/ J! ]- M8 x
1 o: C! W" s- y/ E0 g) J' @( OActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
9 R4 { @# F7 E2 @% G1 Z& k! Iin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.0 r, T0 X6 G; ~9 e/ b7 Y
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
( z- n, \; Z N1 J$ t8 M. O2 {income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more1 Q0 j5 R- G( W# ~& g" D+ V2 }# }8 w
balanced recovery.
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[3 t! Z7 `4 A6 L& ]7 vCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
+ r/ k, p- T" b1 g) M1 I: Y5 V0 Hthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess9 |$ m5 s- m$ C7 x8 K
supply." u7 m4 w! \# ^, r3 K# `
% U/ _+ n+ N, W9 mIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
$ `# Y S j+ {1 nto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
" Q }- Q! n1 u0 \monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
$ V, Y; h$ \0 _, {# R" U b1 @significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.! b# O0 `* q) D! a0 \) i
; r' ]; V0 X( n; o I( C# BGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary) p! a- V) V+ H: e* c7 K" |
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic4 m2 P5 T' h/ l5 m' k& B* U
developments.% X6 |; Z4 H0 P7 p2 S# S5 K, I
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Information note:
& R) {) y# n2 ~4 G) F C& H+ tThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update. X" `5 g* x, V( V" y
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be$ m7 O; _; `% t, N! ]) K
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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