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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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/ l% K# T) e( y @OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
2 O9 c' k5 h L( O1 Brate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly% \; {5 s$ d7 a" D
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal w: W0 [# q1 p5 h5 i8 e( @. ^9 j
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.1 v8 ]- {+ @: f5 H8 P
0 b7 P4 i0 R5 _3 EThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with# O. d/ l3 T# B# v9 T9 O
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
+ F: _/ D! Z7 JUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
0 j- Z' l+ `8 f) G8 Y4 Vin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.$ _' B) T3 s& ^' r8 t
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal8 f9 _5 V, ]7 K8 l' C1 t
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
& r! O5 O! e1 P+ D# C) g/ J" a; X ] W! f" @variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result _- R. k g, k9 p! X1 B z0 j
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an, M% T1 |, ^9 `
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
1 _$ A+ x2 l; a4 `spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity6 W7 ^8 e7 d2 }! q/ ?; c) ?; u
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
2 @3 }( d, w9 X1 Ein the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.! H9 e ?# e1 C$ \; V
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with4 D/ X' }1 U. N
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
: w/ [3 F) X5 _* ~balanced recovery." \) j) R, f) u. t$ W! s
4 L5 C- ]$ k. B5 f+ y2 X6 u7 o( cCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
: ]" K% t( z r& B- ethe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
& l( [% E& A0 x' V5 wsupply.8 k0 c5 J; n. G6 Z7 S6 N" A$ T
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and9 i0 u6 F4 I/ K! E; z
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
2 o+ r' U* F# Dmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the " \6 M0 \0 g0 R% T
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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. Z% c: m4 V# W1 _0 y7 RGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary' K- R" Q$ H+ `0 s' h- P, @
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic8 V0 t* M# |7 L( Q4 x A2 e9 P& \
developments.3 z1 f. C3 Q5 {$ L7 | {0 ]$ f( X) l
# J# \# P% Q7 w7 K( L" LInformation note:& c% c; Y5 P& [6 q
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update4 ~/ X# v7 Y9 n, v4 b p5 ?
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be2 F. |, r1 ]. {6 N
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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