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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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7 K7 \/ d# W+ AOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
/ f8 i, m. T! K1 p( g& p; ^rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly* M7 @+ \* ]% K$ J* z
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
+ Z- G9 q$ [5 d& A% O) Doperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.: }+ [5 C8 ]% p) x; k
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with/ z4 S$ X; b* f- X) f+ M
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
7 j4 C* ~% ]8 G9 P9 h sUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
- R: M3 {, _" h+ t. e* zin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized., }& g7 Z( S# J/ i4 B
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
( z0 y/ G% L$ X" h! J/ w+ Wstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
, s: D. }" [3 Mvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
9 t" z( X* ~' x# B5 ~. \4 c3 jin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
5 p/ k5 ?: o1 s7 W8 X, a; pimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the. m) ~5 o+ f# V5 N4 {. P
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity) F1 ~" [0 l8 k" D8 w
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.1 E$ `7 w) A' O+ |. Q, Q: A& m- J
& h/ n3 x" s6 u8 B: N/ R% L6 pActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
t6 I, l8 r- z$ [in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
6 |; W% [9 h: L- Q$ h sGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
! `/ ~* J) c7 ~0 [0 Sincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
9 m& M; g! f( w; v8 ybalanced recovery.
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" U6 R' _; ~9 x- P8 u# b( aCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
7 P, c/ f) u; P+ J# i- r8 ~8 W0 Mthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess# S/ {! Q/ b* d
supply.9 n# ^. C4 u# z: ~) a
( g" i3 S* ?9 G' O/ h0 X4 GIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
# ]1 ~) \. \$ {8 r/ r" Gto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
% v' Q. a: x7 c0 X( {# n5 l- Amonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
$ R* h7 j7 _- ]. I" G! ksignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.- m9 Y6 E8 N' J
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
1 a2 r! A5 r# T% \* Astimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
1 G4 v; d' @3 X& a3 Q, p9 W& O2 o# Bdevelopments.' k5 a5 l. W% K ?+ {
+ o2 U, d( A$ DInformation note:5 O( _ z- c6 y
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
5 t# Q4 B4 R8 y6 \4 ?7 i5 P4 [of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
4 j" i# J( T/ a7 a- ^published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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