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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market( f5 H8 \5 r4 x5 ?. p; B3 t$ _
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
$ a6 p' s4 i7 N0 m) d; Jrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly" }% `# u, @& ~8 n
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
$ s1 N; Y3 x2 h0 Voperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.. w: y1 L6 r1 X1 O* w% J. a
4 w) o7 p+ s8 r. c4 k! BThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
, l* _% |$ z: u2 Hstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
8 ^4 k0 ~0 \5 R* V: _& R; \United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
6 U; y6 v4 j \3 B: t: C3 fin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
" ?/ |% T ^8 S3 l. w5 u; gIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal# H0 j, f, Y: r, k
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the) h% `6 J. v3 e/ e3 r+ U
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result) W3 f3 q6 `2 b" x7 m- _
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
' T- _! T1 p; M: o4 B; i4 c- eimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the9 F; r% K9 O( [" t \) i, Q# z
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
- s. Z/ q/ t1 c/ Y0 _# z8 i7 iprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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. s# K7 K, q8 E* ^4 X0 f( W. BActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent' P% n1 X; c; `2 J9 g$ u) @7 Y4 E
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.3 E2 p8 N% k$ A: i6 N
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
/ ^4 O* Y/ }. k7 p( y1 ?, {4 Oincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
; Z/ S7 D4 T0 m1 w, Pbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
4 R) W' G4 H Z) U) L I5 w: d* B4 _the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
. F3 z0 u4 P+ s/ F+ S( I/ |supply.
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( o0 E+ H, y8 K9 I8 J9 p3 U" GIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
: j) A& D$ {4 E5 V/ ~to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable , R) q" t9 \* v% ?- O j0 L! p
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ! x8 x' O6 D- K M/ f; I% E3 A
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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2 c( ]0 h c# o6 t5 OGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary( Z9 }* E- @, _2 o5 Z, l9 {) N+ {
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
0 J* W j8 q- V8 Idevelopments./ ]/ W: P2 W4 {: @
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Information note:- E; s. Q U& i
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update- H6 ~' F3 F/ Y0 ]- i4 ^+ H* S
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
- W4 V+ ?4 j0 N. b& N }/ wpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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