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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight$ I! Z% B. g& m, j
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
" G/ h: V7 U1 y# `( ^raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
# k7 Q- f4 j6 d" @0 Foperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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( ^% q( R, P% Q+ f9 c* Y; N8 _; o6 _The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
6 M+ ?/ b% {) D5 Vstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the) }8 E8 ]- \9 k- [. i
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness7 M9 q! U6 o+ }$ w) d9 r8 U
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.3 @1 A/ B+ s: g: c* m4 t
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal" c) N. f" y7 y0 J5 h9 ^9 C8 B% ?
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the4 W( E6 Q" q P$ _
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
3 z [, b4 ~8 f' |7 w4 y3 s; W E$ Nin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an$ V2 W$ c1 C" M% L
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
; e+ [9 x. U2 s3 p Sspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity# {* r' @ ^+ t1 u% l
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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& C4 i7 e8 n p! J }3 FActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
& j/ E9 i- i2 A/ J4 p% z' I7 q( kin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
1 n' A4 ?0 P( U+ I& dGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with" r7 N0 ]. j8 s4 f9 z
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more) C' X8 x. J% J
balanced recovery.
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2 E9 a+ a9 y! _! @0 r/ lCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects* T; C: o, E& p' P4 u
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
* M. K/ b B7 p+ [# gsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
: `, a$ r4 ^4 W' F$ |3 dto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
, P7 M$ k* o! p2 v- ^# hmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
7 h+ X. X, i8 E- G7 G( R! X3 Q! Dsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery. ^$ h; [' R7 }. I- E
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary0 S' C* v; h% T; D( M& N$ V
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic/ M- {/ ?0 T: \# `( m( u
developments.
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Information note:
( X: K% } t k1 v& `The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
' @, ^9 F! t1 ]) j% ^. F& aof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
: h- k8 D$ m9 A) M/ b! b" ~published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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