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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
5 ]) @" B# j( T, ]# rrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
, v$ O% \# Y2 F1 q8 Sraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
6 h2 r$ q% X' d+ w1 joperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.6 I( l7 M$ |1 B) Y7 d
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with) {# Y6 C0 r6 l( B1 k+ O9 J. _
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the, g$ J' I1 Q" g; i: a% B, L1 g
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness. [' W4 q% {2 i% C
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.$ _& T( w% e/ b4 C
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal; C; O6 n1 V4 k" D, y3 W5 ?; k
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the" e2 V r4 D3 m% c' v
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result9 L3 W, ^1 e1 V6 G4 f
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an5 S% h& X1 z) r ?! k, O+ y
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the; Z% V2 O2 N# q d4 ]! D6 u% s
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity( @# d( x; N0 J7 A, Q( Q
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent4 U& G& D4 z3 f, I4 a
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
" R+ R" O6 ^2 h6 H' }Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
/ I- _+ e/ k/ Cincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
, D) X* T/ M+ q6 M) vbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects( g6 ~ i! Z; \: P8 n# ~6 g
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess( ^+ x% G1 o: c3 F2 H
supply.$ q- S2 V: d1 k( O+ j4 n- m
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and* |: ]6 e9 o4 n
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ' G3 O3 f9 d2 \" m8 ~3 ?
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
( v a6 x5 N* R; r/ \8 | vsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.7 \% F( u1 U" C
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary( t% O3 m9 Q. p' G( k$ o( J
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic9 \! q- t* T; W3 _
developments.) A( M/ h k2 R2 E
& N6 l& e( D" p* D7 e- h5 K4 kInformation note:
. N; e G/ `7 y* R+ v% X1 uThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update- h: ~" A$ T4 a/ N* B
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be9 R- G1 b& l7 Z) p& a
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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