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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market; Z+ ^3 r* Y F% U. z
m8 R* c5 j5 O! }OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight9 e9 g$ f! [7 c9 }8 ?# ~
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
3 o: M0 T7 O; _3 d9 sraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal q, a2 h* D' ]
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate./ R$ Z4 [1 P: \* _+ P: Y) V
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
# S- r0 q! E* R a- R! `& O( @4 Bstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the6 Q9 \! l. w2 l' Z2 B1 P
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
9 O" U7 @# k4 J9 g+ b9 uin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
( G' L0 C: g) T G! K! H: I9 VIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal( o7 `; j6 H; N
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
) g; M6 M9 M; A- V9 r# avariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result7 l, f+ k% b7 m3 `4 W0 Q
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
! A$ a' V( v7 n ]' U1 ?3 a) A7 S0 @important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
4 S% s/ e5 @9 K% s" tspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity3 S1 V; p% m0 X" r9 t7 Q, o
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
: a$ e$ N: B! r0 J( U; x. P! A* S: X) {0 ^3 Z) d4 i
Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent1 B8 s6 q% N" G' P8 B8 {
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
1 u" ~7 ^2 t S' A! H' yGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with' R: a( c+ l* _) V# j% @
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more6 k0 `, D8 U/ S# o
balanced recovery.
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; D6 W# X1 F. w Q6 KCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
6 F% P0 A/ `4 n2 O& Zthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
' h* Q! D2 x& t/ c) Q3 z$ P- Esupply.0 q5 n2 S" E/ O4 _! |$ `; S4 A' `
I% _) j9 e* T! ]5 L0 @In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and. Z6 K8 d& E) b: b) |
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
, A s3 v% p1 h: d `0 \monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
F& _* T! Z% c4 w" Usignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.# d% c" c& b6 c1 v- Q
$ ]9 `) j, L' tGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
/ {( i" D: q' X! Bstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic* l8 s0 D) g$ i% ^
developments.- ]* T+ e2 G( G% P& ?8 p! o+ p5 ^
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Information note:6 l6 n0 E% U4 g' s& g
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update4 y/ E6 D o( F+ E6 b
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be+ T" L. n& O! @5 ^4 u, O
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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