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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market/ N- ]# b; V: {' ?4 B4 \3 ]3 [
7 e6 W+ D& \7 k3 w# QOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight3 p* N1 q" C* P7 b
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly* C8 s7 q$ W" ^5 B
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal0 q/ K9 A3 X6 J# X, K" R+ n
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.( R0 a3 N' A9 q; J3 ?9 u
# [4 |7 X$ c1 M* @ ?! qThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with' u! _8 y( Q4 T# L* |4 o) d
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
7 P2 ^' G9 K) \$ O! f4 VUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
/ `+ ?) y) Q0 v- H, ?# @3 ain Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.! x% S5 Q) M+ ~0 B
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal" |& h& k/ g% z. W8 q
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the+ U4 g5 `* t& r* R( m# l4 g4 V
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result6 K. `7 Z4 l* [6 O& g2 C! e5 l6 D
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
: o8 q: N5 H0 Yimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the" R: z$ h& w/ n( x+ ]
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
; a9 F9 [! l8 Q; e: I$ y' u' d5 Eprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
- O9 V# V, y6 Q/ L2 Yin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.$ O& S( U( f) j2 ~$ B7 s
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
- I! d0 ]' B) v; k. V6 G0 vincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more! a* n+ r( X* [& ~
balanced recovery.7 K. u& w: n$ r0 A9 w+ b* n, w
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects. M8 [: W# h9 X5 z) Q
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
) w3 U, L; r$ Z' V2 o1 e5 f8 Hsupply.' j P5 Y' n8 M8 N8 l
0 Z2 ]4 j/ J6 B0 b$ N1 I! PIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and! g: H1 D; h, Y" X2 E. E+ M
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
* h5 T+ y, E0 ^; r( [/ F% J' emonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
6 V+ s& O! x/ \0 H- ^# p+ |" [significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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1 |$ n' p' S5 Q( LGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
2 o) K9 W4 u. m# e0 dstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic$ l) _2 K j/ S4 m
developments.
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( G8 |! b& I9 _' b8 c: _Information note:
- X% G2 R$ v' X5 [The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
1 E0 ]8 J7 A- U2 C; y/ }of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
3 Z* G- {0 V) c% gpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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