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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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, a+ t, z, k! ]: b, R. A! \OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
9 x$ k2 u4 v) Q7 a' i9 prate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
! ^& X& R5 w4 Vraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
/ H) k; r& J! ~operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate." B' r1 o7 ^3 n+ V8 \8 r* e
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with/ ?+ j, S/ G/ \8 K% [
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the& \) a& g$ m) U
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
6 `$ s4 N! a7 O( }7 [in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
6 w8 Y; P- R: |# F( o7 d0 s0 MIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
$ |: n1 Y4 n8 R* V! l* jstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
$ A' R7 v7 ~9 v: d6 |) f" U; u& Nvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
/ ]6 R& t* u* K% r1 m- Nin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an3 V. r" q# x' [* K. W% k; T. w6 R
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the& A- |9 }' e3 a) p
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
_/ I) Z0 {- t E5 oprices and some tightening of financial conditions.1 b) ~( @8 l- H& C& N! F) w
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
" _; }; s" f) S0 b0 Q. F+ g* U. pin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed./ g- D! i+ X9 f8 X4 y$ A2 t' T* Y! p
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
! V6 B* J* \+ Cincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more' J# ~. \, S2 [" ]) ?* ?1 l- s
balanced recovery.
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o" j6 A! [2 Z4 \3 c% O7 F" qCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects" i% G2 v5 c9 r( |4 p0 T
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
' O4 V7 ^) d: G/ Osupply. L2 T# i. F- u3 W% ~0 p# ]
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and. H- p1 n: |( U/ p
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable # H, L) [2 H+ j' u/ p
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
! I1 B5 W+ q; \$ @significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
- O+ {" A& I6 M; W. q3 F/ P/ sstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
, c4 P% ?9 c1 }developments.
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Information note:
' t4 O; F& t# i7 ~) V/ a3 C q+ `The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update% u, O' ~* D! E' s% w. A4 S
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
3 E, s+ L$ {: T- B7 j/ D% ^published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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