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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market$ S$ v% @4 m0 Q
6 f- ]" \* |; {$ h# b' FOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
7 f; d" _& T$ k; q8 V% A* |! Wrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly2 E5 |6 u# l7 i
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal+ H$ V4 j8 Y, A( E) v- ^% m
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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) f4 m/ P0 G7 E$ m K. b+ ~$ WThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with- z4 J4 h5 W2 s! S2 i. [
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
* @1 |' |1 o; S: eUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
4 R5 m% I/ D din Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
o3 a" I3 B( v: g& K# ~" mIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
1 J# a6 M9 W I6 X, p- {stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the& X9 w5 o- H& r+ w# v8 |( F, N
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result$ t# A0 _7 A9 p* P# L
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an7 H, M; B( q. J* P7 R) m
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the* L2 Y7 k: \: B2 J$ n- i; Y- c
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
. a/ U$ k( Q5 b/ O( yprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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# Y: u5 }) _% ]9 mActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
2 I' w0 \9 U, i+ i4 i0 \$ Zin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.4 |& F% E1 e$ ]' W
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with. U6 V. Q m8 c3 N5 J
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more3 ?2 V7 b+ L$ j( \& x
balanced recovery.1 C& {% _5 J$ J" s; e
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects+ {) \$ U' c1 A1 W
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
+ X7 \5 w! Q& j! l+ |3 @supply.3 x' [. J( Z: |/ S# w: X7 O
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and a3 [$ s& c6 o. J/ ]" A
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 3 N# T6 [8 Y" ~1 w# H3 d% u" q- `
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the T$ N6 j( o3 |) a5 Q* e4 [* E
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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3 c- c7 p K% i3 vGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
. l& s) c( f. `$ S. a$ Q! ystimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic* S; ]1 I' X' l; E3 T
developments.' p6 Y. ?7 m' h& y$ @# g5 h' g) v: z
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Information note:
. V5 I+ Q/ J- B# yThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update, ]( ?$ F7 b V! D4 l
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be* e/ |4 i) Y- s6 t! S: ^) j
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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