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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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# R. m, V2 v7 G1 s& y% o0 {OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight V4 \5 z" o. E: | q
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly4 r: d: @1 T, W9 e
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal/ p$ g7 r, @0 N' @
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.& Q( a" P( g$ A! c& ^+ I& l4 ?: e
( i. O* E( n, K; b# c5 Y5 u* MThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
. t/ m0 |4 o2 n6 A$ F, H' P$ Mstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
L: q. i* l# ]/ E* N' qUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness( ~& j, Z7 Z3 O6 K2 X
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
* i/ k, V9 D/ a4 f' n+ M6 ]9 QIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal7 I6 w" F& ~6 i
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the8 }0 e& B9 A/ N9 `
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
6 w, P& n# b' tin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
4 N' @0 w8 J; T# ?. aimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the' l1 x2 Y! o, f8 Y$ k
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity" D3 S) M2 |2 V6 ^* g% r% i
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.+ [2 n8 U2 @- l: P, Z
0 C8 C3 ^$ X: c, W x& C" _+ EActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
, N6 D6 Y( c8 a. E1 C( \, r) O! N) Xin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
# H/ K) c" x- e$ x7 @1 zGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with) @. B$ v. O% k: Q* K( J, O
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
* B+ u& Y V2 v0 ?balanced recovery.
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. h: h/ M. S1 H) `" O' @# ACPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
i4 M8 Z& z, u5 |$ F$ qthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess# r1 U' T" P( h+ k9 G$ I$ ~
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and u: J1 L+ u% o" R" f4 `& U
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
1 h7 M2 K* ~& x5 [% K/ mmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
4 g1 h) ?) g7 G" S# M, Asignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.& E4 [' g, J/ C/ d
/ O: E, @7 U) h- j, RGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
/ [ J* E% s+ C( q! x& `3 C& i) D7 _stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic1 w m2 ?2 \9 b/ G, g
developments.2 h5 m, O1 K* Z& p8 W
$ j- Y1 _/ S7 G- PInformation note:5 l5 N1 a$ q/ e
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update3 o. I- E: L5 |+ X6 `
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be& V" e7 u, ^( x: m- P
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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