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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market0 U. ~: Z8 u0 u" Y$ e5 \. c
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
9 W( m Z; | I9 a5 S- Irate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
5 u4 U9 K7 [3 araised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal) y3 ^, l* O8 T% i
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with, H0 ^2 L1 W# U& t! U% X, G
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the0 ^, @( @- v% Q+ ]- a' v
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness0 w& V! Z" j/ o1 f4 i3 ~$ o
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized., G" _7 R, h; y# l9 S* r
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
: U$ u2 l6 r! k. D6 vstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the3 y. O, \% C. C1 F8 _& @
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result i* C) h$ S1 x( |
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an n4 a! W; w: u( q; @
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
/ F! J! p2 E/ q6 {spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
9 q: `0 }9 _! v& Mprices and some tightening of financial conditions.3 o( F. d: |2 e0 f# n9 A t) q
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
6 ^ U1 L/ i$ a* z6 {/ ?% Tin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
k$ M4 `. h/ r' wGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
2 V8 i/ V* K* N2 Q" ~% hincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
/ r: i) q* M+ [3 Q+ N6 Wbalanced recovery.5 d0 |* V H0 W* l& X
0 t2 u: |4 ]0 |5 z. I) G; N0 ^CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
6 v6 B, f3 D+ z5 D" i, Zthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess/ D7 Y: c8 I) x: L
supply.
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0 J, N: E! Y% m# ^3 fIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
" z: ]9 k2 F \0 m) Dto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable , w8 a* u( A( h: y K
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
. f: _2 j: l% Z1 ?% |+ Usignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.) I# k# Z2 N3 ?' f2 j+ K
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary7 m/ b( t/ |# l; R: y5 b. z" W
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic# {* Z0 T$ P& T
developments.! b- A7 \% [8 z- D, c' h
$ Z1 H1 I) ^5 B( N, N) FInformation note:
, e B0 y/ m( `2 I5 R2 l: p2 JThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
9 B( F$ w% A( w- h, I, Y4 {0 \of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
' ]7 ]: z3 Q3 x' G: M- ~: ^published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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