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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market# }3 E e/ F$ f8 G" {3 O
3 L0 C8 u& h0 {+ C4 S; W2 wOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
$ \7 t% g0 h% Z; x( d# Lrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
/ Q! Y7 D9 z! e, Praised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
# K: k& X E: T- L0 w; a! noperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
0 ?: C- ]/ y* P6 t$ ~ s- _- t
! g$ P h. }$ H5 [8 ?; T* WThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with, Y8 G% ]$ x7 _ e0 ~ G
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
" W/ e, v4 L# `United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness* Z2 q; F, {2 @- i1 k
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
0 l: f( \ G; K1 EIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
( n9 C5 A6 E7 h- V6 w/ l# ]5 N% ` U% W) fstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the" R' h# T7 a! b" u
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
1 l/ ^0 b: }$ }2 V# Bin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an% t* Q9 t+ k* |3 ?3 ^
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
; } A9 W. ~6 a8 v6 z1 C# Zspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity! N6 y' W& u6 p4 ~5 c$ E# [& W
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
6 ~: C `9 |( {; |" H
; W ]( o0 s5 C, KActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent8 p/ e0 O# m+ [5 s' k' D' k
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
) [/ W. d( M* L& `! n, Y9 g2 UGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
6 w/ z4 |% |9 m) Z, s$ l% b" {/ i' {income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more* U% ?$ ?( |3 G' ?% \
balanced recovery.
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% p9 l! t& ^0 r# \( y# DCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
4 W6 L r- s2 Y' w, e+ `the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess% J: J: [# i+ j g q( E
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and" q; `4 B C4 L1 W7 b1 |
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
! w% X1 a( c' a' _7 [0 Omonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
* _* i/ E3 ~# dsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.! h [3 X/ f- V' b$ |5 `
6 Q, i: y8 C6 M! ]+ A
Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
6 w/ ?7 c! V; c jstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic8 {, q0 |8 _$ J% ?/ {8 c# M, ~' O
developments." ?, p1 ?0 A' W3 U4 H+ w' @0 M
7 x0 l3 @: p' D, {8 I6 HInformation note:8 \* [5 Z5 R! w# D: ]+ \
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update/ O. [. B% N( K- e: c b
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
, c6 B: Z! V. [, v; w2 N1 Qpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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