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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight0 X' l8 B k! q8 ~4 r+ ?- h# {! j6 |
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
4 P: N: y2 f/ O/ Braised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
& S: s9 v& {& L! soperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.1 P! |1 I1 `# R5 z) {! a6 B
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
6 r: M0 I' W0 N# dstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
8 E+ e r: t& q9 z3 T, G7 hUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
# I* P0 @0 n) G* R/ zin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
! K( z6 \# Y9 S2 N$ e; LIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal# W% L; w' N. V! {% F
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
5 U3 Q) g5 a' `4 o5 g9 H" f8 fvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result3 |7 o% c$ [% S
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
/ Z3 h) b; u0 Aimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
' ^5 L7 Z8 T* `7 n6 F5 d( U* P' x3 a3 sspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
3 ~+ d5 H7 J H7 F6 F' E; U. ]9 J7 @prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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, Z8 }( W, C3 j8 x8 @8 @ ~) F9 S1 Z9 YActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent' g. L; y* p2 y9 S) y& X
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
* h5 L$ q/ |/ i/ Y# \3 {# A" mGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with; W9 B) u0 t. w+ K: B; V7 z
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
; ~& H; H: b- nbalanced recovery.7 }! J G9 B2 H- b! E6 h
0 C" h( Z2 h) q- Q" cCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
4 A/ T3 Q* h% ythe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
' g% i3 B; x# gsupply.7 ]/ e6 A2 u0 w$ o# e- M
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and7 P* Y2 s6 i! \! [# j, f
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable * e& ^7 i: p. ], e3 G
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 2 e: ^2 f4 w8 {
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary8 k4 s& I2 ]; x6 F
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
1 S; J3 t6 S( J1 Pdevelopments.
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Information note:" L9 P; d4 ]: M6 ]4 U$ p- R1 l
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update S0 j: E* |+ i' r
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be1 t3 Y" r3 d: ?& J4 y/ q! Q
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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