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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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+ y5 R: @6 M& r' `( h5 C, gOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
: u$ }# W2 H. ?. [. b; G. krate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
* p2 k! `3 w# ]1 U3 Craised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
" ^0 j7 B7 C8 w' toperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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: D, V! y, ]9 ZThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with0 x( U' g) J$ a5 I* D
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the1 |" H5 x; M- n" x* T; i. Z
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness$ ~( Q8 s' q; B3 p9 {' b4 ]
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.5 c& |& x: ]; j E/ ^+ d2 G
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal% q, z6 [3 }5 Y+ ^
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
g& k! X1 Y2 i: l. b4 q+ m+ Q/ o0 Bvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
! g- W( y: P/ Y: H4 oin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
- A0 ~% N5 E( L3 v9 l0 B5 nimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the+ N/ r, E% C. G5 T& h
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
" E! K1 a7 F- P+ I/ r( x6 _prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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/ g. S5 y3 P. {5 g' ?" fActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
' X3 @8 N, ^/ w; r1 P- ]in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.# \6 K- e/ a7 E. D ?
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
6 L8 I, b3 X# N- D5 v' J Cincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more% L7 c. m( P# t6 C" r9 T: o0 L% ~; X
balanced recovery.( ]5 C, c2 o' A+ `
' `7 g/ `8 g( PCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects# w- y5 i8 a: L$ s3 \
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess& |3 B% Y7 S' V& W: v( f2 j
supply.9 f! A8 t; O5 b. o0 A
) ]- M" e9 d" c: RIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and& G/ r/ F1 i* E/ K9 I# K
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
( @5 i1 r, g8 Z7 |" W( Xmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
1 T* Y8 @2 S( o4 W) h. m4 M/ Vsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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8 k- ^% x2 v4 R- C/ UGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary. f: J7 _- v" r- w' G
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
2 c( r4 ?) g/ f& `4 Edevelopments.
/ M& K; B! y' R1 i0 H! S
+ o5 I& c9 N7 y7 k. J1 _Information note:
2 k: z- X1 D9 Q7 h' rThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update8 S' }- S; q- m/ i: b- p
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
4 ]0 k- T+ z m+ ~published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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