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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market# Z) W& Z1 v0 I
# a& t7 [' [" IOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight! \4 X( P0 j" q! @6 n
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
: Y6 _* l% D: ~0 O: |" Araised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
4 r6 O- B! y9 B! Poperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.- P" ~% N, [* t& _- b& p$ W
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with* E% }/ ?1 t# H3 s
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the; j& t* ^* H$ s( {% n
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
* V$ K0 ], C* _) f/ }' _in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.; l) N% Z3 W* K) b
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
5 x6 Q& |( n, E7 M& p4 Jstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the+ L c9 | v8 a9 s; \9 Q
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result9 M* w! i% b0 R
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an3 a8 I, d' z4 A1 b
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the+ _+ k, }. a: r5 J1 c; L( n
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
: u4 a+ d. u, S5 ?% T/ Fprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
& r3 q# p4 E N: zin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.2 u+ f' c3 k4 U t( q5 t
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
, Z; b& O9 ^ _5 U" l+ H$ \8 ^income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more5 a1 H! c) O1 S5 ~& J `
balanced recovery.7 O' [) ~; X; v$ ^; C! J
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
5 T7 _ W+ U4 x2 V" O7 c- Xthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
7 ~* Y2 @' t% y0 K7 ?1 Ysupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
$ h% z( @: M' M, ]to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
4 P+ P1 c! n/ bmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
3 e. C. |; g$ n Hsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.) ?0 {5 B9 q- u+ f" O/ ~
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary1 f3 x3 j0 U! `) Z5 k
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
7 @' s) Y8 K1 D8 N5 T# E$ kdevelopments.. |* \5 t4 x8 m. `% |+ A
; d o) @7 M0 pInformation note:' Y- k; d2 Y' ?: j7 h: f- ]. j
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update1 w/ M. a; K5 b
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
* R; {6 Y- S, o/ y4 o& zpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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