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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market( S6 d1 Y2 H M+ g7 k6 Q; z
2 ?3 f% q0 c2 v4 R+ JOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
8 Z8 p3 d& Z: S6 c& m* m+ {7 g6 r$ Hrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
+ k; M$ x3 m) J! { V$ v8 S+ Iraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal) Y5 H2 `# b) {1 d! @
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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# I( Q; U5 M) Z) m/ k. Q, JThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
2 d$ s F4 j9 h# j# Ustrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
! G& |+ a: P9 o' I8 ]United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
' _2 W- n; w! m, X) V2 din Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.& `* p- B) J$ j& {/ Q+ M( [6 |
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal2 C* o S+ w1 n: b" n( P
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the* X. O( p5 R3 n
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
$ p. L" \5 k- bin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
3 E9 y4 G2 s4 x# [1 ]! u S. yimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the: m8 H. {0 D; S
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
, s4 ^( @3 C! I8 rprices and some tightening of financial conditions.- `4 w0 q, Z d) |' u G5 H' y: H
; k: ~* N+ m( O/ S$ AActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
& _4 i9 S* G3 O3 y: pin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
" n; E3 K+ n6 W2 L3 {Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with/ L; k. A9 P& U# D. i( @
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
6 x1 ~! f6 d! A- M2 ^9 a( H# Lbalanced recovery./ ^& W$ x# ~* A
9 w6 p+ c1 j# e; J4 ICPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects- @) K0 A6 u6 ~+ P/ J
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
2 Q8 B# k) v+ k0 v$ ^+ F! o" ]supply.
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6 x9 M. ~+ {% m* D, HIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
6 S$ o8 R% D) e7 H* ^4 W5 h4 Oto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable : B) q. l: y' T3 u
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the # V# I O M( } e& `; U! h
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery. O# }5 x% C3 Q: ~0 y
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary7 A/ ?; }6 c, F: x" o' [
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic, q G. ^( {" [" H/ t
developments.
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Information note:: v% f1 y( _" m/ T, u: k# K
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update7 {* o ]9 T6 {" g
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
7 H# g4 d/ c) o# _published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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