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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
& U' i. R0 S( u0 y- erate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly- w/ l5 u3 J) c e
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
8 G' i6 I* P9 Voperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.) a8 q5 L, Z/ K! n' v
8 B2 w' V( H4 t2 qThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with) z# s9 D+ n2 B, M6 }
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the3 ]' K5 V6 o- N- e. _! P/ M/ c
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
% z! I; M, ]9 G; Vin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
: x$ j* r# F5 e2 n2 _" _In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal7 ?' e9 i$ Z$ Y- O* E1 u+ w* @
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the. O4 @1 d) G# x3 v8 v
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
2 }8 z6 j) J) O( oin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
# w9 X/ G( r [7 R& oimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the) d/ k+ _5 b0 F6 Z7 D
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity, C* z" p s. o
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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7 g4 T, \+ ^' c8 O9 X: s, |7 j9 p, v) ~Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
8 V5 ?8 u4 W. q( Cin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.* D6 R$ [) @0 x: |
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
7 ]5 @7 n: ]/ X9 O" f8 o. @income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
. N( {# A& C/ U3 ~' ^balanced recovery.
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5 u8 j2 {( V1 Z3 X$ sCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects6 Q; H) \+ z- O' ?; ?
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
4 k }$ T3 R2 |" gsupply.$ i$ K; W* ^9 J2 b' |/ V
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and* ^4 @% B5 k; j* R
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
7 A; p2 E4 ^+ G; j5 |" amonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
. p; a! x0 J! Q! f$ jsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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. M: O8 b( F2 O2 z( T6 |0 W6 ]" PGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary& [* u6 c3 \$ d' |" ]4 _
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
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Information note:6 w( W; h# s u+ p" @
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
8 t& n/ y7 g* b# M% fof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be' m, ?$ I- g# g2 K; U" \% {, p0 E
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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