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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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+ C' `! v* a3 H5 Z" K, p. W- IOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
0 N! ]9 Y6 c$ S, q6 L4 y, a6 I5 Urate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
% _% I/ K- D4 _1 \: Rraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
5 C# z, R0 v( }: Z7 ` z, poperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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) h8 m" L' t0 Y' xThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with! ?3 B% H, W: G% U
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the, c5 r- P- V9 _$ g }5 |; f
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
$ L! j0 X5 U* K4 H% ^in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
! w' F+ @5 n+ B9 l% |+ n( r( t$ W9 GIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal8 c) K; e# F% R* b3 \* e- B* s
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the/ L" P0 _% }$ t2 t8 O5 w* F
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result4 G$ G8 W6 b$ O% N/ |& m1 s
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an! w0 \4 G V7 N+ ?0 X4 R+ {
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
0 C9 t+ f2 ]$ l2 Vspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
, M/ ^# @6 @5 D5 Lprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
, p b9 H/ y; |! `in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.7 A5 W5 D$ X: s4 U" x: Y6 Z# P* S/ O! j
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
7 F9 }0 r) b* ]2 Vincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more* t9 t% ?+ y" j, P3 ]1 }
balanced recovery.* X \5 p! N1 Y0 {9 v5 k
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects, Q% G, u, Q/ q @
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess* u( X: Z; Q8 V$ j
supply.
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- g3 C" v) S( w9 p( R2 I! xIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and" s5 X' _# }/ F3 m3 V4 P5 j# _
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 0 R' o0 l* L- k; m1 Q5 ]
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
! ]$ J+ V: a* p' P( U2 x5 F1 ^significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
; X# ?( d# ]7 q2 p7 b3 wstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
, W' @: P1 W8 k( A) S2 Q$ Wdevelopments.
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Information note:
' N( L) E6 C5 l9 ?, x6 i7 i* P) wThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update3 \7 P" j0 @' x; S+ m
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be0 g4 _$ I. z1 s
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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