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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market8 \1 E8 x' B2 T" H( W" A. A0 I: a
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
6 v3 f9 W. ~2 C) A3 Frate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly" I8 w1 \$ B# Q* F+ R2 h! v
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal) s$ f7 _. ?1 }0 B3 V0 P
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.' F" h* g3 w9 e4 s) _
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with! {3 u5 j7 w$ P+ u
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the& x2 q# _3 I7 b0 K9 v2 V
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness! X9 K/ P& X; ^
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized." q, V# [' d4 w4 ]: V- N2 {
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal; \; D# p# U2 d0 w4 h" n& o) D3 v
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the; t% }& j& N5 `
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
( U7 `* O* a3 J; X& d& }1 tin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an: j- N( D K# g j2 e* k4 c
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the6 I, v# f& u8 @: Z6 H
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
0 \" D, Y. p+ n, A+ ?! z+ ]$ F. gprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
& U. ~- `5 [) iin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed., l9 _; U3 b, R, U0 w& L
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with* R& j& h0 Q1 ^! B% n
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more/ e+ G. y. X: f1 o; |
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
Q; q/ R. I- zthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess* H0 O; D2 E4 ?4 Z7 ^6 Z+ R! n
supply.
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" b8 e( h2 {) ]9 y* p Z* nIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
. ^4 i8 z& k/ K( G. m& ^! O% i3 H" t! sto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
1 B! e- k! T# i5 ^$ l/ B5 kmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 2 [" {0 N9 K" {0 ~2 d# s. m- K
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
Q& o6 D; x% c$ zstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic* h) D- t7 \( i* {
developments.
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Information note: R7 ?7 {2 N" l( d
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
9 O/ ?# s$ |7 S7 q @( wof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
, N2 s) ]8 D, J* Y' ]1 i# Mpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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