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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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+ J, B! _% w h* ], s6 E1 o, SOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight1 t, n( |( W# Y
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
9 J* @* U9 [2 U/ [0 w- draised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
9 o; l( {4 g4 ]0 c9 yoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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, |& t0 P; C! R- q1 ~# O1 GThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
, r/ P6 L! i+ Estrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
: q6 L c' }8 }% s9 F/ M% Q! R3 NUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
( l; l6 d% b; h! F; Oin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
1 D3 V7 \4 \2 TIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
( O e& |$ E8 @* _* |( Estimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
_5 ^9 x- O, t" K! r: avariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
* E$ _& X3 T+ w7 m* D8 hin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
0 x( g5 Y- }. x. B* S6 ]important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the& L% p/ z# T, [- a* o
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity) a$ w; u0 f) n1 r% Y! K" [3 k) S
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent5 [" P( v& Q/ G
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
9 S5 O3 `+ R# mGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
' T; c# |- D, h9 M5 r0 mincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more/ M8 c; S" T; n" M# a6 Q! i
balanced recovery.* Y* q5 X% h3 O$ j, W+ i$ T0 R4 }
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
! K# S' ?1 j- j: Fthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess* ?3 c* g6 g7 s2 M$ P% E9 B* s
supply.
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+ g5 I% I2 C6 o1 B* G, AIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
( I, n9 B, Q! H2 @$ L: Vto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
: J" X' Y. l% N! J& gmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ( i: S& W: ~) } ?! d4 e7 K- A
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary! p5 [: v7 V. G% C, b
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic0 H& Q$ |0 Q8 v9 @$ w! r
developments.3 b6 j* F3 a) I# [
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Information note: V) A- O' I5 n0 ]; y: r7 D
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update; u4 G0 B9 ?- P3 D
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
1 F( B1 @% N$ Q( f0 n% e' hpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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