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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market2 ~" p! ] d, o5 n
3 x% C; ]- l! B; ^OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
1 G, A8 _ x; J9 e' ?rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
: N& \/ R* w* `( }: V4 ]) `/ F4 \raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
( Y& W6 r! r( o8 Goperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with# X0 _" O3 D- I- F% \
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the, B8 [3 J% d' X! I$ b; H
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
5 `) `8 E! y- [- Hin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
4 D2 x5 f% @9 N3 qIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
. H: E! ]4 X7 A( p5 ^4 estimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the" l4 k' M- T) @1 M p' J' P1 k
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result& Q5 W6 \6 P' a; t; c9 E5 r& M
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an4 P% o+ B# B5 }. n" i% h
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the8 o" ~" k( F" V: C8 H$ F, ]
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
6 V! h: }) ]( H1 [' s0 E9 vprices and some tightening of financial conditions.9 Q; t7 t# L0 V- p8 H! F1 _. J
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent$ v% L- p: g# F( J3 Y1 ^9 o& F3 x
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
j5 w0 S3 H" n+ q% k3 R |, C8 LGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with! v; `% E T9 \ y' b
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more# v+ P2 G% F7 g) c( L, S
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects3 t9 X5 ^$ b& U- b! A6 G1 F
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
2 S8 m( ~* s6 d8 a( n S: psupply.( a4 g0 ?7 h' K6 R" F
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
% B9 A) r9 N. p8 D: b3 S uto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 3 Y& d, z% W% R! g
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
5 a, W. O& C8 u( J% o; nsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary6 h7 _5 I4 C- k' g
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
) R7 O7 q( G" W5 Z* S+ sdevelopments.. A( x; o A8 K. J2 f. j, L
! o( p [. D0 @- o. |Information note:
3 _# x) u% w% Y+ IThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update# m" u5 `: N+ D# }. C6 d# N% i
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be4 O1 ?5 C5 `0 x- f" e7 E7 z
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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