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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market1 J+ w7 Q4 d% T& r
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight" P O, {. j9 _1 g# S6 l) E/ A6 }
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly4 J: [' l2 y1 t0 ]6 H) n* Q# J
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal1 e1 R% ~4 s, t5 ?
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.* U0 q; C, c3 C6 l" @6 D. f
0 | N/ o/ N. ]1 S) PThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with4 j- l" f, l9 N. i" x
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
- n g: `$ w1 V: D$ _ V1 xUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness- @" q H6 ^! m& b" I$ e0 L
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
( P- T% j3 c' M7 Y1 aIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
, I2 L9 G, [5 Pstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
% z0 {: w6 f7 Z4 cvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
; |# ]7 J; b, O* c3 w. Kin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an5 U% L ?$ t" v8 V% b
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
, l/ p- p+ M) A; ispillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity6 d4 M7 {/ L& `6 }4 ?, Q6 O
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
/ T6 x. D+ }+ K& J* y4 Nin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.. ?# P" `' c9 ?$ S# F
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
9 I3 v, U N" ?income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more/ I; L& Z. ?; U6 X
balanced recovery., u; t+ B1 c. ?+ J6 L+ A2 q
( |: ^$ \+ H8 e# G4 F3 t) M) `. sCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects+ w2 K$ l# s" u/ K+ P% Q0 p
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
7 Y6 i% O1 b8 a) V1 J. Psupply.
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0 c j, I& n# W2 @In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and, m' _6 M- |6 d. `, |( E! c. u/ M
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable + |6 I9 r5 f4 d" W* z: v5 H
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the " V& Q6 S0 C" m
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.9 T* G; r" y" m% v, z1 b* N
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary: R* e% c; R6 X% t( N. }
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
' }. g/ p9 v6 k7 O% f+ Zdevelopments.
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Information note:* p k& O5 ?' @* i8 N
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
/ m+ U6 W9 Y% e/ b# L, k5 u' Qof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
' E6 Y1 a; s {8 o; S7 Wpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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