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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market5 I: M3 w2 o0 ^2 D
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight0 k/ @. `( A( ?" G* o
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
6 e6 f7 b/ y2 H3 H1 K5 Q0 `5 fraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
4 ]/ q$ J, K8 T# boperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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0 ~4 T6 U/ L+ ^6 e: F2 ]4 [$ V2 C" FThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with, _" F; X3 U+ T
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the% k4 U- O3 ]. o! O8 o9 y7 ~& Z
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
8 ?$ J# {0 p' W. {, w3 Y6 P$ Oin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
( k4 Z' B+ h# J4 @" fIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal* }$ S& m) z' T
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
( |6 \2 Q# Y# Z& Jvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
( L2 I) \1 w0 d8 g: \in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an# Y0 ?, n/ \( ^/ h. X
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the) u. k3 {) z5 f: W0 A' A
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity7 Q! w% ]2 j4 t
prices and some tightening of financial conditions." l( o7 m _7 N1 Z6 t
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent- g+ X% H. f: s q% Y
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.2 n3 p4 L5 B$ t! G
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with. u' \- ]. b% L- P+ d. a% E; a
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
. [" d5 y) g3 F! v' s$ }1 H; {balanced recovery.7 {0 D. I4 v. ^
1 O `# V* G1 D0 cCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
9 \6 V8 _+ B0 [# y j( c6 K6 ]the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
1 S0 ^# o- o4 o, H, usupply.: u" v, n8 h) ]2 z$ C8 K3 r8 i
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and0 Z" u. w2 u1 `2 b- E- V
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
; X9 I; {; c$ W0 tmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the " H2 i- x5 D9 d4 E
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.' L# k: i8 R. z% |6 I* |- ?
! `; v: c8 G# m2 }* mGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
" p! N* W" O% O+ ^" {& bstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
* }% L0 ~* H; Y8 S! W! A1 Odevelopments.4 k/ r! d+ r, P3 S' L6 q0 X" _
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Information note:+ _. d- A i8 m
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
6 p$ F9 |* J. E$ \4 _ Qof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
8 B* X! ~1 Z7 k3 |* P) }, Spublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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