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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market: p3 E+ |9 I' o
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight0 t7 P3 c' w% Q( ]- ]2 N2 s
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly) y* O8 b8 m0 W9 h
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal, F# K4 A* Q" l
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate./ Q/ A4 p2 M% L
C6 f- T- y2 r8 x' n# U! d; CThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with' U7 K! ^# P; P4 [) V; U
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
2 r9 ?4 D s! e: y( KUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
3 U3 P- r) C" Y" r: [! f6 Vin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
) L$ B, w c1 W; C9 ~% WIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal# a& z0 w+ `) K* n" G; f
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
3 r/ F# [" H- J8 {variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
V0 t% k0 N( H xin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
1 B& J6 k- H8 E' Fimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the# [# s1 A4 U' p0 l2 Y9 K/ {/ W
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity2 L) H, P7 a+ i" T6 K& w
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.; j5 v4 W. X8 y7 ]* B \
p* [% g! {/ }% C1 S" a. M
Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
1 R* X' q# X0 n- {; pin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.3 ?4 o- h) L% @: S
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with8 I% U0 n6 P1 d" {6 ^. Y* m- M
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more: X& B+ @7 w% K. b) _9 \
balanced recovery.( ^5 h: F7 i: e' u5 g3 Z, x
' H, m' O2 Z. H, O8 ~) {CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
8 K7 d$ y& b. E& s# Y; u) s& ethe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
1 G. x$ J( f x8 X& dsupply.
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' g2 ]" m+ c, r1 cIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
7 ?4 y1 k$ u7 o/ sto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
" _0 z4 G ?7 H r+ z2 [monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the / N% G" N( U* _7 h: [9 C+ y
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.! R- d- u. m0 ?1 V# t" p: @* ]8 `
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
6 d+ ?6 J( p6 ~stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
" D! g) D! L8 e+ b* G! ^developments.
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/ L) h3 ^9 w/ ?+ i2 T+ H; DInformation note:
Q+ R+ Q$ V2 }; jThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
]) S) }- A) hof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
$ [- o9 G% ?& S) Zpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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