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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market( w" A6 u0 F% B; [
* \! O2 z. |1 s6 fOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight2 e6 }+ u" @9 N- E% ^
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly% v" a, z% }" F. `: l2 o' ^: Z
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal M/ t( o# v/ g! ^; I# L" D. T
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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! m z h( \+ [' GThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
# ]0 I$ b; Z7 h" q; Rstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the( }+ e+ p% ?5 u+ G( J
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
1 y1 w3 N* ~% d$ fin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.6 x6 G* I7 b5 d8 G
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal+ i' u$ e: h9 J) ~0 ?2 k1 c$ f
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
5 O) K" g8 O( z! c4 l# ]variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
2 e0 m: w) S7 u6 n# J- Nin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an: ?$ P3 f9 ^: a2 X- W
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the& p3 B! u# s3 @& U
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity; c% x) n3 M, S- S& x V
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
' X) a$ _$ K, J: Tin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.; m$ A; Z: o& x& r O
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
+ l6 S4 [, y2 M/ G! m" A* ^income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
$ V( Y$ q8 i$ ^ D; M" {balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects. j4 d" b- G- ?
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess8 p9 q: F, z7 T' i+ M4 a! o
supply.& \( {2 r- E" L
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
! a; x8 J# k' a! ]. p4 e2 Ato re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 5 }" q- g4 o- R* j1 c/ }* p
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
) x& y$ i1 }$ A1 X6 J( u9 y1 B- nsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary' z! T" k% P! W! R9 a
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic# o, t4 a6 {1 g8 n5 Q0 q' w
developments.% H) ]2 s. I- p% N0 ^; L$ ]6 D
7 ?: e$ A! g- W" q* h8 W4 QInformation note:; j* a! k- S4 D& s6 k
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update U% H1 O7 ?. W' J
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
8 M* g1 T! w+ ]) _published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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