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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market1 S& k j% } P( } _" N
$ x& t& o5 e7 K6 M! w& rOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
; ~; O( y. J# v' Grate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
# b4 T0 ^. c2 A" g2 A( K3 m+ Eraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal1 v8 {; e9 l& y- \
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate. [: R! W4 h& V g3 b
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
k, Y6 ~4 j' f6 qstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
3 S5 a( w( J1 B& x$ YUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
' Y Z2 H ?; fin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
2 V+ z/ K& e* H1 t. l' CIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
- R" o7 O, {9 ^2 ^8 Y; sstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
5 @! u4 J0 F* R) V$ ?) S9 `( Q( c6 ~variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
) t' B# \" z0 |+ Yin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an. ^( g8 _4 v& a2 t) L
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the7 ?8 q5 h/ _$ g- ~
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
( [7 b. z, N) ?$ m2 J3 Aprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent7 \4 D* i2 Y& u: w! r& v2 m7 Q
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
) F1 r6 q$ K6 s$ l# V8 ~0 k8 AGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with: ~" z6 A1 d! ^! w! l. Y
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
; k# p/ ?) @* Ybalanced recovery., |: }& D# F6 m
, i' C- ^+ j: D% m/ @' F8 [! r8 JCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
" Y8 C) B; f* s9 ythe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess6 R6 N. d8 B! {2 A7 F5 k# a! Q/ w
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
1 w1 A" I& ?: h8 `2 C$ a" qto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 1 F K e2 w- w g9 {( N
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 1 f* t6 ?& {: Z6 E9 l- p% Y
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary9 K& q5 J! c) [8 N
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic; V) k% n6 p( p# Z/ ]& o
developments.
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& z! R( W. ?+ X' i$ ]Information note:/ a8 P, k! [* H6 y( e
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
( @% O. P4 @' n4 Iof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
i' s+ [: L! U# t; j+ Qpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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