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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market. U$ ^9 N; O% G# C4 C6 X
5 r8 ?" l- Y9 F) P& OOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
9 A/ x$ S5 H$ J4 W! w) n: Krate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly8 n! q L4 [5 i' H
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
6 N9 Z: R; ^* q0 joperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with. `0 Y9 x9 M) L0 t) F
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
9 q8 }8 M1 _$ p# RUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
7 I* G/ V A( A- H6 V! b2 Yin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
8 a O/ Z5 W( v, s% ?2 m: D/ |. WIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
( t) a9 `# n, U5 H5 N# O- _- Kstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the+ Q& G' `4 T6 [6 ?, G& G
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
m8 t2 w6 g4 i! z; u1 j& Pin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an% G+ w3 w" S' z' I9 {0 y
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
( Q: `( T" {, J6 R: a" Xspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity; T; Y4 v' L: Y( o
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.' e8 w0 ^/ m( W6 o
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
1 m( k, ~/ \/ Y2 @% Ain the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.. }; _1 \5 @8 y% }0 z
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with: s+ W8 A- w, q8 I% C) S+ e
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more& q# s# y" b2 i7 O# R D8 L/ Q
balanced recovery.' W# c' h0 p) _1 ^" R. ?
1 l7 [: n% G9 M" Q$ F) XCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
$ F9 o( ]/ J6 p- sthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
" B9 I0 {1 F8 N n* g$ e7 Isupply.
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6 P5 [9 N; l2 E% ^! c9 g- d% K% d5 b' OIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and) e9 J: W1 e6 c: C' U
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
5 @) n& ^7 ]: Z8 a: Bmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the & k8 n8 U/ f9 l; Y: O& A* C
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.- _( `8 S. c( X0 ?
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary0 D) {: Q0 V; v2 ?- @" f$ ]
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
F% `4 h2 |+ L- ydevelopments.* m1 P, _$ D& V3 G/ F! k4 |9 \. }
W* W3 O% k! HInformation note:2 T+ F9 R6 b2 N5 E% D+ n
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
- q5 `3 l* Q9 h0 [) l' cof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be4 C' V$ [2 T& [
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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