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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight8 d+ X. a8 I: m8 k, T
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly. B$ O5 w9 T% W6 Z
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
c1 c# O$ q; `2 N, Joperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.6 ]$ U8 c! R. }9 s* R/ P
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with0 W6 Q; S; h( E$ D
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
8 S+ S* k2 C# {6 SUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness& P7 t: w: ?" u, r) ^7 u% o( i) z
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized." }8 ]; Y6 X7 T* f) n% A- R& w6 V$ B
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
2 F+ n! Y; S; @8 H5 @9 n3 nstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
3 \# @, [0 h7 w' ?variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
; H% j, k s4 O6 [in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an5 j; X5 n1 d% w- Q/ E5 ?
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
" C- U3 _3 D5 y$ R3 U9 I9 Uspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity# N* h( Z( i5 w' p( ]) Z
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent7 C2 j) Z2 T1 @, ^0 t. g, S2 d4 d& _
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
9 o* P6 j% M; n0 h6 w3 d# `5 v2 _Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
3 b( F6 K% z4 [9 d" }income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
5 M1 W$ S9 }7 _! L9 N, Zbalanced recovery.
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- B: D/ g! l. r# j T% {( cCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
$ ^1 e' _! N" Fthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
: ]# m& Z- B3 e5 ^/ F3 dsupply.
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, G h, X' u" k* C3 AIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
+ }% `" l" v& E7 ?- J) uto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
0 G0 N1 z+ c* f* C# l5 y) ]monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the # v! M1 _- }& S
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.0 p1 `) G' M# V; Z K& G( i4 X
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary' M* d( M9 J4 i2 V/ H4 o
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
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5 R1 C' n6 x+ q+ j& iInformation note:+ d: Y1 h2 u6 O% C8 w' m
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
7 [; v! p' B! Uof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
7 T3 ~6 e7 D+ C" wpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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