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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market! g! q' ~ D2 W' a
! @( F* p. ?3 WOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
5 Q3 W5 I3 h/ _* y' e& Erate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
6 W2 z9 a1 Y" I. D% m1 Praised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal: \! A! ?/ A. I: s) w* ^1 b
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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# f' X6 t- K m i! W3 p: l QThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
5 v# r4 K; }7 {; _0 Dstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the' j8 i% g8 p& o9 Y: y3 A
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
2 x1 [* ~! x7 qin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
" b5 H9 G Y0 x0 ]+ l8 WIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal# F" g/ N- j9 }/ x" o
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
3 \" y& o, o% W* ?variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
1 S7 u: S8 f! V1 M. M& gin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
+ I, D: ]1 S, F n. u! O% bimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the2 L6 U( V9 c/ O: s0 r
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity. L( Q1 F: m- l
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.$ d, ~' f9 Y+ W+ q
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
: T8 P# K% O" a o/ Lin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
0 U# u- J3 s% u# s' {Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with* V+ }2 f% F6 N( K0 E4 w
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
! e0 {3 E& Y7 ubalanced recovery.. p* s2 k" ~5 O6 S* |7 u2 W! a
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects4 ]8 F7 ?( O* s2 b3 `
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
9 b1 s% ]. H: k& J# y$ Q% V; tsupply.
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% X+ R* a6 {, S d4 m! V$ v- tIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and. N4 m! [4 v6 v% v$ K$ A
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
, V7 n# T8 M7 O3 n, ~$ a0 Xmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
7 r' M$ N5 I7 U! bsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary/ O V, U0 ?; X5 k8 N% H. t# P6 ^" [
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic! j; Y' |' L6 v: n1 Q6 V' V' `4 g) L
developments.
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8 j& {/ O+ Q: k; c( o. z) bInformation note:. Y+ x3 o6 R' o+ |" X6 l$ o3 U o
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update& ^: a& ^7 M! G' [9 j# N5 G
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
. J: G5 e2 Z2 }( I" ipublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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