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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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/ R V7 Q9 j0 W6 ]$ KOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
. I* V: e' S9 y3 z1 e- urate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
' L n# o J/ W4 k; Q- qraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal& X" R9 e1 p$ G, ]2 i- o' r- u
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate./ ?% s" A- d' o7 W- H/ S. {+ H
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
3 E6 @) f; O. L9 Z5 D5 v7 v4 @strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
5 n, u' d6 w3 kUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
. a! ?" R* M/ {/ H! Kin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
: {! H" f/ p3 }In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal* t9 Z0 y) @( t/ H
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
7 x8 K+ P9 G! ]variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
. B/ m- ^4 X) M3 [8 d' f' x. b3 h! ain higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an* B! i6 M6 Z$ H9 B% ?# y/ [. L2 ^. T
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
2 Q9 x8 ?7 Q; i0 `- ?4 i. Gspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
$ [! q2 w0 q# b5 p! fprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent% N. |: X4 V# L& S, \! W
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed./ ]6 F+ n2 h% d: s) w
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with- M/ |) k- ~% s# p
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more' P1 E( x* q0 t, m6 Z
balanced recovery.+ A7 J. D5 \3 O+ Z2 ~
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
# L3 F, ~7 o# w* E' Z& r- ] j! rthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess+ |/ a2 M) a7 h; [4 l% i& f
supply.
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5 X8 _9 H8 B3 m+ K3 YIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and9 j/ V$ B7 U* U
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
% U- v4 |8 O' V- q" U. k# Amonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 6 `! s8 I) a/ W: c" l. j2 \
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.) F# W& u0 l' D" H
& @4 C- |2 G6 z [Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
$ l' z! h0 N ustimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
1 u& S( \$ Z) n/ X+ R% Z" edevelopments.
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Information note:
$ B- S0 {1 P8 r5 B: Z' p: Z) B7 jThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
9 d1 t, w* j; ^) jof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be$ v9 q% y$ N! q/ F; X3 }" K
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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