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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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- V& I- g1 l. ?$ y6 e5 t3 N6 pOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
5 [! W& ]# z* { M6 I2 a6 P ]rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly4 Q6 T: @% T5 b( @5 @7 a- y
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal( R# ]% w6 d1 @5 W. o6 B
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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% z8 n# F$ o5 w, w) LThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
% p, x- o7 k& z# j$ Nstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
6 i; C: A9 @( q" e* kUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness$ y8 s$ D% x( H% [
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.) ?) k. {0 ~2 I1 ?: Z2 ^. S
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal$ r$ H3 ?+ U3 S' `
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the5 _3 Y. Z* G9 b9 M! G" H% @) S
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
- b. C5 l7 t8 x9 G: Zin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
0 h. C! r1 W; n% O7 [+ Gimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the* k9 D0 w+ e; s3 W
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity5 z1 [4 a. X( o: Q
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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/ N7 Y* F3 j) p5 X# V( R1 W7 rActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
: A5 y! U* J q2 k1 F( I0 H; Iin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
5 T' i( D7 @$ p& h* rGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with' F/ ^1 w: o# m
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
t: V; X# \+ ~' F* Sbalanced recovery.4 S" E `) s7 n# M* |7 r4 A y
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects" I: D; t# F' X. O2 C4 K
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess5 ?0 s( y$ ?9 a0 ~
supply.& J$ k/ u/ j/ S6 A1 P& { B
$ C3 I4 m; E% x' y( i+ QIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
3 ]" q0 i# l1 z+ ^* hto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 0 B% U* D9 [' @: K1 j
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 9 x* K4 e7 v" {# Q: y( X
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
: t+ x; `' ~3 p+ s, U- \$ x; ^stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
/ N/ [* H4 H/ h$ B6 ~7 }# P8 Fdevelopments.# I! X& `$ O8 t1 a2 z
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Information note:
" a8 W$ W5 S* |2 b% f1 I: h% PThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update& x+ d, b: Q5 ]/ z/ B
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
: ~0 B0 {- @+ N& Y; i f# I( gpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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