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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market2 _: a8 s, q! g+ a# K
4 J8 k* Y6 M/ w m3 |4 K5 k3 F v; x6 zOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight4 I3 ~( L7 {" y8 P3 ?6 k6 T" |: X
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly, {# W" N3 a$ y
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal: d% _# o0 ^/ p
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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6 T" l- b% l0 _( yThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
: |8 @( H/ Z, e; astrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
$ V8 f+ L( m; Z% @United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
: [" @" d4 o" }in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.4 ?8 P* f; @) y( m5 i ?
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal* ]- ]* X# h: }6 ]9 N! D7 C
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the# {' i- j! R8 A3 N. K9 v! q
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
; l4 o0 n9 I. I' W" x* @in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
, k& c; [- c; C. I# Uimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
0 \! ]/ p) I* J* Q6 i& |spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity) u8 C* k: e4 k5 t
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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1 n9 ]2 T' g2 S ~Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent, S; n m% g6 C& ^) ~( ]
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.6 @4 G% J- j9 J" @2 a; V6 H4 e
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with/ R% X$ ~ |+ t T% E
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more: Z0 p: [1 v' f9 w; b9 i( _6 I
balanced recovery.
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$ a$ e# }% b7 _ ~) Y5 C& aCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
0 J) e5 q" \6 J" G( S! T D7 E0 W7 q7 jthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
" e+ q" }" x4 D0 [supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and; w4 I+ a# t* a3 c6 k! `; ~
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
1 a9 n/ E% ^3 g+ x. l+ O; rmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ! L; X- t( w" S- ^
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.3 U% V# G! i5 O
) c$ w! d6 d# \7 E/ rGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary! J5 O) R X+ a O; _( l
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic+ {2 Z6 A3 L2 ~/ I, v4 c9 g* }
developments.
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; S G0 r& e7 K/ qInformation note:- G+ D g, y, N# V
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
5 t3 r/ s9 q& [) m; i0 F" jof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
1 G: V1 N( F; ]8 y, C3 {published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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