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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight% t1 E- P) n5 _5 S4 s( J1 K" y
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly1 Z' g9 z0 V# p# W
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal: I2 P# N5 n! I! m
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.# D$ q' w, Z6 e8 S) c
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with: N7 |9 }7 [( ^. Y. H* D0 [
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the- U9 S m: `5 G" O8 |9 b
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness$ y3 j5 c7 V" _9 b7 O9 G, }
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
2 @1 b* s, R; ~& H% z0 c u! oIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal" M) t: C4 q9 [$ b6 U
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the" m/ [( X7 h! p) I0 W! z' M
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
6 t( [: e1 e4 g h0 b; E" L+ oin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
3 Z5 \7 ~% n0 k, w3 V+ pimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
1 d& S. b2 }5 H+ Q' j+ j8 v) W1 ]spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
% t; }. T* N- Q! N/ zprices and some tightening of financial conditions.! j; Q; Y# t% G, `, v6 O! L
$ M9 n/ k) g" i9 b( ZActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
6 L$ \- y" n# a) R2 z# Tin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.7 q7 E. @. b& K; {$ }8 y2 `
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with% L, m/ l& n p3 X
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more8 k: e7 O1 j5 Q0 I
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects+ n2 G" w' s8 D. Z0 O, o
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess" o. @* x) h2 d( k2 _# ?
supply.
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4 ~7 f, \: o3 G' m6 V9 sIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and$ o1 p3 p) S3 l% j& ^4 c& R4 U* S3 V
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
6 g% r6 N' `0 g: o, G: v/ Gmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the " C1 V/ s1 r& s. p2 w$ c( C
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.! d" d# f* }& [, U
( O L8 _ g7 }% g zGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary _0 q% ~# ]2 u' q0 Z: h+ c& P
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
C7 M, O4 E9 z6 Y/ Q8 X" U8 Xdevelopments.
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Information note:/ W" v* p9 I( A" ^6 Y% A% e
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update8 l% V! I# L8 k# d, ?
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
5 y/ @8 H$ ^; F* rpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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