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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market( X: E/ j( @/ A; r$ o4 D/ D0 r
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight) V/ e9 {" y; Q' D) h
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
3 x$ ^" Q2 |3 K6 l4 {3 Kraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal0 ~5 U* d: P2 h, b. K
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.( M1 P2 i2 N! Y% t' r
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
3 K) \: j, _; p; a r; hstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
+ q% K' q0 e& |6 `7 [* t1 iUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness& E% I4 T4 T& \ m
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.& c. D* I' q8 @2 _! j; W @! K$ `
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
6 n3 u0 D8 g, Kstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
* x9 ?8 M! Q/ H8 X* }# \variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result, i5 u' i6 I9 ~* D
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an' ], z3 G! s1 _. e0 H1 ?
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
7 [) | j8 z+ lspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity% e1 G0 v2 A, Q
prices and some tightening of financial conditions. L) [: U# f- G5 m) `7 e" @0 s
0 r/ \7 u' ]/ O, x/ ^- PActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent9 D2 U3 P% e6 Y4 j2 T8 a; a
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
+ U- K* }; T4 i% C9 QGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with. B7 ^9 C3 q! J' C
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
3 C/ E( }" |1 e% ^! d5 ?balanced recovery.
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# `2 E' {2 ?( ]" p! \, }CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
3 t- E& M2 u3 Z0 b5 \the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess$ O6 t# l2 L" A8 t& r# s
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
2 T9 ]9 \$ |. F; wto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
* b; @# n, N( X }$ t& rmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
0 E2 r0 T$ Z. psignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.$ Z0 v8 [1 }3 x# x9 J; G# m
' D ^, ~; E) C8 b5 \Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary) r* I) T& ?& O0 O5 ?3 _9 w
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic5 O+ r7 u% \+ V% N" x3 R
developments.
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Information note:
# L a7 @" p7 t5 z; L* EThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update7 [2 S" Z4 k/ x
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be* L1 b& V: ^% r* {: K+ g; ^
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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