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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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. P1 |1 n1 ?# D, ?OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
* ?& L7 b+ a: ~8 x; p- Frate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
x$ x* X# b" X( j& qraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal# b1 h' C' u0 N4 @2 ^" w6 i
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with H$ ?* V0 d# i
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
0 u0 T) w: M% P% k2 oUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
% `+ N- Y* D: P9 V3 Yin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.# v3 r# n( E" O" A4 u# g
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal/ g1 k% ?' q3 G. \ x$ O
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
" P# F' S- \/ S! {) zvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
! h3 G- f7 u1 w6 ain higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an% w& B" Z$ |$ e
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the' N, Z0 ~ ?; z3 o# s- k% c
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity, V6 T3 e- A, a
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
1 { y5 c8 p* _5 X8 H( Y1 A7 oin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.' v0 g5 r8 @' p/ t
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with) W( A5 {3 \* |2 f, o
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
( ]8 W' E) o0 }3 h+ Q$ @balanced recovery.! C2 ]) }/ o% x2 T$ v1 ` z
. _! f5 g: K4 V. rCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
" c" x) t& c# B7 P+ r1 a" } ?the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess6 ]% M% d4 v& f/ V" O
supply.0 f8 _) ] f5 G
( o3 `6 r8 n1 G6 [ q# H! W( g) pIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and% F; [0 r! S9 J* d, ~
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
7 Y8 L$ p/ {. r6 ^; t) s- amonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the $ b4 U' n) i: |! W* [" r
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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0 Q7 U$ {* D- {Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary1 Y: x2 F! B, e2 U, \
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
/ ^3 s2 F, a9 n) G, vdevelopments.6 J4 a+ f! V# a! f8 h0 {; E% L- J* P
. Q1 s' O9 Q3 z- [, i; {0 f- }- |7 ~Information note:2 D4 z! v) |# b0 @# H' p
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update7 b' V1 U9 c% ?- a2 l d. C3 ?
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be7 L6 k, X3 `( p6 l t0 z' k) U* R! s# j
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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