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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market3 t; L, E7 K2 d* c; R4 A3 m
) ~" x; p2 l6 }# M# lOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight0 o5 A: J' y, t9 |! u. s; U$ e
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
( k/ o2 K1 J, T3 Y1 l& uraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
4 a2 ]6 b( q( v% Y: h' I: }/ Ioperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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" Y" `! T6 \; `! J( M9 K3 yThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
& V" e: D; u8 Kstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
( Q5 N/ a: U- a. ^United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
& _/ c: i. L# e3 g1 t& |in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.8 V, S) x4 G# o$ ~8 [
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
7 n8 T# t& X, ^- a. s* \7 A& Ustimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the/ [ j6 z4 j \' W6 g& J4 j! y3 g
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
5 z/ Y! x2 h. H) L- S. s. c8 T Ein higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an1 p( z Q( K$ D4 V: {" i, ?$ A
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the! B- N% \) Y' k7 k( D& }" L
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
8 v, H; o& y6 X9 Q' c, [prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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, _& T# v- C: P3 K7 Q0 E# @Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
2 D0 z3 O* r5 k* i) K% R/ oin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.) f m0 c( a: ?& V
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
, x/ c/ \$ e: }* W2 h5 W/ e, }: ~income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more0 L$ e& Q l2 L
balanced recovery.7 c; ^% h% r9 o1 E7 a4 {9 l; U+ n
) X' ^0 P, Y* E( ?2 Y$ s
CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
0 m7 p4 i0 u& l# U5 Cthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
* |2 G! }0 \! J7 B! a5 q$ A; |3 {supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
! R1 S8 G4 m' G7 M5 N, g% H" b. ito re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable * C7 F5 o" J. q( H/ [6 L' ?8 |( K
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 2 W5 N6 ~1 n# k" {& T4 \* s& ^
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.* _! A/ d0 D5 {+ ~6 D7 D
1 k" M: y: }) [+ g. l
Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
) F+ u3 o: O$ w, Mstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic$ Q( }' A4 ]" W. R4 A. N! L
developments.9 e8 R9 M% P3 m0 P/ x& Z& A7 }
# S/ z' k+ B3 C$ J! B0 v& [8 @# D* tInformation note:
8 b6 ]' F! }8 G! E( g% AThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update B9 W: v3 V" ^+ l
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
8 ~" E7 Y0 s# D( O' ppublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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