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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market6 j" }9 V6 G& y
+ w9 j7 U3 U( o) HOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight9 p0 u7 C9 P0 s( I4 r
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
& @2 O7 Q! }) [& u6 kraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal4 i, k% l/ h4 O0 ]% `" {2 |( N1 k
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
2 Y! X9 I/ b( M8 u' a# Q' S
/ N _8 S# D/ M1 M9 }/ }+ B) _The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
" e; H8 s) g5 O" a9 B8 f3 ustrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
2 G. L% D& I5 B* T3 L; OUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness! \7 M7 Y' i( z% k: h% ]
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.: e: R$ Y% Z Y, A
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal2 R# |& m8 |/ B2 B7 Y
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
9 {% q+ z9 {5 O9 w, Avariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
6 p5 L/ z8 P2 B) @0 Kin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an* _0 x9 p6 _! w
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the4 A% H: c1 O' h0 g
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity' B& V/ i/ n6 |+ w, c8 M
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.$ R0 q0 ^* V8 [& b8 X
; i' a( N& ?& K" p7 _; |9 {5 fActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
6 s. ~: f$ y" K" |2 c; x/ Bin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
* D: P6 v o! F1 U% VGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with4 Z r+ Z ?& h) C
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more% M4 @" a* j, q- c- Z! [
balanced recovery.
$ R1 k- f' ]* t# U2 }4 N+ P# K1 y6 b5 t; S" `/ H6 L ]$ E# j; E
CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
0 e) z- {* v! y% gthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
' ?; q( L+ Z; X, W% f' p. a8 vsupply.% g! y/ f/ ^$ u/ t
1 }& M2 u+ H+ x0 K+ \ l; c# b3 ^/ G7 NIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
! q) Q1 l: v# qto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable + I; x2 z& o/ U% I
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
2 N+ e1 E; }5 y3 jsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.; ^4 _0 g" ~0 D8 u5 x* F
1 z4 q. b) T8 R% K4 zGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
! l/ T- s" z+ i; H3 q$ [4 C& ]stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic3 e/ v0 H. O F0 l! z7 x* x
developments.5 D" l6 P e7 B) \
0 t! R9 a# }# U0 {; e$ _Information note:" H, k; V8 K- m& `' n" |2 ~6 _8 X
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
2 S8 V( [/ u# c0 n. ]7 J) bof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be5 X4 W( }2 X! Y% I4 K$ r, z
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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