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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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& B l; p! Z% ~8 XOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight( j" Y, ?* l. r/ x& o
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly$ j: G, ~/ w1 S1 h9 }5 D2 d
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal( U' R) V8 r G) r! ~) B
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.; d9 R* }4 ?( ?5 `! R* t( m
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
0 x' L7 p' L- G1 kstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the4 }% `" n |: s$ j1 d3 }
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness" p" W# v% x- c" u3 V
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
4 q; i: x0 q' w. E7 X6 l! U2 FIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal/ T$ g, i# D5 n# r
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the. o$ j" N; |$ I
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result! V( Y0 L; g7 Y2 g' q- v# M
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
u3 X3 H3 e, n. [ l& _! dimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the1 \. @' F2 f/ @0 |; g6 c
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
1 x( d5 a( Q( b. z- T4 I9 Sprices and some tightening of financial conditions.; x: X$ e( P' f% k- ~
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
$ z! k6 s* ?4 H J( b! f' oin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.& I# l) U( Z* Y$ j
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
9 Y/ ~) K g1 I8 v: i% b$ m9 P$ |+ z dincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
, {3 C5 x2 d' R7 t* p7 k; X% Dbalanced recovery.( @" y5 h6 b$ `; b
3 b* L: {+ e& ?0 F9 }CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects5 L/ F0 S, R/ U! h( c
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess" t; q8 ~; @8 W( U! x
supply.& x; e; @/ m& M
( [$ Y" [' O1 N& A4 S# T! T* _$ vIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
8 W& ]+ ~" g& w( T- y/ L' p5 U. s/ p7 pto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 6 c& }- ~ U9 G5 b
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
& R9 \& K" G3 w+ g5 D4 ^- _significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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7 [2 {" s9 g: dGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
, d1 e* {$ e. M' Wstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic9 a# O/ T+ s1 J |* h0 `
developments.; I* `; W% [/ O" A* ^) P/ y2 X
0 w- A" h5 f! {9 BInformation note:
$ j7 G9 p5 u0 ]. u3 [& K5 }* zThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update7 h% \ ^" E3 Y
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
7 }( |1 }; ~. r/ Opublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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