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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market" Z/ m* i0 t( z
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight i! V" _ x8 f; @
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly, s3 a5 H, X5 o, _, o6 O: [5 ^; T
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal' F8 Y6 S2 @0 o. e2 I' ~
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.* Y, `" X. W5 h* L5 R a
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
7 U2 R& d Y; K( m* h( R5 r9 Sstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the1 N: r2 J! I8 X0 N: N S! _3 F5 u( @! Y
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
/ g5 V$ e1 b5 ~1 m- M( Tin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.) p- }+ I+ f0 \% u. O' f0 j
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal( N0 O. W7 v( b" A2 N' m* w t
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
% L& \* {- {. O2 r3 H! Wvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result" G* T) D. A; c1 Q3 L! j
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
( ? r/ |. t) mimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the" I" R+ c! Z7 B. c) O$ H
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
+ z2 H1 Y# o6 n: Kprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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' d7 V; q$ g4 fActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
. Z5 U5 Z8 x3 F: P- ]- `0 w( K. O" \in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
' U0 S! N: R: S3 N0 b9 mGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
, J% d. Z' O; I4 \7 t; _% D7 cincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
# p6 u j( }8 ^: F: M% e: lbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
, ?! v+ G6 Z- J1 lthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
+ T) L2 U h8 y$ f+ F' I0 R; E) {supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
/ q x( k1 M* t3 M5 eto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
1 k* `( _6 F8 d( l8 Y! }+ d+ X. ymonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
" t: L3 n- g: m( Vsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.& U A9 k5 ^$ d" {8 t# V& f# N8 X
9 ]( r$ K+ {8 p. u! {8 oGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary( V1 O2 T/ Z V; T
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
4 U6 n, O7 t/ u9 A! d1 Q. R! edevelopments.: G7 b5 M7 H& }! k a
' o) x& O/ Y4 n2 i$ h% W a8 gInformation note:
. z2 I% i" k2 y# KThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
- A J1 I( F2 f7 C! R" |of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
! b# X- U4 S; j9 h3 e+ Y1 y4 e) Wpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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