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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
6 H# k. n$ T7 b3 i9 Irate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly2 I! i0 j- H: A9 ^8 k( L
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal- ~, ~- |2 I: l4 Z# W
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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7 ?# k- W) S9 B& P# N3 E2 k' FThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with5 K p5 }: A3 U( u
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the/ c1 J2 F2 x8 V6 M; q r
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
# z% b! o W# _4 k1 S) T( B/ nin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.; A4 @& ~6 s! n, E1 g- ]+ ^3 @# R# B6 U
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal8 g, x$ ~8 a* }# L# z$ i
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
7 O% Z) u7 z1 q$ d6 n. E: M0 s# j1 jvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result% U, S# G& S9 S C4 p
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an5 e, D2 e; o& n8 r; R( r* \
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
- o0 @4 T% j9 S) h) v9 N Nspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
3 c4 F8 k* B* X! F" q x3 w, E( Qprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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& X+ P0 @8 J y, ?# ]/ k8 |' l. ^Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
+ b) R* P9 {% o1 |" u) Rin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
9 h, `2 f, S; u% q5 DGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with3 M+ M: Z) a* C
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more! @& _8 w2 c* o9 `. C2 j9 v, r
balanced recovery.
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( s# P. T7 b" z- p- GCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
4 A/ l$ o+ K0 U3 A2 H, N( Vthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess! v0 D$ V/ e0 i
supply.0 @4 q0 U% V4 D/ _. m& A
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and6 c# {/ [( i" m7 T5 P: v- x% k
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
3 c, h6 P: @( ^ N: {monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the # P; O6 r3 X" t1 J( \+ F# a
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery. i0 K4 ~' U# _5 M9 ]2 |
% x" E: u5 n9 n" `: BGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary: K9 K. @5 F2 w b3 W7 o5 m3 L* c" H) |
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
- }# X. I' m; `8 Y: R1 s7 ?developments.$ x9 @3 @* R+ d7 _
7 i" } w& b6 F6 T& C ]Information note:
" H/ t7 m/ t; _6 c( n% [* h8 N! YThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
( S! {" b( s6 F/ k! Tof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be; G$ [. q1 R. B
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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