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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
! b3 _& Y) t8 x! Jrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
# D1 ^. [ K4 W/ rraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
' B7 o# I1 Q# e4 [" K* Ooperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.& U) C$ b% g8 q/ \
7 C7 a. F, {" r4 r& w( N2 U6 _The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with) [1 z! v% Y# L- `8 j" M5 G$ U
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the! F: W' V5 N) w9 g3 M6 V
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness- r1 T2 N1 V, @/ }. u# m
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.5 B* m A; q( |8 N
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
* H% z" e6 d& Q5 D% \# Xstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
X% a# o# [) }7 D/ K+ J4 _* ?variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result' W) G2 W# B. c8 N( M; j" ]
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an% _% {2 A7 V0 s! E- E* W4 i
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
! L# b0 B/ L/ D4 W- rspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
6 X7 a8 a- a# W' }& b! X( K! I0 e9 zprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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# P8 F; p0 c0 K! B5 EActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
! W' J1 G4 B r. Z. n2 u3 O3 Iin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
/ D: [# X2 ^4 YGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with3 ?! b4 A1 i) O$ l* ]
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
* s! Z: V @% z0 E8 n! Kbalanced recovery.2 G& n' \7 J; v" ?7 X* i' U( g
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects0 K' P2 C4 I; O0 x; Y% g) Y6 F# u
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess2 e B5 a3 v9 M, g
supply.
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2 Y/ @8 K# R' C# \ ~# AIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
7 e& _: l2 {$ L) r; ^: [to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable " t8 t' P0 C! `# Q+ R6 k8 J Z& r9 K: ^
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the # X6 C4 X- o, ?* G. e) d% E @/ M
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery., h: C# ~, z) Z7 ?# c, m
3 J% X1 \. I& ]( i: IGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
* R7 U5 A) f) Ostimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
( _6 U! e( F! V6 j: f7 Edevelopments.0 Y* d$ R$ F% q/ ]& `
; E, k+ i! w/ {4 T# Z% s; j& P, TInformation note:# C$ D: V, @( b; `
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update- |( S5 ~, F. D3 U& y9 R0 g
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
/ v$ V/ ^( f" q- U+ ~published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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