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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market( u* C% Y: }5 [7 y; S* Z0 l5 l
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight9 I2 ]% X# m0 @0 w. a/ w3 }
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
" n! T, \( y# ] fraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
, G5 }) a* n* h! Aoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate., }" O- n* G$ U* Q0 |; x# t$ m0 A5 U
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with0 D W" k* L3 E' T
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the' q( K$ e' n) H- y, H0 K
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness1 ~1 @- {8 H1 z. n3 U
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
4 Z K0 W) ^2 s) N2 j3 gIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal- i+ `0 H5 f: v
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
3 `) |3 @! G8 A, D- Gvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result& ?, `3 z5 ?9 X. b2 v
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an: m- Q( b/ R r( }; h, V, }" j
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
( g7 A7 r. B; u8 y3 Qspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity& x/ F1 X5 R* k
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
l! G+ R7 S# I: {4 s+ S/ Pin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
" O. F$ N9 E; r; a! T6 @6 p9 RGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with, b% @0 T. X- | g# E. ?+ T5 I
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
2 R6 |2 v0 `5 P% r- ]/ _1 Dbalanced recovery.
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( J/ ~6 w7 b( g. }) u/ m; d# D) JCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects' [& T" ^% L2 W* o. X# O
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess# Q% l; N- d6 T5 ^3 K% z9 E
supply.
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+ [# _/ L+ `& hIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and+ t3 j9 |3 o5 ]8 i0 _
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 9 \$ f2 K1 Z8 q) c
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
! c, M" w- S7 r' u2 e4 F' Y/ psignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.+ p4 ] P y1 J L5 `
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
! h+ M0 e! i3 k) q5 h: Xstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic' q$ z/ J3 ^. i3 H
developments.
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) b9 I5 U- U# q* N6 h+ Q: iInformation note:
9 f, H) j$ Z" g) V0 E" w8 HThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
$ C' M! [, V" iof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be. E- Z2 [8 |3 T k" B D( i
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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