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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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% G6 `( J- @ X0 n5 `OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight% k- [& F3 X5 x$ P, ^2 x
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
& p# W* d( f2 M f Qraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
$ m( v5 q* Z5 i) `6 X* c4 joperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.3 F' z$ C+ e! L
" q( P" d' u+ g7 HThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
# Z$ F: T, b0 H% M( ~strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
5 t0 P! r3 V# X8 LUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
6 H& a- x E, p' r7 s7 fin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.% {5 w' W; w! C
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal# D( ^) L( g' ?, o* C# s
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
/ R) V% M' ?/ }/ {* }variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result, r6 l6 z+ j* @
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an; F1 @0 R; i2 {2 m
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the# ]6 _% D4 R- M: e
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity0 D l4 |. x/ |+ o. A, m" E8 n
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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% g; H! k/ C# K. r' fActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent% r& Z! V- G4 [; e5 ~
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
, f) `8 i8 k5 R; t7 cGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with1 J5 q! ~. u. T/ T6 F' C
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
; a0 w5 |; ^+ ]2 k- Mbalanced recovery.4 y+ s6 y9 x0 _3 Y; `9 d
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
1 }0 e% ? a+ b* M% E2 J4 n) @the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
u' V6 r; s( Y1 A$ @supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
! \5 T, n( w `& x0 G4 t8 Vto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 1 t/ G' X2 I+ f8 L( v( Z
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
7 ? r N* Q _4 I+ w6 @significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.- c7 Z6 U& l3 e# F; I
. ^9 H% r4 x1 e* d- W, V |& `2 m* GGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary4 \4 J- N% ?/ }0 o& w% F
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic) q" {8 ]- K; }: }3 l
developments.! I9 D9 F! n) J+ x1 q% G8 c
2 U' H/ G7 d3 E5 ]" g1 n3 R4 [Information note:+ R3 n( h" {/ R0 ]0 E! x
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update/ g, a: Q0 J+ Z& G
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
R" _# k9 N9 J9 ^& g' Vpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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