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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market, r+ X. y6 o0 q1 F E! Y
5 i/ j0 U$ o g3 x% h: i8 VOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight) D4 q# ?: a9 G+ B
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly' Q* G. _0 e) @5 H# k
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal# Z! O3 B8 c) s5 @! Y, d2 a
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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" |) B' U% [5 R! y& t6 _4 n' DThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with6 B! m1 F1 e4 Y2 L2 u% F, I
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
3 J1 a1 c' }, RUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness9 ]# o' a) K/ b5 j
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
1 w+ h4 ?7 o( r: ^1 N' OIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal1 U' B% X+ O; ? u1 O7 R& I
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
& J5 X2 j! [. R# Y$ [variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result) I' R( _1 S; X# U$ [7 U- C# g
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
7 H6 i/ m4 n& y& n2 simportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the7 w2 h3 B6 z6 ~
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
: }9 G7 Z, e5 {4 R5 d% e9 s* Qprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
. \6 k8 O7 M8 C0 ?in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
! z$ D3 j, h+ KGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
' j8 C. {9 G1 Z- S' F. d, u# pincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more) Z# x% y2 o4 G- W- B. R
balanced recovery.- \" N; n: h! n0 Y' r
' f( D# O$ V+ YCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
6 B* f( E! {5 P3 p7 \# ?the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
0 _' Q# ?5 M: @- Q; {supply.
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" c# `0 C% ]+ ]" x, C% QIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and8 m* P: W! g1 m3 f$ B
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
1 k' E4 T4 E% U/ jmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
c9 ]% h* o/ x9 b6 e5 b6 tsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.* @+ ]! ~$ ?9 U- Y$ Q
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
@ C8 [9 O4 _+ @8 kstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic: L, v+ j0 P4 C Z( @
developments.; t: _* f+ l& q3 C1 R
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Information note:% e0 J# i, A& U `2 `. T0 k
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update1 j8 \3 w* D3 L1 B+ B7 I, H: P0 A
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
( S. G- `0 r0 e+ Upublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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