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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight& o- c( D/ b: T/ i& o' X E
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly/ }: Y# t5 j) D5 g2 o) Q
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
+ `3 b; d( U9 H Z' c4 r5 Loperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate./ t' M3 x' g; i- e# j
- n1 a& U ~; {& ]The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
5 b* i2 ]% ^( l8 ^5 g, Ostrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the& w# P. S8 [5 ?
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
2 r$ W R$ {6 t& {5 Bin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.. G6 [" q* e8 o( @% P
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
/ U% Q# `2 J' _7 Sstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the0 F2 \" O' d$ A3 M
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result# e, m% A2 |% z3 }6 B
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an8 y1 k) Z$ ], R# i' ~4 n# \: N' T7 K. h
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
, P3 J/ z) j1 z9 fspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
: E* Z+ h, |6 a* d6 |3 \+ eprices and some tightening of financial conditions.7 Z' Q: c4 B: s9 M/ q
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
, O0 O# |7 s6 h2 B: p p+ jin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.$ ~7 y0 ]4 S7 d" F
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with6 j- u) m. |0 B" M3 q7 |7 k
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more2 u6 O$ `' \, M, \# ?
balanced recovery.
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9 d- R3 h8 P) `# z2 c( ]CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
s; O0 s" ~' F9 X8 g+ othe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
" X; t! v9 h8 }, zsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
0 e* T( r, ~4 s: v, q9 [! m5 K+ H% [to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable + G* Z" d! T x5 k. D
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
7 M. u- t: j1 d7 nsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
% h0 p% K+ r2 _% |' S2 sstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
$ p' n9 Z" ~$ b% Ldevelopments.
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9 B* g6 B& Q9 ?& N* e, F& GInformation note:
, W* e! V8 f) LThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update3 d( ]1 Q; h& T
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be' H Y9 Q4 g2 |) W
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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