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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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; Q: i J7 f: ~OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight! F1 i( m$ E) y3 M6 d# V5 [
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
' X4 x2 {" F# W( o Nraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
9 b; ]* r R( R$ Voperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.. f ^$ o% _# H& q; i% H# H
1 k: F/ r- L% k$ b- M$ ?/ [The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
% Q7 |" l* w- nstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the* _5 o' x3 T, k# t. Z( F
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
7 A( m5 y) l8 W; d7 U* }4 }in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
x" {* m, d, XIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal1 F& s* L# d* \
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the& ^; j4 W" r# f; c/ I! k
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
/ I7 @: T' k9 X8 Cin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an0 {8 L' w. d" y+ [2 k: e' G5 O
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the* E! k8 J+ J* a# L* c
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity9 M+ C5 J/ V1 ^$ |& W
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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4 b& m1 p0 W9 {( TActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
" |5 @+ U; ?9 m& bin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.6 c& R- {) U8 T8 p# `: F7 S4 z# V+ O
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
, }! _. w, k! |5 ?& \0 T, Pincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
0 v) j' u2 y8 r( P$ xbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
* r$ x6 m5 N7 P. r/ E [+ c1 Nthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
% r& Q9 t5 r/ @, M: H" ]supply.
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' m. C* W7 B( x$ m; _In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and4 D: J2 {% f1 \ |( \5 P2 d
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable & f {! Y y) v5 N) B
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
' e. `& [8 V& N e) @; ?, X2 I2 Q9 F' @significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
8 t( ^' Q$ Y+ h$ Tstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic. q. C: T& D$ v* p
developments.& O- A" H# Y8 B, N1 j3 `
- k! l% N7 C" P. w1 u- w& ^2 {Information note:! k, \' C5 b4 h) e0 Y" T
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update( Q* v4 ^: o; x+ N
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be7 b2 z9 l9 C+ c" o: X& j j/ {' E
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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