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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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) G) S7 z6 k/ K: n$ o9 W5 tOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
9 e' [) E' ^% trate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
, {+ J4 |2 F! Y# \; n6 [" braised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal# r9 Q2 z5 |7 [2 s% l' p
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with. o$ |0 c" N5 c# F$ j- r) O4 V
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
1 g: v/ b4 c( f* v& SUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
( ]' j* i' A$ F# m4 E7 Jin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.' p' M e" i/ @
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal; O/ s: F9 i5 k) D* X
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
) y5 O3 X, Q6 U# O7 Jvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result# {8 E+ Z% j, t% x" Q4 b! f/ ?
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an% R4 {1 Q* w8 Z+ v0 L' \
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
2 C3 P+ `, Y9 Z4 X1 n7 Gspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity0 A0 _8 ~, X* W0 n4 s9 ^' j: I4 e
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.+ L+ g% B6 P# y3 S! I2 Y
/ y# A- ]' Q: L/ [4 LActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent" h) u; \( S* O, l& R: }
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
1 f M1 T( T: ~Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with, h! n- n6 k+ K( d
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
% P M/ l. }; k) V% |0 _% ~1 }balanced recovery.% G" y+ Z5 f( Y* b# y, |0 \0 `
; X& B4 C8 N0 N/ Q( jCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
3 C" n1 V1 k! P1 n$ o [the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
' I9 D# Z' z3 o9 N, U: B. Gsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and5 N5 R/ g+ T2 |; F4 z
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
) X3 Q6 z+ \/ w5 _5 Umonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
Z# n1 u' d: N" Rsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery. n9 G6 m" `. h0 M- _( y
8 o9 s5 \2 X, hGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
0 R& @5 |0 W( ?6 T* _; ?& ~stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
+ z) X8 A1 M9 K7 E" r V7 t) U, Edevelopments.
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4 s, C# w- b. j9 |: o6 ~! Z( xInformation note:
" ~- Q% `7 u" v2 b% LThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update s' ~6 y& t# p9 g: f3 v& L0 K
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
3 C* r( \1 B9 p @# C. `published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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