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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market: X# m, |: `! d" V
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight+ L1 U# v& x& j7 y9 H) {$ Q2 k" ^& }
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
0 H5 y8 M: ^7 ]( mraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal. H' x0 E6 P8 V6 ], b( i8 }
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.6 p! [# c4 I4 H6 D ^) U8 m
( F7 T5 r, w3 I3 rThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with1 x6 h' [8 M& e4 Q D4 [. P: g
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
* b T1 h8 q1 D, Z: TUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
6 S9 h/ X+ Q4 r6 o0 @in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.% a- Z3 X& r7 i6 m, `( q
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
8 ?$ V: ^0 b& \% J& Vstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the. n* }% @* I9 M0 }+ l
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
3 g! o T. x' z) M+ w' din higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an" X% y( O* f1 F3 ]. D
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the0 T1 L- z+ p5 T5 z" B, `" H5 l
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity7 f7 e9 D; O$ V: k/ z0 ~' B3 G
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.2 K: C0 z, D P( R' K2 L9 e
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
; W( \7 G* q' |& t0 J/ ?in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
1 {, U& }8 r/ ^, R- yGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
. O' x2 E: j8 i2 X, [, |4 a7 sincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
8 f7 k; f! U4 Z( w7 `" b5 h7 nbalanced recovery.
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) W6 ?5 f9 g' k* B o kCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
5 Q- z) [ X3 o t! d0 O( Rthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
3 Y, @$ M$ ]) p$ ^ J Asupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and4 u9 t1 j. ]3 J: v
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable , M: d) |7 G2 o" k: X5 ], H( [/ _
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
+ y1 m2 `! ?. e4 y; S) u+ Psignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary# V) X9 \* U+ r6 {
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
5 r) E1 H2 ^1 H5 u; W% |/ s9 ydevelopments.
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Information note:, l l2 c4 `) _1 S
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
( p: }9 g% M6 a- ?4 Mof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
& [0 H, q- l' W) [3 ] fpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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