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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market! k0 l- Z. p. Q2 t) [6 y9 c
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
2 C) Y& j" ^6 r4 ?# U* E! G4 w. Irate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
. K1 [! }. G' S4 \% v! e5 G) Eraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
. ?( u; P) I, I" x s- joperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.4 O( W. _; B: ~
; V6 \3 i5 W L) ]The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with8 p& B9 c. k& K9 y1 t
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the, `0 V7 ]& {+ k
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
' j3 Y) a$ L: _8 \in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.! X7 L$ [: V8 H" y5 K7 D8 \1 m; V/ W
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
' d' u" s' [% tstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
- V4 p: w- x1 z, j0 J5 z6 Yvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
1 F0 T8 o$ `: U6 A4 I0 z4 Hin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
. ^3 r( p; e6 G- `important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the( `0 x( t6 [! {; K
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity# D+ |6 z( e+ M* o- H
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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" V: I+ b# U3 M7 D, X: D- QActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
8 z3 m1 l0 f) q# d1 Yin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.! l( K0 S* j0 [7 f5 s
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
- L5 T) `, O" Pincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more" Z2 O3 g& O4 k5 n7 t
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
7 L: ^' V( [! f0 I+ N0 r. fthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess! a0 k: P9 Z6 R9 X( T7 }2 `
supply.1 {# R, B8 r! q5 N. n, ~( ?6 t
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
0 S. Z1 E7 f3 B: q3 W( D* Rto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
( k9 y8 L G6 o! n! x$ Jmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
2 D4 i* t: a0 G# Lsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.5 N X' x$ E f5 u
/ E# l2 m0 U# N* Y: I4 eGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
?7 L; H* U, E, ~6 ?* astimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
, \+ M6 Z/ F) k) U. qdevelopments.
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Information note: U$ Z0 N4 l7 w( g, J/ c
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update8 Q. R$ N5 A% E6 v3 R/ d
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be: a Y7 P& F1 v' B' a' K
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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