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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market0 m" |& s7 u8 E E: m; j
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
1 {) n H$ m$ o! `% prate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
6 e8 h: J% {+ m! ?# |raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
: Z0 L' K4 X9 P% a5 p( Y- g4 @operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with% w% @* H3 E: P. Q0 y$ q& D
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
( r6 R: |3 \$ W/ _4 rUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness l0 w" Z& y4 B" P
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.1 ~* M/ j9 D# D+ g
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
8 Q6 P- t- @% D5 Cstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the/ G; I0 k9 t/ U, G( ~
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result( \% P1 ]/ r' e( y
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
( V/ o' D3 H* u3 D7 }& q1 X1 oimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
' D% y0 n; I! W0 R3 V9 g8 lspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
, M( u7 v8 m$ i) c9 R4 B; S. N% cprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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9 G. I$ T6 a+ v9 V' [- bActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
* t( a6 {% G8 K- n Bin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.1 ~: V+ O# l& {% ]
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with" [/ ]% u# n8 w2 K0 m$ k7 y
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
V2 ~3 z3 y. o/ K! W* z; Zbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects1 K' a8 ~( f, L. x
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
8 Y- \5 K$ ]/ z5 o. A6 ^supply., W" c# N' B/ S
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and. J5 ?- Q, T( m) D% N
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
0 u4 v! i9 R: F- Q' S0 \monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
! Z6 |$ m$ E: n h. Psignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.( f9 v; J/ b. J, {( {/ V
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary8 t' K& u3 P w6 q3 r7 R" X
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
; [. g' H. U+ l% f, C+ c8 Ndevelopments.
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Information note:- |$ A+ a$ K& x4 d2 X- t7 f- d
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
' U' U0 ] M: k% eof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
7 P8 E9 ?( E$ k$ Q. ~9 Zpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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