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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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; A Q% u4 c! k, B9 d ~3 ZOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
+ c: D$ D* n- e; p9 Crate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
7 R2 J/ w$ F4 y7 }+ U6 F) [) a0 wraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal) _2 e2 \) y/ W3 F: C: p
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.9 F/ E, s H$ e8 N4 G- g
/ _+ [4 m2 R" h% c! iThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
i/ w1 s& U$ F! j' O* `strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
! e5 ^- ?( i# M/ E3 l2 TUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
9 W# M3 X8 G' L7 Y4 E9 Yin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
5 j2 w( o* d g7 ], zIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
4 p9 Y! c, q7 R9 i2 Y, ^! Lstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the8 \+ j, U( _, r$ @" r. h! A2 L) n
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
! i o6 U: w- X3 G" ~. _6 _in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
5 J; N) f! U7 `important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
3 V4 t; _' }4 |spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
7 y0 |6 [& z8 q) S: Iprices and some tightening of financial conditions.5 J4 A/ M- L x$ W; `8 I& H4 v# S
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent; p+ a" r4 H) O+ |$ a$ [8 Q9 Z
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
# o& k |2 Y+ S, GGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
6 w2 A4 F; P. w x3 \. |7 Uincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more7 f0 l; T0 H1 _! d3 G4 g* J
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
' m) K0 k' I* r* k9 N4 Y: mthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
/ ~8 Z* W! R T g4 M b% y6 \ msupply." X9 @3 H6 r- _ `3 l/ H* l
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and% ?6 d, [( |* O/ v- C4 p
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
" I$ [% V9 e: f" Hmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
, T b4 ?/ L5 G- H# P% ksignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.7 z" E5 U8 i _
5 Z9 Z& {4 u5 C8 k- GGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary' `7 \7 y/ ? L- u8 c# V% R; i
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
7 g' F1 U) k" }, R( ~2 _developments.
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7 z' ^9 w8 o% o$ ]4 K- `" Q. _Information note:7 i8 F! ^5 o# z7 f
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
: f/ }5 I/ j/ i9 l+ ?of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be g% p2 b4 Q, j& u9 m0 I% b, [- M
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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