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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market9 z; \0 L8 k! g
1 i3 O0 b3 F7 EOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight+ q6 w! @ Y4 Q: k
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly8 S1 z; _1 D" T; i' {8 \+ m
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
% p' m1 k8 O1 n2 v% |+ toperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.* ^' u4 J/ Z" |( d
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
% I, I: n" d; @% w B, p+ r) S# K" Qstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
# e) g( ^; `% @United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness% B, G5 H; C5 J1 m# r8 A2 Y
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.1 j9 U( p- `4 [5 _# e- i
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal0 ?5 [8 T; h# a+ }( J4 n# ^: o
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the( S: F) I( j$ m. b5 i- ^2 {
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result y1 A4 Z* o- z# K8 @; Q
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an c8 b2 j7 _/ a5 w g. H# u
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the; {/ l$ C0 }2 G" y% S* f
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity; I2 n8 A6 {+ G2 w1 w0 l6 d
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.4 o, {/ A' {2 \; F
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent4 W% W2 I7 I6 X4 B: [
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed./ |( j2 [/ b. D; k4 `. t+ e/ o
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with: b S* K9 f9 _+ t z3 ^
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
" J& _9 B( X% g1 C- Q6 N3 w' a: gbalanced recovery.5 p7 T! M+ J8 Q; ^# u
! ^, L: @% A$ T( xCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects& d/ o9 f; [3 i% l3 `5 `' d% v- q
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
* \% b" j; w$ ~4 T7 n! Isupply.4 r1 j. t5 O% [- S' A
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
- @; F+ \/ K+ p6 ~+ Hto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
( e# y+ Y" [, C4 v9 L% o+ Q! ]monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
; [1 @, A: Y4 D8 _significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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: S6 r# S- D. q( aGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary: V9 h& J7 X6 ^! O) V7 Y
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic* l1 s& x+ f$ x# ^5 N- Z& f1 C- B7 g
developments.
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" Y" ^' B [0 Z3 l) o4 AInformation note:
% U- r( k V5 W& w+ v$ ]' I& oThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
; K8 ~4 }6 F: Y( Uof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be7 T8 Z# G( |- l( I) s7 V" N
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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