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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight) c$ S# D7 J3 u) W) l0 s
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly. e, b. y3 m% f) h* T
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal0 [/ I7 o" w$ m" E4 O" T( {8 H
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.% j5 ~+ n+ [; F% A! w( U5 Z2 L
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with% _' f* L, E; q! U% |0 ?3 W
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
- E" h1 O3 h: }4 XUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
$ s' B2 g$ [3 O& ^in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
2 o2 B# b' q) Z: p( k6 cIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal# K5 g# B$ B3 Y" F
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the+ Z1 z' s' N) Y1 I* Y' q
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
: p. h7 h" y- E: @in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an. n, v8 S: ^( _! e2 U
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the( I+ ?: U. ^/ Q5 [: ^
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity, I) v- p: U% |; @7 W
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent3 d- A0 G# o0 n4 i/ I; f, N4 N
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed." v1 k {8 I! F0 ? k% H0 H6 \) x% \
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
& [. g/ n1 G3 V( Q2 l& I. Lincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
, z& ?* y4 P; E1 Mbalanced recovery.% Z0 \, v( D& R& U8 s% C0 `7 @ q8 m
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
9 K) I1 b% b$ x3 |0 W9 _the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
# v' [+ x5 ]% u8 E( usupply.
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9 r9 _; W9 a) |2 f/ V/ f" JIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and. f6 P, e/ C0 @5 n& q7 m
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
+ v8 O7 x/ \4 ^# L" Omonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
9 K m6 {2 W% e1 C- [. f7 W# O Nsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery., E7 c l p* W+ t1 o- _( [
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
0 d ]! i! Z# }6 @$ q4 K7 C7 |' jstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
$ M. f' X9 C2 c) e: `- X# }1 bdevelopments.4 \! w+ O: G4 q; }8 Y
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Information note:
; c0 t, U' ~! v& L' ?. @' SThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
; f" R/ F8 m S [: J* K) I+ lof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
+ W4 H j( B% |9 cpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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