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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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; \. s( c7 ^% _- y5 H' |+ i! Z% COTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight O" X8 t/ W; n' \
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
- d% z6 f4 ]2 Araised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal0 N8 H* W3 Q1 A; l
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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7 m0 |4 O8 d4 e8 hThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
, r. k0 [& K& o: r% }- K6 Istrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
& o& E' _' B6 K# hUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness, i6 j$ W0 w) p0 B9 e( I
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
3 w3 K2 K, C9 u% m9 Q* h3 ~$ D" }In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
7 N4 g3 N0 F( S. F6 h/ v4 Istimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
3 K' E* Q' W( L0 P$ r% Z% Z) }: o. Ovariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result! |9 k% ~, S% o" H# r
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
9 W4 p" r) F4 n! `, F8 m" fimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
6 ~4 m" e2 k+ u9 ]spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
# t0 Q8 w6 J4 g8 H& ?* U! t% r) e' C4 Oprices and some tightening of financial conditions.9 X( T+ U. ^5 }" o2 p5 g
J, @% V1 B3 p- H7 HActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent& K3 h* A! z6 G6 S- z
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
( N9 [2 {( H# G* |2 gGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with- E8 z2 r) E3 T- m
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more% d3 R' ~, y% w- T/ S) E5 f7 w
balanced recovery.
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: S/ \8 m2 e; ?' n" gCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects; H {! g1 W8 k- ? b! U
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
t5 U" ^) B8 [1 d/ L9 Usupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
/ u' x' m0 S. W6 ^* _to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
; b$ _- J+ _3 H& Cmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the : ]- Y9 B9 c$ ^$ k' |3 [$ Q3 i! }# _
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.9 |6 h0 Q, S' m0 x" Z" q5 a' W
! J8 s9 P" ^ {) w1 ?Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
0 [9 U* p# G. F+ z2 R. qstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic H- B2 H! b5 i6 V Z0 y8 [2 B
developments.
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" m2 d) a6 m8 R( |" [# |! cInformation note:
* [) G8 f8 |* jThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
- M, i/ v) U3 o& l9 t7 kof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be) e3 [& i3 I/ Z
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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