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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market; B: r3 Z) [4 I* {. o
3 a2 B0 w5 e: i! _# Y. ?" t: POTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
9 ~9 _9 z( G0 ^" q5 B3 q4 S' irate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly+ j/ e- L6 I% n9 e
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
2 G% D$ Y% m# ooperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate." |, k0 [. q3 E @; l: l1 X
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
: t" v9 \1 g% }' ?, F8 Ystrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the! p9 Q" t; u, G& | W
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
( S. B& X, @/ V4 x, y+ Jin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
3 V* p2 r4 P. WIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal$ {; z) R9 k) c+ N9 C- L
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the; u& v8 ^# P& `# Q" }( j. ^3 T0 ^
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result$ M N! ?. ^% w
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an! W; }8 E7 {1 H; _
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the% r1 K+ P/ x) k) B
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
: K) ^# F+ B$ k+ z% f4 v# @prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent: N1 g2 a; |) p8 j) ~7 Q H! }
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
( p% `# X2 O, a k7 DGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
7 W6 S0 {$ _9 ^8 f3 K; Mincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
: L4 g/ V. c' F5 d7 i# |balanced recovery.0 }) t* a3 [ I! D* G
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
+ u9 B+ ^) q( @; pthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
7 e0 q {, H! X2 g& ?supply. s. {% s# H8 F+ }. e& n) H
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
' q' \# f( k/ dto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 9 y2 j* B+ k' b! f# Y
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the " [ ~- D, @/ Q. l$ E+ m- k% P# F
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.+ q6 g' s3 Y t, {3 ?+ c
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
7 J+ {0 Z0 ~8 v7 J' Hstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic Q2 r8 g* t4 w; }
developments.
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Information note:3 [% F l: c3 w
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update+ ~# A) w2 A$ C3 ^1 f
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
& [, J! z- S8 ?2 ^$ W; N; Lpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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