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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market: c' T9 H; w( y3 r# k
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
0 S; c0 L" f7 ~/ s0 N" H5 s# D/ Wrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
3 [. E3 B/ E/ v4 q+ J9 iraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal7 G' v1 t* Z" X/ o, ^
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
' d( l# ?) I5 U9 ~strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the0 u2 c# m+ q5 F: h2 g5 W* O
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness5 Q+ d7 O3 z4 E) h+ I
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
, m5 c# |$ l, lIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
: p. H/ u6 k1 F, Bstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the) a7 c2 |0 O" @5 a' c o3 w
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result& Y- p) z8 a; z7 g8 ^8 }
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
' k6 s/ o }; @4 a/ Y; S6 {0 Qimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
# c* Y/ V3 z2 L( D# l4 a8 }% b Vspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity1 [$ L8 c: C, y7 {9 S# ^
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.# W$ N5 j/ X- C+ z# \" A
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
: _* V! |- P3 s# [: r2 i0 Win the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.: t3 q5 Z S3 l. M8 u" t u
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
' p; y: `' d* c5 cincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more7 E& [5 C4 _( c( ^& o" l! \0 J
balanced recovery.- y& h$ i* V9 m7 M
# i" _ G5 T& W" O8 h8 @CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects( a) j& D1 Q. D$ {& E% I
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
8 t' h O9 c4 L$ P% o7 C5 F3 rsupply.
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7 c4 }8 j9 T: U# XIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
. K- b3 s. [: P% F: s, q( Hto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ! |- I) f7 a6 h4 y# Y
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the . T4 }- J% [- I/ F. a1 X
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.! `) D$ f- d( g8 m, G
6 E# i5 |9 \8 x! ?7 J( _Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary/ s3 x) \' ^+ M9 O8 i
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
8 n7 _+ j' B- d" Z9 ~+ z" G S" l4 v jdevelopments.. q, `4 ~9 ]6 n) Y6 R3 W7 K4 `
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Information note:1 z+ \8 L$ F) }) ^# w2 _2 L4 |
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
$ G- r; b& T$ k: u# n$ G. yof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be: H0 ]; f' ~. \8 {& _& E; P8 M
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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