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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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+ u, g5 a' f" w4 K' fOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight3 V* c a$ I/ u
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly5 h5 D; I. v2 Z3 X! N; a3 K @
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
- O+ ?6 ~& w+ \: M! V- Doperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with9 R' c2 _4 H2 R
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the* S ~& {/ w6 T9 X% f! Q' t
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness7 m) B7 P0 _! z
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized. u- @8 @( f, z1 u g
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal- @% V3 e8 d8 f- ~$ P
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
* W- ]3 [" X9 mvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result; ?& @+ K1 P/ E( R) E# M
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
6 n2 D) b5 S7 W6 cimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the$ u, v; u1 |- I" w
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
' R8 N( w" v c& zprices and some tightening of financial conditions.6 v2 }! v0 u. ^( _
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
" k& `! O: l, U4 y; M1 q4 J! f1 zin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
$ c4 s. Y) K! C+ A- n' u. wGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with3 E3 s. ?2 ^* ~" D+ @8 z
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more1 q* E9 ?# g8 L! o6 B4 A+ `& A
balanced recovery.+ G+ `* L* Y/ [* C
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects8 U# r2 @7 ~5 c& O3 s
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
* @% ^; n7 `6 M( Y# |supply.$ }: m' o) t8 N( y2 H2 r
- B$ \6 G4 [3 L1 h; ]In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
- [5 _( O9 ?5 L0 ?& D, X. O1 Nto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
. N/ A' e: s1 g0 Dmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
7 S S' E& u) O6 _2 Esignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.% Z. k# W# S$ o$ r' {
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary7 H5 a7 @& l- B8 T
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
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Information note:0 G' l/ v2 {* h
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update# J$ ?& j* P( v v
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be m- T3 D4 W* p, X; E4 m
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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