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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market- A* b d( Y% `
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
; H5 R6 y1 {# ]/ }rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
1 `% Z/ f6 p( q/ H' jraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
7 B2 c4 \0 A' Coperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.8 _+ o: a3 O4 R! M3 i) L4 `1 @
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
! L% z E1 c5 A, L5 w# q' K9 bstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the8 c9 N9 r j" v r: R
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness/ L; @6 \' E7 d* f$ f
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
) `+ }. b& \2 BIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal# }& C. c- W- W' u
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
# Q# P( p0 e1 M+ ^4 hvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
0 C) ~4 w: b# ain higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an i2 _# q3 `) b3 S9 ]# z5 H9 I
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the# U- x' P* h9 G# J9 J1 O
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity w1 L, `$ _, r* r6 m3 g: H" v/ h
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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" M+ s q1 q7 s4 D. V4 pActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
1 ^* R% P' `: P' _" D7 |2 W3 yin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
$ g; T- `# |) A% _ |. y" T/ C7 n4 |* ]Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with/ x9 @( d& v! V% y* N( Q1 U# v7 V
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
0 O0 w; N& [) |9 @balanced recovery.
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) O( _# R* O! R5 n# tCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
8 @. l" }; c4 f* _4 [6 I/ gthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
3 J0 T' S( k, ]. Esupply.1 ~7 I5 l0 V3 n2 p K, U/ B0 @
/ h& k5 d/ J k A2 O+ UIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and- r; o; U- [ F
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
& r* q' S( s+ ^0 xmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ) J8 X9 Y: [& z- L7 ^* z7 W/ B
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
, ^+ S( |% B2 X$ s3 X9 b% ^stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic4 k% x( N- b0 k, i2 a
developments.
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* ~" j6 v" O2 X Z l) k2 BInformation note:
+ {5 r# P3 J' i& t! }: OThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
) W, q$ y' h% r1 T9 P) `of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be" C7 P% g7 {# m
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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