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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market. J$ k, t, z% [* e; s- Q% C
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
r {+ d h- ?) ?& L3 Yrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly, s. ~+ U; b) d: K
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal) K3 _8 v5 U" x2 f+ N9 N! E
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate. x% Z, x: ]' i, }4 \8 ]
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with* h4 E( F" n# t) L* C# g& Q
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
2 E; U7 ^* s; h* P) O3 a+ k# aUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
% J* k. y. y- M4 W0 s7 G% {" l/ Pin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
+ m* z# V1 ^/ o! }; UIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal9 ?5 |$ f; {0 q% P( {6 c) A
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
+ k" U/ h; N7 `' D4 C bvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result5 d/ h. ?9 H; J/ E9 \2 d0 F
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an- I# r5 }! ]8 H1 S2 h( _
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
* ?+ S- h/ f7 Q- `$ X8 Y1 U7 O& x1 Pspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
+ K4 [$ i" v' |( w9 W0 j0 rprices and some tightening of financial conditions.+ r0 X- h( k; ^4 x! v3 C9 w
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent/ y) E9 j2 U" ]* `6 F2 q
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.( G0 x( _+ i% ^# I8 M- Y
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with% i5 a' n3 Z$ j2 q, U+ R
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
$ x" Z* M2 ~7 K+ \$ \! ybalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects: Y" {% M* C3 ^- [
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
6 U" `: ~9 J t* Y8 I/ usupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
0 ~" H6 M( U& b8 g- k8 t2 qto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 9 m3 W) `# N8 ?' c) g q3 ]0 W/ E
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the F8 u6 W5 {2 ?
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.2 K, `' A+ B" a4 W! s4 t* Q
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary! F: |! P. t) k( L
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic) Y5 L% P/ r( v: ~' _
developments.
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Information note:$ X* q! c% ~3 M1 P" i
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update) l, @" Z5 a3 n6 l
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be5 [$ U% I% h; ^9 c _( F7 {. g( o
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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