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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
5 B0 B* U& [! o* v8 Mrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly6 X& G) O* c' v; V; A. p
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal7 Q9 u* U! _) P4 s/ V
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with! _. T+ y, v5 t, Z3 C) a
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the. |1 A# g' r! f. K: e* h
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
2 M& H4 d o' o8 t4 a3 E" ~& Ain Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
6 _- _7 G0 a' p; Q1 TIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
1 m9 G* Z' Y& X" }stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
. ^3 l9 R; A7 |; L/ w. g" Evariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
( d1 W# x4 o# F3 k- Yin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
6 u$ q9 q2 Q/ f0 I# f# oimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the' D, [! h( {) K5 m& [0 R( t
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity& h: c; X0 k) b: N
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent, M$ K: c2 p1 q5 t$ d( `* C* b
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.: D) |" i1 X. X) O7 G
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with0 w+ z/ K9 U! U& g" M
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
* I j& a- U, d- jbalanced recovery.6 H5 R+ D# l! `# \6 @+ [, c+ j
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects l6 s3 r" c; t% }" M8 v; Q: V
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess9 ?/ Y+ g5 Z% l
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and$ _2 v4 s4 Z' p* I, I1 e
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable $ h* x$ _) W) v' z W8 x
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the # E5 K; o* C7 ~ ^4 l9 l9 c
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.( b1 A6 c0 M2 u4 b3 A5 t: {
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
: J4 K" _- `) N1 F) g7 W: p; B% pstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
* `4 G8 N* V* M# l. hdevelopments.3 i& w* n0 _, x% ^
$ I: O- L+ R; w8 x9 J7 FInformation note:
( S9 N! h: Y1 O' p' j$ r Z- r$ r$ MThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
7 V0 |0 g" m, b! qof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
3 ^( S8 t$ n ]# Ipublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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