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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
" C$ ^1 a" f) @1 \' p& V) _rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly& L' q0 L% a( E; ?/ w2 [! G' I- [2 D
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal( T* h" X1 Z3 ?+ f9 h& l
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with' ~) ]* j: @; p! Q
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
6 d* A5 D. J! Y$ jUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
0 n5 e* X3 W4 z2 m6 zin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
+ f, O7 l3 O* N9 N( H2 ]0 jIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal8 }+ a: y9 C1 X. t8 q
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
0 x+ |& `3 p9 M" D" }- z7 J* K, {" xvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result) \' O1 A& f' P8 S% Z+ W& I
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
3 o$ y s" N$ M7 _; N5 Dimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the& [! X* V8 v# _- s- D( e/ D$ U
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity& b0 j6 y5 z$ [' T
prices and some tightening of financial conditions. P% ~, T1 j% f
( F/ l. b" [& |5 xActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent0 M2 {, \; `0 j$ g
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.# L, \$ M9 Y4 u- ?/ _$ s* Z
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
( r% c) j' Y7 Oincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more6 Y# m5 ?2 x* R! A! L2 X
balanced recovery.- \9 L9 _& _0 K% B" k1 F, O8 s4 Y7 Z. M
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects. e5 \" X( |. ^5 R1 A! N
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and# t, [4 {: Z& w( R4 K+ G* j9 P
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 7 \& {% M7 U8 q. k6 F9 o
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ) P, e2 }8 `( i [) h2 J( n+ T
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery." Y. a' i0 c- X! T$ W
9 a3 \3 O7 b" { N# L, aGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
$ _& {' b* P- y7 K3 s2 u8 F5 ostimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
7 X+ {+ J0 |: [. Y( Xdevelopments.. H9 h; x# o' Q& F k0 `/ f+ h9 {
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Information note:. f) l2 h( s( b
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
6 Z1 _5 ^' Q. X: j+ o0 Y# iof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be2 R( ~! o8 ~9 [! Y) ~/ n
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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