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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market8 C0 i" e$ i) }( l3 l9 W, Z& J" ]
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight4 S# J1 t/ h* B, q4 g, [
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly6 @1 w! x+ Y. W) o- S
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
v' L. m. h( ]operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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2 G7 {" q: Y+ g6 H7 e$ CThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
# `3 K4 F, ~! i$ Z7 tstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
" [# l5 }: W' Y& O6 V- E PUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness! Z6 }! K4 i; K
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.1 w" H, N* D p$ L% w7 ^6 d
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
) S5 v- i' _2 T* x; e6 D% Hstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
% y/ a' }' u* G6 Cvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result6 `! y% I f4 y$ i, [8 z
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
! x( i6 L+ n' J! T/ y fimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the4 g3 ^! j: C' y' l0 N" W% D# R, A- I# W
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
) s: X7 i/ `6 J' a$ F0 j5 t tprices and some tightening of financial conditions.# ]# {" z4 Y# C5 z+ K
3 {) n% J# v5 ^& S9 UActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
; S) X& C2 ] P/ S5 T) cin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
3 k6 b4 _( |1 g# G" D9 A, [* N! RGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
& {, C. H% I' M3 y' lincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more% i8 }' k/ N6 u3 a# r3 j
balanced recovery.
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& W3 ~' ~; I3 I {8 a( U% \CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
7 T* i3 `4 ]0 g4 Q+ lthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess Y2 q$ n b: m* M. \# d
supply.
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1 k% `% E( x; kIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and" E2 x- O1 m* W7 u
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable * P; X L* I } L* H- [6 {' W: o
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
/ ]8 F8 o& L4 v) B K- M5 Tsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery., \4 ~1 e4 J6 m+ h: @8 A3 d
* l( p( B. t9 t) x) EGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary6 F1 a/ _- ^* i* X: x2 p
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
* m, S" S' n9 p5 p0 [- ]' Idevelopments.
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Information note:0 w; c. p( X. Y
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update1 M4 c, S' O2 D
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
; _; r4 K! d; D' k" _$ @published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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