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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market$ ?: W7 v' K8 X( ], L* w8 Z
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight, p! `1 Q7 [. e* u$ ?' Y$ `2 q
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
" p1 w! r. a0 J8 X mraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
3 p% T! B! l) a. U: J4 n9 {operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.! y3 i+ x. [- L% i/ V& d
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
" z1 x& G0 U2 e a* ]& E$ xstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
6 G) T' a( ]" @1 L& e+ ~' fUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
7 n t# Y7 e# ]( Uin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
5 f! U2 `. D! Z* \4 b+ GIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
* A: ]1 J0 G" z% N0 ystimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
( e; a C: ~* _8 Mvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result8 i: L+ H8 I' f, X( ]
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
1 U5 K. t% E' @ E2 iimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
, t7 R6 X1 @# j- Sspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
/ H7 k, H4 } V; m0 F3 d% T: k2 wprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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/ o z0 u. s8 _" lActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
4 [7 K9 ?, [$ W: `in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
& ~# e' e) s0 h$ g$ Z8 O3 z& QGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with) G$ j" {# X3 a9 O$ C" w
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
. L5 a1 p4 s6 a% i! n7 |$ ^balanced recovery.
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9 {. N: o: f( e4 K9 ^CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects; S0 P) z* ? X2 o# |
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
/ q0 A. ]% N4 i; A) ?0 ~7 j* ssupply.% \6 ~+ M* _: ~% T @
( G [2 C/ f i) e* ]In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
6 Y4 E1 I( |0 u, `to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
5 t. Y( W0 |# p% v, L/ G# h6 emonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ! T' |7 C* ]* M( W" V
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.& X" B5 W9 k$ I6 B0 z6 H$ i
9 D6 h) X7 i$ l" W" zGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
6 |6 | f1 Q# K1 K7 v( x6 b9 J _stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
2 H) x- b7 W) B4 }developments.
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0 m" `8 p1 m( X, w$ D! WInformation note:+ Z2 m2 k" U* M+ F9 q T
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
1 b8 h$ l$ U& @of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
, r) Y4 Y# q$ m( p& dpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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