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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market! K7 _+ s; l' p& w
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
& L: p, t/ c& N6 `rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly$ I& k! X2 {1 Q* `) h
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal8 \" J7 W* S( d& B
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.+ A# B3 ^0 ~) |' f8 f
- j- m/ ^6 D* r8 R: |The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with: _* Z8 c, D* m( G7 ~, j5 d+ H% H
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the7 R9 f- `$ c) U/ W
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness6 x: D7 s: @; Z& T/ a& O# p
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
L1 V1 A" s9 ~7 l! x+ }, QIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
1 c& M5 ~# {5 o' a2 L$ W# ^' k" @stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
: T0 c/ M. C( yvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
6 a' y2 o/ p* c1 P. E8 j3 j6 cin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an+ |+ y8 H/ a/ Z( M6 E/ w1 f
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
6 w- {4 H. D4 I2 F1 i7 D7 dspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity5 O' D2 x& A5 f+ F
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent; t( _2 v' L/ M$ z8 V k
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.& d9 ~/ K, v! |7 G5 V3 C
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with" V* W9 U5 i% n" e8 W3 E
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more, R& E7 C( @( ^* [- Q/ T( A! `
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
3 [# E. q$ t! [the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
5 Q0 j, b2 R$ ?6 g/ G9 a( R" z# Bsupply.0 D/ n% d* w; c4 N
, \: X( e0 J- o2 {In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
# y9 P: m9 {2 @- ito re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 4 u# o" a# }; a
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 7 r" v( d1 o9 Q, z
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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; u% g' o# n9 I$ ^3 n& U$ ~3 xGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
8 D' e$ a) A% g0 D/ ~stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic" z4 f" {. M, S5 Q
developments.7 v; H: m% p9 v0 ~" z& I- @* t
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Information note:1 x7 O6 v' {" Z4 l# V
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
" O6 o' P5 k W' J) W& yof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be' q4 c, j1 m9 F* ?% |$ D+ a1 c* T
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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