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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market7 ^# b- }- f5 ^3 [8 Z$ Y
K$ d7 g) Q( ROTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight* X7 |' g2 k& D8 {5 R* |
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
, |% m# A" e4 J- D e$ Z, z S; e Q7 x+ nraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal9 E0 U$ x( b0 a$ `' H
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
& M. L. |" A" l) k# S2 d5 Q- E0 W( \& s) X6 i" E: D
The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
4 a) k0 x+ Z( E9 n1 M5 R4 f7 ustrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
$ x* r& R, I8 x; a7 o# e8 YUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
5 Q. u; s9 i9 r1 t4 D lin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
( \$ s& i$ d- y* w( A V+ k" `In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
) f+ F, b% {2 i" b, H p# }0 sstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the% s& |! T# ~9 }) s; T: d
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result, N3 G7 M8 Y" ~# w: t
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
- F* g. H# E8 B; O: w6 Q' m8 \important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
5 s# J! W7 M1 S9 Uspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity7 s+ O: Y: h5 r1 k; h0 l
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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7 d. h/ u4 X' {# X. dActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
# w+ n$ B. |( V0 vin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.2 a. I: ]6 F' R+ {8 \' `1 ~
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
2 k3 p/ Z& O% l8 _: w" Zincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
1 Y* W. |: {4 h* z- p2 Z6 u9 bbalanced recovery. u5 p0 _; A) w! K; V& N6 r1 \
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
e9 I# R, n/ B4 @" J, S' ]$ vthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
' [3 P C5 f- y4 @4 o/ k8 p {( Msupply.
- s: _: n( x* I% z' Z+ E- V) P- G( \* j; I
In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and+ d7 i9 M% R* g/ d1 f' o
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable . t+ I* |. Y4 y) X# o( S5 W
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
6 m5 h4 ^/ B) [$ ksignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.2 ~& P; L7 ~3 G- p: `# _
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary. N# R: u" b+ Y, g R: @
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic: v$ ]) Y# ^. Z8 _3 u
developments.# ?# U g' {/ W) P1 p9 {# a
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Information note:
1 r( v; e2 ^7 ~' _The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
# B4 t8 c2 g6 U3 S$ O" zof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be# @2 P- G. `2 H' A6 K2 r) G
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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