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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
* q, G: C* i: q- f! Mrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
0 |9 d; ^. r( K/ q/ draised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
- g1 V9 G! F# R. z B! loperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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) M, v! M/ V) }! |The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
& k2 z8 B/ y t; @( F Hstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
: `' J6 {! ] R8 [United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness1 O9 e$ P: x# L o' R
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.* X, C% k3 f1 J. m2 N& t% i
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal* D4 {% u. w" i+ W, m( D
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
: E9 B7 ]3 R. p; C+ Q+ O4 xvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
5 u% C. ?7 A- |. d& A& C7 hin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an+ r) t8 w# C. i& p
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
- ^! u) n2 e, m4 ^7 [spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
3 Y O" T' |" Dprices and some tightening of financial conditions.6 L0 M, o$ v% S2 H5 w
3 K2 L e; g- D9 b h% c+ F4 T& FActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
0 F4 Y* b, q4 ^% S- @in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
. U y7 C4 |' K' L3 lGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
, E' v1 J1 S3 x, Q4 I- c. xincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
. `% X9 {5 d6 w" Tbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
9 B! K# W2 f# gthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess8 L* d; }4 _! C0 ^* E& M9 T
supply.4 f, I8 l7 o6 Z$ t
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
4 g. Q& w. ]. L4 B- X9 fto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable " m5 O$ q$ z' P/ v' s/ b
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
. W3 D) u+ Q" E* |8 d3 d- ~' asignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.' j# i$ k C& G7 k- Z; K( Y& H8 Z
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
$ u7 }+ @% q+ ^+ Y" t X) _: |stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic6 c" K6 R% S- |2 W9 P2 {9 u
developments.
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Information note:1 |* q6 P( v. _ y" R) |
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update- |% |4 |3 H: J/ r, f
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be3 m! q3 v! l4 k4 H I1 j6 p# [7 Q
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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