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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market t. [+ I* Z: t5 d* c' E
8 J5 |# ?8 w! O0 ~7 v0 ?2 f% GOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight9 j1 {1 Z8 T5 h$ N$ N7 c
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly8 L0 o/ u& Y2 B0 C9 w' ~! T
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal0 N* A3 N; b* v6 B4 ~8 z$ |
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.3 Q8 S" w, ^) E$ v/ K6 ^
$ e: m" Q q5 o2 w* Y' HThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
" d E8 T' f, H! u$ v6 ^ x, zstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the# a2 a5 m8 q( K8 c {
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
1 T. V) V: t, z O0 Yin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
9 c4 P1 S5 s# z2 C6 C: tIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal4 r. D$ R b4 V( o+ k, A+ ` T
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the% Z- F5 H& `4 s$ q' W
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result3 e! v! V! [6 b/ l/ t) D- b" z! n
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an; h8 z9 R* D* r# @, N- l
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the n1 U& r4 @' }( r% ?
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity$ S5 _" k7 d% g+ V
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.+ G5 r; t) A& O. f
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent& Z+ G Q+ Y5 N3 P& E
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed./ i* K0 K1 U6 e+ ?- A
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with4 V! e: _5 k3 `. s
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
( U, h% Y! o. L! `/ y) X! Sbalanced recovery.6 s9 C4 i6 V1 G5 q5 S5 N
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects. y$ j B! G1 g% {
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
6 } e4 I) I( g9 r2 f8 w/ v$ Xsupply.% ]/ ~' X2 i# R* X a! ?4 v5 ^1 l
; l# F4 I" V, k( g7 Y+ K m5 }! YIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and5 i( G' A6 {/ _+ P4 V
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
, g1 E" j8 z# o V+ Rmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the " n9 @9 M/ X! U6 P4 q2 ~, g8 h
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
5 a& j6 d; b4 Q. jstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
. D7 s( x6 I" P: k) p" m7 T! Vdevelopments.
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. ?* x- H" w: D% h! yInformation note:- u3 U, s+ R" v0 ]2 F. M y- }
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update& B( v2 s# N6 b9 c3 ]" p0 K2 y6 ]
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be, ` a! Z5 ^* b' q" I' w/ p% o3 F
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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