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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market# K! I2 a5 i6 q- S1 T' Z
# f$ X! h' }: R1 u" K& H4 d @OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
5 H8 Q3 `' ]8 ]rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly+ t! o ^% B7 D: P' Q
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal2 o' F( J% X8 f' d J$ g* G
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.3 Q7 \3 c1 R( W: y# D5 @
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with3 k \3 k5 [8 {* u+ o
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the3 q3 x0 d0 c! a! D7 J/ g
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
" n; l4 Y/ s0 N( j; qin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
- d; x7 w v: D( z6 vIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
- a4 a" y3 ^' _ c9 ^6 `stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the7 n1 C ]# C4 ]) H7 u ?# F
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
: G e, z% Q% d4 s% m1 m6 tin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an/ ^% ^8 b1 k* S2 I& }8 h" h9 Q: a
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
| _3 T2 K1 t$ A3 u% y- |spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity& ?' t4 `2 ^! {1 Q* x o: R
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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6 a7 s# P$ {+ F- pActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
" L1 Q1 K5 @" {3 ~# | ain the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
2 c" v1 ]( s' R, r# IGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with! e; J7 ~+ x% s6 m+ A0 o4 z
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more( x) n4 [ Y) m' c* a0 M
balanced recovery.
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. H+ \4 r; e- Z& A+ p' g+ {0 xCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects$ B6 m* `' k( d/ A8 Z+ f
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess4 j( z" N" D/ V# x
supply.: a8 `' b; h0 S: t6 s
, o- }# }; ], UIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and3 y# U# |* r7 N' Z$ A! w9 x
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable * r2 V" T1 O/ M6 j' g0 F
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
+ o+ M5 W( \- _1 o4 b& gsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
& s2 L' B* ~3 { V( mstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
' Q' i. y& G. T! ] Z9 Y- Cdevelopments.( T5 F& J' f' @' }& g7 R. t
" U* A+ c, V* c# j2 S! O8 ?Information note:) u, B" x/ C" e- I2 u9 }% V1 Z
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
1 d3 S% K: a/ e% v8 K5 J8 t. wof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be4 e7 \' p8 z( `2 L4 T
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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