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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market t( F' f* B) v3 [, {) Q2 d
$ S* q+ R: j0 Q( [0 o+ s( }) {+ sOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight' K% q5 D$ N! F5 R$ ~+ \
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly% R0 j8 c* y# Z5 H7 i+ t. N
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
; F2 G8 ]9 l! R5 H: [# J2 O: doperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate." u0 S) U) W' F4 W0 @, Q( c6 G
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with2 g3 x) h; R! C. {6 ^
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
2 V) w9 \* X% NUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness) Z3 Y2 k! y j! I, C8 c( O
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
+ x% P) K( J# C( f1 IIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
4 _' f+ h* G+ Lstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
+ C1 o! S0 E4 S4 }variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
( i B4 F& F6 i3 d, Bin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an- {6 t* Y. S+ ~7 y: e+ Z0 _
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the3 q3 J' Q' u ^: N# E! g# C) T
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
$ {2 i! r2 [+ nprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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3 U" B" \0 q( G9 L6 EActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent U* ~7 W, r4 b5 n0 ~
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
; W4 ]. f9 b0 c5 i: OGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with ^! s, b) P9 q( q5 l
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more+ E8 y) C7 R; x) A
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
4 p% _9 {- l8 }- F5 |6 M; {the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
, o) U0 m/ y; n- R- Wsupply.
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( N& U9 X$ H m; YIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and& F9 w1 Y2 x) y) m/ d* ~( M* z6 G$ L
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
9 K/ P4 g1 q. H1 P3 g& Wmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ' q$ P1 z$ j& Z6 T* h/ ^; S4 d
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
, W# q8 o, U$ k$ y" Pstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
* ^5 {5 M5 V6 s, l" y% t4 @developments." c# ?! e- l4 T0 n! R1 G( A6 |
; m) I6 e6 ?( G7 Z3 T5 u5 JInformation note:
/ C, ~2 l6 h% Q5 o& k8 y& uThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
x4 p+ Z$ S: v @4 f4 l _: n. Aof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
1 C) b2 Z( o3 Ipublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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