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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
5 R0 G. M: i1 b$ r/ ~( prate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly- h4 R4 m8 Y$ j# f$ y
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
/ f0 i6 m" E) S5 D, V* Coperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.2 H& b% C0 T9 w4 i# e/ X
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
+ @- M! q2 m; _: d. E1 _7 i- I5 ~% cstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
7 t* R" X! E) [. s- vUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
* H0 \+ p; n& o0 o) ~in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.. r0 {% B# L2 h5 }+ b7 w$ k4 ?
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal0 g T+ n$ U A
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
* t' O0 |- h$ a5 W: Yvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result9 Z$ g) p' @# K1 C' B0 ~
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an& a7 u& V$ Z0 j' t& q3 E; Z
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
, @! J: o' D8 \- _: F( A; Hspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
& d" G& {6 v% A/ [2 K* ^- K& Sprices and some tightening of financial conditions.6 u4 g& B) h: N9 `. i0 @+ ]7 l
' t3 ^- ^+ a0 ^, q9 sActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
" e6 r4 K6 h4 oin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
0 d% N% u2 P, m) rGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with& ]( {7 t/ j& n& Z7 j( `
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more& v( a- `( a; e7 i) }, d
balanced recovery.
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7 G- b% T8 U/ M, @9 X* n" Q5 ^7 U) zCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
8 f7 n( ~6 L+ v0 ~$ p! x/ i! k, Athe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
9 m! |4 I; k0 T" [supply.
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! s# Y# D- v1 Q4 |8 ]" c4 U0 f# yIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
, k* R0 j7 E6 p5 P% Q/ F+ lto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
+ E5 H: P# D6 h% g7 Jmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
+ g4 j) }% Y) j$ R$ F6 {# Isignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.1 P4 M5 c9 G3 _" V. g& T/ N
2 `! n. U! |1 n. Q# kGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
: I5 C z, k0 I' H" I6 Sstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
% w8 Z% y5 N, q: i, ?$ L+ K! Ydevelopments.
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Information note:
: j8 X& u- \9 O. Z; N& u5 cThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
. X; K L& }- r! ~* Oof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
7 t# H) j ]: i7 l, L4 Q# epublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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