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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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9 d% i0 V4 Q* k0 w MOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight5 e7 N( H& u2 _! _/ f
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly' }0 p6 \ \4 m8 w' e/ A; C
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal2 S/ A8 s' E! u, I* o" c0 X! G. N
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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) i% t; i) T! [! B3 WThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
5 l" k& r# H+ Pstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
( B; N& V- b8 m8 t& ZUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness* E, x# @# {9 ?6 t2 s3 ]% c
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.1 m1 ~8 u$ A4 i# l( N. q
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
/ ?6 j6 ?* Y6 g0 ^4 N( K! Bstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
U2 u7 i; ^( S& p$ x8 T' S' C5 Ovariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result' r% Z0 K$ @1 ?" O `" V
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
9 T9 y' u1 I& L: P4 c' G3 oimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the4 _% l% A" t7 p$ G
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
( L: f8 A" Z6 _: `0 ]/ zprices and some tightening of financial conditions.( c9 l8 W- ^. F! ^8 T, I8 G: L3 ?2 N) S
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
6 [; K# h |, t& min the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.) e. b" [6 ]$ {7 O6 u J) a
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with9 E$ I) B j- c* A
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more0 Y# P) `/ w. A1 S4 Q/ e
balanced recovery." y/ O7 o, @4 ^& d
, X1 E. @6 e |# {CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects. O; E7 S* C1 H) b
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess9 v1 Y# F4 b' L
supply.
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! t+ k6 u2 X: y$ j8 IIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
3 S6 S, k: X1 L3 H! jto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable - Y; i+ y1 N3 o# t* m% x) [1 w
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
1 J$ r7 X2 I* [significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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: X" [7 `/ ]- a0 \6 mGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
+ o) \# y2 ~( k) M) Nstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
. x1 ~ H: s5 T1 a! Pdevelopments.
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- b, n) F3 L0 C! d1 {( h! ^% EInformation note:
& I: C( Z, G( \ vThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
9 n7 _: o0 n4 R4 mof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be# G0 {" Z" N& O P7 A! `
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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