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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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: |1 u1 Q# N+ C4 v, D( ZOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight z3 v5 |; l/ Q; f" Z2 Q; f: r5 `
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
! Q# }% U: U6 Q- d+ G8 m% ?1 P. rraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal0 G$ g2 j7 S, B/ p, y& Q& F; Q
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with3 b- M+ _! U5 x5 m; Y( D0 Q
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
. X. p( g& }) c4 g9 t8 GUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
! C4 W7 b% W" z8 L! Vin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.( e2 @& R9 u) c+ h
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal! y5 U3 d$ J' x: o; }
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the2 w! d3 _8 `6 c- M D! n' b
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result0 I8 _9 E+ `! v, {' w& }6 l
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
% Z4 U$ L' ` k" u6 y/ x. u' q Aimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
7 [* C% n6 y; @9 m4 x4 wspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity3 g1 r% ?5 S) p
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent: Q4 e& x# c# K; B
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.' S. y6 g: ^* \5 I
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
" R$ |7 Z$ l3 |" w% {; D% [income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
% `! V5 U1 g7 ~0 Kbalanced recovery.
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8 \' R. [& [2 u6 ~2 B' }CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
6 \8 R5 u/ s2 w4 i+ @6 qthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
/ q1 d) {! A7 |0 tsupply.7 j) S6 N2 Y& [; b8 W. W" @$ k
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
E$ \- [# r) ]: s) sto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ; g; ~) j- D9 w4 k5 w
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 8 B, F6 i$ m2 f+ [. E$ q
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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9 b" x9 [" G/ }. dGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
* ]# G: O4 N' H' I B$ Rstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic [2 C6 [; r* f4 g2 `! G0 Z! {
developments.
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Information note:* [; y8 q8 y* U% k0 P# Q
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update* R: [9 E+ R7 f% j
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
4 p. h+ k5 F( t+ M" }1 c9 l7 Qpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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