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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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. E0 g7 E: m1 j1 g) k* g5 @( @OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight% l+ }% F- q* ^# k& i. _
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
4 O% F8 j# [& v; s/ ^# r3 B+ z) L8 graised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
0 q, z2 P$ y7 Roperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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% m; m" X4 f% ~; ?' G9 z- fThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
- ~) G2 I3 L1 `/ cstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
! |/ s6 V, k0 gUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
4 ]6 n3 i" F( M. v" m% C& }9 Xin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
Z5 b6 c) U* r% ]% ]8 X" C# w C$ q( |% yIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
* d/ `4 R& E& i; k0 estimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the6 c/ `8 m/ d% V+ d5 M) a6 y% l
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
# }* ?) V k6 }. t) Lin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an2 {# z+ H# T7 R! [; Q$ l) Y! H. L
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
# a* ]9 T+ J* k6 J3 m& r- ]. ^spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
: t. G Q6 b# I' [, m& e; Yprices and some tightening of financial conditions.! y0 z3 ]6 L' ^. H3 t, l
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent9 t$ s _8 O$ X3 e
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.8 h. x# M1 e) J7 F. k1 O; q
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
{- p/ ^+ \5 Yincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
8 A; N8 U9 |2 O2 R- mbalanced recovery.* I2 C+ J$ J' I, Z- |
: I9 N& L" C6 q1 g; X* pCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects9 l7 c3 i9 K. M
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess+ `" E* w% h) B( r* R( _
supply.' U- o1 R0 o1 U' i; T: @/ C
3 e9 n6 n7 _' U& }$ P) X1 p+ j. uIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
1 o2 \7 z4 _+ K) Eto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
9 F- Z8 Y2 P( q/ G- j) X& [monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the & ^- ~( F! N1 D- N9 E" {
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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2 g2 m' L2 C" @2 X- w; qGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
# ]+ l$ [0 H& d/ D E( _% Cstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic3 E1 @4 A7 @( l$ D b3 {$ ?' s
developments.
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+ E2 `! c* @: ]Information note:
. h4 y, s4 w9 X9 ]" I4 ^+ RThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
4 j0 U1 Y5 V) j7 iof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be$ D, h. L" m3 y s
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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