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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
/ M w e' i, C/ Xrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly' K1 i) D/ {+ G
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal8 P' z% g Q2 ]) p# M4 F
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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& K5 y% G: N. s; i$ WThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with" c# ?' R) T- y; I" ^( c
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the# S" I# F) E) H% o `! i8 |
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
7 _2 P7 Q" |/ K4 |9 J3 [4 n# Win Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
0 }/ a4 N" O* B7 WIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal: K7 J* n8 \, l. I# z
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
+ s" K9 q( T& Pvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
. b" [3 [3 p" x5 `6 R1 _ A ]" Din higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an- q$ I J" D, ~0 X+ x
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
1 i7 M; K" @8 H# `% @" `! W4 `spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
" S `/ M& D8 ^# e+ `& Jprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
/ @0 U# h# Y* w% H4 Q4 F* V$ Rin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.0 ^6 Z& W7 s( c; {+ A. l: y
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
& e5 a& r Z- f" V# t6 Mincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
+ s* s: P9 b$ F% c( }; M! wbalanced recovery.
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- m6 Y4 u9 M, _; e9 M" [+ G3 v( VCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects4 S3 Y$ P* s: n' n# q
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
: R: I; {, U C+ Z6 ^# Lsupply.
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6 L+ E. N- Q0 L" Q3 d+ PIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
: @. j& z1 Q% ^8 G& K# B( y) [' wto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
# r+ e# K5 ~0 B Rmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
% _. x4 v/ h9 I. p Jsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.7 h5 B# I7 Z3 X" n8 w' `+ z( W! E
& m" C, A& ?8 J! t. {Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
8 r, e3 N6 Z$ ?0 fstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
/ U7 b# D/ [/ M5 N+ T0 q+ ~5 Jdevelopments.& h# e: ]1 x4 F# b
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Information note:% u( M3 A j" x, n& @/ ?+ l, l1 L
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update) u' f% ~- X7 e3 H
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
, u6 Q+ s! f. U# }$ k+ H' r5 p4 e1 Dpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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