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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
4 f' y, S5 Z2 d! F, e9 c krate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly3 {2 I5 }' m2 P+ x& O% t. d
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
) [% j, J- o; V, Z! X1 d& qoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.' D' U, h0 @8 W* Y+ ~& X! L
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
' O: p3 T; P3 Cstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the8 W' Z7 k9 j l. {! P7 g: n
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness' e! \5 D( o) u3 I1 S
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
. X# n1 Y* U, q* y# U; ]' S7 IIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal* Y2 b- E2 L4 b) e5 l
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the+ C" x. w6 J% O/ s5 Z
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
1 \9 t! p S3 |6 K% [in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
% y7 n& ^: }4 \/ Dimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the8 Y: a: f' A8 Y! I5 K
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
+ u: k2 h$ E$ C5 k$ E( \2 t; Qprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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" V; b/ y0 f4 q3 G1 M# H2 e! L, aActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent# ?6 a f+ y/ p% t+ b
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.* c9 p" M1 C3 u% W/ g5 ^ t
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
8 j. p+ ^5 N9 h. q; Yincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
3 j; i9 D6 H6 y6 Y( ]) j( {9 ~5 xbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects0 d6 M+ v: m1 g' x9 ?
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess/ W2 Q$ H/ B# {6 i. ?) b
supply.- _- T* p, Y7 H- [
$ I; _/ R9 R$ g, |1 m9 X' fIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
S5 R6 u5 ]7 E: f0 }' \to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ' j* D1 p" N- m# V/ b
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
4 v4 E# c) I o! N; Y* a! x5 r6 n9 @significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary: u& @0 W0 r* G( B5 [
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic5 H4 u1 a& l0 ?& b J" A
developments.
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Information note:# m6 l+ u, x6 r2 d' X
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
& A4 Q; o" S3 p. X0 M' Mof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
% t: g* X0 z6 z$ N2 {) Hpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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