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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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9 }7 N6 u! U, m; i. M. v$ K) F2 uOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight- ?- }6 `# H3 z. _% e9 N1 X( C
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
! [: u$ P/ s" f; I9 Qraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
( L5 Y* `( f: s0 joperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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' _8 S/ _7 D0 ~8 zThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with. Z7 C3 p3 s8 ]2 m, C8 C# A
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the" {$ ^+ v; X% ^0 J a
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
8 O |7 ?8 Y+ w0 c% }6 Y7 k! yin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
# ]. h, |9 N% T6 l7 iIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal& P Z& k! d% _+ M* Z
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
" k" [& i$ @* C# n4 zvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result1 g+ Z1 V: P$ }7 D. u1 l
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
4 O7 S3 E4 W. o" J# D* T, timportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
. R' m9 @' O2 u) I& ?9 F$ rspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
! |7 I( i6 B. Kprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent0 H7 n5 }% o& H
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.- B7 a: N6 Y! t9 C' ` M* I
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
Y9 m& r [3 ^8 `income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
& ^ Y. F$ Z' [$ e3 xbalanced recovery.
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9 u/ |% G* F. p& m& f. e0 N- ]CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
' ?. y; S8 C- [0 l( nthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess% u' x6 f7 y; |
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and2 D! Q- E2 f# i2 V' j* I
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
. o5 g' Y7 \1 n# g5 \1 bmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
9 m5 x$ M% W. l5 T; ysignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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, w, w# D2 M% E# `$ b( j8 r+ ~ f, k& jGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
: a% P M: R ? }stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic/ X+ n% u$ w5 |3 j4 m
developments.% v/ k0 k4 `) c4 b, }
6 j% k! N3 _6 p: S# W" k0 |3 pInformation note: G: {# Z4 g( K# `- V$ z2 p
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
+ k: P r$ t& G8 H( `4 wof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be, k6 f2 Y- T0 [1 w
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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