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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market1 O6 d/ b# o6 j5 p
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
# s v" W, o3 o' Wrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly8 Y* Z, ~/ P! x( A$ f- {2 X
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
* p( r. Y* R0 z/ L ]. D9 goperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with8 a, x" f; `3 B, m( ]0 j
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
( ~) I% ?0 k, J' i; V s! Y3 J% SUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness/ F& t& d0 N: @6 f+ n% _1 q
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.* L" Y$ s- X" s) \
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
6 ?* s. l2 x& ^" vstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the6 f; j; x8 ?( G* y0 Y$ `; d
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result7 r' k4 E$ D8 e l; ?
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an6 c; f4 G9 g7 [! T* n% k1 m
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
9 j7 e" a4 e$ U; Hspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity; t; }9 p7 f6 v8 h0 f# Z
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.$ J# q( j8 r# U2 D5 F
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
; s/ ~0 S$ S' k' ein the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
9 {+ H) e) }' m* ` A5 M5 dGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
8 e( M1 ]0 _/ T h* I5 Nincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more' V) c7 E3 d# j( q# e# M
balanced recovery.
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9 [# b: G: u- k2 S: pCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
2 e$ w! y$ b6 u* V- a+ |the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
7 E+ R7 S. `( ]supply.
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9 k3 i# e; a6 o( B- HIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and' Q _) w { J: B; K B
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ; M7 G2 _( m& p
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
# s7 G4 ~. z. B! rsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.4 O5 y& @6 z- i8 Q; I) ^) }
& ]( h) J W* RGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
x2 g8 z7 U0 {! V+ ~stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
* E6 b4 d6 g) ?5 ^- [& n( sdevelopments.
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Information note:
: E, T, e- T d# i% K, \/ VThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update e, Y0 L! ~. \# _8 g0 x
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be0 k. Q" Z4 r5 p7 m! A4 T6 n
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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