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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight$ |' z2 t/ \& r- K$ T
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly: V) a8 T, ^9 ~
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal) ^1 y9 N# D0 d- Q3 ?% d. Y' _
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
( ?( L! z. W) T% n' D. S/ Xstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
( s+ G' H& h3 {9 t0 G. qUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness4 z7 ^7 @8 r4 N. D: q4 e1 S: B' I0 N
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized./ S7 S0 H/ e7 Q( n1 Z
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal& l; m' L1 q) L
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
0 q6 \$ M$ Z% g" s+ Svariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result( r: q9 {4 G! @, F* q
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an& B @* D3 x6 T) T6 _( Q# o, m5 L
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
; C+ f# T) n( w b8 a0 P8 C7 Espillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity u e3 W: p% _, i- e; l
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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9 p- ]3 u" ^, u1 G& iActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent; B7 J6 z& F! {/ }: }/ g4 f
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed." ^9 N0 D1 i# G6 t
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with! A. G% M3 w3 f1 S! r( k9 b! ?% d
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
" M5 [) k' ?7 R3 |" _. I; |balanced recovery.# ?- D/ _- p2 h0 J. K% h% d
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects0 m+ D- f0 Q' R: {
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess) y, R8 j; \$ O& C8 {
supply.& f0 ~" ~, ^6 W& @' i
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
9 J! q* m3 @+ gto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable / d$ o1 y9 j8 F1 b. {
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
# y' B7 V) r+ d2 S9 Y: W' gsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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' B0 z6 }" W3 w* H) F, g6 QGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
! i# e# a! z J0 pstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic D$ j; Y; y* p0 C& M1 }5 @6 E$ ~
developments./ @4 X3 r. S: q6 }
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Information note:
8 ^$ ~! B1 @8 _ I. v+ QThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update/ {5 ]5 `, g" i9 D
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
k9 s5 F: R1 T4 p1 B3 U. npublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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