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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
8 A ?, K& H" L5 |( q- j. k urate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
; k' r7 W7 G. \7 _+ ]' H- Y+ ^0 vraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
7 J; y* @$ X/ R4 K" Voperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate." q& ~5 d* e m5 H/ E# e/ N
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with: y6 H0 p9 l" z! y
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
y6 }' a* L! RUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness- b% x4 O, ]- U8 N4 y3 |2 r$ u
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.8 K, f& X" {4 K4 U1 Y
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal9 E0 u: c4 \! k7 U
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the& e* H4 ^% A2 {! c& {" ?$ `1 D' X
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
0 z9 K. I/ P, k; w1 y0 \in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
! i% T4 Z$ r! \4 Ximportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
# p, c: O& l6 [4 j, u/ T: uspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity) h2 _5 C& G/ V5 Y' G( @
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent; {' `8 C3 g" Z% J
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
1 _3 F" L: ?* PGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with/ _* Y$ T/ {" l# h; c$ ~! |( M
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
% ?& Z7 Z7 Z. F9 y% L+ {- Hbalanced recovery.
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0 J* z) N# _2 |% H' r0 D8 |CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects. C" X/ k& a2 h$ z5 S
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
4 e9 E0 B" j c$ z1 D0 i/ osupply.
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8 y7 ^/ K. C8 k D6 H$ T3 ~8 m* F7 nIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
/ m; K7 q$ O% K5 T5 A2 p. n7 Kto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
. i/ I) t9 ?2 r+ w) W: t( O" xmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
0 e) q9 i- r i" X# usignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary, w! _3 T/ x3 s5 z8 j8 f- a) `
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic# u! y* Q3 Y& V5 P6 n7 U* F2 ^/ A
developments.
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7 |* I! C, F; V+ m- j* o6 SInformation note:
+ V1 l; a7 H7 ?! ?The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
# N' k. k# f" u; sof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be& D+ h5 n/ m' L$ J5 i. e" T5 r% H
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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