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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight% q0 P" P9 A& t
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly0 O: v" b/ @% W: I6 g% j
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal5 L9 b; w3 s- q! I) ^
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.2 n, {; q" `* k8 r% A; \6 U
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with) P/ I2 a! [" A Z1 T4 W
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
( l z7 J! `3 pUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness3 G( z% x6 E# B l( z
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
( |8 A& T% } H# G' JIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal0 M7 i( d5 r L! @% B5 X
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
' z) h V Q2 d1 _ p. pvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result$ c2 c5 ~! Q: f2 U! j$ p
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
* c8 y0 m5 ^; G$ G5 Himportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
8 H3 d& [, M8 Zspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity5 j1 r T: }, V
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent# W) m7 {! A* Z) ]- s* w9 n
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
* _# O( D+ q) B5 w" k" `' g" aGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
/ [+ f1 U; e# uincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
' y9 D& Q& O) ?+ g6 y& w& ubalanced recovery.! i. I2 u Z, F6 F% N8 A
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
2 F3 B! v3 h4 w& Z7 B9 {& U7 x5 ~* Fthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess7 o5 a) W0 B) c; _
supply.
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5 h9 `( ?. c3 a6 R4 bIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
8 y# A# _' |* Q2 D& j! _to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable % P2 A( n; x) D1 t/ s6 u
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
6 K U2 f% A4 W3 j! U+ Y" Fsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary& f- @8 [! O! Q: Q9 j- z
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
6 e- r5 o- d" g% e/ D8 F' Qdevelopments.% t4 P) K( [$ f1 I
" t% Z; |% z) B2 C( L( b8 |; t0 v# \Information note:5 u6 ?8 ]( V4 N4 m
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update! i, m3 V0 R4 x7 P9 Q" z
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
8 }4 k- O1 W- b% g, o- [; Jpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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