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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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0 y% Q. n6 Z+ d" f! bOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
) |9 w- g$ Z% O! a; @4 C; F6 ?rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly8 c$ l* I2 U+ y% N Z
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal/ }+ m$ u, G4 o$ ^9 L0 ^
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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' y, [+ ]7 d( ^" `The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with; I" u& \) S; U/ k/ S* d
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
% Q! ?+ y, Y% M @" @' ?, ZUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
1 @0 h) @) _- S. u9 win Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.1 \2 S$ N" u3 ?* y0 x9 l( O0 w) Q
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal! K d. l+ F# J' |7 [& y( g5 S
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the/ z" j; p0 E% y* c! X
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result1 i* n# ^$ a. K0 n- ^
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an% j, i7 Y- D$ y3 }# n3 i6 n6 C
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
( N4 [2 _. d) R; h( T& Pspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
2 }* P# j4 B. P8 Y# X. uprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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+ c" @+ K& l8 L3 n! f# ^Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent4 |3 N/ {4 [3 E% ^9 @
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.# ?$ ?% e3 K& }& u2 i
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
' q3 R# a2 }7 v4 k1 f1 Kincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more0 F$ C5 a$ m1 q/ f: [# C& p
balanced recovery.( U& m% Q9 F1 F
8 N6 {) ]4 V: RCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects. J- c1 T+ W. d& ? o
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
2 M- w" Y! U$ E7 `3 Rsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and3 a8 q. G5 p- c$ H5 E
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ( ]8 d; l& R" E' R" @- t- n1 J, L
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
( Y. U9 g( w8 `significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.4 k1 Z& l" E* ^. d
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary% D% a* f/ b. F
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic) u2 m7 D. R8 `2 e4 O/ n
developments.
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Information note: D! W8 ^ v8 u8 m1 E( O
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update; x6 v) K+ N/ r
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
! O- W3 `5 H5 \8 U1 f+ I$ ipublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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