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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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1 B8 Q6 ^- z& i: R5 ?5 s) v( MOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight( J5 z, Y; M1 b7 t
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
, V# L2 r- G' z" d+ Wraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal# L* u/ w' a& X, H/ p* d% e
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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! E$ t. r: W/ k) L7 h4 _' nThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with" F; J) ]$ W+ m
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
. D# n" ^9 Y. G, f7 PUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness! r9 L# I6 c7 W, _, r3 {
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
6 l* C% ^" T$ x6 Y1 u ]In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
& B1 M( a0 ?6 l4 k, Dstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the( E: f/ J9 X1 q6 G$ p9 C( Q. P, ]9 w
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result; d7 K3 Y0 R. _5 X
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an& Q; u% t* r6 j% N
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the1 g) |' `( P8 R Q: k
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity# B/ N1 {$ n( H
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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. e2 e$ w6 U* |, `7 I& \9 BActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent/ s1 Q0 u3 `8 f: c: @( Y+ v- m
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed./ B8 K1 T! k8 ?" F4 q4 k6 ~
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
& Y' w; E4 ~6 Kincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more4 T, [2 L8 K) s
balanced recovery.
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6 U/ m L9 |5 J. n, `3 {CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects* z- f$ [7 {4 Q( _+ g9 ~
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
! s) z* D) U z0 ?5 e9 Jsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and( ^: K/ {. m6 T- u9 p) X. g
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 4 g; {( n- k1 v" N: _* ^- c
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
, h5 |# U8 v* b; K" xsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary2 s* g6 b+ o4 X- _8 K' o
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic9 x$ h ?3 M2 o" a) O! g
developments.; {2 A9 \8 K; @, s
) f1 g5 Z; \# M2 k$ P2 H! KInformation note:
+ J6 Z* b# B1 a/ m/ WThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
' N n) L) j/ T6 R: Aof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
3 V ?! z6 j& f6 jpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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