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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market$ N- ]6 T9 q* Y* j
) l- w( }$ K1 jOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
8 A" a( @- k: d2 O( Hrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly# R9 |% \" r2 N ]
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
2 ^* D$ s" n& v9 Q+ k1 o! |operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
2 f8 |' P0 c1 u, S, c
% s! ^# s' Z% WThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
/ E+ X$ K( s5 j, lstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the- b8 U$ v# k& D4 P8 h
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
! H7 ~( q8 ]0 l; h$ L$ O2 qin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
/ z) m9 v7 ?4 H& P4 z/ V% WIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal2 _+ M. U' [2 E- B
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
5 u; A9 r# }- d7 W, _variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
. T/ F- U; ]0 U/ g% s2 y% ein higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
: l: h0 X; z6 s/ l5 U3 ]2 \' k0 o' Iimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
, I0 l6 D- Z: dspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity0 ]% A* i3 v' l1 P& E
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.: c8 H4 w1 c6 d
! Q2 l8 ^* ~/ a9 KActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent+ d+ m: F$ f( f1 o. `
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
0 R) x7 _4 G3 A2 V& Q- a3 I( f( pGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with# \4 p8 d f' \2 }( O
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more4 ]: @' A% v% J# x9 k2 T
balanced recovery./ v) t) w* O% \9 V
1 h: s. c: P3 T0 l# _6 r6 ACPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects! O" O+ p2 a' J0 `! ^7 V/ q% n
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
8 k! v" Y: M1 c+ v4 r( Y/ k$ Csupply.& Q2 f6 \ n4 [$ n2 J$ ?) W
1 Z# o1 ` J$ g' {. g3 }* ]" \! A, _2 d
In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
1 r1 w8 @7 Q O% i4 Z+ Yto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
$ N: x' T+ w7 K" u: Ymonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
( @$ m j* R+ w) Usignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
+ a- Q( r, X- ?0 d! l& O
- l! k6 T6 _+ j, A* mGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary) Q9 V4 T+ b* @" a: B- W
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
; F+ N" k$ P# d/ C# sdevelopments.
. H( I! M5 w' m* V/ ~" t7 B% l- a4 U& A3 W4 U! O0 G6 o, h+ Y& d
Information note:$ e# d" @& K4 M& z, l$ s1 y' u" ^' [
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
$ U& m0 h: C3 x6 Nof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be) H- X" \& J9 B- t. o
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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