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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market: y; C) [6 |8 p% K/ d
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
/ v& o9 ~' P6 L' y3 Jrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
3 y) U7 v; L' B+ U5 [8 Y+ x" f7 Xraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal! e7 P; B: F3 E* I: {0 [7 D) @
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with, \, J z8 Y/ |8 D+ _
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
. S/ h! R4 u% ]9 KUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness, w/ C& W0 o4 v: {: t" K% B* T
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
% ~& ^1 Z) S. ^In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal: t1 w! S. A: B% b( ^
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the0 z, @+ }8 ]! F: a
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result/ ~ H/ e: B4 }1 M) \4 s8 Q
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an3 I9 x5 {3 N7 h8 W- r8 e# E
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the5 q: i7 y, ~. Y' Y# Y9 Z
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
, R' \/ u' ?7 a5 D8 Zprices and some tightening of financial conditions.+ ^+ M% t; j8 ^ f7 A7 S/ @
- |( l/ _' K8 TActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent/ r6 Z2 r) S% t v+ M$ Q- C- M* i
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
; m7 [9 b- P( r8 h/ r D; F0 x% wGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
: h5 j% g1 y5 H: q' |income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more" G5 V, B* T' g$ ~, o. o
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
& {. k c/ I2 V( J: P, h6 U3 s. gthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
5 U" D, N- R+ t5 m1 `4 P; usupply.
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" g; ]0 e" k; z' x5 O2 s6 y5 C" _In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and. K" B& {6 V/ s8 c
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
' c3 t, D9 H! }7 h6 ymonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the : I* b0 N6 A/ U+ Q: U6 P$ F
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.' e" L0 @& F9 ^' Q" T2 G- x
' Y% R1 S) f5 h7 S" rGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary6 n% H- v6 g. ?7 o m/ s) P: e
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic: H$ J, z; I8 v! X. w3 r
developments.
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Information note:* z& \* e+ L$ q) ?, G
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
8 }( `/ `: G. r# A/ w$ z2 }; u, ~+ mof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
) R- k8 C2 M+ c+ Cpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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