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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market0 `; e, r' o2 h5 F
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
+ f7 s7 q0 t; L7 Jrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly% ~ Y& }/ J! i
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
+ V. |, l& E A# U3 x( Boperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.! ?3 d4 u q6 I0 B, ] \
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
7 {' l' m, F* P/ j; u2 @) s0 C0 Mstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the/ A z* Z9 }4 [
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
) ~- c l' g; Win Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
% E% x" Y) { p U- N- C( DIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal3 A" Q# E1 D7 |; Q' X0 P
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the) [9 _- X$ ^( B- O
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
, c% v& o# T* L' q' Iin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an/ Q* ^4 _6 ^. ], j9 _1 t d; A: A
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
$ T$ e& ]4 B9 e9 e9 G) cspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
6 E2 O8 U% P; h% e2 nprices and some tightening of financial conditions., I) n8 N0 {' x- A/ Y2 ?: w
; y) d8 v, l4 V' q" B& xActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
* y- x9 u7 a# b/ N5 T9 ?0 @3 Tin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.5 s- L# @. g# x
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with& }% c5 H/ \& C" `
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
: i7 g* a1 [, w7 t* N! R/ S4 ~balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects8 h* \3 {. U) a4 Y# ?
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess. h5 |. {; X# i4 \1 X5 @$ X
supply.0 \* B0 b. g8 k- f9 n! N( j2 P
) N" o9 q3 n! R1 |) p( I4 ?In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and l- U+ {( M7 {4 f
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable + ~. l% W. D: c" r; o% q& o
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the . s3 k" z M' P# g+ t( c% U
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary' C; ?& X5 a/ k- ^* |$ Y
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic$ s+ i8 E) ?% F* |9 ?$ J+ \) ~% j
developments. {+ Y/ _/ |4 P0 M+ U
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Information note:( `& k1 t" f5 u7 w7 J1 c
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
1 m8 L* D+ \" B- |of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
3 O R0 t" [6 Y' {! d0 c8 Kpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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