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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market; ~: E R) ^) A
! J9 v9 m) @3 k9 f( D0 UOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
- ~4 J- Q5 R. }1 D0 T4 V0 ^rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
- @; F+ o7 D+ {+ E6 Q4 Draised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
! Y2 g1 R1 N" \# V9 j$ Moperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
) @( h% R! D$ c, E2 @% s- B. V$ [7 _3 p7 Z( b9 h: o/ e
The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
7 V( t3 Z1 I/ L& f7 `- a* mstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the# q0 f* X! o6 u$ y, |( c) Z9 A
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
+ P. i8 B8 O; P2 iin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.; j; W0 F7 `$ `/ V
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
5 r; l7 k8 A# z; V. p. jstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the- s3 O. b* d7 p+ l/ K: ]' p$ b
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
6 o& p V- ?3 l+ Jin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
, D/ O3 F1 ~2 e0 i& j S, ~# ^6 Aimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
5 s, B( _3 K& yspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
* r8 z7 z/ V9 v; B3 x5 A3 d- r' zprices and some tightening of financial conditions.4 a$ l: B8 |8 I8 E! z
6 S. B% e2 M- R lActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
5 d+ z! m* Z: ?in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.3 r4 _( u" `8 O m
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
9 E% R6 r" t3 w; t6 \1 Yincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
5 l+ {0 H1 G4 y" O& p3 lbalanced recovery.8 C) R: E* ^7 d2 D7 k9 n2 K
( v: s- X6 J" B% L! @# o- _CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects5 r$ |: R3 }5 t7 e" \! l
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess- X! f1 }* M" m+ g" g: Y
supply.6 g$ K% S/ `2 k; Z( V
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and. Y7 x2 x. z" W& }4 `
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
) O/ M7 \2 F$ X6 l- W3 C. F" ^1 Pmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
" N. F `& _3 d: Fsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery./ `, ~6 P p$ C2 f
* W8 C3 j7 i2 s, n* uGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary5 f% h% P! l# ^. a& R
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic2 M- e1 l- r, S8 {' l8 d- D) d3 s
developments.9 f! |; k! @8 J" C5 e5 ]! `
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Information note:
$ m# d3 g& _. H9 a! k0 ]: x$ G$ ?The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update4 F6 {/ O# H* E
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be! e2 Q( t9 t/ a* {" e5 A" `
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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