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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight7 p3 V9 o5 i% w, E) U% ~) B2 X
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
; V5 n% u( t0 k( sraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal: E: O* D) Q5 W8 v6 p# g& `# [- W% j
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.2 A" ^. ?. v# d1 W7 c, B0 K
' a* ~- [. y, ]$ mThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with2 u* j( N) u. v8 [2 x0 U
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
) W3 B" ^# {4 U L2 h; P' ?United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness8 `! R9 E# W: o- }& T. n* q; q7 T; ]
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
2 y. c- S+ g, T4 gIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal7 p& P6 {! d U/ |$ {
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
0 j* ^- v7 o& r; avariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
( s+ ^7 o8 U7 {0 \0 D5 s! H, C) H6 nin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an! v7 q1 Y1 c" V. d/ o
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the2 T. D. K4 s3 G
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
$ s$ C3 N/ c" g- Uprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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6 l4 L: v2 F0 S0 C/ R+ R6 BActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
& [4 l R7 E8 W" Tin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
( t) K! F! i5 @+ dGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
" f$ s" O' Q) f+ y3 u0 Z; \' Dincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
2 B+ l" l. _& B6 a5 ?- Nbalanced recovery.1 m9 ^- I. U5 Z' m7 I; \+ a
# I8 @# X* \$ I4 W/ yCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
) [: i! i% y) i" ?3 ythe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess8 N! h8 b$ S/ z
supply.! _3 F, h" U0 Z
/ E: ~2 _8 h2 d: f: x( lIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
8 U! \. z7 B7 a7 @" G dto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 3 K% r3 ~. z# ~& k8 b {" U; M
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the , B3 |( `7 `1 e$ c) c G: @
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.8 }- Z8 S& O. A2 t/ X# @* L$ e
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary, {& o0 ~% w( h6 |! V; [
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
. p) v2 b$ g7 r; A' w& T* cdevelopments.
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Information note:; D3 y2 F" D- `: t0 H* i
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
3 Q$ U5 ~( F! r$ k6 v. `9 r% S% ~$ |of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be, |0 I' B& `1 H5 h: Q
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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