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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market0 H- w0 x9 o7 B' z* u* f; Z
- r! r9 L! c4 A$ b4 Y- U) LOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight# ~2 ]6 w- r" r5 g! P
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly; t* \, f; P' ]( M2 G) t
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal! I% m; n1 t- D4 ]
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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. u: I4 L8 l1 j" n, F3 v! DThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
- }; \9 Z e# i/ e. K! N' Pstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
9 ~/ Z/ Q/ E+ zUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
7 x; T* b0 u4 I9 h. n7 u' T+ qin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.2 J& X5 W3 B! y. e* L' M) Y4 d
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal! S) S: W1 {" }
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
% ?8 o1 ~, Y7 gvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result6 V: A0 E' w r
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
* L _/ p' y- b" G M" jimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the: v& k* m3 F- B! a# Q V
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity. W' R9 @: @& N( p z5 q$ A* s
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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8 U. n0 Q4 K! ^- L4 m& rActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
" l8 S e* |. b: O8 lin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
# E# V: D# }1 `. x2 DGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
# \, n5 Q# O* K/ Mincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
4 J& e+ N8 L! A8 ]3 K7 I' Z7 Fbalanced recovery.7 X( {) l5 s# _5 J" L D0 V+ z x
* _0 U/ ]. L% u4 X LCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects0 r. F, a6 [( U* Y
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
; T/ q$ y' O$ w" o Wsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and1 K. E' S7 u& J4 S7 R! i
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 5 S+ v Y. J1 |
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
* f( E+ A: W( b, m( V7 lsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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$ i3 g, t: ?% E- H* x/ bGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary+ ~% \+ H# B. n2 O: Q0 b
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
2 l, b# Z1 @* ~; m7 O' X2 x# Bdevelopments.
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1 W2 T; ?; d) Q- F4 cInformation note:
3 J/ N) B/ N4 d jThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update/ h5 m9 w9 l% h' a. N$ w& K
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
n4 j3 }' K( u M/ W+ Hpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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