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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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4 w2 s* l/ D8 M. x% q+ EOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
6 g8 j6 \3 S; Y/ x7 @7 Z T) mrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly) w, E; L0 c( r! H* T" R' t' N$ V
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
: y. r; ?* C6 r$ Soperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.4 ^! q( H! \) o- a
. B& J$ l. s O+ t4 vThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with# z A( @5 u% ?; D
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the5 B& Q6 n% z7 c( s( b
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness+ w% K8 `+ E9 K9 U s3 s1 ]
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized., T' W0 K* ^4 q3 F+ C* V
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal& m- T) a4 |; t) K. N4 ]1 _0 ^
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
3 e8 T$ _# H0 L9 {* n7 Avariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
& M4 k" ]& [- `& K7 b; U6 vin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an% a& I$ |5 H3 Q# {5 o
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the/ @# Z' M, e1 s
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
& y& p8 v7 _! U1 r$ H: f2 O; s- Nprices and some tightening of financial conditions.9 s" D4 l9 }1 ]
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
, K7 I" x/ z, R9 L! S, {& A0 Hin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.6 U! ~8 J4 ^! w1 Z" F$ P! B0 v
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
0 @9 c2 \) m" ?9 i; \# aincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
! n( G+ C# u. l4 }balanced recovery.; J) O+ B9 ?- q2 `
8 a8 b( e7 k4 j4 U1 w% J7 s% q) C! }CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
: Z2 \# Z, P X0 [the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
5 M2 [& a8 g' L+ ]; m7 Esupply.) h/ [ W5 k# e s4 W" I
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and/ u3 ?: V/ H A
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable - @8 M: G$ c0 S7 q0 s; g8 B4 {
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
0 O; ?+ e! ]4 Esignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.6 L8 f2 b( D8 A1 A, l& y! z
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
& d' C4 v* T9 r% M# y6 O7 B& ^stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
3 m" |/ C; D+ `6 V- wdevelopments.# P) p& x& y6 F8 ?5 z" s8 |1 m' q
6 W+ w% i. Y- z) `" b( u# l+ {Information note:
1 g' { \( }6 e0 x' @: P2 lThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update+ W) q- E* Z# ^' K+ x1 |; r
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be9 \8 ]. |, I) {" U- \" f: Y
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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