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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market3 F" v& m6 A, U$ @; t
. `9 P8 u9 C& POTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight% P% _8 y0 R2 | T p* J1 |
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
# U+ r& ?$ P7 b* x6 W J craised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
4 A+ ]# R0 ~: @3 _4 toperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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% P0 m. J7 {) a9 \( z; {The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
6 c! [% n1 b* s- \ k& [strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the0 K5 E4 ^+ p- O# t: v2 a9 {" N- F4 d
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness: `% ~5 [1 n' ?6 t; R5 O
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.. Q/ F% I2 {3 |2 n
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
, ~& I0 C8 P1 L: [7 pstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
; `3 C0 E0 J, W, jvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
# Q$ Y1 Y* k7 J! t& Q7 Bin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an" a" p; u8 N& G6 S( v- N9 ?
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the, f0 U6 o3 k5 |$ L1 h+ _
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity* H* \$ ?- m* x6 D( E
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.8 R7 j9 s* g" P* j4 o( V; Y* F0 E
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent. K5 S( G/ T3 }! j
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
0 {% N/ m: q0 g+ `/ [ C' OGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with* G P" v9 {6 ^5 D( i
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more/ V' @. g0 g& V( o6 t
balanced recovery.$ i1 ]' E' W# Z9 |+ v) y0 ?
6 g" Q: E4 L. f0 ^( f, K$ e, NCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
2 [. x( ], w7 o% z% K! athe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess0 M/ y9 z; o6 m+ P# ~
supply.6 X7 K& P) r. m3 W; b# K6 c7 W5 a$ ^
8 ]+ p1 G2 G8 V& l, U4 L8 S9 DIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
* \% O+ |2 \* h/ t4 [/ Oto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
- \6 r- e R5 z4 j. ]* E" R: |' \monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ' o4 V% U& M5 m2 }; I1 | ~
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.- v, q0 o" C; d1 ~# h( k2 J
e3 k4 i: n9 g
Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
% @8 Q' c7 n" U9 g, B) t& }+ Istimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic: |* v3 }" w! H) n3 g b0 T
developments.# Z1 @ A7 n: l
! ^; A# x) d6 OInformation note:
5 j8 i) N' ~2 C! m& b/ y U( S, `The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update4 H. c* R0 r- x- l, S2 n3 ~1 ^7 O, Q/ h
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
* y& Z7 h |" `7 @0 `" _published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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