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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market% b/ U' }7 z5 w: o2 m
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
6 {; i, a1 H% `, Yrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
8 F. _6 y* c. X# H$ ~8 Praised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal3 U' @' l6 E3 @2 I% N
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.1 v) s* V* o9 @2 ]1 V z/ W& ]
( d# j- O8 g6 T, \# R1 V$ T! ]The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
$ ~- R O3 M6 q/ j8 j, Jstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the, }* }* H5 ~3 M0 S& }
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness+ d1 y. X5 l' P* b6 Z2 f3 ?
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
: m+ v( J/ d" n% g3 GIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal3 c1 R6 [- Q: t% _& x
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the3 n( c! S3 V0 N8 {9 |# Q
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
! B- Y+ ^6 `1 W% G' Din higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an0 H. M4 Q8 c0 \3 T1 |& m" I4 {, {
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the6 i$ y; m. r" S# b/ m# G7 ]
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
- H; ^0 D; d9 G' Lprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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5 l9 N# @0 F6 M6 W" Q% C6 N( O' C- SActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
6 R2 C6 p+ o0 ?% Gin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
8 C! T! G5 W, t% @4 V& _- yGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
; j2 Q) ]2 \/ Z! B" Q5 j8 mincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more3 s. l' `. ?! S& d. i' H6 {
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
6 A! ^' O; U. b, {/ Uthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
1 c# S% a1 O( F) q- r$ Usupply.
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' w7 I) p5 d& x6 L+ |( e# hIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and5 L" f0 [* i+ W" E' p T8 b7 N
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
: {6 u: O6 V4 N) }8 O" }7 vmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
z/ {1 S0 ~# A1 p1 ksignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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& g+ t. u+ ~5 F0 d, a# dGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary4 @3 r# h/ Q" Z* x, F
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic A& J3 u) {9 a, A3 k( I4 O
developments.0 m- k& Z' L; v6 E
/ W; D/ n; U/ ]4 W6 C0 h1 rInformation note:
1 o( g$ B+ v( n! i8 G: uThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
0 ]4 p6 j$ L% y" b* }of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be* \6 D- \. C" s
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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