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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight( B! K4 a1 Y7 T# l% e
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly$ {, D: ?* o* n H
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal& L+ O3 Q7 I) r G+ H
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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g3 C+ p' f8 R- p- qThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with& V0 Z( m( J( n
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
7 X% z! R2 H9 R+ v( o; [United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
2 v7 N1 v) ]4 L8 ?$ ]- K! }8 ` `in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized." B6 n# \8 Y- Q* V' i
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
: V& F8 J5 d Estimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the3 d0 U7 Q/ o" |' M
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result# b1 W' K$ p- \' h m" w, R' k
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an \7 t. H3 Z& i9 t: a
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
: s+ Q2 T: P; j6 C0 p9 y4 ^9 |spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity; V" M5 E4 c& n8 s# H& R9 q
prices and some tightening of financial conditions." _: e! e4 h2 i* x
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
_4 [% _% \0 g1 C8 ?1 t9 V5 l) Nin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.1 w; I4 z8 `& I) t a4 A; z
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
7 ] O) N% R' o. {income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
0 H" i* |# w I% b: t2 G" S1 Mbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
, T3 a6 n; Y# ~. N% x gthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
6 x( X: L- q9 x. P) C* lsupply.
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8 k- n8 |3 |% S) `$ ~/ }; t2 fIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
* m9 j. f7 f1 j8 v9 Nto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
: m$ J$ S% I- A& t8 v7 Omonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
; O, m e4 L' x1 p) E& w! R3 v# w5 ^significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.# j, Y9 b9 V" Z) s h
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary% M+ v# u8 R$ _, x% O( Y
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
+ m3 D& V h' J% z& P! L4 {developments.
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Information note:/ I) q' l5 n9 d p0 M7 q
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update" @1 t/ O! D1 K: `7 z( M
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be3 L6 N+ I* g0 g. u/ B* i+ r2 s
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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