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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market5 N4 A) f3 A0 i' n) y2 Z5 o
+ G7 g s4 `' f# k8 N; j. Y4 WOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
- m6 g* u- u2 s( \" @$ yrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly9 P7 ?3 E* V$ a2 @. v
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal/ |: G8 ?3 X7 s3 N k- ^
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.! B5 z8 o6 ~0 a5 f" k
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with7 x5 \* [6 { x3 i5 X) w
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
6 p0 Z& @. g. V! c5 `United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
2 ^ Z0 W9 S+ |) ?: Cin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
# O9 k" N# f2 eIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal: R0 n4 e) X7 F8 k/ j k3 [) J
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the1 t0 i8 R. c) a% S: f( ^8 Y
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result0 o1 K, E5 y8 Y5 S
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an W3 |( ~" E0 ]8 r) Z: j
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
F1 b! t1 p& m P( B( D7 o; Mspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity. X( H5 t2 o! j6 T1 b6 F: _
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.) Q4 R+ e$ _% ~# j3 w% M! T
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
7 w6 g" I, }- B ein the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.8 n" X4 Q4 S, h) s. l( N- l; V
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
8 H) k) d0 M+ ^% uincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more- H/ R P, H; r
balanced recovery.$ J& `( |2 b o
+ o- D% l9 u) b7 ~; P% i( HCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
, I' l( R- m* m# u# A- Ethe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess& Z! T* y6 [8 t1 L
supply.' `! @4 N' w! N8 S! \# A& x
( v& l- Y- U9 z5 I& _1 CIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and w1 w9 N0 i( w8 ?- N
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 1 t8 V6 c! d( R9 y4 O
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
+ a* A! j. g- n/ _8 Msignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery., d& A% E. ^7 B4 W- Y5 \# i
2 c" x0 O- w, L) i" b1 pGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
) @: Y( V6 S. V- x q7 Lstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic3 o1 f) a% y# c
developments./ s! W s0 F- x
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Information note:
2 J7 x1 a$ l9 a, M4 x# ^% GThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update0 R5 l9 ?+ P/ F+ u0 C+ @
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
! D$ a* s! P2 O2 J/ Fpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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