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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market* v: ~2 }8 w" V* k
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight1 e7 a. L7 L+ b
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
. s6 q- |1 j6 iraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal3 [% T* t( @# s) z; u6 |* J& P
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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! E8 y |) z# ^, o; p, a% AThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with0 i; C6 s* A8 L1 E8 I
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the1 H0 ]% M& Q: A& b {* Z
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
k/ Z' z, ^/ Jin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
( l) W7 Y+ q; h1 S! U3 ~In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
+ R1 p, ~: P! gstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the* p# A+ _6 Y7 v/ a* _
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
! e: |: t. |0 s9 iin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
L; M+ s8 Q' Rimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
# q2 J) W" v8 l: m) a0 B; Wspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
( J5 f1 R& x* u; Lprices and some tightening of financial conditions.1 w% M; m# c' }/ X0 o
( L! Y- b, O& z ~2 p( f b5 TActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent8 `& f5 s! W9 r2 _+ _) I. V
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
' A7 l% ?! q+ @& J+ UGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
! n& C, u. a, B0 O5 U& Dincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
. t# R/ _: i' z9 F) Ibalanced recovery.
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& l$ d8 C* Y- _* I. I9 C2 hCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
0 P2 @; ^3 Z; }# d9 n" o6 i% Kthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess; g& ?$ |1 j& p& G) V I) ?8 g. L
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and, W9 y+ V! R: l: B1 W9 N
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
+ \0 G8 d6 D- _( m' K/ Wmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
. \. g4 \2 g* }significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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+ z' b# {) P+ P5 ~Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
a6 P) p& H+ A# ?8 |* Cstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic1 p0 ~5 d/ G4 y: V
developments.0 z& [1 u n' G; q2 ^0 S; y1 K
3 c7 L* a3 O4 i0 DInformation note:1 b5 Y% n' G. B3 B
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
1 P& g# S' K$ _! x1 P& nof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
* E q6 k* h9 z/ N. @published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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