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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market) @- U9 l m# j3 U6 W) F- S! V
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight6 X6 f4 b! `$ W% x
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly u( M* ^) @2 P2 g& x8 Z
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
" D! e! ~/ Y$ F0 f1 goperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with! L0 ^1 \2 b" |6 d3 H# P
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the# n0 G- y7 M$ Z+ H, @7 }, N! I9 u
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
' u8 C# X4 o! `% ?& oin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
; U: p* B1 ~5 JIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal# m5 V |( ]) ]7 b. p3 W2 r
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the' F4 n& ^3 I5 ?- t$ ?) Y
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result. B+ q v( X* Y$ g; n
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
/ b% b& N2 m2 m& ]6 n1 q8 qimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
) V. Q% @# k1 Pspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
; \/ T/ Z6 K3 P2 y! ^! n, _prices and some tightening of financial conditions.7 R; h+ o( d" ~/ N, J
3 S* J$ s/ d% w. E! h8 U! E( g6 pActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent0 B( ^( H8 D" O+ [) O: Q/ N6 E0 Z# u( p
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.# U) @# C Y/ ~, ~. b# d9 Z
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with8 N% Q& C) T, z( |, K$ ?/ g
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more+ a: h ~8 A$ t( }- ]* W& l
balanced recovery.8 H x$ P" ^( o% J* b6 w
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects. F4 U8 _9 a: o2 ^! E
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
7 g, D) ]6 N& q2 usupply.1 n" F6 p) f. m5 Q3 @9 d, ?0 v' x
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
8 y2 B# q0 G$ d: ^9 x- q( ito re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable + O9 h" h) k4 O+ d& K% p
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
& h0 n' J) H) S: c' Csignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.$ U. t) L$ ~% B5 c0 E3 z
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
# u) p5 M' G- ~- T0 W% Ostimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
3 Z' M! q3 ]/ G" ^developments.
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2 u( o- U2 |2 MInformation note:
# t' {0 y- u |' A7 |The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update7 R1 Y' r7 E& x2 n2 O5 c
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be* W* A4 c1 t* s
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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