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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market% Q7 A8 H. Y+ i! p& {5 r! x
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight- s" u4 b- Y# h+ i2 b3 C
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly. r# b- ]- w2 W1 U M
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal5 G9 `3 N2 E& S& k
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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: ^6 d1 z5 V8 Q1 t; n7 h& xThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
]. K8 l! d/ ^0 j+ r' L/ I( K8 Tstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
9 j1 A7 I6 Q9 `2 ~ H# PUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness+ I" E* H% m! S, z/ g3 H
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
+ b3 O# j% c: W1 Z8 |# G+ [In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
0 S3 M& F& ~) y. M ~stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the$ J1 S1 y6 Y+ o% x
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result" O3 A; y6 G0 d
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
) m% \: J/ C8 E; Bimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the, b; r$ B! P* {9 z: v% C
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity7 R. y; Y y4 S* a5 e4 m
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.0 ^) H: P- M' \! ?* o
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent3 `6 a) q5 v8 X9 C& I
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
! T+ J8 F0 ?3 X& k. vGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
4 w y/ a7 J6 u' [income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more) d9 t! [6 c# f& Y* |# }$ j
balanced recovery.
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( Z" D% B6 k) i+ A5 T$ ^: T1 HCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
& T+ y$ A: Q `: F8 `; x; Dthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
: _$ s8 T. d) M, x/ j2 msupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and: u+ j7 t' k) `/ L
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
5 \% A8 {: I! F9 X, A& K5 ]1 ^3 Emonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
, T# d7 Z. @7 j; Asignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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7 T8 C3 W" N) b7 u3 f' [: d) AGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
8 w" W, A& K' @% {$ x# M" Lstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
7 G% k: V: C% R$ z, `developments.( T i% I) d* [' i( r% p" s
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Information note:
8 \* m! A& j. f2 q7 h5 j# Y$ f6 BThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update! r; \4 G& T* A
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
5 b4 `) J' X* Wpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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