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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight( a) C7 `- y/ e, E' w/ [! h
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
& U& m, t3 y) T3 ^2 }- Zraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal+ B; s2 w6 N+ V+ z: O
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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; G& G8 _6 ^/ y3 M# n) O" bThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with1 S r9 a: L$ R1 r5 I8 x5 t: G
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the- f8 w% p1 T1 U- c2 w0 ~
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness3 {3 e1 H ~! m3 y0 E8 O3 [4 |1 ^
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.* P& [3 r( g& m) P
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal) u9 p3 W' |. }, Y4 t5 b
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the5 s$ |( c6 _3 A7 L8 j8 Y! }
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result& J' d$ Z) x" ^! w/ ]# H3 y
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
/ ~9 P. X0 A/ a# {3 h% o" gimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the; C$ @; ?* S3 x2 v% X1 U G
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity9 p$ r7 t1 C3 ]" ~6 r$ S
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.. G) @+ g8 K& d3 [ m& @
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
/ s: j, D+ k1 u+ E. `- {in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
9 A7 o" q: b2 R+ o& AGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with( r5 e; n6 |% o! i
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
2 K# I- u6 K8 T7 b, abalanced recovery.( C) s v8 p" k3 E' {
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
2 V3 A+ T0 W1 ~+ u z8 B9 B6 P! Lthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
5 |4 ^# k1 ?$ h M* Ssupply.+ D9 d& R. {7 K1 `4 |
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
5 m* W# O# O- \6 d! X+ ?to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
0 n+ B! I( _$ L& B2 l+ Lmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
9 a8 ?2 B; h8 Vsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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8 [! p$ x( V+ s+ h* W, tGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
, U8 w5 \8 f& F0 |1 f" Zstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
- ?) y5 S$ h# Q. f4 y6 R, Wdevelopments.
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2 s5 Q! G& Z/ Z9 K3 jInformation note:$ X: Y& V5 Y: N( v( T2 p" z
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
' [# w7 ~5 V5 l; L5 y, Kof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
+ p' O* ^0 i8 f7 m8 Lpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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