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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market* `3 D4 g, d6 a+ E8 P
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight: `3 y+ R9 p8 @7 [0 T( c
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly, _6 k( O j1 b* f* _
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal* `( O% T* ^9 Z: ^2 C# S( k& u
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate." y6 Z: {5 [0 T# Z* B0 R
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with3 i! P2 K5 T/ t+ g z
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
9 K0 e& U- d; o' Q! L: {! ^United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness& [0 i% ?9 C1 i# k9 w
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.0 W% d Q& A" q
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
* Y* P5 z' f4 ]. Q: _1 q' `stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the& \, u% H5 o+ g4 X
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
" T3 B( o# L1 V1 `' K; H- gin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an. Y, K6 Y+ b2 p/ g+ _, ~
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
* N2 a, U& X5 M0 J$ Cspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
5 W8 Z3 G' P4 C9 p( Kprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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9 n& z. n) q" S( p% S; p1 ^8 ?- T2 RActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent v& q: E4 z. F7 ^; x% J K
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.6 ?# Z2 k; p2 Y# T4 k5 j( v8 C
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with( [9 Z. h6 W) ]4 I7 ^6 k9 k/ K7 m
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
: ~6 G9 @* v' i5 i8 ?2 bbalanced recovery.5 T) b$ c4 u/ q- R. H
/ m x) E" a" G) `. D0 C" eCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
& \# M2 }0 X2 Z% E2 w) ?! [+ ^the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
& |$ b2 ?0 t/ Z1 |) x7 csupply." j# \+ [' ^* l3 x
8 W# h3 d# y0 EIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
& @1 A/ c& J7 U2 T: Gto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable " W+ f- \/ Z# |, M4 N5 B+ A; O$ J
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 7 [* H$ ?1 V0 Q% y4 O
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.; _7 a+ r% ^, J- h" @7 y
. Q6 |: N. {: pGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary) A: q$ Z/ R& E& J+ {5 T
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
7 p2 g9 [. u' C* ]developments.
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Information note:
0 x; ^6 H8 D6 l9 e( [$ ?The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
y3 |8 E1 L7 ?. cof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
# U: X1 G& E( [; Dpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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