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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market, c; m) f1 e% p- L, F& M
1 `3 C4 N" l0 n [" `5 OOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight O/ E# A* U# c6 S
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly2 k% i6 q y( d) j( y/ u7 S
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
# a) a) s- e ?% j+ Qoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
% ^8 R7 T8 g8 {6 Estrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
8 L& l/ b# q4 m. d3 G7 u4 x* wUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
) c, i! p; m, J+ B! N# Q' Iin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
) N8 C* ^( ]8 N( |In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal. y+ [' ]) t8 u' s/ [( Q! I1 V% O4 F
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
8 h3 Y8 `9 Q9 _+ I- z+ }: T! uvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result2 G# E0 Q' m. ~4 @! q
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
6 d! m" U. J5 K* ^ vimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the, ?8 c1 d) u/ J# Y: r2 }
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
: o8 E% a3 w1 h% ~prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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% d4 D' O& P1 I4 s+ ^Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent% b. r v' x7 W: `5 [' N
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.- I& J, ?! D- U4 X$ m
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
8 Z9 j, ?- a" H/ Oincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more w2 i3 I2 z, U' [, S
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
1 D3 `% x! r" ithe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
7 j8 y- \; c+ u6 G" m% z! Hsupply.
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& M# `- W- S# f. ?( h: J' e vIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and8 a( a! |( ^5 X4 z- {
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
- F9 N3 E" d6 |3 J) i/ ?monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the w+ v" C: a( d9 P. O* G0 E/ A
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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+ P* S! s: J6 `; lGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
$ W7 g8 B2 x4 S9 S& Z8 gstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic' _7 `* E/ j3 V
developments.9 n7 q$ @8 m% b3 ^- _+ s
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Information note:+ C6 y2 S5 p6 ~& Y7 k6 m
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
1 V9 r$ Q5 d3 Rof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
8 ~" t; u( m9 i: b2 v, j: X2 Q" Kpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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