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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market6 Y& K& c# h7 X# c/ z% d2 p: W4 E
: l; W H- {1 v) M% G$ m/ kOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
- T" Q. E5 h% C0 L; O- Brate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly: U' _4 T+ s0 v9 T1 h; q
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal/ v4 R% u+ K, Q* l
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
% Z, G$ g8 b c2 ]' Vstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
& K1 u) ?6 j4 T! \$ zUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness v) ^; d7 w+ l
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.: |' y- G2 p% e( ~! m7 ]) R
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
1 k( ?0 h) v$ Bstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the$ E3 L A3 {6 A) ^' }2 J' n
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result, r) a8 G+ t1 g* K
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an6 D( c0 u4 s' f- S" b
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
( S3 l8 u8 u8 {/ D% \! Qspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity4 }* x4 L5 z: Y, H# b
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.1 u; ~1 e( C+ z7 \
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent/ Q6 d/ d, |7 [4 [. ^* ^8 {
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
8 U6 I. ~6 U' @3 v, x; F) j) nGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
c' v9 l! l" y; w9 b* g qincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
9 [+ w& }/ c- J$ K. s8 `balanced recovery.
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/ r& s# d8 b" u, WCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects* y4 \4 j7 Z, i9 ^8 n0 O/ o
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess& J8 P* ^8 x+ ^) H' I/ K- G
supply.1 t! v( j) X# {, e$ P" [3 V
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
" a! p9 E5 g; G6 m3 Pto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
, s/ K. @, j& @2 z7 Vmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
9 f* ^( t: Q0 t3 Csignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
/ V! q6 a1 n. M$ n$ \stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
1 p3 [( C/ S1 W0 B, m' h5 U: adevelopments.
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* O9 A8 O. f( o/ W6 oInformation note:
. n7 {. B( M( H( e( X, UThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update; t$ {4 w8 C" q" z
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
3 o, s9 b. v" t, M: p6 ^! |published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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