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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight; [3 l# T' d9 m' G; ]% J
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly! {& r+ w, [8 ?/ w
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal* e$ \' Y) z+ A' O. [
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
, m% A% ?: u4 K- e- n3 l# F' Gstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the) x7 E$ [& S; X* Y+ R% A# [
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness! v# A1 q/ x4 J, [
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
* I7 `4 R3 t7 _. lIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal- q: J+ c2 V' `/ s
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
! ?4 @# g8 S# e9 U5 x* B, Ivariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
A8 z$ y1 L( bin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
3 K) c5 E; Y% d" w5 Qimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the. Q8 T9 J$ B3 {* r3 N: @" d
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity( c, D/ M, x0 l3 e+ k& T9 G" Y
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
8 h* }; U; h% u3 K8 Q) pin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.) N0 e: Z( ^" H: z+ a6 m& J
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
4 ]4 a0 u# ?! T1 J9 z2 W! n0 Sincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more+ u. W- j* b0 i0 y( R9 B% N
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
9 b u/ I& ?0 B& t3 l2 `2 Y) qthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess* n f v- w# V
supply.' L8 }& V6 m" ]: h3 z9 _
8 s k/ g7 p- [& vIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and0 D j, i) o5 \0 q& Q& d: M
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
, T% A! {; n, B+ gmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ) I1 I6 W) n! P) E+ R
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
( H) M; Q; N6 C g* D7 [ jstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
/ Y$ p4 ?. o z5 i' I' adevelopments.
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# J2 y3 {# ~2 t2 K3 wInformation note:
6 t7 B- K, r) wThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
8 w4 ?# ^0 C3 Y% ~& y, P6 Cof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
d: m4 p: a; i2 Upublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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