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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
1 S! F0 \. ^! w/ |1 M' Q1 V) M1 }7 m5 Wrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly; R3 M9 y: o# T7 Q% c& W! [; u
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal% N1 H, P y n1 t. {7 o! l: ~% K
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
4 y* |5 A$ R+ ]5 m! Y! q2 rstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the; `+ H" c) V& K( b7 o+ n
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness8 q& S4 j9 C7 x0 k! s
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
3 Q; `# B4 G" Z4 n! n0 \6 n( X# BIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal+ a7 {9 _( C: C* p1 C& z
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the' P3 _2 `1 f: U/ b# t
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result5 O9 p5 a' `9 c0 e }' X
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
; Q+ ]* l t! |' f% ?5 M& B; himportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
- N+ m4 v( u4 Y* R1 Z- Espillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
5 ?4 \, s- M2 Z7 M5 \/ pprices and some tightening of financial conditions.9 p3 Q# `8 {4 n' M
9 L! N/ T, i2 `9 W7 ?Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
* E# x4 k, z" A) ^in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
/ Q: F! Q4 b+ x5 RGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with9 @8 [" `3 z: V. j6 l& a
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
2 Q$ _ E/ }) x( v8 Ybalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
3 R* a) b6 c+ ithe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess1 k; V. l* D. N& X' z& ]% S
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and5 R# I0 a8 l' l( R: z
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 3 H0 p" C* ~1 d4 Y( S7 n
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
* ~" k, N8 y/ vsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
8 K: E. n5 D5 z* _ ~! ]stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
+ X- [% m; Q3 f9 D8 v. [6 N6 {developments.
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Information note:$ n2 j1 d3 k5 @, q0 e* {+ D
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
1 N; M& J, N! K& g" \of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
+ W7 x- n k* _2 Y. ~3 npublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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