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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market# O/ k9 M9 G% P5 C) [" M: O: Y% L+ ^
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight! L+ B; C# U6 E% y4 k0 ~1 y: m2 i
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly! y* L" u" j0 w* m$ B z
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
2 F+ T) u' o6 X: B" Voperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.0 I6 h; M% s4 s; M: {6 W3 U( `
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
+ f$ s4 [/ |# y& i2 o2 h, A$ ^strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the" E* r" J% Y3 ~
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness% ]8 |5 `6 Z: `/ J- S. m/ j6 d
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.' T. W' \( z# h4 R% h
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
: G# T, r9 j* v6 M" ^0 Istimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
+ N; P4 d( F' |variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
9 B. }2 r9 T9 A1 Z Xin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
( L7 c6 C k1 M8 }: s" a! V/ Aimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the4 K& Q( d4 Z6 ~( [7 X, V% {
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity9 n+ h5 J- L. H9 y
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.# u1 z' f9 g" g! T' l" @1 ?
* X( O5 @0 U- r& m' w% b- A: b7 BActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent ]( S; f3 t. q" y3 j% ^
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed." w8 {+ ^4 ` a+ q# y; Z
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with' O% Q! e# D3 k9 c
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
& z/ B8 u7 u% Ibalanced recovery.5 K9 p N+ z6 J. D- R* u
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
5 \# i5 \; u7 b. Qthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess1 |- B- G- I2 P9 u. f; L/ j" e
supply.) f; n/ D) w) A; |: V- t9 I0 M
( @: E9 `, \6 J; y" YIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and) u# Q) \; _* n* Q4 t" X
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
! X* `2 V4 z7 C/ Kmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
! U' p4 z8 P) {/ }/ f) Ksignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.% }: F* b/ T2 l% ~. Z5 a
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
4 Y# O0 q' C5 ?3 L& r1 Dstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic' g! A& p- E/ H: L* p3 i6 G
developments.4 `/ U; y$ N: D" Q
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Information note:
4 p+ N; @3 d: e2 n, O, zThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update. _% e8 \# R' G
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
5 i- h4 G) Q4 d7 l: C( |( t' Wpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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