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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market. D% i t4 V0 E, p4 ]' c
3 n9 Z. S0 \/ qOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight0 A. S* X9 X( ~$ J8 n8 v* o4 [
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly5 \" {, {+ P6 S7 }- u5 @ Q
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal' i A. h& l W- S) q
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.5 a X- K: J. I) w0 Y3 v
" {9 A7 y* l- r5 M' S& yThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with# z% j& \7 d" r1 o) R e/ _' w
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
) ^& B4 |2 L ~+ o4 e* JUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness4 K$ Z8 K0 O' Z9 R$ z" @
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.# _8 _+ s, e5 C
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
9 ~0 H) |6 H! g4 r1 ^ g0 cstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the0 y" ~( p7 H* l# p
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
: p0 ~; K$ o) U2 fin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
* v$ g6 F" t9 ?8 }" n- F: |' a+ qimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
1 ^; a, S6 a$ b/ R/ r- hspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity( k5 z7 `! Q& g( L' y. H
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.# Q; m0 m- o* Z# [
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
/ O% p7 V4 ]7 a# s9 j" l2 cin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
) l4 b, v! ~4 K+ a h9 PGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with8 T8 n: t( u: z9 h
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more; ?4 A( T" v! f! |0 m- F c" G$ t
balanced recovery.. Z' B8 }4 r' r+ s0 p1 Y+ n% n
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects- |* A f8 A$ p i# q
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
7 d' _9 H5 D2 e2 d, {- d( \) rsupply.- A1 z2 X, D1 r+ A( U
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and% W% o% {% d# f# Z7 q
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 0 T5 f1 A" F9 }: H/ t. ~
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
# e4 G( B& S( e9 Q; Y/ `2 bsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary2 \ o s' A4 ?
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic: p' B9 s% h/ t% I) U
developments.0 g9 f/ @. a- }5 j! P
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Information note:0 q. r; }8 Q; E8 L* H" Q9 y5 J3 N
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update' O* k/ d* c; d) `6 G5 \
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be. {7 R7 e* y2 v2 y. b! v
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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