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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market7 o; C% M: r0 ~) N6 }% H
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
- x+ Q& J' X% f8 D8 Q3 c7 |rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
( ^3 W$ D- f! ]$ ~& Q( e4 vraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal4 _; H8 O0 ]1 x- ]% w1 _
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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7 n1 O0 Q f+ R% ~4 eThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with! ], c: E8 ?' [, D$ F
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the6 t- Z; @- @* z/ k0 N$ Y
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness/ s R# b& O/ |1 n: [
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
- i8 f4 e% l' G8 e9 q9 Z, x1 nIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
$ n" H9 P% @: z' Mstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
+ g& P) r" i4 ]5 T4 e% }variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
, T6 P/ }1 b$ oin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an% b% R0 \2 d! @; b( U6 L4 @: h
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the' x9 I* X7 X& t5 q5 u
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
( z/ E, t7 M- y& n7 Bprices and some tightening of financial conditions.% w1 U% Q; Q5 T4 G( a2 H
8 n* r' j* q' B$ r) y) gActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
% U; `7 d, b7 ]; l; Ain the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed. O% M4 l5 a$ x
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with; v; r3 j* c* S& k& Y( i0 E/ ]! w
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more* N. R# z, Y4 T$ u; ]7 @/ f2 q8 a
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
9 r3 A) ]% s4 ^the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess# T% r, S: [' r% p3 Y
supply.
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/ H% x' M3 K) y( v" ~. E LIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
7 T6 \9 \; f1 K0 Uto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
- t6 l; ]) @" f9 Z @$ Q# {- }, ]monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the , N: n: g4 q8 X
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.9 |, o* \. x- F0 w; Q+ Q
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
4 p6 Z/ Z+ h7 N) D9 v5 g! F! V5 gstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
& `6 P, c r2 T* G* q, H! W* \developments.
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Information note:
' Y5 n5 a8 c& K* }- L* j4 vThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update6 P+ H* i9 S/ G5 c- G
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
4 R3 u. i. x( J* x6 m: {5 Mpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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