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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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1 U% V& I7 g# LOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight5 J* q, J3 |9 O N& k3 u4 v0 h
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
' P: K/ L7 S5 X, U& J# Yraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal( L3 _& H6 r- E5 Q8 H
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
# t* {- p" A/ d' |, vstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
z$ U2 B9 B2 j2 I2 `United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
( G) w2 | R+ q& P& K. @in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
3 U8 d. G h: g( Y$ y, H/ BIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal9 s. K! D- X ?6 ~( \
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the" F3 `# e5 m, q! A8 Z4 |) X0 F
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result* w( F# _5 ?6 z8 n9 T! n7 F
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
! V8 d, }8 k( Rimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the2 [! e( T) u4 g
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity3 F9 l6 B9 Z/ `) ^# X" b
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
; [3 }' L E- |9 E: bin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.1 r! e9 D7 B( j
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with, ^0 I% c) R. ?5 r; V
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
+ L, |" _7 |! b- Y6 q2 N- b. ~balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
0 T: q( x- \0 @, C" zthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
4 {5 ]4 S) [/ y# R) D5 g) s- lsupply.
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4 U% I; \6 R3 dIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and! l7 [4 V6 q+ W- \0 U2 i$ v
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable $ n- I& f4 e& S; Z, Q* g$ @- E- z" x
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 6 `3 O' `! A" k9 ^. E* b8 u
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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6 }2 x4 Z* g, t a8 @Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary& j) p7 n# N+ _1 G( o. F/ |! {/ N9 T
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
# f3 Z3 L% T N/ g" r2 D" O! Sdevelopments.
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% b6 n, z$ T6 YInformation note:. j' ?& D. y4 {% @, @3 Z2 ^
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
" n, P+ }; q- r' U( \( K* Tof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be& m8 G6 ^" z- [! ~
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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