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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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% a; l% a5 r3 [5 {$ v1 t( zOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
4 D) I$ M* f1 @0 Jrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
9 D/ ~, @- S) N" a q* kraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
' d$ [. g1 l$ Uoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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1 ?8 E4 t/ q' c; Y4 zThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
. _6 p2 o+ H( w: ]strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
7 V6 H0 }) s9 {, I" bUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
2 P3 @ M5 E& A Y2 Hin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.7 z( }. {# _! G) X) R
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
2 n9 C# A( C- Nstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
% Q6 w$ a. X2 g' D3 h# s' t3 H5 |variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
+ T& H1 `7 Y: H! fin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an* x1 I% b$ F) s+ b4 P
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the& s+ p. T W; G' r) f3 }# d' |
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity0 C* f! J; @9 u5 }0 q0 B6 x
prices and some tightening of financial conditions./ ]0 Z, U. I9 U6 B" I; x
1 H2 U" V$ a2 T/ Q+ z: `& L8 BActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
! U9 \1 ?& g6 `; x( p5 X3 lin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.9 }9 ~) N/ u, a3 ]3 d9 d( r9 O
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with2 N4 q+ ]" K, a z6 j _, q
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
u( h0 {. Q; M+ \balanced recovery.& k6 g- o& E" X* h% l l7 i& f
. y# D3 T- Y8 O9 Z6 p0 c9 G4 XCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects/ H: `1 w: l% Z' [* a& w
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
7 T/ n5 Z* U( Y8 p/ P7 j* m4 psupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and, l' { Q& j8 Y% e! m
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable z$ V3 i1 r. i
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 1 d) J& X' h. H7 V. ^3 Q
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.3 `" U7 N( B0 [
2 [4 L, d# ]( E! BGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
) I% N9 Y K* v! J) v) `stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic; w2 E5 R3 V3 F
developments.
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4 a- {% `- D' hInformation note:- C" Y% h& X2 _- \+ `
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update# }" a0 I3 k$ c( S5 R1 q* E" l
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be# _; F. A4 E) k, _4 b+ n# j7 ~
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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