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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market/ C# @6 V3 [+ U s' B! K2 c/ l
8 A0 y6 J0 \, S3 F# \OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
2 i& u5 b5 R* b4 b: Yrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
$ X: w8 x/ @! ]) T* G5 P# uraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
: d' v2 y6 k4 {$ Joperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.5 { D6 p3 A3 n$ v6 w
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with$ w3 n, V1 n; o; X0 W
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
! @8 ^ k1 x5 o2 S/ O" I9 O2 aUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
( R. Y+ x$ h/ rin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
3 g8 ?4 R Q/ @! A; @* H" }8 [In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
+ {$ S: t. F& s/ s7 Xstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
4 u: |. J# `& S( A7 K. ^" `variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result0 \( n7 J6 F1 v: B V
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
1 ~+ V# z+ o7 l- Aimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the# `0 M4 m$ {' w0 {
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity/ A2 ~- H! ^0 G/ f7 }. g
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent4 T8 G" ~" q/ T& O8 d/ s" b
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.: x; b1 o# n1 @' o5 K+ f! s2 x
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
$ [; x/ R0 y$ N$ }5 `, @3 ]income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more( ]4 Z/ O3 s% g: N
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects0 f* k" ?) L3 a# e
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
! q7 y. K7 F6 j1 k' wsupply.3 S+ s7 }, b" Z+ P
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and8 ~9 {8 S4 y, G, K
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 7 G& n0 E0 h5 D! Y
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 8 ]0 _8 [2 S5 R" `2 e
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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( E C; I0 h t4 u# Q% cGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary/ F% [# R3 b3 f* D8 S+ q
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic4 } @: k! U) A, `; \
developments., t& V7 s, S2 V$ I" L
7 _/ z% `8 F+ b- \& m3 K6 u3 @Information note:! b4 W( f+ S6 w7 O
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update4 |% Q+ p* r: y9 a6 `+ j
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
: N4 t: u8 H8 Z4 R! m2 fpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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