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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market6 C/ l/ Q$ u" A! N) a
5 N, m, i3 j5 p" bOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
8 u1 S) a& i7 y3 \9 u, Hrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
5 l, _; w& H# N" z' W+ m' hraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
. v0 Y$ E0 Q( e( {$ ]9 Loperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with F! h! f7 j5 h; v
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
8 z1 @0 z. d# K7 S& I" q4 n2 c! h. KUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
1 I' o3 Y5 N8 D2 h% }; I+ p! xin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
5 i8 F* @# ~2 X3 u( c& |. eIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal+ |) \0 N! }" _0 Z8 T+ L% U- S
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the8 X% V& z+ b! N3 |
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result9 t2 |, x- \, G" z; T8 G+ @2 B
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an+ Z( X8 D! k( D
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the: T. o* [, e( |6 P8 s1 k
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
) H0 v+ F- h* C5 L [prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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) ]" H8 d6 S& x; T% LActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent3 S2 V6 Y8 a; u) y: Z2 y
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.( @; W( x7 v) ^( s
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
; C: k# U$ l! m9 d8 oincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
5 a: |- Y) ^) d: Wbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
/ `3 S/ z' \6 H0 r0 l; T8 Ythe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess7 L1 V$ N T- _
supply.4 j7 R1 w; w& K6 n; k) O' P
* s/ Q( J' J, v7 _, S, wIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
2 G3 J1 u+ Y; Eto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
$ n$ r+ p( U2 D- A; j% z2 gmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the $ q& \' q4 @$ a& M5 [, L3 S4 D5 e
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary+ I4 G, E _( H- O1 @8 M$ B( y
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic( m& Q+ A( A6 W2 V
developments., S% G" n" k( s
) B2 L/ q$ c3 c7 J0 A0 j, |% k9 |Information note:
6 V( S8 T3 `# Q" w1 a- |4 IThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
9 ]& W" a* ?& L3 M( R* F8 X! iof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
) t/ q9 c! S# u! [7 |. [4 Wpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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