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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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* T! G- @0 x: a5 ?/ ^OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight, P& x% q( `. X0 Z. Z# J; e9 m# s
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly t# P3 r, E( ~6 L: J
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal# w2 W7 ~# h/ e; Z+ x" W" p
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with1 r, h8 J- Q( Q
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the; q- \6 G) C u- d
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness+ A6 j( M1 @0 m; T
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.1 x6 ^+ Y. k/ Q* H; A: K+ S0 \5 @
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal' V6 @5 |% c, _. h0 ]# i+ K, \
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
: g: Q; D! A7 e% f5 y" U8 K/ dvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result H0 e) q5 K/ U" q
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
- @+ d3 ^: X) ^- ^0 D6 h) I2 `important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the6 _8 a6 Q- A$ x; p6 t
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity* `+ E3 m; M8 }( c
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.8 x6 W. K3 C( v! V: B" V: v
4 W& G0 a* r5 j7 ^Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
4 G5 I X! z1 Z9 H q$ L2 j; M0 lin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.1 p% H' c" r5 ^% s1 F- r2 [
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with; W7 _8 f8 ^* e7 K B, n
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more( K) y! N* a1 m! Z- [& [
balanced recovery.4 [- P: ~: B$ z& ~7 r; i
' X7 z3 ^8 y' I& G6 L6 J, d( gCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
- U. l: X8 @% ]6 z* J5 Zthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess% ]: N# W# [$ S5 ^' B
supply.+ X5 `5 T* ~) a- b" Z& W7 Y
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
! b0 R8 [+ u4 T% G, }* rto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
/ [# S; t$ [. P1 d2 Kmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
! u+ x9 n, h( B ~! y+ B! u/ Zsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.5 A! J7 ^# P/ _
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
9 A8 {2 I# P' d Y* Z! b6 _# w D3 Sstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic( Y% ~% e$ J5 U- ~; D# E" {% G* j
developments.1 I6 V: F" [( N
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Information note:0 d' e! v" l. @/ D6 D/ C. y
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update V7 h, S0 n8 r# m4 P2 V6 A0 w
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be' L0 r: v/ `) E, R
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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