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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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) y( i8 O% x- `1 z- V0 P! K. nOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
" i4 F. F8 n! ~. Frate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly1 F* y+ w& m5 n$ a
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal( U. t/ J) I5 z" x8 s9 E8 R
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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3 v+ X5 E( F5 ~* yThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
: A, `6 T8 Z6 l: istrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
$ m+ y* H% M( Y e3 A; |United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
+ Y7 y2 O$ u: p4 N0 din Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
4 }6 w2 \4 i( F8 L( @) `; nIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal6 u/ o; I# u% _8 U) F# h h' G; C1 p
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the6 v- W) V `* R7 e" O6 T
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result, G8 f+ r+ s* M$ q
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
& M; o. j4 M# r) p kimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
. p. {: {/ }0 O* W7 [spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity8 s O9 h+ \0 n: D! ~
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.& ~+ D7 w- h7 U$ E& }* M( s& i
: x: B3 B5 L4 O3 {- jActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
- ^- o3 m( P$ f+ [& x& _: fin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.& W1 _2 }* g# l
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with( M; R/ y: E* |
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
( v5 c7 }8 E0 J& B5 o J' Obalanced recovery.
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; X5 D- M! m, `$ KCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
% W: S# F" y0 M" Hthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
, y9 `# V: n' L" Jsupply.( T. g% z& o, l1 _4 v
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
8 _( d+ W3 z% L, _- W% B, @8 ito re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ' C0 ~0 d3 x" Z1 j; I/ h
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
, A8 I8 H0 M3 Fsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.: I& p0 e" u) ~: v4 a: v
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
5 e' W5 \3 W5 ]' e) Q$ y/ E0 V/ hstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
( r! u) M/ }" w5 v! bdevelopments.
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' ?$ T9 h# X: |% A. jInformation note:
6 b! _$ K/ _) U* {The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
- V% y! [ _8 B$ I1 E& F( dof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
# t" F6 n' q+ k# Qpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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