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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market/ f \# b8 Q# g/ @: y) J& m
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight# D- V3 b/ o2 P7 q( @
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly6 t# |" ?# L3 W- l' U
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
' U5 Y3 x* Y) n4 K; Uoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
% I3 l% @' D1 u8 Y0 Astrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
% @/ ^/ R; S6 Z g8 AUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
) V. f6 Q0 }# p% R4 H* o4 a; w5 I. win Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
* g: D ?! ?. f5 o5 zIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
* J0 p! `2 l$ Q' J3 u( _0 Ystimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the& F' c) l$ e0 l" {; i. H
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result7 a5 l; m/ V7 q5 I/ ~0 Z
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
- M& q1 A1 s% \) W4 T# ^important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the( c+ _# D' r. H, V* F0 k
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
" O3 |( f4 q' m+ @" Cprices and some tightening of financial conditions.* d2 P* y Q7 j7 U" @( G; x" ?: X) @
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
" R, n' q1 A; gin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
6 [% B2 ^4 u. j1 H0 F7 p' wGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with. I2 @) c9 \0 S6 J- {4 e1 C
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
+ Y8 M6 a4 B$ a1 w! r/ Abalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
# v Q9 c0 l+ A' ]# }; Athe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
/ N* c9 B5 S: Y1 Z3 jsupply.8 ~' k: A* X. _/ M* K' ~( o
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
1 W5 H: u, D% P" I$ s+ {to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
+ F0 B0 ?( s$ U. b6 j) i9 _1 Qmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the & U/ ?8 O5 f) @/ B u7 R& n9 \ H& M
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.) a( D( J7 J/ V( r5 ]$ g, {
?3 ^+ Q, A/ j( H& O/ @2 d# T1 S# [Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary8 @% x q0 k# m) Z. q5 ^
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic0 K0 E7 g0 r$ F5 w, t j
developments.
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9 S8 C: ?& j) {0 B. o$ sInformation note:
5 N% [% U6 a! T2 l2 [The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update- N- Y$ e$ k; ` u7 I
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
- X* a1 `% ~) L; w0 g( ~published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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