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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
/ N; b5 Y9 m/ @5 Erate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
+ x7 L" B2 ~0 F- X; G+ y1 T; M; Xraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
7 W& c& s# R! j% l/ Y3 c0 ioperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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/ [1 t8 q( N! T8 W% `The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
, m) B. C4 ^* P1 L4 l" c1 u1 R+ {strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
9 f* R8 `% Z! qUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness# B$ O2 E+ p( R+ J7 w
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
! s4 f* h* Q ? x+ y- B lIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal/ r. i8 |5 v( k, V4 W8 a
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the. `( j2 G/ L. r9 l
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
* p6 W( F8 [ I# Z8 C4 }9 {in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an; \7 A9 s3 ]- A; K4 U6 L/ v
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the2 J8 B; D* @9 R& e
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity9 X3 A3 o( j3 W9 L. n& k% f. _ b
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent, _! n' ?% p) u' B2 l+ {
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
) ~( q4 h) R8 Y' LGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
2 D8 L s9 g2 j: c; K* Fincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more# B) Q+ K9 T" }# z7 f; ~7 i
balanced recovery.8 k$ |+ W; v& l9 t
# y- }5 @1 b wCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
: E. t2 R+ A8 g, w7 e: }3 ?* fthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
3 V7 i. K/ x; }& E4 z/ Zsupply., U; H. B, ]/ c" c+ o3 J, Z
+ _* _: N% m$ o1 c4 Z8 |2 YIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and& \2 ~2 e: H8 N. z
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable : y# L% o; V7 w$ C5 j/ O1 F" ^
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the % |0 i7 {! y1 i7 l) A7 W1 q* ~: T
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.5 w$ f) ]( ]% l p5 R5 z
( O1 Y6 d) m2 E5 L) KGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
* J0 b! f, Z+ s3 D, k! lstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic+ p! m1 W$ K- q% P- \
developments.1 O, f+ I, p& Q! Y4 t
$ @: v& y" L4 k0 ?3 C- M: }Information note: p' m. p8 p6 t: X) E
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update6 @3 k7 b" }. ?' O. V% D6 H; }
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be- k' z/ n d) M: w' [2 e
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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