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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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e" K! `: Y4 M6 q% p' K9 vOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight' q$ F8 A& C: k5 M( p
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
! ?6 x* B0 L% o- Rraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal5 o: P: z: } Z1 {, [. w+ J% M
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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. [$ b. {" e3 V' |. ?( s# {The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
' I8 ]; C* w7 c4 W) ~4 T2 r3 p% gstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
7 c3 b+ M0 G2 @/ H: S9 HUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness/ L$ Z# n k2 H2 o/ T
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
! m% p, M* h/ U6 ~$ B! Q2 WIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
2 f4 j& l; j- Xstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
# }7 L0 q+ O$ E+ W; h2 v" jvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
% `& T3 M3 g# s% }, O8 s( bin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an7 I, J) u: }8 s6 \2 d6 F$ w
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the( [0 D* D% X4 H' C2 T& Y
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
2 U. L- A/ |' c. ]9 F# [, }3 xprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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( P* s& [- Y; `* f* xActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
" j# v2 B2 i6 E- din the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.* ^! j; c3 A4 h+ g- ]5 _7 \! I
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with( z5 q: g3 ~% ]& {* ?$ Q( [
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
8 [. v+ l& S+ Y: B* y; |balanced recovery.
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# G( u( u: r3 {2 i HCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
) k2 \/ _5 r, b8 ~- L$ t+ Jthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
2 l C4 V5 b/ D/ }- nsupply.9 r @" R/ B8 ?8 W7 ] [
6 n: E& t3 H& xIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and1 R) y" I! o3 Q' h
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
9 ~) C1 U+ x: H! R. T9 R( omonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
6 g! S. Z- a1 B1 F% Usignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.6 K( I! ] J } K, t& [
0 X+ B. p! i( M. ^7 U8 R$ t
Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary9 ?: i: t# N; I: o* i
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic5 i9 e0 u1 K) E q
developments.
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Information note:
m7 S, v5 I6 C( [- yThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update Y) q7 S: A n! S( `9 x
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
% c2 c" c* {7 ?" Z/ Ppublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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