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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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( \: a9 d' l. O6 Z* Q3 MOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
0 \* p- y* c6 J3 [* jrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly* T, Q" Y' o6 c* W. j/ a! V
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal) i9 B& x) c$ Z6 S' K- q; f- {
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with) ~. D+ {1 {) k% Y1 ~& O# s8 S
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the1 O; x" Y1 C( Z n3 Q
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
: r) j# W+ M+ P! O4 E, Lin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
, A( M* V6 U) H5 N2 VIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal' @* P! m! i& \$ I, U' |
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the* y% W6 {9 V. b$ K: @' V! u
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
* U/ d" P9 o* tin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an, E) {1 b) g, c
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the' E3 X2 G7 i5 \) U4 h# ^: t
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity. `! Y5 c& \* M
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.+ e: |) Z/ o7 I+ q+ ?7 r: ?3 a
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
' m: K3 T5 R0 |+ E) Xin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.3 k" O# {2 U6 m
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with/ x K: Z: n( u" R
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
% k" M5 Z7 L5 N6 ebalanced recovery." x" H4 `" s1 o! n' S* r) h1 I
. _' z% y& W1 @; z7 P- ^CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
' g% c+ l, z/ M" t' U- C: ?the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
. E. _7 n1 c9 v% r. u* d/ Rsupply.
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4 R4 X( K4 v2 B- NIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
# K3 f7 t g# C8 n8 {2 c( Lto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
8 }; }9 \ a0 P; kmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
# z1 Y, ^. z: {, wsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary4 U& r4 D# p R# z$ c6 V' q
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
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8 D. t& w8 {3 z2 t5 pInformation note:
! A$ l q- o& E7 xThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update. L! ]0 [ C) F4 E% |9 m1 U2 \
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be( ]4 U }. Y& t* U- j7 u1 A! C/ M
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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