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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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7 [$ f4 G6 ^3 {1 g- mOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight8 E5 n3 l/ }* b
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
) g3 n4 B5 n- M8 p+ X1 O# q7 U9 h& graised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal7 t& c. g6 J1 g
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
5 }/ J R8 `) ~9 ~' p; l Astrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
/ @8 t! `( ~7 k2 X; K) ]United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
+ f/ N5 W$ X1 K- |8 e/ rin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
. G$ @- b/ ?; a0 v. Q* ^/ HIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal0 x, A+ u# Q( C0 A& |$ G
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
% B- n& N& q: e7 s6 Avariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
2 T- d$ R4 ^( G5 G; H" g, r& yin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
4 j5 [' j# x; W# A3 i7 gimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the% j, `' a$ ?2 r, |* X/ h( y! u& h1 _
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
8 P c/ z# w) Q X& tprices and some tightening of financial conditions.2 u' U2 N3 o+ |% ^' w
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
+ L2 b |8 x& v6 R \: @in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.6 n+ r' }1 R4 Q0 U* ~' O8 |
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
7 t& H1 r0 A. b b+ ~8 nincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more2 g5 B# I: o, u$ F
balanced recovery.( Q8 R% O3 w% D- J9 T w" w; B" j
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects! g+ f# Q5 a' @- D6 M1 z. }5 @
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess6 E; n$ A( e# ]- r; _! A3 C# ?
supply.
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0 M: \% F8 n0 ]! { N+ ]In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
8 _8 j! p: F" V' j1 Fto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
$ d( I/ M: m4 X7 ~9 } Fmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
7 C" o& @% o7 v6 Ysignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery." p7 M h9 H. o% V: g) n, _9 }: M' S
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary) X4 e5 x2 S) [# p* L" Y. P
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
' }& B9 {# {) B6 Cdevelopments.
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Information note:
; {* Y& J- h* H: v) h. F" HThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
, O" X& Y% n' t# V3 Vof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be; ^8 a g8 A( D& l4 w
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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