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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight) E1 c; T5 |- A+ A7 O5 j. [
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly& c# P; t U r1 }4 b
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal$ m( h* I1 _% ^+ r# A) Y
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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; }6 f/ r+ [& Z4 t; Z @' }The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with$ W6 e3 H8 e" Y8 F
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the! P5 d' v2 @* _, d+ d5 R
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
7 L5 p# y. }+ @* K4 Nin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
6 A3 R9 V( @- YIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal; S ?, V8 {( d% u
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the& p: g. ]' h# I9 e2 }# [
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result: S4 |6 ~5 x$ {3 ]( e& [
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
+ t8 k. u; h& H$ j; K2 eimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the: e1 Y# H _9 L' D. M
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity/ g' a$ E- g! P0 b R
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
9 j8 E9 S6 x# i9 m9 ?$ sin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.; [2 h' i7 B1 b2 L+ M
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with" Z$ T' x( p6 N8 B
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more$ D' b( e5 J+ b$ {; T( X6 A
balanced recovery.1 u% D# Y" [1 H- `
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects7 `. q% B. C% A% F
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
6 x8 _* ~3 K. ^: H) Bsupply.4 C1 W, O9 \" r, q
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and0 `, b8 q7 E. b; t8 ?% |) K8 |
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable * }. j2 c: a0 [" ^ \) G
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 0 X1 c$ ~! r* j
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary4 a$ a% H0 d5 |0 ~" I! U, Q5 ^
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
2 G% K. O7 ~5 A* |# G) C' Xdevelopments.
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) R% ~- Y! q4 ]; _4 O0 T6 Z* n; RInformation note:
' A/ \* s8 ?" \- P1 S: O5 lThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
; D' L( O& N/ d: O3 Q/ r: _% \% aof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be; b$ W. n) d+ x) e2 s9 H
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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