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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market; A/ r- {8 y s
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
4 J: a1 e/ ~; y1 a% e- q& ~rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
! R5 V' E* A8 K) d+ Traised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
8 X* k9 v( b- X0 }; F/ Boperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.* i5 h. k8 z% ]. U
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
- z4 F, p: J$ Nstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the4 V+ `; ]7 H& N! H) [
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
/ ^/ K9 I. ?. x8 p- @2 N; q1 Ain Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.: b+ d* g2 |6 i3 ]8 u; Z1 \: L* `
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
# E! s# n/ w" [stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
! |7 D. p. Q9 T& r$ e6 Xvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result4 e8 i* M. K0 B, z }+ R9 z
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an9 h; U. `/ i- ~- J, K' a% J: k
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
: p; s1 J5 x+ ~) a8 ]% _% sspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
2 P y" [# U' Q' g# `; c" ^prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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! N0 a9 E3 K- F; HActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent8 `9 I: i3 N$ Y2 ^/ `
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.0 X: `9 J6 y& d: B7 K7 ]
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with' d a4 f$ z! }
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more+ v5 K% K6 d! |: u
balanced recovery.
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8 M; Q0 Y* Z+ X3 v& B( k% WCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
V6 U' V& {; J3 pthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
7 \/ o' e/ J- z$ }supply.1 ~0 h: m2 i# U
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and+ y. b. L" [ S& [! u/ G f: r
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
9 N* L& R6 h A' Cmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
6 T" b& L( |! g, k0 O) n Csignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.$ Y; D/ L6 \( v: H6 P0 B: C
) ^' i) s5 } V. D. m8 R' ~) EGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
& K3 y8 G4 S& gstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic: m* d' R* N0 t
developments.
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Information note:
1 J6 p* i D: Z+ V# @1 o1 E, z9 L+ oThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update9 j9 Q8 x" z" G0 s
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
. u' U/ e3 u+ Q/ P6 u Jpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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