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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
/ {( u1 l& h- Krate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly1 P, |" e1 n; Y. ^% {# f( i" C6 w+ F( c
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal' m" ]8 P3 i% `* D
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
9 O3 z; O! e) p6 Q* Bstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the2 W" r) d$ N! j; Z) p) U
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness& q% E2 d# B5 _9 Z$ x8 g: s
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
- T) ^% }* V5 {, r3 G5 y. RIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal+ N$ x d; J) j/ I' Y+ `, ^6 d
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
) B& M0 N# u4 x9 M* J P! ?6 Rvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
& }6 X9 x3 P# Yin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an1 b" y# {4 @1 I4 d8 ?2 k
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the8 C& n- C! j/ N5 w
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
! C3 U4 c$ n5 F! Nprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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& v( X" B9 A. W9 \Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
- E& @# T3 @% a0 _% G" [in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
- f( C: r* e: @: ~2 [; JGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
' X2 a* ~" B0 T$ A$ d& oincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more2 ?) v5 m3 {1 \# ~
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects+ x/ v( X" { E, h \' o4 z
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
5 ]5 [3 T. U8 q1 qsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and R3 J: A( K; ~! d# @
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 3 c" ^% ~9 v! R1 ?, B9 [$ Q
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
) G( t9 r$ \. E8 ?4 b1 Vsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.6 a& \8 F& Y: _7 Y- x
; Z: m2 [/ g0 n7 g; i7 FGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary* `6 a9 m- R9 R) Z3 {1 n
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
* Q7 i9 [6 p8 s/ }" }9 S! sdevelopments.8 y: C3 r9 E) O5 m6 X
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Information note:
( l& c/ l5 R. |; u3 `6 EThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
: |/ Q" n5 @+ P" ]3 u& hof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
4 S. `+ T! j( q; K$ Ypublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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