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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight3 H5 U% B$ n4 T3 @
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly2 m8 z9 ]$ B5 A" j6 d& Z
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
, [3 e, n: b* {/ v" c, doperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
" Z; g, I/ X! z' `/ K4 Sstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the* @ B, K2 r: t! Y
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness6 }% f: y- C: d. A6 H' l3 H
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.* M* I, J0 B9 a1 |' m) N3 I
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal* q# q I# P3 u% w3 c+ Z' H+ p( b
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the! E& j2 c% g4 U. E( `' X
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
8 v! v# g4 o5 E0 W$ w+ b# Tin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
8 \, M' v; Q) o' Q" zimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
! d) p9 N; q8 tspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity/ ]4 e" z- B9 C P4 v, m, u
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent; t! d% h f" ` d% L, L& c1 {# [/ ^8 V
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
) o: ^( u4 {/ a7 |1 ], Q- Y) eGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with( h" }6 o8 c3 g; L1 N
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
/ ]3 k9 D1 P6 f$ Ibalanced recovery.0 b0 p- A. y$ y
4 ~, ? R: j/ Z! F) Q2 k) T0 b$ h! }CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects" f8 s9 ? u4 g+ {' o2 b
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
2 v1 p$ ]- g) R& vsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and/ G9 X3 j0 J" R0 E1 V0 Z$ D
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
( r6 n+ i1 ~7 @- Vmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
! U6 N( g, P9 T' k9 T' msignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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5 V4 n* z( U' D1 b" q oGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary+ B! O3 b) B6 D& v
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
) P+ p% R* G* a9 i" ~: `& j* Sdevelopments.: x2 M: \. _- W0 n; Q
( N; i. b& v, {( W5 z, h% BInformation note: ?- o! _; Y3 n0 V$ G: t0 ?
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update* b+ y* @: @# w) R
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be+ c6 n0 m8 W2 l3 K
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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