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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market' s" o. `& @1 F1 Q4 o! ]) p
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
5 k, |9 N5 U" w% Z/ l# zrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
2 I) X) O* e! j5 w( B1 d# draised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
. t# ^% d* C6 }operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.. I( J( D5 `( f l7 C. d- z
4 a3 P g3 O# d- h; Y) ^The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with7 a' M1 M% ]7 V' {% f: |0 Q
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
3 h, y* T4 v9 p' GUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness8 _2 o1 ~9 A6 |; i0 A2 S$ B
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.; C$ d: Q& Z( _, {4 }/ C) m3 z0 x# L
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal8 G- y. h' O8 u' r* Z: k: |& x
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
S ?, y, O' m" t; @% {variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
1 `+ p8 O0 `! V6 e2 i; s) cin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an! `% X M, V7 H7 R" ~
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the* _6 O% s0 s' U
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
' a* _$ S' p- S& k! H" Nprices and some tightening of financial conditions.; J0 x( R! z; P S2 u
9 j5 ?6 A; x& C2 D; ?Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent' C9 E# q4 D5 v, H9 S Y3 w
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed./ p* |' m8 S- F- A
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
. Y+ i" A. r I0 Zincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more7 ?. d3 Z P3 o2 W
balanced recovery.
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+ w. k" q. Z0 p( ^CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects, {" s0 }3 `5 f# O4 I
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
( `7 |( ~* w6 V5 ~& Y3 Y$ tsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
2 a9 ^1 j8 b$ V: l1 ?to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
, }, u0 S( N g0 H2 [monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
) W9 T5 {1 w/ qsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.$ S T P- q5 N2 X. y
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
* w$ C3 q7 J5 E/ rstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic, d) V* k/ y: T* Q3 [! E2 Y
developments.* g1 H$ p0 b' {4 n E: x- l7 g
) d0 Q1 i, r+ H9 s' S' u* c& |Information note:# w+ `( ~& M, U) e, p- y
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
( F! [+ r7 B, k4 d- bof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
3 e1 y" k7 B% k# ~* fpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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