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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market; T; ]3 x# Q& Z
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight1 l+ Y/ ~, ~2 C4 M( V# ~( \
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly$ x1 g, b. P5 j9 J3 y* F. g* K
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal& E2 p' z+ @) P y6 {4 Q* U) V0 S
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with8 u7 L' ^. Q/ d2 o" D& z
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the& ~/ s' V8 d" ]0 r/ V9 s, b( B4 {
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness: J1 a; q- u* y2 P& i/ v7 F; o1 [% a
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
3 ^+ \9 z4 Z9 Z V3 ~0 C6 ?* V/ MIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal1 A3 i7 }& j, c- k6 E6 r
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
6 i$ w$ l5 y! k% Z7 Ovariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
. O) V0 ?* {" v$ win higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
* t4 p, v. r( U. _% Fimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the+ L! y" ^9 d6 P6 Z0 J' a" P+ R
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
7 q2 f: e% Z8 g( S' d# Lprices and some tightening of financial conditions.- G# f+ E/ l& F6 B0 b' k1 W+ u
" R0 d' ~' ]* QActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent/ u4 v& K: m' V, v, p5 P% d6 R( O. t5 G
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
) x. D/ c* B2 I5 x E" zGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with, p1 b; U5 H( M5 x5 [! x* m. i+ \; p
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more; g1 G$ X) t9 C2 @- C
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects2 u0 y6 O* ?: U1 ]' @# q$ n
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess2 S0 U1 g0 H& \2 q& B; m: E6 o
supply.% i, U7 [1 o7 V% n a& Z6 [4 R1 E
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and2 Z) o8 _: d2 _( X4 r& G: e
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 3 N2 f; b0 p1 Q4 r0 ~
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
4 o# \# o" o% @; m4 B6 p* ^significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
6 p# d7 Q) w: |& V D* U3 \stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic! X# n% { k, }& k
developments.5 g) z1 y; F3 }3 t' p
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Information note:
. u$ W& R: L& z4 {7 U1 v( k; vThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
+ m" n+ a- F6 Z. d0 \! u$ sof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
% Z i* v! X1 Xpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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