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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market. A7 y% F, X, j- K( x& j0 }% J
( A$ [9 o4 C# i; t4 NOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight: v+ ?2 n8 T& k
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly2 R8 r% V+ n. F$ j; d1 ^0 p: W+ X$ J
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
3 D* [( }# }5 [) Z0 soperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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& x, ^5 ]7 C0 M; s" {" d; L, w3 SThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with9 g+ y6 B; X7 ~# R! S1 h% R
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the# j$ ?0 o" r4 E$ F+ B
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
( r7 r( l% P1 W& j& p, r# Cin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.0 W1 \- n0 `8 \; x4 D( s; K, R. a
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
; g9 F, p1 ~3 V3 u/ v3 F5 vstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
3 E; R" L$ A8 S% ?% |. avariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
7 E6 y* F7 C( ]0 {: ~: _9 z. [ |in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
/ p9 o% q# {" q) y: s7 @important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the) V* l8 ^, B# O# l
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity8 t( h- M8 F& U, X1 z" t: j# ?& y
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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0 x$ z/ i+ V; I& z& {/ rActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
9 J+ U9 Y/ d9 R" bin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
I/ I2 N; n. c4 j# \Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with2 s, g: P) _3 R5 ~) R; d& b
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
! M0 o2 X2 t% ]. u0 \7 fbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects5 }: m; v+ c3 s2 ^7 v
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
3 ~2 C7 S1 g) H7 Xsupply.: b: D; }, F8 q
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
& F, z/ H& f. H* n) Q9 `* uto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 6 l7 F. D1 B" \$ k
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
3 b% I( m1 q' T2 }. m5 d( h# o fsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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; L# @, L' H9 b; Y1 z6 S7 T% s9 FGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary/ _- `: o; v' o3 T- A2 g
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
" u% @0 ^5 [2 Q2 g8 X6 e) Pdevelopments.4 f2 g5 y& y& E/ u* i
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Information note:: Z' a! K! D W3 y
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
1 s+ c/ N: w# c2 Dof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be4 k7 z n* V$ U4 b: \) _
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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