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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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0 v) |; {) r2 o' K7 pOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight4 C$ X2 v; d6 a; }7 B; C
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
! [9 L% [9 x y; M- Iraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
4 K) D1 P8 F$ R% o! o, |8 O. \7 Soperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
* k; g& _, ^: V1 xstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the3 T- ~0 o) h+ M1 Y- W
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
8 n# Y2 g+ M- ~2 Rin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.4 j; D9 Q5 ^& Y# g' N6 E, e
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal3 _+ ?1 U8 p, E
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the* R* w5 z% V3 G& b4 K8 C# N
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
9 T7 O) i4 M7 x) P* x! C$ e/ Lin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
- x" U0 z. P3 b H: C7 oimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
9 u) o( Z$ u& H. @+ ~/ L; dspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity" l- r( z8 M$ d9 s$ `: L
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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8 l3 O0 q3 l. x$ C, A# KActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent1 x5 y) k; A' Q3 E* P9 N
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
+ l, S1 o! ?$ Y& ]; pGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with! V" y( x2 D! X- o
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more7 p. X9 x3 v; Q9 ?! N* Y5 F6 D; F/ a. P
balanced recovery.
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0 c3 t2 x A3 T5 C; w" pCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects0 e& Y7 e' {* Q( \7 V$ t( r
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
8 y% `0 i. k7 R( K/ bsupply.& F; x! n% F5 @7 n; k* M$ R3 |
+ b' c& g/ G; bIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and- p7 _, j4 M& L6 |
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable , r3 I# f; V6 J: h3 \0 G. H
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
" K) L0 o# i) O2 M, ]significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
9 m9 Y6 U# g" H$ D1 J3 s0 ?stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
. {' b9 d+ A0 `1 z' a5 X6 \% D% ?developments." i u8 u+ c7 _! B |
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Information note:& X- [3 h" S6 Z% p
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update( H& g; [) j A0 W4 L4 I. U
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
1 H; i! A: W$ @6 ~; Mpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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