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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight) ]* J2 l" F/ g) k- Y, t% @/ Y) _
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly. g W7 Q$ V1 ~* V0 e+ x
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
; z: S7 Z9 h) g2 roperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.8 ?3 \+ |0 Q! E3 u
4 X# v& z' U" ~: w2 HThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with) m3 k/ v M5 V
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the1 x" ^8 a# [, f4 k
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness; k: C. W. S0 a ?
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized." l$ a8 p5 I7 v
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
$ Y+ ^3 f. W# L) g2 o6 Cstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the7 L) U0 L* J1 R/ T6 z& O
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
3 _, a: |- V+ pin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an- w7 X: o. h& M1 [, h
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the( O- a! z6 D( j; l7 d- u
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
' q1 x* S0 ?9 B3 x1 M4 Iprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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* S) _. F3 M& ]Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
6 r' P/ n' H. s& k0 tin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
4 V- R( p& j/ M/ z! pGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with, z1 b- _: _! \1 N
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
4 [1 B9 \! s! Z; O9 abalanced recovery.
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% i" e1 L8 F$ h/ lCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects7 |' Q/ Z( Q l8 Y A2 P/ u) y
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
: l+ u. `# P N% Ssupply.9 t1 H* a- S6 T8 R ^
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and" Z/ N, W( v/ W C* F! {- \
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
* h0 b! G1 x Q# B& m* jmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the $ h, P3 h: C" g f$ G3 G# S; f
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.$ [2 h2 a6 e6 m
7 c, p) l' v8 V; U% m' mGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
- P% z* T& A. }/ Z: F- s; xstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
8 M8 p' t; L) Y3 I9 ^developments.
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Information note:
; W" z2 @6 C1 `; PThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
8 F6 j) W, m" p8 S, C+ p7 s: rof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
s. u8 q' i2 w( Z% apublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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