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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
7 L- ~8 [. E6 H- h* i. Brate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly' H( {$ s9 Q1 S
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
1 }( f8 F: |9 f5 R# |operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
0 [2 c/ R' u* P' ~' z. K0 U( \( ]strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
S+ @8 g7 F, f# W4 f' [8 V8 _# l. hUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
$ J0 w" M; z% e. l5 v9 Iin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.7 C. W3 S7 V5 `* O- u
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal3 M+ b" a; ?& G6 e
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the* C6 W7 |6 U! c8 G
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result9 T3 M" z8 F& }2 h4 g
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an# q* A* V$ _/ T; a
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the) h6 }1 ]9 _% P4 D7 Y# D
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity G( y' j# s% s/ L. r
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.: A! ]) \. |- r; k3 A; a8 V
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent6 c1 r. B: d& X' l7 G
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
" G e o# n, _4 E& E4 ZGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
5 d. r. w1 S7 V1 O* Fincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
$ J3 ?2 M5 O$ \balanced recovery.- X" q D. n- F% A$ o+ R
3 D& q4 }+ z. A- l! g3 OCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects, {5 k" J1 n3 y: J) B3 d) E
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
& u) |- L' i) n5 Tsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and0 y! q' L# C- a: a
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
" A- Z: c/ I# M O% A' N- e4 c: |* R6 ~monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 5 l- U( ]) I, ]! v
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.5 r R8 c0 l1 ^
# Q) z/ c5 ~; uGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary+ K8 T2 a- ]4 b
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
* X& p* t' m9 [& ydevelopments.
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% j$ Q+ o# V4 B1 Q* hInformation note:" O( [1 c3 J. t2 G1 n
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update" k% T! F- h5 ^% d, ]& @
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
3 m8 H2 g! t. Upublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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