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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market: x0 T! k2 r) q4 C m# t' Z
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
) |& W* P" s; t' u( jrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly3 O$ X# [( }) g
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal0 Z4 }" z2 S' y+ B( A- D
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.* w" z/ m/ W: ^' F$ p* C; M
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
6 g7 M1 p4 R$ G, ?' F& istrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
6 h x: P6 v& `United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness4 K1 f `. j1 x! n& d
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
% C x5 ]1 D) b. |. O+ p! ~In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
" }8 R7 ` A8 r Z1 Ustimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the/ A9 H. Z( d# s$ q1 W& I, w+ u3 ~. Y
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result- c" _: S+ a. N$ [& I0 f$ Y
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an7 C! ~+ n3 U- l' I+ }
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the8 L: Y; o; v* P0 V9 w" E
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
h* F, ^$ N O5 |' ~; V8 ]+ n' tprices and some tightening of financial conditions.; R' t7 D- }8 s1 B- }- V& G
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent* j7 X8 _2 h+ z
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed., B2 }2 p6 J. q2 j( A. R/ E1 ^
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with( ?# @) T1 V! p% z
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
4 `. H6 ^* p5 d' [balanced recovery.
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& h5 u% b) r' H- B' @, Y* pCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
; z6 m4 A6 G. z0 c$ M. j" B* Hthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess9 j, V7 ]3 s9 |# u" [6 q p8 G& E# z
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
$ D! H# M3 P" f! \' jto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
& U5 D$ H5 }" w) cmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 0 v5 J" E$ X9 d: _
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.% O9 a" ?6 Y6 X* s2 |7 _
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary- @: n- q3 C& z/ i! y$ B
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic e0 D. [# K# i | N
developments.* e7 k, R( U9 _8 I
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Information note:
' r$ f, H: [: _; b: N, A4 @The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
$ f/ h+ u# q/ ^+ Iof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
8 i* R, C8 ?( k8 x: s1 opublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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