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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market. Y8 q% q; O- | V
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight2 ], ^) N" W/ i5 Q# P0 a3 |
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly* e- y$ P% Z% o6 N: b1 j( o
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
# _2 k; j( O3 g8 j& Woperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with3 Y3 H( Y$ ]! i5 T2 s* I
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
' ]5 t% \4 D' E! S) cUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
! f0 q. m. }9 o" o* o, din Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.7 O! |1 o2 K( D5 s m, z* A9 e, s
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal L/ W1 o+ d5 }7 T ^$ o
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the% U U0 T$ G4 W
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
+ u" W4 t( q$ o6 L4 \6 kin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an* X, d6 A- ]: ^" f" G
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
! `( O- B3 F3 S% i9 R: tspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity% D$ B; K8 ?4 p; t
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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9 F9 P0 ^) k! @! Z) H! SActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent+ l' W& O& s# X; |6 l1 j
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
# z0 n- X/ r: }) e) UGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
1 g% {. W+ s# Q8 r+ s' {income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
$ A9 x% s2 g" tbalanced recovery.8 ?0 t3 \0 B* ~
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects9 r- J, ? j* N9 K
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
+ W9 i( R% m' j- Ksupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
3 Q) w* ^3 j+ j* n* q/ E" Ato re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
' t F k* e7 Tmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
" F( ?1 ^2 X3 f# m& Ssignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary+ I( y( O9 W$ S
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
$ q# |' p) q* T. g! j; u( hdevelopments.$ y- E( ]0 c6 m7 F
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Information note:3 C/ Y! \* R% w$ ^; G
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update4 u5 V: f: y( B9 K" Q; }
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
) z0 q7 L3 j! E7 O' \* upublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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