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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market; H6 C& S2 I, R0 ]+ q j+ g
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
6 c5 e! m! B3 s# w7 l- W# Y, `rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly6 }1 ]# F5 t; D6 E
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
3 e" ? s- @! l$ yoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.3 ^* V# Q/ v* t( W, G
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
% |# N# W& Z9 i$ V9 y/ F5 h% f' f @strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
! E L# |! D& O( m8 {1 ~2 I3 BUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness6 o: @" z8 f) T; @2 F; F1 `
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
5 C- G9 o% E6 e* ?3 f! XIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
( B3 \9 r1 b n; ?: e7 l. { \stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the- u% I- v: m( L/ Z8 f/ T
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
8 c* m; s. J0 Y, T# Jin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
( q1 z% y! N: I$ K' Aimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the3 R# w, a6 h+ T9 \; z& r1 g# k! b
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity. |9 H, R5 Q/ K& }% b8 }% v5 |/ M
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.4 c" T1 ]( N( B& E i# d) h
, }$ M9 ^" M' o0 a) eActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent+ ]( p, S e; f9 X# e0 d n
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
: l+ |9 O7 n0 S5 V) y' {Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
7 a: P7 O7 y$ nincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
/ f! K$ R! x4 u/ Kbalanced recovery.
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3 N( W B4 ]1 x; c& Z& B! I9 R/ g& XCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
0 j( |8 B# D% c% x- rthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess# y. X* J: ~+ n4 m
supply.; C: e& B4 e/ R; q# ], j- x V
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
* Q( W. M: o6 Z# k0 q4 Bto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 4 V: h; y G& |. w4 @: n- _
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
6 ~6 m/ l0 I4 d9 |significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery., H7 x y/ f6 S9 l2 K. U% U
5 m) k8 ~3 G- e) PGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
, e6 I( d8 _- d- D$ W7 n7 j; Lstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
) j ^% Z) q0 [$ b& b/ Tdevelopments. o, f" ^6 [2 T; F( j) m- h
& M/ T0 t E+ ~, @Information note:; x. D7 a3 H! {% C8 c! }( R
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
* `3 c7 Z& L" F- t# tof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be3 n, Y9 i( E/ A( n& n" t& X& I6 D
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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