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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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$ P7 d: E4 z2 g6 q% nOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight4 I1 S" u+ K2 p4 L) T8 o y$ A- v* \
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly0 U9 q" y& P4 D5 _
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
8 Y0 Y2 U+ m% n# p4 C; r1 koperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.0 {0 o5 ?/ @$ b4 b
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
9 l- f: s' P; ^9 g4 \5 vstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
* z5 y8 Z, g ?8 L3 I4 MUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
( l5 _: p, {7 w- S3 A7 }% kin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
* r8 q( ?! c3 cIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
" f8 G8 ^( B* h5 \stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the7 F+ H& R! f; C$ I6 I2 a) I
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
3 D% G/ p; p3 S0 h) _8 D% E: qin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an0 w0 @. x! z6 u7 @0 N G* X
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
9 i: a( U5 o. A$ z$ k8 rspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity: s$ X" y! b j4 v' I; c
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.5 }) ]! }8 z4 i/ r8 \+ F
4 R4 [, y- d, N0 N* m' PActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent& t7 v( e& K+ K; t
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
5 d" m- K# Y' ~. o/ zGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
% c( J# c. x( a" Cincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more4 A- c/ p% X4 ], ]3 W
balanced recovery.
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. p/ y' E P5 d7 X. Z, ICPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
2 Q7 K, C$ ?$ S: }the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess- {, d( t3 G+ u5 h Z9 Z
supply.
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; [% q4 I& @6 }/ a- ]$ PIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
, _: d; P" a9 ~; G" s$ |* Y+ Cto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ; `! R6 L8 K" F% U+ {- q" g
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
/ d$ N* z: \; r& ^- fsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.1 @" B( v. X7 C; m3 Q
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
6 y2 c! h% u& c0 |& c2 jstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
/ l0 ?! [/ L) R" P2 adevelopments.6 x5 q# h* {5 F9 L' r
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Information note:, o O% A$ J) K1 ]1 d8 t
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update- D+ S3 x" y5 ^) V$ Y- g9 ?4 K7 n
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
$ F" e4 d" h9 V9 N4 L) \% ` ~ Qpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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