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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market" i) H" S# T( J$ `( K
7 e! y, D7 o( y, v% ?OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
X1 A4 ^( D# N" k$ n* a! |rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly( E1 `0 Q) I6 j1 y' z
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal5 H% D& o/ `/ z2 B, o0 P D$ Z
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
, y3 n: @" _6 @1 `
- P- k+ G: L$ G& MThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with r* {1 I3 q: b
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
7 ]# B" h- G- _+ NUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness, W7 l6 o' f9 d/ X
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.* H* D) u7 _; A( j
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
3 K9 U* \: d0 R) T9 r5 H' R* gstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the \. m8 l4 M+ a2 m, w" i& k9 {
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
* Q+ Y% ^0 P3 x% g+ ^9 X1 J( Tin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an5 K3 u; A4 |- X% E
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the8 F( \7 \4 v, P9 P2 E: Z4 E
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity9 W6 x) A1 k: e% p' e
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.0 a: ]) p) ]. ^8 f( H9 b
: M$ p3 f' ~8 iActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent6 Q- E7 I# N% ~+ g. U5 l) J5 Y- e
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
8 U5 c- C5 Z `' bGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
3 m: ^' z. W& B( Sincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more; W5 O- w. i+ a9 \
balanced recovery.3 G) m1 V- G. J2 Q
. J* {6 H6 Z- |( sCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects h" N& @8 M2 c& g, B5 P
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
( _2 W! h4 Z: S0 e4 H1 }3 @/ F+ }supply." e% m% V+ u w& J4 J5 w
4 Q9 {6 z) i# [- e! B1 b
In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and1 N$ a3 \* |, q& x" {% p) ?
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
# y9 x9 O, U4 m; E) A! M6 M9 u- m# J" \monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
: A3 q' \) G7 R' s! c: g4 Wsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.: D1 x* ]/ h; T& b" ~$ G
2 G2 n) C7 i5 Z; iGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
% s1 d3 c5 O; xstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
! m2 r5 i4 K* P1 X" P: ?developments.
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& b7 E. P M4 p$ B! L& BInformation note:, J' q/ R$ R4 I2 V
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
& P- |4 N Z" m: L( r' q- c2 {" ?of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be& q/ K1 J4 x/ p# s3 }% R
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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