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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market8 Y# a; ~ e( E" r
$ ~4 C# A' C+ wOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight% d& Z& {" q. V+ M. | i
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
0 j! @% o" z" k* m* oraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal; w- ^* h. J/ @7 `- @& f. Z
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
) N0 Z; V) i3 u0 Lstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
3 R- ?0 R. m; z' Q' ^! KUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness. r, z9 e M* m5 z$ p( g9 i; z
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.; X0 X i2 }- ` Y+ A
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
- |0 s$ ?( l, w$ o! Dstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the( a( m- }6 e- n1 X7 q! R
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result* J( J/ Z/ _1 H4 j" x
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
4 ~& g% J3 R2 X* ]6 M& Iimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
( c/ _% `/ x( c" V! J: e# vspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity* v! p# @4 b; x
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.! ?, ?* I% d1 m$ m+ ~- q+ j
1 Y( r. w8 x4 w. m3 d+ KActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent0 f4 d5 Q% [- i3 P7 C W- N% W
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.# W; S; e% _* J* l/ _# j4 ]) r% O
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
# u7 k8 Q! n8 P q. Z) ~, P6 _income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more; b6 t7 Z [- w) I. ?
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects7 y+ K$ q* t5 H( f1 }, n9 A
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess; V1 R! _. Q# v7 q6 W9 W
supply.
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3 v) L) d* V6 c U: R9 d ` GIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
7 W4 U& E0 q5 r& G& s i9 Y9 Qto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
/ U8 `1 H5 b8 N8 l# b, _monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 3 m, y. o, @6 g7 R! H, x
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.+ z4 ]2 m* G( \/ \3 i
+ m( K, @5 c/ ^. z5 m# E$ W, TGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary: R$ `( _& ^$ b$ ` E
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
& n0 u# W6 @3 }% E: E* Ydevelopments.2 p+ @6 y% W, N/ i
5 [3 R4 {8 T( N; k- EInformation note:8 J8 l+ p% i) u8 x; F
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
$ P9 w' z- g8 P1 `6 uof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be T* Y8 H) J' Y" h: K X) e* [
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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