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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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# l6 a0 c y9 [% S2 {OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight3 p. P" J, m4 Y. q+ |7 k% S2 M2 i+ ]
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly- _% W1 d n0 R; ?6 W2 B
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
' B" {$ F: Y7 uoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.2 p" H. Q9 w& c% k) }/ t. r3 y
7 ^! f6 T" n! \# g; _6 H8 q( v) AThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with4 n7 V: k U, P4 Q3 h
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
2 x. V. a$ ?! [" ~United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness: E6 p6 y; j7 M- m, y! X5 t/ [
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.$ J/ x+ o7 I% m+ C* }, s% Y# O
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal: H! E) r( ^5 J+ o' W! a% e% C0 C+ u
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the7 ~# J8 C/ j' b/ M0 E" q# g
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
& l( I# M1 @4 z7 J3 Din higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
1 a' s/ Z# _7 T( b7 Z3 X- a! q7 Rimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the6 k' S0 E$ P. u- z
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
/ G1 W: H# z- F( cprices and some tightening of financial conditions.8 x" z) m6 E) f6 E
3 h, }9 i$ J8 V9 ~& Y; bActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent b7 Z* A% Q0 Q* N E8 Z. Z0 O
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
* w8 E' T/ L \# [4 gGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with, i9 v( b' G5 W% D: @( R
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
7 \ b) x, c2 [3 g6 Zbalanced recovery.
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9 r! L7 j- b4 t1 Z* Q' Q. rCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
/ t1 S' }/ \9 Hthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess; C) R! P+ l- M/ Y; n: d
supply.# i5 N/ q) @, h; ]
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and5 {& y: h/ X/ O) w% Q% T( V
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
. E+ Z: _+ Z/ `$ o/ J9 |! B% V5 x+ m' smonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
! u" _2 W2 L+ x6 ysignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.8 }' O5 ~/ B1 u% s! }
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
& g% n+ o7 Z. C/ ?" vstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
. b0 j- U h$ x7 ]/ o4 }; `developments.
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Information note:; g! _" m& ]4 e6 ?* J
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
! G3 W* m6 @+ ?of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be: y& [; r7 O! A1 [0 x5 g
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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