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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market" b+ B8 s8 R% \) ]$ o
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight7 i- o6 }$ `; l& ^9 O% y
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly4 W* @! s+ c* Y2 _% r
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
+ C8 d% W0 V4 G- U4 U6 p, ~. W1 ]operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.8 _ v- T2 u* V5 J/ n6 r$ q- P
- I( q: }# p6 m/ pThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with! R' B* l9 O) s" h) x0 M. b1 x: j
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the5 W" K# h) k4 r: E. b6 j; S
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness }( A8 s# z$ ]3 J' ]& M8 l
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.! z) C8 u5 v& w+ |
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
( ]9 b9 k% N/ Y2 V5 J, zstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
3 ?1 g; [! z8 @/ P2 avariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
& E2 j% p& s# Bin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an; A9 {9 w4 _; A0 I& L3 ?0 u3 z( ~9 n
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the& J z) X8 F- T& M; _
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
( c% k. u3 a" _ Q( Bprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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* a! L. ^ n5 i! E+ d4 xActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
; Z3 a1 ~6 b. q' X8 N7 ]: vin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
/ o( a0 x3 h" E$ k; i& t$ c! I; r- ^Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
. K8 ^7 M& b) gincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more: S2 C! j* L% Z- J2 a3 k
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
$ H+ r* N/ t/ r% t- A ~the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
2 a, j. S& n! ?supply.5 {; M2 i8 }, {% p
6 V7 X# r9 Z( a# K) T# k. iIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
; o' C( D& W E& l' l* Q* H/ T# Cto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
& T; v. L6 C6 V6 l P$ A& o8 wmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
7 a6 N8 {3 ^, L" n. ?significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary E3 x. X" \5 u# i% Q
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic0 q7 w+ k- }) o0 w
developments.
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" ?2 W0 M% @5 z3 }* g5 w% n, w4 PInformation note:- d; i+ y$ j0 q* E/ H! n
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
4 ~! P! a+ y( p; ~2 [6 j6 nof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be3 ~$ y1 R% Q0 t
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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