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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market% D: n" A( l) W) |* R7 ]
2 G/ |8 k% u0 @+ ?+ ?5 N& V; hOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
6 ]/ Q9 B/ D, {4 srate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
) R* X' f+ D2 p }raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
4 `! M: |& w5 u; i: O8 p' d u1 Noperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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+ q& g) ?5 A/ [' o0 pThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
- Z7 M3 Q9 N( j# E8 {5 |1 }strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
; `, ?* q% E8 t1 _" H1 [ kUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
( {7 H& d8 T2 C" D$ sin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
( a$ E% j' e7 z2 T- k$ x3 qIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal$ S& `: C* }6 V* W
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the# b( G7 [ t. Z) E4 D3 z" G0 d
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
+ i6 W; J3 _6 P. win higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
. g/ A3 g) W5 j, X$ N4 i' E. ?important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
. I+ {7 `0 D5 P6 E/ j1 B Espillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity1 e& Z, }! p( |% r+ J
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.; T; f, V- y; k4 W
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
+ ]" e( V2 m; ~& s5 Y$ Sin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
) _% L, q. [; ]3 TGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with4 e1 y; j8 y* ~4 H8 [
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more6 y4 u, N1 Q4 w3 b4 W. ~) ^4 x5 c
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
0 z. E% I1 P L+ I2 S4 Sthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess% R. w7 I# n5 O4 M1 D6 _4 n
supply.
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. p' Y; `* I( j2 R! P0 QIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and# M6 ]7 Z, P( l
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
. X3 z0 d5 S8 X3 `# z# }8 M) rmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
; l1 ^! k$ ^4 z* B$ o- ?) Esignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
2 ]8 ~8 ~3 `* c$ q) S* B. ostimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
( y! S: y/ ~. a3 Xdevelopments.
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Information note:# I" B1 } h p* H7 A6 t4 i
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
2 M$ \- g' d0 U; Z5 u: T- Sof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be' P0 i# s$ d% C$ c' W# N& `
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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