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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market, A/ I% l0 N7 M& @7 d3 N( J, W
" M7 Q3 H* a5 [+ k! C6 r/ Q% POTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
! q' _& t9 [" i0 [rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly$ P* ~- s" B( U
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
1 E v, n6 G0 W$ F9 M( Joperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.+ y8 ]; \2 B" s) n' n
0 o* r! B; p; B" n$ |2 l1 tThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
6 {) P- S# T- S) i+ B" t6 F( estrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the- Q/ j# l3 ^/ F& D2 D( V l) i
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness S$ ]4 y& ^: O. `
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.' P* ^" y) N3 P, n; F
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal/ e4 q5 M4 q; L. f4 M# c3 M. Z
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the$ s( {0 z ~$ |2 S0 e' c: v
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
4 D. J+ u: G4 \4 b- kin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an4 e: [4 B4 G& [% N7 n" y! v
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
3 O& f& e2 j. }4 _0 L+ V8 _5 q5 S# |spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
5 d h6 Y$ p6 Y' ?prices and some tightening of financial conditions.; |* v- \( ~ o3 W5 |' F- J
: F* @1 |8 @% k+ P# c# Y& \
Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
$ U, x) t& x; H+ N/ din the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.9 ]1 b- D7 C$ _
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
: ~- A8 A* ^8 P g+ R" C, Zincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
( [; G7 b3 ^' O) l5 v+ qbalanced recovery. M" [0 G- Y2 ]$ D* w. F5 s
; I6 X8 s2 `) ?3 H/ C- LCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
* e+ f: A6 o2 q8 Z- L; w* gthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
7 M9 J# _4 y c5 {# S& `6 }supply.- \" i# m! z" B6 r
1 u9 E) E6 A* L8 B1 T; t& v
In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
% P# u* _+ G/ u0 |- k6 f5 eto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ! _9 y7 g3 G2 @/ Z9 a( h! \3 B7 T8 e8 y& j
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
9 x- H" {( M ], {' `significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.3 \: d. h" `) \9 C" F. r
( o9 P0 M5 j9 J nGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary r, y' Q7 t8 f9 C
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
* h9 C+ w$ Y7 n' ?$ |developments.
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Information note:# s2 Q0 Z& ?) m
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update8 a# j' `. W) Y+ J$ O
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be! Q2 i# o# k) _& |4 [3 [
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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