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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market% a- M0 v) H/ x/ |9 x
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
( i( G4 z$ r. e5 e8 e) F; c) Krate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
( L, A: [) w; \* W, P Q2 \raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
" H( [! |8 q2 h0 boperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.! ?: C6 t! U3 w5 [' \6 o. P9 c# }4 B
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with, A% L" o$ w6 L% O4 v$ r1 D1 U
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the4 H3 s; [! {( P& q1 ~
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
6 v- @3 _" ?* W2 y; ]4 }$ a O/ g* |in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
* |$ d( K% q! yIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal& b# m" U* x3 T$ s$ q; Z# X9 k
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the" m5 j1 f6 M9 o
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
7 S% v+ \5 p# J3 |" X; fin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
6 |* p1 V3 M$ B8 `' ~important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the* H! K/ v( `; v( u
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
% V" |, i9 t3 D S, v ^prices and some tightening of financial conditions.% A$ _6 O, {) L9 @
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent6 g5 P4 X* w# H3 M
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
8 \7 P. `& j% J1 f: P2 `3 J7 aGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
A6 t% \8 M7 ]# Xincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
/ m6 {) e3 I& f a( X* n, zbalanced recovery.
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! ^( x4 e3 i/ T! T" A$ s; ^" [7 TCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
9 g( a0 `: s* W I4 E' {) ?; @6 E1 }# Fthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess1 E# J% v3 \! ]5 g, m( K ^
supply.9 g2 l5 O$ r( I' _+ W: Q7 q6 J$ G
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
, u& \6 J) D3 z/ \# K; mto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable + P$ L% B. V2 H0 u& k, G" N. o
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
0 h2 z5 C. y$ r8 E& P4 Q: Vsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.% @* K( _: d' C) Q
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
4 H5 p" S9 @/ k. V6 W, Y6 y! O- tstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
2 N. I& z- @/ u9 @developments.
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2 d# g+ g- H5 q& @Information note:
2 Z+ C5 V8 I' b, \The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
$ U2 w, {; X% L" }of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
: B/ Q/ R3 L, I0 k1 Vpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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