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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market+ X7 P* c/ I& X' N
- z+ g1 Z) l* G/ x! jOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
# d" O, B/ r _4 m) ~3 D lrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly/ d+ {1 i. }; E' t/ r- S/ G
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
+ N! ~, B$ v9 W& @& N3 z1 Soperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with8 d5 Q9 t2 Y2 ^
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the- P: B$ ~/ m3 B6 o' A5 x+ d! O( \
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
+ {- L! l, \9 }in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.# F+ F; {! y, M
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal8 n' m6 `. Y+ x* S3 x- Y+ P- v
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the& Y8 x9 \2 n) C& J
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result$ s( A, B6 q' N' v% A$ @2 C
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
- q/ C& u1 U% ]3 z, Oimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the) [: h# W! M5 _! z
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity, @# i# d0 N, C- a
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.* o) j0 y! {1 ^4 D& h
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
* o4 C9 V( u' X# K) E! r0 U5 @in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
: a6 ]# Y% U$ F: R" W% h4 kGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
; O0 d @" |5 E# ]! ?income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
& T6 v( j2 `4 P( }. p5 a! H* @! O2 kbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects% Z3 B3 b) ]. B8 O
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
8 i/ Z: d) R2 Lsupply.% a' N }( w" w. K) J3 V% [5 I( X; L
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and5 V) K' W1 j, N! i- {9 q
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable * H( n( \# p* P8 K
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 0 p& B6 b5 e* B# C, `
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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1 H! p C8 E5 k. }/ c1 LGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary; d4 ^# H, w, X6 _! E9 |
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
9 t- l% g8 e3 r* M$ v- fdevelopments.! J* [+ M) @$ ]4 Y# A1 M8 ^# h
! a. }; |8 h) s3 y* I( r, xInformation note:; M+ C' j7 w& E, r3 L; E5 y8 R
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
: |' U$ X1 f7 L6 Qof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be6 C7 `+ A) l/ z R9 j
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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