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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market& v+ c& K8 Q3 u8 l' C
3 C, f2 } l$ j/ B: g+ EOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
* ^% T/ I8 H' \, T( s/ c5 `rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly: r) S1 V! E0 i
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
# O8 x, y0 ~! A( `" t+ ~0 ? a7 Foperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.: |& L# b2 K6 W) W; x+ a5 e: Z
* |; I1 R& E6 t$ X, ^1 \, yThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with( V3 c9 Q& p4 Y+ `9 _7 Y
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
6 K9 }( k! R. lUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
$ ^; }/ M. p' r+ Q4 S( l# vin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.: j+ ~/ u$ D+ P7 J
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal2 ~# W* h! u4 S; O* n8 a
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the V$ Q( ~6 o8 \, F2 T
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result, [. n' j$ ^4 G2 v, E( e
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
; J9 g" U8 \% C7 \: Q2 q2 T4 ?+ ?0 R. Qimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
6 }! J1 h. t8 a2 h t e4 u% cspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
, |7 ]0 T0 b; P! A9 uprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent" P' {" G+ X2 U. R. K- }- X. G
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed. Q& F! I1 c) F
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with7 D7 X& p. T# X1 O& H1 e
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more5 x/ w4 C/ A5 W. I; W
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects7 a7 y) D1 I; M! L9 T1 o
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess) w" F' ^7 A6 V
supply.
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# ]- \' E* W3 Y- ^" mIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and1 W5 n6 A5 T2 R( v3 M7 o
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
' x& D/ h; x" v: vmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
N$ j$ T+ S# b$ }* K# jsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.$ [; C8 }5 ?2 d# x$ z- W
5 [, E/ I5 ?$ y: l/ vGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
# M) Z. j. ~6 [" T1 u, u7 Istimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic& `, \ y2 B3 z9 I ~( m) q
developments.& a5 N$ G! W! E/ L$ v! L% b
4 D6 R1 w! A- d- N2 f* d+ o1 F3 WInformation note:
$ E+ s8 p( @( }/ w+ p$ J5 B. bThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update3 p a Q: I8 t# ^, v$ {; X# J
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
4 a2 N# _* F. t$ `" I* Bpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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