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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
$ o3 y: g |" s% q1 ?' Qrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
4 B- M6 N9 ?! kraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal4 [4 g5 q) y5 n4 B
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.$ s0 |8 w' g3 W5 ~( B0 ?; p6 o& d
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with8 R4 O: g5 O" i0 c! [2 k# H
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
0 r' Z( O- d5 P, c% kUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
2 x" s3 u; I1 f( m" Q, N$ Tin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
3 O2 J, k/ a' \) u1 fIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
! m# s! C. ] l) }0 Dstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the& ` F# e- O2 Z% \3 x; {
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result9 X) i' s8 C9 p
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
. A8 Y% d0 j: ?5 F% d0 m" g( z2 Cimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
/ O1 H; ^' E/ t, G8 c9 o( k% fspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity/ f# S9 K! g3 u
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.4 S3 c& D H0 ^
$ _# y' \$ w$ pActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent2 N! ]- e$ Y) V3 ~
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
6 y6 H& g1 P3 d9 w: ~2 dGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
' T2 z' ?% u" |# E! hincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
h& p$ E* W/ X& [! d Ibalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects0 X) e' \7 K4 b$ y3 y
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
. Z! b8 O8 W/ e6 ~4 vsupply.
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! U/ q: r, F5 J/ ]* aIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
( ]( d: B& p7 d$ i5 w/ C; ato re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 3 o G0 Z5 m$ z4 }3 m' ^, k- o) n! @# d% u
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
" R5 X7 _6 |) {) y* z' Fsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
( d% x2 h# ]6 r$ _0 a7 d2 W( j! _stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic9 A4 E4 h" n: f1 U9 j: \
developments.
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2 z: _6 ?& _- p7 D6 l! gInformation note:% E4 G7 C& |& V. x9 e
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update" W( {7 `. F% ?2 B
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
1 v8 h* t$ l4 a" H. zpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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