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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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+ c% l" K- O) x' |/ GOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
- j. i8 q) f1 t# t. n* c7 V/ hrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly. I. U$ }- U, n( x% V
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
$ t- Y4 w+ `9 P; v* T( o2 G! R' eoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.9 e! P) c* m) P8 }) s1 Z2 c Z5 r
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
& u7 R1 U: c1 kstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the6 Z/ Q9 `$ ~2 ~1 R ]! v* C. G
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness# z+ p) [9 o# f/ O
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
. |# Y ]" t0 m8 q4 X& iIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
! s! U( z0 x. p2 L9 _1 X9 |. ]% istimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
7 `7 p0 J6 m3 i: T" fvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
! N4 n, B: _" o6 V2 Bin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an8 A8 R5 E( l. o& W R# M. q
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the8 k/ ~: A$ r0 ]/ Y. Y6 T
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity# T" x6 l/ ?4 Q2 x# ^2 J
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.8 c' {/ {) b- D, l1 ]& b* }3 W/ \
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
! [: P' F& k$ o" t* _8 z( ain the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.9 W. F) q& A: y5 V
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
9 o, ^, B/ b! c: }( Y( z0 Tincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
, ]/ C; P$ P' D4 Kbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
/ \ p, t4 A& G% K. {! y4 zthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess6 }2 j- r: i6 x$ ?! w
supply.
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) H+ _* \* i. ?) F9 L4 x1 xIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
9 k$ L/ H) `/ y2 C. I# ?to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
. q6 c6 p0 q0 p: cmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
4 T3 P2 R' C$ N6 Bsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
, D0 O8 }. R# |2 {8 Mstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic9 u; m( b9 b, C6 z
developments./ _3 m/ |& Q) {: D- u# r! H* L. ?
9 \. j7 F: \' N: g" LInformation note:
# e! R8 K! Q i) t# V7 ~- W5 m6 P" c( \The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update( L' i. }& Y2 M/ m; ^5 J y
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be9 ~8 ]/ A( F+ c
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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