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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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, \' X# D, N$ A6 O OOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight0 r, p0 E3 x- p) H4 W
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly( L. [. W, ?: C9 F' Y. U4 m% D
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal: E4 \3 h5 l2 _( w, O4 z0 ^/ f
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
, a1 y' E" \0 |strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
7 y5 u; q6 A! W( @United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
; y% M8 {7 q* \$ a/ Z) Z1 }- fin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
9 s3 X% }7 ~" |! }, K6 @ S7 _' Z- hIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
; S! B$ S( n. k: ystimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the5 C! C+ \4 _# ~& \6 Z
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result5 L/ ^0 k* [: [; h
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an: [ h* w# G' _( j- K! y4 e3 I
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
, v" j% g" a( o6 A( n/ K7 A; E9 P" Espillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
# ^( f# N4 Q9 r7 A6 T6 Q" aprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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( t) C8 S- }8 ^4 AActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent- b w/ x; l8 x; d& ~8 g% X
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
; A1 B" `" N3 \4 MGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
|! ?4 ^' h* B0 _# e0 t$ j$ |income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more& j. G$ Q4 w4 f$ S; J/ N- H
balanced recovery.
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' e3 o3 U2 M* M- B: g8 `! N uCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
1 |' t6 G3 R: E* Gthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
9 X3 O' ~% B* ^ Y; Z5 hsupply.: z( ]4 o. v) z3 k# z1 d
( T& n8 A$ O; R: e. H0 m# t- m* uIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and) I; T" b" u6 ?2 G [9 ?, `) B& k
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
; F2 P5 v1 j$ N) s) rmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
/ N5 f/ y8 M( E9 R# B3 [significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.7 E) W0 u0 I. t3 W3 @2 h" |7 c% w
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
e/ i" G& y$ p, @ \) e4 r# istimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
8 Z$ [7 W5 x4 F) h- a7 Q0 G0 Fdevelopments.
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Information note:
; J6 r N; d1 \The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
+ i, N! t: o; i# A4 @5 ?of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
6 \6 {8 ^) s; B$ `; Z0 r/ ?' u1 npublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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