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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market4 B P/ g, r6 \
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
# }2 o+ q8 v; Qrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
7 y6 a! c9 g& D3 g4 Praised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal+ O2 _( X9 B; @; S/ @
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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' l* q! T! O' E# T% d8 IThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
4 {+ J6 m0 C* Y- v" Tstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the+ ^1 t& @4 \$ f8 g5 Q- N
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
. Z9 i. `# l- @0 f+ Z2 Xin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
4 l5 n) \1 [- r! f& S' J dIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
, W' k& r3 I/ o) V, I( q5 t- A+ n( }: Rstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
# h% G* B! ]9 V2 wvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result8 k: `. Z, q6 I
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an$ s/ D5 i5 Z* _
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
4 A" Z: q" {- c% q7 e& E% cspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
) {0 [6 N. p. }prices and some tightening of financial conditions." A3 L6 Y% M. E' F
, f a: i2 e C5 T+ gActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent# t7 e$ N% D; T- t1 v
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.) `- n E3 ~2 F6 R& v
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
- O; F \. m1 w6 n& |6 E) f4 Tincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
7 N) F# d- t) d" J: r$ r Tbalanced recovery.6 z1 A4 E/ `" P4 J
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects& ]( W. Q4 g" U& N, [- i
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess. h" H% P& D# m! @5 S& x/ a+ R
supply.
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/ f( M/ G8 G; m. B' w MIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and8 G$ C+ v) Z$ O6 R& G' N
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
0 @; T" i u3 z6 B# bmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the / n! s- y& w. B9 \
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.3 m* I5 |: Q1 H1 s& R
P# }* ~4 ]. l) j( }Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary0 R. I, y& u* M# S! `& a
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic( ?' G5 K! c, Z0 G/ B
developments.! _& [% K5 \( n% \, S
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Information note:
! h+ S( l) O4 ^$ D' j- O* U5 i' uThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
/ d- K& {; w4 x, yof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be& [/ r% N) k' ?( z: l3 L
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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