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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market3 e9 v. h/ w: A% g& M8 a* p. [' }
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight- k# D* D7 N7 @9 i+ u# V
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
6 G, c0 U" X3 r) o( G" \raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal1 n$ {& b$ P" K! C7 g
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
6 ~$ W* `; s, ?' Y7 s$ N9 Xstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the6 z' u' n& }7 }& V. N8 h
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness, Z z/ L0 y3 R
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.( `% |' U6 R! g6 }! C- ?
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
# D" S! [- h [. Ustimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
# a, Z' V) o: s; ^& C" Gvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result/ C) k) i Z7 |' {0 Y
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an. p4 [% A% U; P1 M5 r
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
4 @" @; P2 `1 p! Y7 Uspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity9 u. g- ~0 y% f
prices and some tightening of financial conditions., k) f+ g9 U( _. ~$ {# ?7 F- Z. u
- I# f3 E% ?4 {$ R! OActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent3 V, _7 G2 n& Y$ ~; e% r
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.& E# e: y8 k) \! b& a8 |) ]
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
7 x& Z7 Y Q/ Eincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
, D0 `/ q# w( P2 qbalanced recovery.' C. l0 J' O( ]" `
' d" G+ n. @3 O2 ~7 l; jCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects8 \/ A9 i. D8 e
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess5 H9 R( y) z# w2 W m t, O1 x
supply.
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$ J8 [+ i/ x* K6 H ^0 c! P3 [In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and. r7 G2 m8 U: g0 p M
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable # H# M/ ]0 O/ ~$ d1 j. s
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the $ D7 P" L# Q+ Z! \
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.1 | q: n$ y* F% h0 d6 _! {- Z
$ K4 D% j: b9 m2 d2 _& e) vGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary6 }' |) _7 e7 o# ?% Y: m4 R
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic/ ]2 D3 w- F2 V! L
developments.
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' B! I, Z4 a3 l& MInformation note:
, a& P5 G6 F* T/ b6 ~The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
0 D B7 n$ e8 b6 b* `of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be' K& }! @/ E) |4 u
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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