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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market$ L: U; F7 x, o
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
# M! q' A4 m( \1 h1 b" {rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly2 ^( W* h+ u4 V [5 E. }1 M* i( T
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
& s" D* h. r [# {# ?operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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1 z7 B/ O! I( g+ Z6 c; DThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with( l _; V: d' q( b3 x& k
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
+ I# a5 v, {3 w3 [, O9 IUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness% b6 J' T' S6 j% V
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
* u$ n$ U+ ^. j' ?' j8 M; OIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal& a4 `, b! a% U% \; A- c5 N
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the3 Y" k1 o- J, u/ \, N5 t% N
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
: K5 X0 p3 |& u; c, M) Ein higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
8 S8 a& [* ^& f5 E0 Y9 k! |important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the3 |/ s0 W, C. ]+ w) a
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity8 Q) U8 n3 o/ U3 p/ K8 r
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.8 l2 _, W7 i9 v' v- `# h
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
8 _& r6 e6 G, e7 l& Lin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.1 P4 ]- D4 S. O8 q% K
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
/ F% z8 O1 l+ N5 T( P* g( _9 l; gincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more: Y( j0 [+ _6 n' x1 ^. ?. j
balanced recovery.! w- d8 t* B2 Q; c A
8 X7 J% E* ?/ {CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
6 W0 \6 H: F+ q# d% I) _the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess9 H5 e0 L% i5 t; ?- k; o" Y$ m2 h$ Q
supply.
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0 Y: |- v9 A# v1 f/ F( k8 x9 L, AIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
" N; |) Z. p. \to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable # t1 l- m# j, J8 H9 a: I% P
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
7 r4 n# T& K' s6 t. h l1 W- Q" Xsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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; ^5 x1 d4 p% M! ]9 [. WGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary6 ^" X O- H3 i' {$ k. Y
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic# n9 d+ [6 D$ T7 p, q3 F
developments.
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Information note:% C8 H! x3 z( ^- r( w
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
' q& o+ J p0 t- |' B1 Oof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be7 @( c' d, z& j. f9 e8 w
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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