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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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" g7 L4 D1 D. t4 Q" fOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight( c( Q7 P5 Z9 R& J/ q+ C
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly$ V+ ] V+ m7 @8 [* f0 [
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
6 |# V# d# E s$ t+ }, koperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.0 R# E) r: @8 F
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with; F6 x% s0 k+ Y- t/ u# u3 G, l
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the$ V! o( ~$ V, M" ~" v5 r- u8 O
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness% T# [4 h* W& a- `. c* h7 D4 K$ t
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
9 x: ~* V# |' Z4 o( z7 b* TIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal1 o" U7 Y9 R) `' s1 ?8 F
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
6 m( _7 q5 I& a9 f# Nvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
# T4 `- v+ ?2 D2 zin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an4 u( l! ^. L' q3 p7 Y1 G
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
# f: [8 d* W8 R9 W/ S9 z% ?: cspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity" `% n2 i# h" X3 [( g1 J8 X5 N, E
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.0 @+ F* N% H4 }
7 J' l5 O* }0 P1 v% dActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent) ^; h! ? l. t) V: ]
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
# [* F. P2 L: E3 @# TGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with2 M1 A3 K! r4 M: D2 D% U( Y
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more0 w) s2 ]) y9 d
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects0 }1 e5 a( m5 @5 D& Z$ h
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
$ X6 ]$ |$ i8 r: P7 V. jsupply.! M l5 i6 E' H) U# F- @ ]. S
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and B0 ^9 k; l$ B7 f: [1 Z/ X3 M. Q
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
0 J6 ~. B' b8 e, _! {9 q+ nmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the $ g W6 C! y8 z
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.( ~' _' t( A0 ?; R9 h
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
6 v _0 X1 b* Rstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
$ f4 S6 v! c# _0 j9 x) }developments.6 d+ L- @; I, O7 u
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Information note:
# ~9 b- v) @6 N9 D, oThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update# x7 x& F+ x: E1 O. j' F+ S0 K
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be4 G4 ~: S5 Z' d6 y2 c
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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