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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market' z7 w1 i7 I0 q& z1 Q* A8 H
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight! Y0 _# r% y* m+ |( m8 A
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
0 R( j% D) ?8 X# k4 Eraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
( [: U7 T2 f9 E) `8 \3 g& J. Qoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.' n4 z9 b5 y, G8 n& N- x% h3 G
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with) G% `1 o- U9 c" d! G, n, X
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
7 a0 \( A3 H \4 c2 E/ K5 qUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness3 d% r V; i) e) g/ o/ R
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.) ?2 O6 l( t; ^ \; G% Y# J
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal1 y9 L7 l% j# y8 W
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
/ J% n" G) w7 n3 G2 H% yvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
+ l" R) s; `8 z/ min higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
7 D% D6 v; | d( Y& Gimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
- N- E$ y$ M' L3 j6 \1 ]& X" mspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
2 N) |2 W; `, ]* rprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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) a( g O8 ?9 {3 l5 @Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent- R3 ]# s. y, u: q
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.+ W$ s7 r/ w( z
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
3 |8 w: \3 V, h. xincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more( }) _: K0 k) }1 \ i! P: J; z& x
balanced recovery.
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* C. N4 R: d0 F; n9 J) nCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
2 y9 D3 t0 J1 T) _8 Ythe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess: L- ]5 q, ~; q5 D4 K
supply.
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4 R+ L b6 W( S* K+ \In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
, f7 G5 L: x7 U1 Hto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable # v* u$ j. `: V# `/ K: c9 q' w
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
" G1 M" Z% C& @8 H! x( F( B) D$ isignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery." w/ G4 R% e4 B2 g. q% |2 h
0 K9 W, j) T1 M2 qGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
: p- r) b* K, D8 @$ Q# estimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
9 w9 O1 w+ ?3 }. Q4 F. _# |developments.* C& z4 O8 d2 J, e
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Information note:
: C; d( F" V/ y5 w$ \' Y. l2 rThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
. i+ |: R" l- Z' m- Mof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
$ [4 `" B4 {' D* z. h9 Vpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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