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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market: q7 G8 T; s/ P5 A& ]2 @: E
# G* D; \2 c' W& GOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight7 E+ V: b6 j; i# x8 w/ `8 f4 T
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly% {5 ^2 i% m1 E0 T s8 r
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal3 A2 Z$ e6 `' B: `3 i
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.& ^) n7 l6 S# ^5 K, c9 F2 ` F
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with$ l3 \5 Q" I- b: }
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the% a2 l; X: _5 T0 h `
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
. f' u& U, z7 ~0 n; Din Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
7 O/ R% Q4 D+ n% VIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal' ~) S5 C9 {1 L; V9 p8 S
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
4 y( u# w! g9 `variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
# H P" ]+ R$ hin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an: F$ p" p4 u& ^4 [# K0 I
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the8 q2 W7 c7 [0 c; }* ?: W
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
, A' n3 e; N) b dprices and some tightening of financial conditions.) E5 @1 q: j: o; K, P' @
" X0 Z: \7 Y. R* M5 I. M- [Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
$ S/ O0 l+ T' f# H8 g- ]in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
. |4 x; M3 Y8 v) J% J0 Y0 UGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with* f) f& C/ L/ B5 Y6 Y" E: x
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more& R4 i& r- }2 L+ ]- q* s
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
% q! E! e, \5 b4 h" e/ W0 Tthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
- G# ~" t9 p) lsupply.: @' E. |" X+ B$ v C8 U0 K: X
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
2 V) T9 G+ g' h9 z" y1 f, B$ eto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable $ D v# _/ f% u, e/ ^0 ]: f
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the * H* v% q$ ?2 E% j2 F) ?
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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( S3 n; N+ O% x1 `8 l4 S) CGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
* Q" S1 h" O- z1 \2 D# E% V9 vstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
+ z; G" ~+ E8 v# I. v( E# ~5 idevelopments.
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Information note:
/ r8 g! x8 @8 ~' P: a W* Z7 q1 FThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update, v( t& C; L }
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be- H0 b( G0 m* h/ h1 T' @
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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