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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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! `* U1 q$ S$ u) IOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
/ C9 w# J2 z6 s) g% Yrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly$ A# V: a8 q* k( T7 g: \2 h
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
8 N) ^5 \1 U- a) F% loperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.; I/ I/ f; X- [+ c* }" I6 U
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with& _5 w" U r. o! \# q: y Y
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the' A: L4 h( l' V9 ]
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness3 }! {- C) C+ R, H @ \
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.6 M* |, j9 O8 f) z
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
" s( _) e1 {' R- O8 d9 }% r, Istimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
; \ e. h9 ]7 z9 G4 Yvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result- o9 B4 ~# k+ P5 i
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
& ^4 d3 @& B, y8 k1 n3 d3 ?important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
/ p$ |- i' G3 x0 P% O$ ?spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity" k* H- L$ W( r7 Y6 ^! q" `* j; q
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
# w r0 E- c N. h- x. k5 r( k) Cin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed./ N1 D# R4 J) {" b
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with* N3 T1 I/ L/ ?% j0 q5 o" l
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
( E: J; b" x9 s/ K f$ U9 ybalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
" C4 o" }% a K ^/ U+ a" Mthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
: r7 x9 X# I# @+ _; Q* l# |0 D+ L& Ssupply.+ R$ u0 u8 b% r7 ^
; X7 A+ P' \$ T, f8 b- BIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and+ d+ k; y; Q' }$ h) C$ E- J9 O* c
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
8 u7 x+ P# O F0 D5 Q% K/ Rmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
, @7 g" j( f6 m% n' k o6 e5 vsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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4 Y, ^# [" L* _/ m {Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
3 }; I4 J6 t% q' w8 ]5 b' fstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic: r8 O! C' p F# Z J+ Q
developments.
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Information note:
% k. i" l% f7 ]5 o1 G- UThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
9 O/ d+ ?/ O$ G: S7 @ h$ mof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be4 s! h3 W) u0 h" A
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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