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Alberta's oilsands could push Canada's oil production to more than 4.2 million barrels a day by 2025, compared with 2.7 million bpd currently, if the investment climate improves over time, said the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers in a forecast released Friday.
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The production and market outlook paints two scenarios.
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) A: J% }- `5 MUnder a conservative approach, which includes projects operating or under construction, Canadian crude oil output would rise to just 2.8 million bpd by 2025, with the oilsands replacing declining conventional production.7 \- w* K. M; v0 ^4 y
% @& O/ `7 y" Y) `1 o, }CAPP sees oilsands output increasing to two million bpd under its conservative approach, compared with 3.3 million bpd under its growth scenario, which assumes an improving economic market.' R9 m& G6 g. j2 P
( h8 P! K0 b, E, m9 L"CAPP's production forecast indicates that even with delays due to current economic circumstances, oilsands production is expected to grow, although the pace of development has slowed," said Greg Stringham, vice-president for markets and oilsands. "Producers expect continued demand for the security of supply that crude oil from Canada provides to the North American energy market."
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" I4 N6 p1 n$ F/ [0 x% h1 }$ GCAPP sees no need for more pipe-line capacity in the decade ahead.
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6 a6 W( U6 v: w" ~"In terms of pipeline capacity to meet market expectations, this year's outlook indicates that the significant pipeline development now under-way will amply connect forecasted production to long-term demand in the North American energy market," Stringham said |
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