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Alberta's oilsands could push Canada's oil production to more than 4.2 million barrels a day by 2025, compared with 2.7 million bpd currently, if the investment climate improves over time, said the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers in a forecast released Friday.& r8 m+ R* R/ d! k1 M( D4 E6 ~4 O
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The production and market outlook paints two scenarios.) E; P! F; S' h a \6 a! J
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Under a conservative approach, which includes projects operating or under construction, Canadian crude oil output would rise to just 2.8 million bpd by 2025, with the oilsands replacing declining conventional production.; _9 A- K( g' _8 B2 z
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CAPP sees oilsands output increasing to two million bpd under its conservative approach, compared with 3.3 million bpd under its growth scenario, which assumes an improving economic market.
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+ C# J. u, b( S6 L0 y% U"CAPP's production forecast indicates that even with delays due to current economic circumstances, oilsands production is expected to grow, although the pace of development has slowed," said Greg Stringham, vice-president for markets and oilsands. "Producers expect continued demand for the security of supply that crude oil from Canada provides to the North American energy market."2 V8 ]8 ]. Y" a+ ~1 \0 e
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CAPP sees no need for more pipe-line capacity in the decade ahead.6 s; u' t/ q( q. f1 P& A
5 J" d- g" w" A) T* y1 H$ r"In terms of pipeline capacity to meet market expectations, this year's outlook indicates that the significant pipeline development now under-way will amply connect forecasted production to long-term demand in the North American energy market," Stringham said |
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