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Alberta's oilsands could push Canada's oil production to more than 4.2 million barrels a day by 2025, compared with 2.7 million bpd currently, if the investment climate improves over time, said the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers in a forecast released Friday.
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- B( x" C5 d" h( n! D. lThe production and market outlook paints two scenarios.6 J4 F7 J$ G) k8 {, z) b7 t+ O( i
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Under a conservative approach, which includes projects operating or under construction, Canadian crude oil output would rise to just 2.8 million bpd by 2025, with the oilsands replacing declining conventional production.* ` a" M: T2 A/ [9 e, G7 ?) f$ ]
: y9 Q! g1 k8 B* X* mCAPP sees oilsands output increasing to two million bpd under its conservative approach, compared with 3.3 million bpd under its growth scenario, which assumes an improving economic market.; `1 a$ G0 j# \- U" k- _0 w" L: C9 Q- Z. {
, k7 p$ X& K! ^2 p3 L" Z% }6 F"CAPP's production forecast indicates that even with delays due to current economic circumstances, oilsands production is expected to grow, although the pace of development has slowed," said Greg Stringham, vice-president for markets and oilsands. "Producers expect continued demand for the security of supply that crude oil from Canada provides to the North American energy market."& r( T! w, I" u
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CAPP sees no need for more pipe-line capacity in the decade ahead.
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"In terms of pipeline capacity to meet market expectations, this year's outlook indicates that the significant pipeline development now under-way will amply connect forecasted production to long-term demand in the North American energy market," Stringham said |
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