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Alberta's oilsands could push Canada's oil production to more than 4.2 million barrels a day by 2025, compared with 2.7 million bpd currently, if the investment climate improves over time, said the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers in a forecast released Friday. Q {1 H" W1 z9 _. t! t0 j
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The production and market outlook paints two scenarios.
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Under a conservative approach, which includes projects operating or under construction, Canadian crude oil output would rise to just 2.8 million bpd by 2025, with the oilsands replacing declining conventional production.3 D y3 w+ u- r) f5 [
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CAPP sees oilsands output increasing to two million bpd under its conservative approach, compared with 3.3 million bpd under its growth scenario, which assumes an improving economic market.1 j- u ]' m) d+ L) K1 S* v( i7 A
; _* I$ J6 ]5 h"CAPP's production forecast indicates that even with delays due to current economic circumstances, oilsands production is expected to grow, although the pace of development has slowed," said Greg Stringham, vice-president for markets and oilsands. "Producers expect continued demand for the security of supply that crude oil from Canada provides to the North American energy market."# r: A) H! _' C5 g; p
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CAPP sees no need for more pipe-line capacity in the decade ahead.5 p; p" |) w, Q# d/ |! z& |
/ `1 m, N' ]% h/ P: q. W8 A"In terms of pipeline capacity to meet market expectations, this year's outlook indicates that the significant pipeline development now under-way will amply connect forecasted production to long-term demand in the North American energy market," Stringham said |
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