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Alberta's oilsands could push Canada's oil production to more than 4.2 million barrels a day by 2025, compared with 2.7 million bpd currently, if the investment climate improves over time, said the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers in a forecast released Friday.
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4 H, f5 E! B" t; Q/ {+ S3 m. KThe production and market outlook paints two scenarios.
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2 H8 l2 T# t4 z1 E: U6 X+ AUnder a conservative approach, which includes projects operating or under construction, Canadian crude oil output would rise to just 2.8 million bpd by 2025, with the oilsands replacing declining conventional production.. y Y3 h" f; B+ P0 m7 W
# N* A8 `) v1 F8 V4 c) |2 jCAPP sees oilsands output increasing to two million bpd under its conservative approach, compared with 3.3 million bpd under its growth scenario, which assumes an improving economic market.
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+ c+ y: A: ~/ d0 K$ ["CAPP's production forecast indicates that even with delays due to current economic circumstances, oilsands production is expected to grow, although the pace of development has slowed," said Greg Stringham, vice-president for markets and oilsands. "Producers expect continued demand for the security of supply that crude oil from Canada provides to the North American energy market."
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: i4 W+ D* V8 i0 V) d$ qCAPP sees no need for more pipe-line capacity in the decade ahead.' m, E# G9 R. ^( s6 ~5 {! N
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"In terms of pipeline capacity to meet market expectations, this year's outlook indicates that the significant pipeline development now under-way will amply connect forecasted production to long-term demand in the North American energy market," Stringham said |
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