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Alberta's oilsands could push Canada's oil production to more than 4.2 million barrels a day by 2025, compared with 2.7 million bpd currently, if the investment climate improves over time, said the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers in a forecast released Friday.
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, G( A& b" t, ^% o8 ^2 FThe production and market outlook paints two scenarios.2 k; P# T! h: ~
, ]/ ?7 h( @) D. bUnder a conservative approach, which includes projects operating or under construction, Canadian crude oil output would rise to just 2.8 million bpd by 2025, with the oilsands replacing declining conventional production.
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; l" ?- t/ C2 j7 O# t: _- u9 L" V4 ]CAPP sees oilsands output increasing to two million bpd under its conservative approach, compared with 3.3 million bpd under its growth scenario, which assumes an improving economic market.1 i: M$ X) |! i/ n) W
2 p* d) l1 q! z6 ]"CAPP's production forecast indicates that even with delays due to current economic circumstances, oilsands production is expected to grow, although the pace of development has slowed," said Greg Stringham, vice-president for markets and oilsands. "Producers expect continued demand for the security of supply that crude oil from Canada provides to the North American energy market."
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CAPP sees no need for more pipe-line capacity in the decade ahead.3 u p: k0 `# y- j3 d
8 [0 x5 U! M: B, L2 L+ @"In terms of pipeline capacity to meet market expectations, this year's outlook indicates that the significant pipeline development now under-way will amply connect forecasted production to long-term demand in the North American energy market," Stringham said |
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