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& [: v- W3 t% x# ~* _9 U3 {Below is an Interesting article I found, which says that.....Do not % D/ x" @0 Y- Y8 Y9 b
expect much from Crude Oil producers and future is not with the ) `$ q( K- c8 \9 {1 ?; ^! W5 d
companies producing Jet fuels but Biofuels. Also no wonder if some of $ B) k- o/ e+ h; \+ B+ ^; L
these oil producer will go bankrupt or out of the business even if / b, v, T: h/ Q* U
crude prices improves. This implies also to good names such as Shell,
6 `, k6 Q9 Z. J( I2 j6 v, hEXXON, BG, BP, Cheveron ....xyz.. oils ( c! h+ N9 I# E2 C) I' b
7 f" o! x ?6 V' h4 N1 ^5 b) {9 J$ aRecently OPEC reduced crude oil production twice over just a few
) b" a' b) p$ }* q. Qmonths. There are three wars going on in Gaza, Iraq and Afghandistan.
( w3 b# _' q; b9 g7 y( O2 qA year ago these things would have spiked the price of crude oil by at
- A/ I7 j2 r* i8 L" A/ X gleast $50.00 per barrel. Today, oil price declined by a record amount. - G/ n3 Q7 h: U% i: c1 v
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5 e: m1 T$ Z, A! x/ oThere are several reasons the price of oil is decreasing in the face . f; G3 a8 a5 H1 q3 k. _
of so much news. These reasons are: 4 O9 w0 P0 E" s8 S* S, l) \6 h& W
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6 Q: j0 V9 c# A3 M' X5 K1. New oil has been found in Canada, Montana, North & South Dakota and
8 C# E. T7 V k4 Z# R {in the ocean near Brazil. Each of these oil fields has more oil than
- Q6 k, X$ T( |; @; OArabia. 4 w( c, s a- }2 Y
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: s7 C- @' A. b5 l2. New natural gas has been found in Pennsylvania and West Virginia.
. \6 S6 w; v: e: k- X0 lThis is the largest find in North America.
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3. New methods of injecting CO2 and surfactants into oil wells is $ _4 C7 S: q; b4 D' T# O' t4 A/ ?
being used to double their output.
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, B* b* A& A9 W9 ^) O( n4. Production of bio-fuels is beginning to reach critical mass. Bio
! r `- s3 ?0 n& yfuel is being produced from many plants and algae. The production
) F. ~( e9 [( r: Tpotential per acre in some cases is astounding. Many countries are 8 h' ^/ L# P( i6 ~5 ?
racing to produce bio fuels. 7 q9 W: f6 V1 @: e/ W& f
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% q$ C4 B7 @! J) i5. Virtually every restaurant in the US and all food processing plants
3 u5 U, |0 L" Tare now selling their used oil to bio-diesel producers. Every pork,
" a1 Q3 G4 N6 o1 r/ `+ ocattle, turkey and chicken processing plant will soon sell their fat
3 J; [- d5 e- Q' p+ L8 cto bio-diesel producers. One pork processing plant in Oklahoma is
9 b' |, d0 w6 W' M& f l. U" }producing 30,000 gallons of bio-diesel per day from pork fat. 7 H4 k) M) u5 O( z0 g* t
5 H% J* c1 n) v, x. Y2 o& Z' G2 o0 [6 Z. w7 L: Z# Z0 M; l
6. There are 99 nuclear reactors in various stages of planning and " o" u" ?8 O1 t2 D7 y# C
construction around the world at this time. Several hundred more are
' e4 _; }, p) v( D2 E# V8 M9 Fexpected to be built in the future. Much of the energy they produce ! k8 l2 ^$ v) b7 \2 ^
will replace oil. / |' D2 p v3 [ L
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7. Every company in any form of transportaion business is replacing
8 q$ H9 c; k5 Q& t |older equipment such as trucks, airplanes, train engines, ships, etc. 6 Y9 q8 g4 T; M6 I9 p
with new more fuel efficient equipment. Airlines and railway companies 0 i) X2 x! r7 q* S1 G& D2 I
are experiencing 20% to 25% better fuel econony with the new
+ e0 V, r" N. R1 zequipment. ; X7 X1 t: A9 {& E
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$ e( K F# w5 v' @. Z$ v: I+ j2 FAirlines are flying airplanes with bio-fuel. They are finding the bio-
* i+ [8 t* y* q" H& ?+ n' L Xfuel is cleaner and performs better than jet fuel. 6 L6 z$ m! l+ m* B
' f( L b+ t( ^) o9 P+ }4 ]2 j) w9 W8 G( f9 `. j
8. Cities and counties throughout the US are selling the rights to
& t- e2 N9 z' d/ @4 B% h9 g ^capture methane gas from landfills. This is a huge source of gas 9 ]* g6 Q- Q% a3 Z
available at very little cost or risk. The gas is displacing crude ' y$ w# i: a7 Z u4 e
oil. & m1 I" E( X; a+ }" e/ v
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9. Coal is being transformed into a clean burning liquid fuel. The CO2
; ~4 k/ R9 K5 H0 }' L7 p( n5 b, cproduced as a byproduct is sold to oil companies for injection into 9 ^3 c, Q. O0 }2 L
oil wells.
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e6 w' L3 [; u( {+ }10. Solar, wind and ocean energy is displacing oil as an energy
# Q! _" c [+ Ksource. Three new wind turbines are being erected every day in the US. % u' P) k H, g7 Y; I
+ m& _2 F) ^. x, v$ _; ]
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Each of the above by itself will not make a large difference in the 7 c4 P! h8 M& {% w% B
price of crude oil but the sum of all of them together is world 8 F) C. b4 E% s
changing. The important thing is that OPEC no longer has the ability 3 ^, u+ f% \8 P# [
to control oil prices.
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With the above scenario, I still believe that there are under
, T& {" Q+ y! p, W6 j# hperformed OIL companies and probably they are yet to get the justified * X% K5 D4 g# J6 l+ i
value .....
( l: t: M! J1 @6 B, ^IAE- Ithaca , EPL Energy Partners Ltd, Opti etc ... & Q+ ~; b( b0 I }0 O
8 \0 \1 W5 `" Z- [5 @5 h/ u5 H, L3 g% F9 Y" F& b* z6 v/ A
The above articles are from WSJ .............PUBLISHED ON 9TH JAN 8 u& r* }, b$ q* `5 p8 `( r ~
2009 ... FYI-Only |
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