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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. / W+ i8 w1 p% G1 \
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. 4 p: K+ w& t6 W- X
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The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.0 s; ~! {0 x: Q2 [9 _' h: J
9 X( O4 j \( F' ], B; x/ e9 u) dIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700." [ b8 W5 R: @9 `
$ W/ G3 [( c+ l"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. " @4 @. Q/ {3 V/ W
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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. v+ x2 s/ n6 \* XIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.1 ^. l* ^. n1 E% Q" `2 s) [
6 W" P: h, c* j$ W# y& WCMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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