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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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- k3 ]/ e L0 B# m% X6 iThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. & w- h3 B. I1 i# ~; R. ^& ?" ~
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The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.( \) f: b# N* J1 J/ U) y
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.7 i+ y9 z8 Z: V3 B/ J) v* D2 M
$ E5 }! J( @- e6 p: Q: p: e"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. 6 N, G5 N# |2 @7 x! B
7 V8 h+ M" s: ]7 g. j* \# y& D' NHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." / z, Q. w& }8 q" }* s
% u/ M( L: L; c" ^+ ?0 X* WIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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& f* C; P0 e8 mThe agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.# G+ z: G3 k" B5 k" X9 w
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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