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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. 5 ^9 s2 P' O' O4 ]# N
, e* G& F; y2 S) H9 X2 WThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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; ~: x% Y- n3 i3 m& k6 i/ t' _It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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) T1 ~- y, `8 V7 r. ]5 i"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. 1 Q3 ^: l& M$ {8 Y
' z9 a+ A2 j3 n8 i. SHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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[' Q7 B; T' N0 ^( q4 tIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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! L6 `1 J8 s5 v8 [The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. 3 [) F' K( E+ L9 U$ G% D' k
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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