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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. - E- E+ {1 C5 F7 a: C" G$ n
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The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. 8 D! n* {. d" T2 O
; `! B9 L2 @7 y: Y( GNow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.: k' [6 G$ z5 u$ @5 D
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700./ J" U% x$ {; `4 ^8 @
o/ N( E, z4 P% j1 v ^"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. * W4 n, O8 `$ ?
; i6 j8 j1 ]* JHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. 5 \% g: C+ e1 g$ o, W% f8 \- t
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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; j' ^- f; d, q( b" K- D7 ^" nThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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3 |- Z3 K! c0 ICMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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