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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. : d' j G& j# G( e; B1 D
0 u* h# R/ l$ Z/ wThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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1 G5 l; c: g, {4 d; bThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. 7 D7 L8 V; a4 h+ A
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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8 E; @5 N k5 h$ nIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.2 K2 v" V, i( ^! ^
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. ! O$ G1 s" T3 F F: v+ w
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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0 r$ Q! c4 q- ?5 s: V& \It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. 6 {) x/ A$ F) f$ n; m( }+ ~
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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