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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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. y8 V& {5 b3 x; a5 J( `$ N2 ~* P- bThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. " K) Q8 L- \: U
8 r5 G) s; i& ?7 o1 YThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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* ?6 Y N( s! gNow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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9 A% G% \/ O, n1 M- u"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. 4 A6 S( o: y4 z0 J5 f) `; p- p
4 n+ z+ I" U7 }/ T, J4 y6 pHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." . K" D8 Y0 [9 o( _0 i8 }$ x0 E# C5 m% {
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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% Y" u- F/ v. X0 h8 AThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.6 l( U+ X; d# o3 V/ s( ?9 t" T
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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