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Oilsands an emerging global growth star
, W8 C7 A; S+ \7 e i( L* i1 xExxonMobil forecast predicts output of four million barrels a day by 2030
( G0 T9 s5 e D9 [# [Gordon Jaremko, The Edmonton Journal
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2 r( O b3 I: q$ Z, U# M& uEDMONTON - As oil leaps towards a new landmark high of $100 US a barrel, the world's top investor-owned producer has singled out Alberta as an emerging global star of production growth.
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Oilsands output will multiply fourfold to more than four million barrels daily by 2030, ExxonMobil Corp. predicts in a new international industry outlook report. And that forecast errs on the conservative side by projecting "fundamentals" of demand and supply trends instead of relying on prices to stay sky-high, ExxonMobil spokesman Allan Jeffers said Tuesday.# O- N/ l/ R2 L# a) w' e" r
& P4 t5 I' J$ wOil jumped to $96.67 a barrel, up $2.69 in New York trading Tuesday on fears of global supply disruptions after storms battered North Sea production platforms and guerrillas attacked a pipeline in Yemen.
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Gasoline prices in Edmonton were 99.9 cents per litre at many stations on Tuesday., K4 \! {) m6 K9 y9 D7 \1 v
Larry Wong, The Journal
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Edmonton refinery postings for Alberta output Tuesday ranged from $60.74 for low-grade heavy crude to $91.11 for premium oilsands synthetic production. The Canadian benchmarks are translations of international prices, adjusted for pipeline tolls and currency exchange rates.) e+ p3 X& ?6 f; I; T$ G. a
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ExxonMobil's high oilsands expectations are realistic and reasonable, said Bob Dunbar, an Alberta industry veteran whose Strategy West Inc. specializes in the field.
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6 V4 P% E5 J) POutput from the northern bitumen belt would grow to six million barrels a day if all known projects were built on their announced schedules, Dunbar said.+ `, U/ o' t# F/ u# x9 Q5 y# P% R% h
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While no one believes the current spike will last, the looming new record high is seen as confirming that a new era of premium prices has arrived to stay, he said., P7 [0 `5 B4 Z3 v8 ]& i, S
4 [! }# [1 T" N9 q) A& bWhen the oilsands rush began in the late 1990s developers only relied on markets to stay in a range of $20 to $30 a barrel. To be profitable, new projects today count on sustained averages in a higher band of $60 to $70, Dunbar estimated. |
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