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Oilsands an emerging global growth star
0 `3 I' R% b1 R( I" y/ l5 h$ ]3 YExxonMobil forecast predicts output of four million barrels a day by 2030
. g* ^0 ?6 S1 { w9 E5 cGordon Jaremko, The Edmonton Journal
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EDMONTON - As oil leaps towards a new landmark high of $100 US a barrel, the world's top investor-owned producer has singled out Alberta as an emerging global star of production growth.
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, j$ W/ A5 X& j2 |Oilsands output will multiply fourfold to more than four million barrels daily by 2030, ExxonMobil Corp. predicts in a new international industry outlook report. And that forecast errs on the conservative side by projecting "fundamentals" of demand and supply trends instead of relying on prices to stay sky-high, ExxonMobil spokesman Allan Jeffers said Tuesday.
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Oil jumped to $96.67 a barrel, up $2.69 in New York trading Tuesday on fears of global supply disruptions after storms battered North Sea production platforms and guerrillas attacked a pipeline in Yemen.
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Gasoline prices in Edmonton were 99.9 cents per litre at many stations on Tuesday.' `; S) [7 M& m) z0 Y
Larry Wong, The Journal* k' C5 }0 U T& }) Z
% D+ L% D- ^2 P! q3 GEdmonton refinery postings for Alberta output Tuesday ranged from $60.74 for low-grade heavy crude to $91.11 for premium oilsands synthetic production. The Canadian benchmarks are translations of international prices, adjusted for pipeline tolls and currency exchange rates.
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. f: X0 E7 k/ e; Z4 I" }- k6 C( pExxonMobil's high oilsands expectations are realistic and reasonable, said Bob Dunbar, an Alberta industry veteran whose Strategy West Inc. specializes in the field.
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Output from the northern bitumen belt would grow to six million barrels a day if all known projects were built on their announced schedules, Dunbar said.
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7 W4 E6 \7 u( W: d9 b2 cWhile no one believes the current spike will last, the looming new record high is seen as confirming that a new era of premium prices has arrived to stay, he said.
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' h0 ~, @8 B+ C, Q! Z X7 kWhen the oilsands rush began in the late 1990s developers only relied on markets to stay in a range of $20 to $30 a barrel. To be profitable, new projects today count on sustained averages in a higher band of $60 to $70, Dunbar estimated. |
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