Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
! w8 O; _" z  v% B# yIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board
  ?1 ^1 S/ p6 l$ M: n) I
Date      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  

4 p$ H/ C9 n* y9 d) P8 O' BOct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%
; N7 z: V) Q8 d2 n" ?$ v
! N) c5 U' O' k  c0 G8 r* BSep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%
$ j1 I1 c8 F, j6 K% ~3 d4 ?
/ c3 C9 F0 I# F! X, r# d- p( ~Aug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%

9 k% r8 e; ], w& G, O' wJul 2007
  j* l* B' K8 n' M; n0 ~% I1 R NA
+ |( b  e6 Q% V7 V! g- i- S+ V 2328
, c5 ]8 Q8 h9 F+ W) {, H8 Y  F 717
# d- h8 U" o$ v& ?6 X: D 442,752
8 t* K4 i* q6 i5 X  U% q$ A 410,000
320
28
. ^6 g( A) L! j+ o6 S* X; b3 R, | 31%

) U. \/ A1 s. c' BJun 2007
NA
2661
& F$ }4 }1 Y/ g6 R5 @5 o 1011
442,817
7 C0 q2 E9 R5 t# g 409,000
( p1 [* u* O! q: V, z 328
22
38%
/ t% N# _7 B/ g( t, M' ?8 k; S
May 2007
/ @$ A( o8 u# I9 W NA
' `# }, f* S3 {4 ]6 ~! ^; s$ [' w 2288
1261
451,216
$ W: j* ?$ P# n) }# }- f$ T/ g 415,000
, e+ U) T' [  P& L  w8 s 322
19
55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
" j0 }0 k! i. B* c6 k! t鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
6 o: b  R% n. z8 R9 }3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
, \0 U7 }$ g" }' n. c存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
6 t/ B! ]* U1 j6 m( h鉴定完毕！

3 C: O1 ~- _# u% u呵呵，太不专业了吧。

- p3 J/ e2 e& E+ t$ @- v. W& d新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量
: [) e! I" A- [1 b1 V
  V$ Z/ e7 s% l' C# J' @/ v就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量

这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
# T4 `6 b5 u( W; M" a4 u9 A0 aDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

" H$ g' M* w& f

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

, P- V# w  z& H0 A9 r

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
$ Y& I: y# `' W. lIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
' F3 `* d& d, \) C% j" QHow about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
That is what i say half full or half empty.
good luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
. r5 M2 r, E1 N# D6 D. h9 ZIn average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
2 [7 e8 b$ R' @, b7 [" h  d0 lIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
  ~. D. n% L. S9 n( MHow about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

' J+ F1 D8 f- w" P) rI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
* o6 S3 a( G$ [( j, K8 X+ }Edmonton Single Family Home
# I/ C7 I+ k- \3 QMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
2 @& Z$ I. E" W* q, d" K7 i* eNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

- r  \+ W+ t: o. lQWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表


6 k0 h, }  n( o8 oI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

9 S' ^: T; r% f! B+ }

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
' {" @, ~+ d9 q2 g: T1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
/ f: S3 ^/ W; E2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

* R4 o8 e0 r" i  `- M
  h& F% @$ J4 u下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：


9 V+ m) x) _" M& c! O. R% s; L
& {6 ?* q# w8 i8 A) `4 R. O+ S只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
5 f/ J) F# K8 R5 n; L2 s6 C看来，观察days inventory 更重要。