Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
* T& _) w9 b9 |6 q! RNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board
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$ k: m: Y# c- i" aDate      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  
& w& q7 Z* O- D7 p7 A
Oct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%

7 _# p4 T; u/ }* b, sSep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%

Aug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%
: I7 R4 w; J0 Z1 o' ~/ I5 @2 ~. _+ _
* D6 i/ j. r0 k7 e. s, R6 `Jul 2007
NA
& _0 N; U7 j5 K2 e% ^ 2328
, c: z& D. Y1 M+ U' A+ [6 J 717
' {1 \6 q  W* z# F  y 442,752
410,000
320
9 @% m. b/ U7 a 28
31%
% q% z+ o. X: y' D5 f
Jun 2007
, ]7 C8 ~3 K5 v$ F+ J3 Z. p NA
2661
1011
442,817
  k  W" o  ]( e5 b- U/ C' }) E 409,000
328
22
% M& _$ X+ }) z  o% z/ l8 ~ 38%

+ w1 H& I, [, vMay 2007
NA
' ^8 g/ c; @: m; s0 b, _0 [% t2 l. V 2288
2 y( J$ p/ p/ b. l! ?4 a+ p 1261
% X- T% y, G" Z( ? 451,216
415,000
9 s7 _: q/ E$ P  l 322
19
55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
3 M" D" t& p& r鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
- O6 m% M+ n3 l6 r鉴定完毕！

( n& ~0 T+ d6 H+ I! U
用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
/ ~0 A' |/ X$ f3 W5 a* P7 `0 O3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
8 E% P* d$ {) V& m) f1 H+ X鉴定完毕！

呵呵，太不专业了吧。

6 x- q+ T0 h! @1 y5 ]/ I新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量
9 t& K  O1 J9 w6 h5 R
就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量
2 e6 t5 ~. ?9 k, E+ L5 X
% o4 X. s+ Z- W+ F; L这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
% c# d1 q/ F+ KDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
$ B4 E9 p  F! Q/ u9 w8 f# i( \8 c  xIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
That is what i say half full or half empty.
$ h  Z$ v+ x9 tgood luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
0 j# [' @  z8 s  \In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
( \% n# B; f3 ?& RHow about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

& l. J# C+ F  b/ x; i4 `I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
0 y; Z/ x% b9 a1 `+ X; W( SIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

QWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表
2 t$ W5 b0 R. [2 T
! D  m" z' \+ d/ D7 |
3 F3 G9 x. D. f# d1 ~I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

  v+ P7 w, {5 c

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
6 `  U, V! u, E1 [( W1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

5 w9 A2 a3 C: z2 h3 x下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：
) W# l$ k) Y8 V. }6 f8 L

: ]) p% Q7 a% b+ l$ g2 a) J* k
只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
看来，观察days inventory 更重要。