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原帖由 smalltown 于 2007-5-2 09:35 发表 " \: Y, J% L3 u+ x# }. q' S3 _
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# M' Q8 h K+ {6 g/ B cMost people already have homes, so they just trade up without paying too much. The first time buyers suffer a lot, and most of them won't be able to afford a half million house. They will buy ... x% z7 g' P( G4 j
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老兄分析得有一定道理, 但有一点观点值得商量. first time buyers 是对低价房的唯一推动力么?
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我看不是, 在牛市里要用牛眼来观察, 用牛脑来思维. 房子涨价了,收入提高了, 大家都有钱了, 由于对房子进一步涨价的预期, 很多人就会换房子, 这样会促进大房子的上涨, 同时有些人会拿余钱去投资小房子, 促使first time buyer的门坎越来越高. 这样会造成一个房地产市场从从低价房到高价房的"良性"循环, 推动它们一起上涨, 一直到一个新的平衡点. |
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