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Ron Chalmers, The Edmonton Journal0 B4 _; q2 e, L/ y( H5 K
Published: Tuesday, April 03, 2007
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" C- |* k" o& eEDMONTON - Most Albertans think this is a bad time to buy a house -- but a good time to buy major household items.3 t# J) T; U. P
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Leger Marketing surveyed 900 Alberta consumers for PricewaterhouseCoopers, in February, asking about the economy.
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, @: q, `& k$ O# N% YResponses were compiled on a 200-point scale, with scores above 100 indicating optimism that conditions are good or will improve, and lower scores revealing pessimism that conditions are bad or will worsen.
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Is this a good time to buy a house in Alberta?# C& H2 h% t" d
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No, not according to the sample's composite score of 71, showing significant doubt.
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Leger's report noted "the relatively pessimistic sentiment regarding interest rates, combined with the fact that the housing market in Alberta has boomed over the last two years."' h. R& E$ M( u+ w& P
6 `/ T% z( P6 w4 ^5 \; m4 {% U! d" RWhen asked specifically about interest rates, the sample scored 66, with a widely-shared belief that rates will rise.
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( x" l1 b2 T0 iA question about household incomes drew a score of 141, as most people expected incomes to rise.
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- Z3 m; ?$ B! d0 Z7 E( iThe sample scored 161 -- overwhelmingly affirmative -- when asked whether this is a good time to buy major household items "reflecting the fact that many Albertans are experiencing unprecedented levels of disposable income," the report said.
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: r' X, O/ a; BThe prospect for future unemployment was highly optimistic at 127 -- although it's hard to imagine how unemployment could fall any lower.
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, o7 [0 v6 `. }$ o& b& BA related online survey of 420 Alberta business leaders similarly found optimism about fiscal conditions, current and future business conditions, and future unemployment -- all pushed by "the hot Alberta economy," the Leger report said.+ K8 \4 P: k' Q
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Among those several measures, it found that fiscal expectations were the least positive, "which may be attributed in part to the fact that Alberta has a new premier in place, creating uncertainty in relation to fiscal conditions if compared to the previous Klein administration."
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The business sample, like the consumer sample, expected interest rates to rise.. e; Q% y, ~5 S4 L. A# X
; N! }& z1 v2 f' [Barry James, PricewaterhouseCoopers' managing partner in Edmonton, urged borrowers to consider the risk of higher rates.
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"If you're going to make a large spend, ask yourself what one or two or three more points would cost," he suggested. |
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