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2007年房价上涨15%

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发表于 2007-1-11 19:22 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
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& ?0 A5 a) B* _8 Q* h) ?3 CThu, January 11, 20075 Z# A* i, R0 g9 d: i4 a- c$ M
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Price is still rightEdmonton Real Estate Board president expects a 15% climb in 2007
& S! u4 ]7 t# x$ ZBy NEIL WAUGH, EDMONTON SUN
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They're changing the guard down at the Edmonton real estate palace. ! f' O3 \+ O1 p

% M  W* t7 I, x  |. O& VMadeline Sarafinchan is out. Carolyn Pratt is taking over the Edmonton Real Estate Board president's gavel - the kind of blunt instrument that some realtors, I suspect, would like to use on ComFree Edmonton upstart Travis Holowach. More on that later. ( o! p; a) r3 H# @
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But first, the EREB president's bold predictions and fearless forecasts. ) i& G1 `8 h# u

' g: x6 i+ X  m$ N; o  jDon't expect a repeat of last year's housing boom where condo and single family dwelling prices spiked an incredible 52%. Pratt is now calling for a more modest increase of 15%.   z) P! j. j) k) ?% Q
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'CONTINUED DEMAND' / P- o9 K" \$ U
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"We feel the increase will come because there will be continued demand, consumer confidence, a very robust economy and low interest rates," Pratt whooped at the EREB's New Year's kick-off conference at the Westin. "All the factors are there for another terrific year." " \! P: G* \6 _6 v
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She predicted that the total number of residential sales isn't expected to increase in 2007 - despite thousands of pot-of-gold seekers still flocking to the capital region from across the country as Ontario continues to sputter. - @$ [4 T) t  b; l
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"There just won't be enough houses to sell," she sighed.
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Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation senior analyst Richard Goatcher was also talking a good-news-bad-news scenario at the board meeting. ! t0 a, h% X0 g$ J$ W3 X" r
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"The big issue is, are we going to see continued in-migration into the city with the volumes we had last year?" Goatcher said. His expectation is "somewhat less." / k, n: V% W5 T$ ?2 P- U
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Still, total new-house starts will be "fairly similar" to last year's pace. 2006 turned out to be a record year. So was 2005. But Goatcher is predicting a 5% decrease in house starts.
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2 [, m4 x- d. [  w9 n"A lot of it is due to capacity issues," he said. Developers are running out of serviced lots in some areas. Some homebuilders "got a little overstretched" during last year's house-building frenzy. 4 b- j4 D$ |0 u( t8 L

2 G! ?/ q6 _/ F( s"There are too many shortages in the system," he shrugged.
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"But it's still going to be very, very strong," he quickly added, with the average new-home selling price ramping up by 20%.
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NO PRICE BOOM REPEAT
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He also doesn't see a repeat of the 2006 price boom in the resale market, which he described as "unsustainable." - @; z2 ~' j, C

% W$ c+ `' L& o  o1 w, @; [% vExpect a more gentle 10% increase - mainly because many potential buyers are now being priced out of the market - even with zero down payment and 40-year mortgages. 1 X, g5 w' U  a9 X/ h  U
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Over at ComFree Edmonton, president Travis Holowach was also celebrating what he described as a "steaming red hot" real estate market, and another "record-setting" year for his commission-free real estate service. / z0 o- ^2 D1 C0 H
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His 2006 wind-up report shows 4,375 total sales and 5,721 new listings, up 74% from 2005 - clearly sucking up a lot of the inventory that would otherwise have gone to an EREB realtor. % [$ l9 R, w( D& ^3 v3 n+ k
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"Our growing presence in the marketplace is having a strong impact on the competition," Holowach winked. 7 w9 H6 ^) I  G
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So strong that the Alberta Real Estate Association launched a complaint with Alberta Government Services claiming ComFree was bending the truth about its market share. 3 O9 B( x+ n3 Q, F+ Z8 y4 G! |4 W7 D
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Yesterday ComFree was still claiming 30% share of the residential market. And "commissions saved" of $82 million from his sell-it-yourself operation. Which, of course, is what the battle is really all about.   |. k! v( {* D9 ?
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"We do 95% of the sales in the real estate market," Pratt countered. 7 S! R9 [1 N7 s% H& o, a8 T# s8 `

. Q$ u! {+ @: ], ULet the good times roll. # v5 A3 H0 f/ M: f! s1 u( Q
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Previous story: Bottom Line, C6 W5 U) `1 o+ V
Next story: Building permits hit record
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发表于 2007-1-11 20:36 | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2007-1-12 20:00 | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2007-1-14 18:29 | 显示全部楼层
房价涨, 那么地税也一定会涨吗?
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发表于 2007-1-14 18:44 | 显示全部楼层

Everyone should buy another house as you can have 15% return in a year.

It sounds a very good investment.
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发表于 2007-1-14 22:48 | 显示全部楼层
Where is 醉酒 ?4 \7 Q) O3 h! |4 p; {7 O! t
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