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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑 : d% g& p# T9 Q
3 X; s o, {- _# qSignature Market Roundup
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Eric Bushell
8 J" E+ z( L! ^) V# n3 lSenior Vice-President,5 P1 C d) p5 P; l) Q
Portfolio Management
$ j+ n3 P6 v3 z: f" B! Z8 K3 oand Chief Investment Officer
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自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。
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2 J1 l/ {! c" ^# H" Z! Z2 \ rThe second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets7 O) M+ w' f' I( A
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
$ m5 K3 k8 w/ ?( |ran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the. @% x" R8 V+ L5 `3 ]
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second' f: f: @1 s: e9 A: W3 Y! E
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an% ] ~6 N0 Z2 m( r
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September
. j; F5 h3 S4 Z$ c2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble
|; U& p0 p$ A q5 G f) Nfor real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
' G$ T) u% f, G( @/ y6 fand equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects& [5 I1 @/ N& _ d
for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through' O S- U2 Z: T4 G( p/ ?2 `* d1 ~
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
' n4 Q1 T1 h- Jmarkets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened" ^# p# {0 W2 D* g
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more% Y4 m7 j0 x( j9 B
neutral risk positioning. |
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