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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑 - W* M+ c! y$ c+ Z# R
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Signature Market Roundup3 l& W+ k, R" q' r' S8 i6 g
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Eric Bushell2 t" k3 ^+ N4 @& M# I$ m" r
Senior Vice-President,0 [ o" _2 r/ ?5 n" b
Portfolio Management: k0 H( S" ~, O3 l1 P
and Chief Investment Officer
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; `$ S; K1 ~, }( x2 p6 P' \3 }自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。0 L8 n6 K8 C* i& ]6 j6 j
- }1 K2 r6 d- M5 a0 w; e* Z) LThe second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets% v4 R1 U# J. u+ r% e) y% u- R# B
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
* v. [3 e0 c/ B# f# G Gran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the4 x( O' E9 B" \1 c- T
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second
) ^; ?/ K8 I) `/ ^. W$ T# k. Ophase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an
1 ~: U6 y8 R( j2 c7 |8 l) h- Q# ]) kunconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September$ R+ {% o8 D, g
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble+ n- W4 F2 \0 @
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit) Z" s) N5 C$ V) B+ P
and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
5 Y- g. R5 G% y/ Y7 Q$ u Dfor dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through- x& O8 S3 b3 a6 `
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
+ X; v# O, a hmarkets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened$ f& W5 w: V0 @/ o4 z, ~/ D' t" O9 z
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more
) P2 z( S9 C4 g) V: eneutral risk positioning. |
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