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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑
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- f2 K* Z9 ]# ?# K/ _; eSignature Market Roundup
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0 I' u0 w6 v7 C' u$ ^& {Eric Bushell
( B9 S5 _1 L0 h0 `, O; q! f$ bSenior Vice-President,% A2 B. T9 s6 L! h( A+ X
Portfolio Management
6 X' F* N6 m; H3 @3 v9 [2 cand Chief Investment Officer( m" e8 M: N; D8 u9 c( F$ D
5 d+ e0 d$ ^8 L/ ~6 y. Y9 }& H自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。- ^+ q8 l: j% g! |% e+ @
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets$ I; ?; g) m( v! C( s/ N& R- W
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase5 t. H1 R" Y8 I6 t2 N
ran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the+ k q; N/ n, q' J( C, j
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second
$ |- ~# `' y. t. D' |7 Aphase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an
; x; ?$ m+ O7 q3 munconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September1 |% t! r/ }, {3 T; I# |# l
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble# i: {4 ?7 p& ]- W8 v/ z2 }" s
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit, p' w6 W0 d9 x
and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects8 h5 @7 w* v! _" u
for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through
' N* o9 @5 N; t" t$ hU.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond7 H' u+ z9 b+ `
markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened3 y* i2 o0 L% a: H3 b; W* m
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more) g' l5 ?* z( \5 `1 y$ U5 ^
neutral risk positioning. |
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