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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑 . L6 q1 A& Y# h; W
! O7 G! l, z% _' S; jSignature Market Roundup
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m' R$ ?* N, [: SEric Bushell
; I3 s; W6 d: P' HSenior Vice-President,
# m# D5 R o2 M( NPortfolio Management4 X5 P' n( s7 C2 h4 ?
and Chief Investment Officer& Q. I/ }0 B ?
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自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。
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; k3 Q6 a; Y7 y8 ^9 UThe second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets
1 M7 _9 j8 ~9 x, j, Z* }. \may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
: n2 ?* \3 `" ]7 u. Rran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the
* v' u) P8 B8 [" L- I% Q2 c+ t# OEuropean sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second
; r: G+ U# N+ A' l" M: O5 `phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an2 P. j& f; _, g5 `% n8 l. ]8 A* y. ?
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September
1 C: @- a* x- L* @ C5 l2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble
- @) f9 F! E3 }for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
9 g+ a3 C# ?- Aand equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
6 ~, h9 i! x; {6 V; Hfor dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through5 ?( w7 G y- ^/ l" l# ]6 a, q
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond$ l2 X# n* |! A# I
markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened$ A6 B: k. R: i K3 d( Q- w
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more# e8 `9 J( W' O0 g
neutral risk positioning. |
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