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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑 # `5 L) H$ M7 n0 y3 b
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Signature Market Roundup
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- J7 `$ s( H: UEric Bushell
, G6 y+ G. I7 z6 ], p' [, \; ~5 E* GSenior Vice-President,4 [7 }* K* _" \5 V! T& `& |% I
Portfolio Management8 c! r! H9 E# ~
and Chief Investment Officer+ F6 I8 n3 b5 f$ Z0 k$ t) X, Q
: O- A1 m6 ]* |7 Y: [* A/ p* `自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。
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" e5 {8 j' Q& f, p9 aThe second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets
. K, u+ y8 v$ L! F. ?0 v) c4 Kmay be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
( o0 v/ f" Y* J, C* t! fran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the
0 w! M( [# i& eEuropean sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second5 D: t- h- Q/ r
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an
! `: d) s5 \( Z) J- Z6 Kunconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September; c, u7 \/ Q- x
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble1 u, y1 K) |$ c0 c5 W( V3 a
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit% H2 I6 ]" x ^3 L" ~
and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
2 w* ^- |. p/ Ffor dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through* J) z7 p2 o6 {# {2 h1 ]+ Q' W y
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
5 G/ {6 _* C# {markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened7 f* x( K. ` j9 B6 k8 W' a
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more5 i) i, u( L A% D# r
neutral risk positioning. |
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