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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑 0 P4 S3 \9 ^- U3 ]( D
6 [0 g9 Q, W+ U2 i qSignature Market Roundup2 r4 O0 ?5 H% e* }/ I
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& I) Y3 G# p" m: c' `, U. QEric Bushell3 p- Q5 Y( @& n; f5 u) r2 Y: p
Senior Vice-President,
- y' ^, f& l+ w! o7 ~, bPortfolio Management
6 p, H$ M+ y# m5 s8 o; uand Chief Investment Officer
& s6 I9 c% U' Y+ D3 E
' j( w* N; H9 u6 h5 s4 a/ D自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。; z! Y% h8 `. E6 [3 C6 }4 S
# w( D. p! u' h& a7 P" XThe second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets
7 t/ K+ w3 M1 O1 M2 r0 r' Mmay be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
3 j6 r) T$ g" y; X7 Oran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the0 s2 i+ G0 i$ D8 o
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second
0 q, P* Z# v8 r& d; h8 W$ lphase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an+ }$ |: t" w3 j$ L) ?
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September f* f' h. z; J! u {- }- g
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble1 y4 ]" \0 C1 z4 Z% o6 n' F
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
0 F1 l3 l6 O7 d6 k5 m7 s+ G9 {and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
8 R; g5 T" Q5 n1 |, {for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through% ~- \- y$ F! y( P8 D
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
6 n: `/ V z5 b5 n |& p) Jmarkets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened* ]1 P; Y2 v8 g
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more
! k" T7 t4 p( `0 ineutral risk positioning. |
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