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发表于 2011-6-8 13:44 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑 # {; L1 m2 c" ^9 e  I) |  b
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Signature Market Roundup
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6 z& t% ~4 x$ W8 ?, [ EricBushell.jpg ! T/ j: d2 S: C0 {) k/ i- [8 A$ L
Eric Bushell7 z: w5 n2 }  d! g" b
Senior Vice-President,7 H+ m# @0 j& s* g3 H2 S: [" h  Y% E
Portfolio Management
0 Q2 r& i! Z* \and Chief Investment Officer
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自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。0 D$ p! l1 L6 Z& d! y" B; }
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets
( U; s7 `6 g/ _0 A& f6 W4 ^may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase% j' b) b' ]5 q4 Z- \2 I
ran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the, z# u4 d7 x8 U6 Y: F4 q2 U, ^4 `
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second( N3 ~: o# t4 u# u8 z3 Q
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an% K+ j$ v( Y& A
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September/ I# U! `5 ^# F3 Y
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble: P# B. A2 S. S* E, G5 g- n+ l" f
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
' k. }4 N" \" W3 J4 Eand equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects$ A3 i# B' z3 e) _1 O$ u
for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through' g* v' d6 K8 ]1 `  P" Z
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond* L6 A; l. p* Z1 D* [- Z! j2 B) \
markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened: s5 m- X9 Y- I. S' ]' h
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more3 l! N+ l7 q# h6 R0 Q( s
neutral risk positioning.
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