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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑
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5 v$ h) U5 Z( D! ~8 `9 iSignature Market Roundup
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Eric Bushell4 i* T+ q2 c& k+ u" s x
Senior Vice-President,
' s9 i' ]- g# PPortfolio Management( K( t7 |# n# u8 ~* ? h# q
and Chief Investment Officer8 U0 @% @' T! e+ G6 h8 H- {# |
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自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。! s8 x( k9 m1 r4 `/ k1 i
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets. @ _- e5 H- ^9 Q6 ^! N! _1 h
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
% R7 m) A* H1 F# _" Rran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the
" d& L6 N: ~/ D6 \European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second
( M2 S* e/ s9 E5 m ?phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an
% s9 Y5 |. P+ y# @/ j% y; j' Bunconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September: k; F4 P* Z; }0 l
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble
) [ M) g# G! M# m: r' [5 gfor real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
% t \/ ]' q+ e Dand equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects0 ?- h/ K' L& f$ d. P, n
for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through f4 [7 p; P, Q/ z, g3 [2 ]
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
. [+ F$ l: U# f z* [5 vmarkets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened
9 P: F, _5 O1 y7 Z' X6 c' S2 [uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more
) e2 X; H# @' f0 _, L0 Gneutral risk positioning. |
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