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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑
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; V1 q2 ]. j. a+ DSignature Market Roundup
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Eric Bushell
0 p* ]& f1 M6 i, X7 b$ H# OSenior Vice-President, m- m( V& G4 W- [" K( y
Portfolio Management
E2 ^3 C* L! |0 p" C Cand Chief Investment Officer
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自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets% U& J2 h# ?1 I& Q2 }) t2 `! I& d/ Q
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase$ E) |. A) Y6 V
ran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the7 E, E& \6 Q( s/ L1 X1 G1 }
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second* [2 I w2 {; @1 Q
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an
6 f/ K1 E: c+ d. n9 I6 F' Aunconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September
* x1 R& D# [" I, t2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble8 {! T& ^( \! ^. n6 v0 U" W
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit' s; p: }4 `& X: y$ w8 c# P
and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects! V ~1 r( l/ n% [
for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through8 c9 e4 R5 n" z& E7 d1 O
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
: j2 I) c" j9 l8 n6 Cmarkets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened
" j1 y/ }! h& u$ u7 Y( Uuncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more
0 Q) w2 {9 z: L9 V* Zneutral risk positioning. |
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