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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑 5 [6 }# k4 X6 P/ |$ ?
4 y/ T$ ? C ?Signature Market Roundup
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Eric Bushell4 b% H6 ~* d0 E$ \, l# K. N& S
Senior Vice-President,
2 Q. ]" Q- W) T7 Q. F: iPortfolio Management
B# b) Z2 m3 t: a. Y& u6 p' {7 Fand Chief Investment Officer! |1 u# |- B) H' v2 m
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自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。$ Q4 h1 D1 m: L1 I5 d
1 \, o4 T# U5 x1 D" J+ zThe second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets, y2 v- ?& ]9 H, |1 Y
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
* s* M: r o/ Y, w% Cran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the
' \! [9 z h: ?/ x* o- L+ T8 b4 fEuropean sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second! o# w0 g0 t1 V% y9 j# a) x" u
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an
6 m* N3 V" i% O+ q# S, |unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September! n! V2 ~2 @ `! Z
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble. O& |& R. c# {7 w3 K4 c
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit3 V, B3 Q6 y2 D* U6 c, z
and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
+ C5 h! G4 B: r' m% E6 X) o, kfor dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through! Q& c( t+ P4 l7 s7 `5 x7 U
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
) {3 J3 s ~0 y8 f# f4 Q8 t% Hmarkets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened
# u8 @3 }3 p' H2 G! Auncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more2 E% ?7 i2 d" Q! D* M: X
neutral risk positioning. |
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