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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑 4 o* {6 ]/ `" y# P' n' M
' |1 j7 R, q/ F6 DSignature Market Roundup% v# ]6 o5 e' x- {
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Eric Bushell" d6 j$ h# H# b3 \1 y8 _
Senior Vice-President,
4 b) @" P1 g) l3 b9 r k0 E8 e# ]Portfolio Management
9 a7 [" w( t( J9 f8 Q% Jand Chief Investment Officer
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, z% U- |: V! ^8 b0 |7 _自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。3 v3 ~3 b ]7 L
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets
! A- X' F* `' \! v+ a K1 y: `may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
( Z4 a$ \$ O# V6 M4 c' O9 W" k9 Zran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the
" w. [2 q- x2 ]8 iEuropean sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second
+ G$ r: a. @* i _3 k7 G4 [phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an
2 M4 h* z! g: u+ X* Runconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September" o! v4 B) A0 L: J
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble' B5 F6 I5 K8 C" P: J: u# i" b) `% }
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
, z O& T) c$ Gand equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
7 M9 g0 t# M. W H, hfor dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through" `+ w& v, M" f* z
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond& B$ U; X5 G7 Q: T& z# F
markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened+ J% M7 d# w6 J! a
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more
. m; o, O O% X, v- |neutral risk positioning. |
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