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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑 . V- `6 a0 {& P
/ a# \& ^7 R$ qSignature Market Roundup
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Eric Bushell
% b, x6 ? Z( T* cSenior Vice-President,* L9 @8 g q# t! a
Portfolio Management" z2 ?5 ]6 I: }( B
and Chief Investment Officer
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自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。9 l. L' R7 K X2 w* S
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets" h) r3 j" i% N) R3 E
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
" f1 v: I4 {% w1 mran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the
; v* _1 e |& M" U! WEuropean sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second
4 ?* F# i V0 D# |: e) Z$ fphase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an
$ `* N$ U% x0 y3 } j, ]- ^% hunconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September' j( R, b4 @; z. [3 `0 J
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble' Z$ Q3 k$ ?' u; F! R9 |
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit u' p/ j ~1 W" o
and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects' [& p" _3 w2 R" W# E
for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through, R# j8 h A. O( X1 ~
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
V2 x( v$ M3 P+ H- L- a5 S- f8 wmarkets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened* l/ a" s+ F0 G
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more# l0 |$ r4 d% o/ R4 f3 N$ G: Y1 Z
neutral risk positioning. |
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