市场综述

小曲

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Signature Market Roundup
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Eric Bushell
Senior Vice-President,
Portfolio Management
and Chief Investment Officer
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3 L7 u- N$ q" a: q自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月， 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策，被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产，商品期货，贷款，和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束，美金趋于稳定，这会帮助美国财政缩减，解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功，而世界其他地区都非常不稳定，现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。

7 d1 W5 H0 k' D/ hThe second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets
! [6 u" g, r! m* Q, h/ P- Gmay be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
% a( i2 I; A2 }- t7 w+ k+ Z3 V* _ran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the
: H/ K  c+ x. [) eEuropean sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an
; C) R0 n# Q$ p) m* V  ~2 P9 Qunconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble
* r( c! S& S" j7 wfor real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
% S: P$ D; k) S- ^; d  F) ffor dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened
; t8 {2 t; s8 [- `% W8 ?! Duncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more
neutral risk positioning.