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发表于 2011-6-8 13:44 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑 % h  O) g1 W' R5 ?5 ^2 ?+ R. Q
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Signature Market Roundup
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3 T$ i3 C9 n8 Z EricBushell.jpg ) F2 V8 B/ z: m" F. S
Eric Bushell
; d! N) G; b! ]Senior Vice-President,# `* m! h! C) N! F: a2 W
Portfolio Management
& H1 Q) F; e' Rand Chief Investment Officer

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自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。- H6 ^6 k5 b0 f2 d( q. }; X
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets* U- k  {- p; |
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase# I( ?$ F1 q, Y9 I7 z& k3 o
ran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the
1 q- Z3 Z5 G: y6 qEuropean sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second% t$ ?# G  A) x; X
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an: L8 v) P; L. Z  W4 I# t
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September. d( Z; ]; w: k9 U
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble' Z5 l# p  i, p2 x4 P2 _
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
; M9 }/ w. k- \  j; Aand equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects# j. b# h* K9 e) {. \
for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through% d& x4 x$ d4 M; x
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
, k+ N" H/ B9 m" f- k* Pmarkets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened6 c* d2 |* t$ W3 O( ]7 l% [& }. @. A
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more, ^; l0 b6 `* N; o7 U( [
neutral risk positioning.
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