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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑
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Signature Market Roundup
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Eric Bushell* w: z1 t$ f6 Y7 g$ [5 ^
Senior Vice-President,4 u6 N! m$ b7 j. S# A6 \% s# t
Portfolio Management8 D- M( U. n3 i1 T
and Chief Investment Officer
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自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。9 V( e. \. K+ Q0 J1 o
8 S1 r0 Z0 K3 u8 U% kThe second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets: s! \8 r( P; W5 w2 P2 a# O# x
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase# P) b! A& W! R- q) Q7 r
ran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the
2 z( O2 k) @! ?; s8 nEuropean sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second; h9 E# k% W# a4 @
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an
5 s A, H; |3 u" P$ d2 r) Qunconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September$ k6 |1 Y( [" G; Y4 p
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble" r% S+ c8 O) w# T& p
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit2 g' |! g4 y5 g
and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
# m) p6 o& U+ U/ S, r: gfor dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through
4 }$ g+ b" C( l, i g7 n2 J( X! C+ uU.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond7 K7 ^% {! G) s5 y7 P2 Y
markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened
. ^8 b) x1 E; N* o# ^uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more7 a. _0 O. O- p9 e0 S9 }$ m
neutral risk positioning. |
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