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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑 2 {5 w7 z5 F8 G3 x0 i
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Signature Market Roundup
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Eric Bushell2 Y+ a( P, d! [2 C }# g+ m2 b" h
Senior Vice-President,' N% P9 m, s2 Y5 T
Portfolio Management
+ ~2 \' w9 G& sand Chief Investment Officer
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自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets
# L4 ?" _0 b, o+ G2 amay be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
4 `: X7 [; m( p9 @2 jran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the
' b( B- [7 C: w* QEuropean sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second* R0 r" ^) p$ U5 @
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an
. r1 ?) C+ c# ~+ s3 M6 x; Tunconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September d* `5 X0 o& `
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble/ ], D* w( e/ x
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
$ f1 d9 ^! }. t/ s8 r( z/ R9 ~and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
3 L$ v2 i; i# l4 |: `# @2 Xfor dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through, V8 C# U6 y0 N% U
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond6 z. V' v- t' a; t1 A9 Y$ L
markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened/ x Z( [0 B. M! I
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more( {# X& [0 e4 A9 z% J& E8 V0 `( }
neutral risk positioning. |
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