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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑
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Signature Market Roundup* i% E! z9 S m' s
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Eric Bushell/ G# F1 M! p# M I: I" o. b8 U2 E
Senior Vice-President,
+ Z! A, x0 R7 A0 F( HPortfolio Management
5 o( H) d9 k/ q* m: c; land Chief Investment Officer
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w. Q8 e& L* j; `% N2 Z# ?! } I自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。
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6 D; z0 A7 C, W# J; xThe second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets+ f; l2 S9 g) k' b- ^
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase1 m4 I1 ]1 g, X, B
ran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the9 n* v4 S. V! J7 p4 O) ~' V" y
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second) }/ }7 [5 Q0 F- l
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an
, Z, Y% C; ^8 a! K% \unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September1 G) x, H; H9 B3 Q$ }8 E
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble
" p; |$ U Y7 W! }9 \% F* D2 _5 x Gfor real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
C5 g3 B# W8 Land equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects- @$ n6 U, c# b/ N% a
for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through
+ ?; Y: P. t& ^+ vU.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond- l! M# R+ ^ q
markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened7 s' T1 \ b+ W6 {& l' z4 Y
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more( ]$ }9 u: F8 |" A4 B
neutral risk positioning. |
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