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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑
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Signature Market Roundup
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Eric Bushell+ _' j% \* h4 f3 c L+ `3 S% y
Senior Vice-President,3 y1 i9 b8 w. [3 X
Portfolio Management
3 [. H; O1 j% k" zand Chief Investment Officer/ {7 H( @( S9 O: w5 `9 C
, w& j0 s' |; z自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。 a X) N! d6 h' j& b. J. N1 A
4 Q9 w8 p5 Q$ Z" z- a& Q ]The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets4 p5 a5 C2 G+ X9 S. ^
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase* ~ k8 U% M+ g- \, a4 o) P; B
ran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the
% j1 `: C# v3 }5 mEuropean sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second
. l, j5 d, r6 h' h; h4 ?+ h6 |# ophase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an
% a# W- G' e: _; Yunconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September6 Y2 j3 C- N$ C5 c9 Q
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble) ~0 [2 ~6 J/ X
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit+ U- _4 ~8 v* n, h/ `7 l3 W
and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects: G* v( n7 M& |2 U5 H: e
for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through. X- i3 |$ g% T
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond6 @' j; s- g/ \: V' Y$ P
markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened3 X1 p) [# R2 R: L
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more* v! M7 O, J6 _ {$ Y
neutral risk positioning. |
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