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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑 1 e: v5 ]+ F1 K) {9 E
& ^ p6 m; ?/ G8 y8 WSignature Market Roundup
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. Q8 Z8 m, M, T& `# D. O. FEric Bushell; `% I3 s0 C: X* ?6 q
Senior Vice-President,5 f+ G7 u" ^6 A+ v+ a6 X7 S
Portfolio Management
, I# O% Y7 W5 C1 K5 N5 t1 B7 E$ g2 sand Chief Investment Officer% h6 W/ F6 _6 @2 k
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自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。
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. X, |$ i- ~ \The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets* |8 f6 }' Q4 S5 g# y
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
& c2 L4 ?( D- E; b: h' H: A' sran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the
& J9 z3 J" v" K2 u3 W8 NEuropean sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second# \; \9 e* K5 Q2 t
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an3 o9 u; M0 D' G# [
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September. K5 ?7 E `( u' \7 V& B& x- I
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble9 q- a6 } C5 _
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
# W9 |, |# P6 P6 zand equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
9 M2 I2 ?. M& d/ \" _8 a0 Hfor dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through
. ^8 [" h& f( U$ e7 HU.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
9 H" Y3 C% w9 \" Omarkets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened+ j: X+ f' n |7 ^. E) c5 v
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more6 X$ w4 h& R/ d3 x r: u9 O
neutral risk positioning. |
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