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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑 : t; d- @1 b# T1 P2 f6 r
& @) N7 L2 A" LSignature Market Roundup
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Eric Bushell. O0 \. B+ p2 o. y. v3 S
Senior Vice-President,
' O* w5 W- e% d& H- k8 XPortfolio Management) x M! ~) K9 F0 \* ]
and Chief Investment Officer
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$ k- f. ?6 W# X* T; U自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。
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8 l$ `( V3 Q8 p% l) ]The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets
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, m9 G/ I6 b3 yran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the6 E( V3 i/ @, X9 C6 _
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second
% Q5 I$ t: |) D# ?. ?phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an6 u. p+ H9 T5 ]; O y4 c
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September9 j7 C& o. m3 a" e9 w; h5 I
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble+ Q4 J0 Q8 F% ~
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit- r9 f7 I" P4 J; r m
and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
: v& T$ L, _2 w3 [2 k7 |for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through4 ]) q; S3 l+ W' p, v% i
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond: m6 R+ u; n" W4 w
markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened
% |' f5 X( `# z- b; s: t! zuncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more
+ P% `; |/ T; ^neutral risk positioning. |
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