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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑
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! z1 i9 u; @3 ?8 ]! x3 uSignature Market Roundup
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Eric Bushell
7 e1 _/ j- a2 R$ N' L7 k+ i- USenior Vice-President,
# b: _5 j, l: M! e1 QPortfolio Management
, f1 U' G, O. Z- A6 N% V3 Oand Chief Investment Officer. g7 ^8 L! d6 z# j D* D/ Q' V
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自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets7 P6 \0 }1 f& b3 s8 S; o! D
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase( ~% t# n0 K3 R5 P' g
ran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the) f( H6 Q& U& b" J, j$ I* Y1 I2 @& @
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second) N `# d# E8 K. _+ D+ c) ^
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an
5 j7 [3 F8 j8 ]6 Hunconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September' J1 w% @' i( C2 W! C$ E& Q
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble3 F4 b. ^$ s$ p# h) j! d
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
' X3 j- h: s; hand equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
2 q3 G: N' V7 W2 sfor dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through. o4 D$ A7 `* r) s' {
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond! f* d: @. I1 u
markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened
- e% {* m1 q3 E9 v+ U# luncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more; T# j# v& Y/ |, B/ k2 O9 C
neutral risk positioning. |
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