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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑 / d& @3 ^3 R$ ?; p6 u
0 P/ n9 G# k' \- @3 V! {, ySignature Market Roundup
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1 O' e: B2 `1 k1 g& q' }5 REric Bushell
) z- L( v( [4 j$ ^2 ~6 ESenior Vice-President,
4 p) B2 [! C+ H$ z- a3 _& }& U5 [Portfolio Management1 Z( }* _1 A, n: T) A" x: Z
and Chief Investment Officer6 Q" e" ], s3 |0 d6 i0 }
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自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。1 w9 T- |- V0 x) [& Z7 j6 i, b; W1 C
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets
( T0 r4 _2 ?/ F9 u W+ d Omay be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
8 H/ e m- Y. h* z" x+ Iran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the j$ v- J c) \
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second; f# L, v6 H8 o4 Y: h6 D
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an6 p) q+ @& l# Z; ]9 x& b6 v- {
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September
* s. [+ j- M4 v+ t4 s0 F2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble' s" O: n6 l- H; g
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit, a! d+ h p: x8 R6 ~
and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects4 }+ z. y9 w* a7 ]2 e; X
for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through
1 ?4 Z/ _) i+ b i6 ]. fU.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
9 W: Q& P0 h/ Qmarkets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened1 H9 k3 {% i, @3 ]& [3 F
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more7 y1 _! A O E' D
neutral risk positioning. |
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