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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑
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Signature Market Roundup
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& H, \* Q+ R+ I+ Y/ gEric Bushell0 ]2 n& L" K1 w- n5 i/ M, c2 U
Senior Vice-President,
* R1 K# @5 {9 ~0 |Portfolio Management
$ T4 V* @. b* C1 k! j: Wand Chief Investment Officer* d5 U7 F5 e; J) J' D$ g3 ]9 I
# p2 {2 p" T: `自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。) o7 B: ^0 C1 \1 e9 u( p6 T3 q0 Z
/ J, P/ G2 e3 Q' l1 a+ L, DThe second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets# w5 g4 L. O; z
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
! r/ |, T7 s! wran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the
$ f" L1 i9 i5 d4 REuropean sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second4 J$ ^7 |1 Y& t$ B8 `
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an
+ T4 w# B: q& @6 N; q. D, Z7 h! T6 Iunconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September( e$ f- b3 j/ N8 o5 B, r" S
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble4 w7 l& A1 U' {* a8 o, e$ _! D6 m
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit5 H5 n# d$ W/ t. B
and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
' T. ?! ^$ A1 p. K3 ~* d) x, kfor dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through3 }9 E3 y. w% M' L/ o7 f
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond( q' N+ a A% N6 m7 [+ B
markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened! V. O8 L+ V1 G" j
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more
/ | N* T8 ~" @neutral risk positioning. |
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