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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑 4 _! R3 ?4 N0 b3 X q* F. x
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Signature Market Roundup: m; \5 i; w+ T6 G& q
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& y. C5 m3 p* X1 W QEric Bushell
) W# N. O, {5 }4 F3 o7 [Senior Vice-President,
4 f4 i4 k. F+ ?2 B5 E9 o+ LPortfolio Management3 w A- u. m2 W) N6 r* ?
and Chief Investment Officer
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自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。1 U3 z5 |$ ~2 Q e
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets- K0 r4 t4 A3 }, X, l( j
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase" G7 S" g$ M* c- W# h
ran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the4 H. I3 F- c3 \2 O4 q! B$ `' u
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second7 H; Y! b+ @& `) M, W
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an# |6 m. c3 T' o$ j2 _
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September4 Q! P. M6 ^ x: M: N; t
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble2 q& B) o0 v, d9 s9 m% I2 i0 V* |
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit6 L! @: k, Z, b& g& v, n4 a8 N
and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
6 w7 h, b6 E y- Bfor dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through! ]& `* J; X/ Y
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
: m; _* y/ @$ d2 E4 k, X! Ymarkets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened
! E: x& p9 b( L! e; R; X, [uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more$ n+ C" T8 Z. j7 l* [; l# | a
neutral risk positioning. |
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