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发表于 2011-6-8 13:44 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑
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Signature Market Roundup% ~+ {: I2 K% N  {5 o4 Q8 g

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Eric Bushell
8 R# O/ o" T  W* MSenior Vice-President,
1 F; ?% n* W7 n2 I  D4 g" s2 PPortfolio Management$ P0 u9 q5 t" A& H
and Chief Investment Officer

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自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。7 U4 C; a* G, p% r- E& r2 k5 K$ b8 o
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets
: i3 G' \) k# L; \6 Kmay be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase% V' y" V, S1 Q3 y4 X
ran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the
! M8 A* v3 e! R$ u, j3 H1 N( W  `European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second
) a. ?8 i& s6 N" tphase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an3 w+ c5 h  b* E6 N, D" G
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September8 O6 U5 E* H! e9 J0 j# e2 F4 b
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble9 @) v9 }; T/ g4 c8 h/ A$ ?
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
, G0 k7 N" Q# D4 mand equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
% [7 _( Y- \5 F+ Z8 {# \  ifor dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through
8 a3 |. v3 r3 y! n# W$ W+ i, NU.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
7 C3 L- z" @! N% ^9 imarkets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened2 c  m6 p  X) w+ Q3 Y
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more
- s4 }; U& @; ]7 Nneutral risk positioning.
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