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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑
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$ y5 U" @ U7 C* ^/ m' p8 E1 cSignature Market Roundup8 o1 _( \. K! E( d$ X" |7 U
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Eric Bushell/ N4 R% E& ~7 i. u2 p; E
Senior Vice-President,5 P/ J' }0 \1 c7 _1 d! \
Portfolio Management
, ]" f( q# \4 l$ z+ }! f: _5 tand Chief Investment Officer( q( S' z& L. r, e5 @4 J x
0 l: e9 T5 [/ ]* p自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。/ H% M* S' x8 N6 z& ?: M& ?% F
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets
9 G$ j$ R; H, c6 E! m. Omay be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase1 z3 d0 `8 R" K
ran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the0 T/ j4 J: n6 ]7 Q7 P: d( K( s
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second6 T% s3 g" _( J
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an* Y5 }/ [7 M: c: i! P' R4 K/ Q: R
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September
5 W# I7 g- D* ^: ~+ T, S2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble
: _9 H5 m# K' b0 zfor real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
# m! H( z1 X! r& iand equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects& R- R& h" ^3 G+ l0 W
for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through
& \1 o8 j' l+ U9 fU.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond( y8 Y4 x1 x9 L3 m! j# ~
markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened! x9 f! e; h; j2 M3 ]! w% q
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more7 q- A: P$ t% V2 B* V
neutral risk positioning. |
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