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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑
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% s& N6 b' P `/ @0 ~! ISignature Market Roundup
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Eric Bushell
. e- \, K% O0 ~! h' c A+ W. Z9 VSenior Vice-President,* r8 v& E4 R' `; l r
Portfolio Management- S' x6 |7 m7 y+ v3 m8 w; ?, c
and Chief Investment Officer
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自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。$ H6 K0 Y7 \$ k. l( d0 p
N" c- i w7 ]* QThe second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets
% K1 E3 d! V1 U% w6 n' i, F3 Vmay be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase& O4 |% L. r% P/ M) @" p) B
ran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the/ q. s. w. k- B i
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second6 v! @: ]. \* d/ q7 A, b4 T( }
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an# I1 z, o5 n1 ]+ E
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September
2 t1 I8 c; P# ]+ b# w# e2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble& h; l$ B' e {- J3 M
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
; t) ] I& F7 I) i% Y; oand equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects% @# V `% |, [( C& {1 `
for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through
) Y- x' C) p& ~! H* @U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
9 O3 P& M) q# X! `$ G. Emarkets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened6 i' k/ z D# a0 a) N4 ~: T+ ]
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more! u5 M' _" k7 Z+ s1 L
neutral risk positioning. |
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