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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑 ; ~% h1 _5 h3 Z/ z: S4 X
0 v" _; L; S0 v0 U' N$ hSignature Market Roundup2 E$ }3 T: d# U9 N% H9 T# v
. a# \* Y' j8 ~! s/ K
$ H. e, y9 q$ _9 ]8 XEric Bushell
+ s5 D) }) l' V0 c6 I/ F7 SSenior Vice-President,
Z9 p* f+ L0 N6 J8 C* E! ^3 yPortfolio Management
" \; \5 z1 H# t0 K/ k P! Zand Chief Investment Officer4 z6 v' k3 ?2 g9 t+ p& p$ j0 S
! t9 L, x" L0 P/ n+ s2 J3 T+ k自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets
3 O1 n: m- \* ?, V2 s8 |. Z, Qmay be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase- g S" D- }/ l6 T
ran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the% J3 C- \: Z, v# f' m o5 u
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second* ^) e/ D" O( ]& {2 D
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an
/ j5 g a8 S$ Iunconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September
0 x7 F# M+ b: v- E9 S& O2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble
4 e, s0 _3 a6 @* H. r5 Z) `for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
+ U9 e2 u+ [- g9 @3 k8 Cand equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
+ s8 d! A+ C$ w P7 y$ U* W7 S/ ofor dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through
6 k! h( k& Y4 F8 T* f$ K% xU.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond# u1 s! T1 `" o' t1 e. v0 m
markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened; y A# `# P: o: }9 [$ W& J% G5 K
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more+ X' K/ z+ Z) @: k" G) C( O4 ^
neutral risk positioning. |
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