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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑 / d {$ L4 N, j
: ~9 }! X4 J0 MSignature Market Roundup! L+ O5 y, t' \4 n) A) k
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Eric Bushell
3 C2 e8 O- q! L% `% P1 [Senior Vice-President,3 y7 r2 i. f, J' g
Portfolio Management! j$ d5 S7 z N: X
and Chief Investment Officer' |6 O, y, _' e: G/ w9 l
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自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets( ]1 G( j, J$ |; H4 a
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase/ K+ M$ ~5 L" U: [$ V+ A3 [
ran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the6 Z8 \' l, C' w, s1 f* @
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second
6 e8 N3 u/ h) Y% Uphase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an
- r$ }5 W' E: L+ {9 b! Gunconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September0 y7 J1 L, w# O
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble2 r& K; {0 h2 A. [) s& e
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit$ e; Y+ b* w! \% b) a. J
and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
) z7 C3 j" k4 E' Xfor dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through
% [* b" h- h$ r0 C; I# W( @U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
9 Q" u" ~- }9 P# ~' Tmarkets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened7 D2 [+ y0 w4 a
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more N9 Y+ [1 D. x& U3 j
neutral risk positioning. |
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