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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑 ; z# i a! B) \, c
/ b3 v& F' H: v8 T1 b. V% o2 u+ [Signature Market Roundup
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; V" l% z6 Z+ r' D7 ?* aEric Bushell2 y, w& n- U" }& @, f$ W6 m" \9 T
Senior Vice-President,2 G t! L( H+ Q' E L
Portfolio Management
3 P" y7 u/ r% k+ h3 U/ Q, I1 W8 tand Chief Investment Officer
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! N+ U* l8 V$ k自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets( U3 Q+ U) f7 o2 U M2 c+ o9 ~
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase Y+ {7 e4 R8 d
ran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the( ?: m! A+ S$ t6 ^+ N
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second, c7 B' U$ l! t S4 G- u' b- F
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an& k1 [5 H3 l' a- k7 `
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September5 F4 Q0 V% i! _
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble0 f# G& O. H& D: r' C' E
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit% g, @2 c+ M% b9 w: n+ h* v
and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
) H- u' c& [' T/ F" Y2 d3 N, xfor dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through
. K+ G* ~" P* K8 \U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
; J+ ?# C# Q" }; M" smarkets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened
, ? ~9 W+ R, k2 v) P2 Euncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more
% p+ r7 I5 e& a" T8 n; j% fneutral risk positioning. |
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