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发表于 2011-6-8 13:44 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑 6 u4 i1 `3 L# t9 \! q9 Y! A

! [5 E4 E8 A, W5 G( xSignature Market Roundup7 U8 k1 F; ?- M; i" E

9 }0 s+ O, G& h$ m! C3 B& { EricBushell.jpg
. U: p  t* C" L- qEric Bushell* l4 `4 i2 d$ v0 C
Senior Vice-President,
1 O# N2 r2 k5 O5 ~Portfolio Management
3 B5 e3 T# D0 K/ }& R2 d$ gand Chief Investment Officer

: z$ a* M7 {2 n' z; n3 }1 d% Y) o- b5 E
自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。* I8 A" x" a2 n6 J' O; ^

# W+ w- x" z0 H' f1 w9 O7 MThe second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets
6 V7 V4 C4 I. L3 I6 F$ Pmay be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
( v* g) y! h: f  c. vran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the: ~0 A: ^  k. M- w9 Z# X. w
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second
% l7 y- i$ j3 ?, iphase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an) C* B* S! @, v2 r/ [: o
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September
1 n/ t' A$ w( }4 K2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble: B3 L* j) n9 G8 L) r
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
0 K- _) p4 e) L+ nand equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects5 |6 I6 A% U, l3 a1 h/ y! U
for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through) \8 B, X+ v3 Y5 F% Q; p2 M3 u0 l! R
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond; l: y: f" L; g5 ~4 E5 N( d
markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened% C) Z, s1 t5 c# m
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more
" k) I6 B) `) |- B$ W, S: p1 t' nneutral risk positioning.
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