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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑 : ]0 @6 w0 h$ t1 R
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Signature Market Roundup V8 |- j) U6 M2 ]' h. A
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Eric Bushell
5 _9 Y/ S* \9 zSenior Vice-President,0 s, G2 T! F, X0 g9 a
Portfolio Management
3 g$ u9 D7 L, `5 \: r) cand Chief Investment Officer
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自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets# r% i; q$ J' Z
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
7 F* m. Z0 j$ s8 M6 L( q+ h! I0 o. Aran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the
z% E" W0 j/ K) R0 e1 {European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second
" o% C" }! C) D; ~phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an2 o! y' e% m% I' h
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September6 P. s. k( _" P8 |5 {; Y
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble
2 |# q8 s$ v7 Q* {, }0 hfor real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
! d( A' q: j( Vand equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects% x1 j6 {1 J, \
for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through9 ?' Q; P6 n2 Y H+ c$ ^
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond* _: e& Z& A8 V( M% @/ e) k" x
markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened/ f% F! [: B0 v9 Y" n
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more
# u2 M% z; E qneutral risk positioning. |
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