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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑
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' y k; v& {) r% H5 v5 bSignature Market Roundup
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Eric Bushell
5 M' h# {# \. X9 A! GSenior Vice-President,2 b9 M" r: b' E( S3 G
Portfolio Management
6 G6 c- ]+ N& q- j0 Z; ^, uand Chief Investment Officer
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+ {. ]0 G- d$ N; P( F自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets6 W# e7 C5 ]5 }' r8 ^
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
o8 T" E* S7 r0 Mran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the3 |- Q6 l: j8 j' d" d$ u' h
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second1 A. I5 V) F( C; ]) ]
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an) U8 P9 l; H: U& p4 T. j
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September
4 j: C2 u$ I' N: U2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble
* _7 T& |' x, a! v* zfor real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
' b0 N V: ]6 b) D. {and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects& z" _+ h$ Y/ L: g ]
for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through* T" O- Z- X A0 B# b' G
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond4 R- G4 [: e* m6 O8 x
markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened
m& W4 ?# o1 y9 j, n, C, l) Runcertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more
% K! P& q+ {. O' ~: N0 U( Kneutral risk positioning. |
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