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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑
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Signature Market Roundup
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Eric Bushell- J, s/ p, W: u# I2 ]
Senior Vice-President,% P3 `, Y: z2 S6 ^$ m' c
Portfolio Management# {# a$ W! g2 |, H
and Chief Investment Officer
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9 Q+ Z+ I6 `: _# p$ X自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。6 S+ I" a1 W- \6 A8 k" ^
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets ^: c& u e9 T: u1 X# C8 H4 P
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase2 ~0 ]% o( C) b8 u( L+ e$ b
ran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the8 s& A' A* ]5 y% v2 |, S. s
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second
% K$ {& n, B# Q( fphase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an
9 ^$ y# W$ p+ cunconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September7 l, o: ~* @* q9 h
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble
8 `# Q) H4 k+ O Ufor real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
. s0 i! w6 ~) l. w' {, qand equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
0 i( ?% E2 ?1 I- Ufor dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through, B% U$ ^% }1 ?' Z s; H. v* [
U.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
& Y# |( K( `' |7 Q& A# \) Hmarkets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened; @, L6 \$ Q6 `7 f% `% ^
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more
8 w; o* i1 [# D5 M2 Nneutral risk positioning. |
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