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发表于 2011-6-8 13:44 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑 + n" }8 X7 K" _3 i# k0 _) Q- \

' _  J$ N; c4 a/ B  w0 k/ aSignature Market Roundup
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EricBushell.jpg
7 q, O+ ~: m3 a5 hEric Bushell3 ]) ~6 |- q  J4 I% M; t  m
Senior Vice-President,
3 r" L, E/ v6 ]Portfolio Management( M0 u$ h9 U/ i
and Chief Investment Officer

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7 f, r, q, g: V自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets3 @. D4 D. o# O
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
5 L9 f* j- S# u- p$ ~. t9 {( vran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the$ |" s+ r8 h+ H# F6 o
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second
. V+ @: A0 H& ]' g# S* O$ L. x/ fphase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an
/ Q& D0 F0 J1 J- punconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September7 f- C; E% L3 I5 ?4 ?
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble
7 N1 i) w/ z# {( j9 Z+ Jfor real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit& V# X; e: h' s7 r; q
and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects
/ O) O0 K* t) t/ W2 Ffor dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through
% i) U3 l8 t5 r/ S* V" DU.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond' H8 {/ o# ^4 z1 H1 @4 i/ z9 s
markets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened
; v, q$ J, Y& G& v' W5 _uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more' F, k; f2 i6 @& V; B9 V$ P
neutral risk positioning.
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