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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑 8 N5 x s/ w/ `- J, W y& k6 |. s0 [
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Signature Market Roundup) }% [( ^) G2 f! {" t% O5 t
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z+ F' V" b' L* @0 S3 SEric Bushell
9 i( T' V* Q( z' ?' HSenior Vice-President,. p7 M8 _! d) E! \. v8 }/ V9 J
Portfolio Management
1 ]# x5 H; J6 n/ t$ iand Chief Investment Officer
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自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。! Q, ]% j1 V& `6 i
: i5 l# p( @) c* Q8 u+ Q0 j IThe second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets a: @. e; ]' O$ _
may be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase3 y. @( z% q% x, v4 |% U
ran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the* Q& j( j; {' \4 @& `. o
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second
* m& z, [ G$ f5 S7 M; Cphase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an2 w0 i5 O, l- m+ o- d0 G4 u) {
unconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September: j" E( L) M. _* D
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble
' a' U2 c7 j4 L: s9 e7 yfor real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit
0 w: w2 P5 B8 E: E/ X: ~and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects( r( d, W$ z" K1 I! r: q
for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through
* m z# R+ Q( l kU.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
! [: N. o4 F) F$ u& Q* ]; emarkets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened* ]: N9 r7 v3 ]3 n7 Q+ }: j) M
uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more4 ]: y* V( r* l* Z
neutral risk positioning. |
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