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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its3 C% @$ `; m4 z2 ]8 J# k
January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is/ A E# h" U/ k# ]
solidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing
4 I) e, U- k2 ~2 m) hchallenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European$ C1 ^6 @ R# g7 T
recovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from+ F, P4 s9 O/ X
emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could5 O+ \0 M5 a3 p, {3 C
be further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.6 h9 I' v- {' i H$ U( P
. ], j% N r8 ?; t* w- C7 ]The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of7 ^# A$ Y/ T$ F. ]1 L& s
the anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are
; ?2 I3 t6 B3 `: A0 o% [; Ysigns that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.
3 M' m: `" [3 SBusiness investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative# ]4 T( T3 z$ l# J f" |6 T' E/ ?: B
financial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a- A5 Y# c- Q# d; x
recovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.% T8 b, Y K0 h7 m; y
However, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects4 f( d q% v5 k" Z
of the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity- F7 y) K4 |+ ?+ Q. }3 d
performance." P- k5 }% r g5 {( f
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While global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the
2 P4 S) ~- S7 o% P0 D5 p6 _6 V* z6 GBank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the
5 V* q; Y7 d3 ~4 B. J7 V$ uconsiderable slack in the economy.7 F# P! G" }7 r9 f
5 m1 A `. @7 y! v4 w$ \- UReflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate
8 V+ R9 _% W7 j* Dat 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the
0 d. b& T( N: e$ I( a4 O1 @2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further
/ B$ K' P _( V5 M. s+ l6 ?$ `reduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.
5 d" j" `% r0 l1 t' G- hInformation note:
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# u$ _0 [8 R9 L9 @% oThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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