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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its+ X$ v( _; D5 b9 F- S J8 D% k
January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is
0 E( x# \ t6 S+ u) u0 X1 @solidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing
7 I3 m' b% V, a; f3 M6 ^ z6 wchallenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European
- E9 [4 G+ c8 s7 i4 A# A/ nrecovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from0 }, K6 f$ O5 l: D
emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could
) s% y% x7 h7 e9 V! ?be further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.9 v: s" ~8 `; n t" Q
) f) N2 ^# G, f; X/ i# }/ O3 IThe recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of
5 h3 b4 u$ X: @the anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are
' c+ g" O0 Q8 c4 I- {/ U2 @signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.9 y2 x% y5 J( S3 u+ M
Business investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative
/ w8 @ c7 o7 C7 Nfinancial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a& L' H2 \5 b! Q4 w: v# h2 _4 h
recovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.
' ^2 V- f* N/ c+ C# O7 ?However, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects
5 X0 G% H$ I- Z8 a- n* r' Sof the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity
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While global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the
+ b6 ^: A1 e6 V6 x- _Bank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the7 G6 r; L2 Z6 t! x: _4 u
considerable slack in the economy.
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Reflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate: t j9 ]6 y4 @. W6 n
at 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the
$ t0 P) l. J% j- E$ C( `8 i" ?2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further
5 \& {1 N& i$ v+ ?; Jreduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.; |" M% t: `- V# D& R# Q
Information note:& g& ]; P! p3 u: [9 V
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The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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