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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its
) [" q7 D- R) L$ t0 _; r; VJanuary Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is$ O+ b) o1 U" S- P: O7 b
solidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing" k, Q* ~+ w" @) L) \) J7 }
challenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European& M( ~0 }9 I- h8 z
recovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from
/ B7 \4 z9 h5 C9 wemerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could% N8 W# g( w7 s& R5 e: H* r
be further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.( F! Q% D1 V& J' B. ]% z
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of
% m6 S% _/ e: G6 nthe anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are
) b' ` X& ~! Usigns that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.
J2 Z0 _1 }* wBusiness investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative
+ _" p- R3 h3 F# Wfinancial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a
1 [2 T7 t# B _# |' V2 drecovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.
u1 c: @ w+ Z9 G- nHowever, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects
3 a7 O8 N6 i8 [% y$ J7 g& g3 L! G# Nof the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity; y2 R2 @: H* f7 \( }0 H
performance.
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: M% M: b. Z1 M3 V# BWhile global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the
$ U. m4 E. p# X5 `/ Q5 h& }Bank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the1 A4 ]% {- B H6 w q+ \. C
considerable slack in the economy.* h+ w' R+ z0 ~; w& t4 H$ W0 R
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Reflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate
' A! ^' ~" p, F+ J" }at 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the
% C5 s9 h: ]3 q8 v( _* g2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further$ O8 L" F: M! C% m6 x b; ]
reduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.6 L) d: y; a; f3 f
Information note:
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The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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