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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its
; [4 k, l5 F7 ?% I$ |) s& }January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is
- l+ F D- o5 P8 p/ A% O4 t( tsolidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing
: U3 ~3 \9 j- d6 g- w6 }; schallenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European& Z, ]/ h& v9 X# Q5 Q
recovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from" Y! f/ a# T( p/ Q0 @4 A
emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could* m+ y. G& u. a2 R+ X
be further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of
& L5 V) [, v% m+ P5 @the anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are2 h2 t( x! r- E! k2 t
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.* K8 C6 K4 G8 w9 B: i
Business investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative' [$ B0 f! n; t4 D
financial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a
2 B: F& e; R4 q9 U+ h: N& U% hrecovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.! d3 U- H% C, Y* B
However, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects
% I. {, b5 `# c; p, Zof the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity
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While global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the
' i7 o+ h1 a( nBank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the: d/ Y9 N, C3 z2 X5 b! t
considerable slack in the economy.
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" y4 H9 ~" j* l5 x# S& OReflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate H+ l" z- @( N. u U& E. V
at 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the
& Z$ ^+ c0 D- z3 _- T2 `* z* y6 z2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further
$ S8 r+ y; h& A3 Y: `# @0 e/ B1 R: a, f( ]reduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered. K4 X6 `) u& I
Information note:& W0 y% \/ ~7 M$ q' L& Z+ O: Y: S9 F
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The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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