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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its \* v' s% Q0 L: C% d
January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is
; D4 Y) a- q; a2 ksolidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing3 q! `. a; s; {
challenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European
0 X$ k* E$ N/ j; |4 irecovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from$ p# d7 i% n- ?. e; s
emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could
/ T; \- g/ T7 P# T$ ?be further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.- P6 e! T, e4 c6 d; l7 e, s" ?
2 N4 |7 }- k2 L8 A1 o" G- {The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of
/ e2 ?" N: l6 r9 R; Wthe anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are
4 l+ s$ V m+ V, Jsigns that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.
' z, G) \' W0 oBusiness investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative
1 s( o( m: n* T. ?5 Xfinancial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a
4 H* `7 L: d: f* J1 O: erecovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.
4 T. Z3 u+ ]( ?/ V$ a+ ^0 QHowever, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects
2 L) |+ N9 z5 b8 x/ S! fof the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity& x$ E3 n. h' G4 K/ `6 d! S) I/ T
performance.! F; i5 C& }3 [& U3 l1 _. R
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While global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the. k+ @& _2 j. t& d6 H2 p' K
Bank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the7 E/ q4 k+ s! k- K( D0 _
considerable slack in the economy.& n- {5 }1 P0 U8 P8 }
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Reflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate
* P Q5 @1 \+ t; U' bat 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the; X( p* `2 ]& U& O: z# j z0 j! b5 `
2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further9 j v8 M4 O! ]+ C- a- N7 U7 H
reduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.8 ]% [$ H" U" k+ }" j7 X3 _
Information note:
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The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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