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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its& V" L5 ]- y G; ~$ R) w
January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is. R+ Y( s! d. ^8 z( e
solidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing
9 ^/ ?# H+ }6 |5 D. H' ^challenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European
. T; w; K t. o( G- q3 Vrecovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from! l% h/ ~: @ z9 N' p
emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could
' o ^+ D$ G& K0 Cbe further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of
* n0 k7 Z$ S) H7 ~5 v4 G, d; ?3 Ithe anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are6 {' x2 S! v3 h4 a$ G
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.2 ]6 o- B+ K$ D) R
Business investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative
5 s, a. U0 B; y5 q/ ^4 r4 {financial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a# e- ~9 Q% a! @( Y
recovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.! R/ x$ h3 G q+ c% o
However, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects3 f1 n+ x. F9 X/ c
of the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity) g3 ~" U# L5 h/ c& e4 m; G# H7 {
performance.
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While global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the
$ H$ _0 f0 u) {! j* ] `9 rBank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the
$ p2 |$ e5 o8 i$ {considerable slack in the economy.
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Reflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate
/ F6 q; y& ~2 _+ m" t" h8 ^at 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the/ s$ q6 G4 @* f3 [
2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further" q3 L4 p: L1 H8 `% G& F
reduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.
& B \+ K9 u( h) `& T" g7 H- |8 W$ EInformation note:9 O1 X% a5 }5 H; E+ P \! `4 C
$ c6 r- L& q3 F& ^. {5 MThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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