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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
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3 U/ C( Y g3 j1 \2 i* ?The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its9 x' r% |( }$ T$ w: P
January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is+ x# B/ V" s6 n/ n* v) {+ V
solidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing
5 e$ f# z7 x1 f m/ j5 P) L/ D% ichallenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European3 f t; h& _' S3 S" h
recovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from6 \3 e5 e+ _' s& T
emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could
: n: [; \( t! [; c8 T3 p- K ybe further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.# g8 c- G1 x0 j; H+ l" l; w
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of
) E, A' ^% W7 w& ?the anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are+ L! b, A( d' A7 I. W( {' @6 M
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.
3 R @9 J; _" d$ b! NBusiness investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative
% A& N" t- x$ P. V4 a I/ kfinancial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a0 I* S6 k4 ?$ g# f5 o
recovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.
; m3 Y6 } i* d8 g5 d8 B' U6 h cHowever, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects
; V. F/ a6 C4 A" w+ [) ^- Mof the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity
! Y- T# V4 ~4 n& v" c. _ Y1 ~performance.
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While global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the
9 _4 o. R l2 _' Q0 iBank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the$ ?& ?9 o9 B' c) D% o9 V+ R
considerable slack in the economy.
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+ p2 Y' [, A$ a9 U( O% oReflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate! I2 t6 [7 }/ B$ s/ \, m5 B' o
at 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the
, f9 G- T. ]3 t) x7 I; D2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further3 [* }1 a3 e, s5 a
reduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.: ~, J+ H5 n! N X+ Y/ ~
Information note:: H0 y$ \9 W7 J6 q' r. k4 \
! M. w; h* h1 Q! TThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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