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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
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9 R' k! G6 [/ q% l' hThe global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its8 o0 M& M- J2 o# m4 O. P$ G
January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is# V. r% [0 I9 F; O! S: |' E. N
solidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing8 Z6 G N# f5 p# C+ A) B, I
challenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European
" Z; z; i& ~! Q1 I9 X2 Brecovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from8 k1 f0 H" q2 {9 V# R0 i( e0 N2 l
emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could7 i- F2 h' Y) K, {* ~. Z8 b+ g
be further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.- T( P* m! q+ Z, h1 @/ m3 i. O8 E
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of8 Y2 w2 u; W6 c9 h$ f
the anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are u7 \% e$ O( ^) f8 y; ~
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.5 x# a: Y+ f9 J& n3 ?2 S% D
Business investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative& W+ ?& m6 i4 M* R5 ] H5 a' x
financial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a
+ c& {$ S2 t- \* L* x r- I+ M3 arecovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.
7 A7 A5 D6 N% ^" y6 L7 CHowever, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects
& i: l: d( E/ ^/ t6 M9 Jof the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity$ ~6 c3 C& v7 ^2 r; O# P* s
performance.
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While global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the
* l- Z$ H' J' p% A& f& n, L$ _Bank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the% Z2 @' Z i4 O i5 a/ q: A
considerable slack in the economy.8 W, f( S7 K3 j B* z
$ S* Q+ n: o2 g) q5 sReflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate
p5 f( w5 ~) P$ z# E) |5 b7 x6 @% tat 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the
3 O8 I7 X: U8 m; m! W& B' C6 q Q4 D2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further* c. g0 x0 z6 ]: }- ^$ S5 R
reduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.4 P) N% s0 |! K H: T" F8 P% e
Information note:
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, E3 T6 ^3 h+ B. J$ [) R1 YThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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