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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.( L& c Y( A. U9 L) i* P K# ~
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The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its8 \/ P0 R; o+ ~0 W1 A' ^
January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is E; a, C$ T, E# }
solidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing$ Q$ f9 e6 R" A: [# k* ~; Y
challenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European
3 K4 P/ Z: \5 |, N0 F* L. B% arecovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from
4 Y/ k0 |* b/ }emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could6 j, \' X! I# t# J& v1 o1 I1 w1 f
be further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.+ o7 ^7 d" ?' y( D4 y; i7 u
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of
# s: a$ V, g& R3 I1 Z% uthe anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are
- N+ u/ L) x6 c) k! Gsigns that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.9 s1 a+ z! g( j" G a4 j
Business investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative
: P9 D& U* n9 s$ U& Efinancial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a: f7 ]- }9 N1 z u
recovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.
6 g/ O& ]* p f( B% M. o: lHowever, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects( d& V% W* u* ?* u
of the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity
5 c5 }. `) I) P+ Y+ Y$ ?performance.
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While global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the
; ]* R J4 [0 }( kBank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the7 x+ V( W+ b- P) e* W3 u- h3 ]. I
considerable slack in the economy.& w6 R3 L) Y1 c' O3 B
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Reflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate
- Q. o! y5 j- Gat 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the7 t0 L8 t4 Q* W& m/ Y; i+ N
2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further8 k& T9 l! l x+ a8 }. o
reduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.+ ]& K) I! n4 S# E# l4 E
Information note:
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4 m! n% ~0 b3 PThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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