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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.: S9 h9 H4 f% j
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The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its6 R# H0 @0 _) }" a
January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is# F* C/ C7 f4 q J
solidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing
$ k8 O1 U) ~/ K }+ S+ J1 ?0 Bchallenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European
9 t5 K1 N1 i- v! h" K U0 Brecovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from
* C) {+ Q; L$ r/ j) @0 Eemerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could5 Y1 u0 L% C& |1 n$ k5 v
be further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.6 ]: |) n5 r+ p! H% R" ]' V
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of
P0 k; b9 |) A: X% U9 w# p% sthe anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are" l% q3 u5 z* o
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.* X. L1 f$ ]' p: A# o5 g% n
Business investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative
: S+ ?" A* o$ Y6 @5 d% ifinancial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a* [$ G$ t2 _! r, e% d
recovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.) |# A3 U: x0 A8 g; _# v+ Q* d
However, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects5 y2 Q. {, {! Y! h
of the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity
1 W+ q6 f; _8 m, ^+ tperformance.# p( J! s ]7 k# `8 `, A# y# [
" Z' K4 c) R* R) ^) tWhile global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the* G" j+ s. e! k* F+ u9 c2 Z7 J8 \
Bank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the
/ {8 f; z2 ~5 y8 V' X Oconsiderable slack in the economy.
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Reflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate; I( N& I, _( Q7 h4 [+ ` Y3 o) S" F
at 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the
* \* K, k: g$ E! X4 O. I: v/ a2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further- _1 m2 V' c3 |0 X# G$ H1 Q
reduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.
8 ]; b" F Q. XInformation note:) |$ D& U; V& u3 x: w$ b
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The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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