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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
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, C+ h. j1 j8 B5 t, jThe global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its
+ P$ u3 L; F; q8 W7 ^8 MJanuary Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is
& R8 W$ j) x6 p/ `+ V/ S8 Ysolidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing/ t, n1 F2 g7 p5 s# K+ D: [
challenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European
$ P# ?) k; ~9 ?recovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from6 P* n! l2 F, V% g8 u e5 F# ?
emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could
9 a; x2 P$ u$ M1 w: Ebe further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of
5 U; o) G# t0 P$ |: a& x/ @3 m$ lthe anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are4 c8 R W# V* C1 G1 J. [
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.
4 t1 A0 j) i Y0 r' ^, A) ]/ ^Business investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative
& n; d( }. S5 f0 Y! f$ q# yfinancial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a/ G6 ^# [2 [! l! V' L! }2 w) ^
recovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.% S) @" Q! j9 Z3 t1 c$ _
However, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects
; Q* l v x1 W- |4 n+ Iof the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity, A6 N4 M6 |" m- c7 M2 u
performance.3 r: B' T# x+ o [- @+ T }; J) f
7 D4 S; b# a0 v' `8 b9 RWhile global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the
8 Q/ I9 s7 ^. d; ?6 p DBank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the7 Y. R5 N% y' m3 U( W" q2 E
considerable slack in the economy./ _: ~# R" s# B& ^6 F
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Reflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate' _1 n. l& g* ?' c& A' m: J* f ]
at 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the
2 H- g4 A( [( W, p1 ~$ X2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further
% Q8 E8 D; _7 w* ]$ qreduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.
- [3 M4 N% N( E- f# [1 R- A1 |: `8 bInformation note:
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O( N) \8 R* F9 YThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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