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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
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+ b- n9 P' A1 z5 a. oThe global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its; h8 [. S& [0 U$ P: [9 [" N
January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is
, |+ M9 u# y; q1 x/ ?4 Lsolidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing
/ i! [/ N6 l+ rchallenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European
% }8 K9 t9 u- k3 a5 G) q; Orecovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from
1 _6 k2 y3 _- p3 y+ Memerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could
1 u d" x+ R; q; M% p: ]- nbe further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of5 g \. D; a/ j/ [
the anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are
$ {% d# ]0 y$ }, l3 \signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.
7 L4 |+ y) u* l+ V2 g5 MBusiness investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative( E( D) o/ u9 {& }
financial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a/ y/ M- A, h8 w# a5 r4 N5 O
recovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.6 G, @! C6 v# X9 y/ [+ \
However, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects5 c, C1 W& d: u+ I' c+ r
of the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity* g6 F+ Q3 i4 T8 @* ~6 n
performance.
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While global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the* N% J+ ?) U! v' x9 I
Bank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the! l2 v6 C7 d+ e g) a
considerable slack in the economy.# L6 m1 Q% Q+ W0 P
6 v- _* }. ^) I0 ]8 MReflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate$ }2 G9 ?& W5 u: y7 Y
at 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the" e9 ^4 D; Q5 R; V1 S$ r1 J7 W! E
2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further6 L% b# P2 v: w; k( | ?
reduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.
0 _+ Y, ?" c. C2 l) ~Information note:& R2 G$ ^& P+ c0 F5 R' l
2 o! K+ ?3 u- UThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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