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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its/ X- _# B$ K2 u) K/ H# ?0 n
January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is8 k) ?( b9 j5 N& T+ m0 G
solidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing1 Q& L. C* G- F+ v
challenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European
+ P5 v2 e7 k! G: @. [recovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from
% j2 }$ f3 i& I% i& `5 p$ temerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could# B) G% h% [0 b" s; Q# e+ V# \+ l
be further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of9 q M# |( o2 ^7 M$ B
the anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are* _, ^6 I9 \2 I+ T# h! N' l0 e
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.
1 m: ?" a+ w9 |: s' V+ {( sBusiness investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative
& H! _" G L) Ufinancial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a
9 B; w3 h4 U! O1 C, ]recovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.0 W6 k, ~* C& C' j
However, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects- l. K5 R B8 B, }/ O" l! v, \
of the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity4 d1 p- F' J7 o; b/ d6 w K
performance.# a! j6 s8 n( R/ s
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While global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the8 T* ^0 N4 \+ P" \( t& _2 \2 k
Bank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the
+ H" E1 N: Y: P7 y% r' Hconsiderable slack in the economy.# K! W0 n2 u; w- ~) ]) ~; ?4 C
# U+ u% b8 o$ T9 DReflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate
+ x1 u0 z) z% h ]# b3 T0 Rat 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the/ \! _$ s' x/ u" C
2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further
) @' P/ F9 ?7 P+ Creduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.+ n4 ~8 R& }6 v, Q6 Q
Information note:( Z- R w+ C- Z$ l( n& t9 [" W
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The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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