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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.6 T- e& u# l6 r, v0 n% m2 @
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The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its' t' @6 B( U8 M+ F: |
January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is" W% G; s" s- b) c' k* x
solidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing6 F) a$ @1 y4 C
challenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European/ N1 n( c' ^$ p: Z
recovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from
+ z/ S4 g7 v2 T4 |! C1 ^. demerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could8 Q2 e" l3 @* ^7 q& l
be further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.8 z6 q r M! G. g4 O5 Y# J) t
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of
; ]5 E) ]' o( vthe anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are
( G9 c, z) [% X: J( Lsigns that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.4 k, h( `( b6 Q, R( [4 P) Y
Business investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative
0 E6 G l. ^) Y1 H5 v2 G+ C% xfinancial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a
! A4 s: Q4 \- R: Orecovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.1 h, q" j P* J6 O6 |% U: |
However, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects' w W/ d/ J, }; ^
of the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity! C V- a. y& C4 ^- r8 w) r
performance.
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While global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the
2 d$ U* |( n# j' f6 H; X G- yBank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the; W2 F/ h$ P5 F I
considerable slack in the economy.
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Reflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate
/ C B# p' e% ]# Uat 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the
. Q2 O' X, z) E8 y3 `: O: x( N2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further* U( E. T) G9 C6 [
reduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.# J5 T) J( X6 |' H5 I& [
Information note:
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The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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