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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its$ d; i1 ^" X0 j
January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is6 d3 Q1 c5 d0 W! t5 u
solidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing5 v% X5 m: O* A
challenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European. G! L# [* y: F2 W8 x
recovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from4 Y* O& Z$ T) a
emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could) S0 |0 B& s5 U3 B) w
be further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events. c6 c. t. ?6 J: l# y' }" x
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of
. O3 Y% c" b% g' @0 xthe anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are% C9 G& i0 `# [ h5 L
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.5 `, s9 c% m; f" A6 F. l* q
Business investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative
4 F5 E3 n3 ~- }7 [( h; Y, Lfinancial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a! @' A9 n$ q7 j' N
recovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.3 B2 S, ]. ~: j& T
However, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects
/ o/ x+ a' l3 P% uof the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity
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While global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the
! A- A4 d3 w- }) \% Q9 BBank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the* {" N4 Q/ F/ x0 a9 o' I
considerable slack in the economy.
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Reflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate
' R3 K W8 x' {4 ]' C% `1 [, R eat 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the
& Q* a! M# E3 s. |2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further
- o: o# S7 J6 H3 L4 P0 Q6 Ireduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.
' \/ B* l$ f; Y* r* G- dInformation note:' h! h: k: F2 x
1 F1 [; b+ p: z& L) T( v' b6 tThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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