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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.. z0 Q: x* M% A% U/ m
# H# w. S2 E1 p) |* uThe global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its
$ u( n6 `; h r, u+ V! o5 kJanuary Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is7 W7 U" F* S8 }
solidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing
' S; W" k3 Q5 [, W7 Zchallenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European" a( H# h ~9 h
recovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from \* |: S' ?% N( N! o& F6 A9 b
emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could* [# R5 i: v6 I I1 z+ j- |/ ?% z0 D
be further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of, b+ N3 N/ u) x" B
the anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are; ~, w) @! V, p' {+ q+ L" ~
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.
- X% z0 B3 o8 v4 Y6 yBusiness investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative9 F; X& r3 {2 m& I- q7 Z
financial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a
' p- F, i- K5 @% m$ H% ^recovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.1 @4 e/ B1 g2 p/ u" A8 q6 E5 B
However, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects
1 B! k1 N! C8 y5 R8 Nof the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity
) M d, Z/ q* q. X8 y7 }: Nperformance.
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While global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the
3 N" P7 c( a0 d/ g) I/ ?Bank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the
" U) g# z2 r, k1 {: Lconsiderable slack in the economy.% H) F0 H& f+ O/ g
1 s' R0 ^8 E2 @/ H4 o, z! q) I& [! XReflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate0 K; \& t. P: \: V0 P o
at 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the
+ E; a$ m+ @7 N& \5 }2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further/ h0 } d! B8 _, @; {( k; D3 Y
reduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.- F- m5 S9 e) D* Z
Information note:
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) X3 U5 Z' x6 O0 u1 HThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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