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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.5 s; b6 Q+ x( u
5 e4 B8 l/ V/ a% r( `: I' [The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its
' V: h" G% X( x) o7 F; qJanuary Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is9 }( [/ G4 i( ?2 b
solidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing
! B) Q8 o1 H, s- }1 d" c- S: xchallenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European* |4 o9 |' A! B+ R
recovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from7 G- N- ^, \: `8 J+ L" W
emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could! C0 Y' S" T1 m# N: j
be further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.
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P* x1 j) M0 g8 @6 e" w+ {The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of( R: l" `3 `- ^9 z" i
the anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are+ d. P3 a0 M9 z3 S: v ]
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.
% n& P+ C7 P0 pBusiness investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative1 `- V# k" H0 v
financial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a
' s6 d) {3 H5 ^6 o! yrecovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.
% k% n; Y6 |1 r( oHowever, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects
4 ~2 K* m7 w6 _2 Uof the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity
7 T; K7 S8 N& }2 x. Bperformance.
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M& Y7 d" K' cWhile global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the8 }& Q6 q( d( U0 q. l' B- b2 N& r4 c
Bank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the
. ^, b8 J A( i8 I+ mconsiderable slack in the economy." d2 a# ~- ?" M, _5 k) u, ]; ]
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Reflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate
1 b+ Q$ R, E9 t; v. V5 O# `at 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the
) B* U# i0 e0 G$ F+ s% f' f" J, [2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further) e; |) e3 @' D9 k) P( G
reduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.) R, L3 d# A" e6 U0 _$ A& U+ W' X
Information note:4 H4 {4 a6 b# K# w
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The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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