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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its; p' y2 M+ Z- p- y
January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is
, `/ M- H% ]" `- O8 Xsolidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing5 f# |+ g/ g: G4 t
challenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European
1 G) \% p* _# crecovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from
/ q) u) E" @1 E% K# w0 v# oemerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could! y2 p# Q7 u- }& s( O
be further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of
* v' x5 h/ [2 Q5 Ythe anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are0 V V, m' x, [
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.0 s! V) W5 G2 P( G6 ^! S7 N! S
Business investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative
]/ n% D* t: F$ Tfinancial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a& U* Y4 S t" z: v7 j4 A
recovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.
l# ?- V+ y4 e' o' L5 q. \1 F xHowever, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects
# c7 C v% h3 Y- ^" b3 b, q. Dof the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity2 [8 b% m! a$ ^& i, `, P6 d9 V! W( v
performance.+ }, S# E+ X1 s0 o' s
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While global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the( }- Q) p% K& u
Bank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the
6 f% P( U9 U' k/ g$ Sconsiderable slack in the economy.2 Q" ?: } o2 ]6 H3 M9 U/ m
! H0 U, | ?" M& S. T, dReflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate! H2 V+ }1 j5 v; [( w! o- f' u
at 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the0 u5 T) T0 E$ L- i
2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further
' p+ m1 f) f! |% Xreduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.. O. z0 y9 s! D
Information note:' K, _! C& _+ g% o9 u/ q1 T- M
! v; L4 ?/ J% n$ X9 q* kThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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