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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its
`% n7 A) m6 d3 Z- B7 XJanuary Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is
2 p4 Z: P; `; U9 {9 Csolidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing. i% x; P+ N6 v3 Y" g' F5 ?
challenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European, v6 D4 h: n2 u9 o z
recovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from
/ ?) J1 e0 I$ L. O% E! Wemerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could
/ [. J! z+ x* p7 y; C' Fbe further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.
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7 i4 O& s2 A" d7 `9 `2 v4 |6 x. ?$ _The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of) @/ P; O+ E1 Y
the anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are
$ G' r# r( ~( U9 ~: z9 K! V6 }signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.- d- C: g" C' L6 q0 v: T6 e* \( ~
Business investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative% e" t. R V3 A2 u( X3 M. s: ]
financial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a, t# f/ P6 \6 v4 }3 f0 y$ k# S
recovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.
0 c) |- J: P' b u3 [" xHowever, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects+ {) a! v' d, c& O% K0 I
of the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity
, z! e! w5 w0 \# F9 gperformance.
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: b$ Z' o6 O" h/ n8 f$ JWhile global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the
$ \8 A j) Z2 bBank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the
3 D& P7 p/ X6 V; k- Lconsiderable slack in the economy.
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/ g1 n) e4 B0 e8 n, b/ n. JReflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate" o. C$ y% @5 ~. p' t n
at 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the0 U7 N/ W0 `7 }* z J1 Y% x: W
2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further
1 I. A2 m) y3 kreduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.
* L. {$ Y. G7 L+ S! tInformation note:: [' d& ?4 R, I: Q+ f; E- x
0 O; v" u. M+ l! |6 V) uThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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