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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its6 G0 b. I9 c, D" ~' g" h
January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is R* V! n1 ^: r4 ]6 L* p# C% X
solidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing
+ l( o2 v9 l/ K% v' `6 zchallenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European' ]* b" V" c ?/ i' e1 E# |, }# z
recovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from
; d& k( \# D% u' Kemerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could
& E- V2 C) { \' U% Y4 ]7 _" Dbe further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of9 b$ }, @4 F8 _
the anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are L: n4 P) d1 |9 ~: y" z
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.! Z" k+ I5 S$ S: t
Business investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative
; i$ G$ J7 o/ {9 I* s( Nfinancial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a
, z" n2 }: s0 M& Krecovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.
0 y5 [+ h% D# z# Y# x0 K# d3 tHowever, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects
4 u' H8 k; ?+ N5 vof the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity
4 V c$ t/ I: ~ h# P8 S6 dperformance.
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/ J9 y" j: E- B& ZWhile global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the
7 m/ Q+ `% K$ C9 F- K5 SBank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the
2 k/ \: \1 V7 Iconsiderable slack in the economy." e* P+ n. V1 l; }/ y& |+ \
0 A! {5 ^( H- ]+ T cReflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate
4 e6 {$ g7 D& h, Z" Kat 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the
! l6 Q$ ?! j& s% u4 Y; \2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further
# g9 i) O; h/ p. q1 A preduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.( Y* [4 f s2 |/ ?" f8 }$ Q! N
Information note:
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# l: |2 K- R1 b: j2 t: F4 bThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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