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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.8 i" J1 m. D3 v3 o/ z
3 J; ]0 e& J, c) `1 ?The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its% n3 ^; W( a+ G
January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is/ r; o! `# ?3 y3 p% R
solidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing6 G, s1 X0 Y5 C6 h0 Z9 V6 h
challenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European
4 k4 T, i) y- a3 g/ xrecovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from$ o+ F- K; U8 K5 [4 l8 Q% D& g
emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could( Z' W4 R! U! E8 c) W1 F/ D
be further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events. w$ y' ]5 g* \ x" s; }7 D- K
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of
( M7 C; c* M$ \# ~4 X, L1 }the anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are
' x- P0 E W. O/ C Bsigns that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.! P- O9 w7 @, {+ t5 d7 T/ F' U. z
Business investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative
) u, I) G5 Z: |; X; Gfinancial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a
! y: e% h$ I8 A8 w% H0 nrecovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.+ ]+ v" j# `" W- K3 }' o0 s3 `
However, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects/ ?$ ?% E9 ?% n/ ~4 F
of the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity
! S; {7 D: F) M* gperformance.
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1 @/ g& Y' I4 ]6 i) `9 ?; C jWhile global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the
$ n0 z0 y: t ]1 {. C% vBank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the
1 t# W+ \& x& s3 Z9 iconsiderable slack in the economy., F/ T% ?$ `( |
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Reflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate
1 r. {3 _+ U" v0 `' Z! Z8 J1 _at 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the: H* O1 e! i* d- v3 `4 b0 i0 Y" v
2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further
& [# M& O* [ C5 a7 y6 Q% B+ e5 Vreduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.% D+ c: q$ M1 ?9 u3 P4 I
Information note:
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" Q, A& r t7 s. D! ]; jThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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