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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its- u# F6 I; L# r
January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is
" G1 h# g9 x* P( {solidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing
7 ^- ^- E9 s5 kchallenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European) }$ v" b+ d' V# y4 G0 W
recovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from
! v* A' _2 ~. Z4 V' ^emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could
# {; h3 T: Q% p3 Q# vbe further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.$ l" y6 e: l [ P, U
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of
* a/ p7 q" ?# b9 wthe anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are4 Q( K( M8 z( Z* G, `+ G$ F
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.4 t7 p; c! P, A2 J2 h
Business investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative
# C( ?0 l. e/ B6 x. b/ B% b3 F2 gfinancial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a
! K1 g$ [; `2 _ f4 v6 @+ U! ?recovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.
$ c) T! n* o8 n. DHowever, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects
& [, y3 l7 L% H, S- E3 r7 g% uof the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity) r1 S1 H/ Z9 I0 _4 [+ r! r! q1 L
performance.
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While global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the1 S( _. ?, E! H4 T e
Bank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the
4 ~5 Q& i& c# S5 ^& M( Uconsiderable slack in the economy.* R6 I5 @- g! _" G9 X* n
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Reflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate
+ s- G& ]+ r. Q/ uat 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the$ I3 P& o8 D6 F+ P% `. f ~$ d/ Q' N
2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further
, g' S! q* P) d* O/ M- Q& p: Freduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.3 C- U5 x0 c' c
Information note:) r4 |+ O E! E* t+ \
; H7 u4 O' J t3 X$ g0 e% EThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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