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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
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; b1 A+ I8 M# {7 C$ P" BThe global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its6 E/ D+ X" K8 p( R; W/ D4 Q0 T1 `3 A
January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is
1 |- Y! b: n2 b9 @$ t% J9 x* fsolidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing
% u& K- ~# Y4 P* |0 ]& o# Zchallenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European
- q7 \, d- q. ?) n# urecovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from
* ^" b# D9 Q; _, `& g* b- ~emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could8 R/ K0 E$ Y9 d+ t( }" {8 H
be further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.
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: V, C4 c7 u8 I; @5 iThe recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of0 e$ a8 ]3 n1 Z+ a& i: H i
the anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are5 g8 e6 Q! l9 j6 O* w
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.
6 _# M4 S( c9 r/ ^7 e& UBusiness investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative
0 R6 V: x2 q7 w: o c0 t kfinancial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a
' A8 C+ s% P( B1 e# ~6 \$ f% vrecovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.
0 h0 ~1 P+ m6 @1 ^: r# s! ~However, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects; _ K6 T! Z3 g8 ?0 t
of the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity" B- z0 I) p% z0 l
performance.
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/ R* u0 i1 m3 @" O) A r5 jWhile global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the7 B: K5 P- a8 I3 i, R/ {3 `1 f
Bank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the3 d5 x/ A- [0 u4 ]; Y( `+ y
considerable slack in the economy.
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Reflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate/ ~, v" P8 E6 E" G# J# l0 X$ Q
at 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the
6 M2 _2 x K4 [* P. j+ F& e2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further5 a$ y$ w6 k2 k: h$ ~( ?" e8 N
reduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.' W: M9 ^! p9 f+ {" A( J) N) n
Information note:
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The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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