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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
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2 B% F+ a, x9 a. v! @3 ~$ P' w# kThe global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its
6 b/ A9 \2 J& ]2 eJanuary Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is+ T* R, E3 W( C# p
solidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing
% F# _# a1 H2 E7 F6 Ichallenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European" u" ^2 B) _4 @3 I* A3 C% H
recovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from
: B+ {4 @' w/ g9 e) E0 }* Jemerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could
% {2 }. @1 j" x2 A& sbe further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.9 j1 E' z9 r/ `8 r$ I
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of! `' v* s8 q5 M; K
the anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are$ c: E, h5 H! a2 y& H% Z- b! U: D
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.
( l1 Z# |; Q$ H9 F2 O5 f5 \Business investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative
4 z7 z( I! J- T$ L5 t u% mfinancial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a
0 N; `- o8 T t* t ?0 P6 D0 }recovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.
+ Q4 X* B+ w* y$ u3 o1 d& w, zHowever, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects
. J* k# B, n j, e" j) h& n C" Xof the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity
$ `. a. l7 h9 S& Operformance.
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While global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the9 ?% T+ [4 {2 h: L9 P* p
Bank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the
; t8 Y/ f# o3 C8 T r3 `- Bconsiderable slack in the economy.- m! E4 B* `& |: W0 a' n, m: h
; N6 T" A0 [, H0 D. m. VReflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate
; V3 t I8 i: B$ {: c, fat 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the
6 i& y; l: H) d4 Z; \( b# J2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further& l4 i; Z. x) D3 F
reduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.. r' N; X$ d8 ~( C
Information note:
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The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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