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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.* t9 F" H: E& q
4 p. s2 N3 y3 j2 l2 ^7 S+ |" t7 O4 ~6 HThe global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its1 u/ `% R4 ~- Z. n. Z* L
January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is. T U+ A o8 d/ \7 x& u1 a# y8 t
solidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing2 H# ]: t- {7 b* L+ G o4 C
challenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European
: `2 b8 I0 c" P" w0 Z5 K0 ~# drecovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from
1 T; i6 Q+ T$ ~+ R; T0 |emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could
+ r9 N) q: Z. M9 r+ G& q0 Lbe further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of8 x/ g% z, K2 N( S9 I
the anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are6 ^3 l6 o: u% I# K' v
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.+ M @ x0 d1 D, ^2 K0 Y8 q
Business investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative
2 D) U9 L5 b( k3 {financial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a& R# ^( a5 e/ Z9 V
recovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.
$ g# Q+ O Y2 k( d3 p- SHowever, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects4 o- @5 t Y# U" Q" x+ ] d
of the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity! ~4 V9 U6 r# b8 V4 V [* s
performance.% X# N+ t9 k' y4 O7 Y: _4 i) {# m
' [. [5 ^6 v4 Y: K. h) c- aWhile global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the$ E$ \5 ^7 u. Y$ A" B) T, k6 v1 Q" @
Bank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the
: O. P6 U: s9 I7 Z9 i$ Oconsiderable slack in the economy.* x4 Q5 ~8 }% x9 ?, L: ~& V; j) R# u
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Reflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate
" a/ N& F y' {9 c* I& Wat 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the$ A Y" u* ^8 }9 Z" [0 h
2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further
* n: r2 i& X- kreduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.
7 t" F+ G1 b$ ~: pInformation note:
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+ w' V8 g, f0 V( UThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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