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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its4 v. F i5 f+ x
January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is
4 c! N: \( C2 w8 V7 ]& Fsolidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing5 I! I2 Z* A$ f. Z- g
challenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European
* m) s, [6 T) f- U6 L yrecovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from
) e! s, D& S, w$ V$ t- P6 S2 l# ?emerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could! F$ x8 a* @* U. Z& z, g
be further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of
, [1 v: y7 z, W# Hthe anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are3 e& a# |! _1 `4 w0 \( g
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.2 v; v! h+ [& i) B$ c1 I8 y M
Business investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative
4 M4 w; v) h; X( i' ufinancial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a
1 P. Z5 B# H4 u9 \( ?3 i Y) Rrecovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities.
8 J; x( r1 _) m. GHowever, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects4 m P- j: Y9 Y0 m H S' l
of the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity
. }* X. o* K& p3 p4 R* N- Yperformance.
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While global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the
- L! o: \3 A) z& V4 }Bank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the* z k( P: e! k- `! O% e
considerable slack in the economy.
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Reflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate
# o8 R1 c5 s) [8 r8 K: Mat 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the0 G u4 ?) t, [& _) @* E L2 m
2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further4 S: \$ |" T5 ^9 s' V# b
reduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered./ e/ ^- C: ?8 e7 f6 g
Information note:
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& t6 T, i4 `2 ^" T5 l3 d' EThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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