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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market6 |) u3 w, U$ w: m
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
2 K5 A- G+ i! y& `* h- g) k2 orate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly+ E R! P( ?. z3 L9 o6 X: G2 `
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
2 x9 t, E% v& K; ^9 @3 loperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.& v( Z% `! [, u* U4 E w
, m/ o' p0 F: f1 j* hThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
1 s; K. h# |$ q; z" j) Estrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
( A) t7 \% H# \6 ZUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
! l: N. P( T' hin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
" v. H7 K6 T5 M2 k b5 gIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal f5 n/ `- l- ]+ |3 _4 P6 d" b: ?" C
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
- K/ ^& x" i. @ Wvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result1 ^ A9 t) K1 t& T P8 V( q/ n3 R2 G
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an4 i% z' S0 P" B3 r, @; @! }
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
: b4 O5 `9 _0 _, Uspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity; s! q* y2 O" _( }/ }2 T
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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3 O" s2 d6 a, fActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
3 ?: \% c" e+ M/ zin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.* F+ H, {* I8 ~& [; y5 H
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with6 I2 w) N% h- M$ i
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more. s" z4 E$ h; s, G& N( ~% @% m( q
balanced recovery./ ]9 l2 B# i' x
: H0 I' Z* Q# tCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
: ]* v# Y# G8 S# pthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess! Y& }% s5 d8 ?0 Y9 Q
supply.5 o& j7 @ Y7 X/ H+ I+ S+ x+ e1 ^
( r9 M2 p' ~( B7 b7 I" ^" n4 zIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and$ p9 @3 j/ _+ E+ a
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
( u# I6 i& Q( H: c0 o9 v( _monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
2 r/ v! h6 ?8 G4 C1 C1 l ~significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
: [4 U6 r$ X# K# ^# ^; y- ?stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
9 L& M$ z, i. s/ ]! E8 J& Mdevelopments.2 A9 v) I' w- f) B! k
+ A2 P- B7 Y$ a% P" d2 e( B
Information note:5 t7 Y" s9 j0 ^0 }) }
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update* b2 U: W( y) ]/ A
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
, o. }& y9 z& ?# v2 U/ Qpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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