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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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1 t# _3 N- O0 Z9 o, e) I8 iOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
$ { l- R! R/ urate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly3 c3 v' m- s/ @/ q/ x( d8 c! L
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
) H/ i8 g; D/ [! g5 M& n5 p, Voperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
6 j+ e/ f' J0 Xstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
# z5 `6 W; K" }8 {3 iUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
: \& O8 N" Q9 f6 z5 m& C/ r- V+ m5 c& ?in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.9 I2 b6 T* R d2 h7 h
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal Q* C6 A" Q+ q; B" L
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the! j% _ \) q! C' d8 Y1 \5 U" [
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
) f5 C1 E5 D- f1 @. F$ x" J8 Rin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an8 v# j' l6 @% g& e/ E# h/ i" F
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
' O* H9 H. R, ?" x" b, vspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
. G$ K9 G. x) }9 Mprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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# A+ Y! ~3 Z0 ?3 WActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent# O1 {2 t/ B1 q& p& \' R, e
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.) A" f: K7 D0 `7 Q8 x/ a% [' q
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
6 W* M: ]; w; l f X" kincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more& R6 e2 t1 h# `. U) q7 v# h& v
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
# W2 t( O8 u0 J# F* U! D! J$ mthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
( J) r/ B2 H5 r( ?' X2 H) Y v9 ysupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and1 l, k5 i4 P1 B0 w7 c
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ' `5 W/ H9 G& k3 m4 [& m
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the " j- q# o" w3 @; Q, I
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.6 i8 a4 i; k6 A1 r' U, V
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
! E' q; e2 A1 ?. Q3 E' l# Istimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic- z- k. p0 }5 P# B6 e
developments.
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Information note:
: _. s" u) E; g3 p0 Q4 `2 UThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update- q9 u0 r2 r( ^4 L& k9 k6 i
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
& J4 A# F& A& L5 |" b' fpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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