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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market2 G5 M7 O; q \6 w5 z/ |
4 E$ ^+ ^- M/ {) P3 l: \OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight2 m* T( A5 m, o# c- n6 c9 [
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly/ E( L0 A& K: k& v& f: n
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal' E: A! g9 I* Y' c" Q+ B( }
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with: i2 {+ P [. }$ t8 j+ \
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
' L% p# K( l _1 J% L$ C# iUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
) l7 a* Y7 ? y* tin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.5 b) x6 U* ]+ n, M! k+ b
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
0 U4 G( p; o' _3 }stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the' S* d% Z4 q g: {4 \% a
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
* _4 Y8 M$ a0 T0 }& X1 X0 J6 C iin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
* m- A B. j% Y5 S4 [& b) B/ bimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
: P6 q" _* v/ @spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
0 S5 N, X% U- y y3 W5 D- Cprices and some tightening of financial conditions.6 m) U# U0 Q( d; ]# K& y4 X
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent# I2 j: z4 V L d1 |* Q
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed. \0 ?+ s: A, z1 z- s& V. |
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
5 J, T& H0 O- w! S% Q# f) O0 kincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more' @; \; r/ J7 l8 {! k
balanced recovery.
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, G. ], V( e1 t, j; `( CCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects R4 K) O+ D+ w' o
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess% j7 s+ y& n. @2 T$ ], J( `
supply.
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& X' p% C f% O* Z, f9 m" L% eIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
( L. q5 z4 K7 k* I% ~9 y% Gto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable : r R0 y! l# Z9 b1 I% [/ ]3 k9 ]
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
3 j5 Y/ Y0 m6 M$ E2 A" Wsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.% h( `2 z( k8 M- z+ c4 ~
* B4 r! l' z) b- k$ rGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary' L; y, J6 l2 G# O! l. s3 U
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic2 V* b' _8 `' e1 i5 v' B! e% C. Y
developments.7 z+ H* T% }: S$ P- B
1 A% W3 d( D$ ZInformation note: H3 [: g3 ?; A2 _4 U
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update+ r3 Q n; h" e( V
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
% c8 R& B, M! s, H! w, a# U j( _published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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