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Alberta's oilsands could push Canada's oil production to more than 4.2 million barrels a day by 2025, compared with 2.7 million bpd currently, if the investment climate improves over time, said the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers in a forecast released Friday.; V. e; n T X7 P) C( I. A/ ?
( g4 y1 a) F, U& [8 X0 B4 [The production and market outlook paints two scenarios.1 f- i& O8 k E7 u. t: H- }( B$ C
$ w# J, i! \( y ]% _Under a conservative approach, which includes projects operating or under construction, Canadian crude oil output would rise to just 2.8 million bpd by 2025, with the oilsands replacing declining conventional production.
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CAPP sees oilsands output increasing to two million bpd under its conservative approach, compared with 3.3 million bpd under its growth scenario, which assumes an improving economic market.
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: C2 T. y. Q" Y7 |3 k# Q"CAPP's production forecast indicates that even with delays due to current economic circumstances, oilsands production is expected to grow, although the pace of development has slowed," said Greg Stringham, vice-president for markets and oilsands. "Producers expect continued demand for the security of supply that crude oil from Canada provides to the North American energy market."
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CAPP sees no need for more pipe-line capacity in the decade ahead.+ Z( X+ u2 a: w, ?6 U- k1 A2 A
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"In terms of pipeline capacity to meet market expectations, this year's outlook indicates that the significant pipeline development now under-way will amply connect forecasted production to long-term demand in the North American energy market," Stringham said |
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