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Alberta's oilsands could push Canada's oil production to more than 4.2 million barrels a day by 2025, compared with 2.7 million bpd currently, if the investment climate improves over time, said the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers in a forecast released Friday.
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The production and market outlook paints two scenarios.; q8 } X# V+ [/ j' t2 h. p) Q7 W
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Under a conservative approach, which includes projects operating or under construction, Canadian crude oil output would rise to just 2.8 million bpd by 2025, with the oilsands replacing declining conventional production.
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. a1 u. t. I' ?3 q+ Y$ sCAPP sees oilsands output increasing to two million bpd under its conservative approach, compared with 3.3 million bpd under its growth scenario, which assumes an improving economic market.# a% O$ _) y8 @. U0 u4 e! G
; R; h7 {' L! e"CAPP's production forecast indicates that even with delays due to current economic circumstances, oilsands production is expected to grow, although the pace of development has slowed," said Greg Stringham, vice-president for markets and oilsands. "Producers expect continued demand for the security of supply that crude oil from Canada provides to the North American energy market."
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( F( b& ^: Z& ?1 F6 RCAPP sees no need for more pipe-line capacity in the decade ahead.2 J4 ^0 ~' s) F; m% _0 [9 n
; O0 ]% A3 o1 v, {( }* Q"In terms of pipeline capacity to meet market expectations, this year's outlook indicates that the significant pipeline development now under-way will amply connect forecasted production to long-term demand in the North American energy market," Stringham said |
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