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Alberta's oilsands could push Canada's oil production to more than 4.2 million barrels a day by 2025, compared with 2.7 million bpd currently, if the investment climate improves over time, said the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers in a forecast released Friday.
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The production and market outlook paints two scenarios.2 |. c n5 ?5 }, r f) t
) Y0 S, j! g. l9 B% TUnder a conservative approach, which includes projects operating or under construction, Canadian crude oil output would rise to just 2.8 million bpd by 2025, with the oilsands replacing declining conventional production.7 c* x) n. n$ g% n, W O. E5 Y
$ z% p' N N4 B* G8 |' HCAPP sees oilsands output increasing to two million bpd under its conservative approach, compared with 3.3 million bpd under its growth scenario, which assumes an improving economic market.
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"CAPP's production forecast indicates that even with delays due to current economic circumstances, oilsands production is expected to grow, although the pace of development has slowed," said Greg Stringham, vice-president for markets and oilsands. "Producers expect continued demand for the security of supply that crude oil from Canada provides to the North American energy market."3 {% }* n9 m6 j7 |" W* I
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CAPP sees no need for more pipe-line capacity in the decade ahead.' T' o2 L8 i8 b" i# U* T4 n
4 a8 i0 I. | {+ \0 @"In terms of pipeline capacity to meet market expectations, this year's outlook indicates that the significant pipeline development now under-way will amply connect forecasted production to long-term demand in the North American energy market," Stringham said |
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