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Alberta's oilsands could push Canada's oil production to more than 4.2 million barrels a day by 2025, compared with 2.7 million bpd currently, if the investment climate improves over time, said the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers in a forecast released Friday.! `% L* k) c/ e' T0 P0 M
4 c1 m; M1 o* l" o) e7 y. z4 tThe production and market outlook paints two scenarios.
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' \8 r; m0 ?( Z# E6 X; kUnder a conservative approach, which includes projects operating or under construction, Canadian crude oil output would rise to just 2.8 million bpd by 2025, with the oilsands replacing declining conventional production.
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5 e* }3 r, I; A* R* U W, ?7 U; q' }CAPP sees oilsands output increasing to two million bpd under its conservative approach, compared with 3.3 million bpd under its growth scenario, which assumes an improving economic market.
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"CAPP's production forecast indicates that even with delays due to current economic circumstances, oilsands production is expected to grow, although the pace of development has slowed," said Greg Stringham, vice-president for markets and oilsands. "Producers expect continued demand for the security of supply that crude oil from Canada provides to the North American energy market."
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, W/ Y# o* c6 A2 A& q+ nCAPP sees no need for more pipe-line capacity in the decade ahead.7 |9 v. v+ G. ?
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"In terms of pipeline capacity to meet market expectations, this year's outlook indicates that the significant pipeline development now under-way will amply connect forecasted production to long-term demand in the North American energy market," Stringham said |
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发表于 2009-6-6 17:59
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