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Alberta's oilsands could push Canada's oil production to more than 4.2 million barrels a day by 2025, compared with 2.7 million bpd currently, if the investment climate improves over time, said the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers in a forecast released Friday.6 S- k3 d# m, g
3 k- Y: q0 A+ o Y5 u9 F$ F: s# CThe production and market outlook paints two scenarios.& u3 J: V$ W- O+ n
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Under a conservative approach, which includes projects operating or under construction, Canadian crude oil output would rise to just 2.8 million bpd by 2025, with the oilsands replacing declining conventional production.5 R8 r- [ |8 U* u0 V T$ _
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CAPP sees oilsands output increasing to two million bpd under its conservative approach, compared with 3.3 million bpd under its growth scenario, which assumes an improving economic market.
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( Y1 w3 j0 q% v- l3 _& w"CAPP's production forecast indicates that even with delays due to current economic circumstances, oilsands production is expected to grow, although the pace of development has slowed," said Greg Stringham, vice-president for markets and oilsands. "Producers expect continued demand for the security of supply that crude oil from Canada provides to the North American energy market."5 z8 Q& A6 d/ P& B
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CAPP sees no need for more pipe-line capacity in the decade ahead.
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; l! \' [* {& Y% }) f, d- o5 s, x6 `"In terms of pipeline capacity to meet market expectations, this year's outlook indicates that the significant pipeline development now under-way will amply connect forecasted production to long-term demand in the North American energy market," Stringham said |
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