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Alberta's oilsands could push Canada's oil production to more than 4.2 million barrels a day by 2025, compared with 2.7 million bpd currently, if the investment climate improves over time, said the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers in a forecast released Friday.
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; G' ]0 I2 y2 X+ D" }4 `' F9 @The production and market outlook paints two scenarios.8 ?" p( H; i% z! B6 D; B! e
. e p( u9 Z( V' o+ zUnder a conservative approach, which includes projects operating or under construction, Canadian crude oil output would rise to just 2.8 million bpd by 2025, with the oilsands replacing declining conventional production.; w, s9 B9 G6 \) T) w! h( K" b
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CAPP sees oilsands output increasing to two million bpd under its conservative approach, compared with 3.3 million bpd under its growth scenario, which assumes an improving economic market.
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) m) [& }: ^; I' i"CAPP's production forecast indicates that even with delays due to current economic circumstances, oilsands production is expected to grow, although the pace of development has slowed," said Greg Stringham, vice-president for markets and oilsands. "Producers expect continued demand for the security of supply that crude oil from Canada provides to the North American energy market."
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, o& W7 X" V4 N5 T4 bCAPP sees no need for more pipe-line capacity in the decade ahead.
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. q. y; G8 x, J& o2 g( z"In terms of pipeline capacity to meet market expectations, this year's outlook indicates that the significant pipeline development now under-way will amply connect forecasted production to long-term demand in the North American energy market," Stringham said |
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