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Alberta's oilsands could push Canada's oil production to more than 4.2 million barrels a day by 2025, compared with 2.7 million bpd currently, if the investment climate improves over time, said the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers in a forecast released Friday.
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8 b A' ~, U2 w+ H/ [9 TThe production and market outlook paints two scenarios.3 J, K. \# z, c1 U- p
) E/ [- I- d' `% g5 G5 VUnder a conservative approach, which includes projects operating or under construction, Canadian crude oil output would rise to just 2.8 million bpd by 2025, with the oilsands replacing declining conventional production.
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8 {8 D& O: A9 w2 g7 DCAPP sees oilsands output increasing to two million bpd under its conservative approach, compared with 3.3 million bpd under its growth scenario, which assumes an improving economic market. [2 o: @$ F% P8 P# u8 N
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"CAPP's production forecast indicates that even with delays due to current economic circumstances, oilsands production is expected to grow, although the pace of development has slowed," said Greg Stringham, vice-president for markets and oilsands. "Producers expect continued demand for the security of supply that crude oil from Canada provides to the North American energy market."
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9 S1 K1 y2 K8 ^+ C0 uCAPP sees no need for more pipe-line capacity in the decade ahead.
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8 k% X* [& m$ H8 I0 _. R"In terms of pipeline capacity to meet market expectations, this year's outlook indicates that the significant pipeline development now under-way will amply connect forecasted production to long-term demand in the North American energy market," Stringham said |
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