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Alberta's oilsands could push Canada's oil production to more than 4.2 million barrels a day by 2025, compared with 2.7 million bpd currently, if the investment climate improves over time, said the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers in a forecast released Friday.0 ?+ `8 B' x+ |( N
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The production and market outlook paints two scenarios.7 u$ t" Y4 ?7 T$ ^! M
" N( P4 C$ Y5 `/ LUnder a conservative approach, which includes projects operating or under construction, Canadian crude oil output would rise to just 2.8 million bpd by 2025, with the oilsands replacing declining conventional production.) y; i! ^0 L$ ~# @. w& _" S
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CAPP sees oilsands output increasing to two million bpd under its conservative approach, compared with 3.3 million bpd under its growth scenario, which assumes an improving economic market.2 A, M$ v# \! ~) N5 G
$ C- R9 W# S1 d4 |2 |"CAPP's production forecast indicates that even with delays due to current economic circumstances, oilsands production is expected to grow, although the pace of development has slowed," said Greg Stringham, vice-president for markets and oilsands. "Producers expect continued demand for the security of supply that crude oil from Canada provides to the North American energy market."
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CAPP sees no need for more pipe-line capacity in the decade ahead.; u: s6 g4 ? V) z$ x/ e; h
/ y5 R7 V1 w: t% ~+ N7 `0 l" C5 U/ y"In terms of pipeline capacity to meet market expectations, this year's outlook indicates that the significant pipeline development now under-way will amply connect forecasted production to long-term demand in the North American energy market," Stringham said |
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