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Alberta's oilsands could push Canada's oil production to more than 4.2 million barrels a day by 2025, compared with 2.7 million bpd currently, if the investment climate improves over time, said the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers in a forecast released Friday.& O" O* A( S d* g2 q- y9 E
4 x* Z; A7 A% RThe production and market outlook paints two scenarios., |; G4 v$ O" A9 h7 z- H7 Z
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Under a conservative approach, which includes projects operating or under construction, Canadian crude oil output would rise to just 2.8 million bpd by 2025, with the oilsands replacing declining conventional production.
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0 K+ b( D1 X+ h$ g/ vCAPP sees oilsands output increasing to two million bpd under its conservative approach, compared with 3.3 million bpd under its growth scenario, which assumes an improving economic market.4 Z: W V( ?) V$ N, u' ?
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"CAPP's production forecast indicates that even with delays due to current economic circumstances, oilsands production is expected to grow, although the pace of development has slowed," said Greg Stringham, vice-president for markets and oilsands. "Producers expect continued demand for the security of supply that crude oil from Canada provides to the North American energy market."& W6 u. T7 E7 F' {8 }
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CAPP sees no need for more pipe-line capacity in the decade ahead.4 M& W1 P" I* c" R8 P" l4 o
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"In terms of pipeline capacity to meet market expectations, this year's outlook indicates that the significant pipeline development now under-way will amply connect forecasted production to long-term demand in the North American energy market," Stringham said |
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