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Alberta's oilsands could push Canada's oil production to more than 4.2 million barrels a day by 2025, compared with 2.7 million bpd currently, if the investment climate improves over time, said the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers in a forecast released Friday.
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6 _- J- L0 c. J7 l# pThe production and market outlook paints two scenarios.+ a. k q& ^1 F1 O9 R
( R# h' o% w# {$ j! nUnder a conservative approach, which includes projects operating or under construction, Canadian crude oil output would rise to just 2.8 million bpd by 2025, with the oilsands replacing declining conventional production.
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; m, a9 k. O; {, _/ XCAPP sees oilsands output increasing to two million bpd under its conservative approach, compared with 3.3 million bpd under its growth scenario, which assumes an improving economic market.* Z" i3 K. o7 j
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"CAPP's production forecast indicates that even with delays due to current economic circumstances, oilsands production is expected to grow, although the pace of development has slowed," said Greg Stringham, vice-president for markets and oilsands. "Producers expect continued demand for the security of supply that crude oil from Canada provides to the North American energy market."4 E: `2 w1 `/ z7 C. F
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CAPP sees no need for more pipe-line capacity in the decade ahead.# p: J0 b# Q8 q" Q
- P! \$ U5 ?- H$ N"In terms of pipeline capacity to meet market expectations, this year's outlook indicates that the significant pipeline development now under-way will amply connect forecasted production to long-term demand in the North American energy market," Stringham said |
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