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Alberta's oilsands could push Canada's oil production to more than 4.2 million barrels a day by 2025, compared with 2.7 million bpd currently, if the investment climate improves over time, said the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers in a forecast released Friday.6 ]* ^) ]# K) S$ k( U8 y
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The production and market outlook paints two scenarios.* y# g7 z$ _4 K; e' t3 k' r6 m
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Under a conservative approach, which includes projects operating or under construction, Canadian crude oil output would rise to just 2.8 million bpd by 2025, with the oilsands replacing declining conventional production.) q r G. ?. {7 b. A' H
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CAPP sees oilsands output increasing to two million bpd under its conservative approach, compared with 3.3 million bpd under its growth scenario, which assumes an improving economic market.1 f& d* x& F, l4 a" A5 Q0 T& S' a
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"CAPP's production forecast indicates that even with delays due to current economic circumstances, oilsands production is expected to grow, although the pace of development has slowed," said Greg Stringham, vice-president for markets and oilsands. "Producers expect continued demand for the security of supply that crude oil from Canada provides to the North American energy market."# h+ Z0 c( o; L! j, n/ V
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CAPP sees no need for more pipe-line capacity in the decade ahead.
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4 c# ^0 {: W+ K3 A$ \2 T# n. s"In terms of pipeline capacity to meet market expectations, this year's outlook indicates that the significant pipeline development now under-way will amply connect forecasted production to long-term demand in the North American energy market," Stringham said |
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