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% N) e) l/ I+ w3 ~Below is an Interesting article I found, which says that.....Do not % y; ?- V' O# o
expect much from Crude Oil producers and future is not with the 1 I. @% N& U7 c% E
companies producing Jet fuels but Biofuels. Also no wonder if some of
! S. f) H, s0 f( S) Qthese oil producer will go bankrupt or out of the business even if " H' z! }, p; S5 h3 a- @3 A) d5 m
crude prices improves. This implies also to good names such as Shell, . M, s0 U, c9 A
EXXON, BG, BP, Cheveron ....xyz.. oils $ ?1 g) g5 F& H7 A% H/ \% b) e& Y7 z# M
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Recently OPEC reduced crude oil production twice over just a few
' ^- o* S# y! M7 q/ a! A. umonths. There are three wars going on in Gaza, Iraq and Afghandistan.
% R/ x( x2 F+ b' ~3 EA year ago these things would have spiked the price of crude oil by at $ X( S: O; Z. K# S" O: n
least $50.00 per barrel. Today, oil price declined by a record amount. 8 q8 j. S- f. t7 C# o
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L: ~0 m& }! `* \+ E; _There are several reasons the price of oil is decreasing in the face
8 L. s: `" s; {* n/ dof so much news. These reasons are:
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1. New oil has been found in Canada, Montana, North & South Dakota and 0 o' ~! `8 V$ r6 _/ e/ F+ [
in the ocean near Brazil. Each of these oil fields has more oil than 9 S; a' e6 j+ I" n
Arabia.
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2. New natural gas has been found in Pennsylvania and West Virginia. - W2 s: N Q; U J
This is the largest find in North America.
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! P; _( E$ } b" k- p3. New methods of injecting CO2 and surfactants into oil wells is
$ G7 k$ n. G9 z7 b6 d! Pbeing used to double their output. . j+ c$ E0 L* _. P) \
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4. Production of bio-fuels is beginning to reach critical mass. Bio
% G$ z/ ?& B2 y2 nfuel is being produced from many plants and algae. The production / W' w/ S0 w8 C; F+ ~6 i1 g
potential per acre in some cases is astounding. Many countries are
4 C3 Q7 @6 E( a# v; ~racing to produce bio fuels.
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' U U$ O6 c: D, n4 P5. Virtually every restaurant in the US and all food processing plants
# m% x, P0 m$ ]+ D4 P& \: |2 pare now selling their used oil to bio-diesel producers. Every pork, 6 t1 W& Z( t5 j, u& v! U" G; L
cattle, turkey and chicken processing plant will soon sell their fat
/ a; m9 U* H6 v9 Xto bio-diesel producers. One pork processing plant in Oklahoma is 9 b# D1 H7 I! w- q+ i& }$ ]$ D
producing 30,000 gallons of bio-diesel per day from pork fat. & H; p- P1 g9 Z& ^' p
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6. There are 99 nuclear reactors in various stages of planning and $ p3 ]4 A7 c( s6 S/ H
construction around the world at this time. Several hundred more are
. B3 N) _1 D9 Q: l% Z% ?; Eexpected to be built in the future. Much of the energy they produce 3 u f7 f1 z$ ^: O l1 L3 p
will replace oil. / P- `% \3 G1 A. B+ N7 i9 e
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: e: Y8 c- g7 c7. Every company in any form of transportaion business is replacing
8 b8 Z( J: l N4 t0 solder equipment such as trucks, airplanes, train engines, ships, etc. ( I8 h! E, f4 z( T" ]0 ^9 r
with new more fuel efficient equipment. Airlines and railway companies
" m; d9 f! s8 c9 X/ oare experiencing 20% to 25% better fuel econony with the new E: C9 b+ g [6 Y' @5 d( V
equipment. " \" t& J, c; Q1 Y0 F
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: \ V }; U. j8 `5 U, D! x7 @9 lAirlines are flying airplanes with bio-fuel. They are finding the bio-
3 `( m; T. y1 v( Rfuel is cleaner and performs better than jet fuel. 3 ^$ v0 r& Z. M0 o# C8 \
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8. Cities and counties throughout the US are selling the rights to
0 U; e9 ~# ?5 X; L4 c9 y* y ucapture methane gas from landfills. This is a huge source of gas ! C+ o$ r3 i0 k* r5 L/ d
available at very little cost or risk. The gas is displacing crude 2 w* Q) Z3 a# b
oil.
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" v) L: ]0 k3 d& j" `& P& _8 `9. Coal is being transformed into a clean burning liquid fuel. The CO2
. c; s4 t Z; Z% a5 n, f6 r& [produced as a byproduct is sold to oil companies for injection into
6 u+ g8 b9 P7 _ [oil wells.
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( c; j& J5 W& y3 y( G3 a" S: G10. Solar, wind and ocean energy is displacing oil as an energy 6 O7 e3 @9 c$ y3 U. ?9 {
source. Three new wind turbines are being erected every day in the US.
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Each of the above by itself will not make a large difference in the
; t7 f- x M$ H: O) T4 p: W! Pprice of crude oil but the sum of all of them together is world 2 v4 W$ z! b( w/ M% H
changing. The important thing is that OPEC no longer has the ability 0 g$ S G9 i" L6 M6 y5 U8 L. Y* @) L
to control oil prices.
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With the above scenario, I still believe that there are under
7 Z- m0 R2 V6 `% H6 J+ Tperformed OIL companies and probably they are yet to get the justified & g2 |' [8 I$ K: S8 f
value ..... 9 `: \$ x. l& J4 l/ u& S
IAE- Ithaca , EPL Energy Partners Ltd, Opti etc ...
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The above articles are from WSJ .............PUBLISHED ON 9TH JAN 7 _2 }2 W2 e9 n% s
2009 ... FYI-Only |
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