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Below is an Interesting article I found, which says that.....Do not ; _- h+ t5 _8 I4 H
expect much from Crude Oil producers and future is not with the " ^8 W6 |* H1 N: l! s3 H( ~
companies producing Jet fuels but Biofuels. Also no wonder if some of 1 m& ~1 w, k2 c% K# |" c( c+ e6 I
these oil producer will go bankrupt or out of the business even if
, L) Z( g" H+ z* l: ^4 icrude prices improves. This implies also to good names such as Shell, 5 ^+ q( g6 ] r
EXXON, BG, BP, Cheveron ....xyz.. oils ) s' Q# K+ K* n" b2 N. `& ^6 E) u- Q
. u) ?0 V \5 {# m. ~Recently OPEC reduced crude oil production twice over just a few 4 O% a8 P7 k; u
months. There are three wars going on in Gaza, Iraq and Afghandistan. 6 ]$ O# }6 o, s0 U6 @' n
A year ago these things would have spiked the price of crude oil by at
& ?5 m4 Q- `' A' ]* Xleast $50.00 per barrel. Today, oil price declined by a record amount.
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There are several reasons the price of oil is decreasing in the face ( Z7 j+ S# }6 i# q& s
of so much news. These reasons are:
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1. New oil has been found in Canada, Montana, North & South Dakota and
; Q, B! x' l @in the ocean near Brazil. Each of these oil fields has more oil than ( w# ?6 \ Y. ?9 e
Arabia.
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2. New natural gas has been found in Pennsylvania and West Virginia.
3 l0 E" I7 E8 ~8 K8 u' A: h+ U# N2 wThis is the largest find in North America.
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; r- v" D$ f8 j+ n& N3. New methods of injecting CO2 and surfactants into oil wells is
9 [0 `2 @9 P+ H( k8 ?( w1 Ybeing used to double their output. ) h0 p, _- ~+ Q$ D) p# u- a* c- y1 W8 t
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; K- O" ~2 c) J. [4. Production of bio-fuels is beginning to reach critical mass. Bio
7 N8 U. m1 ~: K' V0 H- V* cfuel is being produced from many plants and algae. The production
$ _5 g z- J; y$ B6 p& Wpotential per acre in some cases is astounding. Many countries are
. F @* g" g( G# r2 eracing to produce bio fuels. & g& c1 Q# b6 s. `8 W. N+ M& g
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5. Virtually every restaurant in the US and all food processing plants 4 O' s3 j' \5 n5 X, D$ {7 j# h
are now selling their used oil to bio-diesel producers. Every pork, 7 I# A5 E) t/ U3 z
cattle, turkey and chicken processing plant will soon sell their fat % I5 n( H% c- O. b
to bio-diesel producers. One pork processing plant in Oklahoma is / H, e$ P; U0 ~- Z$ |- ~. j
producing 30,000 gallons of bio-diesel per day from pork fat.
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6. There are 99 nuclear reactors in various stages of planning and
`5 L- y, F, p- m7 Dconstruction around the world at this time. Several hundred more are
! \0 ~8 q7 J. U; Q; cexpected to be built in the future. Much of the energy they produce
4 }4 n% X. {. hwill replace oil.
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- V+ D% X0 q# ]7. Every company in any form of transportaion business is replacing ) _2 @6 B: v1 j$ `! ?( c9 A+ r
older equipment such as trucks, airplanes, train engines, ships, etc.
8 \/ d4 q' M9 X0 {8 iwith new more fuel efficient equipment. Airlines and railway companies
6 u3 W, q) @; c: Q( Jare experiencing 20% to 25% better fuel econony with the new
J2 q$ z4 J/ M7 Vequipment.
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: A+ ^) K. U2 u8 v4 TAirlines are flying airplanes with bio-fuel. They are finding the bio-
, A0 Q# k$ C# w/ T. E5 H% }! Y* ufuel is cleaner and performs better than jet fuel.
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1 a1 @# C" D" }3 I1 Z# m; n9 H8. Cities and counties throughout the US are selling the rights to
/ ^0 L% T9 F+ _2 O3 {3 e* l0 { qcapture methane gas from landfills. This is a huge source of gas
0 i4 B2 A- j: h& U+ Cavailable at very little cost or risk. The gas is displacing crude
) V! k0 z, L ]6 [9 e; d( xoil.
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9. Coal is being transformed into a clean burning liquid fuel. The CO2 ( s+ P9 E9 _0 r2 [) e6 ]
produced as a byproduct is sold to oil companies for injection into $ e$ f; K" e! I A* T' d* R# P
oil wells.
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. j) Y1 p' u. h, _3 }* S! X3 }10. Solar, wind and ocean energy is displacing oil as an energy # }# I t& c' a4 t( }6 R' H
source. Three new wind turbines are being erected every day in the US. / _( l0 c# p H" b: E1 I! w) b0 D
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Each of the above by itself will not make a large difference in the
1 H5 d; ^# d6 N) P( I3 t/ eprice of crude oil but the sum of all of them together is world , l7 M1 a/ h+ u3 M+ M% W
changing. The important thing is that OPEC no longer has the ability
- |+ f+ f. [* A' V4 F4 a, u- Wto control oil prices.
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9 ]3 g0 f9 v4 D) zWith the above scenario, I still believe that there are under
* B m6 U0 `. z0 i8 c# V/ X" Uperformed OIL companies and probably they are yet to get the justified 4 U' N, H) s5 o1 I4 H% ]; c
value ..... 3 c) R* }3 n1 b2 j# m
IAE- Ithaca , EPL Energy Partners Ltd, Opti etc ... 2 Y N7 R3 p& R2 h& f) O
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( ]4 R/ Z8 l7 R$ ~5 r. b9 c7 xThe above articles are from WSJ .............PUBLISHED ON 9TH JAN 1 S0 F* {3 Y, ~- y* G3 n) B
2009 ... FYI-Only |
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