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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. 4 r2 w# X+ s* N' u. n8 E
( F8 Y; m5 o1 L( Z. \, h$ AThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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" W8 c% g: X5 i% z! JThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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- r. b* A: [9 u+ g$ D" F2 \Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.7 e! \$ Z/ v, ^9 R6 n
/ _" ^% ^; y8 M9 M& s, s# mIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. " U7 G* I- j$ i+ q
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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6 q. R3 Y2 Y2 O$ O+ z! m, Z# fIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. - Q" G2 C8 z' g. v# `% e
2 N! |7 k8 R% RThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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3 V" i- Z4 @ ~) gCMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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