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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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( Z2 Z4 Y8 F h6 ~The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. # {) j; F9 d, ^# j( G
! Z9 p& L* h p" \ R8 K! @The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. " ?' K. s# b* g6 ?! C1 z8 O8 O R
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.3 B0 T1 T' l6 D- k$ }: Y- N) Z+ e
1 C7 T2 Y: V! y( G7 q/ ^$ ]4 oIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.# }3 \( O' R# e& ]0 c
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. 6 O4 Q8 z1 l( Y- O0 D9 w
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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/ k9 ]0 b. p$ A8 sIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. _5 _; V3 i* `1 u7 h) g( R
# d% t2 ~% {8 x' f! _# W' ~The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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9 c$ m6 Z$ P1 B+ f8 V: eThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.+ @, Q/ W4 h/ e/ n, I( C
7 I) v5 D3 T7 j6 I! b, _4 DCMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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