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今早听新闻，Royal Lepage预计canada 2008 全国房价将上涨3.5% 其中，Winnipeg 将上涨11%; Regina 15%; Calgary 4% and Edmonton 1%. (see table below for detail) 因此，2008年爱城房事将继续调整，爱城房事将继续是买方市场。0 H; t3 q3 e1 D5 w9 o
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Canada's House prices forecast to rise by 3.5 per cent in 2008; activity to moderate - Solid economic fundamentals should allow Canada's residential real estate market to chart its own course and maintain its buoyancy throughout 2008 - TORONTO, Dec. 17 /CNW/ - After experiencing an exceptional yearcharacterized by strong average house price appreciation and record breakingunit sales, the momentum from 2007 is anticipated to carry over and positionCanada's real estate market for steady, yet moderate growth in 2008, accordingto the Royal LePage 2008 Market Survey Forecast released today. Nationally, average house prices are forecast to rise by 3.5 per cent to$317,288 in 2008, while transactions are projected to fall slightly from thisyear's record high unit sales to 500,927 (-4.0 %) unit sales in 2008. Despitethe year-over-year reduction in unit sales, the number of homes trading handsin 2008 is expected to remain higher than in all years prior to 2007. "Canada's housing market in 2008 should continue to thrive on a balanceddiet of strong economic fundamentals, including high levels of employment,resilient consumer confidence, modest levels of inflation and the relativelylow cost of borrowing money," said Phil Soper, president and chief executiveof Royal LePage Real Estate Services. "Canada is currently enjoying one of thelongest housing market expansions in history; however, as we move into 2008 itis anticipated that slowly eroding affordability will cause demand to ease,allowing the market to move toward balanced conditions, with lower levels ofprice appreciation, and fewer homes trading hands." With the most affordable major market homes in Canada, residents ofRegina and Winnipeg are forecast to drive the greatest increases in houseprices in 2008, as job opportunities and in-migration continue to soar in eachcity. While Calgary and Edmonton will continue to boast healthy economies andhigh levels of home sale activity, the excessively fast run-up of home valuesin 2006 and the first half of 2007 priced people out of the market, causinginventory levels to rise late in the year. Alberta home price increases willbe much more moderate in 2008 as the regional market continues to adjust tothe new house value reality. With the country's highest home prices, Vancouver's steadfast market willcontinue to expand on the back of a strong provincial economy. As the cityreadies itself for the 2010 Olympic Games, there will be an abundance of newjobs created. Ontario and Quebec markets are anticipated to maintain their relativestrength and vibrancy throughout next year, weathering stormy financialmarkets and adjusting well to the high value of the Canadian dollar. Theservices based industries that have become the backbone of the Toronto andMontreal economies have tolerated the rise of Canada's dollar to parity verywell, despite increasingly price competitive offering from overseas markets. In Atlantic Canada, a slight depletion of inventory coupled with highimmigration levels will see the housing market growing at a strong and steadypace - Halifax is expected to have higher than national average growth in2008. The frenzied pace of price inflation that has characterized the realestate market over the past two years in the resource rich west wereunsustainable and should ease substantially in 2008. In Central Canada, priceincreases peaked in late 2005, and have been moderating since. From coast-to-coast, the homebuyer demographic is anticipated to swellwith first-time purchasers, as many flock to take advantage of recentlyreduced lending rates, longer amortization periods and the resultantmanageable mortgage payments. Added Soper: "The year ahead presents opportunities for those people whohave shied away from the frenetic real estate market of the past few years,with its bidding wars and unconditional offers; while prices should continueto rise, they are expected to do so at a more reasonable pace. Canada'seconomy is strong, and the desire for home ownership remains a vibrant andattainable goal - real estate remains a solid long term investment." << 2008 Market Survey Forecast ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2008 2007 Market 08/07% Forecast Projected 2007/2006 2006 2005 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Halifax 6.9% $233,000 $218,000 7.3% $203,178 $189,196 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Montreal 3.5% $238,000 $230,000 6.6% $215,659 $203,720 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Ottawa 4.2% $285,000 $273,500 6.2% $257,481 $248,358 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Toronto 3.5% $388,500 $375,500 6.6% $352,388 $336,176 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Winnipeg 11.4% $190,000 $170,500 12.2% $151,983 $134,028 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Regina 15.4% $188,600 $163,500 24.0% $131,851 $123,600 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Calgary 4.0% $429,000 $412,500 19.0% $346,675 $250,832 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Edmonton 1.0% $341,000 $337,500 34.5% $250,915 $193,934 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Vancouver 4.0% $587,500 $565,000 10.8% $509,876 $425,745 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- CANADA 3.5% $317,228 $306,500 10.7% 276,974 249,201 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Highlight of 2008 Trends >> Strength of the Canadian Dollar The position of the Canadian dollar hovering at parity will continue tobolster the country's high consumer confidence, and is anticipated totranslate into continued growth in consumer spending. The negative impact ofthe high dollar on the country's manufacturing sector for export trade will bemostly felt in Southern Ontario and Quebec; however, both regions aredemonstrating considerable resiliency, with a concerted effort by bothgovernments and industry underway to improve productivity and improveinternational competitiveness. U.S. Economy In sharp contrast to the weakening U.S. economy and deteriorating housingmarket, Canada's economy and housing market continues to demonstrate stayingpower. Canadian mortgage products are markedly different from those offered inthe U.S., and the sub-prime market makes up a significantly smaller portion ofthe overall Canadian mortgage market. It is unlikely that the residential realestate industry in Canada will have to endure the kind of sharp correctionunderway south of the border. Employment Employment rates across the country are expected to continue at thecurrent very high levels, driven by the robust energy and general naturalresource sectors specifically, and a very healthy services economy in general.In the year ahead, job market growth is anticipated to continue, especially inRegina, Winnipeg and Halifax. Interest Rates The move by the Bank of Canada to reduce its overnight target-lendingrate by a quarter of a percent in December 2007 will bode well for first-timebuyers planning to enter the market in 2008. The relatively low currentinterest rates, and the possibility that rates could fall even lower inresponse to moderating inflation and lower rates in the U.S., will continue toattract new buyers to the housing market. About Royal LePage Royal LePage is Canada's leading provider of franchise services toresidential real estate brokerages, with a network of over 13,00 agents andsales representatives in 600 locations across Canada operating under the RoyalLePage, Johnston and Daniel, and Realty World brand names. Brookfield RealEstate Services Fund, a TSX listed income trust, trading under the symbol"BRE.UN", manages Royal LePage. For more information, visit www.royallepage.ca.( k% M9 S* U6 q- p( `
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