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Oilsands an emerging global growth star
9 a/ V) c% t  n; S$ |8 R3 \ExxonMobil forecast predicts output of four million barrels a day by 2030
. p2 d, k* C9 sGordon Jaremko, The Edmonton Journal
4 O8 v1 n& R6 u' c" P% ~0 APublished: 2:37 am
EDMONTON - As oil leaps towards a new landmark high of $100 US a barrel, the world's top investor-owned producer has singled out Alberta as an emerging global star of production growth.

; h! `( G/ G; f+ j8 d1 \; h# mOilsands output will multiply fourfold to more than four million barrels daily by 2030, ExxonMobil Corp. predicts in a new international industry outlook report. And that forecast errs on the conservative side by projecting "fundamentals" of demand and supply trends instead of relying on prices to stay sky-high, ExxonMobil spokesman Allan Jeffers said Tuesday.

Oil jumped to $96.67 a barrel, up $2.69 in New York trading Tuesday on fears of global supply disruptions after storms battered North Sea production platforms and guerrillas attacked a pipeline in Yemen.

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$ }/ }( ]* v! ]! `% o( F( Q) O* ]Gasoline prices in Edmonton were 99.9 cents per litre at many stations on Tuesday.
9 R6 u! a1 t: Y6 p9 s9 ?% I0 OLarry Wong, The Journal
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Edmonton refinery postings for Alberta output Tuesday ranged from $60.74 for low-grade heavy crude to $91.11 for premium oilsands synthetic production. The Canadian benchmarks are translations of international prices, adjusted for pipeline tolls and currency exchange rates.

( r$ G2 N4 {1 ~/ J3 x% G+ f# SExxonMobil's high oilsands expectations are realistic and reasonable, said Bob Dunbar, an Alberta industry veteran whose Strategy West Inc. specializes in the field.
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, J, [( s( \& \% C8 U& }Output from the northern bitumen belt would grow to six million barrels a day if all known projects were built on their announced schedules, Dunbar said.

4 `( l5 H* t/ C0 B) sWhile no one believes the current spike will last, the looming new record high is seen as confirming that a new era of premium prices has arrived to stay, he said.

/ i7 C" Z4 s$ jWhen the oilsands rush began in the late 1990s developers only relied on markets to stay in a range of $20 to $30 a barrel. To be profitable, new projects today count on sustained averages in a higher band of $60 to $70, Dunbar estimated.

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