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Oilsands an emerging global growth star% I8 R6 h/ R- H: q8 l! O; T" N
ExxonMobil forecast predicts output of four million barrels a day by 2030
! M! j+ R/ h+ ]' ^+ `Gordon Jaremko, The Edmonton Journal5 F+ @% j0 G/ r
Published: 2:37 am
8 o! t* W; |; o9 U0 D4 m! xEDMONTON - As oil leaps towards a new landmark high of $100 US a barrel, the world's top investor-owned producer has singled out Alberta as an emerging global star of production growth.$ L6 Y; m+ t$ S, ~% j$ i/ L$ ?
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Oilsands output will multiply fourfold to more than four million barrels daily by 2030, ExxonMobil Corp. predicts in a new international industry outlook report. And that forecast errs on the conservative side by projecting "fundamentals" of demand and supply trends instead of relying on prices to stay sky-high, ExxonMobil spokesman Allan Jeffers said Tuesday.
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Oil jumped to $96.67 a barrel, up $2.69 in New York trading Tuesday on fears of global supply disruptions after storms battered North Sea production platforms and guerrillas attacked a pipeline in Yemen.
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/ j8 I$ }1 p, ^" dGasoline prices in Edmonton were 99.9 cents per litre at many stations on Tuesday.' O' T5 [$ ]6 ~# R& R
Larry Wong, The Journal
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Edmonton refinery postings for Alberta output Tuesday ranged from $60.74 for low-grade heavy crude to $91.11 for premium oilsands synthetic production. The Canadian benchmarks are translations of international prices, adjusted for pipeline tolls and currency exchange rates.$ U' H4 Q6 O0 d* E4 t3 }) ]
6 r8 f$ e5 C _& }) u7 t0 U' MExxonMobil's high oilsands expectations are realistic and reasonable, said Bob Dunbar, an Alberta industry veteran whose Strategy West Inc. specializes in the field.
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Output from the northern bitumen belt would grow to six million barrels a day if all known projects were built on their announced schedules, Dunbar said.
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While no one believes the current spike will last, the looming new record high is seen as confirming that a new era of premium prices has arrived to stay, he said., x+ l+ s/ S. r) H | _7 {
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When the oilsands rush began in the late 1990s developers only relied on markets to stay in a range of $20 to $30 a barrel. To be profitable, new projects today count on sustained averages in a higher band of $60 to $70, Dunbar estimated. |
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发表于 2007-11-7 10:35
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发表于 2007-11-7 11:48
