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Oilsands an emerging global growth star! e' x7 `7 T+ h& [( {/ ^+ T; P
ExxonMobil forecast predicts output of four million barrels a day by 20300 u) F+ O- d+ d" d7 ?7 x
Gordon Jaremko, The Edmonton Journal
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EDMONTON - As oil leaps towards a new landmark high of $100 US a barrel, the world's top investor-owned producer has singled out Alberta as an emerging global star of production growth.) G, Z/ L$ f7 S2 S" Q! f& u
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Oilsands output will multiply fourfold to more than four million barrels daily by 2030, ExxonMobil Corp. predicts in a new international industry outlook report. And that forecast errs on the conservative side by projecting "fundamentals" of demand and supply trends instead of relying on prices to stay sky-high, ExxonMobil spokesman Allan Jeffers said Tuesday.
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Oil jumped to $96.67 a barrel, up $2.69 in New York trading Tuesday on fears of global supply disruptions after storms battered North Sea production platforms and guerrillas attacked a pipeline in Yemen./ Z" I% X, w) H% s0 x( s: ?
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Gasoline prices in Edmonton were 99.9 cents per litre at many stations on Tuesday.8 a% b8 y, r2 D' [5 @+ ]$ T
Larry Wong, The Journal
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/ h' c+ X& n7 s2 r1 ]Edmonton refinery postings for Alberta output Tuesday ranged from $60.74 for low-grade heavy crude to $91.11 for premium oilsands synthetic production. The Canadian benchmarks are translations of international prices, adjusted for pipeline tolls and currency exchange rates.* p( ^- n) V( W2 m" p
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ExxonMobil's high oilsands expectations are realistic and reasonable, said Bob Dunbar, an Alberta industry veteran whose Strategy West Inc. specializes in the field.
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% F' f4 _2 g, ?+ y; ~Output from the northern bitumen belt would grow to six million barrels a day if all known projects were built on their announced schedules, Dunbar said.7 l6 p5 Y: X1 X/ E
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While no one believes the current spike will last, the looming new record high is seen as confirming that a new era of premium prices has arrived to stay, he said.3 W- z8 E7 l8 g9 g3 G$ h( h* J
9 v L1 ], ~! \. A* y0 ]$ ]When the oilsands rush began in the late 1990s developers only relied on markets to stay in a range of $20 to $30 a barrel. To be profitable, new projects today count on sustained averages in a higher band of $60 to $70, Dunbar estimated. |
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