Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
1 A' `  g: \# ?. ^' _4 ?3 t1 ?Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board

/ J  w" w( p* G1 eDate      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  
2 d. Y) Z+ I2 j) l7 I9 D, b
Oct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%
$ B" s5 d& u8 s5 b* ~
Sep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%
" N. [" H" u5 V+ [7 {0 q3 @: a* E( I
Aug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%
1 K% [1 j8 K2 B% o% K3 T
Jul 2007
NA
% C: ~# w: O8 E6 ?1 g$ Q& e 2328
1 s, w4 C2 c+ F1 h; \& Y; ~ 717
) ~: `* K, e3 p! _* d 442,752
410,000
320
( G! w' `2 U) Q! M( G 28
! d3 j( Y& Z9 ]1 {2 l0 C 31%
+ l  X, h0 a0 B2 o2 O1 Y7 h
# I8 t8 r7 `8 r$ j9 j4 u+ s+ {2 s% |, KJun 2007
$ s9 N3 M+ J1 i NA
' E' H3 q+ I& E, d 2661
' i: B- H3 \' T 1011
  w1 t: O, Y' B8 y 442,817
; H. u' c) ]) _1 G, a3 d 409,000
9 u' |- c; z; J6 o 328
1 V7 U! B8 B0 s+ L 22
6 t  F9 G/ b1 L1 j# Y* ? 38%

( c" C% L9 J' Y+ ~3 y/ ]% yMay 2007
- c3 P/ v7 k/ U) _, O0 T8 \ NA
5 _# l5 |/ Z- i, D2 |" L& E 2288
1261
. m  ^+ l: Q% ^ 451,216
415,000
322
3 E9 F3 T; M. [ 19
$ M5 v$ I3 ?: l& K$ x. t 55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
9 J2 E& d6 g( a# J鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
& F# h& u+ @9 M+ ?这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
: `( A, ?  e1 M: I4 l9 @存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
0 ]+ [, N1 k& M5 t' j+ Q: l1 U, q鉴定完毕！

/ w" d+ F( B- s/ A$ \% e5 p
2 u- r; N7 P: B( Z( s- s用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
. ~3 q; e" i8 U3 b9 }2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
7 W( t9 {% [3 i/ s3 j% @, s鉴定完毕！

$ G) K7 Z6 j1 @8 ~$ q# F& K
呵呵，太不专业了吧。

新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量

就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量
7 j) w% o: b  J2 E* H) ?+ Z
这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

. D4 ]5 A9 z: r0 K7 m  y7 q4 |

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
2 a  B7 W* ?) M6 ~Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

8 x  G9 C3 Z5 L

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
7 z) |. O) `; Y% Q* T9 CIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
That is what i say half full or half empty.
good luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
" P5 S2 ?$ m0 S6 |In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
% H$ T- c9 m  K7 U8 C5 lIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

4 t! @3 {6 G, C$ `* _. j
4 u: {+ ^* Y) K& m! X' ?; LI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
Edmonton Single Family Home
% u$ T5 `& [& YMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
+ ~' ^$ F0 O5 ]1 j: oNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

4 |/ R- U& ~* `* KQWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表


' c( _9 ~' q% O& W% M  EI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

1 V+ l3 O) Z) O2 |" n2 L5 n. h9 H/ P

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
# m0 g+ R; m8 \; X$ ^: I1 O1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
# x3 q4 B# a6 i; }, Z# u3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

* s5 [& Y7 x4 e% L9 p6 g
- K( |$ i- i4 _/ s下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：

; l+ C3 x4 @( H' l% U5 \# @

只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
看来，观察days inventory 更重要。