Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
7 }- m2 \  ?6 E! H% UNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board
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Date      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  

Oct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%
6 l5 d# E3 L! f% [9 Q% C& x2 k
( a! D8 V5 Q8 a. kSep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%

3 S: _, Y# e, O+ u$ F/ Y, V" S/ xAug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%
( \  G7 l. v! _" M( ?. J6 a) L2 L( o
Jul 2007
NA
2328
' t( }( Y$ ?. i; b" V 717
442,752
410,000
320
& e. o- r: r$ p; c/ L6 [6 o# K6 _ 28
: [- u- a% k9 W' ^ 31%
# x# R2 {; k3 H* w5 f
6 k$ c6 S# z" u9 O: ?, U5 F* cJun 2007
6 `. X8 K) v" l% x7 p5 ^ NA
2661
5 u9 ~$ l2 q) U9 [7 J 1011
442,817
409,000
328
22
5 t5 S  }. T/ |5 r6 i 38%
2 w6 R) T& v' p0 o- C
May 2007
4 ~+ o. ^. f7 V0 g NA
2288
1261
+ Z( N+ a# e4 ?4 g# y3 k: x) V 451,216
& ]% B6 _/ v' g. q  I, R 415,000
322
( ?2 [6 E$ ?' K2 ` 19
* g; C! P$ w1 A8 d5 k 55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
6 P2 w: U( l) D. i鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
6 m" w! \  i5 ]& e9 H存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
1 k* \4 ]: K7 V鉴定完毕！

* a6 ?$ ~, Y" c4 u  k8 t5 Z; a
5 S- @1 o3 i0 r  p3 E0 P0 ^用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
" l7 x3 F6 B: d2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

呵呵，太不专业了吧。

7 z- ]0 ]3 V& P7 t3 E9 n/ q新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量

就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量
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这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
7 F, s0 I% g% L7 z( c5 ?' D$ G0 uDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

( @$ u- c' X# O) H
' M- w4 a  b/ |& {

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
3 f: P+ B9 L, G$ b1 FDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
; s  \5 I  y. F* S8 Z: \: M- F0 yIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
* `8 T& |- j) A3 p6 K# ^How about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
That is what i say half full or half empty.
good luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
+ r# q7 |% K' ]# s; I' U& v5 yIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

. s: _$ }% ?# S$ x+ E! z7 BI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
8 |% C9 g& a+ v0 r/ v$ LEdmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
: g: E5 @9 D, r8 l2 TIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
" [( q. E, g; _1 FNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

- u" K3 s5 G' A1 l: t. s, @/ j0 i9 hQWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表

2 p3 y2 A5 A- q
  O% u0 K; m" c- fI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
6 F* @! q8 A, q+ z6 g2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
) p* {9 M0 A9 N3 Y3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

6 v! \) ~6 O1 c; ?# w- c4 [0 `
% V5 o) |% C$ O下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：


! R0 W! Z# a% B5 [
, I. p( J5 H4 [4 u/ L3 U9 Z- Z只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
. h; o8 P! T+ v+ `看来，观察days inventory 更重要。