Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
6 E( E8 |! _* h, Y. i  c* WMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
1 ]3 F1 x* h8 b; M. {6 h& }Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
. u0 y7 F# P; `. pNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board

% n0 f5 ^/ L4 e6 c7 oDate      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  

Oct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%

8 z5 q- J; v: a/ ^Sep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%

) U: Z8 O! Q& KAug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%
0 C; k% J( z1 a- \; Y+ x& u
Jul 2007
5 [, R' ]0 a9 W4 I5 j1 m- l) N8 E NA
7 @9 T! @5 G0 p* _0 Z  n 2328
. B5 C/ Y8 e6 E) V1 v* I 717
442,752
' a, ?. M$ S" [4 U9 p4 ] 410,000
320
) t) s% L, `7 ?& n# j1 q 28
31%
( g/ t3 z% ]& ]" G, K0 A8 p
Jun 2007
4 C3 d2 K9 {3 D( q NA
2661
- @3 @' t0 U: W+ c6 K: _ 1011
442,817
/ M2 m( G' g! y 409,000
% d8 \- @: @) A7 @& B$ @% G 328
  P  e2 R: M5 @# h* m 22
/ Z" \4 M, h* C6 t3 e3 {' ? 38%
! l6 s9 n- @4 t
May 2007
NA
! \* [" _# M, x+ \# T7 { 2288
: g" T: e4 Z& X" W- ]9 D- [, I* x 1261
451,216
415,000
+ \( ?, J7 g$ i" j 322
19
+ Q$ v) l# A' ~8 L5 X$ i 55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
( N' m9 B5 l/ U) e鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
. Q/ Z6 T5 X* Y( {鉴定完毕！

用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
8 S* Y: i0 o: X2 f, g2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
. l3 M% \, \6 w7 H9 l3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
  S9 {" H1 P; _9 S# R9 u鉴定完毕！

呵呵，太不专业了吧。
4 o- @1 R$ W4 |0 p6 k
$ N7 r) l. I" _% I7 r* E9 v新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量

2 u4 n- [. A" x就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量
9 o) i  T( n% P
, F1 K, z" P) p4 [. q3 O# s这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
2 s* B1 `/ b' m$ {  Q, B: WDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

- [) y: j! U9 w4 @$ ?, q2 h

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
8 f+ v. ?" R" y( ]5 R2 W  g- k) [Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
6 ^% n5 X% G+ _& HThat is what i say half full or half empty.
good luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
% d* s2 I1 E1 o( Q" k2 M5 [, [Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

9 k; L% d6 P, _+ N, _
I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
5 l/ X2 X1 k1 c4 K; KEdmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
) q& S" `( |1 S5 f, q- NNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

QWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表
; I9 G( h' Z/ t& y( V0 R, Y
9 P$ r# A3 O; q* w& ^! Z
: P$ }: U. M% s8 }I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
) S- `9 v/ s4 a' h2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

2 I5 S. K3 u! s6 y) `
& `1 `- H$ g& g# J下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：
- V+ \. L/ `# C0 d4 k4 D
" l& q' |. ^2 n7 c# o

只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
看来，观察days inventory 更重要。