Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
6 @: b) k- M$ R: z. lNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board
8 b# X5 {% ~' e6 F, x* O
: E& B5 T$ n- s- B2 i9 gDate      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  
6 b( G8 [2 ]) u' x; x* [  }* {2 D. v
- V# |' M6 [9 w  T- `; w9 DOct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%
3 B: Y! A5 S" e; S
& F, O- k0 `4 _1 T% rSep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%

) ?. q- w' l0 c: e$ {& }Aug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%

' ^  ?5 `" q9 P9 vJul 2007
/ f" N+ }& T: `& S8 t# R NA
* {" i) I3 o7 D5 G, m9 v8 D 2328
717
: v5 U  C; G4 \0 n; b& @ 442,752
% }" d8 ^% i1 C! t4 L 410,000
320
28
; y' Q7 s+ n; h1 O9 }" h' V 31%

. X" m* y% q: o9 [4 h- q) ZJun 2007
NA
2661
1011
442,817
409,000
2 W0 a* V7 t) O, |; r* k 328
$ m" Z! t# t2 T# X+ P6 P+ p 22
# X8 ]% l- Q2 D9 g 38%
6 q/ ~( |1 G9 X, ~
! C) o' E3 a& ?9 V& i# zMay 2007
NA
# R4 k' Y2 S$ `9 \ 2288
1261
451,216
415,000
322
' |* q% M* i! ~3 g5 Q 19
55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
* {2 P5 b7 [$ h1 O% o0 @, K鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
7 d7 Q- J) P* O, \# z这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
( A8 r! o, i9 l* N* F2 ]. U5 m) E4 R存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
' D" ?: n  k; u+ i2 }2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
5 b. |0 }0 ?% E3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
6 x( y% \0 b3 {* x$ W存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
- o4 ~5 Z- M( R& ^' ^0 L( p$ s% ^0 \鉴定完毕！

呵呵，太不专业了吧。

新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量

就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量
' r7 V6 B' J2 m! O, z4 S
1 ]* V9 O$ b8 Q! ~这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
& E- f; n7 m; n# j0 u" g8 c. yDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

9 V" Y2 u& E% m/ X: k

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
That is what i say half full or half empty.
good luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
( e! j: D4 Q! o( o0 x) G! l- n3 _In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

; c1 @7 i* N5 @8 R9 a# R
' n# @3 o7 s& ?' f( n  o9 S% P7 HI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
9 A4 P+ L  [/ UIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
% m* O7 N: _4 u  k9 uNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

$ Y; l+ B) ?: K& q) \: DQWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表
5 b. i" `! u- c  X! |4 W

9 J( X) _0 I0 f% W9 S, rI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

" P9 N( _4 G. G8 W; ~1 l

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
7 N: j4 X. q/ j8 T+ c* R  R1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
$ q1 i. H  u4 ]7 b; N2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

# u9 a! v' L) |/ r: Y( ?& r5 c6 j
下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：
) ~; V; f1 }% I7 W9 ?9 y" H

; |. J. W4 }) d$ ]4 W5 f
: \! z5 @  g) ]只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
看来，观察days inventory 更重要。