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原帖由 一半清醒 于 2007-7-12 18:10 发表  : w) s8 s; c, [
印象中好像是从05年8，9月开始涨，直到上个月连续上涨了21个月，涨幅百分数不祥，有知道的清给个参考数据，也好做个基本分析。
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自1962年每月平均房价：
5 B6 k/ B% {/ B+ K8 \; @
7 k" R: V0 M% z& C 1 2 3 4 5 66 x/ D- H- m; a
9 O) g$ a m9 p* D% T0 M$ [" X+ C6 O
1962 12,530 13216 13,149 12916 12102 13457/ v. Q r' x8 J# U% x7 P3 @! }& r
1963 13,323 12965 12,229 14566 13684 13826
* a. J: Q1 ]3 }+ y8 p5 b1 P: n1964 12,406 13935 10,720 13382 11867 12304
: K4 h7 I* D, y0 A+ ] Y1965 13,917 12100 13,215 12760 14185 12504
% b! ?0 q# G9 n" K1966 11,516 13920 13,630 13000 14105 14207/ l( C' A% `0 X; b0 X2 Y& Y
1967 13,470 14160 15,155 15155 16240 152306 ]5 m3 }! E# Y3 a) j3 ?
1968 16,280 15840 17,232 16342 15605 18048
: F" c& i `( [0 g1969 18,945 19010 19,491 20486 20914 20832
1 U( Y* w! }3 e- y# k' z6 F6 }* ?$ d1970 21,806 20448 20,900 20116 22595 22232) E e6 ]/ v% Q h1 z
1971 20,347 21944 20,810 22104 23643 22701
4 Q" W+ K% g7 @9 k1972 25,998 23033 22,524 22661 24084 24777) i( Y( w. t+ D' X G$ E, k
1973 23,914 24470 25,022 27448 24586 27397( Q% Y2 L: P" P: a
1974 31,783 29470 33,925 34913 34913 35898" f6 d! e% j2 V$ e4 t* k
1975 38,362 39263 40,100 40586 42280 44408
) Z" N+ C% N! Y! B9 W/ S8 Y1976 52,517 56636 55,705 58922 52285 59450) M2 x3 h1 d+ P0 \: I+ t# d X. x
1977 60,244 60746 61,018 58590 61879 61933
2 o- i2 H; }) Y$ R' i1 y- e1978 66,657 66122 69,766 70790 72024 71433
! d& F/ J) P1 e% Y$ U1979 74,453 76335 76,062 77144 78665 783760 y3 |" h, R6 w5 V
1980 78,914 82745 81,506 84015 83166 85904
, `" F e) T2 U/ |9 H) ?1981 88,624 91476 89,302 94223 90429 91729
2 w% P& `0 W/ k4 L5 G0 W/ l P1982 92,313 93984 96,380 90480 94430 94042 ?) K1 E z4 b$ o9 h' [; o3 H
1983 84,785 87289 89,200 87596 88756 84974
9 [5 y' Q$ T7 j: t1984 81,941 81317 80,798 81257 77713 82281
+ ?3 M- Z5 P% e1 x7 W' Y1985 75,769 73121 74,881 71947 74698 78198
* ]: W; N3 [% @( R# Z1986 68,999 68253 74,085 73402 78837 78503- e9 r; n$ c. a4 T% {& \' x4 l
1987 70,701 74346 74,105 80239 80093 79848
# }, x8 z/ _9 N8 o! C/ ?& U1988 77,982 76385 78,935 82004 81285 85636
- K1 u6 h; q* ^7 k+ W5 m0 R' N6 |1989 82,311 84760 87,552 86301 90502 91281
8 T5 I$ |/ v/ x' H+ l; P1990 94,556 101701 101,596 104753 101737 103353
9 S, s3 T7 ^, T- Q$ w3 y! N/ l/ j W1991 103,766 102463 105,692 110930 108950 1092961 g( `; F3 m" L
1992 108,604 104888 109,432 110247 109172 109989
6 i! A; r- d2 r7 \% H4 S1 V k1993 107,693 111894 110,317 111208 115681 1153207 C3 ^! h* a) ?2 j U& \
1994 114,590 118073 111,156 112455 115277 113415
/ G* x/ ^7 U$ D" {2 X1 W1995 106,645 108871 108,821 110882 113148 112523
6 u3 q# y4 @+ Z4 v! d; H8 F+ ?" T1996 106,780 111076 111,144 107576 112588 1117630 c9 ?, s ?* Y6 m, h: E' h- _) Q
1997 107,237 109294 111,598 112484 112092 1151154 U& T- t; e+ m2 |, C
1998 110,021 111526 111,591 116576 119893 1137505 U# d' |% `8 {! J+ d, R
1999 113,245 116814 116,781 118885 112534 120225( A- X- m5 ]& X4 g7 U F _1 k5 p
2000 121,072 121505 123,368 126377 128550 1212072 ]! t7 i1 V2 N. }
2001 126,514 125705 128,544 131199 136487 1344281 _3 L& I, N4 ^
2002 142,188 140385 149,239 147213 153487 155265
/ U* v4 ~% S2 I2 n' L/ B2003 154,862 157677 160,230 166777 166627 1688095 h; G$ h, X. z0 q& n
2004 175,210 170960 177,470 178777 182226 182416
) P- [( r+ o' Z* y9 @) E, N2005 180,819 183189 189,556 191996 197615 199409
+ o, k! Q+ `+ M0 `2006 199,148 211531 220,124 226846 242936 254240
& y( Z6 s( c$ n( K, q0 ]! v2007 303,820 321307 325,339 344,137 354,410 348,056# L/ g) F$ {# I! B; o
9 Y) ?2 S7 K0 z7 l; @( b7 _% A 7 8 9 10 11 12
# e. _, b* Z! b3 R* \
; c- f' z* u/ a! v; r9 u) O1962 12790 12672 11438 11210 13660 11,535+ r7 k% B/ F, ^7 n: `% J. \( T! A
1963 13687 13877 12700 12077 11132 11,024" h8 w- B* q. U3 t* C1 _
1964 13464 12705 12563 12660 12987 12,9478 Y! n2 P: E5 T, {' }
1965 13892 13275 14238 12455 13270 13,6754 _+ y) r& M0 T3 D
1966 14360 14467 12910 13840 14750 14,320* f* [. I4 Q9 `
1967 15135 18800 14600 15900 15216 16,143& _+ ?) m j4 A' O1 M3 X$ C9 L' i+ R
1968 18000 18300 16730 18934 19200 18,698
' D: W* B9 Z3 Q1969 21777 20740 19959 21240 21219 21,693% o9 X2 f* R5 D$ m: T3 h* [
1970 22307 21733 21262 21220 20929 21,5308 m) h% z3 h7 M5 Y2 G0 z: }
1971 23512 24494 22389 21963 21740 21,079) \' l. r% I6 g+ o j. [; i: _& M
1972 24411 25119 24343 24030 19768 23,425" [+ F( a) Z# v4 ?$ c0 ?
1973 28702 29521 28523 28561 29016 28,631
0 [" C3 }, _" S. R' q {1974 37381 36613 36326 36306 35364 34,9031 O- z" v: ^7 M V& U: X
1975 45426 45300 47208 49057 49314 46,640
- ]7 M( F) e% q' f8 w9 x1976 59659 60793 61431 60137 58192 60,8626 N% G) i* R- ^
1977 63825 63886 66279 64416 66678 65,008) I3 ?& ]; H1 C+ @; X3 [% h
1978 72472 73797 73461 73550 75960 74,119
/ ]$ ~. T' j9 |. ]8 o1979 80644 81620 79084 81145 81605 79,498
. J. c4 y- d: s1980 86446 85186 85817 86399 88809 83,486( v3 X% ?: ^# ~6 d# H% D( v
1981 92446 91877 91262 91511 91294 92,5570 l6 I/ i$ [# }" L* l
1982 91190 89902 92777 87782 85285 89,801/ n) v9 g; l, [4 R- z- P
1983 84242 85846 84494 83286 85092 80,332; X3 I: j7 C* X) Z5 H
1984 75800 82859 79004 76286 74526 77,884
' N6 U, D8 t/ x0 U; h3 y1985 75461 71514 73153 69804 73175 72,381
; k- Z0 E, O1 ] a5 I1986 74882 79176 76262 73690 72275 73,302) m, {' {' u3 B h
1987 80091 77439 77010 79356 76188 73,118) }9 ^: e9 t. d+ G) i
1988 85372 83181 82881 82043 85120 81,427/ j5 P x1 g' T/ Z- m. w" Z5 F
1989 88422 89646 89596 90187 91121 93,091
: w6 b- I6 w; \# Y+ d1990 101395 102785 100105 101940 99416 99,517: p; D+ g+ S- _9 Q, L
1991 108338 108813 107061 102990 104535 108,931
2 l$ F3 d! C7 ^/ v0 D1992 110516 112132 110662 111453 109787 106,764
# Y/ `* G c! `" q8 ~4 u1993 113915 112738 109113 108543 108837 112,426% Q2 j5 O# m! U$ l" }) L9 E" a0 s
1994 108804 111744 109737 109344 113244 114,056
5 z4 h6 q% p6 ~6 K u' J1995 116036 111564 109288 108811 108191 105,6030 U; u0 @6 C: j c& _
1996 106961 109947 107712 105911 105465 109,9669 e, K! j4 n6 \
1997 112514 111475 110711 112203 108723 112,6816 i1 H$ a8 F: |% v9 \
1998 116189 115197 114113 113139 114924 113,422
" s; @5 L6 M1 O" l/ u' M8 Z& y( r1999 121556 116198 119353 120027 117116 119,397
' g+ ` v. _' T2000 124174 126244 122397 123543 122877 127,069: H3 U- ~. j" Z6 q9 L/ ]% J( H4 R
2001 139021 131065 134359 134051 137664 139,1523 y3 M4 i$ J7 A
2002 153691 151755 150807 150397 154539 153,090
7 P# T* Z' {. d, ?5 }2003 166533 165871 167846 171591 167082 167,474
1 w9 e! ]( ]4 U/ H. R) e1 t2004 181034 182469 180794 179578 181630 177,178
3 l: P% x+ @9 q( c. e2005 195765 195995 190564 197683 198267 197,884
" q8 F- h' l, }0 a& `- n9 G7 J2006 256489 270746 278732 276641 282434 294,155% N1 i1 O) p& _& m) H
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